1996 Republican Party presidential primaries

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1996 Republican Party presidential primaries

← 1992 January 29 to June 4, 1996 2000 →
  Bob Dole, PCCWW photo portrait.JPG Pat Buchanan, 1986.jpg Steve Forbes, 2007.jpg
Candidate Bob Dole Pat Buchanan Steve Forbes
Home state Kansas Virginia New Jersey
Contests won 46 4 2
Popular vote 9,024,742 3,184,943 1,751,187
Percentage 58.8% 20.8% 11.4%

1996RepublicanPresidentialPrimaries.svg
Gold denotes a state won by Pat Buchanan. Green denotes a state won by Steve Forbes. Purple denotes a state won by Bob Dole. Grey denotes a territory that did not hold a primary.

Previous Republican nominee

George H. W. Bush

Republican nominee

Bob Dole

From January 29 to June 4, 1996, voters of the Republican Party chose its nominee for president in the 1996 United States presidential election. Senator Bob Dole of Kansas, the former Senate majority leader, was selected as the nominee through a series of primary elections and caucuses culminating in the 1996 Republican National Convention held from August 12 to 15, 1996, in San Diego, California; Dole resigned from the Senate in June 1996 once he became the presumptive nominee to concentrate on his presidential campaign.

Background[]

Following the 1994 midterm elections, many prominent candidates entered what would be a crowded field. This was expected as Democratic President Bill Clinton was unpopular in his first two years in office, eventually leading to the Republican Revolution. However, as Clinton became increasingly popular in his third year in office, several withdrew from the race or decided not to run. Former U.S. Army Gen. Colin L. Powell was widely courted as a potential Republican nominee. However, on November 8, 1995, Powell announced that he would not seek the nomination. Former Secretary of Defense and future Vice President of the United States Dick Cheney was touted by many as a possible candidate for the presidency, but he declared his intentions not to run in early 1995. Then-Texas Governor George W. Bush was also urged by some party leaders to seek the Republican Party nomination, but opted against doing so.

Primary race overview[]

Going into the 1996 primary contest, Senate Majority Leader Bob Dole was widely seen as the front runner. Dole had significant name recognition, as he was a two time presidential candidate – in 1980 and 1988, and Republican vice-presidential nominee in 1976. He was expected to win the nomination against underdog candidates such as the more conservative U.S. Senator Phil Gramm of Texas and more centrist U.S. Senator Arlen Specter of Pennsylvania. The fragmented field of candidates, which also included journalist and 1992 presidential candidate Pat Buchanan and magazine publisher Steve Forbes, debated issues such as a flat tax and other tax cut proposals, and a return to supply-side economic policies popularized by Ronald Reagan. Former Governor of Tennessee Lamar Alexander had promising showings in the early Iowa and New Hampshire primaries—finishing third in both contests behind only Dole and Buchanan—but his support dropped off in later primaries and he ultimately failed to win any state's delegates. (see "1996 Republican primary and caucus results" table below). Alan Keyes, who served as Reagan's Ambassador to the United Nations Economic and Social Council and Assistant Secretary of State for International Organization Affairs, was notable for being the only African American candidate in the race, but he ultimately failed to garner much support. More attention was drawn to the race by the budget stalemate in 1995 between the Congress and the President, which caused temporary shutdowns and slowdowns in many areas of federal government service.

On January 29, Buchanan won a non-binding straw poll in Alaska. Most pundits dismissed Buchanan's showing as insignificant.[1] On February 6, Buchanan won the Louisiana caucus. Buchanan and Gramm had made several trips to the state to campaign. Gramm was expected to win, due to being from neighboring Texas and having the support of many of the Louisiana party regulars.[2]

The candidates met in Des Moines for a Presidential Candidates Forum.[3] Dole won the Iowa Caucus with 26% of the vote, a considerably smaller margin of victory than was expected.

Gramm's poor showing in Louisiana plus placing 5th in Iowa's caucuses resulted in his withdrawal from the contest on the Sunday before the New Hampshire primary.

In the New Hampshire Primary, Buchanan recorded a surprising victory over Dole, who finished in second place.

After disappointing showings in Iowa and New Hampshire, Steve Forbes bounced back in the primaries in Delaware and Arizona. Forbes, along with Alan Keyes, were the only two candidates for the Republican nomination who campaigned in Delaware (According to R.W. Apple writing for The New York Times, "People in Delaware began calling their primary the Rodney Dangerfield election – it couldn't get any respect. That angered many local residents, like a woman at a Wilmington polling place this evening, who said that the New Hampshire officials who twisted the candidates' arms [into not coming to Delaware to campaign while the New Hampshire primary was ongoing] had ‘acted like little kids.’"[4]) giving Forbes an easy victory in the small state. "This state is the tax-cutting capital of the country and Steve Forbes got his tax-cutting message across." Former Delaware Governor Pete du Pont said following the announcement of Forbes's victory.[5] The bigger triumph for the Forbes campaign was in Arizona. Buchanan campaigned vigorously in Arizona in hopes of securing a crucial victory over Dole,[6] with Buchanan even donning a cowboy costume while on the campaign trail.[7] Faulty polling by the Dole campaign lured Dole into a false sense of security, making Dole think that the state would be an easy victory for him and he would not have to spend much time campaigning in Arizona.[8] After the votes were counted, Buchanan finished a devastating third place, Dole was the runner-up, and Forbes pulled off a shocking, come-from-behind victory. Exit polls showed that Forbes's support came from those who voted for third-party candidate Ross Perot back in 1992, as well as from the large number of voters who cited "taxes" as the most important issue of the race and those who viewed Buchanan as too "extreme" and Dole as too moderate and "mainstream".[6] Forbes would quickly lose the momentum he built up in Delaware and Arizona, but these back-to-back victories convinced many that Forbes was a serious contender.

Buchanan's and Forbes's early victories put Dole's expected front runner status in doubt during the formative months of the primary season. Dole won every primary after including North and South Dakota; this eventually gave him enough delegate commitments to claim status as the GOP presidential presumptive nominee.

Having collected only 21 percent of the total votes in Republican primaries and won four states, Buchanan suspended his campaign in March. He declared however that, if Dole were to choose a pro-choice running mate, he would run as the US Taxpayers Party (now Constitution Party) candidate.[9] Forbes also withdrew in March having won only two states.[10]

Dole resigned his Senate seat on June 11 to focus more intently on his presidential campaign. After becoming the nominee, Dole selected the former secretary of housing and urban development of the Bush administration, Jack Kemp, as his running mate.

Candidates[]

Nominee[]

Candidate Most recent office Home State Campaign

Withdrawal date

Popular vote Contests won Running mate
Bob Dole Bob Dole, PCCWW photo portrait.JPG Senate Majority Leader
(1995–1996)
Flag-map of Kansas.svg
Kansas
Dole Kemp 1996 campaign logo.svg
(Campaign)
Secured nomination:
March 19, 1996
9,024,742
(58.8%)
46 Jack Kemp

Withdrew during convention[]

Withdrew during primaries[]

Withdrew before primary elections[]

Other Minor Candidates[]

Formed exploratory committee but did not run[]

  • Fmr. Vice President Dan Quayle of Indiana

Declined to run[]

  • Howard Baker, former Senate Majority Leader from Tennessee
  • James Baker, former Secretary of State
  • Bill Bennett, former Secretary of Education
  • George H.W. Bush, former President of the United States
  • George W. Bush, Governor of Texas
  • Carroll Campbell, former Governor of South Carolina
  • Dick Cheney, former Secretary of Defense
  • Pete du Pont, former Governor of Delaware
  • John Engler, Governor of Michigan
  • Newt Gingrich, Speaker of the United States House of Representatives
  • Tom Kean, former Governor of New Jersey
  • Lynn Morley Martin, former Secretary of Labor
  • John McCain, Senator from Arizona
  • Oliver North, Retired United States Marine Corps Colonel
  • Colin Powell, Retired Chairman of the Joint Chiefs of Staff
  • Pat Robertson, televangelist
  • Warren Rudman, former Senator from New Hampshire
  • Donald Rumsfeld, former Secretary of Defense
  • Tommy Thompson, Governor of Wisconsin
  • Bill Weld, Governor of Massachusetts
  • Christine Todd Whitman, Governor of New Jersey
  • Donald Trump, businessman

Results[]

Statewide[]

Raw Vote Totals Delegate Estimate
Date State/Terr Dels Alexander Buchanan Dole Forbes Others Totals Alexander Buchanan Dole Forbes Others
Jan 29 Alaska 20 53 2,991 1,569 2,822 1,806 9,241 0 7 3 6 4
Feb 12 Iowa 25 17,052 22,578 25,461 9,861 21,810 96,762 4 6 7 2 6
Feb 20 New Hampshire 16 47,148 56,874 54,738 25,505 24,478 208,743 4 4 4 2 2
Feb 24 Delaware 13 4,375 6,118 8,909 10,709 2,662 32,773 2 3 4 5 0
Feb 27 Arizona 38 24,765 95,742 102,980 115,962 8,033 347,482 0 12 12 14 0
North Dakota 20 4,008 11,653 26,832 12,455 8,786 63,734 0 4 9 4 3
South Dakota 20 6,037 19,780 30,918 8,831 3,604 69,170 0 7 10 3 0
Mar 2 South Carolina 38 28,647 80,824 124,904 35,039 7,327 276,741 4 11 18 5 0
Wyoming 20 66 181 370 161 61 839 0 5 10 5 0
Mar 3 Puerto Rico 20 1,273 844 233,742 1,078 1,604 238,541 0 0 20 0 0
Mar 5 Colorado 28 24,184 53,376 108,123 51,592 10,655 247,930 0 7 14 7 0
Connecticut 28 6,985 19,664 70,998 26,253 6,518 130,418 0 5 17 6 0
Georgia 43 75,855 162,627 226,732 71,276 21,916 558,406 6 13 18 6 0
Maine 16 4,450 16,478 31,147 9,991 5,214 67,280 0 5 9 3 0
Maryland 34 14,061 53,585 135,522 32,207 18,871 254,246 0 8 21 5 0
Massachusetts 40 21,456 71,688 135,946 39,605 16,138 284,833 0 12 22 6 0
Minnesota 34 1,300 9,353 11,641 2,910 2,684 27,888 0 13 17 4 0
Rhode Island 16 2,866 387 9,706 128 1,971 15,058 0 0 11 0 2
Vermont 13 6,145 9,730 23,419 9,066 9,757 58,117 1 2 5 2 2
TOTALS 2,053 499,719 3,158,475 8,801,010 1,581,617 897,182 14,938,003 29 436 1,265 177 52
1996 Republican primary and caucus results[11]
Bob Dole Pat Buchanan Steve Forbes Lamar Alexander Alan Keyes Richard Lugar Phil Gramm Morry Taylor Bob Dornan
January 29 Alaska (caucus) 17% 32% 31% 1% 10% 9%
February 6 Louisiana (caucus) 44% 4% 42%
February 12 Iowa Caucus 26% 23% 10% 18% 7% 4% 9% 1%
February 20 New Hampshire primary 26% 27% 12% 22% 2% 5% 2%
February 24 Delaware (primary) 27% 19% 33% 13% 5% 5% 2%
February 27 Arizona (primary) 30% 27% 33% 7% 1% 1%
February 27 North Dakota (primary) 42% 18% 20% 6% 3% 1% 9%
February 27 South Dakota (primary) 45% 29% 13% 9% 4%
March 2 South Carolina (primary) 45% 29% 13% 10% 2%
March 2 Wyoming (caucus) 40% 18% 17% 7% 7%
March 3 Puerto Rico (primary) 98%
March 5 Colorado (primary) 43% 21% 21% 10% 4% 1%
March 5 Connecticut (primary) 54% 15% 20% 5% 2% 1%
March 5 Georgia (primary) 41% 29% 13% 14% 3%
March 5 Maine (primary) 46% 24% 15% 7% 2% 3%
March 5 Maryland (primary) 53% 21% 13% 6% 5% 1%
March 5 Massachusetts (primary) 48% 25% 14% 8% 2% 2%
March 5 Minnesota (caucus) 41% 33% 10% 5% 10%
March 5 Rhode Island (primary) 64% 3% 1% 19% 3% 1%
March 5 Vermont (primary) 40% 17% 16% 11% 14% 1%
March 7 New York (primary) 55% 15% 30%
March 9 Missouri (caucus) 28% 36% 1% 9%
March 12 Florida (primary) 57% 18% 20% 1% 2% 2% 1%
March 12 Louisiana (primary) 48% 33% 12% 2% 3% 1%
March 12 Mississippi (primary) 60% 26% 8% 2% 2% 2%
March 12 Oklahoma (primary) 59% 22% 14% 1% 2%
March 12 Oregon (primary) 51% 21% 13% 7% 4% 1%
March 12 Tennessee (primary) 51% 25% 8% 11% 3%
March 12 Texas (primary) 56% 21% 13% 2% 4% 2%
March 19 Illinois (primary) 65% 23% 5% 1% 4% 1% 1%
March 19 Michigan (primary) 51% 34% 5% 1% 3%
March 19 Ohio (primary) 66% 22% 6% 3% 2% 1%
March 19 Wisconsin (primary) 53% 34% 6% 2% 3%
March 26 California (primary) 66% 18% 7% 2% 4% 1% 1% 1%
March 26 Nevada (primary) 52% 15% 19% 2% 1%
March 26 Washington (primary) 63% 21% 9% 1% 5%
April 23 Pennsylvania (primary) 64% 18% 8% 6% 5%
May 7 Washington D.C. (primary) 75% 9%
May 7 Indiana (primary) 71% 19% 10%
May 7 North Carolina (primary) 71% 13% 4% 2% 4% 1%
May 14 Nebraska (primary) 76% 10% 6% 3% 3%
May 14 West Virginia (primary) 69% 16% 5% 3% 4% 1% 2%
May 21 Arkansas (primary) 76% 23%
May 28 Idaho (primary) 66% 22% 5%
May 28 Kentucky (primary) 48% 33% 13% 2% 3% 0.63%
June 1 Virginia (caucus) Unknown
June 4 Alabama (primary) 76% 16% 3%
June 4 Montana (primary) 61% 24% 7%
June 4 New Jersey (primary) 82% 11% 7%
June 4 New Mexico (primary) 76% 8% 6% 4% 3% 1%

Nationwide[]

Overall popular primaries vote[12]

  • Bob Dole – 9,024,742 (58.82%)
  • Pat Buchanan – 3,184,943 (20.76%)
  • Steve Forbes – 1,751,187 (11.41%)
  • Lamar Alexander – 495,590 (3.23%)
  • Alan Keyes – 471,716 (3.08%)
  • Richard Lugar – 127,111 (0.83%)
  • Unpledged – 123,278 (0.80%)
  • Phil Gramm – 71,456 (0.47%)
  • Bob Dornan – 42,140 (0.28%)
  • Morry Taylor – 21,180 (0.14%)

Convention tally:

  • Bob Dole 1,928
  • Pat Buchanan 43
  • Steve Forbes 2
  • Alan Keyes 1
  • Robert Bork 1

Notable endorsements[]

Bob Dole

  • Former Senator and 1964 Presidential nominee Barry Goldwater of Arizona[13]
  • Governor George W. Bush of Texas[12]
  • Senator Bill Roth of Delaware[12]
  • Senator Alan Simpson of Wyoming[12]
  • Senator Al D'Amato of New York[12]
  • Former Governor Pete du Pont of Delaware[14]
  • Former Governor George Wallace of Alabama[15]

Pat Buchanan

  • Governor Mike Foster of Louisiana[16]
  • State Senator Dick Mountjoy of California
  • Former U.S. National Security Advisor Richard Allen
  • Former Governor Evan Mecham of Arizona[17]

Steve Forbes

  • Former Congressman and HUD Secretary Jack Kemp of New York[12]
  • Former Senator Gordon Humphrey of New Hampshire[12]
  • U.S. Rep. Frank Cremeans of Ohio.
  • U.S. Rep. Bob Franks of New Jersey.

Lamar Alexander

Phil Gramm

  • Senator John McCain of Arizona[12]
  • Senator Kay Bailey Hutchison of Texas[12]

Pete Wilson

  • Governor Bill Weld of Massachusetts[12]
  • Perot's 1992 running-mate and retired admiral James Stockdale of Illinois[12]

Convention and VP Selection[]

The delegates at the Republican National Convention formally nominated Dole on August 15, 1996, as the GOP presidential candidate for the general election. Dole was the oldest first-time presidential nominee at the age of 73 years, 1 month (Ronald Reagan was 73 years, 6 months in 1984, for his second presidential nomination).

Former Congressman and Cabinet secretary Jack Kemp was nominated by acclamation as Dole's running mate the following day. Republican Party of Texas convention delegates informally nominated Alan Keyes as their preference for Vice President.

Other politicians mentioned as possible GOP V.P. nominees before Kemp was selected included:

See also[]

  • 1996 Democratic Party presidential primaries

References[]

  1. ^ Anchorage Daily News. January 31, 1996. p. 1b
  2. ^ The Advocate [Baton Rouge]. Feb.7, 1996. p. A1
  3. ^ "Republican Presidential Candidates Forum in Des Moines, Iowa". The American Presidency Project. Retrieved April 7, 2021.
  4. ^ Apple, R.W. (February 25, 1996). "FORBES BEATS DOLE IN DELAWARE VOTE". The New York Times. Retrieved April 8, 2021.
  5. ^ Apple, R.W. (February 26, 1996). "POLITICS: STEVE FORBES;Delaware Backs Him Because He Was There". The New York Times. Retrieved April 7, 2021.
  6. ^ a b Sahagun, Louis (February 28, 1996). "Forbes Bounces Back With a Convincing Victory in Arizona". The Los Angeles Times. Retrieved April 7, 2021.
  7. ^ Nagourney, Adam (February 23, 1996). "POLITICS: MOVING WEST; Buchanan Steps Into an Arizona Crossfire". The New York Times. Retrieved April 7, 2021.
  8. ^ Berke, Richard (February 28, 1996). "POLITICS: THE OVERVIEW;Forbes Claims Victory in Arizona Race". The New York Times. Retrieved April 7, 2021.
  9. ^ (April 1996), "Howard Phillips on Pat Buchanan", Freedom Writer, Public Eye.
  10. ^ AllPolitics – Steve Forbes
  11. ^ 1996 Republican Primary Election Events Timeline
  12. ^ a b c d e f g h i j k l m "US President – R Primaries Race – July 07, 1996". Our Campaigns.com. Retrieved March 10, 2008.
  13. ^ "AZ US President – R Primary Race – Feb 27, 1996". Our Campaigns. Retrieved June 17, 2010.
  14. ^ "DE US President – R Primary Race – Feb 24, 1996". Our Campaigns. Retrieved June 17, 2010.
  15. ^ "Candidate – George Corley Wallace". Our Campaigns. Retrieved June 17, 2010.
  16. ^ "LA US President – R Primary Race – Mar 12, 1996". Our Campaigns. Retrieved June 17, 2010.
  17. ^ "Dole wins both Dakotas, but is lagging in Arizona." Toledo Blade. February 28, 1996. Accessed December 2, 2009. Final paragraph: Mr. Mecham is supporting Buchanan "all the way," and he still has an effective organization in the state.
  18. ^ a b c d e f g h i j k l m n o p q "Dole's VP `short list' includes McCain - Tucson Citizen Morgue, Part 2 (1993-2009)". tucsoncitizen.com. Retrieved March 31, 2018.
  19. ^ "The Time I Tried To Persuade Antonin Scalia To Run For Vice President". IJR - Independent Journal Review. February 16, 2016. Retrieved March 31, 2018.
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