Opinion polling for the next Austrian legislative election

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In the run-up to the next Austrian legislative election, various organisations carry out opinion polling to gauge voting intentions in Austria. Results of such polls are displayed in this list; the date range for these opinion polls are from the 2019 Austrian legislative election, held on 29 September, to the present day. The next election is likely to be held in 2024.

VdMI quality criteria[]

In 2017, the Association of Market and Opinion Research Institutes of Austria (VdMI) published quality standards for polls.[1] While some frequent pollsters like Peter Hajek Public Opinion Strategies, IFES, IMAS, SORA, or Spectra are members of the VdMI, others like Unique Research are not, though they adhere to their quality standards. OGM used to be a member but was kicked out in late October 2021 for the use of online-only polling instead of a mix of phone and online polling.[2] OGM argued that while a mixed method was ideal 15 years ago, today it is not necessary any longer, as 90% of households have internet access and younger voters cannot be reached by phone any longer. Other institutes are not members, such as Market or IFDD, and rely only on online polling. The institute Research Affairs, which came under scrutiny amid the Kurz corruption probe, was never a member of the VdMI; they once applied for membership but were rejected because of inadequate methodology.[3][4]

Graphical summary[]

Austria2024.svg

Poll results[]

Polling firm Fieldwork date Sample
size
Method ÖVP SPÖ FPÖ Grüne NEOS MFG Others Lead
Unique Research 7–10 Feb 2022 800 Phone & Online 24 25 18 13 10 7 3 1
Unique Research 10–13 Jan 2022 800 Phone & Online 25 25 20 11 11 6 2 Tie
Market 23–28 Dec 2021 800 Online & CAPI 24 26 21 12 11 4 2 2
Peter Hajek 13–16 Dec 2021 800 Phone & Online 27 25 17 14 10 4 3 2
Unique Research 6–9 Dec 2021 800 Phone & Online 27 27 17 11 9 6 3 Tie
Market 6–9 Dec 2021 800 Online & CAPI 24 26 22 12 11 4 1 2
IFDD 6–9 Dec 2021 552 Online 23 26 20 12 12 7 3
OGM 23–25 Nov 2021 837 Online 23 26 21 12 12 6 3
Unique Research 15–18 Nov 2021 800 Phone & Online 24 25 20 13 10 3 5 1
Unique Research 8–11 Nov 2021 800 Phone & Online 24 25 18 13 11 6 3 1
Peter Hajek 18–21 Oct 2021 800 Phone & Online 23 23 20 16 12 4 2 Tie
OGM 12–15 Oct 2021 1,170 Online 26 24 21 12 12 5 2
Market 11–12 Oct 2021 800 Online 27 25 21 11 13 3 2
Unique Research 12–15 Oct 2021 800 Phone & Online 25[a] 25 19 14 11 3 3 Tie
26[b] 24 18 14 12 4 2 2
IFDD 7–11 Oct 2021 1,526 Online 26 25 21 11 11 6 1
25 25 18 11 11 7 3 Tie
Research Affairs 28–30 Sep 2021 506 Online 34 22 15 10 9 5 5[c] 13
OGM 7–9 Sep 2021 804 Online 34 24 18 12 11 1 10
Research Affairs 30 Aug – 1 Sep 2021 500 Online 35 22 19 10 11 3 13
Research Affairs 24–26 Aug 2021 500 Online 34 21 19 10 12 4 13
Research Affairs 17–19 Aug 2021 504 Online 34 21 19 11 11 4 13
Research Affairs 10–12 Aug 2021 506 Online 34 21 18 10 12 5 13
Market 6–11 Aug 2021 805 Online & CAPI 31 25 18 13 11 2 6
Research Affairs 3–5 Aug 2021 500 Online 35 21 17 11 12 4 14
Unique Research 2–5 Aug 2021 800 Phone & Online 35 21 19 12 11 2 14
Research Affairs 27–29 Jul 2021 504 Online 35 20 17 12 12 4 15
Research Affairs 20–22 Jul 2021 504 Online 35 20 18 12 11 4 15
IFDD 15–21 Jul 2021 800 Online 35 22 19 11 12 1 13
Research Affairs 13–15 Jul 2021 504 Online 35 20 18 11 12 4 15
Unique Research 5–8 Jul 2021 800 Phone & Online 34 22 17 12 12 3 12
Research Affairs 5–8 Jul 2021 508 Online 35 21 17 11 12 4 14
IFDD 28 Jun – 2 Jul 2021 806 Online 33 24 18 12 12 1 9
Unique Research 28 Jun – 1 Jul 2021 800 Phone & Online 35 22 17 13 12 1 13
Research Affairs 28 Jun – 1 Jul 2021 508 Online 34 22 16 11 12 5 12
Market 29–30 Jun 2021 820 Online & CAPI 31 26 17 13 11 2 5
OGM 22–24 Jun 2021 801 Online 33 25 18 11 11 2 8
Research Affairs 22–24 Jun 2021 500 Online 34 23 16 12 11 4 11
Peter Hajek 21–24 Jun 2021 800 Phone & Online 34 23 18 11 12 2 11
Research Affairs 15–17 Jun 2021 500 Online 35 22 15 12 11 5 13
IFDD 10–15 Jun 2021 803 Online 32 27 18 11 11 1 5
Market 8–10 Jun 2021 841 Online & CAPI 32 27 16 13 11 1 5
Research Affairs 8–10 Jun 2021 502 Online 35 23 14 12 12 4 12
Unique Research 7–10 Jun 2021 800 Phone & Online 33 23 18 13 11 2 10
Research Affairs 31 May – 2 Jun 2021 506 Online 35 24 15 11 12 3 11
Market 24–30 May 2021[d] 1,000 Online 29 28 20 10 11 2 1
Research Affairs 25–27 May 2021 500 Online 34 23 16 11 12 4 11
Research Affairs 18–20 May 2021 523 Online 34 22 17 11 12 4 12
Demox Research 14 May 2021 1,000 Online 33 23 18 12 11 3 10
Research Affairs 11–13 May 2021 500 Online 35 22 17 12 11 3 13
Unique Research 10–12 May 2021 800 Phone & Online 34 23 18 12 10 3 11
Research Affairs 4–6 May 2021 504 Online 36 21 17 12 11 3 15
Research Affairs 27–29 Apr 2021 511 Online 36 20 16 12 12 4 16
Peter Hajek 26–29 April 2021 800 Phone & Online 33 25 18 13 9 2 8
Research Affairs 20–22 Apr 2021 507 Online 36 21 16 12 11 4 15
Unique Research 5–8 Apr 2021 800 Phone & Online 33 24 19 12 10 2 9
OGM 30 Mar – 1 Apr 2021 801 Online 35 24 17 11 10 3 11
Research Affairs 30 Mar – 1 Apr 2021 1,000 Online 36 21 18 9 12 4 15
Market 26–30 Mar 2021 800 Online 36 26 15 12 10 1 10
Unique Research 23–25 Mar 2021 800 Phone & Online 36 23 18 11 11 1 13
Research Affairs 23–25 Mar 2021 501 Online 36 22 17 9 11 5 14
Research Affairs 15–17 Mar 2021 1,000 Online 37 24 16 9 10 4 13
Peter Hajek 8–11 Mar 2021 800 Phone & Online 35 25 17 10 11 2 10
Research Affairs 2–4 Mar 2021 510 Online 37 23 17 9 10 4 14
Unique Research 1–4 Mar 2021 800 Phone & Online 35 24 17 10 12 2 11
Research Affairs 15–18 Feb 2021 508 Online 37 24 17 8 10 4 13
Market 15–17 Feb 2021 1,000 Online 37 25 14 12 10 2 12
Unique Research 8–11 Feb 2021 800 Phone & Online 36 23 17 10 11 3 13
Research Affairs 8–11 Feb 2021 500 Online 38 24 16 9 10 3 14
Research Affairs 1–4 Feb 2021 500 Online 39 24 15 9 10 3 15
IFDD 25 Jan – 1 Feb 2021 800 Online 35 24 18 10 11 2 11
Unique Research 11–14 Jan 2021 800 Phone & Online 37 22 16 14 10 1 15
Peter Hajek 8–12 Dec 2020 800 Phone & Online 39 22 16 13 9 1 17
Research Affairs 9–12 Nov 2020 1,000 Online 41 22 12 11 10 4 19
Unique Research 2–6 Nov 2020 804 Phone & Online 38 21 16 12 10 3 17
Unique Research 14–18 Sep 2020 804 Phone & Online 39 20 16 16 8 1 19
Research Affairs 14–16 Sep 2020 1,000 Online 42 19 12 12 9 5 23
Research Affairs 25–27 Aug 2020 500 Online 41 19 13 14 8 4 22
Research Affairs 17–20 Aug 2020 505 Online 41 18 15 13 8 5 23
Unique Research 10–13 Aug 2020 806 Phone & Online 41 18 15 16 9 1 23
Research Affairs 20–22 Jul 2020 500 Online 42 19 11 15 8 4 23
Unique Research 13–16 Jul 2020 801 Phone & Online 41 19 15 16 8 1 22
Research Affairs 6–9 Jul 2020 503 Online 41 20 11 15 8 3 21
OGM 23–25 Jun 2020 805 Online 42 19 13 16 8 2 23
Unique Research 9–12 Jun 2020 802 Phone & Online 44 17 14 16 8 1 27
Karmasin Research & Identity 5–9 Jun 2020 1,000 Phone & Online 42 19 13 15 8 3 23
Market 21–26 May 2020 809 Phone & Online 44 20 12 16 7 1 24
Market 18–19 May 2020 1,000 Online 43 21 12 17 6 1 22
Unique Research 11–14 May 2020 802 Phone & Online 46 17 14 15 6 2 29
Market 11–13 May 2020 1,000 Online 44 21 11 17 6 1 23
Market 20–22 Apr 2020 1,000 Online 44 20 10 18 7 1 24
Unique Research 13–16 Apr 2020 806 Phone & Online 48 16 13 16 6 1 32
Market 3–7 Apr 2020 1,800 Phone & Online 44 19 11 19 6 1 25
OGM 31 Mar–2 Apr 2020 800 Online 45 16 12 18 7 2 27
Market 24–31 Mar 2020 1,000 Online 43 19 11 19 7 1 24
Unique Research 9–13 Mar 2020 811 Phone & Online 39 16 17 16 9 3 22
Market 11–12 Mar 2020 1,000 Online 40 20 13 17 9 1 20
Unique Research 10–14 Feb 2020 804 Phone & Online 38 15 16 17 10 3 21
Research Affairs 7–12 Feb 2020 661 Online 39 18 13 17 9 4 21
Market 4–6 Feb 2020 813 Phone & Online 39 19 15 17 9 1 20
Research Affairs 28–31 Jan 2020 500 Online 39 17 13 17 10 4 22
Research Affairs 17–23 Jan 2020 877 Online 39 16 13 17 11 4 22
Research Affairs 10–16 Jan 2020 863 Online 39 16 13 17 10 5 22
Karmasin Research & Identity 10–15 Jan 2020 1,000 Phone & Online 39 17 15 17 9 3 22
Unique Research 6–10 Jan 2020 806 Phone & Online 38 16 16 17 10 3 21
Research Affairs 3–9 Jan 2020 859 Online 39 17 13 17 9 5 22
Market 16–19 Dec 2019 806 Phone & Online 39 19 14 16 10 2 20
Research Affairs 12–19 Dec 2019 877 Online 39 17 15 16 9 4 22
Unique Research 9–13 Dec 2019 807 Phone & Online 39 18 15 17 10 1 21
Research Affairs 6–12 Dec 2019 875 Online 39 17 14 16 9 5 22
Research Affairs 29 Nov–5 Dec 2019 831 Online 39 17 14 16 10 4 22
Market 29 Nov–4 Dec 2019 792 Phone & Online 39 18 15 16 10 2 21
Research Affairs 22–28 Nov 2019 867 Online 38 18 14 16 10 4 20
Research Affairs 15–21 Nov 2019 878 Online 38 20 14 16 9 3 18
Unique Research 11–15 Nov 2019 817 Phone & Online 38 19 17 16 9 1 19
Research Affairs 8–14 Nov 2019 844 Online 38 20 15 16 8 3 18
Karmasin Research & Identity 8–13 Nov 2019 3,000 Phone & Online 38 20 15 15 9 3 18
Research Affairs 2–7 Nov 2019 736 Online 37 20 15 16 9 3 17
Research Affairs 26–31 Oct 2019 788 Online 38 19 15 16 9 3 19
Research Affairs 22–25 Oct 2019 1,000 Online 38 19 15 15 9 4 19
Market 15–17 Oct 2019 802 Phone & Online 38 20 16 15 9 2 18
Research Affairs 10–16 Oct 2019 1,001 Online 38 20 15 15 8 4 18
Unique Research 7–11 Oct 2019 807 Phone & Online 37 20 17 15 9 2 17
2019 legislative election 29 Sep 2019 37.5 21.2 16.2 13.9 8.1 3.1 16.3

By state[]

Vienna

Polling firm Fieldwork date Sample
size
Method SPÖ ÖVP Grüne FPÖ NEOS Others Lead
Triple M Matzka 19-27 Aug 2021 1004 Online 30 22 14 14 14 3 8
2019 legislative election 29 Sep 2019 27.1 24.6 20.7 12.8 9.9 4.9 2.5

Tyrol

Polling firm Fieldwork date Sample
size
Method ÖVP Grüne FPÖ SPÖ NEOS Others Lead
IMAD 11–15 Nov 2019 500 Phone 42 19 10 11 10 7 23
2019 legislative election 29 Sep 2019 45.8 14.7 14.7 13.0 8.9 2.9 31.1

Hypothetical polling[]

Polling firm Fieldwork date Sample
size
Method ÖVP SPÖ FPÖ Grüne NEOS JETZT HC Others Lead
Research Affairs 3–6 Aug 2020 500 Online 41 18 12 15 9 3 2 23
Research Affairs 20–22 Jul 2020 500 Online 42 19 11 15 8 4 1 23
Research Affairs 6–9 Jul 2020 503 Online 41 20 11 15 8 3 2 21
Research Affairs 22–24 Jun 2020 503 Online 42 19 11 15 8 3 2 23
Research Affairs 5–10 Jun 2020 1,000 Online 42 19 12 16 7 3 1 23
Research Affairs 25–28 May 2020 1,000 Online 43 18 12 16 7 3 1 25
Research Affairs 11–13 May 2020 1,000 Online 44 18 11 17 7 2 1 26
Research Affairs 4–6 May 2020 501 Online 45 17 10 18 6 3 1 27
Research Affairs 20–23 Apr 2020 1,000 Online 45 16 10 19 6 2 2 26
Peter Hajek 7–14 Apr 2020 807 Phone & Online 46 17 10 16 7 3 1 29
Research Affairs 2–7 Apr 2020 500 Online 41 18 10 19 7 3 2 22
Research Affairs 23–25 Mar 2020 500 Online 40 18 11 18 8 3 2 22
Research Affairs 5–11 Mar 2020 817 Online 39 17 12 17 9 4 2 22
Research Affairs 24–27 Feb 2020 1,003 Online 39 17 11 17 10 5 1 22
Research Affairs 7–12 Feb 2020 1,002 Online 39 18 12 17 9 4 1 21
Research Affairs 28–31 Jan 2020 1,003 Online 39 17 11 17 10 5 1 22
Peter Hajek 27–31 Jan 2020 802 Phone & Online 40 18 15 14 9 3 1 22
Research Affairs 17–23 Jan 2020 1,002 Online 39 16 12 17 11 4 1 22
Research Affairs 10–16 Jan 2020 863 Online 39 16 12 17 10 3 3 22
Research Affairs 3–9 Jan 2020 859 Online 39 17 12 17 9 3 3 22
Research Affairs 12–19 Dec 2019 877 Online 38 17 14 16 9 4 2 21
Research Affairs 6–12 Dec 2019 875 Online 38 17 14 16 9 3 3 21
Research Affairs 29 Nov–5 Dec 2019 831 Online 38 17 14 16 10 3 2 21
Research Affairs 22–28 Nov 2019 867 Online 37 18 14 16 9 4 2 19
Research Affairs 15–21 Nov 2019 878 Online 37 19 14 16 9 3 2 18
Research Affairs 8–14 Nov 2019 844 Online 37 19 14 16 8 4 2 18
Research Affairs 22–25 Oct 2019 1,000 Online 37 19 14 15 9 3 3 18
37 19 14 14 9 2 3 2 18

Preferred Chancellor[]

Polling firm Fieldwork date Sample
size
Method Schallenberg
ÖVP
Rendi-Wagner
SPÖ
Kickl
FPÖ
Kogler
Grüne
Meinl-Reisinger
NEOS
Other/
None
Lead
Peter Hajek 18–21 Oct 2021 800 Phone & Online 27 22 23 17 12 4
Polling firm Fieldwork date Sample
size
Method Kurz
ÖVP
Rendi-Wagner
SPÖ
Hofer
FPÖ
Kogler
Grüne
Meinl-Reisinger
NEOS
Strache
HC
Other/
None
Lead
Research Affairs 2–4 Mar 2021 510 Online 43 21 18 9 9 22
Unique Research 1–4 Mar 2021 800 Phone & Online 30 15 11 4 7 33 15
Unique Research 8–11 Feb 2021 800 Phone & Online 32 15 10 5 6 32 17
Research Affairs 5–10 Jun 2020 1,000 Online 49 19 11 12 5 4 30
Research Affairs 25–28 May 2020 1,000 Online 49 18 11 12 6 4 31
Market 18–19 May 2020 1,000 Online 33 10 6 51 23
Unique Research 11–14 May 2020 802 Phone & Online 45 9 6 6 4 30 36
Research Affairs 11–13 May 2020 1,000 Online 51 17 11 13 5 3 34
Market 11–13 May 2020 1,000 Online 44 10 7 6 33 34
Research Affairs 4–6 May 2020 501 Online 52 16 10 14 5 3 36
Research Affairs 20–23 Apr 2020 1,000 Online 52 15 10 15 5 3 37
Unique Research 13–16 Apr 2020 806 Phone & Online 55 8 7 8 3 19 47
Peter Hajek 7–14 Apr 2020 807 Phone & Online 62 11 7 12 5 2 50
Research Affairs 2–7 Apr 2020 500 Online 50 16 11 15 5 3 34
Research Affairs 23–25 Mar 2020 500 Online 48 16 12 15 6 3 32
Research Affairs 5–11 Mar 2020 817 Online 44 15 14 15 8 4 29
Research Affairs 24–27 Feb 2020 1,003 Online 43 14 14 15 9 5 28
Unique Research 10–14 Feb 2020 804 Phone & Online 37 8 13 10 6 26 24
Research Affairs 7–12 Feb 2020 661 Online 42 15 15 14 9 5 27
Market 4–6 Feb 2020 813 Phone & Online 37 9 11 14 11 18 23
Research Affairs 28–31 Jan 2020 500 Online 42 14 15 15 9 5 27
Peter Hajek 27–31 Jan 2020 802 Phone & Online 47 14 14 12 8 5 33
Research Affairs 17–23 Jan 2020 877 Online 43 14 16 15 12 27
Research Affairs 10–16 Jan 2020 863 Online 43 14 16 16 11 27
Research Affairs 3–9 Jan 2020 859 Online 43 15 16 16 10 27
Market 16–19 Dec 2019 806 Phone & Online 43 8 9 40 34
Research Affairs 12–19 Dec 2019 877 Online 41 15 16 15 8 5 25
Unique Research 9–13 Dec 2019 807 Phone & Online 37 8 12 9 34 25
Research Affairs 6–12 Dec 2019 875 Online 42 15 18 16 9 24
Research Affairs 29 Nov–5 Dec 2019 831 Online 42 14 18 16 10 24
Market 29 Nov–4 Dec 2019 792 Phone & Online 40 8 9 14 9 20 26
Research Affairs 22–28 Nov 2019 867 Online 42 15 18 15 10 24
Research Affairs 15–21 Nov 2019 878 Online 40 17 18 16 9 22
Unique Research 11–15 Nov 2019 817 Phone & Online 37 12 11 10 6 24 25
Research Affairs 26–31 Oct 2019 788 Online 41 16 19 14 10 22
Research Affairs 10–16 Oct 2019 1,001 Online 41 17 19 12 9 2 22
Unique Research 7–11 Oct 2019 807 Phone & Online 39 11 12 8 6 24 27

Preferred coalition[]

Polling firm Fieldwork date Sample
size
Method ÖVPFPÖ ÖVPSPÖ ÖVPGrüne ÖVPGrüneNEOS ÖVP alone Other Don't know/
no answer
Research Affairs 15–18 Feb 2021 508 Online 23 27 29 21
Research Affairs 8–11 Feb 2021 502 Online 27 36 37
Research Affairs 12–19 Dec 2019 877 Online 22 13 28 9 27
Research Affairs 6–12 Dec 2019 875 Online 24 13 31 8 24
Research Affairs 29 Nov–5 Dec 2019 831 Online 23 13 30 8 26
Research Affairs 22–28 Nov 2019 867 Online 24 12 32 9 23
Research Affairs 15–21 Nov 2019 878 Online 23 13 32 9 23
Research Affairs 8–14 Nov 2019 844 Online 24 12 33 8 23
Research Affairs 2–7 Nov 2019 736 Online 24 16 32 9 19
Research Affairs 26–31 Oct 2019 788 Online 26 14 32 8 20
Research Affairs 22–25 Oct 2019 1,000 Online 25 17 29 8 21
Research Affairs 10–16 Oct 2019 1,001 Online 28 13 29 10 20
Unique Research 30 Sep–3 Oct 2019 500 Online 23 12 21 18 9 17

See also[]

References[]

  1. ^ "Richtlinie für die Erstellung und Veröffentlichung von Ergebnissen der Wahlforschung – sogenannte "Sonntagsfrage" – in Medien für alle Wahlgänge" (PDF) (in German). Association of Market and Opinion Research Institutes of Austria. January 2017. Archived from the original (PDF) on 26 September 2019. Retrieved 19 October 2021.
  2. ^ "OGM aus Verband der Meinungsforscher geworfen". ORF (in German). 21 October 2021.
  3. ^ "Causa ÖVP: Meinungsforscher distanzieren sich von Beinschab". Kurier (in German). 14 October 2021.
  4. ^ "Meinungsforscherin B. veröffentlichte auch 2021 Umfragen, die ÖVP-Positionen unterstützen". Der Standard (in German). 15 October 2021.
  1. ^ with Alexander Schallenberg as frontrunner
  2. ^ with Sebastian Kurz as frontrunner
  3. ^ KPÖ 4%
  4. ^ Fieldwork presented in survey as "KW21" (Kalenderwoche 21 - Week 21)

External links[]

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