2018 Minnesota gubernatorial election
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Walz: 40–50% 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% Tie: 40–50% Johnson: 40–50% 50–60% 60–70% | ||||||||||||||||||||
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The 2018 Minnesota gubernatorial election took place on November 6, to elect the 41st Governor of Minnesota as incumbent Democratic governor Mark Dayton chose not to run for re-election for a third term. The Democratic nominee was congressman Tim Walz from Minnesota's 1st congressional district while the Republicans nominated Hennepin County commissioner Jeff Johnson. The Independence Party of Minnesota didn't field a candidate for the first time since 1994. Going into the election the polls showed Walz ahead and the race was characterized as lean or likely DFL.
In the end, Walz went on to defeat Johnson by the largest margin for a DFL candidate since 1986. Walz had also received more votes than any gubernatorial candidate in Minnesota's history.
Democratic–Farmer–Labor primary[]
Candidates[]
Nominated[]
Eliminated in primary[]
- Tim Holden,[3] real estate investor and candidate for Mayor of Saint Paul in 2017[4]
- Running mate: James P. Mellin II
- Erin Murphy, State Representative[5]
- Running mate: Erin Maye Quade, State Representative[6]
- Olé Savior, perennial candidate[3]
- Running mate: Chris Edman
- Lori Swanson, Attorney General of Minnesota
- Running mate: Rick Nolan, U.S. Representative[7]
Withdrawn[]
- Paul Thissen, State Representative, former House Minority Leader, and former Speaker of the House[8][9]
- Chris Coleman, former Mayor of Saint Paul[10][11]
- Tina Liebling, State Representative[12][13]
- Rebecca Otto, Minnesota State Auditor[14]
- Running mate: Zarina Baber, IT professional
Declined[]
- Tom Bakk, Minority Leader of the Minnesota Senate and candidate for governor in 2010[15][16][17]
- Mark Dayton, incumbent governor[18][19]
- Debra Hilstrom, state representative and candidate for Secretary of State in 2014 (running for Minnesota Attorney General)[20][21]
- Amy Klobuchar, U.S. Senator (running for re-election)[22]
- Rick Nolan, U.S. Representative[23] (running for Lieutenant Governor)
- R. T. Rybak, former vice chair of the Democratic National Committee, former Mayor of Minneapolis and candidate for governor in 2010[24][25][26]
- Tina Smith, U.S. Senator (running for election)[15][27][28]
Endorsements[]
hide
Erin Murphy (DFL)
- Mark Dayton, Governor of Minnesota
- Minnesota DFL Party
- Women Winning
Unions
- SEIU Minnesota State Council
- Minnesota Nurses Association[29]
- AFSCME Council 5
- IATSE Local 13[30]
State elected officials
- Joan Growe, former Minnesota Secretary of State
- Yvonne Prettner Solon, former Minnesota lieutenant governor and former state senator
- Ilhan Omar, state representative
- Mike Freiberg, state representative[31]
- Mary Kunesh-Podein, state representative
- Rena Moran, state representative
- JoAnn Ward, state representative
- Sandra Masin, state representative
- Liz Olson, state representative
- Erin Maye Quade, state representative
- Carlos Mariani, state representative
- Tim Mahoney, state representative
- Raymond Dehn, state representative
- Erin Koegel, state representative
- David Bly, state representative
- Lyndon Carlson, state representative
- Linda Slocum, state representative
- Karen Clark, state representative
- Susan Allen, state representative
- Chris Eaton, state senator
- Ann Rest, state senator
- Sandy Pappas, state senator
- Melisa Franzen, state senator[31]
- Matt Klein, state senator
Erik Simonson, state senator- Becky Lourey, former state senator
- Frank Hornstein, state representative
- Diane Loeffler, state representative
- , state representative
- Carolyn Laine, state senator
- John Marty, state senator
- Mary Sawatzky, former state representative
Local officials
- Melvin Carter, mayor of Saint Paul
- , Saint Paul City Council President
- , Saint Paul City Council
- , former Saint Paul City Council
- , Saint Paul School Board
- , Saint Paul School Board
- , Sant Paul School Board
- Lisa Bender. Minneapolis City Council President
- Alondra Cano, Minneapolis City Council
- , Minneapolis Park Board Commissioner
- , Itasca County Commissioner
- Tim Sumner, Beltrami County Commissioner
- , Kittson County Commissioner
- , Cook County Commissioner
- Mary Jo McGuire, Ramsey County Commissioner
- , Cook County Commissioner
- Emily Larson, mayor of Duluth
- , Duluth City Council
- , Duluth City Council
- , Duluth School Board
- David Kirby, Duluth School Board
- , Duluth School Board
- , Duluth School Board
- , Duluth School Board
- , former Duluth School Board member
- , West Saint Paul School Board
- , Bloomington School Board
- , Moorhead School Board
- , Hastings School Board
- , mayor of Silver Bay
- , mayor of South Saint Paul
- , mayor of Bemidji
- , mayor of Olivia
- , Coleraine City Council
- , New London City Council
- . Northfield City Council
- Michael Howard, Richfield City Council
- Gene Short, Currie City Council
- Patrick Boyle, St. Louis County Commissioner
- John Choi, Ramsey County Attorney
- , mayor of Moorhead
- , former member Mankato City Council
- , Montgomery City Council
- , Northfield City Council
- , Aurora City council
- , St. Louis Park City Council
- , Duluth City Council
- Phillipe Cunningham, Minneapolis City Council
- , Minneapolis City Council
- Jeremiah Ellison, Minneapolis City Council
- , Minneapolis City Council
- Andrea Jenkins, Minneapolis City Council
- , Fridley School Board
- , Nashwauk-Keewatin School Board
- , Minneapolis School Board
- , Minneapolis School Board
- , Minneapolis School Board
- , former member, Canby School Board
- , Minneapolis Park Board
- , St. Paul City Council Vice President
State leaders
- Mike Smart, Minnesota Teacher of the Year 2007 [32]
- Ryan Vernosh, Minnesota Teacher of the Year 2010
- Katy Smith, Minnesota Teacher of the Year 2011
- Jackie Roehl, Minnesota Teacher of the Year 2012
- Megan Olivia Hall, Minnesota Teacher of the Year 2013
- Tom Rademacher, Minnesota Teacher of the Year, 2014
- Amy Hewett-Olatunde, Ed.D., Minnesota Teacher of the Year 2015
- Abdul Wright, Minnesota Teacher of the Year 2016
DFL constituency caucuses
- DFL Disability Caucus
- DFL Latino Caucus
- Minnesota Young DFL
- Stonewall DFL
National organizations
- EMILY's List
- National Nurses United
- CPD Action
- LGBTQ Victory Fund[33]
- Color of Change PAC
State organizations
hide
Rebecca Otto (DFL)
State Elected Officials
- Tina Liebling, state representative, former 2018 gubernatorial candidate
DFL constituency caucuses
- Minnesota DFL Progressive Caucus
- Minnesota DFL Environmental Caucus
Organizations
- Our Revolution Minnesota - Our Revolution
- Duluth for Clean Water
National leaders
- Khizr Khan - Gold Star Father
hide
Lori Swanson (DFL)
- Federal politicians
- Rick Nolan, U.S. Representative and candidate for Lieutenant Governor on the same ticket
- State Elected Officials
- Tom Bakk, State Senator and Minority Leader
- David Tomassoni, State Senator
- Newspapers
- Mesabi Daily News (Primary)
- International Falls Journal (Primary)
- Unions
- Teamsters, Local 120
hide
Tim Walz (DFL)
- Federal politicians
- Walter Mondale, former Vice President, nominee for President in 1984, and former U.S. Senator[37]
- Collin Peterson, U.S. Representative[38]
- Betty McCollum, U.S. Representative
- Denis McDonough, Fmr. Chief of Staff to President Barack Obama
- Max Cleland, former U.S. Senator [39]
- Barney Frank, former U.S. Representative
- Mayors
- Jacob Frey, Mayor of Minneapolis[40]
- Ardell Brede, Mayor of Rochester
- Nora Slawik, Mayor of Maplewood
- Ben Schierer, Mayor of Fergus Falls
- Jim Hovland, Mayor of Edina
- Shep Harris, Mayor of Golden Valley
- Gary Skalko, Mayor of Mountain Iron
- Roy Srp, Mayor of Waseca
- Myron Bailey, Mayor of Cottage Grove
- Pat Baustian, Mayor of Luverne
- Bob Broeder, Mayor of Le Seur
- Ted Kozlowski, Mayor of Stillwater
- Jack L'Heureux, Mayor of Mora
- Charles Novak, Mayor of Ely
- Mark Peterson, Mayor of Winona
- Dennis Phelps, Mayor of Westbrook
- Mike Poellinger, Mayor of La Crescent
- Gary Skalko, Mayor of Mountain Iron
- Dave Smiglewski, Mayor of Granite Falls
- Tom Stiehm, Mayor of Austin
- Robert Beussman, Mayor of New Ulm
- R. T. Rybak, former mayor of Minneapolis[38]
- El Tinklenberg, former Mayor of Blaine
- State elected officials
- Clark Johnson, state representative
- Rob Eklund, state representative
- Cheryl Youakim, state representative
- Jack Considine, state representative
- Jamie Becker-Finn, state representative
- Paul Marquart, state representative
- Jeanne Poppe, state representative
- Duane Sauke, state representative
- Leon Lille, state representative
- Mike Sundin, state representative
- Nick Frentz, state senator
- Jason Isaacson, state senator
- Jim Carlson, state senator
- Dan Sparks, state senator
- Chuck Wiger, state senator
- Jerry Newton, state senator
- Greg Clausen, state senator
- Karla Bigham, state senator
- Tony Lourey, state senator
- Foung Hawj, state senator
- Dick Cohen, state senator
- Jeff Hayden, state senator
- Erik Simonson, state senator
- Susan Kent, state senator
- Ron Latz, state senator
- Matt Little, state senator
- Fue Lee, state representative[41]
- Yvonne Selcer, former state representative
- Robin Brown, former state representative
- John Dorn, former state representative
- John Persell, former state representative
- Loren Solberg, former state representative
- Ted Suss, former state representative
- Ruth Johnson, former state representative
- Patti Fritz, former state representative
- Steve Kelley, former state senator
- Matt Schmit, former state senator
- Kevin Dahle, former state senator
- Rod Skoe, former state senator
- Tom Saxhaug, former state senator
- Kathy Sheran, former state senator
- Alice Johnson, former state senator
- Sharon Ropes, former state senator
- Roger Reinert, former state senator
- Terri Bonoff, former state senator
- Don Samuelson, former state senator
- Mark Ritchie. Fmr. Minnesota Secretary of State
- Local officials
- Noah Hobbs, Duluth City Council
- Renee Van Nett, Duluth City Council
- Andrew Johnson, Minneapolis City Council
- Abdi Warsame, Minneapolis City Council
- Linea Palmisano, Minneapolis City Council
- Michael Herring, Robbinsdale School Board
- David Boone, Robbinsdale School Board
- Pam Lindberg, Robbinsdale School Board
- Anne Casey, St. Louis Park School Board
- Mary Tomback, St. Louis Park School Board
- Karen Waters, St. Louis Park School Board
- Ken Morrison, St. Louis Park School Board
- Crystal Brakke, Richfield School Board
- Chris LaTondresse, Hopkins School Board
- Jen Bouchard, Hopkins School Board
- Betsy Tate Anderson, former Hopkins School Board
- Nancy Livingston, North St. Paul School Board
- Todd Rengo, Esko School Board
- Jim Grabowska, St. Clair School Board
- Dan Hartman, former Duluth Council
- Kevin Staunton, Edina City Council
- Joanie Clausen, Golden Valley Council
- Gillian Rosenquist, Golden Valley Council
- Katy Campbell, Hopkins Council
- Valerie Holthus, Andover City Council
- Christian Torkelson, Little Canada Council
- Mari Daily, Moorhead Council
- Nevada Littlewolf, Virginia City Council
- Randy Maluchnik, Carver County Commissioner
- Vance Stuehrenberg, Blue Earth County Commissioner
- Gordy Wagner, Pope County Commissioner
- Reed Olson, Beltrami County Commissioner
- Linda Higgins, Hennepin County Commissioner
- Individuals
- David Wellstone, son of late Sen. Paul Wellstone
- Wesley Clark, retired General, former Supreme Allied Commander of NATO[42]
- Judy Shepard, Board President of Matthew Shepard Foundation, LGBT-rights activist
- Tribal nations
- Mille Lacs Band of Ojibwe
- Newspapers
- Unions
- Education Minnesota[45]
- IFO- Inter Faculty Organization [46]
- International Union of Operating Engineers - Local 49 [47]
- LiUNA!- Laborers' International Union of North America- Minnesota & North Dakota [48]
- SMART Sheet Metal Workers Local 10 - Sheet Metal Workers' International Association[49]
- North Central States Regional Council of Carpenters - United Brotherhood of Carpenters and Joiners of America
- Minnesota State Council of Machinists - International Association of Machinists and Aerospace Workers
- Teamsters Joint Council 32 [50]
- IBEW - International Brotherhood of Electrical Engineers - Minnesota State Council
- MAPE - Minnesota Association of Professional Employees[51]
- United Steelworkers District 11 - USW
- Minnesota Pipe Trades
- Ironworkers Local 512 - International Association of Bridge, Structural, Ornamental and Reinforcing Iron Workers
- IUPAT Local 82 - International Union of Painters and Allied Trades
- UFCW Local 1189- United Food and Commercial Workers
- Minnesota State Building & Construction Trades Council
- Roofers, Waterproofers & Allied Trades Local 96 - United Union of Roofers, Waterproofers and Allied Workers
- BMWED- Brotherhood of Maintenance of Way Employes
- Minneapolis Firefighters Local 82- International Association of Fire Fighters
- SMART Transportation Division, UTU- United Transportation Union
- Minnesota Professional Firefighters- International Association of Fire Fighters
- AFGE- American Federation of Government Employees[52]
- National Organizations
- VoteVets.org- Veterans Advocacy Group
Polling[]
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Erin Murphy |
Lori Swanson |
Tim Walz |
Other | Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Emerson College | August 8–11, 2018 | 217 | ± 6.9% | 19% | 29% | 28% | – | 24% |
| Marist College | July 15–19, 2018 | 439 | ± 5.6% | 11% | 28% | 24% | 1% | 37% |
| GQR Research (D-Minnesota Victory PAC) | June 25–27, 2018 | 602 | – | 17% | 37% | 29% | 1%[53] | 16% |
| showHypothetical polling |
|---|
Straw poll[]
Straw poll ballot at the Minnesota DFL February 2018 precinct caucuses
On February 6, 2018 the DFL conducted a statewide straw poll among registered Democrats in Minnesota. Caucus-goers were scheduled to elect delegates to their party's Senate district and county conventions, which in turn will elect state convention delegates who will endorse candidates for governor, two U.S. Senate seats, attorney general, state auditor and secretary of state. Congressional district delegates will endorse U.S. House candidates. Since the straw poll the three lowest performing candidates withdrew from the race (Paul Thissen, Chris Coleman, and Tina Liebling).
| Congressional Unit |
Total attendance |
Chris Coleman | Tina Liebling | Erin Murphy | Rebecca Otto | Paul Thissen | Tim Walz |
Other | Uncommitted |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 2577 | 71 | 355 | 107 | 232 | 56 | 1558 | 4 | 163 |
| 2 | 3501 | 384 | 202 | 411 | 656 | 120 | 1156 | 4 | 523 |
| 3 | 4291 | 670 | 202 | 386 | 827 | 186 | 1362 | 8 | 530 |
| 4 | 6072 | 854 | 297 | 1111 | 1227 | 139 | 1384 | 11 | 897 |
| 5 | 9519 | 1019 | 457 | 1400 | 1462 | 537 | 2363 | 30 | 1137 |
| 6 | 2375 | 326 | 115 | 294 | 587 | 59 | 590 | 4 | 375 |
| 7 | 2121 | 124 | 106 | 274 | 405 | 172 | 761 | 4 | 273 |
| 8 | 3873 | 441 | 277 | 474 | 1082 | 263 | 759 | 8 | 527 |
| Statewide | 34329 | 3889 | 2011 | 4457 | 6478 | 1532 | 9933 | 73 | 4425 |
| Percent | - | 11.86% | 6.13% | 13.59% | 19.75% | 4.67% | 30.29% | 0.22% | 13.49% |
Results[]
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Democratic (DFL) | Tim Walz | 242,832 | 41.60% | |
| Democratic (DFL) | Erin Murphy | 186,969 | 32.03% | |
| Democratic (DFL) | Lori Swanson | 143,517 | 24.59% | |
| Democratic (DFL) | Tim Holden | 6,398 | 1.10% | |
| Democratic (DFL) | Olé Savior | 4,019 | 0.69% | |
| Total votes | 583,735 | 100.00% | ||
Republican primary[]
Candidates[]
Nominated[]
- Jeff Johnson, Hennepin County Commissioner, former state representative, and nominee for governor in 2014[54]
- Running mate: Donna Bergstrom, retired Marine Corps intelligence officer[55]
Eliminated in primary[]
- Mathew Kruse[3]
- Running mate: Theresa Loeffler
- Tim Pawlenty, former governor and candidate for President of the United States in 2012[56]
- Running mate: Michelle Fischbach, incumbent lieutenant governor[57]
Withdrew[]
- Phillip Parrish, Naval Reserve intelligence officer and candidate for the U.S. Senate in 2014[58]
- Mary Giuliani Stephens, mayor of Woodbury[59][60]
- Running mate: Jeff Backer, state representative[61]
- Christopher Chamberlin[62][63] (running for MN-05)
- Matt Dean, state representative[64]
- Keith Downey, former chairman of the Republican Party of Minnesota and former state representative[65][66]
- Blake Huffman, Ramsey County Commissioner[67][68]
- David Osmek, state senator[69]
Declined[]
- Sarah Anderson, state representative[70]
- Michele Bachmann, former U.S. Representative and candidate for president in 2012[71]
- Michelle Benson, state senator and candidate for lieutenant governor in 2014[27][72]
- Kurt Daudt, Speaker of the Minnesota House of Representatives (Endorsed Pawlenty) [27][72]
- Tom Emmer, U.S. Representative (running for re-election)[73] and nominee for governor in 2010[74]
- Karin Housley, state senator[72] (running for the U.S. Senate)[75]
- Amy Koch, former Majority Leader of the Minnesota Senate[76][77]
- Mike Lindell, CEO of My Pillow[78]
- Mike McFadden, businessman and nominee for the U.S. Senate in 2014[27][72]
- Carla Nelson, state senator[79][80]
- Erik Paulsen, U.S. Representative (running for re-election)[27][72][81]
- Julie Rosen, state senator (endorsed Pawlenty)[72][77]
- Rich Stanek, Hennepin County Sheriff and former state representative (running for reelection as sheriff)[27][82]
Endorsements[]
hide
Tim Pawlenty
- John Jasinski, state senator[83]
- Steve Sviggum, former Speaker of the Minnesota House of Representatives[84]
- Kurt Zellers, former Speaker of the Minnesota House of Representatives[84]
- Josh Heintzeman, state representative[85]
- Housing First Minnesota[86]
- Associated Builders and Contractors[87]
- Minnesota Chamber of Commerce[88]
- Minnesota College Republicans[89]
- Police Officers Federation of Minneapolis[90]
- Duluth News Tribune[91]
- Star Tribune[92]
- Mesabi Daily News[93]
- Latino American Today[94]
Polling[]
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Jeff Johnson |
Matt Kruse |
Tim Pawlenty |
Other | Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Emerson College | August 8–11, 2018 | 156 | ± 8.0% | 34% | – | 43% | – | 23% |
| Marist College | July 15–19, 2018 | 340 | ± 6.4% | 32% | – | 51% | 1% | 16% |
| BK Strategies (R) | June 24–25, 2018 | 439 | ± 4.7% | 20% | 3% | 54% | – | 23% |
| showHypothetical polling |
|---|
Results[]
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Republican | Jeff Johnson | 168,841 | 52.61% | |
| Republican | Tim Pawlenty | 140,743 | 43.86% | |
| Republican | Mathew Kruse | 11,330 | 3.53% | |
| Total votes | 320,914 | 100.00% | ||
Third parties and independents[]
Candidates[]
Declared[]
- Josh Welter (Libertarian Party)[3]
- Chris Wright (Grassroots-Legalize Cannabis Party), Grassroots Party nominee for governor in 1998, 2010 and 2014[95][96]
Withdrawn[]
- (Independent),Human Rights activist and Farmer[97]
General election[]
Predictions[]
| Source | Ranking | As of |
|---|---|---|
| The Cook Political Report[98] | Likely D | October 26, 2018 |
| The Washington Post[99] | Lean D | November 5, 2018 |
| FiveThirtyEight[100] | Likely D | November 5, 2018 |
| Rothenberg Political Report[101] | Likely D | November 1, 2018 |
| Sabato's Crystal Ball[102] | Lean D | November 5, 2018 |
| RealClearPolitics[103] | Lean D | November 4, 2018 |
| Daily Kos[104] | Likely D | November 5, 2018 |
| Fox News[105][a] | Lean D | November 5, 2018 |
| Politico[106] | Likely D | November 5, 2018 |
| Governing[107] | Lean D | November 5, 2018 |
- Notes
- ^ The Fox News Midterm Power Rankings uniquely does not contain a category for Safe/Solid races
Debates[]
The debate season began only three days after the primaries with Johnson and Walz participating in two debates on Friday, August 17. A third debate was held Friday, August 31.[108][109]
| Host network/sponsors |
Date | Link(s) | Participants | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tim Walz (DFL) |
Jeff Johnson (R) | ||||
| MPR News | August 31, 2018 | [109] | Invited | Invited | |
| KSTP-TV | August 17, 2018 | [110] | Invited | Invited | |
| Twin Cities PBS (Almanac) | August 17, 2018 | [111] | Invited | Invited | |
Endorsements[]
hide
Jeff Johnson (R)
- Federal officials
- Donald Trump, President of the United States[112]
- Mike Pence, Vice President of the United States[113]
- Marco Rubio, U.S. Senator from Florida[31]
- Tom Emmer, U.S. Representative and 2010 nominee for Governor[114]
- Statewide and local officials
- Carol Molnau, former Minnesota lieutenant governor.[115]
- Matt Dean, state representative[116]
- Tim Pawlenty, former Governor of Minnesota[117]
- Al Quie, former Governor of Minnesota[118]
- Michelle Benson, Minnesota state senator[119]
- Individuals
- Organizations
hide
Tim Walz (DFL)
- Federal officials
- Barack Obama, 44th President of the United States[124]
- Walter Mondale, former Vice President, nominee for President in 1984, and former U.S. Senator[37]
- Amy Klobuchar, U.S. Senator[125]
- Tina Smith, U.S. Senator[126]
- Collin Peterson, U.S. Representative[38]
- Betty McCollum, U.S. Representative
- Rick Nolan, U.S. Representative[127]
- Dennis Mcdonough, Fmr. Chief of Staff to Barack Obama
- Max Cleland, former U.S. Senator[39]
- Newspapers
- Star Tribune (General Election)
- Duluth News Tribune (General Election)
- ECM Publishers
- Mesabi Daily News (General Election)
- Winona Daily News (General Election)
- Minnesota Daily (General Election)
- Mayors
- Eric Garcetti, Mayor of Los Angeles[128]
- Jacob Frey, Mayor of Minneapolis[40]
- Melvin Carter, Mayor of St. Paul
- Rita Albrecht, Mayor of Bemidji
- Emily Larson. Mayor of Duluth
- Rick Cannata, Mayor of Hibbing
- Bob Byrnes, Mayor of Marshall
- Molly Cummings, Mayor of Hopkins
- Mary Gaasch, Mayor of Lauderdale
- Kirsten Hagen-Kennedy, Mayor of North Branch
- Mike Kuhle, Mayor of Worthington
- Mike Maguire, Mayor of Eagan
- Rick Miller, Mayor of Waite Park
- Harold Peterson, Blooming Prairie
- Sarah Schroeder, Spring Grove
- John Tuorilla, Mayor of Columet
- Nancy Tyra-Lukens, Mayor of Eden Prairie
- Ardell Brede, Mayor of Rochester
- Nora Slawik, Mayor of Maplewood
- Ben Schierer, Mayor of Fergus Falls
- Jim Hovland, Mayor of Edina
- Shep Harris, Mayor of Golden Valley
- Gary Skalko, Mayor of Mountain Iron
- Roy Srp, Mayor of Waseca
- Myron Bailey, Mayor of Cottage Grove
- Pat Baustian, Mayor of Luverne
- Bob Broeder, Mayor of Le Seur
- Ted Kozlowski, Mayor of Stillwater
- Jack L'Heureux, Mayor of Mora
- Charles Novak, Mayor of Ely
- Mark Peterson, Mayor of Winona
- Dennis Phelps, Mayor of Westbrook
- Mike Poellinger, Mayor of La Crescent
- Gary Skalko, Mayor of Mountain Iron
- Dave Smiglewski, Mayor of Granite Falls
- Tom Stiehm, Mayor of Austin
- Robert Beussman, Mayor of New Ulm
- R. T. Rybak, former mayor of Minneapolis[38]
- El Tinklenberg, former Mayor of Blaine
- State and local officials
- Mark Dayton, Governor of Minnesota
- Arne Carlson, Former Governor of Minnesota (R)
- Lori Swanson, Minnesota Attorney General, fmr. candidate for Governor
- Erin Murphy, State representative, fmr. candidate for Governor
- Jennifer Schultz, state representative[129]
- Clark Johnson, state representative
- Rob Eklund, state representative
- Cheryl Youakim, state representative
- Jack Considine, state representative
- Jamie Becker-Finn, state representative
- Paul Marquart, state representative
- Jeanne Poppe, state representative
- Duane Sauke, state representative
- Leon Lille, state representative
- Mike Sundin, state representative
- Tina Liebling, state representative and fmr. candidate for Governor
- Nick Frentz, state senator
- Jason Isaacson, state senator
- Jim Carlson, state senator
- Dan Sparks, state senator
- Chuck Wiger, state senator
- Jerry Newton, state senator
- Greg Clausen, state senator
- Karla Bigham, state senator
- Tony Lourey, state senator
- Foung Hawj, state senator
- Dick Cohen, state senator
- Jeff Hayden, state senator
- Erik Simonson, state senator
- Susan Kent, state senator
- Ron Latz, state senator
- Matt Little, state senator
- Fue Lee, state representative[41]
- Yvonne Selcer, former state representative
- Robin Brown, former state representative
- John Dorn, former state representative
- John Persell, former state representative
- Loren Solberg, former state representative
- Ted Suss, former state representative
- Ruth Johnson, former state representative
- Patti Fritz, former state representative
- Steve Kelley, former state senator
- Matt Schmit, former state senator
- Kevin Dahle, former state senator
- Rod Skoe, former state senator
- Tom Saxhaug, former state senator
- Kathy Sheran, former state senator
- Alice Johnson, former state senator
- Sharon Ropes, former state senator
- Roger Reinert, former state senator
- Terri Bonoff, former state senator
- Don Samuelson, former state senator
- Mark Ritchie. Fmr. Minnesota Secretary of State
- Local officials
- Noah Hobbs, Duluth City Council
- Renee Van Nett, Duluth City Council
- Andrew Johnson, Minneapolis City Council
- Abdi Warsame, Minneapolis City Council
- Linea Palmisano, Minneapolis City Council
- Michael Herring, Robbinsdale School Board
- David Boone, Robbinsdale School Board
- Pam Lindberg, Robbinsdale School Board
- Anne Casey, St. Louis Park School Board
- Mary Tomback, St. Louis Park School Board
- Karen Waters, St. Louis Park School Board
- Ken Morrison, St. Louis Park School Board
- Crystal Brakke, Richfield School Board
- Chris LaTondresse, Hopkins School Board
- Jen Bouchard, Hopkins School Board
- Betsy Tate Anderson, former Hopkins School Board
- Nancy Livingston, North St. Paul School Board
- Todd Rengo, Esko School Board
- Jim Grabowska, St. Clair School Board
- Dan Hartman, former Duluth Council
- Kevin Staunton, Edina City Council
- Joanie Clausen, Golden Valley Council
- Gillian Rosenquist, Golden Valley Council
- Katy Campbell, Hopkins Council
- Valerie Holthus, Andover City Council
- Christian Torkelson, Little Canada Council
- Mari Daily, Moorhead Council
- Nevada Littlewolf, Virginia City Council
- Randy Maluchnik, Carver County Commissioner
- Vance Stuehrenberg, Blue Earth County Commissioner
- Gordy Wagner, Pope County Commissioner
- Reed Olson, Beltrami County Commissioner
- Linda Higgins, Hennepin County Commissioner
- Individuals
- David Wellstone, son of late Sen. Paul Wellstone
- Wesley Clark, retired General, former Supreme Allied Commander of NATO[42]
- Judy Shepard, Board President of Matthew Shepard Foundation, LGBT-rights activist
- Ken Martin, Chair of the Minnesota DFL Party
- Tribal nations
- Mille Lacs Band of Ojibwe
- Unions
- Education Minnesota[45]
- IFO- Inter Faculty Organization [46]
- International Union of Operating Engineers - Local 49 [47]
- LiUNA!- Laborers' International Union of North America- Minnesota & North Dakota [48]
- SMART Sheet Metal Workers Local 10 - Sheet Metal Workers' International Association[49]
- North Central States Regional Council of Carpenters - United Brotherhood of Carpenters and Joiners of America
- Minnesota State Council of Machinists - International Association of Machinists and Aerospace Workers
- Teamsters Joint Council 32 [50]
- IBEW - International Brotherhood of Electrical Engineers - Minnesota State Council
- MAPE - Minnesota Association of Professional Employees[51]
- United Steelworkers District 11 - USW
- Minnesota Pipe Trades
- Ironworkers Local 512 - International Association of Bridge, Structural, Ornamental and Reinforcing Iron Workers
- IUPAT Local 82 - International Union of Painters and Allied Trades
- UFCW Local 1189- United Food and Commercial Workers
- Minnesota State Building & Construction Trades Council
- Roofers, Waterproofers & Allied Trades Local 96 - United Union of Roofers, Waterproofers and Allied Workers
- BMWED- Brotherhood of Maintenance of Way Employes
- Minneapolis Firefighters Local 82- International Association of Fire Fighters
- SMART Transportation Division, UTU- United Transportation Union
- Minnesota Professional Firefighters- International Association of Fire Fighters
- AFGE- American Federation of Government Employees[52]
- Minnesota AFL-CIO- The American Federation of Labor and Congress of Industrial Organizations
- AFSCME Council 5- American Federation of State, County and Municipal Employees
- Teamsters Local 120
- SEIU Minnesota- Service Employees International Union
- National Organizations
- VoteVets.org- Veterans Advocacy Group
- NARAL Pro-Choice America- Minnesota Chapter
Polling[]
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Tim Walz (D) |
Jeff Johnson (R) |
Josh Welter (L) |
Other | Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Change Research | November 2–4, 2018 | 953 | – | 53% | 41% | 2% | 2%[130] | – |
| Research Co. | November 1–3, 2018 | 450 | ± 4.6% | 48% | 42% | – | 1% | 9% |
| SurveyUSA | October 29–31, 2018 | 600 | ± 5.3% | 49% | 41% | – | 2% | 9% |
| St. Cloud State University | October 15–30, 2018 | 404 | – | 50% | 34% | – | – | – |
| Mason-Dixon | October 15–17, 2018 | 800 | ± 3.5% | 45% | 39% | 3% | 2%[130] | 12% |
| Change Research | October 12–13, 2018 | 1,413 | – | 47% | 44% | 3% | 4%[131] | 2% |
| Marist College | September 30 – October 4, 2018 | 637 LV | ± 4.9% | 51% | 36% | 6% | <1% | 6% |
| 55% | 38% | – | <1% | 7% | ||||
| 860 RV | ± 4.2% | 49% | 37% | 7% | <1% | 7% | ||
| 53% | 39% | – | 1% | 8% | ||||
| Mason-Dixon | September 10–12, 2018 | 800 | ± 3.5% | 45% | 36% | 1% | 2%[130] | 16% |
| SurveyUSA | September 6–8, 2018 | 574 | ± 4.9% | 47% | 40% | – | 3% | 10% |
| Suffolk University | August 17–20, 2018 | 500 | ± 4.4% | 46% | 41% | 1% | 1%[132] | 12% |
| Emerson College | August 8–11, 2018 | 500 | ± 4.6% | 40% | 33% | – | – | 27% |
| show
Hypothetical polling |
|---|
Results[]
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | ±% | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Democratic (DFL) | Tim Walz | 1,393,096 | 53.84% | +3.77% | |
| Republican | Jeff Johnson | 1,097,705 | 42.43% | -2.08% | |
| Grassroots | Chris Wright | 68,667 | 2.65% | +1.07% | |
| Libertarian | Josh Welter | 26,735 | 1.03% | +0.11% | |
| Write-in | 1,084 | 0.04% | 0.00% | ||
| Total votes | 2,587,287 | 100.00% | N/A | ||
| Democratic (DFL) hold | |||||
Voter demographics[]
| Demographic subgroup | Walz | Johnson | No Answer |
% of Voters |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gender | ||||
| Men | 48 | 49 | 3 | 46 |
| Women | 59 | 37 | 4 | 54 |
| Age | ||||
| 18–24 years old | 71 | 25 | 4 | 6 |
| 25–29 years old | 63 | 34 | 3 | 5 |
| 30–39 years old | 60 | 38 | 2 | 12 |
| 40–49 years old | 51 | 46 | 3 | 13 |
| 50–64 years old | 54 | 45 | 1 | 29 |
| 65 and older | 52 | 46 | 2 | 35 |
| Race | ||||
| White | 53 | 46 | 1 | 89 |
| Black | 84 | 14 | 2 | 5 |
| Latino | N/A | N/A | N/A | 3 |
| Asian | N/A | N/A | N/A | 2 |
| Other | N/A | N/A | N/A | 2 |
| Race by gender | ||||
| White men | 46 | 53 | 1 | 41 |
| White women | 59 | 39 | 2 | 48 |
| Black men | N/A | N/A | N/A | 3 |
| Black women | N/A | N/A | N/A | 2 |
| Latino men | N/A | N/A | N/A | 1 |
| Latino women | N/A | N/A | N/A | 1 |
| Others | N/A | N/A | N/A | 3 |
| Education | ||||
| High school or less | 52 | 45 | 3 | 17 |
| Some college education | 48 | 49 | 3 | 24 |
| Associate degree | 48 | 49 | 3 | 17 |
| Bachelor's degree | 56 | 40 | 4 | 26 |
| Advanced degree | 70 | 28 | 2 | 16 |
| Education and race | ||||
| White college graduates | 61 | 35 | 4 | 38 |
| White no college degree | 46 | 51 | 3 | 51 |
| Non-white college graduates | 70 | 26 | 4 | 4 |
| Non-white no college degree | 74 | 23 | 3 | 7 |
| Whites by education and gender | ||||
| White women with college degrees | 68 | 29 | 3 | 21 |
| White women without college degrees | 51 | 45 | 4 | 28 |
| White men with college degrees | 54 | 43 | 3 | 17 |
| White men without college degrees | 40 | 58 | 2 | 23 |
| Non-whites | 73 | 24 | 3 | 11 |
| Income | ||||
| Under $30,000 | 63 | 34 | 3 | 14 |
| $30,000–49,999 | 54 | 43 | 3 | 21 |
| $50,000–99,999 | 48 | 51 | 1 | 36 |
| $100,000–199,999 | 55 | 42 | 3 | 23 |
| Over $200,000 | N/A | N/A | N/A | 7 |
| Party ID | ||||
| Democrats | 95 | 5 | N/A | 39 |
| Republicans | 10 | 90 | N/A | 32 |
| Independents | 51 | 42 | 7 | 28 |
| Party by gender | ||||
| Democratic men | 94 | 5 | 1 | 14 |
| Democratic women | 95 | 4 | 1 | 25 |
| Republican men | 8 | 92 | N/A | 16 |
| Republican women | 12 | 88 | N/A | 17 |
| Independent men | 47 | 48 | 5 | 16 |
| Independent women | 58 | 34 | 8 | 13 |
| Ideology | ||||
| Liberals | 94 | 2 | 4 | 27 |
| Moderates | 65 | 32 | 3 | 39 |
| Conservatives | 10 | 87 | 3 | 33 |
| Marital status | ||||
| Married | 47 | 49 | 4 | 68 |
| Unmarried | 63 | 33 | 4 | 32 |
| Gender by marital status | ||||
| Married men | 43 | 54 | 3 | 31 |
| Married women | 51 | 45 | 4 | 36 |
| Unmarried men | 52 | 43 | 5 | 15 |
| Unmarried women | 72 | 24 | 4 | 18 |
| First-time midterm election voter | ||||
| Yes | 52 | 44 | 4 | 12 |
| No | 55 | 42 | 3 | 88 |
| Most important issue facing the country | ||||
| Health care | 74 | 24 | 2 | 50 |
| Immigration | 20 | 79 | 1 | 22 |
| Economy | 30 | 67 | 3 | 18 |
| Gun policy | N/A | N/A | N/A | 8 |
| Area type | ||||
| Urban | 67 | 30 | 3 | 40 |
| Suburban | 50 | 46 | 4 | 32 |
| Rural | 41 | 56 | 3 | 28 |
| Source: CNN[134] | ||||
See also[]
- 2018 Minnesota elections
- 2018 Minnesota House of Representatives election
- 2018 United States House of Representatives elections in Minnesota
- 2018 United States Senate special election in Minnesota
- 2018 United States Senate election in Minnesota
References[]
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...as both parties aim to replace Gov. Mark Dayton, who has said he won't seek a third term.
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- ^ Jump up to: a b Fue Lee. "Kicking off the Weekend of Action for the @Tim_Walz-@peggyflanagan Campaign at the @MinnesotaDFL North Minneapolis Office. Thank you @MNSteveSimon for the opening #OneMinnesota #MNVotesEarly #BeAVoter". Twitter.
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- ^ Tim Holden and Olé Savior with 0%, other 1%
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- ^ Tim Pawlenty for Governor. "It's great to see one of our supporters, @SenatorJasinski, out promoting the Pawlenty-Fischbach ticket in Faribault! Don't forget to vote on Tuesday, August 14th!