2004 United States Senate election in South Dakota

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2004 United States Senate election in South Dakota

← 1998 November 2, 2004 2010 →
  John Thune official photo.jpg Tom Daschle, official Senate photo.jpg
Nominee John Thune Tom Daschle
Party Republican Democratic
Popular vote 197,848 193,340
Percentage 50.6% 49.4%

2004 United States Senate election in South Dakota results map by county.svg
County results
Thune:      50–60%      60–70%      70–80%
Daschle:      50–60%      60–70%      70–80%      80–90%

U.S. senator before election

Tom Daschle
Democratic

Elected U.S. Senator

John Thune
Republican

The 2004 United States Senate election in South Dakota was held on November 2, 2004. Incumbent Democratic U.S. Senator and Senate Minority Leader Tom Daschle ran for re-election to a fourth term, but was narrowly defeated by Republican John Thune.

Daschle was the only incumbent U.S. Senator to lose re-election in the 2004 election cycle. His defeat also marked the first time a Senate party leader lost a bid for reelection since 1952, when Barry Goldwater defeated Ernest McFarland in Arizona.

Major candidates[]

Democratic[]

  • Tom Daschle, incumbent U.S. Senator and Senate Minority Leader

Republican[]

  • John Thune, former U.S. Representative and nominee for the U.S. Senate in 2002

General election[]

Campaign[]

In the 2004 congressional elections, Daschle lost his seat to Republican challenger and former U.S. Representative John Thune in a bitterly contested battle. Thune prevailed by a narrow margin of 4,508 votes (50.6–49.4%).[1] Senate Majority Leader Bill Frist visited South Dakota to campaign for Thune, breaking an unwritten tradition that one party's leader in the Senate would not campaign directly for the other's defeat.[2] Daschle's loss resulted in the first ousting of a majority or minority leader since 1952 when Arizona Senator Ernest McFarland lost his seat to Barry Goldwater.[3][4] Daschle was the only incumbent Senator from either party to lose reelection in 2004.[5]

Throughout the campaign, Thune, along with Frist, President George W. Bush, and Vice President Dick Cheney, frequently accused Daschle of being the "chief obstructionist" of Bush's agenda and charged him with using filibusters to block confirmation of several of Bush's nominees to the federal judiciary. Thune also used moral values such as issues surrounding same-sex marriage and abortion to convince South Dakota voters that Daschle's positions on such topics were out-of-sync with the state's residents. The Republican candidate also drove home his strong support for the President while blasting Daschle for his vehement opposition to Bush. He attempted to sway voters by remembering that Bush won South Dakota in a landslide in 2000 and had a very high job-approval rating among South Dakotans. His opponent, the Minority Leader, repeatedly argued that he was funneling money into South Dakota for vital federal highway and water pet projects.

Daschle responded to Thune's claim that he was a partisan anti-Bush obstructionist by pointing to his action just nine days after the September 11 attacks when he hugged President Bush on the Senate floor following Bush's address to Congress and the nation. He also hit back by alleging that Thune wanted to "rubber stamp what the administration is doing." Daschle's use of the video of his embrace of Bush forced the Republican National Committee to demand that the ad be pulled, claiming that it suggests that Bush endorses Daschle. Shortly following the airing of the ad, in a nationally televised debate on NBC's Meet the Press, Thune accused Daschle of "emboldening the enemy" in his skepticism of the Iraq War.

Daschle also noticeably relied very heavily on the power of incumbency to win a fourth term. Some also argued that Stephanie Herseth's election to the state's only House seat hurt Daschle, as voters may not have been comfortable sending an all-Democratic delegation to Congress for the first time in many decades. Accusations that Daschle was possibly considering no longer being an official resident of South Dakota was believed to have offended voters there. Others have analyzed that Daschle's lengthy consideration and eventual rejection of a potential run for the presidency in 2004 took a toll on South Dakotans, who felt betrayed and used by Daschle as a result.

When the race began in early 2004, Daschle led by seven points in January and February. By May, his lead minimized to just two points and into the summer polls showed a varying number of trends: either Daschle held a slim one to two-point lead, Thune held a slim one to two-point lead, or the race was tied. Throughout September, Daschle led Thune by margins of two to five percent. During the entire month of October into the November 2 election, most polls showed that Thune and Daschle were dead even, usually tied 49-49 among likely voters. Some polls showed either Thune or Daschle leading by extremely slim margins.

Thune is a onetime aide to Senator James Abdnor,[6] the man Daschle defeated in 1986 to gain his seat in the Senate.[7]

During Daschle's farewell address on November 19, 2004, he received a standing ovation from the Senate floor.[8] His term as South Dakota's senator expired on January 3, 2005, with the commencement of the 109th Congress. Harry Reid took over as Minority Leader, and became Majority Leader in 2007.

Predictions[]

Source Ranking As of
Sabato's Crystal Ball[9] Lean R (flip) November 1, 2004

Results[]

General election results[10]
Party Candidate Votes % ±%
Republican John Thune 197,848 50.58% +14.17%
Democratic Tom Daschle (incumbent) 193,340 49.42% -12.72%
Total votes 391,188 100.00% N/A
Republican gain from Democratic

See also[]

  • 2004 United States Senate elections

References[]

  1. ^ "2004 General Election Official Returns for U.S. Senate". SDSOS.gov. Retrieved January 10, 2022.
  2. ^ Simon, Richard (May 21, 2004). "Senate Leader Frist to Campaign Against Daschle". Los Angeles Times.
  3. ^ Stolberg, Sheryl Gay (November 3, 2004). "Daschle, Democratic Senate Leader, Is Beaten". The New York Times.
  4. ^ McCutcheon, Michael; Barone, Chuck (2013). 2014 Almanac of American Politics. The University of Chicago Press.
  5. ^ Carroll, Susan J.; Fox, Richard L. (December 26, 2005). Gender and Elections: Shaping the Future of American Politics. Cambridge University Press. ISBN 9781139447898 – via Google Books.
  6. ^ Lawrence, Tom. "Thune once again raises idea of retirement". Black Hills Pioneer.
  7. ^ Williams, Todd. "The Fives: And McGovern begat Abdnor, and Abdnor begat Daschle, and Daschle begat …". Rapid City Journal Media Group.
  8. ^ "Senate Farewell Speech | C-SPAN.org". www.c-span.org. Retrieved 2020-11-13.
  9. ^ "The Final Predictions". Sabato's Crystal Ball. Retrieved May 2, 2021.
  10. ^ "Office of the Clerk, U.S. House of Representatives".
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