2012 United States presidential election in Ohio

2012 United States presidential election in Ohio
Turnout	70.54%
Obama 40-50% 50-60% 60-70%	Romney 40-50% 50-60% 60-70% 70-80%
President before election; Barack Obama; Democratic	Elected President ; Barack Obama; Democratic

The 2012 United States presidential election in Ohio took place on November 6, 2012, as part of the 2012 United States presidential election in which all 50 states plus the District of Columbia participated. Ohio voters chose 18 electors to represent them in the Electoral College via a popular vote pitting incumbent Democratic President Barack Obama and his running mate, Vice President Joe Biden, against Republican challenger and former Massachusetts Governor Mitt Romney and his running mate, Congressman Paul Ryan. This election continued Ohio's bellwether streak, as the state voted for the winner of the presidency in every election from 1964 to 2016.

President Obama won the popular vote in Ohio with 50.67% of the vote over Mitt Romney in second place at 47.69%, a Democratic victory margin of 2.98%.^[2] Obama's performance was a decline from 2008 when he won the state by a 4.57% margin over U.S. Senator John McCain, and he narrowly lost five counties that he won in 2008.^[3] However, he narrowly improved his margins in Cuyahoga County and Franklin County, home to the second largest city, Cleveland, and the state's capital and largest city, Columbus, respectively, allowing him to carry the state. Obama became the first Democrat to win the White House without Belmont County since 1892 and the first to win without neighboring Jefferson County since 1916.

As of 2020, this is the last time the Democratic presidential nominee won Ohio, as well as the last time Wood County, Ottawa County, Sandusky County, Erie County, Stark County, Portage County, Trumbull County, and Ashtabula County have voted Democratic. This is also the last time as of 2020 that Ohio voted to the left of any of the following states: Florida, Arizona, Georgia or North Carolina.

Democratic primary[]

The Democratic primary was held on March 6, 2012, the same day as the Republican primary. Incumbent President Barack Obama ran unopposed, and thus won all 151 of the state's delegates.

Republican primary[]

The 2012 Ohio Republican presidential primary took place on March 6, 2012.^[4]

Ohio has 66 delegates to the Republican National Convention. Three party officials (also known as "superdelegates") are not bound by the primary result. Forty-eight delegates are generally awarded winner-take-all by Congressional district. Another 15 delegates are awarded to the candidate who gets an outright majority statewide, or are allocated proportionately among candidates winning at least 20% of the vote if no candidate wins a majority.^[5]

2012 Ohio Republican presidential primary^[6]
Candidate	Votes	Percentage	Estimated national delegates
Mitt Romney	460,831	37.9%	38
Rick Santorum	448,580	37.1%	25
Newt Gingrich	177,183	14.6%	0
Ron Paul	113,256	9.3%	0
Rick Perry	7,539	0.6%	0
Jon Huntsman, Jr.	6,490	0.5%	0
Unprojected delegates			7
Totals	1,213,879	100.0%	66

Despite an early lead in the vote count and having won most counties, Santorum's lead was reduced and overcome by Romney as Hamilton and Cuyahoga County results came in.^[7] Romney also won areas such as Akron, Youngstown, Dayton and Columbus. These and other highly populated counties would eventually go to Obama in November.

Key:

Withdrew
prior to contest

Notes:

1. In the six congressional districts where Rick Santorum submitted only a partial slate of district delegates and district alternates by the late December 2011 deadline, he will be automatically awarded only the number of delegates he submitted, assuming he wins the particular district. The Ohio Republican Party said on March 2, 2012, that the remaining delegates in such districts will be "considered unbound" until a panel composed of three members of the Ohio GOP's central committee decides which campaign (if any) is permitted to appoint such delegates.^[8]

2. In three congressional districts (OH-6, OH-9 and OH-13), Rick Santorum did not make the district-specific portion of the ballot.

3. In every district, each of the 6 candidates listed above appears on the "at-large" portion of the ballot. The results of the at-large ballot will determine the allocation of fifteen national convention delegates.

General election[]

Ohio was considered a key battleground state throughout the general election campaign, and both Barack Obama and Mitt Romney campaigned extensively in the state.^[9] Some experts believe that the popularity of the auto industry bailout put in place under President Obama helped him take the state.^[9]^[10]

In February 2013, nineteen cases of voter fraud were investigated in Hamilton County.^[11] Three individuals were charged with voter fraud the following month, with one individual alleged to have voted six times.^[12] These incidents would not have affected the outcome of the Ohio race as President Obama ultimately carried the state by 166,272 votes.

Results[]

2012 United States presidential election in Ohio^[13]
Party		Candidate	Running mate	Votes	Percentage	Electoral votes
	Democratic	Barack Obama	Joe Biden	2,827,709	50.67%	18
	Republican	Mitt Romney	Paul Ryan	2,661,437	47.69%	0
	Libertarian	Gary Johnson	Jim Gray	49,493	0.89%	0
	Green	Jill Stein	Cheri Honkala	18,573	0.33%	0
	Independent	Richard Duncan	Ricky Johnson	12,502	0.22%	0
	Constitution	Virgil Goode	Jim Clymer	8,152	0.15%	0
	Socialist	Stewart Alexander	Alex Mendoza	2,967	0.05%	0
	Others			23	0.00%	0
Totals				5,590,934	100.00%	18
Voter turnout (registered voters)						70.54%

Results by county[]

County^[14]	Barack Hussein Obama Democratic		Willard Mitt Romney Republican		Gary Earl Johnson^[15] Libertarian		Jill Ellen Stein^[15] Green		Various candidates Other parties		Margin		Total votes cast
County^[14]	#	%	#	%	#	%	#	%	#	%	#	%	Total votes cast
Adams	3,976	35.76%	6,865	61.75%	98	0.87%	55	0.49%	124	1.11%	-2,889	-25.99%	11,118
Allen	17,914	37.06%	29,502	61.03%	464	0.96%	164	0.34%	297	0.61%	-11,588	-23.97%	48,341
Ashland	8,281	34.02%	15,519	63.76%	221	0.91%	115	0.47%	204	0.84%	-7,238	-29.74%	24,340
Ashtabula	23,803	55.10%	18,298	42.36%	433	1.00%	224	0.52%	442	1.03%	5,505	12.74%	43,200
Athens	18,307	66.02%	8,543	30.81%	434	1.57%	188	0.68%	256	0.92%	9,764	35.21%	27,728
Auglaize	5,831	24.87%	17,169	73.22%	209	0.89%	83	0.35%	157	0.67%	-11,338	-48.35%	23,449
Belmont	14,156	44.67%	16,758	52.88%	232	0.73%	178	0.56%	364	1.15%	-2,602	-8.21%	31,688
Brown	7,107	36.65%	11,916	61.45%	191	0.98%	68	0.35%	110	0.57%	-4,809	-24.80%	19,392
Butler	62,388	36.58%	105,176	61.68%	1,654	0.97%	413	0.24%	899	0.52%	-42,788	-25.10%	170,530
Carroll	5,543	41.73%	7,315	55.07%	173	1.30%	71	0.53%	182	1.37%	-1,772	-13.34%	13,284
Champaign	7,044	38.14%	11,045	59.81%	159	0.86%	66	0.36%	154	0.83%	-4,001	-21.67%	18,468
Clark	31,297	48.67%	31,820	49.49%	509	0.79%	214	0.33%	461	0.72%	-523	-0.82%	64,301
Clermont	30,458	31.55%	64,208	66.52%	1,069	1.11%	248	0.26%	542	0.56%	-33,750	-34.97%	96,525
Clinton	5,791	31.85%	12,009	66.05%	195	1.07%	56	0.31%	132	0.73%	-6,218	-34.20%	18,183
Columbiana	19,821	42.90%	25,251	54.66%	434	0.94%	216	0.47%	477	1.03%	-5,430	-11.76%	46,199
Coshocton	6,940	43.97%	8,390	53.16%	157	0.99%	96	0.61%	201	1.28%	-1,450	-9.19%	15,784
Crawford	7,507	37.82%	11,852	59.72%	186	0.94%	108	0.54%	194	0.98%	-4,345	-21.90%	19,847
Cuyahoga	447,273	69.32%	190,660	29.55%	3,448	0.53%	1,564	0.24%	2,317	0.36%	256,613	39.77%	645,262
Darke	6,826	26.84%	18,108	71.21%	212	0.83%	86	0.34%	198	0.78%	-11,282	-44.37%	25,430
Defiance	7,732	42.16%	10,176	55.49%	187	1.02%	64	0.35%	180	0.99%	-2,444	-13.33%	18,339
Delaware	37,292	37.71%	60,194	60.86%	851	0.86%	205	0.21%	357	0.36%	-22,902	-23.15%	98,899
Erie	21,793	55.17%	16,952	42.92%	300	0.76%	158	0.40%	297	0.75%	4,841	12.25%	39,500
Fairfield	29,890	41.39%	41,034	56.82%	624	0.86%	210	0.29%	462	0.64%	-11,144	-15.43%	72,220
Fayette	4,249	38.49%	6,620	59.97%	87	0.79%	18	0.16%	64	0.58%	-2,371	-21.48%	11,038
Franklin	346,373	60.53%	215,997	37.75%	5,535	0.97%	1,659	0.29%	2,624	0.46%	130,376	22.78%	572,188
Fulton	9,073	42.58%	11,738	55.08%	248	1.16%	82	0.38%	169	0.80%	-2,665	-12.50%	21,310
Gallia	4,557	36.10%	7,750	61.40%	79	0.63%	69	0.55%	167	1.32%	-3,193	-25.30%	12,622
Geauga	19,659	38.46%	30,589	59.85%	386	0.76%	182	0.36%	297	0.58%	-10,930	-21.39%	51,113
Greene	32,256	38.57%	49,819	59.57%	933	1.12%	245	0.29%	373	0.45%	-17,563	-21.00%	83,626
Guernsey	7,450	44.22%	8,993	53.37%	174	1.03%	70	0.42%	162	0.96%	-1,543	-9.15%	16,849
Hamilton	219,927	52.50%	193,326	46.15%	3,756	0.90%	1,012	0.24%	873	0.21%	26,601	6.35%	418,894
Hancock	12,564	35.11%	22,443	62.72%	352	0.98%	130	0.36%	294	0.82%	-9,879	-27.61%	35,783
Hardin	4,619	37.04%	7,489	60.06%	172	1.38%	68	0.55%	122	0.98%	-2,870	-23.02%	12,470
Harrison	2,950	41.24%	4,019	56.19%	62	0.87%	47	0.66%	75	1.05%	-1,069	-14.95%	7,153
Henry	5,658	39.69%	8,257	57.92%	169	1.19%	55	0.39%	118	0.83%	-2,599	-18.23%	14,257
Highland	6,054	33.86%	11,413	63.83%	176	0.98%	67	0.37%	169	0.95%	-5,359	-29.97%	17,879
Hocking	6,157	48.22%	6,285	49.22%	133	1.04%	57	0.45%	136	1.06%	-128	-1.00%	12,768
Holmes	2,608	22.55%	8,702	75.23%	93	0.80%	43	0.37%	121	1.05%	-6,094	-52.68%	11,567
Huron	11,006	44.54%	13,060	52.85%	260	1.05%	115	0.47%	270	1.10%	-2,054	-8.31%	24,711
Jackson	5,166	38.54%	7,904	58.97%	94	0.70%	101	0.75%	139	1.04%	-2,738	-20.43%	13,404
Jefferson	15,385	46.37%	17,034	51.34%	248	0.75%	157	0.47%	353	1.06%	-1,649	-4.97%	33,177
Knox	10,470	36.78%	17,266	60.66%	306	1.08%	114	0.40%	307	1.07%	-6,796	-23.88%	28,463
Lake	57,680	48.61%	58,744	49.50%	1,073	0.90%	436	0.37%	732	0.62%	-1,064	-0.89%	118,665
Lawrence	10,744	41.43%	14,651	56.50%	171	0.66%	93	0.36%	273	1.05%	-3,907	-15.07%	25,932
Licking	34,201	41.94%	45,503	55.80%	817	1.00%	311	0.38%	718	0.88%	-11,302	-13.86%	81,550
Logan	7,062	33.31%	13,633	64.31%	214	1.01%	80	0.38%	210	0.99%	-6,571	-31.00%	21,199
Lorain	81,464	56.87%	59,405	41.47%	1,275	0.89%	554	0.39%	555	0.39%	22,059	15.40%	143,253
Lucas	136,616	64.86%	69,940	33.21%	2,318	1.10%	652	0.31%	1,095	0.52%	66,676	31.65%	210,621
Madison	6,845	38.99%	10,342	58.91%	167	0.95%	67	0.38%	136	0.77%	-3,497	-19.92%	17,557
Mahoning	77,059	63.38%	42,641	35.07%	744	0.61%	370	0.30%	770	0.63%	34,418	28.31%	121,584
Marion	12,504	45.61%	14,265	52.03%	285	1.04%	132	0.48%	232	0.85%	-1,761	-6.42%	27,418
Medina	38,785	42.65%	50,418	55.45%	838	0.92%	326	0.36%	564	0.62%	-11,633	-12.80%	90,931
Meigs	4,027	39.41%	5,895	57.69%	111	1.09%	70	0.69%	115	1.13%	-1,868	-18.28%	10,218
Mercer	4,745	21.89%	16,561	76.40%	142	0.66%	83	0.38%	145	0.67%	-11,816	-54.51%	21,676
Miami	16,383	31.50%	34,606	66.53%	554	1.07%	144	0.28%	327	0.63%	-18,223	-35.03%	52,014
Monroe	3,035	44.75%	3,548	52.31%	48	0.71%	47	0.69%	104	1.54%	-513	-7.56%	6,782
Montgomery	137,139	51.42%	124,841	46.81%	2,548	0.96%	775	0.29%	1,404	0.53%	12,298	4.61%	266,707
Morgan	2,814	45.86%	3,179	51.81%	42	0.68%	27	0.44%	74	1.21%	-365	-5.95%	6,136
Morrow	5,933	36.59%	9,865	60.83%	174	1.07%	79	0.49%	166	1.02%	-3,932	-24.24%	16,217
Muskingum	17,002	45.73%	19,264	51.81%	352	0.95%	185	0.50%	376	1.00%	-2,262	-6.08%	37,179
Noble	2,131	36.17%	3,563	60.48%	62	1.05%	44	0.75%	91	1.54%	-1,432	-24.31%	5,891
Ottawa	11,503	51.11%	10,538	46.83%	220	0.98%	97	0.43%	147	0.65%	965	4.28%	22,505
Paulding	3,538	38.67%	5,354	58.51%	101	1.10%	48	0.52%	109	1.19%	-1,816	-19.84%	9,150
Perry	7,033	46.82%	7,627	50.78%	120	0.80%	76	0.51%	164	1.10%	-594	-3.96%	15,020
Pickaway	9,684	40.09%	14,037	58.11%	206	0.85%	74	0.31%	153	0.63%	-4,353	-18.02%	24,154
Pike	5,684	49.02%	5,685	49.03%	77	0.66%	44	0.38%	106	0.91%	-1	-0.01%	11,596
Portage	39,453	51.65%	35,242	46.14%	844	1.10%	316	0.41%	529	0.70%	4,211	5.51%	76,384
Preble	6,211	30.71%	13,535	66.92%	230	1.14%	82	0.41%	167	0.83%	-7,324	-36.21%	20,225
Putnam	4,318	23.47%	13,721	74.57%	160	0.87%	71	0.39%	130	0.71%	-9,403	-51.10%	18,400
Richland	22,687	39.25%	33,867	58.59%	503	0.87%	245	0.42%	504	0.87%	-11,180	-19.34%	57,806
Ross	14,569	48.31%	15,008	49.76%	223	0.74%	105	0.35%	255	0.85%	-439	-1.45%	30,160
Sandusky	14,541	49.98%	13,755	47.28%	324	1.11%	162	0.56%	313	1.07%	786	2.70%	29,095
Scioto	15,077	48.23%	15,492	49.56%	211	0.67%	154	0.49%	328	1.04%	-415	-1.33%	31,262
Seneca	11,353	44.80%	13,243	52.26%	316	1.25%	136	0.54%	295	1.17%	-1,890	-7.46%	25,343
Shelby	6,343	26.54%	17,142	71.71%	178	0.74%	75	0.31%	165	0.69%	-10,799	-45.17%	23,903
Stark	89,432	49.21%	88,581	48.74%	1,588	0.87%	732	0.40%	1,413	0.78%	851	0.47%	181,746
Summit	153,041	57.03%	111,001	41.36%	2,059	0.77%	764	0.28%	1,493	0.56%	42,040	15.67%	268,358
Trumbull	61,672	60.48%	38,279	37.54%	739	0.72%	432	0.42%	841	0.83%	23,393	22.94%	101,963
Tuscarawas	18,407	44.15%	22,242	53.35%	435	1.04%	175	0.42%	434	1.03%	-3,835	-9.20%	41,693
Union	8,805	34.36%	16,289	63.57%	280	1.09%	83	0.32%	166	0.65%	-7,484	-29.21%	25,623
Van Wert	4,029	28.99%	9,585	68.97%	95	0.68%	65	0.47%	124	0.89%	-5,556	-39.98%	13,898
Vinton	2,436	44.37%	2,856	52.02%	62	1.13%	41	0.75%	95	1.72%	-420	-7.65%	5,490
Warren	32,909	29.60%	76,564	68.85%	1,011	0.91%	220	0.20%	493	0.44%	-43,655	-39.25%	111,197
Washington	11,651	39.36%	17,284	58.39%	235	0.79%	134	0.45%	298	1.01%	-5,633	-19.03%	29,602
Wayne	19,808	38.71%	30,251	59.12%	451	0.88%	184	0.36%	471	0.93%	-10,443	-20.41%	51,165
Williams	7,266	41.04%	10,047	56.74%	148	0.84%	95	0.54%	150	0.84%	-2,781	-15.70%	17,706
Wood	32,802	51.21%	29,704	46.37%	940	1.47%	279	0.44%	334	0.52%	3,098	4.84%	64,059
Wyandot	4,137	39.02%	6,180	58.29%	99	0.93%	68	0.64%	118	1.11%	-2,043	-19.27%	10,602
Totals	2,827,709	50.58%	2,661,437	47.60%	49,493	0.89%	18,573	0.33%	33,722	0.60%	166,272	2.98%	5,590,934

Counties that flipped from Democratic to Republican[]

Belmont (largest city: Martins Ferry)
Jefferson (largest city: Steubenville)
Lake (largest city: Mentor)
Monroe (largest city: Woodsfield)
Tuscarawas (largest city: New Philadelphia)

Analysis[]

President Obama won Ohio over Governor Mitt Romney. Ohio was too close to call for a decent portion of the night. At 11:12 P.M. EST, MSNBC called Ohio for Obama. All major news networks soon followed suit. Obama's victory in Ohio was enough to push him over the 270 electoral vote line allowing him to win the election. At first the Romney campaign contested the call, but conceded at about 1:00 A.M. Obama's victory in Ohio can be attributed to several factors. Obama only won 17 out of Ohio's 88 counties. However, those 17 counties combined account for 56.56% of the state's total population.^[16] Romney did do well in most rural areas of the state, particularly in western Ohio. Romney also won all but one county in the Appalachia region, becoming the first Republican since Richard Nixon’s 2,900-plus-county landslide in 1972 to carry Belmont, Jefferson and Monroe Counties, and losing only Athens County, home of Ohio University. He also managed to flip the swing counties of Lake and Tuscarawas. Romney also did well in the northern Columbus suburbs. For Romney, most of his wins came from smaller populated counties. Obama won by comfortable margins in Franklin, Hamilton, and Lucas counties, home to the cities of Columbus, Cincinnati, and Toledo, respectively. Obama's greatest support came from northeast Ohio, centered in Cuyahoga and Summit counties, home to the cities of Cleveland and Akron, respectively, the second and fourth largest cities in the state. The surrounding Cleveland–Akron–Canton metropolitan area and the Lake Erie shore went mostly to Obama, allowing him to carry the state as a whole. Obama won statewide by 2.98%.

References[]

^ "2012 ELECTIONS RESULTS". Ohio Secretary of State. Retrieved 25 June 2020.
^ "Ohio Decides 2012 – Candidates for President". Ohio Secretary of State.^{[permanent dead link]}
^ "Ohio - Election Results 2008 - The New York Times". www.nytimes.com. Retrieved 2020-09-27.
^ "Primary and Caucus Printable Calendar". CNN. Retrieved January 12, 2012.
^ Nate Silver (March 4, 2012). "Romney Could Win Majority of Super Tuesday Delegates". FiveThirtyEight. Retrieved March 5, 2012.
^ "Secretary of State results". Archived from the original on 2012-07-29. Retrieved 2012-09-21.
^ Exclusive Super Tuesday Numbers from Hamilton County, CNN, 2012-03-06, retrieved 2016-04-26
^ "Ohio delegates". ABC News. Retrieved March 2, 2012.
^ ^a ^b "Ohio Working Class May Offer Key to Obama's Re-election". The New York Times.
^ "How Obama Took The Battleground States". NPR.
^ Emily Maxwell (6 February 2013). "Poll worker accused of voter fraud in Hamilton County speaks out". WCPO. Archived from the original on 8 February 2013. Retrieved 8 February 2013.
"Possible Ohio voter fraud investigation heats up". San Francisco Chronicle. Associated Press. 6 February 2013. Retrieved 8 February 2013.
^ Eric Shawn (11 March 2013). "Cincinnati poll worker charged with voting half dozen times in November". Fox News. Retrieved 12 March 2013.
"Nun, Poll Worker, Widower Charged With Voter Fraud". WKRC. Sinclair Broadcast Group. 11 March 2013. Archived from the original on 21 October 2013. Retrieved 12 March 2013.
^ "2012 Elections Results - Ohio Secretary of State". www.ohiosos.gov. Retrieved 2020-09-27.
^ "Dave Leip's Atlas of U.S. Presidential Elections". Retrieved 2021-02-20.
^ ^a ^b "OH US President November 06, 2012". Our Campaigns.
^ Bureau, US Census. "County Population Totals: 2010-2019". The United States Census Bureau. Retrieved 2020-09-27.

External links[]

The Green Papers: for Ohio
The Green Papers: Major state elections in chronological order

[1] "2012 ELECTIONS RESULTS". Ohio Secretary of State. Retrieved 25 June 2020.

[SoS-2] "Ohio Decides 2012 – Candidates for President". Ohio Secretary of State.^{[permanent dead link]}

[3] "Ohio - Election Results 2008 - The New York Times". www.nytimes.com. Retrieved 2020-09-27.

[4] "Primary and Caucus Printable Calendar". CNN. Retrieved January 12, 2012.

[5] Nate Silver (March 4, 2012). "Romney Could Win Majority of Super Tuesday Delegates". FiveThirtyEight. Retrieved March 5, 2012.

[6] "Secretary of State results". Archived from the original on 2012-07-29. Retrieved 2012-09-21.

[7] Exclusive Super Tuesday Numbers from Hamilton County, CNN, 2012-03-06, retrieved 2016-04-26

[8] "Ohio delegates". ABC News. Retrieved March 2, 2012.

[nyt_OH-9] "Ohio Working Class May Offer Key to Obama's Re-election". The New York Times.

[10] "How Obama Took The Battleground States". NPR.

[11] Emily Maxwell (6 February 2013). "Poll worker accused of voter fraud in Hamilton County speaks out". WCPO. Archived from the original on 8 February 2013. Retrieved 8 February 2013.
"Possible Ohio voter fraud investigation heats up". San Francisco Chronicle. Associated Press. 6 February 2013. Retrieved 8 February 2013.

[12] Eric Shawn (11 March 2013). "Cincinnati poll worker charged with voting half dozen times in November". Fox News. Retrieved 12 March 2013.
"Nun, Poll Worker, Widower Charged With Voter Fraud". WKRC. Sinclair Broadcast Group. 11 March 2013. Archived from the original on 21 October 2013. Retrieved 12 March 2013.

[13] "2012 Elections Results - Ohio Secretary of State". www.ohiosos.gov. Retrieved 2020-09-27.

[14] "Dave Leip's Atlas of U.S. Presidential Elections". Retrieved 2021-02-20.

[Our-15] "OH US President November 06, 2012". Our Campaigns.

[16] Bureau, US Census. "County Population Totals: 2010-2019". The United States Census Bureau. Retrieved 2020-09-27.

[1]

[2]

[3]

[4]

[5]

[6]

[7]

[8]

[9]

[10]

[11]

[12]

[13]

[14]

[15]

[16]

v t (2011 ←) 2012 United States elections (→ 2013)
U.S. President	Alabama Alaska Arizona Arkansas California Colorado Connecticut Delaware District of Columbia Florida Georgia Hawaii Idaho Illinois Indiana Iowa Kansas Kentucky Louisiana Maine Maryland Massachusetts Michigan Minnesota Mississippi Missouri Montana Nebraska Nevada New Hampshire New Jersey New Mexico New York North Carolina North Dakota Ohio Oklahoma Oregon Pennsylvania Rhode Island South Carolina South Dakota Tennessee Texas Utah Vermont Virginia Washington West Virginia Wisconsin Wyoming Guam (straw poll)
U.S. Senate	Arizona California Connecticut Delaware Florida Hawaii Indiana Maine Maryland Massachusetts Michigan Minnesota Mississippi Missouri Montana Nebraska Nevada New Jersey New Mexico New York North Dakota Ohio Pennsylvania Rhode Island Tennessee Texas Utah Vermont Virginia Washington West Virginia Wisconsin Wyoming
U.S. House (Election ratings)	Alabama Alaska American Samoa Arizona 8th sp Arkansas California Colorado Connecticut Delaware District of Columbia Florida Georgia Guam Hawaii Idaho Illinois 2nd sp Indiana Iowa Kansas Kentucky 4th sp Louisiana Maine Maryland Massachusetts Michigan 11th 11th sp Minnesota Mississippi Missouri Montana Nebraska Nevada New Hampshire New Jersey 10th sp New Mexico New York North Carolina North Dakota Northern Mariana Islands Ohio Oklahoma Oregon 1st sp Pennsylvania Puerto Rico Rhode Island South Carolina South Dakota Tennessee Texas Utah Vermont Virginia U.S. Virgin Islands Washington 1st sp West Virginia Wisconsin Wyoming
Governors	American Samoa Delaware Lt. Gov Indiana Missouri Lt. Gov Montana New Hampshire North Carolina Lt. Gov North Dakota Puerto Rico Utah Vermont Washington West Virginia Wisconsin (recall)
Attorneys general	Missouri North Carolina Pennsylvania
State legislatures	California Assembly Senate Connecticut Senate Delaware House Florida House Hawaii House Senate Illinois House Senate Iowa Senate Michigan House Minnesota House Senate Montana House New York Senate North Carolina House Senate Oregon legislative Pennsylvania House Senate Texas House Senate Washington House Senate
Mayoral	Alexandria, VA Anchorage, AK Austin, TX Bakersfield, CA Baton Rouge, LA Corpus Christi, TX Fort Lauderdale, FL Fresno, CA Gilbert, AZ Glendale, AZ Honolulu, HI Irvine, CA Lubbock, TX Miami-Dade County, FL Milwaukee, WI Orlando, FL Portland, OR Riverside, CA Sacramento, CA San Diego, CA San Juan, PR Scottsdale, AZ Stockton, CA Virginia Beach, VA Wilmington, DE
States and territories	Alaska American Samoa California Delaware Hawaii Illinois Indiana Kansas Massachusetts Minnesota Missouri Nevada New York North Dakota Ohio Oklahoma Oregon Pennsylvania Puerto Rico South Carolina U.S. Virgin Islands Vermont Washington West Virginia