2022 Schleswig-Holstein state election
 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
All 69 seats in the Landtag of Schleswig-Holstein (plus overhang and leveling seats) 35+ seats needed for a majority | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
The next Schleswig-Holstein state election will be held on 8 May 2022 to elect the 20th Landtag of Schleswig-Holstein. The current government is a coalition of the Christian Democratic Union (CDU), The Greens, and the Free Democratic Party (FDP), led by Minister-President Daniel Günther.
Election date[]
The Landtag is elected for five years, with its term commencing when the new Landtag first meets. The election must be held in or before June 2022.[1]
Electoral system[]
The Landtag is elected via mixed-member proportional representation. 35 members are elected in single-member constituencies via first-past-the-post voting. 34 members are then allocated using compensatory proportional representation. Voters have two votes: the "first vote" for candidates in single-member constituencies, and the "second vote" for party lists, which are used to fill the proportional seats. The minimum size of the Landtag is 69 members, but if overhang seats are present, proportional leveling seats will be added to ensure proportionality. An electoral threshold of 5% of valid votes is applied to the Landtag; parties that fall below this threshold, and fail to win at least one constituency, are ineligible to receive seats. Parties representing the Danish minority of Southern Schleswig, such as the South Schleswig Voters' Association, are exempt from the threshold.[2]
Background[]
In the previous election held on 7 May 2017, the CDU remained the largest party with 32.0% of votes cast, an increase of 1.2 percentage points. The SPD lost three points and placed second with 27.3% of votes. The Greens won 12.9% (–0.3pp), the FDP won 11.5% (+3.3pp), and the SSW won 3.3% (–1.3pp). The AfD contested its first election in Schleswig-Holstein, winning 5.9%.
The SPD had led a coalition with the Greens and SSW since 2012, but this government lost its majority in the election. The CDU subsequently formed a coalition with the Greens and FDP, and Daniel Günther became Minister-President.
Parties[]
The table below lists parties currently represented in the 19th Landtag of Schleswig-Holstein.
| Name | Ideology | Leader(s) | 2017 result | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Votes (%) | Seats | |||||
| CDU | Christian Democratic Union of Germany Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands |
Christian democracy | Daniel Günther | 32.0% | 25 / 73
| |
| SPD | Social Democratic Party of Germany Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands |
Social democracy | Serpil Midyatli | 27.3% | 21 / 73
| |
| Grüne | Alliance 90/The Greens Bündnis 90/Die Grünen |
Green politics | Ann-Kathrin Tranziska Steffen Regis |
12.9% | 10 / 73
| |
| FDP | Free Democratic Party Freie Demokratische Partei |
Classical liberalism | Heiner Garg | 11.5% | 9 / 73
| |
| AfD | Alternative for Germany Alternative für Deutschland |
Right-wing populism | Vacant | 5.9% | 5 / 73
| |
| SSW | South Schleswig Voter Federation Südschleswigscher Wählerverband |
Danish and Frisian minority interests | Flemming Meyer | 3.3% | 3 / 73
| |
Opinion polling[]
| Polling firm | Fieldwork date | Sample size |
CDU | SPD | Grüne | FDP | AfD | Linke | SSW | Others | Lead |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wahlkreisprognose | 3–11 Mar 2022 | 1,020 | 35 | 19.5 | 19.5 | 9 | 5 | 2.5 | 5 | 4.5 | 15.5 |
| Infratest dimap | 3–8 Mar 2022 | 1,168 | 33 | 20 | 20 | 9 | 6 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 13 |
| Wahlkreisprognose | 10–19 Feb 2022 | 2,000 | 30 | 25 | 17 | 9 | 6 | 3 | 5 | 5 | 5 |
| INSA | 24–31 Jan 2022 | 1,003 | 25 | 28 | 15 | 12 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 6 | 3 |
| Wahlkreisprognose | 19–27 Jan 2022 | 1,390 | 31 | 25 | 17 | 8 | 6 | 2 | 5.5 | 5.5 | 6 |
| Infratest dimap | 13–18 Jan 2022 | 1,167 | 28 | 23 | 20 | 10 | 7 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 5 |
| Wahlkreisprognose | 1–13 Dec 2021 | 1,030 | 24 | 29 | 20 | 12.5 | 4 | 2 | 4.5 | 4 | 5 |
| INSA | 15–22 Nov 2021 | 1,001 | 21 | 28 | 18 | 14 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 7 |
| Wahlkreisprognose | 14–24 Oct 2021 | 945 | 23 | 29 | 22 | 14 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 6 |
| 2021 federal election | 26 Sep 2021 | – | 22.0 | 28.0 | 18.3 | 12.5 | 6.8 | 3.6 | 3.2 | 5.6 | 6.0 |
| Infratest dimap | 21–26 May 2021 | 1,220 | 28 | 15 | 27 | 11 | 6 | 4 | 3 | 6 | 1 |
| INSA | 10–17 May 2021 | 1,000 | 25 | 21 | 27 | 11 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 2 |
| Wahlkreisprognose | 21–30 Mar 2021 | – | 28 | 19 | 29 | 11 | 3 | 3 | 3.5 | 3.5 | 1 |
| INSA | 16–23 Nov 2020 | 1,002 | 33 | 20 | 24 | 8 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 9 |
| INSA | 13–20 Jan 2020 | 1,000 | 28 | 20 | 26 | 9 | 7 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 2 |
| 2019 European election | 26 May 2019 | – | 26.2 | 17.1 | 29.1 | 5.9 | 7.4 | 3.7 | N/A | 10.6 | 2.9 |
| INSA | 28 Jan–4 Feb 2019 | 1,002 | 30 | 20 | 22 | 9 | 7 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 8 |
| Infratest dimap | 12–18 Apr 2018 | 1,002 | 34 | 22 | 18 | 8 | 6 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 12 |
| 2017 federal election | 24 Sep 2017 | – | 34.0 | 23.3 | 12.0 | 12.6 | 8.2 | 7.3 | N/A | 2.5 | 10.7 |
| 2017 state election | 7 May 2017 | – | 32.0 | 27.3 | 12.9 | 11.5 | 5.9 | 3.8 | 3.3 | 2.3 | 4.7 |
References[]
- ^ "The 19th Landtag". Landtag of Schleswig-Holstein. Retrieved 12 May 2021.
- ^ "Elections". Landtag of Schleswig-Holstein. Retrieved 12 May 2021.
| State elections | |
|---|---|
| Local elections | |
| |
- Elections in Schleswig-Holstein
- Future elections in Germany
- 2022 elections in Germany