David Shor

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David Shor
Born1991 (age 29–30)
NationalityAmerican
Alma materFlorida International University
Occupation
  • Data scientist
  • political consultant
Employer
Political partyDemocratic Party
Websitedavidshor.io Edit this at Wikidata

David Shor (born 1991)[1] is an American data scientist and political consultant known for analyzing political polls.[2] He serves as head of data science with Blue Rose Research[1] in New York City.[3] He is a senior fellow with the Center for American Progress Action Fund.[4] Previously, he worked as a senior data scientist with Civis Analytics in Chicago.[5] Shor spent seven years at Civis,[6] where he operated the company's web-based survey.[7] Shor advised a number of liberal political action committees during the 2020 United States elections.[8]

Shor grew up in Miami, Florida, in a Sephardic Jewish family.[9] He holds a mathematics degree from Florida International University.[10] Shor was a precocious child and gifted in mathematics, starting his undergraduate degree at the age of 13 and finishing at the age of 17.[5] Shor was awarded the Math in Moscow scholarship in fall 2009.[11]

Shor joined the Barack Obama 2012 presidential campaign, working on the Chicago-based team that tracked internal and external polls and developed forecasts.[12] Shor was 20 when he started working on Barack Obama's campaign.[13] The team Shor worked with developed a polling model that projected Obama's vote share within one percentage point in eight of the nine battleground states.[14] This forecasting model was known as "The Golden Report".[15] Prior to joining the Obama campaign, Shor worked with Nate Silver.[16]

In 2020, Shor was fired by Civis Analytics after tweeting a summary of an academic study about protests in the American Political Science Review by Omar Wasow, a black political scientist at Princeton University.[17][18] Since 2020, his work at Blue Rose Research aims to develop a data-based model to predict the outcome of future elections on the basis of simulations, designed in particular to advise the Democratic Party in campaign strategies. Some political analysts, including Michael Podhorzer, have criticized his work for a lack of transparency regarding his methods and data sources.[19]

Shor is an advocate for what he terms "popularism",[20] the idea that Democrats should focus on and campaign on a strategy of focusing on issues that enjoy electoral popularity, such as focusing on economic issues over racial issues.[21]

References[]

  1. ^ a b "David Shor". Twitter. Retrieved October 12, 2021.
  2. ^ Levitz, Eric (March 3, 2021). "David Shor on Why Trump Was Good for the GOP – and How Dems Can Win in 2022". Intelligencer. Retrieved March 4, 2021.
  3. ^ "David Shor's Postmortem of the 2020 Election". www.msn.com. Retrieved March 4, 2021.
  4. ^ "David Shor". Center for American Progress Action. Retrieved March 3, 2021.
  5. ^ a b Graff, Garrett M. (June 6, 2016). "The Polls Are All Wrong. A Startup Called Civis Is Our Best Hope to Fix Them". Wired. ISSN 1059-1028. Retrieved March 4, 2021.
  6. ^ "MIDAS & Dept. Political Science Co-Present: David Shor – Democratic Political Data Scientist". MIDAS. Retrieved March 4, 2021.
  7. ^ Matthews, Dylan (November 10, 2020). "One Pollster's Explanation for Why the Polls Got It Wrong". Vox. Retrieved March 4, 2021.
  8. ^ Garrison, Joey; Morin, Rebecca (November 24, 2020). "'Almost Impossible': As Education Divide Deepens, Democrats Fear a Demographic Problem for Future Power". USA Today. Retrieved March 4, 2021.
  9. ^ Shor, David [@davidshor] (March 7, 2016). "My sephardic Morrocan relatives don't believe me when tell them that American Jews have historically been left-wing" (Tweet). Retrieved August 13, 2021 – via Twitter.
  10. ^ "See why @davidshor of @CivisAnalytics is one of @crainschicago #Crain20s". Crain's Chicago Business. Retrieved March 3, 2021.
  11. ^ "Our Alumni List – Math in Moscow". mathinmoscow.org. Retrieved March 4, 2021.
  12. ^ "See why @davidshor of @CivisAnalytics is one of @crainschicago #Crain20s". Crain's Chicago Business. Retrieved March 3, 2021.
  13. ^ "One Needle to Predict Them All". Slate Magazine. January 6, 2021. Retrieved March 4, 2021.
  14. ^ "Data Science Seminar Series (DS3)". pages.stat.wisc.edu. Retrieved March 3, 2021.
  15. ^ Newton, Ben (October 27, 2018). "An Interview with David Shor – A Master of Political Data". Medium. Retrieved March 4, 2021.
  16. ^ "Data for Democrats: A Talk by Obama's Data Whiz David Shor". Democrats Abroad. Retrieved March 4, 2021.
  17. ^ Yglesias, Matthew (July 29, 2020). "The real stakes in the David Shor saga". Vox. Retrieved November 8, 2021.
  18. ^ Chait, Jonathan (June 23, 2020). "An Elite Progressive LISTSERV Melts Down Over a Bogus Racism Charge". Intelligencer. Retrieved November 8, 2021.
  19. ^ Klein, Ezra (October 8, 2021). "David Shor Is Telling Democrats What They Don't Want to Hear". The New York Times. Retrieved October 12, 2021.
  20. ^ Brownstein, Ronald (December 9, 2021). "Democrats Are Losing the Culture Wars". The Atlantic. Retrieved December 10, 2021.
  21. ^ Klein, Ezra (October 8, 2021). "David Shor Is Telling Democrats What They Don't Want to Hear". The New York Times.

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