Opinion polling for the next Ukrainian presidential election

In the run up to the 2024 Ukrainian presidential election, various organisations carried out opinion polling to gauge voting intention in Ukraine. The results of such polls are displayed in this article.

The date range for these polls are from the previous (2019) presidential election to the present day.

First round[]

During the 2019 Ukrainian presidential election candidate (and latter winner of the election) Volodymyr Zelensky stated that he was running for only one term.^[1] In May 2021, Zelensky stated that it was too early to say whether he will run for a second term, but this decision would depend on the attitude to him in society and would be influenced by his family.^[1]

Since March 2021[]

Dates conducted	Polling firm	Margin of error	Sample size	Zelensky SN	Poroshenko YeS	Tymoshenko Batkivshchyna	Boyko OPZZh	Smeshko SiCh	Groysman USH	Razumkov RP	Murayev Nashi	Liashko RPOL	Lead
20–21 Jan 2022	KIIS	± 3.2 pp	1,205	23.5	20.9	11.8	9.3	9.6	4.3	5.0	6.8	3.4	2.6
17–22 Dec 2021	DIF & Razumkov Centre	± 2.3 pp	2,018	24.2	16.1	9.9	9.2	6.4	5.0	9.3	6.3	1.9	8.1
16–18 Dec 2021	Rating	± 2.0 pp	2,500	24.2	13.7	9.6	9.2	6.7	6.2	6.8	6.9	3.1	10.5
9–17 Dec 2021	KIIS	± 3.3 pp	2,025	27.6	16.0	9.0	9.4	6.6	5.2	5.9	4.9	4.1	11.6
11–16 Dec 2021	SOCIS	± 2.4 pp	2,000	24.3	17.9	12.5	11.5	7.4	6.2	7.1	6.3	1.2	6.4
3–11 Dec 2021	KIIS	± 2.4 pp	2,000	27.1	19.7	11.3	6.6	7.7	5.1	6.3	6.5	4.8	10.1
28 Nov – 10 Dec 2021	SMC	± 1.0 pp	10,000	23.6	15.5	9.4	11.9	6.9	3.8	7.5	7.0	2.4	8.1
6–8 Dec 2021	Rating	± 2.0 pp	2,500	23.5	13.4	9.9	9.3	6.7	5.5	7.5	6.5	3.2	10.1
11–17 Nov 2021	Razumkov Centre	± 2.3 pp	2,018	25.2	17.5	9.4	10.9	5.2	4.9	7.5	4.8	3.1	7.7
10–13 Nov 2021	Rating	± 2.0 pp	2,500	23.1	13.3	10.7	9.2	6.9	6.1	8.3	7.0	3.3	9.8
4–9 Nov 2021	Rating	± 1.5 pp	5,000	21.8	14.5	10.8	11.0	6.2	5.7	8.8	6.4	4	7.3
29 Oct – 4 Nov 2021	SOCIS	± 2.4 pp	2,000	27.8	18.8	11.7	12.3	5.4	4.6	6.7	6.0	1.9	9.0
23–27 Oct 2021	Razumkov Centre	± 2.9 pp	1,200	28.0	19.0	7.5	9.3	4.8	6.1	8.2	4.6	3.0	9.0
21–23 Oct 2021	Rating	± 2.0 pp	2,500	25.1	14.1	10.1	9.5	7.1	5.1	7.3	6.0	3.9	11.0
15–18 Oct 2021	KIIS	± 2.7 pp	1,200	24.7	15.6	12.2	9.4	7.8	5.3	7.1	6.2	5.1	9.1
10–15 Oct 2021	KIIS	± 2.4 pp	2,002	33.3	16.8	10.3	9.5	8.7	5.7	–	6.4	4.6	16.5
2–4 Oct 2021	Rating	± 2.0 pp	2,500	31.1	13.3	9.2	10.9	6.1	5.7	3.7	5.7	4.1	17.8
20 Jul – 9 Aug 2021	Rating	± 1.0 pp	2,000	27.2	14.9	9.7	10.5	6.6	5.1	3.0	5.6	3.8	12.3
29 Jul – 4 Aug 2021	Razumkov Centre	± 2.3 pp	2,019	28.8	15.9	10.9	14.6	5.9	2.7	2.3	–	2.8	12.9
29 Jul – 3 Aug 2021	SOCIS	?	2,000	25.8	18.9	8.9	8.9	8.9	5.5	3.7	5.2	1.6	6.9
23–25 Jul 2021	Rating	± 2.0 pp	2,500	27.7	13.4	11.4	10.1	7.8	6.1	4.1	6.0	2.6	14.3
30 Jun – 3 Jul 2021	Rating	± 2.0 pp	2,500	29.1	13.4	11.3	12.5	8.7	4.6	–	5.5	3.4	15.7
25–30 Jun 2021	SOCIS	± 2.4 pp	2,000	28.8	18.4	8.5	7.9	10.3	4.2	4.1	3.9	1.9	10.4
11–16 Jun 2021	Razumkov Centre	± 2.3 pp	2,018	32.4	17.2	9.8	13.0	7.0	3.7	2.2	–	1.8	15.2
1–7 Jun 2021	KIIS	± 2.4 pp	2,003	30.6	17.4	12.7	10.6	8.1	5.8	–	5.5	4.0	13.2
28 May – 3 Jun 2021	SOCIS	± 2.4 pp	2,000	28.1	16.7	12.2	9.2	9.6	4.4	2.4	4.0	2.0	11.4
27 May – 1 Jun 2021	KIIS	± 2.4 pp	2,000	27.3	14.6	11.9	9.2	9.5	4.6	3.1	5.7	3.8	12.7
14–19 May 2021	DIF & Razumkov Centre	± 2.3 pp	2,020	31.0	18.6	11.7	12.7	5.7	2.8	1.8	–	2.1	12.4
16–18 May 2021	Rating	± 2.0 pp	2,500	30.2	12.8	11.1	11.9	7.6	4.8	–	5.1	3.0	17.4
22–29 Apr 2021	Razumkov Centre	± 2.3 pp	2,021	28.3	18.1	10.5	14.5	6.2	3.3	2.4	–	2.6	10.2
16–22 Apr 2021	KIIS	± 2.4 pp	2,003	31.4	18.1	11.9	9.6	10.4	5.3	–	5.0	4.0	13.3
8–12 Apr 2021	SOCIS	± 2.4 pp	2,000	26.7	19.6	10.1	9.7	7.5	4.5	2.5	3.0	2.7	7.1
6–7 Apr 2021	Rating	± 2.0 pp	2,500	24.9	13.1	12.1	11.9	6.8	5.1	4.8	4.6	4.9	11.8
23–24 Mar 2021	Rating	± 2.0 pp	2,500	24.7	13.9	11.8	12.6	7.7	5.2	3.8	3.7	3.7	10.8
5–9 Mar 2021	Razumkov Centre	± 2.3 pp	2,018	27.4	19.7	10.1	17.1	6.3	3.3	2.0	–	2.4	7.7
2–3 Mar 2021	Rating	± 2.0 pp	2,500	22.5	14.6	11.3	11.6	8.0	6.6	4.2	4.6	4.4	7.9

November 2020 – March 2021[]

Dates conducted	Polling firm	Margin of error	Sample size	Zelensky SN	Poroshenko YeS	Boyko OPZZh	Tymoshenko Batkivshchyna	Smeshko SiCh	Groysman USH	Medvedchuk OPZZh	Liashko RPOL	Razumkov SN	Prytula Holos	Hrytsenko HP	Lead
23 Feb – 1 Mar 2021	KIIS	± 2.9 pp	1,207	25.3	14.0	14.7	11.9	8.4	5.4	3.8	4.1	4.0	–	–	10.6
				24.0	14.0	16.7	12.6	8.6	4.9	–	4.9	4.3	–	–	7.3
19–28 Feb 2021	SMC	± 1.5 pp	3,017	24.6	15.1	–	11.1	5.2	4.4	16.3	3.2	3.0	–	2.9	8.3
				24.7	15.5	18.1	11.0	5.8	4.7	–	2.8	3.2	–	3.0	6.6
22–23 Feb 2021	Rating	± 2.0 pp	2,500	23.1	14.4	11.3	10.9	7.2	5.7	–	4.1	5.3	–	–	8.7
11–16 Feb 2021	SOCIS & KIIS	± 1.8 pp	3,000	25.6	19.4	11.1	11.7	8.2	5.5	3.5	3.8	3.5	–	–	6.2
5–7 Feb 2021	KIIS	± 2.4 pp	2,005	22.7	18.3	11.4	14.5	8.2	4.5	5.1	–	3.3	–	4.1	4.4
21 Jan – 5 Feb 2021	Info Sapiens	± 3.1 pp	1,003	28.8	20.4	18.2	12.0	4.0	3.5	2.7	4.2	–	2.0	–	8.4
2–3 Feb 2021	Rating	± 2.2 pp	2,000	21.2	16.4	17.1	12.3	7.5	4.3	–	4.0	3.2	3.1	–	4.1
1–3 Feb 2021	Info Sapiens	± 2.2 pp	2,012	22.2	15.5	16.3	13.3	7.3	5.3	–	4.8	2.9	3.4	–	5.9
29 Jan – 3 Feb 2021	Razumkov Centre	± 2.3 pp	2,019	23.1	17.8	19.9	11.2	4.9	3.1	–	2.8	2.1	–	3.4	3.2
27 Jan – 1 Feb 2021	KIIS	± 0.95 pp	1,205	22.1	13.7	13.5	11.2	–	5.5	7.9	4.8	4.0	4.5	–	8.4
				22.1	13.1	17.5	10.6	8.8	5.6	–	4.7	–	4.8	–	4.6
15–25 Jan 2021	SMC	± 1.5 pp	3,014	24.8	15.6	18.4	11.1	6.2	3.4	–	3.9	–	–	3.2	6.4
				25.6	15.2	–	11.5	6.4	3.6	15.5	3.6	–	–	3.3	10.1
22 Jan 2021	KIIS	± 0.95 pp	1,005	19.8	15.7	11.0	11.8	8.9	5.8	7.5	–	–	2.5	–	4.1
2–4 Jan 2021	Rating	± 2.0 pp	2,500	26.2	13.3	16.6	10.5	6.4	6.1	–	4.7	–	4.1	–	9.6
17–23 Feb 2020	KIIS	± 0.95 pp	1,200	27.0	13.7	14.7	7.5	6.5	5.5	8.7	6.3	3.4	4.1	–	12.3
				27.7	14.2	20.8	7.3	6.5	6.0	8.7	6.2	–	3.8	–	6.9
16–20 Feb 2020	Rating	± 2.2 pp	2,000	26.5	14.3	10.1	9.8	6.0	6.4	7.7	3.6	–	2.9	–	12.2
4–9 Nov 2020	Razumkov Centre	± 2.3 pp	2,018	28.0	19.3	17.2	7.7	5.8	4.1	7.7	1.6	–	2.9	–	8.7

January – November 2020[]

Dates conducted	Polling firm	Margin of error	Sample size	Zelensky SN	Poroshenko YeS	Boyko OPZZh	Tymoshenko Batkivshchyna	Smeshko SiCh	Liashko RPOL	Hrytsenko HP	Lead
30 Oct – 5 Nov 2020	Razumkov Centre	± 2.3 pp	2,020	31.2	21.1	16.9	8.3	5.6	2.1	–	10.1
28 Oct – 2 Nov 2020	SOCIS	?	2,000	29.5	16.1	13.0	7.2	6.0	3.8	–	13.4
17–24 Oct 2020	KIIS	± 2.6 pp	1,502	33.3	17.3	10.5	11.1	9.5	4.6	–	16.0
18–28 Sep 2020	SOCIS	± 2.2 pp	2,000	30.1	18.9	14.0	7.4	8.5	2.8	–	11.2
12–16 Sep 2020	KIIS	± 2.2 pp	2,000	31.8	18.9	13.3	9.8	6.8	6.0	4.9	12.9
3–6 Sep 2020	Rating	± 2.2 pp	2,000	29.0	14.0	15.5	9.3	6.4	3.6	–	13.5
21–28 Jul 2020	SOCIS	?	4,000	33.4	17.8	15.7	8.8	7.0	2.9	–	15.6
15–20 Jul 2020	Rating	± 2.2 pp	2,000	30.2	13.7	14.4	9.1	5.8	3.9	3.0	15.8
3–9 Jul 2020	Razumkov Centre	± 2.3 pp	2,022	36.8	15.3	17.2	7.8	4.5	1.9	3.4	19.6
24–30 Jun 2020	SOCIS	?	2,000	36.6	20.9	16.0	6.9	6.9	2.8	–	15.7
24–28 Jun 2020	Rating	± 2.2 pp	2,000	34.6	11.4	11.2	7.2	6.7	3.4	3.0	23.2
17–24 Jun 2020	Razumkov Centre	± 2.3 pp	2,017	34.6	16.1	20.0	7.7	4.2	1.2	3.1	14.6
24 May – 4 Jun 2020	KIIS	± 0.95 pp	4,000	37.6	16.2	13.2	8.7	6.8	4.4	4.4	21.4
22–29 May 2020	SOCIS	± 2.1 pp	2,000	41.1	15.2	14.5	7.4	6.0	2.3	–	25.9
12–13 May 2020	Rating	± 1.8 pp	3,000	39.3	13.3	13.9	8.6	5.9	2.4	3.6	25.4
26–30 Apr 2020	KIIS	± 0.95 pp	1,507	40.9	15.7	8.9	8.7	9.2	4.0	–	25.2
24–29 Apr 2020	Razumkov Centre	± 2.3 pp	2,056	45.1	12.8	10.8	5.4	6.0	2.3	3.5	32.3
17–25 Apr 2020	KIIS	± 1.7 pp	4,024	42.6	14.9	12.2	9.7	6.4	3.5	4.3	27.7
13–23 Mar 2020	SOCIS	± 2.1 pp	2,000	40.4	11.8	8.8	5.1	4.3	2.3	–	28.6
8–18 Feb 2020	KIIS	± 3.3 pp	2,038	44.2	11.6	13.1	6.9	2.8	4.0	3.3	31.1
13–17 Feb 2020	Razumkov Centre	± 2.3 pp	?	40.1	13.5	15.3	10.2	4.2	3.3	3.3	24.8
1–10 Feb 2020	SOCIS	± 2.1 pp	2,000	38.4	9.6	9.3	7.5	3.9	2.4	–	28.8
31 Mar 2019	2019 election	–	–	30.2	16.0	13.4	11.7	6.0	5.5	6.9	14.2

Second round[]

Zelensky vs. Poroshenko[]

Dates conducted	Polling firm	Margin of error	Sample size	Zelensky SN	Poroshenko YeS	Lead
17–22 Dec 2021	DIF & Razumkov Centre	± 2.3 pp	2,018	49.9	50.1	0.2
9–17 Dec 2021	KIIS	± 3.3 pp	2,025	55.7	44.3	11.4
28 Nov – 10 Dec 2021	SMC	± 1.0 pp	10,000	57.4	42.6	14.8
11–17 Nov 2021	Razumkov Centre	± 2.3 pp	2,018	54	46	8
10–13 Nov 2021	Rating	± 2.0 pp	2,500	59	41	18
23–27 Oct 2021	Razumkov Centre	± 2.9 pp	1,200	55.6	44.4	11.2
29 Jul – 4 Aug 2021	Razumkov Centre	± 2.3 pp	2,019	60.7	39.3	21.4
30 Jun – 3 Jul 2021	Rating	± 2.0 pp	2,500	65	35	30
25–30 Jun 2021	SOCIS	± 2.4 pp	2,000	60	40	20
11–16 Jun 2021	Razumkov Centre	± 2.3 pp	2,018	60.4	39.6	20.8
14–19 May 2021	DIF & Razumkov Centre	± 2.3 pp	2,020	60	40	20
16–18 May 2021	Rating	± 2.0 pp	2,500	68	32	36
22–29 Apr 2021	Razumkov Centre	± 2.3 pp	2,021	60.5	39.5	21
8–12 Apr 2021	SOCIS	± 2.4 pp	2,000	56.3	43.7	12.6
6–7 Apr 2021	Rating	± 2.0 pp	2,500	64	36	28
13–21 Mar 2021	Rating & IRI	± 2.0 pp	2,400	72	24	48
5–9 Mar 2021	Razumkov Centre	± 2.3 pp	2,018	57.2	42.8	14.4
11–16 Feb 2021	SOCIS & KIIS	± 1.8 pp	3,000	56.4	43.6	12.8
2–3 Feb 2021	Rating	± 2.2 pp	2,000	56	44	12
29 Jan – 3 Feb 2021	Razumkov Centre	± 2.3 pp	2,019	54	46	8
22 Jan 2021	KIIS	± 0.95 pp	1,005	55.2	44.8	10.4
4–9 Dec 2020	Razumkov Centre	± 2.3 pp	2,018	57	43	14
28 Oct – 2 Nov 2020	SOCIS	?	2,000	58	42	16
21–28 Jul 2020	SOCIS	?	4,000	68.4	31.6	36.8
3–9 Jul 2020	Razumkov Centre	± 2.3 pp	2,022	71.5	28.5	43.0
24–30 Jun 2020	SOCIS	?	2,000	65.4	34.6	30.8
17–24 Jun 2020	Razumkov Centre	± 2.3 pp	2,017	69.8	30.2	39.6
24–29 May 2020	SOCIS	± 2.1 pp	2,000	51.1	18.3	32.8
12–13 May 2020	Rating	± 1.8 pp	3,000	75	25	50
1–10 Feb 2020	SOCIS	± 2.1 pp	2,000	47.9	15.8	32.1
21 Apr 2019	2019 election	–	–	73.2	24.5	48.7

Zelensky vs. Tymoshenko[]

Dates conducted	Polling firm	Margin of error	Sample size	Zelensky SN	Tymoshenko Batkivshchyna	Lead
17–22 Dec 2021	DIF & Razumkov Centre	± 2.3 pp	2,018	53.5	46.5	7.0
9–17 Dec 2021	KIIS	± 3.3 pp	2,025	51.6	48.4	3.2
28 Nov – 10 Dec 2021	SMC	± 1.0 pp	10,000	55.1	44.9	10.2
10–13 Nov 2021	Rating	± 2.0 pp	2,500	59	41	18
30 Jun – 3 Jul 2021	Rating	± 2.0 pp	2,500	61	39	22
16–18 May 2021	Rating	± 2.0 pp	2,500	62	38	24
6–7 Apr 2021	Rating	± 2.0 pp	2,500	57	43	14
2–3 Feb 2021	Rating	± 2.2 pp	2,000	55	45	10
12–13 May 2020	Rating	± 1.8 pp	3,000	74	26	48

Zelensky vs. Boyko[]

Dates conducted	Polling firm	Margin of error	Sample size	Zelensky SN	Boyko OPZZh	Lead
17–22 Dec 2021	DIF & Razumkov Centre	± 2.3 pp	2,018	63.1	36.9	26.2
9–17 Dec 2021	KIIS	± 3.3 pp	2,025	60.2	39.8	20.4
28 Nov – 10 Dec 2021	SMC	± 1.0 pp	10,000	57.1	42.9	14.2
11–17 Nov 2021	Razumkov Centre	± 2.3 pp	2,018	66.3	33.7	32.6
10–13 Nov 2021	Rating	± 2.0 pp	2,500	62	38	24
29 Jul – 4 Aug 2021	Razumkov Centre	± 2.3 pp	2,019	68	32	36
30 Jun – 3 Jul 2021	Rating	± 2.0 pp	2,500	66	34	32
25–30 Jun 2021	SOCIS	± 2.4 pp	2,000	76	24	52
11–16 Jun 2021	Razumkov Centre	± 2.3 pp	2,018	75.7	24.3	51.4
14–19 May 2021	DIF & Razumkov Centre	± 2.3 pp	2,020	74	26	48
16–18 May 2021	Rating	± 2.0 pp	2,500	69	31	38
22–29 Apr 2021	Razumkov Centre	± 2.3 pp	2,021	70.9	29.1	41.8
8–12 Apr 2021	SOCIS	± 2.4 pp	2,000	72.9	27.1	45.8
6–7 Apr 2021	Rating	± 2.0 pp	2,500	67	33	34
5–9 Mar 2021	Razumkov Centre	± 2.3 pp	2,018	66.4	33.6	32.8
11–16 Feb 2021	SOCIS & KIIS	± 1.8 pp	3,000	61.3	38.7	22.6
2–3 Feb 2021	Rating	± 2.2 pp	2,000	60	40	20
29 Jan – 3 Feb 2021	Razumkov Centre	± 2.3 pp	2,019	58	42	16
4–9 Dec 2020	Razumkov Centre	± 2.3 pp	2,018	62	38	24
3–9 Jul 2020	Razumkov Centre	± 2.3 pp	2,022	68.2	31.8	36.4
12–13 May 2020	Rating	± 1.8 pp	3,000	75	25	50

Zelensky vs. Razumkov[]

Dates conducted	Polling firm	Margin of error	Sample size	Zelensky SN	Razumkov RP	Lead
17–22 Dec 2021	DIF & Razumkov Centre	± 2.3 pp	2,018	43.6	56.4	12.8
9–17 Dec 2021	KIIS	± 3.3 pp	2,025	53.2	46.8	6.4
28 Nov ��� 10 Dec 2021	SMC	± 1.0 pp	10,000	47.4	52.6	5.2
11–17 Nov 2021	Razumkov Centre	± 2.3 pp	2,018	49.6	50.4	0.8

Poroshenko vs. Tymoshenko[]

Dates conducted	Polling firm	Margin of error	Sample size	Poroshenko YeS	Tymoshenko Batkivshchyna	Lead
9–17 Dec 2021	KIIS	± 3.3 pp	2,025	45.2	54.8	9.6
6–7 Apr 2021	Rating	± 2.0 pp	2,500	41	59	18

Poroshenko vs. Boyko[]

Dates conducted	Polling firm	Margin of error	Sample size	Poroshenko YeS	Boyko OPZZh	Lead
25–30 Jun 2021	SOCIS	± 2.4 pp	2,000	60	40	20
8–12 Apr 2021	SOCIS	± 2.4 pp	2,000	64.4	35.6	28.8
6–7 Apr 2021	Rating	± 2.0 pp	2,500	49	51	2
5–9 Mar 2021	Razumkov Centre	± 2.3 pp	2,018	58	42	16
11–16 Feb 2021	SOCIS & KIIS	± 1.8 pp	3,000	52.7	47.3	5.4
2–3 Feb 2021	Rating	± 2.2 pp	2,000	49	51	2
29 Jan – 3 Feb 2021	Razumkov Centre	± 2.3 pp	2,019	54.2	45.8	8.4
22 Jan 2021	KIIS	± 0.95 pp	1,005	47	53	6
4–9 Dec 2020	Razumkov Centre	± 2.3 pp	2,018	54.3	45.7	8.6

Poroshenko vs. Razumkov[]

Dates conducted	Polling firm	Margin of error	Sample size	Poroshenko YeS	Razumkov RP	Lead
17–22 Dec 2021	DIF & Razumkov Centre	± 2.3 pp	2,018	38.9	61.1	22.2

See also[]

• Opinion polling for the next Ukrainian parliamentary election
• Opinion polling for the 2019 Ukrainian presidential election

References[]