2020 California Democratic presidential primary
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494 Democratic National Convention delegates (415 pledged, 79 unpledged) The number of pledged delegates won is determined by the popular vote | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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![]() Election results by county
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Elections in California |
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The 2020 California Democratic presidential primary took place in California, United States, on March 3, 2020, as one of 14 contests scheduled on Super Tuesday in the Democratic Party primaries for the 2020 presidential election, following the South Carolina primary the weekend before. The California primary is a semi-closed primary, with the state awarding 494 delegates towards the 2020 Democratic National Convention, of which 415 are pledged delegates allocated on the basis of the results of the primary.
The Associated Press declared Bernie Sanders the winner of the primary, improving on his polling average by 3%.[1] The runner-up, Joe Biden, had a stronger-than-expected finish to match his Super Tuesday momentum.[2]
Procedure[]
California was one of 14 states that held its primaries on March 3, 2020, also known as "Super Tuesday",[3] having joined other states on the date after the signing of the Prime Time Primary Act by Governor Jerry Brown on September 27, 2017, in an effort to increase the influence of the delegate-rich state in the nomination process.[4]
Candidates may obtain ballot access in a number of ways. They must have.:
- "...qualified for funding under the Federal Election Campaign Act of 1974 (52 U.S.C. Sec. 30101, et seq.)
- appeared as a candidate in a national presidential debate hosted by a political party qualified to participate in a primary election, with at least two participating candidates, and publicly available for viewing by voters in more than one state during the current presidential election cycle. A “political party qualified to participate in a primary election” means any political party qualified in California, a major or minor-ballot qualified political party in another state, or a national committee of a political party recognized by the Federal Election Commission
- placed or qualified for placement on a presidential primary ballot or a caucus ballot of a major or minor ballot-qualified political party in at least one other state in the current presidential election cycle
- candidate or qualified to be a candidate in a caucus of a major or minor ballot-qualified political party in at least one other state in the current presidential election cycle
- has the following: current presidential campaign internet website or webpage hosted by the candidate or a qualified political party, and a written request submitted on the candidate's behalf by a party qualified to participate in the primary election to the Secretary of State requesting the candidate be placed on the presidential primary ballot."
If they do not have at least one of those qualifications, they may submit petitions of 500 signatures from each of the state's congressional districts obtained from November 4 to December 13, 2019.
The official list of qualified candidates was released on December 6, 2019. Unqualified candidates were required to submit their petitions by this date.
Military and overseas mail-in ballots were sent out on January 3, 2020, and domestic mail-in ballots were requested and sent out from February 3 to February 25. Early voting centers opened for business on February 22 and will continue until March 3.
Election day voting took place throughout the state from 7 a.m. until 8 p.m. In the semi-closed primary, candidates must meet a threshold of 15 percent at the congressional district or statewide level in order to be considered viable. The 415 pledged delegates to the 2020 Democratic National Convention will be allocated proportionally on the basis of the results of the primary. Of the 415 pledged delegates, between 4 and 7 are allocated to each of the state's 53 congressional districts, and another 54 are allocated to party leaders and elected officials (PLEO delegates), in addition to 90 at-large pledged delegates.[5]
Following the primary, district-level delegates to the national convention will be elected on April 19, 2020, in the post-primary caucus. Should presidential candidates be allocated more delegates based on the results of the primary than delegate candidates presented, then supplemental delegates will be elected at caucuses on May 9, 2020. The national convention delegation meeting will subsequently be held on May 17, 2020, to vote on the 54 pledged PLEO and 90 at-large delegates to send to the Democratic National Convention. The 415 pledged delegates California sends to the national convention will be joined by 79 un-pledged superdelegates (30 members of the Democratic National Committee; 48 members of Congress;[6] and the governor).[5]
Candidates[]
The following candidates appear in the Certified List of Statewide Candidates:[7]
Running
- Joe Biden
- Michael Bloomberg
- Mosie Boyd
- Michael A. Ellinger
- Roque "Rocky" De La Fuente III
- Tulsi Gabbard
- Mark Stewart Greenstein
- Bernie Sanders
- Elizabeth Warren
Withdrawn
- Michael Bennet
- Cory Booker
- Pete Buttigieg[a]
- Julian Castro
- John Delaney
- Amy Klobuchar[a]
- Deval Patrick
- Joe Sestak
- Tom Steyer[a]
- Marianne Williamson
- Andrew Yang
Polling[]
Polling aggregation | |||||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Source of poll aggregation | Date updated |
Dates polled |
Bernie Sanders |
Joe Biden |
Elizabeth Warren |
Michael Bloomberg |
Tulsi Gabbard |
Other/ Undecided[b] | |||
270 to Win | March 3, 2020 | February 20 – March 1, 2020 | 33.0% | 20.0% | 14.4% | 15.0% | 1.2% | 16.4% | |||
RealClear Politics | March 3, 2020 | February 28 – March 2, 2020 | 35.0% | 23.0% | 16.0% | 14.0% | 1.5% | 10.5%[c] | |||
FiveThirtyEight | March 3, 2020 | until March 2, 2020[d] | 31.2% | 21.7% | 14.9% | 14.7% | 0.7% | 16.8% | |||
Average | 33.1% | 21.6% | 15.1% | 14.6% | 1.1% | 14.5% | |||||
California primary results (March 3, 2020) | 36.0% | 27.9% | 13.2% | 12.1% | 0.6% | 10.2% |
Polling from January 1 to March 3, 2020 | |||||||||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[e] |
Margin of error |
Joe Biden |
Michael Bloomberg |
Pete Buttigieg |
Amy Klobuchar |
Bernie Sanders |
Tom Steyer |
Elizabeth Warren |
Andrew Yang |
Other | Undecided | ||
Klobuchar withdraws from the race. | |||||||||||||||
Swayable | March 1–2, 2020 | 3,388 (LV) | ± 2.0% | 20.8% | 19.3% | 8.4% | 3.3% | 28.7% | 4.0% | 9.6% | – | 6.0%[f] | – | ||
Data for Progress | February 28 – March 2, 2020 | 516 (LV) | ± 4.3% | 25% | 17% | 5% | 3% | 32% | – | 16% | – | 1%[g] | – | ||
AtlasIntel | February 24 – March 2, 2020 | 727 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 26% | 15% | 3% | 1% | 34% | – | 15% | – | 2%[h] | 4% | ||
Buttigieg withdraws from the race. | |||||||||||||||
Point Blank Political | February 29 – March 1, 2020 | 1,220 (LV) | ± 4.1% | 22% | 10% | 6% | 3% | 34% | 1% | 14% | – | 1%[i] | 9% | ||
Emerson College/Nexstar | February 29 – March 1, 2020 | 545 (LV) | ± 4.1% | 21% | 11% | 7% | 5% | 38% | 2% | 16% | – | 1%[j] | – | ||
South Carolina primary; Steyer withdraws from the race after close of polls. | |||||||||||||||
YouGov/CBS News | February 27–29, 2020 | 1,411 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 19% | 12% | 9% | 4% | 31% | 3% | 18% | – | 4%[k] | – | ||
Suffolk University | February 26–29, 2020 | 500 (LV) | ± 4.4% | 14% | 16% | 7% | 5% | 35% | 3% | 12% | – | 3%[l] | – | ||
YouGov/Hoover Institution/Stanford University |
February 26–28, 2020 | 1,020 (LV) | – | 19% | 13% | 9% | 6% | 28% | 4% | 18% | – | 3%[m] | – | ||
Point Blank Political | February 26–28, 2020 | 2,276 (LV) | ± 2.9% | 14% | 12% | 9% | 3% | 34% | 3% | 14% | – | 1%[n] | 10% | ||
40%[o] | – | – | – | 50% | – | – | – | – | 11% | ||||||
– | 32%[p] | – | – | 57% | – | – | – | – | 11% | ||||||
– | – | – | – | 46%[q] | – | 36% | – | – | 16% | ||||||
CNN/SSRS | February 22–26, 2020 | 488 (LV) | ± 5.2% | 13% | 12% | 7% | 6% | 35% | 3% | 14% | – | 3%[r] | 8% | ||
Tenth Democratic primary debate | |||||||||||||||
Point Blank Political | February 23–25, 2020 | 2,098 (LV) | ± 3.0% | 11% | 11% | 9% | 4% | 34% | 3% | 13% | – | 2%[s] | 13% | ||
Berkeley IGS/LA Times | Feb 20–25, 2020 | 3,002 (LV) | ± 2.0% | 8% | 12% | 11% | 6% | 34% | 2% | 17% | 1% | 2%[t] | 7% | ||
Nevada caucuses | |||||||||||||||
Change Research/KQED News | February 20–23, 2020 | 1,069 (LV) | ± 3.4% | 12% | 6% | 11% | 5% | 37% | 3% | 20% | 4%[u] | 3%[v] | – | ||
University of Massachusetts Lowell | February 12–20, 2020 | 450 (LV) | ± 6.7% | 13% | 12% | 12% | 7% | 24% | 2% | 16% | – | 7%[w] | 6% | ||
Monmouth University | February 16–19, 2020 | 408 (LV) | ± 4.9% | 17% | 13% | 9% | 4% | 24% | 5% | 10% | – | 3%[x] | 13% | ||
36%[y] | – | – | – | 44% | – | – | – | 15%[z] | 5% | ||||||
– | 31%[aa] | – | – | 48% | – | – | – | 14%[ab] | 6% | ||||||
– | – | 26%[ac] | – | 51% | – | – | – | 16%[ad] | 7% | ||||||
– | – | – | 24%[ae] | 54% | – | – | – | 16%[af] | 6% | ||||||
Public Policy Institute of California | February 7–17, 2020 | 573 (LV) | ± 5.7% | 14% | 12% | 12% | 5% | 32% | 3% | 13% | – | 2%[ag] | 8% | ||
SurveyUSA | February 13–16, 2020 | 520 (LV) | ± 4.8% | 15% | 21% | 12% | 6% | 25% | 3% | 9% | – | 1%[ah] | 9% | ||
YouGov/USC | February 1–15, 2020 | – | – | 21% | 8% | 6% | 3% | 29% | 2% | 20% | – | 2%[ai] | 9%[aj] | ||
New Hampshire primary; Yang withdraws from the race after close of polls. | |||||||||||||||
Capitol Weekly | February 6–9, 2020 | 843 (LV) | – | 8%[ak] | 8% | 15% | 7% | 25% | 4% | 19% | 5% | 6%[al] | 3%[am] | ||
11% | 13% | 14% | 5% | 29% | 3% | 16% | 4% | 5%[an] | 1%[ao] | ||||||
Iowa Caucuses | |||||||||||||||
Change Research/KQED News | January 25–27, 2020 | 1,967 (LV) | – | 15% | 4% | 8% | 3% | 30% | 2% | 16% | 5% | 4%[ap] | 13% | ||
Berkeley IGS/LA Times | January 15–21, 2020 | 2,895 (LV) | ± 2.5% | 15.0% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 4.9% | 26.3% | 1.8% | 19.6% | 3.9% | 3.6%[aq] | 11.7% | ||
SurveyUSA | January 14–16, 2020 | 565 (LV) | ± 5.1% | 30% | 6% | 8% | 2% | 20% | 4% | 20% | 4% | 2%[ar] | 4% | ||
Booker withdraws from the race. | |||||||||||||||
Public Policy Institute of California/Mercury News | January 3–12, 2020 | 530 (LV) | ± 6.5% | 24% | 1% | 6% | 4% | 27% | – | 23% | 3% | 5%[as] | 7% | ||
Tulchin Research/USC Rossier/The Hill | January 3–10, 2020 | 1,121 (LV) | – | 25% | 7% | 8% | 2% | 29% | 3% | 12% | 5% | 2%[at] | 6% | ||
Capitol Weekly | January 1–9, 2020 | 1,053 (LV) | – | 20% | 6% | 11% | 5% | 24% | 2% | 21% | 7% | 3%[au] | – |
Polling before 1 January 2020 | |||||||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[e] |
Margin of error |
Joe Biden |
Cory Booker |
Pete Buttigieg |
Kamala Harris |
Beto O'Rourke |
Bernie Sanders |
Elizabeth Warren |
Andrew Yang |
Other | Undecided |
Change Research/KQED News | December 6–10, 2019 | 862 (LV) | ± 3.3% | 19% | 3% | 12% | – | – | 26% | 23% | 4% | 13%[av] | – |
CNN/SSRS | December 4–8, 2019 | 508 (LV) | ± 5.2% | 21% | 3% | 9% | – | – | 20% | 17% | 6% | 12%[aw] | 11% |
Capitol Weekly | December 3–7, 2019 | 581 (LV) | –[ax] | 19% | 2% | 14% | – | – | 19% | 23% | 5% | 17%[ay] | 1% |
19% | 2% | 13% | 4% | – | 19% | 21% | 5% | 17%[az] | 0% | ||||
Harris withdraws from the race. | |||||||||||||
Berkeley IGS/LA Times | November 21–27, 2019 | 1,252 (LV) | – | 14% | 1% | 12% | 7% | – | 24% | 22% | 3% | 12%[ba] | 9% |
SurveyUSA | November 20–22, 2019 | 558 (LV) | ± 4.8% | 28% | 3% | 8% | 10% | – | 18% | 13% | 5% | 11%[bb] | 5% |
Capitol Weekly | November 1–12, 2019 | 695 (LV) | – | 18% | 1% | 14% | 6% | – | 21% | 27% | 4% | 8%[bc] | 1% |
Public Policy Institute of California |
November 3–12, 2019 | 682 (LV) | – | 24% | 1% | 7% | 8% | – | 17% | 23% | 5% | 6%[bd] | 9% |
O'Rourke withdraws from the race. | |||||||||||||
Change Research | October 15–18, 2019 | 1,631 (LV) | – | 19% | 1% | 9% | 8% | 1% | 24% | 28% | 3% | 6%[be] | – |
SurveyUSA | October 15–16, 2019 | 553 (LV) | ± 6.9% | 33% | 2% | 4% | 8% | 2% | 17% | 18% | 4% | 5%[bf] | 8% |
Capitol Weekly | October 1–14, 2019 | 590 (LV) | – | 21% | 2% | 6% | 8% | 0% | 15% | 35% | 3% | 9%[bg] | – |
Public Policy Institute of California |
September 16–25, 2019 | 692 (LV) | ± 4.9% | 22% | 2% | 6% | 8% | 1% | 21% | 23% | 3% | 7%[bh] | 9% |
Berkeley IGS/LA Times | September 13–18, 2019 | 2,272 | – | 20% | 1% | 6% | 8% | 3% | 19% | 29% | 2% | 5%[bi] | 8% |
Emerson College | September 13–16, 2019 | 424 | ± 4.7% | 26% | 1% | 4% | 6% | 5% | 26% | 20% | 7% | 4%[bj] | – |
SurveyUSA | September 13–15, 2019 | 547 | ± 4.8% | 27% | 2% | 3% | 13% | 2% | 18% | 16% | 7% | 4%[bk] | 7% |
Change Research/KQED | September 12–15, 2019 | 3,325 | ± 1.7% | 18% | 2% | 10% | 11% | 2% | 23% | 25% | 3% | 5%[bl] | – |
Capitol Weekly | September 1–13, 2019 | 599 | – | 18% | 1% | 7% | 11% | 2% | 21% | 29% | 4% | 5%[bm] | – |
Capitol Weekly | September 1–13, 2019 | 5,510 | – | 18% | 1% | 8% | 11% | 2% | 17% | 33% | 3% | 7%[bn] | – |
SurveyUSA | August 1–5, 2019 | 528 | ± 6.3% | 25% | 1% | 6% | 17% | 0% | 18% | 21% | 1% | 1%[bo] | 10% |
PPIC | July 14–23, 2019 | 766 | ± 4.4% | 11% | – | 5% | 19% | – | 12% | 15% | – | 14%[bp] | 25% |
YouGov/CBS News | July 9–18, 2019 | 1,514 | ± 2.9% | 24% | 1% | 6% | 23% | 1% | 16% | 19% | 1% | 9%[bq] | – |
Quinnipiac University | July 10–15, 2019 | 519 | ± 5.7% | 21% | 1% | 3% | 23% | 1% | 18% | 16% | 2% | 2%[br] | 10% |
Capitol Weekly | July 1–15, 2019 | 816 | – | 20% | 1% | 8% | 20% | 2% | 16% | 25% | 1% | 7%[bs] | – |
Change Research | July 9–11, 2019 | 1,609 | ± 2.5% | 17% | 1% | 8% | 23% | 2% | 20% | 22% | 2% | 5%[bt] | – |
Swalwell withdraws from the race. | |||||||||||||
Capitol Weekly[8] | June 1–30, 2019 | 813 | – | 23% | 2% | 8% | 14% | 2% | 19% | 23% | 2% | 9%[bu] | – |
UC Berkeley | June 4–10, 2019 | 2,131 | ± 3.0% | 22% | 1% | 10% | 13% | 3% | 17% | 18% | 1% | 3%[bv] | 11% |
Capitol Weekly[8] | May 1–31, 2019 | 1,180 | – | 29% | 2% | 9% | 17% | 4% | 22% | 11% | 0% | 6%[bw] | – |
Change Research | May 25–28, 2019 | 1,649 | ± 2.4% | 30% | 1% | 12% | 15% | 3% | 23% | 12% | 1% | 2%[bx] | – |
Capitol Weekly[8] | April 15–30, 2019 | 1,204 | – | 20% | 2% | 19% | 17% | 4% | 20% | 10% | – | 9%[by] | – |
Biden announces his candidacy. | |||||||||||||
Buttigieg announces his candidacy. | |||||||||||||
Change Research | April 6–9, 2019 | 2,003 | ± 2.2% | 21% | 3% | 9% | 19% | 10% | 22% | 8% | 1% | 7%[bz] | – |
– | 5% | 11% | 27% | 16% | 28% | 9% | 1% | 5%[ca] | – | ||||
Swalwell announces his candidacy. | |||||||||||||
Quinnipiac University | April 3–8, 2019 | 482 | ± 5.9% | 26% | 2% | 7% | 17% | 4% | 18% | 7% | 1% | 6%[cb] | 13% |
O'Rourke announces his candidacy. | |||||||||||||
Sanders announces his candidacy. | |||||||||||||
Change Research | February 9–11, 2019 | 948 | – | 26% | 3% | 1% | 26% | 8% | 20% | 7% | 0% | 7%[cc] | – |
– | 7% | 2% | 53% | – | – | 23% | 1% | 15%[cd] | – |
Results[]
![](http://upload.wikimedia.org/wikipedia/commons/thumb/9/98/2020_California_Democratic_presidential_primary_election_results_map_by_county_%28vote_share%29.svg/250px-2020_California_Democratic_presidential_primary_election_results_map_by_county_%28vote_share%29.svg.png)
- Biden—<30%
- Biden—30–40%
- Sanders—<30%
- Sanders—30–40%
- Sanders—40–50%
- Sanders—50–60%
![](http://upload.wikimedia.org/wikipedia/commons/thumb/f/f3/Signs%2C_Bernie_Sanders_Rally%2C_LA_Convention_Center%2C_Los_Angeles%2C_California%2C_USA_%2849609094436%29.jpg/220px-Signs%2C_Bernie_Sanders_Rally%2C_LA_Convention_Center%2C_Los_Angeles%2C_California%2C_USA_%2849609094436%29.jpg)
![](http://upload.wikimedia.org/wikipedia/commons/thumb/f/f1/Bernie_Sanders_-_Rally_at_San_Jose%2C_CA_-_5.jpg/220px-Bernie_Sanders_-_Rally_at_San_Jose%2C_CA_-_5.jpg)
![](http://upload.wikimedia.org/wikipedia/commons/thumb/a/a3/Biden_Bel_Air_Event--18_-_49628171937.jpg/220px-Biden_Bel_Air_Event--18_-_49628171937.jpg)
2020 California Democratic presidential primary[5][9] | |||
---|---|---|---|
Candidate | Votes | % | Delegates |
Bernie Sanders | 2,080,846 | 35.97 | 225 |
Joe Biden | 1,613,854 | 27.90 | 172 |
Elizabeth Warren | 762,555 | 13.18 | 11 |
Michael Bloomberg | 701,803 | 12.13 | 7 |
Pete Buttigieg (withdrawn)[a] | 249,256 | 4.31 | 0 |
Amy Klobuchar (withdrawn)[a] | 126,961 | 2.19 | 0 |
Tom Steyer (withdrawn)[a] | 113,092 | 1.96 | 0 |
Andrew Yang (withdrawn) | 43,571 | 0.75 | 0 |
Tulsi Gabbard | 33,769 | 0.58 | 0 |
Julian Castro (withdrawn) | 13,892 | 0.24 | 0 |
Michael Bennet (withdrawn) | 7,377 | 0.13 | 0 |
Marianne Williamson (withdrawn) | 7,052 | 0.12 | 0 |
Rocky De La Fuente | 6,151 | 0.11 | 0 |
Cory Booker (withdrawn) | 6,000 | 0.10 | 0 |
John Delaney (withdrawn) | 4,606 | 0.08 | 0 |
Michael Ellinger | 3,424 | 0.06 | 0 |
Joe Sestak (withdrawn) | 3,270 | 0.06 | 0 |
Mark Greenstein | 3,190 | 0.06 | 0 |
Deval Patrick (withdrawn) | 2,022 | 0.03 | 0 |
Mosie Boyd | 1,639 | 0.03 | 0 |
Robert Jordan (write-in) | 20 | 0.00 | 0 |
Daphne Bradford (write-in) | 8 | 0.00 | 0 |
Nakia Anthony (write-in) | 3 | 0.00 | 0 |
Willie Carter (write-in) | 3 | 0.00 | 0 |
Michael Dename (write-in) | 0 | 0.00 | 0 |
Jeffrey Drobman (write-in) | 0 | 0.00 | 0 |
Heather Stagg (write-in) | 0 | 0.00 | 0 |
Total votes | 5,784,364 | 100% | 415 |
District | Bernie Sanders | Joe Biden | Michael Bloomberg | Elizabeth Warren | Total delegates | District Region | Largest City | ||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1st | 34% | 2 | 23.7% | 2 | 10.3% | 0 | 12.9% | 0 | 4 | Shasta Cascade | Chico, Redding |
2nd | 33.3% | 3 | 25.3% | 2 | 13.5% | 0 | 15.9% | 1 | 6 | North Coast | Eureka |
3rd | 34.3% | 3 | 29.3% | 2 | 12% | 0 | 12% | 0 | 5 | Sacramento Valley | Fairfield |
4th | 26.1% | 2 | 29.6% | 3 | 14.7% | 0 | 11.4% | 0 | 5 | Sierras | Roseville |
5th | 32.7% | 3 | 27.2% | 3 | 14.9% | 0 | 12.6% | 0 | 6 | Wine Country | Santa Rosa |
6th | 35.8% | 3 | 28.1% | 2 | 10.7% | 0 | 14.3% | 0 | 5 | Sacramento Valley | Sacramento |
7th | 30.9% | 2 | 31.4% | 3 | 13% | 0 | 11.2% | 0 | 5 | Sacramento Valley | Elk Grove |
8th | 35.7% | 2 | 31.2% | 2 | 11.8% | 0 | 8.8% | 0 | 4 | Eastern Desert | Victorville |
9th | 32.9% | 2 | 32.5% | 2 | 15.9% | 1 | 7% | 0 | 5 | San Joaquin Valley | Stockton |
10th | 35.5% | 2 | 29.1% | 1 | 15.3% | 1 | 7.2% | 0 | 4 | San Joaquin Valley | Modesto |
11th | 29% | 2 | 30.7% | 3 | 15.3% | 1 | 14.7% | 0 | 6 | Bay Area | Concord |
12th | 33.8% | 3 | 23.9% | 2 | 11% | 0 | 23.4% | 2 | 7 | San Francisco Bay Area | SF |
13th | 38.7% | 3 | 22.4% | 2 | 8.1% | 0 | 24.7% | 2 | 7 | Bay Area | Oakland |
14th | 31.9% | 3 | 26.4% | 2 | 15.6% | 1 | 14.8% | 0 | 6 | Bay Area | Daly City |
15th | 34.1% | 3 | 29.5% | 3 | 14.4% | 0 | 11.5% | 0 | 6 | Bay Area | Hayward |
16th | 40.9% | 3 | 26.2% | 1 | 12.6% | 0 | 7.2% | 0 | 4 | San Joaquin Valley | Fresno, Merced |
17th | 36.1% | 3 | 25.9% | 2 | 14.3% | 0 | 12.5% | 0 | 5 | Bay Area | Fremont, Santa Clara |
18th | 26.6% | 2 | 29% | 2 | 15.4% | 1 | 17.1% | 1 | 6 | Bay Area | Sunnyvale |
19th | 38.9% | 4 | 25.9% | 2 | 13.6% | 0 | 10.7% | 0 | 6 | Bay Area | San Jose |
20th | 39.8% | 3 | 25.5% | 2 | 10.9% | 0 | 13% | 0 | 5 | Central Coast | Salinas |
21st | 43.2% | 3 | 25.3% | 1 | 13.7% | 0 | 5.1% | 0 | 4 | San Joaquin Valley | Kings, Kern, SW Fresno |
22nd | 34.4% | 2 | 29.1% | 2 | 13% | 0 | 8.8% | 0 | 4 | San Joaquin Valley | Visalia |
23rd | 34.9% | 2 | 30.2% | 2 | 12.2% | 0 | 9% | 0 | 4 | South Central California | Bakersfield |
24th | 35.3% | 3 | 26.8% | 2 | 10.5% | 0 | 14.7% | 0 | 5 | Central Coast | Santa Maria |
25th | 35.6% | 3 | 33.6% | 2 | 10% | 0 | 10% | 0 | 5 | LA County | Santa Clarita |
26th | 34.4% | 3 | 31.1% | 2 | 12.1% | 0 | 11.5% | 0 | 5 | Central Coast | Oxnard |
27th | 35.9% | 2 | 29.2% | 2 | 10.2% | 0 | 15.7% | 1 | 5 | LA County | San Gabriel Valley |
28th | 40% | 3 | 22.7% | 2 | 7.5% | 0 | 21.7% | 1 | 6 | LA County | Glendale |
29th | 49.8% | 3 | 21.5% | 2 | 7.7% | 0 | 11.2% | 0 | 5 | LA County | San Fernando Valley |
30th | 32.6% | 3 | 31.2% | 2 | 11.2% | 0 | 15.4% | 1 | 6 | LA County | San Fernando Valley |
31st | 39.1% | 3 | 32.3% | 2 | 11% | 0 | 8.3% | 0 | 5 | Southern California | San Bernardino |
32nd | 44.7% | 3 | 28.2% | 2 | 10.5% | 0 | 7.5% | 0 | 5 | LA County | El Monte |
33rd | 26.2% | 2 | 34.2% | 3 | 14.3% | 0 | 16.1% | 1 | 6 | LA County | Santa Monica, Coastal LA |
34th | 53.7% | 4 | 16.8% | 1 | 8.1% | 0 | 14.7% | 0 | 5 | LA County | Downtown Los Angeles |
35th | 46.6% | 2 | 28.2% | 2 | 10.9% | 0 | 6.2% | 0 | 4 | Southern California | Fontana |
36th | 27.5% | 1 | 29.8% | 2 | 15.4% | 1 | 8.1% | 0 | 4 | Eastern Desert | Indio |
37th | 35.6% | 3 | 31.3% | 2 | 10.1% | 0 | 16.2% | 1 | 6 | LA County | West LA |
38th | 41.7% | 3 | 30.8% | 2 | 10.5% | 0 | 7.6% | 0 | 5 | LA County | Norwalk |
39th | 36.7% | 3 | 30.5% | 2 | 12.6% | 0 | 9.6% | 0 | 5 | Southern California | Fullerton |
40th | 56.4% | 4 | 20.9% | 1 | 8.9% | 0 | 5.4% | 0 | 5 | LA County | East Los Angeles |
41st | 45% | 3 | 27.9% | 2 | 10.7% | 0 | 7.5% | 0 | 5 | Southern California | Riverside |
42nd | 37% | 3 | 31.6% | 2 | 12.4% | 0 | 7.9% | 0 | 5 | Southern California | Corona |
43rd | 36.5% | 3 | 34.3% | 2 | 10% | 0 | 10.3% | 0 | 5 | LA County | Inglewood |
44th | 44% | 3 | 29.6% | 2 | 6.2% | 0 | 9.6% | 0 | 5 | Los Angeles County | Compton |
45th | 34% | 3 | 29.1% | 2 | 13.5% | 0 | 12% | 0 | 5 | Southern California | Irvine |
46th | 53.7% | 2 | 20% | 2 | 10.5% | 0 | 7.7% | 0 | 4 | Southern California | Anaheim |
47th | 38.5% | 3 | 27.3% | 2 | 10.6% | 0 | 12.2% | 0 | 5 | Southern California | Long Beach |
48th | 30.4% | 2 | 30.3% | 2 | 16.3% | 1 | 11% | 0 | 5 | Southern California | Huntington Beach |
49th | 30.6% | 3 | 30.5% | 2 | 14.6% | 0 | 12.2% | 0 | 5 | Southern California | Oceanside |
50th | 34.9% | 2 | 27.6% | 2 | 13% | 0 | 11.3% | 0 | 4 | Southern California | Escondido |
51st | 49.2% | 3 | 23.7% | 2 | 11.3% | 0 | 6.8% | 0 | 5 | Southern California | Downtown San Diego and Border Communities |
52nd | 30.6% | 3 | 30% | 3 | 13.4% | 0 | 14.6% | 0 | 6 | Southern California | North San Diego |
53rd | 37.8% | 3 | 27.3% | 3 | 10.1% | 0 | 14.5% | 0 | 6 | Southern California | Eastern San Diego and suburbs |
Total | 36.0% | 144 | 27.9% | 109 | 12.1% | 7 | 13.2% | 11 | 271 |
Delegate type | Bernie Sanders | Joe Biden | Michael Bloomberg | Elizabeth Warren |
---|---|---|---|---|
At-large | 51 | 39 | 0 | 0 |
PLEO | 30 | 24 | 0 | 0 |
District-level | 144 | 109 | 7 | 11 |
Total | 225 | 172 | 7 | 11 |
Notes[]
- ^ a b c d e f Candidate withdrew after early voting started, but before the date of the election.
- ^ Calculated by taking the difference of 100% and all other candidates combined
- ^ includes Buttigieg with 6.0%; Klobuchar with 4.0%; Steyer not averaged
- ^ FiveThirtyEight aggregates polls with a trendline regression of polls rather than a strict average of recent polls.
- ^ a b Key:
A – all adults
RV – registered voters
LV – likely voters
V – unclear - ^ Gabbard with 0.1%; "Other" with 5.9%
- ^ Gabbard with 1%
- ^ Gabbard with 1%; "Other" with 1%
- ^ Gabbard with 1%
- ^ Gabbard with 1%
- ^ Gabbard with 1%; "Someone else" with 3%
- ^ Gabbard with 3%
- ^ Gabbard with 3%
- ^ Gabbard with 1%
- ^ If only the two candidates for which percentages are listed could be voted for
- ^ If only the two candidates for which percentages are listed could be voted for
- ^ If only the two candidates for which percentages are listed could be voted for
- ^ Gabbard with 1%; "Someone else" with 0%; "None/No one" with 2%
- ^ Gabbard with 2%
- ^ Gabbard with 1%; "Others" with 1%
- ^ Included in poll despite being withdrawn because he is still on the ballot.
- ^ Gabbard with 2%; Castro with 1%; Bennet, Williamson, Patrick, Sestak, Delaney, Greenstein, Ellinger, Boyd, and De La Fuente with 0%
- ^ Gabbard with 4%; "Another candidate" with 3%
- ^ Gabbard with 2%; "Other" with 1%
- ^ If only the two candidates for which percentages are listed could be voted for
- ^ "Already voted" with 10%; "neither" with 5%
- ^ If only the two candidates for which percentages are listed could be voted for
- ^ "Already voted" with 10%; "neither" with 4%
- ^ If only the two candidates for which percentages are listed could be voted for
- ^ "Already voted" with 10%; "neither" with 6%
- ^ If only the two candidates for which percentages are listed could be voted for
- ^ "Already voted" with 10%; "neither" with 6%
- ^ Tulsi Gabbard 1%; someone else 1%
- ^ "Some other Democrat" with 1%
- ^ Gabbard with 2%
- ^ "someone else/skipped"
- ^ Answers listed in this row are for the question, "If electability wasn't a concern, who would you support?"
- ^ Gabbard with 3%; Booker with 2%; Williamson with 1%; Patrick with 0%
- ^ Listed as "no response"
- ^ Gabbard with 3%; Booker, Patrick and Williamson with 1%; Delaney with 0%
- ^ Listed as "no response"
- ^ Gabbard with 4%; Bennet, Delaney and Patrick with <1%
- ^ Gabbard with 1.4%; Bennet with 0.9%; Booker with 0.8%; "All others" with 0.5%
- ^ Gabbard with 2%; others with 0%
- ^ someone else (included Bloomberg) 6%
- ^ Booker and "someone else" with 1%
- ^ Gabbard with 2%; Booker with 1%; Delaney, Patrick and Williamson with 0%; no response with 0%
- ^ Bloomberg, Castro and Gabbard with 3%; Steyer with 2%; Klobuchar and Williamson with 1%; Bennet, Delaney and Patrick with 0%
- ^ Bloomberg with 5%; Gabbard and Klobuchar with 2%; Castro and Steyer with 1%; Bennet, Delaney, Patrick, and Williamson with 0%; "None/No one" with 1%
- ^ The top row presents results which exclude Kamala Harris as an option.
- ^ Bloomberg with 5%; Gabbard and Klobuchar with 4%; Castro with 2%; Steyer and Williamson with 1%; Delaney and Patrick with 0%
- ^ Bloomberg with 5%; Gabbard and Klobuchar with 4%; Castro, Steyer and Williamson with 1%; Delaney with 0%; Patrick with no voters
- ^ Klobuchar with 3%; Bloomberg with 2%; Bennet, Castro, Gabbard, Steyer with 1%, Bullock, Delaney, Patrick, Sestak and Williamson with 0%
- ^ Bloomberg and Steyer with 3%; Gabbard with 2%; Castro and Klobuchar with 1%; Patrick with 0%; others with 1%
- ^ Gabbard and Klobuchar with 3%; Steyer and Williamson with 1%; Castro and Delaney with 0%
- ^ Klobuchar and Steyer with 1%; other with 4%
- ^ Gabbard and Klobuchar with 2%; Steyer and Williamson with 1%; Bennet, Bullock, Castro, Delaney, Messam, Ryan, and Sestak with 0%
- ^ Castro, Gabbard, Klobuchar, Steyer, and some other Democrat with 1%
- ^ Castro and Gabbard with 2%; Klobuchar, Steyer and Williamson with 1%; de Blasio and Ryan with 0%; no response with 2%
- ^ Castro with 2%; Klobuchar and Steyer with 1%; someone else with 3%
- ^ Klobuchar with 2%; Bennet, Castro and Gabbard with 1%; Bullock, de Blasio, Delaney, Messam, Ryan, Sestak, Steyer and Williamson with 0%;
- ^ Gabbard with 2%; Castro and Steyer with 1%; Bennet, de Blasio, Bullock, Delaney, Klobuchar, Messam, Ryan, Sestak and Williamson with 0%; someone else with 1%
- ^ Castro with 2%; Klobuchar with 1%; someone else with 1%
- ^ Gabbard with 2%; Castro, Klobuchar and Williamson with 1%; Bennet, de Blasio, Bullock, Delaney, Messam, Ryan, Sestak and Steyer with 0%
- ^ Gabbard with 2%; Castro, Klobuchar and Williamson with 1%; Steyer with 0%
- ^ Gabbard with 3%; Castro, Klobuchar, Steyer and Williamson with 1%; Bennet, Bullock, de Blasio, Delaney and Ryan with 0%
- ^ Gabbard with 1%
- ^ "Anyone" with 2%; "None of them" with 5%; "Others" with 7%
- ^ Bennet, Castro, Gabbard, Gravel, Klobuchar, Steyer, Williamson with 1%; Bullock, de Blasio, Delaney, Gillibrand, Hickenlooper, Inslee, Messam, Moulton, Ryan, and Sestak with 0%
- ^ Castro and Inslee with 1%; Bennet, Bullock, de Blasio, Delaney, Gabbard, Gillibrand, Gravel, Hickenlooper, Klobuchar, Messam, Moulton, Ryan, Sestak, Steyer, and Williamson with <1%, others with <1%
- ^ Castro, Gabbard, Gillibrand, Inslee, Klobuchar, & Williamson with 1%; Bennet, Bullock, de Blasio, Delaney, Hickenlooper, Ryan, Swalwell & Steyer with 0%
- ^ Gabbard with 2%; Castro, Klobuchar & Inslee with 1%; Bennet, de Blasio, Delaney, Gillibrand, Gravel, Hickenlooper, Messam, Ryan, Sestak, Steyer & Williamson with 0%
- ^ Gabbard & Hickenlooper with 2%; Bennet, Gillibrand & Klobuchar with 1%; Bullock, Castro, de Blasio, Delaney, Inslee, Moulton, Ryan & Williamson with 0%
- ^ Castro and Klobuchar with 1%; Bullock, Delaney, Gillibrand, Hickenlooper, Inslee, Ryan, Swalwell, and Williamson with 0%
- ^ Castro, Gillibrand, Hickenlooper, Klobuchar, Ryan & Swalwell with 1%; Bullock, de Blasio, Gabbard, Inslee & Williamson with 0%
- ^ Castro and Gabbard with 1%; Abrams, Bennet, Gillibrand, Gravel, Hickenlooper, Klobuchar, Inslee, Moulton, Ryan, Swalwell, and Williamson with 0%
- ^ Klobuchar with 3%; Inslee with 2%; Gillibrand, Hickenlooper, Ryan & Swalwell with 1%; Castro with 0%
- ^ Castro with 2%; Abrams, Gabbard, Inslee, Klobuchar, and Swalwell with 1%; Bennet, Delaney, Gillibrand, Hickenlooper, Messam, Ryan, and Williamson with 0%
- ^ Castro with 2%; Gabbard, Klobuchar, and Ryan with 1%; Delaney, Gillibrand, Hickenlooper, Inslee, Messam, and Williamson with 0%
- ^ Castro and Klobuchar with 2%; Gabbard and Inslee with 1%; Delaney, Gillibrand, Hickenlooper, Messam, and Williamson with <1%; others with <1%
- ^ Castro with 2%; Brown, Gabbard, Gillibrand, Holder, and Klobuchar with 1%; Bloomberg, Bullock, Cuomo, Delaney, Hickenlooper, Inslee, Swalwell, and Williamson with 0%
- ^ Castro with 6%; Gabbard with 4%; Delaney and Gillibrand with 2%; Williamson with 1%
References[]
- ^ "Exit and entrance polls from the 2020 primaries and caucuses". www.cnn.com. Retrieved 2020-03-10.
- ^ Martin, Jonathan; Burns, Alexander (2020-03-03). "Biden Revives Campaign, Winning Nine States, but Sanders Takes California". The New York Times. ISSN 0362-4331. Retrieved 2020-07-08.
- ^ Putnam, Josh. "The 2020 Presidential Primary Calendar". Frontloading HQ. Retrieved June 22, 2019.
- ^ Johnson, Alex (September 27, 2017). "California Primaries Move to Super Tuesday to Stop Being Irrelevant". NBC News. Retrieved June 22, 2019.
- ^ a b c d "2020 Presidential Primaries, Caucuses, and Conventions: California Democrat". The Green Papers. Retrieved July 12, 2020.
- ^ These include former presidential candidates Kamala Harris and Eric Swalwell.
- ^ "Certified List of Statewide Candidates" (PDF). CA Secretary of State. March 4, 2020.
- ^ a b c Aaron Bycoffe, Ritchie King and Dhrumil Mehta (28 June 2018). "California Polls". FiveThirtyEight. Retrieved 2019-09-01.
- ^ "Statement of Vote: Presidential Primary Election, March 3, 2020" (PDF). Secretary of State of California. May 1, 2020. Retrieved July 12, 2020.
- ^ a b https://www.sos.ca.gov/elections/prior-elections/statewide-election-results/presidential-primary-election-march-3-2020/statement-vote
- ^ https://cadem.org/wp-content/uploads/2020/06/Delegate-and-Alternate-Allocation-per-CD-4.28-.pdf
External links[]
- 2020 United States Democratic presidential primaries by state
- 2020 California elections
- California Democratic primaries