2024 Lithuanian parliamentary election
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All 141 seats in the Seimas 71 seats needed for a majority | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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The next parliamentary election in Lithuania will be held on or before 6 October 2024, with a second round two weeks thereafter.
Electoral system[]
The Seimas has 141 members, elected to a four-year term in parallel voting, with 71 members elected in single-seat constituencies and 70 members elected by proportional representation.[1] The voting in the elections is open to all citizens of Lithuania who are at least 18 years old.
Parliament members in the 71 single-seat constituencies are elected in a majority vote, with a run-off held within 15 days, if necessary. The remaining 70 seats are allocated to the participating political parties using the largest remainder method. Parties normally need to receive at least 5% (7% for multi-party electoral lists) of the votes to be eligible for a seat. Candidates take the seats allocated to their parties based on the preference lists submitted before the election and adjusted by preference votes given by the voters.[1]
To be eligible for election, candidates must be at least 25 years old on the election day, not under allegiance to a foreign state and permanently reside in Lithuania. Persons serving or due to serve a sentence imposed by the court 65 days before the election are not eligible. Also, judges, citizens performing military service, and servicemen of professional military service and officials of statutory institutions and establishments may not stand for election.[1] In addition, a person who has been removed from office through impeachment may not be elected.[2]
Opinion polls[]
Parliamentary election poll results are listed in the table below in reverse chronological order. The highest percentage figure in each poll is displayed in bold, and its background is shaded in the leading party's colour. The "Lead" column shows the percentage point difference between the two parties with the highest figures.
Polling Firm | Fieldwork Dates | Sample Size | TS-LKD | LVŽS | DP | LSDP | LP | LRLS | LLRA | LRP | LCP | LT | Lead | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Spinter tyrimai | 13-25 December 2021 | 1,012 | 17.0 | 10.6 | 6.6 | 17.2 | 7.4 | 11.3 | - | - | - | 5.7 | 11.3 | 0.2 |
Vilmorus | 10-18 December 2021 | 1,000 | 17.5 | 13.7 | 9.9 | 32.0 | 3.8 | 10.9 | 1.2 | 5.5 | - | - | - | 14.5 |
Baltijos tyrimai | 16 November – 2 December 2021 | 1,009 | 15.5 | 15.0 | 7.8 | 25.7 | 4.1 | 11.2 | 3.3 | 2.6 | 2.6 | 10.1 | - | 10.2 |
Spinter tyrimai | 11-28 November 2021 | 1,015 | 16.5 | 13.4 | 9.0 | 19.4 | 8.0 | 9.0 | - | 3.0 | - | 5.0 | - | 2.9 |
Vilmorus | 18-27 November 2021 | 1,000 | 19.3 | 17.6 | 8.7 | 27.3 | 4.7 | 9.4 | 3.2 | 4.5 | - | - | - | 8.0 |
Baltijos tyrimai | 17 October – 5 November 2021 | 1,004 | 14.1 | 14.1 | 10.3 | 26.7 | 3.1 | 10.9 | 4.3 | 2.0 | 2.3 | 10.4 | - | 12.7 |
Spinter tyrimai | 18–28 October 2021 | 1,015 | 17.4 | 13.2 | 9.8 | 19.5 | 7.4 | 11.4 | - | - | – | 4.4 | - | 2.1 |
Vilmorus | 15–22 October 2021 | 1,000 | 16.7 | 16.1 | 9.8 | 28.9 | 4.6 | 10.8 | 2.2 | 5.2 | – | – | - | 12.2 |
Baltijos tyrimai | 17 September – 3 October 2021 | 1,004 | 15.5 | 15.1 | 7.8 | 25.7 | 4.1 | 11.2 | 3.4 | 2.7 | 2.7 | 10.2 | - | 10.2 |
Spinter tyrimai | 17–26 September 2021 | 1,009 | 18.6 | 13.8 | 9.4 | 21.2 | 8.0 | 10.1 | – | 3.0 | – | – | - | 2.6 |
Vilmorus | 9–16 September 2021 | 1,003 | 21.6 | 17.4 | 9.4 | 29.6 | 3.0 | 10.1 | 2.0 | 2.5 | – | – | - | 8.0 |
Spinter tyrimai | 24–31 August 2021 | 1,014 | 18.9 | 17.3 | 9.5 | 18.6 | 8.3 | 10.9 | – | 4.5 | – | – | - | 0.3 |
Baltijos tyrimai | 20–31 August 2021 | 1,006 | 15.7 | 17.3 | 7.4 | 25.9 | 5.0 | 9.1 | 5.5 | 2.5 | – | 8.6 | - | 8.6 |
Vilmorus | 29 July – 5 August 2021 | 1,000 | 19.5 | 23.2 | 8.7 | 23.6 | 4.4 | 8.1 | 2.6 | 4.0 | – | – | - | 0.4 |
Spinter tyrimai | 17–28 June 2021 | 1,003 | 20.8 | 22.8 | 6.3 | 15.3 | 8.5 | 10.9 | 2.7 | - | – | – | - | 2.0 |
Vilmorus | 9–18 June 2021 | N/A | 20.2 | 25.9 | 8.9 | 22.8 | 5.0 | 10.3 | 1.4 | 3.4 | – | – | - | 5.7 |
Baltijos tyrimai | 20 May – 2 June 2021 | 1,018 | 17.3 | 22.0 | 11.9 | 20.0 | 5.4 | 12.9 | 4.9 | – | – | 5.1 | - | 2.0 |
Spinter tyrimai | 18–28 May 2021 | 1,011 | 23.0 | 22.0 | 7.6 | 10.9 | 8.6 | 12.6 | 2.7 | – | – | – | - | 1.0 |
Vilmorus | 11–21 May 2021 | 1,004 | 24.5 | 26.8 | 7.3 | 16.9 | 5.8 | 10.2 | 2.1 | 5.1 | – | – | - | 2.3 |
Spinter tyrimai | 19–28 April 2021 | 1,006 | 23.7 | 23.1 | 7.4 | 8.2 | 9.0 | 12.5 | 3.6 | – | – | – | - | 0.6 |
Vilmorus | 8–17 April 2021 | 1,001 | 29.2 | 26.5 | 6.7 | 11.7 | 6.9 | 9.1 | 1.0 | 7.0 | – | – | - | 2.7 |
Spinter tyrimai | 17–23 March 2021 | 1,011 | 23.5 | 21.1 | 7.4 | 8.6 | 9.8 | 12.8 | 3.9 | – | – | 3.0 | - | 2.4 |
Spinter tyrimai | 17–26 February 2021 | 1,014 | 25.6 | 18.3 | 5.8 | 6.5 | 11.8 | 12.9 | 4.5 | – | – | 4.3 | - | 7.3 |
Spinter tyrimai | 18–27 January 2021 | 1,013 | 27.2 | 16.1 | 6 | 8.5 | 11.8 | 12.6 | 4.2 | – | – | 2.4 | - | 11.1 |
Spinter tyrimai | 10–20 December 2020 | 1,007 | 23.3 | 19.7 | 8.1 | 7.8 | 11.7 | 12.1 | 4.6 | – | – | – | - | 3.6 |
Baltijos tyrimai | 6–30 November 2020 | 1,004 | 22.7 | 19.0 | 10.5 | 9.4 | 11.3 | 12.9 | 4.7 | 1.9 | 2.5 | 4.2 | - | 3.7 |
2020 parliamentary election | 1,174,843 | 25.77 | 18.07 | 9.77 | 9.59 | 9.45 | 7.05 | 4.97 | 3.28 | 2.36 | 2.06 | - | 7.7 |
- Scenarios
Polling Firm | Fieldwork Dates | Sample Size | TS-LKD | LVŽS | DP | LSDP | LP | LRLS | LLRA | LCP | NS | LT | LŽP | Lead | ||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Open Agency/Norstat | 10-18 December 2021 | 1,002 | 24.6 | 8.9 | 7.5 | 17.8 | 4.6 | 9.8 | 2.4 | 0.9 | 1.7 | 4.9 | 0.9 | 10.5 | 2.9 | 1.3 | 1.3 | 6.8 |
References[]
- ^ a b c "Law on Elections to the Seimas". Seimas of the Republic of Lithuania. 14 May 2015. Retrieved 31 July 2015.
- ^ "Konstitucinis Teismas R. Paksui vilties nesuteikė" [The constitutional court did not give R. Paksas hope]. Delfi.lt (in Lithuanian). 20 March 2014. Retrieved 31 July 2015.
- 2024 elections in Europe
- Parliamentary elections in Lithuania
- Opinion polling for future elections