2024 Indonesian general election

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2024 Indonesian general election
← 2019 21 February 2024 2029 →
Presidential election
Incumbent President

Joko Widodo
PDI-P



Legislative election
Party Leader Current seats
(DPR: 575, DPD: 136)
PDI-P Megawati Sukarnoputri 128
Golkar Airlangga Hartarto 85
Gerindra Prabowo Subianto 78
Nasdem Surya Paloh 59
PKB Muhaimin Iskandar 58
Demokrat Agus Harimurti Yudhoyono 54
PKS Ahmad Syaikhu 50
PAN Zulkifli Hasan 44
PPP Suharso Monoarfa 19

General elections are scheduled to be held in Indonesia on 21 February 2024[1][2][3] to elect the President, Vice President, People's Consultative Assembly (MPR), and members of local legislative bodies.[4]

Electoral system[]

Presidential[]

In order to run as a presidential candidate, a candidate must be backed by a political party or a coalition thereof which compose either 20 percent of seats in the People's Representative Council (DPR) or 25 percent of popular votes in the prior election, i.e. in the 2019 election.[5]

Legislative[]

According to the 2017 electoral law, the People's Representative Council will have a parliamentary threshold of 4 percent.[6] An electoral law making the threshold 5% is underway.[7]

Opinion polls[]

Legislatives polls[]

Main article: Opinion polling for the 2024 Indonesian legislative election
Date Polling firm Sample size Margin of Error PDIP Gerindra Golkar PKB NasDem PKS Demokrat PAN PPP PSI Hanura Ummat Others
24 August - 3 September 2021 Arus Survei
Indonesia[8] 		1.200 18,4% 11,1% 10,5% 7,9% 8,5% 5,9% 8,2% 6,1 2,1% 1,1% 0,8% 0,1% 5,6%
27 - 31 August 2021 CISA[9] 1.200 2,85% 24,58% 7,25% 14,25% 10,67% 5,33% 9,33% 18,75% 3,75% 2,92% - - - 3,17%
10 - 20 August 2021 Vox Populi
Research Center[10] 		1.200 2,9% 15,8% 13,5% 8,8% 6,1% 3,7% 4,9% 11,2% 1,3% 2,0% 5,0% 0,7% 1,5% 3,6%
2 - 10 August 2021 Indonesia Political
Opinion[11] 		1.200 2,5% 19,5% 12,6% 13,8% 7,5% 7,8% 4,9% 8,7% 5,8% 1,9% 1,8% 0,9% - 5,4%
22 - 30 July 2021 New Indonesia
Research & Consulting[12] 		1.200 2,89% 19,8% 10,4% 7,3% 5,7% 3,5% 4,8% 10,1% 1,2% 2,0% 5,3% 0,5% 1,7% 2,5%
22 June - 1 July 2021 Voxpol Center[13] 1.200 2,83% 23,0% 27,9% 6,8% 4,9% 2,3% 9,4% 7,8% 0,9% 1,3% 0,3% 0,8% 0,2% 2,1%
21-30 May 2021 IndEX[14] 1.200 2,90% 22,3% 12,7% 7,5% 5,2% 3,5% 6,0% 8,3% 1,0% 2,2% 5,1% 0,5% 1,6% 0,6%
21 - 28 May 2021 SMRC[15] 1.220 3,05% 19,3% 10,9% 10,7% 9,7% 3,7% 4,6% 6,6% 2,6% 1,8% - - - -
22 May 2021 ARSC[16] 1.200 2,90% 19,6% 15,0% 10,4% 5,5% 4,4% 9,1% 15,0% 4,4% 1,5% 2,4% 0,2% - 0,8%
13-17 April 2021 Indikator Politik
Indonesia[17] 		1.200 2,90% 25,3% 13,1% 9,2% 7,2% 2,3% 7,2% 8,0% 1,5% 2,4% 0,4% 0,3% - 2,1%
20-25 March 2021 Polmatrix[18] 2.000 2,20% 20,3% 10,5% 8,4% 5,4% 3,7% 5,1% 8,1% 1,0% 1,6% 5,0% 0,3% 1,3% 0,9%
20-24 March 2021 Charta Politika[19] 1.200 2,89% 20,7% 14,2% 7,8% 9,7% 5,4% 8,2% 4,2% 1,0% 2,2% 1,8% 0,6% 0,1% 2,0%
25 February-5 March 2021 IndEX[20] 1.200 2,90% 24,7% 12,3% 7,8% 5,4% 3,6% 6,2% 7,1% 1,1% 2,0% 5,0% 0,6% 1,3% 1,1%
22 February 2021 Litbang Kompas[21] 2.000 2,83% 19,7% 9,6% 3,4% 5,5% 1,7% 5,4% 4,6% 0,8% 0,5% 0,2% 0,2% - 1,1%
20-31 January 2021 New Indonesia
Research & Consulting[22] 		1.200 2,89% 23,1% 12,6% 9,1% 6,4% 3,5% 7,7% 8,2% 1,0% 2,0% 4,8% 0,2% 1,1% 0,3%
26-31 December 2020 Vox Populi
Research Center[23] 		1.200 2,90% 19,6% 9,3% 8,4% 5,5% 3,6% 8,1% 5,1% - 2,1% 4,9% - - -
23-26 December 2020 SMRC[24] 1.202 2,90% 31,3% 13,4% 5,6% 3,0% 3,1% 5,2% 4,5% 1,1% 1,2% - - - -
8-12 November 2020 IndEX[25] 1.200 2,90% 31,5% 13,4% 8,0% 5,1% 3,7% 5,5% 3,2% 1,7% 2,0% 4,8% 0,5% 0,1% 1,4%
5 October 2020 Ahmad Syaikhu is elected as President of PKS[26]
16 September 2020 Polmatrix[27] 1.200 2,90% 28,7% 13,9% 8,4% 5,3% 3,9% 5,8% 3,7% 2,0% 1,7% 4,5% 0,5% - 1,5%
15 March 2020 Agus Harimurti Yudhoyono is elected as Chairman of Partai Demokrat[28]
17 April 2019 Election results[29] 19,33% 12,57% 12,31% 9,69% 9,05% 8,21% 7,77% 6,84% 4,52% 1,89% 1,54% - 6,27%

Presidential polls (From October 2020)[]

Main article: Opinion polling for the 2024 Indonesian presidential election
Polling firm Date Sample size Margin of error Menteri Pertahanan Prabowo Subianto (cropped).jpg Gubernur Anies (cropped).jpg Ganjar Pranowo, Gubernur Jateng Periode II (cropped).jpg Wagub Sandi (cropped).jpg AHY profil wikipedia (cropped).jpg Ridwan Kamil, Gubernur Jawa Barat (cropped).png Gubernur Jatim, Khofifah Indar Parawansa (cropped).jpg Muhammad Rizieq Shihab.jpg Tri Rismaharini (cropped).jpg Mahfud MD (cropped).jpg Puan Maharani, Ketua DPR RI (cropped).jpg Giring Ganesha.jpg Menteri BUMN Erick Thohir (cropped).jpg
Prabowo
Gerindra 		Anies
Independent 		Ganjar
PDI-P 		Sandy
Gerindra 		AHY
Demokrat 		RK
Independent 		Khofifah
PKB 		Rizieq
Independent 		Risma
PDI-P 		Mahfud
Independent 		Puan
PDI-P 		Giring
PSI 		Erick
Independent
Indonesia Politica
Opinion[30] 		2 - 10 August 2021 1,200 2.5% 7.8% 18.7% 16.5% 13.5% 9.9% 6.2% - - - - - - 4.7%
New Indonesia
Research & Consulting[31] 		21 - 30 July 2021 1,200 2.89% 16.7% 6.0% 20.5% 5.2% 5.8% 16.1% 2.1% - 4.7% 1.0% 1.4% 2.6% 4.5%
Voxpol Center[32] 22 June - 1 July 2021 1,200 2.83% 18.9% 14.1% 19.2% 8.3% 5.4% 5.8% - - - - 1.3% - -
CISA[33] 27 May - 1 June 2021 1,600 2.85% 10.26% 19.20% 15.33% - 15.51% 7.55% 1.35% - - - - - 9.76%
Indonesia Elections and Strategic (indEX) Research[34] 21 - 30 May 2021 1,200 2.90% 18.5% 7.1% 16.7% 6.3% 6.7% 13.4% 2.0% - 4.5% 1.5% 1.2% 2.3% 4.8%
Indometer[35] 27 April - 3 May 2021 1,200 2.98% 17.4% 5.9% 19.1% 6.1% 4.6% 14.5% 3.0% - 4.4% 1.1% 1.3% 2.6% 4.0%
Litbang Kompas[36] 13 - 26 April 2021 1,200 2.90% 21.3% 11.7% 10.1% 4.7% 4.4% 3.6% - - 3.6% 1.2% - - -
Indikator[37] 13 - 17 April 2021 1,200 2.90% 11.1% 14.6% 15.7% 8.1% 6.4% 10.0% 2.8% - - 0.6% 2.9% - 0.6%
LP3ES[38] 8 - 15 April 2021 1,200 2.80% 16.4% 12.8% 9.6% 6.2% 8.8% 7.5% 1.1% - 4.3% - 0.5% - 0.7%
Charta Politika[39] 20 - 24 March 2021 1,200 2.90% 22.2% 14.2% 20.0% 12.7% - 9.2% - - - - - - -
Charta Politika[40] 20 - 24 March 2021 1,200 2.90% 19.6% 12.6% 16.0% 9.3% 4.8% 8.1% - - 5.3% 3.8% 1.2% - 2.1%
CPCS[41] 5 - 15 March 2021 1,200 2.90% 20.6% 5.1% 14.7% 5.4% 6.3% 15.2% 2.2% - 3.7% 1.1% 1.3% 2.0% 5.6%
indEX[42] 25 February - 5 March 2021 1,200 2.90% 20.4% 6.3% 13.5% 6.8% 7.0% 14.1% 2.7% - 4.6% 1.6% 1.3% 2.1% 3.3%
Charta Politika[43] 24 - 28 February 2021 1,200 2.90% 22.0% 14.3% 18.1% 12.1% - 9.5% - - - - - - -
Charta Politika[44] 26 - 29 January 2021 1,200 2.90% 22.1% 13.9% 18.6% 12.7% - 9.9% - - - - - - -
Lembaga Survei Indonesia[45] 25-31 January 2021 1,200 2.90% 22.5% 10.2% 10.6% 6.9% 4.8% 5.0% 1.8% 0.7% 5.5% 0.9% 0.1% - 0.6%
Vox Populi[46] 26-31 December 2020 1,200 2.90% 18.9% 7.7% 18.5% 6.5% 4.3% 12.8% 5.4% - 4.1% 1.0% 1.4% 2.4% 2.1%
Saiful Mujani Research and Consulting[47] 23-26 December 2020 1,202 2.90% 14.9% 11.0% 15.7% 7.9% 3.1% 7.1% - - 3.1% - - - -
Center for Political Communication Studies[48] 11-20 November 2020 1,200 2.90% 19.2% 6.6% 16.0% 5.8% 1.9% 9.3% 3.8% 7.1% 1.4% 1.0% 1.1% 1.7% 2.7%
Indonesia Elections and Strategic (indEX) Research[49] 8-12 November 2020 1,200 2.90% 22.3% 4.7% 15.2% 5.1% 2.1% 7.8% 3.9% 9.6% 2.7% 1.3% - 1.9% 2.2%
Populi Center[50] 21-30 October 2020 1,000 3.10% 18.3% 9.5% 9.9% 4.8% 3.8% 5.8% 2.2% - 4.2% - - - 2.1%
Y-Publica[51] 11-20 October 2020 1,200 2.89% 16.5% 8.6% 16.1% 8.1% 2.2% 11.8% 4.5% - 3.1% 1.5% 1.1% 1.6% 3.3%
Indometer[52] 25 September-5 October 2020 1,200 2.98% 16.8% 8.9% 16.5% 7.7% 2.9% 10.6% 3.8% - 2.1% 1.3% 1.1% 1.9% 2.3%

Presidential polls (January-September 2020)[]

Polling firm Date Sample size Margin of error Menteri Pertahanan Prabowo Subianto (cropped).jpg Gubernur Anies (cropped).jpg Ganjar Pranowo, Gubernur Jateng Periode II (cropped).jpg Wagub Sandi (cropped).jpg AHY profil wikipedia (cropped).jpg Ridwan Kamil, Gubernur Jawa Barat (cropped).png Gubernur Jatim, Khofifah Indar Parawansa (cropped).jpg Tri Rismaharini (cropped).jpg Mahfud MD (cropped).jpg Puan Maharani, Ketua DPR RI (cropped).jpg Menteri BUMN Erick Thohir (cropped).jpg
Prabowo
Gerindra 		Anies
Independent 		Ganjar
PDI-P 		Sandy
Gerindra 		AHY
Demokrat 		RK
Independent 		Khofifah
PKB 		Risma
PDI-P 		Mahfud
Independent 		Puan
PDI-P 		Erick
Independent
Indikator[53] 24-30 September 2020 1,200 2.9% 16.8% 14.4% 18.7% 8.8% 4.2% 7.6% 4.0% - 1.3% 0.9% 0.8%
Vox Populi[54] 11-20 September 2020 1,200 2.9% 17.1% 9.4% 17.6% 8.5% 2.1% 13.2% 5.6% 3.8% 1.2% 1.7% 2.0%
Polmatrix[55] 1-10 September 2020 2,000 2.2% 18.5% 10.6% 13.9% 8.4% 2.5% 11.1% 5.2% 1.6% 1.0% - 1.2%
Indometer[56] 11-20 July 2020 1,200 2.98% 17.6% 10.1% 15.4% 8.8% 3.3% 11.3% 4.1% 2.9% 1.4% 1.2% 1.8%
Indikator[57] 13-16 July 2020 1,200 2.9% 13.5% 15.0% 16.2% 9.2% 6.8% 8.6% 3.6% - 0.8% 2.0% 1.0%
Charta Politika[58] 6-12 July 2020 2,000 2.19% 17.5% 15.0% 15.9% 11.2% 4.0% 10.1% 1.7% 2.1% 1.3% - 2.1%
Y-Publica[59] 1-10 July 2020 1,200 2.89% 17.3% 9.7% 15.2% 8.5% 2.6% 12.1% 3.7% 3.4% 1.3% 1.2% 2.9%
Center for Political Communication Studies[60] 21-30 June 2020 1,200 2.9% 18.4% 10.6% 13.5% 9.3% 1.8% 11.3% 3.4% 3.3% 1.4% 2.4% 3.1%
Survey and Polling Indonesia[61] 14-21 June 2020 1,100 2.83% 15.2% 12.6% 10.8% 9.5% 5.9% 8.1% 6.2% 3.6% - 1.1% 3.0%
New Indonesia Research & Consulting[62] 8-18 June 2020 1,200 2.89% 18.9% 9.8% 14.3% 8.9% 2.7% 11.0% 4.5% 1.6% 1.2% 1.1% 1.3%
Indikator[63] 16-18 May 2020 1,200 2.9% 14.1% 10.4% 11.8% 6.0% 4.8% 7.7% 4.3% - 3.3% - 1.6%
Polmatrix[64] 1-7 May 2020 2,000 2.2% 18.9% 12.8% 13.7% 8.6% 2.7% 7.9% 5.6% 3.0% 1.6% 1.1% 3.6%
indEX[65] 23-29 April 2020 1,200 2.9% 21.1% 13.7% 14.1% 10.2% 2.3% 8.9% 2.7% 5.3% 1.5% - 6,3%
Y-Publica[66] 11-20 March 2020 1,200 2.89% 23.7% 14.7% 8.0% 10.3% 1.6% 4.9% 0.9% 3.6% 2.9% 1.1% 4.1%
Charta Politika[67] 20–27 February 2020 1,200 2.83% 19.3% 15.3% 10.8% 7.3% 6.8% 5.3% 2.3% 4.7% 2.4% - 2.3%
Indikator[63] 4-10 February 2020 1,200 2.9% 22.2% 12.1% 9.1% 9.5% 6.5% 3.8% 5.7% - 3.8% - 1.9%
Median[68] 1-14 February 2020 1,200 2.8% 18.8% 15.8% 5.5% 9.6% 8.3% 5.7% 5.4% 3.3% 3.3% 1.1% 1.3%
PPI-PRC[69] Early February 2020 2,197 2.13% 17.3% 7.8% 8.8% 9.1% 5.4% 4.7% - 2.6% 2.4% - -
Cyrus Network[70] 24-30 January 2020 1,230 2.85% 23.8% 13.2% 13.0% 18.8% - 8.2% 5.8% - - - -
Indo Barometer[71] 9-15 January 2020 1,200 2.83% 22.5% 14.3% 7.7% 8.1% 5.7% 2.6% 3.3% 6.8% 1.6% 1.0% 2.5%


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