2018 Maine gubernatorial election

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2018 Maine gubernatorial election

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  Janet Mills in 2019.jpg No image.svg No image.svg
Nominee Janet Mills Shawn Moody Terry Hayes
Party Democratic Republican Independent
Popular vote 320,962 272,311 37,268
Percentage 50.9% 43.2% 5.9%

2018 Maine gubernatorial election results map by county.svg
County results
Mills:      40-50%      50–60%      60–70%
Moody:      40–50%      50–60%

Governor before election

Paul LePage
Republican

Elected Governor

Janet Mills
Democratic

The 2018 Maine gubernatorial election took place on November 6, 2018, to elect the next Governor of Maine. It occurred along with elections for the U.S. Senate, U.S. House, and other state and local elections. Incumbent Republican Governor Paul LePage was term limited and could not seek reelection to a third consecutive term in office although he later announced his campaign for a third term in the 2022 election.[1][2]

The primaries for this election were the first in Maine to be conducted with ranked choice voting (RCV), as opposed to a simple plurality, after voters passed a citizen referendum approving the change in 2016.[3] An advisory opinion by the Maine Supreme Judicial Court held that RCV would be unconstitutional for general elections for governor and the state legislature. This led state legislators to vote to delay its implementation pending approval of a state constitutional amendment.[4][5] Backers of a "people's veto" turned in enough signatures to suspend this law until a June referendum vote, which restored RCV for future primary and congressional elections.[6]

Governor Paul LePage threatened not to certify the results of the primary elections, saying he would "leave it up to the courts to decide."[7] He also called the use of ranked-choice voting the "most horrific thing in the world."[8] Secretary of State Matthew Dunlap said the results would be binding regardless of whether LePage certified them.[9]

The Republican nominee was businessman and 2010 independent candidate for governor Shawn Moody. The Democratic candidate was Attorney General Janet Mills. State Treasurer Terry Hayes and businessman Alan Caron had qualified for the ballot as independents, though Caron dropped out on October 29 and endorsed Mills. Former state senator and former mayor of Lewiston and Auburn John Jenkins and perennial candidate Kenneth Capron ran write-in campaigns.

Mills defeated Moody and Hayes with a majority to become the first female Governor of Maine. She also became the first gubernatorial candidate to win at least 50% of the vote since Angus King in 1998, and the first non-incumbent to do so since Kenneth M. Curtis in 1966. Mills also became the first Maine gubernatorial candidate to earn 300,000 votes and received more votes for governor than any other candidate in state history.

Background[]

Incumbent Republican Paul LePage was term-limited, having been elected twice consecutively in 2010 and 2014. LePage did not win a majority of the vote either time (receiving 37.6% in a crowded four-way race in 2010 and 48.2% in a three-way race in 2014), with Democrats accusing independent candidate Eliot Cutler of splitting the anti-LePage vote in both instances, though Cutler finished closer to LePage than Democratic candidate Libby Mitchell in the 2010 election.[10]

Maine's history of governors elected without majorities, including LePage, was one impetus for the citizen's referendum to implement ranked choice voting.[11][12] Indeed, the last time a gubernatorial candidate received a majority of the vote was in 1998, when incumbent Governor (and current United States Senator) Angus King, an independent, won reelection with 58.6% of the vote. The last time a non-incumbent candidate received more than 50% of the vote was the 1966 gubernatorial election, which Democrat Kenneth M. Curtis won over incumbent Republican John H. Reed with 53.1% of the vote.

Though ranked-choice voting was approved by voters in a 2016 referendum, the Maine Legislature voted to delay and potentially repeal RCV for all elections after an advisory opinion by the Maine Supreme Judicial Court ruled it unconstitutional for general elections for state offices. RCV supporters succeeded in a people's veto effort to prevent the delay, which suspends it until a June 2018 referendum vote.[13] RCV supporters were victorious in the June referendum, and ranked-choice voting will remain in place for state and federal primaries and federal general elections.[14]

Republican primary[]

Speculation that U.S. Senator Susan Collins was considering running for governor arose during the 2015 Maine Legislative session when Representative Matt Moonen (D-Portland) introduced a bill to strip the governor (LePage at the time) of the power to appoint replacement U.S. Senators in the event of a vacancy and to instead have a special primary and general election. Moonen denied that he was motivated by Collins's possible candidacy, saying he was interested only in counterbalancing Republican-sponsored bills to change how the Maine Attorney General and Maine Secretary of State are chosen. Moonen said Collins had told him speculation about her running for governor was "silly."[15] Collins, who was the 1994 Republican nominee for Governor, told MPBN News on January 4, 2016 that though she was "baffled" by the rumors about her being interested in running for governor, many had encouraged her to run, and she would not rule it out.[16] In October 2017, Collins said she would not run for governor in 2018.[17]

No Republican candidate ruled out challenging the results of a ranked-choice primary in court. Mary Mayhew called for the immediate repeal of RCV, calling it a "scam" and "probably illegal".[18]

The Maine Republican Party filed a federal lawsuit in U.S. District Court in Bangor on May 4, 2018, seeking to bar the use of RCV for its own primary on the grounds that requiring the party to use it violates its First Amendment rights to choose its nominee as it sees fit.[19] U.S. District Court Judge Jon Levy rejected the suit on May 29.[20]

Candidates[]

Nominated[]

  • Shawn Moody, businessman and independent candidate for governor in 2010[21]

Eliminated in primary[]

  • Ken Fredette, State House Minority Leader[22]
  • Garrett Mason, State Senate Majority Leader[23]
  • Mary Mayhew, former commissioner of the Maine Department of Health and Human Services[24]

Withdrawn[]

  • Deril Stubenrod, write-in candidate for the U.S. Senate in 2014[25]
  • Mike Thibodeau, Maine Senate President[26]

Declined[]

  • Rick Bennett, former chairman of the Maine Republican Party, former President of the Maine Senate, candidate for the U.S. Senate in 2012 and nominee for ME-02 in 1994[27]
  • Susan Collins, U.S. Senator and nominee for governor in 1994[28][29]
  • Nick Isgro, Mayor of Waterville[30]
  • Bruce Poliquin, U.S. Representative (ran for reelection)[31]
  • Peter Vigue, businessman[32]

Endorsements[]

Ken Fredette
Federal politicians
  • Marco Rubio, United States Senator from Florida and 2016 presidential candidate[33]
Garrett Mason
Federal politicians
  • Ted Cruz, United States Senator from Texas and 2016 presidential candidate[34]
Mary Mayhew
Federal politicians
  • Newt Gingrich, former Speaker of the United States House of Representatives[35]
Local and statewide politicians
  • Susan Austin, state representative[36]
  • Richard Bradstreet, state representative[36]
  • Richard Campbell, state representative[36]
  • Paul Chace, state representative[36]
  • Garrel Craig, state representative[36]
  • Scott Cyrway, state senator[36]
  • Robert Foley, state representative[36]
  • Phyllis Ginzler, state representative[36]
  • James Hamper, state senator[36]
  • Jeffery Hanley, state representative[36]
  • Matthew Harrington, state representative[36]
  • Stephanie Hawke, state representative[36]
  • Gary Hilliard, state representative[36]
  • Chris Johansen, state representative[36]
  • Jonathan Kinney, state representative[36]
  • Bob Macdonald, former mayor of Lewiston[37]
  • Richard Malaby, state representative[36]
  • Beth O'Connor, state representative[36]
  • Lester Ordway, state representative[36]
  • Michael Perkins, state representative[36]
  • John Picchiotti, state representative[36]
  • Jeffrey Pierce, state representative[36]
  • Dwayne Prescott, state representative[36]
  • Deborah Sanderson, state representative[36]
  • H. Stedman Seavey, state representative[36]
  • Abden Simmons, state representative[36]
  • Paula Sutton, state representative[36]
  • Timothy Theriault, state representative[36]
  • Karleton Ward, state representative[36]
Other individuals
  • Adrienne Bennett, former spokesperson for Governor Paul LePage[38]
Shawn Moody
Individuals
  • Rick Bennett, former President of the Maine Senate, former Chair of the Maine Republican Party[39]
  • Ann LePage, First Lady of Maine[40]
Newspapers

Polling[]

Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin
of error
RCV
round
Ken
Fredette
Garrett
Mason
Mary
Mayhew
Shawn
Moody
Undecided
SurveyUSA April 26 – May 1, 2018 546 ± 4.8% Round 1 10% 15% 19% 34% 22%
Round 2 25% 26% 49%
Round 3 34% 65%
Hypothetical polling
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin
of error
Susan
Collins
Mary
Mayhew
Other Undecided
Public Policy Polling August 1–2, 2017 672 33% 44% 23%
28% 62% 10%

Results[]

Results by county
Map legend
  •   Moody—60–70%
  •   Moody—50–60%
  •   Moody—40–50%
  •   Moody—30–40%
Republican primary results[42]
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican Shawn Moody 53,436 52.6
Republican Garrett Mason 21,571 21.2
Republican Mary Mayhew 14,034 13.8
Republican Blank ballots 7,203 7.1
Republican Ken Fredette 5,341 5.3
Total votes 101,585 100.0

Democratic primary[]

Campaign signs for Democratic candidates for Governor Betsy Sweet, Mark Eves and Adam Cote at the 2018 Maine Democratic convention at the Androscoggin Bank Colisée in Lewiston.

Almost all Democratic candidates said that they would abide by the results of the ranked-choice primary, with only Janet Mills refusing to comment on the issue because it was being heard by the courts.[18]

Candidates[]

Nominated[]

Eliminated in primary[]

  • Adam Cote, attorney, Iraq War veteran and candidate for ME-01 in 2008[44]
  • Donna Dion, former mayor of Biddeford[45]
  • Mark Dion, state senator and former Cumberland County Sheriff[46]
  • Mark Eves, former Speaker of the Maine House of Representatives[47]
  • Diane Russell, former state representative[48]
  • Betsy Sweet, former director of the Maine Women's Lobby[49]

Failed to make ballot[]

  • Dominic A. Crocitto[50]
  • Steve DeAngelis, schoolteacher[51]
  • J. Martin Vachon[52]

Withdrawn[]

Declined[]

  • Justin Alfond, former state senator and former President of the Maine Senate[57][32][58]
  • Yellow Light Breen, CEO of the Maine Development Foundation[32]
  • Adam Goode, former state representative[32]
  • Troy Jackson, State Senate Minority Leader[32]
  • Stephen King, author[59][60]
  • Chellie Pingree, U.S. Representative[61]
  • Hannah Pingree, former Speaker of the Maine House of Representatives[32]
  • Lucas St. Clair, nonprofit executive (ran for ME-02)[62]

Endorsements[]

All endorsers are Democrats unless otherwise specified

Adam Cote
Federal politicians
  • Tom Allen, former US Representative for ME-01, nominee for US Senate in 2008[63]
Local and statewide politicians
  • Justin Alfond, former President of the Maine Senate[64]
  • Peter Baldacci, Penobscot County Commissioner[65]
  • Frank Bemis, former Presque Isle Town Council Chair[65]
  • Todd Brackett, Sheriff of Lincoln County[65]
  • Michael Brennan, former mayor of Portland, former state senator, candidate for ME-01 in 2008[65]
  • Marilyn Canavan, state representative[65]
  • Alan Casavant, Mayor of Biddeford, former state representative[65]
  • Justin Chenette, state senator[66]
  • Janice Cooper, state representative[65]
  • Tom Cote, Mayor of Sanford[65]
  • Annie Graham, former state representative[65]
  • Jon Hinck, former state representative and former Portland City Councillor[65]
  • Adam Lee, former Auburn City Councillor[65]
  • David Lemoine, former state representative[65]
  • Nate Libby, state senator, Senate Minority Whip[67]
  • Colleen Madigan, state representative[65]
  • Anne-Marie Mastraccio, state representative[65]
  • Patrick K. McGowan, former state representative, candidate for Governor in 2010, nominee for ME-02 in 1990 and 1992, former Small Business Administration Regional Administrator[65]
  • Cynthia Mehnert, Orono Town Councillor[65]
  • Cecil Munson, Former Augusta City Councillor[65]
  • Kevin O'Connell, Brewer City Councillor[65]
  • Peter O'Donnell, former Mayor of Portland[65]
  • Patrick Paradis, former state representative and former Augusta City Councillor[65]
  • Josh Plourde, former Bangor City Councillor[65]
  • Christina Riley, state representative[65]
  • David Rollins, Mayor of Augusta[65]
  • Michael Sanphy, Mayor of Westbrook[65]
  • Stephen Stanley, state representative[68]
  • Spencer Thibodeau, Portland City Councillor[65]
  • Dan Tremble, Bangor City Councillor[65]
  • Anna Turcotte, Westbrook City Councillor[65]
  • Linda Valentino, state senator[65]
  • Wayne Werts, former state representative[65]
Organizations
  • Maine Council of Machinists[69]
Newspapers
Steve DeAngelis (failed to make ballot)
Individuals
  • Timothy Simons, actor[71]
Mark Dion
Local and statewide politicians
  • Benjamin Collings, state representative[72]
Other individuals
  • Francine Breton, Former Cumberland County Jail Administrator[72]
  • Moses Sebunya, United States Department of Homeland Security, civil rights activist, former President of the NAACP in Maine[72]
Mark Eves
Local and statewide politicians
  • Joe Baldacci, former Bangor City Councillor[73]
  • Seth Berry, state representative[73]
  • Dale Denno, state representative[73]
  • Patrick Eisenhart, former gubernatorial candidate (2018)[74]
  • Sean Faircloth, Bangor City Councillor, former Mayor of Bangor, former state senator, former gubernatorial candidate (2018)[73]
  • Richard Farnsworth, state representative[73]
  • Ryan Fecteau, state representative[73]
  • Roger Fuller, state representative[73]
  • Drew Gattine, state representative[73]
  • Anne Haskell, former state senator[75]
  • Erik Jorgensen, state representative[73]
  • Chuck Kruger, former state representative[73]
  • Thomas Longstaff, state representative[73]
  • Louis Luchini, state representative[73]
  • Jay McCreight, state representative[73]
  • Jennifer Ellen Parker, state representative[73]
  • Deane Rykerson, state representative[73]
  • Linda Sanborn, former state representative[73]
  • John Alden Spear, state representative[73]
  • Ben Sprague, Mayor of Bangor[73]
  • Joan Welsh, former state representative[73]
Individuals
  • Adam Lee, small business owner and environmental activist[73]
  • Warren Silver, former Maine Supreme Judicial Court justice[73]
Organizations
  • Iron Workers Local 7[76]
  • Working Families Party[77] (also endorsed Sweet and Russell)
Janet Mills
Local and statewide politicians
Other individuals
Organizations
Diane Russell
Organizations
  • Working Families Party[77] (also endorsed Sweet and Eves)
Betsy Sweet
Local and statewide politicians
  • Everett "Brownie" Carson, state senator[88]
  • Clare Davitt, Bangor City Councillor[89]
  • Beth Edmonds, former President of the Maine Senate[90]
  • Karen Kusiak, former state representative, candidate for State Senate[91]
  • Dale McCormick, former Maine State Treasurer, former state senator, candidate for ME-01 in 1996[92][93]
  • Ethan Strimling, Mayor of Portland, former state senator, candidate for ME-01 in 2008[94]
  • Mike Sylvester, state representative[95]
  • Charlotte Warren, state representative[96]
  • Barb Wood, former Portland City Councillor, vice president of the Equality Maine Foundation[93]
Other individuals
Organizations
  • Southern Maine Democratic Socialists of America[99]
  • Working Families Party[90][77] (also endorsed Eves and Russell)

Polling[]

Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin
of error
RCV
round
Adam
Cote
Donna
Dion
Mark
Dion
Mark
Eves
Janet
Mills
Diane
Russell
Betsy
Sweet
Undecided
SurveyUSA April 26 – May 1, 2018 649 ± 4.2% Round 1 9% 2% 10% 16% 32% 4% 5% 24%
Round 2 13% 13% 20% 42% 5% 6%
Round 3 13% 13% 22% 43% 8%
Round 4 14% 15% 24% 48%
Round 5 19% 26% 55%

Results[]

Results by county
Map legend
  •   Mills—60–70%
  •   Mills—50–60%
  •   Mills—40–50%
  •   Mills—30–40%
  •   Mills—20–30%
  •   Cote—30–40%
Democratic primary results[42]
Party Candidate Round 1 Round 2 Round 3 Round 4
Votes % Transfer Votes % Transfer Votes % Transfer Votes %
Democratic Janet Mills 41,735 33.1% + 2,307 44,042 35.5% + 5,903 49,945 40.8% + 13,439 63,384 54.1%
Democratic Adam Cote 35,478 28.1% + 2,065 37,543 30.2% + 5,080 42,623 34.8% + 11,243 53,866 45.9%
Democratic Betsy Sweet 20,767 16.5% + 2,220 22,987 18.5% + 6,957 29,944 24.4% - 29,944 Eliminated
Democratic Mark Eves 17,887 14.2% + 1,634 19,521 15.7% - 19,521 Eliminated
Democratic Mark Dion 5,200 4.1% - 5,200 Eliminated
Democratic Diane Russell 2,728 2.2% - 2,728 Eliminated
Democratic Donna Dion 1,596 1.3% - 1,596 Eliminated
Democratic Write-ins 748 0.6% - 748 Eliminated
Total votes 132,250 100.0%

Green Independent primary[]

Candidates[]

Withdrawn[]

Libertarian primary[]

Candidates[]

Withdrawn[]

Independents[]

Candidates[]

Declared[]

  • Kenneth A. Capron, perennial candidate, systems analyst and fraud investigator[105]^ (write-in candidate)
  • Terry Hayes, Maine State Treasurer[54]
  • John Jenkins, former mayor of Lewiston, former mayor of Auburn and former Democratic state senator[106][107]^ (write-in candidate)

^ Capron and Jenkins failed to qualify for the ballot, but continued their campaigns as write-in candidates

Withdrawn[]

  • Ethan Alcorn, businessman (did not qualify)[108]
  • Alan Caron, president and CEO of Envision Maine (endorsed Mills)[109]
  • Aaron D. Chadbourne, writer and activist[110] (write-in candidate, endorsed Moody)[111]

Failed to make ballot[]

  • Karmo Sanders, actress[112]

Declined[]

  • Eliot Cutler, attorney and candidate for governor in 2010 and 2014[113]
  • Angus King, U.S. Senator and former governor (running for re-election)[114]
  • Peter Vigue, businessman[115][32]
  • Dick Woodbury, former state senator[32]

General election[]

After the primaries, most prediction models had the race as a tossup, noting Paul LePage's two victories and Hillary Clinton's narrow margin of victory in the state in the 2016 presidential election. Others considered it to be a pick-up opportunity for the Democrats.[116] Both Moody and Mills received the backing of outside money, with one PAC spending in excess of $1 million on television advertising in the state to support Mills's candidacy.[117]

On October 12, Jonathan Martin of The New York Times published an article detailing a sex discrimination complaint filed against Moody and his business in 2006, which Moody settled for $20,000, resulting in the complaint being withdrawn. The complaint alleged that Moody went to the residence of a female employee and fired her for having a child just days after delivering the child via an emergency caesarean section.[118] Moody denied the allegation through a spokesperson and later on Twitter.[119]

Though the first poll of the race saw Mills and Moody tied for first place with Hayes and Caron lagging behind, by the end of October, four different polls were released, each showing Mills with an eight-point lead over Moody. FiveThirtyEight declared the race "Likely D" when its gubernatorial projections were released in October, though other prediction models maintained the race as a tossup.

On October 29, in a press conference at the main branch of the Portland Public Library, Caron dropped out of the race and endorsed Mills. His name remained on the ballot, but any votes cast for him were regarded as blank.[120]

Shortly before 10 PM on election night, Hayes conceded the race.[121] At 12:15 AM on November 7, Moody conceded the race to Mills, and shortly thereafter Mills declared victory at Democratic headquarters in Portland.[121] Mills became the first Maine gubernatorial candidate to receive more than 300,000 votes in a single election. Mills also became the first Maine gubernatorial candidate to win a majority of the vote since Angus King won nearly 59% of the vote in his re-election bid in 1998, and became the first candidate to win a majority of the popular vote for a first term since Kenneth M. Curtis defeated incumbent governor John H. Reed in 1966, though Curtis and Reed were the only candidates in that race.

The general election used plurality voting, not ranked-choice voting.

Predictions[]

Source Ranking As of
The Cook Political Report[122] Tossup October 26, 2018
The Washington Post[123] Tossup November 5, 2018
FiveThirtyEight[124] Likely D (flip) November 5, 2018
Rothenberg Political Report[125] Tilt D (flip) November 1, 2018
Sabato's Crystal Ball[126] Lean D (flip) November 5, 2018
RealClearPolitics[127] Lean D (flip) November 4, 2018
Daily Kos[128] Tossup November 5, 2018
Fox News[129][a] Tossup November 5, 2018
Politico[130] Tossup November 5, 2018
Governing[131] Tossup November 5, 2018
Notes
  1. ^ The Fox News Midterm Power Rankings uniquely does not contain a category for Safe/Solid races

Endorsements[]

  • Endorsements in bold were made after the primaries on June 12, 2018
Terry Hayes (I)
Local and statewide politicians
  • Kent Ackley, state representative (I–Monmouth)[132]
  • Linda Baker, former state senator (R–Topsham)[132]
  • Kevin Battle, state representative (I-South Portland)[132]
  • Bobbi Beavers, former state representative (D–South Berwick)[133]
  • Kerri Bickford, former state representative (R–Topsham)
  • Andrea Boland, former state representative (D–Sanford)[134]
  • Owen Casas, state representative (I–Rockport)[132]
  • Ralph Chapman, state representative (GBrooksville)[132]
  • David Cotta, former state representative (R–China)[133]
  • Dean Cray, former state representative (R–Palmyra)[132]
  • Dennis Damon, former state representative (D–Trenton)[133]
  • Leslie Fossel, former state representative (R–Alna)[134]
  • Martin Grohman, state representative (I–Biddeford)[132]
  • Denise Harlow, state representative (I–Portland)[134]
  • Norm Higgins, state representative (I–Dover-Foxcroft)[135]
  • Bryan Kaenrath, former state representative (D–South Portland)[134]
  • Gary Knight, former state representative (R–Livermore Falls)[133]
  • Leila J. Percy, former state representative (D–Phippsburg)[133]
  • Stanley Short, former state representative (D–Pittsfield)[134]
  • Ed Suslovic, former Mayor of Portland and former state representative (D–Portland)[132]
  • Windol Weaver, former state representative (R-York)[133]
Individuals
  • Eliot Cutler, attorney and independent candidate for governor (2010 and 2014)[136]
Organizations
Janet Mills (D)
National politicians
  • Joe Biden, former Vice President of the United States[138]
  • Susan Rice, former United States Ambassador to the United Nations and former National Security Advisor[139]
Local and statewide politicians
Other individuals
  • David Farmer, political consultant and journalist[146]
  • Maura Healey, Massachusetts Attorney General[84]
  • Jay Inslee, Governor of Washington, chairman of the Democratic Governors Association[147]
  • Nick Wilson, executive director, Maine Gun Safety Coalition[85][86]
  • Monica Wood, author[148]
Organizations
Trade unions
Media
Shawn Moody (R)
State and local politicians
  • Rick Bennett, former President of the Maine Senate, former Chair of the Maine Republican Party[39]
  • Ken Fredette, State House Minority Leader, 2018 gubernatorial candidate[158]
  • Garrett Mason, State Senate Majority Leader, 2018 gubernatorial candidate[158]
  • Mary Mayhew, former Director the Maine Department of Health and Human Services[158]
  • Mike Thibodeau, President of the Maine Senate, 2018 gubernatorial candidate[158]
  • Paul LePage, Governor of Maine[158]
Other individuals
  • Adrienne Bennett, former spokesperson for Governor Paul LePage[38]
  • Matt DiBenedetto, NASCAR driver[159]
  • Ann LePage, First Lady of Maine[40]
  • Aaron D. Chadbourne, writer and activist, former write-in candidate for Governor[111]
Organizations
  • Associated Builders and Contractors of Maine[160]
  • Sportman's Alliance of Maine[161]

Debates[]

Dates Location Mills Moody Hayes Caron Link
October 10, 2018 Portland, Maine Participant Participant Participant Participant Full debate - C-SPAN
October 25, 2018 Augusta, Maine Participant Participant Participant Participant Full debate - C-SPAN

Polling[]

Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin
of error
Shawn
Moody (R)
Janet
Mills (D)
Terry
Hayes (I)
Alan
Caron (I)
Other Undecided
Slingshot Strategies (I-Hayes) November 1, 2018 518 38% 55% 7%
Emerson College October 27–29, 2018 883 ± 3.5% 42% 50% 5% 4%
Pan Atlantic Research October 1–7, 2018 500 ± 4.4% 36% 44% 8% 2% 10%
Change Research September 30 – October 1, 2018 801 44% 52%
Slingshot Strategies (I-Hayes) September 26–30, 2018 600 33% 41% 10% 2% 0% 13%
Suffolk University Archived November 7, 2018, at the Wayback Machine August 2–6, 2018 500 ± 4.4% 39% 39% 4% 3% 16%
Hypothetical polling
if ranked-choice voting were used
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin
of error
Shawn
Moody (R)
Janet
Mills (D)
Terry
Hayes (I)
Alan
Caron (I)
Undecided
Slingshot Strategies (I-Hayes) November 1, 2018 518 37% 49% 11% 3%
Slingshot Strategies (I-Hayes) September 26–30, 2018 600 42% 45% 9% 4%

Results[]

Maine gubernatorial election, 2018[162]
Party Candidate Votes % ±%
Democratic Janet Mills 320,962 50.89% +7.52%
Republican Shawn Moody 272,311 43.18% -5.01%
Independent Terry Hayes 37,268 5.91% N/A
Write-in 126 0.02% N/A
Total votes 630,667 100.00% N/A
Democratic gain from Republican

Results by county[]

Janet Mills
(Democratic)
Shawn Moody
(Republican)
Terry Hayes
(Independent)
Total
County Votes % Votes % Votes % Votes
Androscoggin 19,801 44.0% 21,903 48.6% 3,337 7.4% 45,041
Aroostook 10,360 38.2% 14,498 53.5% 2,238 8.3% 27,096
Cumberland 95,346 61.2% 53,088 34.1% 7,373 4.7% 155,807
Franklin 7,083 50.3% 6,254 44.4% 738 5.2% 14,075
Hancock 15,228 54.1% 11,356 40.4% 1,549 5.5% 28,133
Kennebec 26,777 47.9% 25,752 46.0% 3,422 6.1% 55,951
Knox 11,691 57.4% 7,694 37.8% 985 4.8% 20,370
Lincoln 9,676 50.9% 8,324 43.8% 1,019 5.4% 19,019
Oxford 10,510 41.1% 12,342 48.2% 2,742 10.7% 25,594
Penobscot 29,004 45.2% 31,572 49.2% 3,640 5.7% 64,216
Piscataquis 2,887 38.7% 4,109 55.1% 464 6.2% 7,460
Sagadahoc 10,152 53.2% 7,714 40.4% 1,210 6.3% 19,076
Somerset 8,524 41.0% 11,048 53.2% 1,204 5.8% 20,776
Waldo 10,109 51.6% 8,397 42.9% 1,083 5.5% 19,589
Washington 5,736 44.0% 6,533 50.1% 770 5.9% 13,039
York 48,078 50.4% 41,727 43.8% 5,494 5.8% 95,299

See also[]

  • 2018 United States gubernatorial elections

References[]

  1. ^ @HowieCarrShow (April 29, 2020). "Governor Paul LePage just announced on my show that he'll be challenging Governor Janet Mills in 2022. Huge news" (Tweet). Archived from the original on April 30, 2020 – via Twitter.
  2. ^ "Paul LePage says 'I am going to challenge Janet Mills' in 2022". Bangor Daily News. April 29, 2020. Archived from the original on May 2, 2020. Retrieved April 29, 2020.
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