Opinion polling for the next Slovak parliamentary election
In the run up to the next Slovak parliamentary election, various organisations carry out opinion polling to gauge voting intention in Slovakia. Results of such polls are displayed in this article. The date range for these opinion polls are from the previous parliamentary election, held on 29 February 2020, to the present day.[citation needed] The next parliamentary election is scheduled to be held 24 February 2024, though it may be held earlier if a snap election is called.[citation needed]
Electoral polling[]
Graphical summary[]
Voting intention estimates[]
Voting intention estimates made by polling firms that are members of the European Society for Opinion and Marketing Research (ESOMAR) and the (SAVA). They are conducted in the form of telephone and personal interviews with selected persons, who form a representative sample reflecting the demographic parameters of the population of Slovakia. Respondents are asked: "Imagine that a parliamentary election would be held in Slovakia next Saturday. Would you vote in them and if so, which party would you vote for?" Respondents are read a list of currently active political parties.
Results are published that include only the answers of respondents who would vote for a particular party. The table shows political parties that have exceeded the electoral threshold in the last election or oscillate around 4 percent or more in polls. The electoral threshold is 5% for a single party, 7% for two-, three-party alliances; 10% for four-or-more party alliance. 76 seats are required for an absolute majority in the National council.
| Polling firm |
Fieldwork date |
Sample size |
OĽaNO | SMER –SSD |
SR | ĽSNS | PS | SaS | ZĽ | KDH | ALI | HLAS –SD |
REP | Others | Lead |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| AKO[1] | 10–17 Jan 2022 |
1,000 | 9.3% 17 |
13.8% 25 |
6.5% 12 |
2.9% 0 |
8.5% 15 |
14.2% 25 |
2.2% 0 |
6.0% 11 |
4.0% 0 |
18.0% 33 |
6.2% 11 |
8.4% | 3.8% |
| AKO[2] | 7–12 Dec 2021 |
1,000 | 9.0% 16 |
13.7% 25 |
6.5% 12 |
3.4% 0 |
8.6% 15 |
13.9% 25 |
2.4% 0 |
6.0% 11 |
3.7% 0 |
19.0% 35 |
5.9% 11 |
7.9% | 5.1% |
| Focus[3] | 16–23 Nov 2021 |
1,005 | 7.9% 15 |
15.0% 28 |
6.1% 11 |
4.8% 0 |
7.7% 14 |
11.5% 22 |
2.1% 0 |
6.1% 11 |
4.4% 0 |
19.2% 36 |
6.8% 13 |
8.4% | 4.2% |
| AKO[4] | 8–16 Nov 2021 |
1,000 | 9.7% 18 |
13.0% 24 |
6.8% 13 |
3.5% 0 |
8.7% 16 |
13.6% 25 |
2.2% 0 |
5.4% 10 |
4.2% 0 |
18.5% 34 |
5.6% 10 |
8.8% | 4.9% |
| Focus[5] | 20–27 Oct 2021 |
1,009 | 8.4% 15 |
15.5% 27 |
6.3% 11 |
3.8% 0 |
6.9% 12 |
12.2% 21 |
2.8% 0 |
6.1% 11 |
5.2% 9 |
19.3% 34 |
5.5% 10 |
8.0% | 3.8% |
| AKO[6] | 4–7 Oct 2021 |
1,000 | 9.2% 17 |
13.8% 25 |
7.4% 13 |
2.3% 0 |
8.6% 16 |
14.5% 26 |
2.1% 0 |
5.9% 11 |
4.5% 0 |
18.2% 33 |
5.0% 9 |
8.5% | 3.7% |
| AKO[7] | 6–13 Sep 2021 |
1,000 | 9.9% 18 |
13.9% 25 |
6.8% 12 |
2.7% 0 |
8.7% 15 |
14.5% 26 |
1.7% 0 |
6.6% 12 |
3.8% 0 |
18.8% 33 |
5.2% 9 |
7.4% | 4.3% |
| Focus[8] | 1–7 Sep 2021 |
1,002 | 8.2% 14 |
14.4% 25 |
6.7% 12 |
4.6% 0 |
7.0% 12 |
11.7% 21 |
2.2% 0 |
6.1% 11 |
5.5% 10 |
18.5% 33 |
6.8% 12 |
8.3% | 4.1% |
| AKO[9] | 10–15 Aug 2021 |
1,000 | 9.8% 19 |
11.3% 22 |
6.6% 13 |
3.9% 0 |
8.9% 17 |
14.7% 29 |
3.0% 0 |
6.3% 12 |
3.3% 0 |
19.5% 38 |
4.5% 0 |
8.2% | 4.8% |
| AKO[10] | 6–12 Jul 2021 |
1,000 | 8.8% 17 |
10.9% 21 |
7.8% 15 |
3.5% 0 |
8.4% 17 |
13.8% 27 |
3.1% 0 |
6.2% 12 |
4.3% 0 |
20.8% 41 |
3.8% 0 |
8.6% | 7.0% |
| AKO[11] | 7–11 Jun 2021 |
1,000 | 9.0% 17 |
10.6% 20 |
7.8% 14 |
3.0% 0 |
8.3% 15 |
13.9% 26 |
3.6% 0 |
5.3% 10 |
5.2% 9 |
21.0% 39 |
2.8% 0 |
9.5% | 7.1% |
| Focus[12] | 2–9 Jun 2021 |
1,011 | 8.2% 15 |
12.0% 23 |
7.6% 14 |
4.8% 0 |
6.3% 12 |
12.8% 24 |
3.4% 0 |
5.8% 11 |
5.7% 10 |
21.6% 41 |
4.6% 0 |
7.2% | 8.8% |
| Focus[13] | 11–19 May 2021 |
1,008 | 8.8% 18 |
11.8% 24 |
7.2% 15 |
4.9% 0 |
6.1% 12 |
12.3% 25 |
3.5% 0 |
5.7% 11 |
4.8% 0 |
22.4% 45 |
4.5% 0 |
8.0% | 10.1% |
| AKO[14] | 13–17 May 2021 |
1,000 | 9.9% | 9.6% | 7.4% | 2.1% | 8.5% | 13.8% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 22.5% | 3.5% | 8.4% | 8.7% |
| AKO[1] | 12–17 Apr 2021 |
1,000 | 10.0% | 9.2% | 7.4% | 2.9% | 8.3% | 13.8% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 23.9% | 3.1% | 8.4% | 10.1% |
| Focus[2] | 31 Mar –7 Apr 2021 |
1,001 | 9.2% | 10.9% | 7.4% | 4.3% | 6.2% | 11.2% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 22.3% | 4.7% | 8.3% | 11.1% |
| AKO[3] | 8–12 Mar 2021 |
1,000 | 13.1% | 8.7% | 5.9% | 4.3% | 8.0% | 14.3% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 1.5% | 24.9% | N/A | 9.8% | 10.6% |
| Focus[4] | 17–24 Feb 2021 |
1,018 | 10.4% | 9.2% | 5.2% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 12.9% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 23.0% | N/A | 11.2% | 10.1% |
| AKO[5] | 8–11 Feb 2021 |
1,000 | 13.8% | 8.5% | 5.1% | 3.8% | 7.2% | 15.1% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 3.5% | 25.0% | N/A | 7.7% | 9.9% |
| Focus[6] | 12–19 Jan 2021 |
1,005 | 10.1% | 9.1% | 5.1% | 9.7% | 5.2% | 13.3% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 3.9% | 24.3% | N/A | 10.7% | 11.0% |
| AKO[7] | 17–19 Dec 2020 |
1,000 | 14.2% | 9.0% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 16.2% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 3.1% | 22.8% | N/A | 7.4% | 6.6% |
| Focus[8] | 8–14 Dec 2020 |
1,000 | 11.0% | 9.8% | 5.4% | 8.2% | 6.0% | 15.8% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 4.1% | 20.1% | N/A | 10.3% | 4.3% |
| Focus[9] | 18–25 Nov 2020 |
1,004 | 14.0% | 9.5% | 6.1% | 9.6% | 5.9% | 12.1% | 4.1% | 5.1% | 3.8% | 19.1% | N/A | 10.7% | 5.1% |
| Focus[10] | 7–15 Oct 2020 |
1,014 | 15.1% | 10.5% | 7.3% | 9.8% | 5.4% | 10.7% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 3.6% | 18.7% | N/A | 8.9% | 3.6% |
| AKO[11] | 1–9 Oct 2020 |
1,000 | 15.3% | 8.3% | 8.8% | 8.5% | 6.2% | 13.4% | 4.2% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 18.8% | N/A | 10.6% | 3.5% |
| Focus[12] | 26 Aug –2 Sep 2020 |
1,022 | 18.4% 35 |
10.9% 21 |
9.1% 17 |
8.5% 16 |
5.9% 11 |
9.9% 19 |
3.9% 0 |
4.5% 0 |
3.8% 0 |
16.2% 31 |
N/A | 8.9% | 2.2% |
| AKO[13] | 7–17 Jul 2020 |
1,000 | 23.5% 44 |
10.7% 20 |
6.4% 12 |
7.9% 15 |
5.2% 10 |
9.4% 18 |
4.0% 0 |
3.0% 0 |
2.5% 0 |
16.7% 31 |
N/A | 10.7% | 6.8% |
| Focus[14] | 17–24 Jun 2020 |
1,009 | 21.2% 41 |
19.0% 37 |
12.8% 25 |
9.6% 18 |
6.2% 12 |
9.2% 17 |
3.6% 0 |
4.6% 0 |
4.5% 0 |
N/A | N/A | 9.3% | 2.2% |
| Focus[15] | 14–21 May 2020 |
1,011 | 22.9% 43 |
21.6% 41 |
11.2% 21 |
9.7% 18 |
6.5% 12 |
8.0% 15 |
4.3% 0 |
4.8% 0 |
4.2% 0 |
N/A | N/A | 6.8% | 1.3% |
| Focus[16] | 15–19 Apr 2020 |
1,016 | 24.4% 45 |
21.8% 40 |
11.5% 21 |
9.2% 17 |
7.6% 14 |
6.8% 13 |
3.2% 0 |
4.5% 0 |
2.8% 0 |
N/A | N/A | 8.2% | 2.6% |
| AKO[17] | 14–17 Apr 2020 |
1,000 | 29.9% 56 |
18.3% 34 |
10.0% 18 |
6.4% 12 |
6.9% 12 |
9.7% 18 |
3.0% 0 |
3.7% 0 |
4.4% 0 |
N/A | N/A | 7.7% | 11.6% |
| Focus[18] | 18–21 Mar 2020 |
1,023 | 23.3% 43 |
21.6% 40 |
11.5% 21 |
7.3% 14 |
5.9% 11 |
5.8% 11 |
5.2% 10 |
4.1% 0 |
3.5% 0 |
N/A | N/A | 11.8% | 1.7% |
| 2020 parliamentary election | 25.02% 53 |
18.29% 38 |
8.24% 17 |
7.97% 17 |
6.96% 0 |
6.22% 13 |
5.77% 12 |
4.65% 0 |
3.91% 0 |
N/A | N/A | 12.97% | 6.73% | ||
| Others | Lead | ||||||||||||||
| OĽaNO | SMER –SD |
SR | ĽSNS | PS –SPOLU |
SaS | ZĽ | KDH | HLAS –SD |
REP | ||||||
References[]
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- ^ "Press release" (PDF). www.focus-research.sk. 11 April 2020. Retrieved 11 April 2021.
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- ^ "Press release" (PDF). www.focus-research.sk. 28 February 2020. Retrieved 31 March 2021.
- ^ Hřích, Václav (12 February 2021). "Prieskum volebných preferencií do NR SR – FEBRUÁR 2021" (PDF) (Press release). Bratislava. AKO. Retrieved 26 March 2021.
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- ^ Hřích, Václav (21 December 2020). "Prieskum volebných preferencií do NR SR – DECEMBER 2020" (PDF) (Press release). Bratislava. AKO. Retrieved 26 March 2021.
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- ^ "Press release" (PDF). www.focus-research.sk. 9 June 2020. Retrieved 31 March 2021.
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- ^ "S Pellegrinim aj bez neho. Exkluzívny prieskum ukazuje, ako by nová strana zamiešala preferenciami". tvnoviny.sk (in Slovak). 28 June 2020. Retrieved 27 March 2021.
- ^ "Press release" (PDF). www.focus-research.sk. 24 May 2020. Retrieved 31 March 2021.
- ^ "Press release" (PDF). www.focus-research.sk. 19 April 2020. Retrieved 31 March 2021.
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- Opinion polling in Slovakia
- Opinion polling for future elections