2010 Colombian presidential election
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Turnout | 49.30% (first round) 44.35% (second round) | ||||||||||||||||||||||
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Second round results by department | |||||||||||||||||||||||
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Colombia portal
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Presidential elections were held in Colombia in 2010. They took place under a two-round system, with an initial vote held on May 30 and a second poll held three weeks later on June 20.[1] A referendum proposal that would have allowed incumbent President Álvaro Uribe the opportunity to run for a third term was rejected by the Constitutional Court of Colombia in a 7–2 ruling on February 26, 2010.[2] Because no candidate received a majority (more than one-half) of the votes cast in the May 30 poll, the candidates with the two highest vote totals competed in a runoff election on June 20: Juan Manuel Santos of the liberal-conservative Social Party of National Unity which unites supporters of former President Uribe, and Antanas Mockus from the Green Party. Santos won the election with 69% of the votes.
Candidates[]
Government group[]
In 2002, Álvaro Uribe of the Colombia First party was elected president with 53.1 per cent of the vote, breaking the two-party system that ruled the country since 1958, with the promise of ending the armed conflict that haunts the country since 1964 by strengthening the Armed Forces.[3] In 2006, he managed to change the Constitution in order to run for a second consecutive term.[3] After a practically mute campaign, Uribe won the election with 62.2 per cent of the vote, followed by Carlos Gaviria of the Alternative Democratic Pole with a distant 22 per cent.[3]
In 2007, Luis Guillermo Giraldo, leader of the pro-Uribe Party of the U, announced he would create the "promoters' committee", a group charged with gathering signatures to call a referendum on whether Uribe should be allowed to run for a third term in office.[3] In September 2009, Congress approved the referendum bill in a late-night voting boycotted by members of the opposition.[3] On February 26, 2010, the Constitutional Court voted against the referendum bill.[3] Immediately after the ruling, former defence minister Juan Manuel Santos confirmed that he would become a presidential candidate.[3] Another Uribist candidate was Germán Vargas Lleras of the Radical Change party.[3] Former Colombian ambassador to the United Kingdom, Noemí Sanín, and former agriculture minister , two of the closest Uribe allies, were seeking nomination by the Conservative Party.[3] Sanín was nominated.
Opposition group[]
Two of the opposition candidates were Rafael Pardo of the Liberal Party and Gustavo Petro of the Alternative Democratic Pole.[3] Álvaro Leyva Durán, a Uribe opponent, was seeking the presidential nomination by the Conservative Party.[3]
On October 2, 2009, the Green Party was officially created.[3] It nominated its presidential candidate on a primary ballot that took place on March 14, 2010, the same day as the legislative election.[3] The contenders were three former Bogotá mayors: Enrique Peñalosa, Antanas Mockus, and Luis Eduardo Garzón. The Greens seek to be a moderate force in what they called "a polarized" political situation, calling themselves "Post-Uribists."[3] Mockus was chosen as their candidate. Former Medellín mayor Sergio Fajardo joined him as his running mate on 5 April 2010, after missing the requirements to become a presidential candidate himself.[4]
Opinion polls[]
First round[]
Date | Institute | Candidate | Undecided (Ns/Nr) V. None |
Source | |||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Rafael Pardo | Gustavo Petro | Germán Vargas Lleras | Sergio Fajardo | Juan Manuel Santos | Antanas Mockus | Noemí Sanín | Róbinson Devia | Jaime Araújo | Jairo Calderón | ||||
March 24, 2010 | Invamer Gallup | 5.1% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 34.2% | 10.4% | 23.3% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 8.4% | [5] |
March 26, 2010 | Datexco | 5.5% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 4.4% | 34.1% | 8.9% | 21.7% | 0% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 11.4% | [6] |
March 27, 2010 | Ipsos Napoleón Franco | 4% | 6% | 8% | 5% | 36% | 9% | 17% | 1% | 0% | 0% | 14% | [7] |
March 27, 2010 | Centro Nacional de Consultoría | 3.4% | 3.6% | 6.5% | 3.6% | 28.6% | 11.3% | 21.9% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 21.1% | [8] |
April 8, 2010 | Centro Nacional de Consultoría | 5% | 6% | 3% | - | 37% | 22% | 20% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 7% | [9] |
April 9, 2010 | Datexco | 5.2% | 3.1% | 3% | - | 29.5% | 24.8% | 16.4% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 17.2% | [10] |
April 15, 2010 | Centro Nacional de Consultoría | 4% | 4% | 2% | - | 36% | 29% | 19% | 0% | 1% | 0% | 5% | [11] |
April 16, 2010 | Ipsos Napoleón Franco | 5% | 4% | 3% | - | 30% | 20% | 12% | 1% | 5% | 5% | 15% | [12] |
April 22, 2010 | Centro Nacional de Consultoría | 5% | 5% | 4% | - | 35% | 34% | 12% | 0% | 1% | 0% | 3% | [13] |
April 26, 2010 | Ipsos Napoleón Franco | 3% | 5% | 3% | - | 29% | 38% | 11% | 0% | 1% | 0% | 10% | [14] |
April 28, 2010 | Invamer Gallup | 5.7% | 5.0% | 3.6% | - | 34.2% | 31.6% | 16.2% | 0% | 0.1% | 0% | 3.5% | [15] |
April 29, 2010 | Centro Nacional de Consultoría | 3% | 5% | 4% | - | 34% | 39% | 11% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 4% | [16] |
April 30, 2010 | Datexco | 2.3% | 2.9% | 3.3% | - | 26.7% | 38.7% | 9.8% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 16.3% | [17] |
May 6, 2010 | Centro Nacional de Consultoría | 3% | 5% | 5% | - | 34% | 38% | 11% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 4% | [18] |
May 7, 2010 | Datexco | 1.4% | 4.2% | 3.1% | - | 25.2% | 37.7% | 6.7% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 21.7% | [19] |
May 9, 2010 | Ipsos Napoleón Franco | 4% | 4% | 3% | - | 35% | 34% | 8% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 12% | [20] |
May 13, 2010 | Centro Nacional de Consultoría | 3% | 4% | 4% | - | 38% | 36% | 9% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 6% | [21] |
May 14, 2010 | Datexco | 3.1% | 7.5% | 4.3% | - | 29.3% | 32.8% | 5.6% | 0% | 0.4% | 0% | 13.8% | [22] |
May 19, 2010 | Invamer Gallup | 3.8% | 7.3% | 3.8% | - | 37.5% | 35.4% | 8.8% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0% | 3.1% | [23] |
May 20, 2010 | University of Medellin | 2.4% | 5.5% | 3.6% | - | 32.9% | 37.4% | 8.1% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 6.9% | [24] |
May 20, 2010 | Centro Nacional De Consultoría | 4% | 5% | 4% | - | 39% | 34% | 9% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 4% | [25] |
May 21, 2010 | Datexco | 2% | 5% | 3% | - | 35% | 34% | 9% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 12% | [26] |
May 22, 2010 | Ipsos Napoleón Franco | 3% | 6% | 5% | - | 34% | 32% | 6% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 14% | [27] |
Second round: Mockus vs. Santos[]
Date | Institute | Candidate | Undecided (Ns/Nr) V. None |
Source | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Juan Manuel Santos | Antanas Mockus | ||||
April 15, 2010 | Centro Nacional de Consultoría | 49% | 44% | 7% | [28] |
April 16, 2010 | Ipsos Napoleón Franco | 45% | 37% | 18% | [12] |
April 22, 2010 | Centro Nacional de Consultoría | 44% | 50% | 6% | [13] |
April 26, 2010 | Ipsos Napoleón Franco | 37% | 50% | 13% | [14] |
April 28, 2010 | Invamer Gallup | 42.2% | 47.9% | 9.9% | [15] |
April 29, 2010 | Centro Nacional de Consultoría | 42% | 53% | 5% | [16] |
April 30, 2010 | Datexco | 29% | 41.5% | 29.5% | [17] |
May 6, 2010 | Centro Nacional de Consultoría | 43% | 50% | 7% | [18] |
May 7, 2010 | Datexco | 30.5% | 52% | 17.5% | [19] |
May 9, 2010 | Ipsos Napoleón Franco | 41% | 48% | 11% | [20] |
May 13, 2010 | Centro Nacional de Consultoría | 47% | 47% | 6% | [21] |
May 14, 2010 | Datexco | 33.6% | 47.9% | 17.5% | [22] |
May 19, 2010 | Invamer Gallup | 42.2% | 48.5% | 9.3% | [23] |
May 20, 2010 | University of Medellin | 36% | 41.4% | 22.6% | [29] |
May 20, 2010 | Centro Nacional de Consultoría | 47% | 46% | 7% | [25] |
May 21, 2010 | Datexco | 44% | 45% | 11% | [30] |
May 22, 2010 | Ipsos Napoleón Franco | 40% | 45% | 15% | [27] |
June 3, 2010 | Centro Nacional de Consultoría | 61.6% | 29.8% | 5.8% | [31] |
Conduct[]
On election day seven Colombian security services personnel were killed and eight were missing; parallels were drawn with FARC attacks and Santos' tenure as Defense Minister.[32]
Results[]
No candidate received an outright majority in the first round vote held on May 30. Santos and Mockus faced one another in the runoff election on 20 June, leading to the election of Juan Manuel Santos as the next Colombian President.
Santos achieved a landslide victory, with 69 per cent of the votes.[33] Mockus got 27.51 per cent of votes.[34] This was the largest margin of victory for a president in the democratic period of Colombia's history.[35] Santos won 32 of the country's 33 electoral districts.[33] His allies have an overwhelming majority in the Colombian Congress.[33] Santos vowed to continue his predecessor's hardline stance against the country's Marxist rebels.[33] He paraphrased Isaac Newton – "If we have come far it's because we are standing on the shoulders of giants" – and said he would rid Colombia of what he described as the "nightmare of violence".[36]
The United States State Department said it was "pleased" with the election of Santos and praised the "spirited debate" before the runoff and Colombia's "longstanding commitment to democratic principles".[35]
Candidate | Party | First round | Second round | |||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Votes | % | Votes | % | |||
Juan Manuel Santos | Social Party of National Unity | 6,802,043 | 46.68 | 9,028,943 | 69.13 | |
Antanas Mockus | Green Party | 3,134,222 | 21.51 | 3,587,975 | 27.47 | |
Germán Vargas Lleras | Radical Change | 1,473,627 | 10.11 | |||
Gustavo Petro | Alternative Democratic Pole | 1,331,267 | 9.14 | |||
Noemí Sanín | Colombian Conservative Party | 893,819 | 6.13 | |||
Rafael Pardo | Colombian Liberal Party | 638,302 | 4.38 | |||
Róbinson Devia | Voice of Conscience Movement | 31,338 | 0.22 | |||
Jairo Calderón | Liberal Opening Movement | 29,151 | 0.20 | |||
Jaime Araújo | Afro-Colombian Social Alliance | 14,847 | 0.10 | |||
Blank votes | 223,977 | 1.54 | 444,274 | 3.40 | ||
Total | 14,572,593 | 100.00 | 13,061,192 | 100.00 | ||
Valid votes | 14,572,593 | 98.59 | 13,061,192 | 98.23 | ||
Invalid votes | 208,427 | 1.41 | 235,732 | 1.77 | ||
Total votes | 14,781,020 | 100.00 | 13,296,924 | 100.00 | ||
Registered voters/turnout | 29,983,279 | 49.30 | 29,983,279 | 44.35 | ||
Source: RNEC, RNEC, IFES, IFES |
Notes and references[]
- ^ Maximiliano Herrera. "Electoral Calendar- world elections,US elections,presidential election,world parties". Mherrera.org. Retrieved 2010-06-23.
- ^ Markey, Patrick (2010-02-26). "Colombia's Uribe blocked from re-election". Reuters. Retrieved 2010-02-26.
- ^ Jump up to: a b c d e f g h i j k l m n Uribe will not run again Archived 2010-05-03 at the Wayback Machine. Angus Reid Global Monitor. March 14, 2010.
- ^ "Santos, Sanín Could Go to Run-off in Colombia: Angus Reid Global Monitor". Angus-reid.com. Archived from the original on 2010-04-12. Retrieved 2010-06-23.
- ^ La Opinión, ed. (24 March 2010). "Primera gran encuesta de medios sobre intención de voto para las próximas elecciones presidenciales".
- ^ El Tiempo, ed. (26 March 2010). "Juan Manuel Santos, con 34,1 por ciento, encabeza encuesta de Datexco; Noemí Sanín lo sigue con 21,7".
- ^ Revista Semana, ed. (27 March 2010). "El Partidor".
- ^ Revista Poder, ed. (27 March 2010). "¿Santos vs. Noemí en segunda vuelta?".
- ^ Revista Semana, ed. (8 April 2010). "Mockus supera a Sanín en encuesta del Centro Nacional de Consultoría".
- ^ Diario El Tiempo, ed. (9 April 2010). "Nuevo Opinómetro de Datexco revela que Santos y Mockus disputarían la segunda vuelta".
- ^ Diario El Espectador, ed. (15 April 2010). "Nueva encuesta presidencial revela que Mockus está a sólo 7 puntos de Santos".
- ^ Jump up to: a b Revista Semana, ed. (16 April 2010). "Habría segunda vuelta Santos – Mockus, según Gran Encuesta".
- ^ Jump up to: a b CM&, ed. (22 April 2010). "GRAN ENCUESTA CM&: Antanas Mockus ganaría la Presidencia si la segunda vuelta fuera mañana".
- ^ Jump up to: a b Semana, ed. (26 April 2010). "Mockus 38% – Santos 29%, en primera; Mockus 50% – Santos 37%, en segunda".
- ^ Jump up to: a b Caracol Televisión, ed. (28 April 2010). "Santos ganaría en primera vuelta y Mockus, en segunda". Archived from the original on 1 May 2010. Retrieved 30 April 2010.
- ^ Jump up to: a b Noticiero CM&, ed. (29 April 2010). "Candidato Antanas Mockus encabeza nueva encuesta de CM& y el Centro Nacional de Consultoría".
- ^ Jump up to: a b El Tiempo, ed. (30 April 2010). "Mockus tendría el 41,5% de intención de voto en segunda vuelta y Santos el 29%, según Datexco".
- ^ Jump up to: a b El Espectador, ed. (6 May 2010). "Nueva encuesta da a Mockus una ventaja de cuatro puntos sobre Santos".
- ^ Jump up to: a b W Radio, ed. (7 May 2010). "Antanas Mockus con un 37,7% encabeza intención de voto, revela encuesta de Datexco".
- ^ Jump up to: a b Semana, ed. (9 May 2010). "¡Empatados!".
- ^ Jump up to: a b CM&, ed. (13 May 2010). "Nueva gran encuesta presidencial CM& – Centro Nacional de Consultoría". Archived from the original on 7 July 2011. Retrieved 17 May 2010.
- ^ Jump up to: a b Caracol Radio, ed. (14 May 2010). "Nueva encuesta de Datexco mantiene en primer lugar a Mockus".
- ^ Jump up to: a b El Tiempo, ed. (19 May 2010). "Santos, con el 37,5%, y Mockus, con el 35,4%, encabezan intención de voto: encuesta Invamer Gallup".
- ^ El Espectador, ed. (20 May 2010). "Segunda Encuesta Elecciones Presidenciales 2010".
- ^ Jump up to: a b El Tiempo, ed. (20 May 2010). "Santos 39%; Mockus 34%, según la más reciente encuesta del centro Nacional de Consultoría".
- ^ El Tiempo, ed. (21 May 2010). "Empate técnico entre Santos, con el 35%, y Mockus, con el 34%, revela sondeo de Datexco".
- ^ Jump up to: a b El Espectador, ed. (22 May 2010). "Santos ganador en primera vuelta mientras Mockus lo haría en la segunda".
- ^ Diario El Pais, ed. (15 April 2010). "Según nueva encuesta, Mockus está a siete puntos de Santos".[permanent dead link]
- ^ El Espectador, ed. (20 May 2010). "Encuesta de la Universidad de Medellín da como ganador a Mocku".
- ^ El Tiempo, ed. (21 May 2010). "Empate técnico entre Santos, con el 35%, y Mockus, con el 34%, revela sondeo de Datexco".
- ^ AFP, ed. (3 June 2010). "Los sondeos dan una victoria aplastante de Santos en las elecciones de Colombia".
- ^ "Police killed on Colombia poll day - Americas". Al Jazeera English. 2010-05-29. Retrieved 2010-06-23.
- ^ Jump up to: a b c d Hennigan, Tom (22 June 2010). "Landslide win for Santos in Colombian election". The Irish Times. Irish Times Trust. Retrieved 22 June 2010.
- ^ Xuequan, Mu (20 June 2010). "Santos elected as new president of Colombia". Xinhua News Agency. Retrieved 20 June 2010.
- ^ Jump up to: a b "U.S. is 'pleased' with Colombia's new president-elect Santos". The Hindu. 22 June 2010. Retrieved 22 June 2010.
- ^ Murphy, Helen; Bristow, Matthew (21 June 2010). "Colombia's Santos Hails Uribe in Landslide Victory (Correct)". Business Week. Retrieved 21 June 2010.
- Presidential elections in Colombia
- 2010 elections in South America
- 2010 in Colombia
- May 2010 events in South America
- June 2010 events in South America