Next Montenegrin parliamentary election

Next Montenegrin legislative election

← 2020 No later than August 2024
All 81 seats in the Parliament 41 seats needed for a majority
Party Leader Current seats DPS−LP Milo Đukanović 30 DF Collective leadership 16 MjNN Aleksa Bečić 10 SNP Vladimir Joković 5 PzP Nebojša Medojević 5 CnB Dritan Abazović 4 SD Ivan Brajović 3 BS Ervin Ibrahimović 3 SDP−PD Raško Konjević 3 PCG Marko Milačić 1 FORCA Nazif Cungu 1
Incumbent Prime Minister Zdravko Krivokapić Independent (NDCG)

Parliamentary elections are due to be held in Montenegro no later than August 2024, although they may be held earlier if a snap election is called.

Background[]

Following the results of 2020 election, which resulted in a victory for the opposition and the fall from power of the ruling DPS, after ruling country for 30 years, three opposition subjects, ZBCG, MNN and the URA, agreed to form an expert government led by university professor Zdravko Krivokapić. According to the final agreement of the parties, the new government will be limited to one year, with the main goals; the fight against corruption and the depoliticization of public institutions after 30 years of DPS rule, as well as the reform of electoral laws, due to the preparation of an atmosphere for holding a new, "first fairly organized" elections.^[1][2][3]

Right-wing populist DF, announced limited support for the Krivokapić Cabinet, hoping for new parliamentary elections in late 2021. While the opposition nationalist DPS of President Đukanović announced future activities within the so-called "Montenegrin statehood bloc", together with its long-standing minor coalition partners; the SD and the LP, as well with some newly formed Montenegrin nationalist parties and initiatives, such as the Patriotic Komitas Union, with which they formalized cooperation in January 2021, invoking its role in restoring Montenegrin statehood in 2006, as well accusing the new government of allegedly "threatening Montenegro's national interests, sovereignty and independence".^[4]

Electoral system[]

The 81 seats of the Parliament of Montenegro are elected in a single nationwide constituency using closed list proportional representation. Seats are allocated using the d'Hondt method with a 3% electoral threshold. However, minority groups that account for no more than 15% of the population in a district are given an exemption that lowers the electoral threshold to 0.7% for a maximum of three seats.^[5] A separate exemption is given to ethnic Croats whereby if no list representing the population passes the 0.7% threshold, the list with the most votes will win one seat if it receives more than 0.35% of the vote.^[6]

Opinion polls[]

Poll results are listed in the table below in reverse chronological order, showing the most recent first, and using the date the survey's fieldwork was done, as opposed to the date of publication. If such date is unknown, the date of publication is given instead. The highest percentage figure in each polling survey is displayed in bold, and the background shaded in the leading party's colour. In the instance that there is a tie, then no figure is shaded. The lead column on the right shows the percentage-point difference between the two parties with the highest figures. When a specific poll does not show a data figure for a party, the party's cell corresponding to that poll is shown empty. The threshold for a party to elect members is 3%.

References[]