2019 Madeiran regional election
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47 seats to the Legislative Assembly of Madeira 24 seats needed for a majority | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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| Opinion polls | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Turnout | 55.5%  5.8 pp | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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 The most voted party in each parish. | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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Regional elections were held on 22 September 2019[1] to determine the composition of the Legislative Assembly of the Autonomous Region of Madeira in Portugal. All 47 members of the Assembly were up for election.
The Social Democratic Party continued their 43-year streak of being the largest party in the Madeiran legislature, but failed to hold on to their absolute majority, and would require a coalition for the first time to remain in power. The party won 39% of the votes, a decrease of 5%, and lost 3 members of the regional party. In the electoral map, the PSD lost the two biggest cities in Madeira, Funchal and Santa Cruz to the PS, although by less than 2% of the vote. Overall, the PSD still won the majority of municipalities, obtaining victory in 7 of the 11 in Madeira.
The Socialist Party surged in these elections, polling just two seats and 3.6% behind the PSD. It was the best showing of the PS in a regional election in Madeira going back to the first regional elections in 1976, two years after the fall of the dictatorship. The party won 4 of the 11 municipalities in Madeira. The People's Party lost a lot of votes and seats in these elections, winning just 3 seats and 5.8% of the vote. Together for the People (JPP) also suffered a big setback by losing 2 members and almost 5% of the votes. It even failed to obtain second place in their traditional bastion of Santa Cruz, falling behind the PS and PSD. The Unitary Democratic Coalition lost 1 of their 2 seats, and lost 3.7% of votes compared to 2015. The Left Bloc was wiped from the regional Assembly completely and only won 1.7% of the votes. These elections were fought mainly between the PSD and PS, and many left-wing voters opted to vote tactically for the PS to prevent another PSD victory, but by doing so, they hurt the chances of smaller left-wing parties and alliances such as the Left Bloc and CDU.[2]
The turnout in these elections increased compared to the previous one for the first time in over a decade, with 55.5% of voters casting a ballot, compared with the record-low 49.6% in the 2015 elections.
Electoral system[]
The current 47 members of the Madeiran regional parliament are elected in a single constituency by proportional representation under the D'Hondt method, coinciding with the territory of the Region.[3]
Parties[]
Current composition[]
The table below lists parties represented in the Legislative Assembly of Madeira before the election.
| Name | Ideology | Leader | 2015 result | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Votes (%) | Seats | |||||
| PSD | Social Democratic Party Partido Social-Democrata |
Liberal conservatism | Miguel Albuquerque | 44.4% | 24 / 47
| |
| CDS-PP | CDS – People's Party Centro Democrático Social – Partido Popular |
Conservatism | 13.1% | 7 / 47
| ||
| PS | Socialist Party Partido Socialista |
Social democracy | [a] Paulo Cafôfo |
11.4% [b] |
5 / 47
| |
| PTP | Portuguese Labour Party Partido Trabalhista Português |
Social democracy | 1 / 47
| |||
| JPP | Together for the People Juntos pelo Povo |
Centrism | 10.3% | 5 / 47
| ||
| PCP | Portuguese Communist Party Partido Comunista Português |
Communism | Edgar Silva | 5.5% [c] |
2 / 47
| |
| B.E. | Left Bloc Bloco de Esquerda |
Democratic socialism | 3.8% | 2 / 47
| ||
| Ind. | Independent Independente |
(elected for the now extinct PND) | 1 / 47
| |||
Parties running in the election[]
17 parties are in the ballot for the 2019 Madeira regional election. The parties that will contest the election and their lead candidates, are: (parties/coalitions are ordered by the way they will appear on the ballot)[4]
- Democratic Republican Party (PDR), [5]
- Enough (CH), Miguel Teixeira[6]
- National Renovator Party (PNR), Álvaro Araújo[7]
- Left Bloc (BE),
- Socialist Party (PS), Paulo Cafôfo
- People–Animals–Nature (PAN), [8]
- Alliance (A), [9]
- Earth Party (MPT), [10]
- Portuguese Workers' Communist Party (PCTP/MRPP), [11]
- Social Democratic Party (PSD), Miguel Albuquerque
- Liberal Initiative (IL), [12]
- Portuguese Labour Party (PTP),
- United Party of Retirees and Pensioners (PURP), Rafael Macedo[13]
- CDS – People's Party (CDS-PP),
- Unitary Democratic Coalition (CDU), Edgar Silva
- Together for the People (JPP),
- React, Include, Recycle (RIR), [d][14]
Campaign period[]
Party slogans[]
| Party or alliance | Original slogan | English translation | Refs | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| PSD | « Cumprir no rumo certo » | "Delivering on the right track" | [15] | |
| CDS–PP | « Este é o momento » | "This is the moment" | [16] | |
| PS | « Coragem para mudar » | "Courage to change" | [17] | |
| JPP | « Dar voz aos Madeirenses » | "Giving voice to Madeirans" | [18] | |
| BE | « A Madeira para todos » | "Madeira for all" | [19] | |
| CDU | « CDU, o voto que conta » | "CDU, the vote that counts" | [20] | |
Candidates' debates[]
| 2019 Madeiran regional election debates | |||||||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Date | Organisers | Moderator(s) | I Invitee P Present A Absent invitee N Non-invitee | ||||||||||||||||||
| PSD Albuquerque |
PS Cafôfo |
CDS–PP Barreto |
BE Ascenção |
CDU Silva |
JPP Sousa |
Refs | |||||||||||||||
| 19 Sep | RTP Madeira, RTP3 | Gil Rosa | P | P | P | P | P | P | [21] | ||||||||||||
Opinion polls[]
Graphical summary[]
Polling[]
Exit poll
| Polling firm/Link | Fieldwork date | Sample size | Turnout | 
|
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|
|
|
|
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|
|
O | Lead | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2019 Regional Election | 22 Sep 2019 | N/A | 55.5% | 39.4 21 |
5.8 3 |
35.8 19 |
5.5 3 |
1.8 1 |
1.7 0 |
1.0 0 |
1.5 0 |
0.4 0 |
0.5 0 |
6.6 0 |
3.6 |
| UCP-CESOP | 22 Sep 2019 | 6,000 | ? | 37–41 19/23 |
5–7 2/3 |
34–38 17/21 |
3–5 1/2 |
1–3 0/1 |
1–3 0/1 |
- | 1–2 0/1 |
- | - | - | 3 |
| Eurosondagem | 15–17 Sep 2019 | 1,525 | ? | 36.0 19 |
8.0 4 |
33.6 17/18 |
2.5 1 |
4.5 2 |
4.0 2 |
0.7 0 |
? 0/1 |
- | ? 0/1 |
10.7 0/1 |
2.4 |
| Intercampus | 2–16 Sep 2019 | 1,503 | ? | 39.0 21 |
9.3 5 |
33.1 17 |
3.4 1 |
3.9 2 |
2.2 1 |
- | - | - | - | 9.1 0 |
5.9 |
| UCP-CESOP | 14–15 Sep 2019 | 1,375 | ? | 38 19/23 |
5 2/3 |
29 14/18 |
4 2/3 |
3 1/2 |
5 2/3 |
- | 2 1 |
1.5 0/1 |
1.5 0/1 |
11 0 |
9 |
| Eurosondagem | 21–24 Jul 2019 | 1,519 | ? | 33.3 18/19 |
7.1 3/4 |
31.9 17/18 |
4.2 2 |
4.0 2 |
6.9 3/4 |
0.5 0 |
- | - | - | 12.0 0/1 |
1.4 |
| 2019 EP Elections | 26 May 2019 | N/A | 38.5 | 37.2 | 8.1 | 25.8 | N/A | 3.0 | 5.3 | 1.3 | 3.7 | N/A | 1.6 | 14.0 | 11.4 |
| CDS-PP internal | 8 Feb 2019 | ? | ? | 36.0 19/20 |
8.0 4/5 |
33.0 18/19 |
4.0 2 |
3.0 1 |
3.0 1 |
2.0 0/1 |
- | - | - | 11.0 0 |
3.0 |
| Eurosondagem | 14–17 Jan 2019 | 1,510 | ? | 34.7 18/19 |
8.0 4 |
36.9 19/20 |
4.8 2 |
3.6 1/2 |
4.0 2 |
0.9 0 |
- | - | - | 7.1 0 |
2.2 |
| Eurosondagem | 26–28 Nov 2018 | 748 | ? | 34.2 18 |
10.6 5 |
33.9 18 |
6.5 3 |
3.4 1 |
4.0 2 |
1.6 0 |
- | - | - | 5.8 0 |
0.3 |
| Intercampus | 21–26 Nov 2018 | 400 | ? | ? 19 |
? 2 |
? 23 |
? 2 |
? 1 |
? 0 |
? 0 |
? 0 |
? 0 |
? 0 |
? 0 |
? |
| Eurosondagem | 19–24 Jul 2018 | 1,018 | ? | 36.3 18/19 |
7.1 3/4 |
35.7 18/19 |
6.0 3 |
4.8 2 |
3.9 2 |
1.2 0 |
- | - | [e] | 5.0 0 |
0.6 |
| Eurosondagem | 5–7 Feb 2018 | 1,018 | ? | 38.5 20/21 |
5.9 3 |
33.2 17/18 |
6.8 3 |
3.1 1 |
4.9 2 |
1.4 0 |
- | - | 6.2 0 |
5.3 | |
| Eurosondagem | 22–24 Oct 2017 | 1,017 | ? | 36.3 19 |
6.0 3 |
33.6 17 |
6.5 3 |
4.5 2 |
4.1 2 |
2.1 1 |
- | - | 6.9 0 |
2.7 | |
| 2017 Local Elections | 1 Oct 2017 | N/A | 54.2 | 33.6 | 9.1 | 29.1 | 10.2 | 2.4 | 0.7 | 1.7 | N/A | 0.6 | 12.6 | 4.5 | |
| Eurosondagem | 7–9 Jun 2017 | 1,010 | ? | 40.4 21/22 |
5.4 2/3 |
30.0 15/16 |
4.7 2 |
4.9 2 |
5.9 2 |
1.9 2 |
- | - | 6.8 0 |
10.4 | |
| Eurosondagem | 14–16 Mar 2017 | 1,017 | ? | 38.0 20/21 |
8.6 4 |
27.2 14/15 |
4.1 2 |
5.0 2/3 |
6.93 | 1.3 – |
- | - | 8.90 | 10.8 | |
| 2015 Legislative Election | 4 Oct 2015 | N/A | 48.9 | 37.8 | 6.0 | 20.9 | 6.9 | 3.6 | 10.7 | 1.4 | 1.8 | 1.4 | 13.5 | 16.9 | |
| 2015 Regional Election | 29 Mar 2015 | N/A | 49.6 | 44.4 24 |
13.7 7 |
11.4[b] 5 |
10.3 5 |
5.5 2 |
3.8 2 |
[b] 1 |
[b] 0 |
[b] 0 |
10.9 1 |
30.7 | |
Results[]
On election night, the centre-right PSD and national-conservative CDS said they were willing to form a coalition government.[22]
 | ||||||||||
| Parties | Votes | % | ±pp swing | MPs | MPs %/ votes % | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2015 | 2019 | ± | % | ± | ||||||
| Social Democratic | 56,449 | 39.42 |  4.9 |
24 | 21 | 3 |
44.68 | 6.4 |
1.13 | |
| Socialist | 51,207 | 35.76 | [b] | 5 | 19 | 14 |
40.43 | 29.8 |
1.13 | |
| People's | 8,246 | 5.76 | 8.0 |
7 | 3 | 4 |
6.38 | 8.5 |
1.11 | |
| Together for the People | 7,830 | 5.47 | 4.8 |
5 | 3 | 2 |
6.38 | 4.3 |
1.17 | |
| Unitary Democratic Coalition | 2,577 | 1.80 | 3.7 |
2 | 1 | 1 |
2.13 | 2.1 |
1.18 | |
| Left Bloc | 2,489 | 1.74 | 2.1 |
2 | 0 | 2 |
0.00 | 4.2 |
0.0 | |
| People–Animals–Nature | 2,095 | 1.46 | [b] | 0 | 0 |  0 |
0.00 | 0.0 |
0.0 | |
| United Party of Retirees and Pensioners | 1,766 | 1.23 | N/A | N/A | 0 | N/A | 0.00 | N/A | 0.0 | |
| React, Include, Recycle | 1,749 | 1.22 | N/A | N/A | 0 | N/A | 0.00 | N/A | 0.0 | |
| Labour | 1,426 | 1.00 | [b] | 1 | 0 | 1 |
0.00 | 2.1 |
0.0 | |
| Alliance | 766 | 0.53 | N/A | N/A | 0 | N/A | 0.00 | N/A | 0.0 | |
| Liberal Initiative | 762 | 0.53 | N/A | N/A | 0 | N/A | 0.00 | N/A | 0.0 | |
| CHEGA | 619 | 0.43 | N/A | N/A | 0 | N/A | 0.00 | N/A | 0.0 | |
| Democratic Republican | 603 | 0.42 | N/A | N/A | 0 | N/A | 0.00 | N/A | 0.0 | |
| Portuguese Workers' Communist | 601 | 0.42 | 1.3 |
0 | 0 | 0 |
0.00 | 0.0 |
0.0 | |
| Earth | 507 | 0.35 | [b] | 0 | 0 | 0 |
0.00 | 0.0 |
0.0 | |
| National Renovator | 274 | 0.19 | 0.6 |
0 | 0 | 0 |
0.00 | 0.0 |
0.0 | |
| Total valid | 139,966 | 97.74 | 2.1
|
47 | 47 | 0
|
100.00 | 0.0
|
— | |
| Blank ballots | 700 | 0.49 | 0.5 |
|||||||
| Invalid ballots | 2,534 | 1.77 | 1.6
| |||||||
| Total | 143,200 | 100.00 | ||||||||
| Registered voters/turnout | 258,005 | 55.50 | 5.8
| |||||||
| Source: Comissão Nacional de Eleições | ||||||||||
Maps[]
Most voted political force by parish.
See also[]
Notes[]
- ^ a b The leader of the PS-Madeira is Emanuel Câmara, but he has nominated the mayor of Funchal, Paulo Cafôfo, as the PS candidate for the Presidency of the Madeira Government.
- ^ a b c d e f g h i j k PS, PTP, PAN and MPT contested the 2015 election in an electoral coalition called Change which received 11.4% of the vote.
- ^ The Portuguese Communist Party (PCP) and the Ecologist Party "The Greens" (PEV) contested the 2015 election jointly as the Unitary Democratic Coalition, and won a combined 5.5% of the vote and elected 2 MPs to parliament.
- ^ Roberto Vieira is a former Earth Party (MPT) member.
- ^ Did not exist.
References[]
- ^ "Marcelo anuncia eleições legislativas em 6 de outubro", Sapo 24, 7 December 2018. Retrieved 7 December 2018.
- ^ PSD ganha eleições na Madeira mas perde maioria absoluta. PS dispara, Jornal de Negócios, 22 September 2019. Retrieved 23 September 2019.
- ^ Comissão Nacional de Eleições - Eleição para a Assembleia Legislativa da Região Autónoma da Madeira 2007
- ^ Sorteio das Candidaturas - ALRAM 2019, Comissão Nacional de Eleições, 14 August 2019. Retrieved 25 August 2019.
- ^ Legislativas 2019: Filipe Rebelo é candidato do PDR às regionais na Madeira e às legislativas, Sapo24, 23 August 2019. Retrieved 25 August 2019.
- ^ Eleições na Madeira: Chega diz que vai ser governo na região “custe o que custar”, Sapo24, 19 August 2019. Retrieved 25 August 2019.
- ^ Eleições na Madeira: PNR defende redução de deputados de 47 para 30, Sapo24, 19 August 2019. Retrieved 25 August 2019.
- ^ Eleições na Madeira: PAN ressurge na região e quer eleger dois deputados, Sapo24, 20 August 2019. Retrieved 25 August 2019.
- ^ Eleições na Madeira: Aliança considera “estruturante” a eleição de um grupo parlamentar, Sapo24, 20 August 2019. Retrieved 25 August 2019.
- ^ Eleições na Madeira: MPT quer ressurgir e eleger representação parlamentar, Sapo24, 20 August 2019. Retrieved 25 August 2019.
- ^ Eleições na Madeira: PCTP/MRPP assume-se como o “partido dos pobres” e contra os “usurpadores” da autonomia, Sapo24, 21 August 2019. Retrieved 25 August 2019.
- ^ Iniciativa Liberal quer eliminar cargo de Representante da República, Sapo24, 23 August 2019. Retrieved 25 August 2019.
- ^ Eleições na Madeira: PURP promete “envolver as pessoas” e “lutar ferozmente” contra os lóbis, Sapo24, 22 August 2019. Retrieved 25 August 2019.
- ^ Eleições na Madeira: RIR estreia-se com receio de ser prejudicado por candidato ter sido do MPT, , 22 August 2019. Retrieved 25 August 2019.
- ^ "ELEIÇÕES REGIONAIS DA MADEIRA DE 2019 – PSD". EPHEMERA (in Portuguese). Retrieved 24 October 2020.
- ^ "ELEIÇÕES REGIONAIS DA MADEIRA DE 2019 – CDS". EPHEMERA (in Portuguese). Retrieved 24 October 2020.
- ^ "ELEIÇÕES REGIONAIS DA MADEIRA DE 2019 – PS". EPHEMERA (in Portuguese). Retrieved 24 October 2020.
- ^ "ELEIÇÕES REGIONAIS DA MADEIRA DE 2019 – JPP". EPHEMERA (in Portuguese). Retrieved 24 October 2020.
- ^ "ELEIÇÕES REGIONAIS DA MADEIRA DE 2019 – BE". EPHEMERA (in Portuguese). Retrieved 24 October 2020.
- ^ "ELEIÇÕES REGIONAIS DA MADEIRA DE 2019 – CDU". EPHEMERA (in Portuguese). Retrieved 24 October 2020.
- ^ "Eleições da Madeira - Debates". RTP Madeira (in Portuguese). 19 September 2019. Retrieved 24 October 2020.
- ^ Miguel Albuquerque admite "coligação de governo" com CDS-PP , Jornal de Negócios, 22 September 2019. Retrieved 23 September 2019.
External links[]
- Elections in Madeira
- 2019 elections in Portugal