2024 Salvadoran general election

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2024 Salvadoran general election

2024
Presidential election
← 2019
2029 →

President before election

Nayib Bukele
Nuevas Ideas

Elected President

TBD
TBD

Legislative election
← 2021
2027 →

All 84 seats in the Legislative Assembly
43 seats needed for a majority
Party Leader Current seats
NI Xavier Zablah Bukele 56
ARENA Erick Salguero 14
GANA Nelson Guardado 5
FMLN Óscar Ortiz 4
PCN Manuel Rodríguez 2
PDC Rodolfo Parker 1
NT Juan Valiente 1
V Josué Alvarado 1
Incumbent President of the Legislative Assembly
Ernesto Castro
Nuevas Ideas

General elections will be held in El Salvador in 2024 to elect the president, 84 members of the Legislative Assembly, 20 members of the Central American Parliament, and 262 mayors. It will be the first time presidential and legislative elections occur concurrently in El Salvador since the 1994 general election.

Background[]

General elections are scheduled to be held in El Salvador in 2024,[1] five years after the 2019 presidential election and three years after the 2021 legislative election.

Supreme court presidential reelection ruling[]

On 3 September 2021, the Supreme Court of El Salvador ruled that the president of El Salvador is eligible to run for reelection consecutively, discarding a previous ruling in 2014 which stated presidents must wait ten years to be able to run for reelection.[2][3] The court ruling allows incumbent president at the time, Nayib Bukele, the be eligible to run for president in 2024.[2][4] Despite protests from the Nationalist Republican Alliance (ARENA) and the Farabundo Martí National Liberation Front (FMLN), the Supreme Electoral Court (TSE) accepted the supreme court's ruling.[3] Bukele has not made any official statements regarding his potential candidacy for president in 2024, which if he wins reelection, would make him the first person since Óscar Osorio Hernández (1950–1956) to serve over five years as president and the first person since Maximiliano Hernández Martínez (1931–1934, 1935–1944) to serve multiple terms.[1][2]

Electoral system[]

The president, 84 deputies of the Legislative Assembly, 20 deputies of the Central American Parliament, and 262 mayors will all be elected through a popular vote. The Constitution of El Salvador mandates that the election will be "free, direct, equal and secret."[5]

In the presidential election, a candidate needs an absolute majority (50%+1) to be declared the winner of the election.[5] If no candidate receives an absolute majority, a second round between the two candidates with the most valid votes will occur within thirty days of the first round.[5] The deputies of the Legislative Assembly and the Central American Parliament are elected by an open list proportional representation, with the 84 deputies of the Legislative Assembly being elected in 14 constituencies for the 14 departments of El Salvador, and the 20 deputies of the Central American Parliament being elected from one nationwide constituency.[5]

Candidates[]

Nuevas Ideas[]

Potential candidates[]

Parliamentary parties[]

2021 Salvadoran legislative election
Party Legislative Assembly Central American Parliament Municipalities
Votes (%) Seats Votes (%) Seats Votes (%) Seats
Nuevas Ideas (NI) 66.46
56 / 84
68.11
14 / 20
50.78
152 / 262
Nationalist Republican Alliance (ARENA) 12.18
14 / 84
13.23
3 / 20
19.01
35 / 262
Grand Alliance for National Unity (GANA) 5.29
5 / 84
6.61
1 / 20
11.16
27 / 262
Farabundo Martí National Liberation Front (FMLN) 6.91
4 / 84
7.30
1 / 20
10.86
30 / 262
National Coalition Party (PCN) 4.08
2 / 84
3.16
1 / 20
4.93
14 / 262
Christian Democratic Party (PDC) 1.70
1 / 84
1.58
0 / 20
1.73
3 / 262
Nuestro Tiempo (NT) 1.70
1 / 84
0.45
0 / 242
Vamos (V) 1.01
1 / 84
0.39
1 / 262
Sources: TSE TSE TSE

Opinion polls[]

Legislative election polls
Polling firm Fieldwork date Sample
size
NI ARENA FMLN GANA PCN PDC NT V CD Lead
2021 legislative election 28 Feb 2021 N/A 66.46 12.18 6.91 5.29 4.08 1.70 1.70 1.01 0.56 54.28

See also[]

References[]

  1. ^ a b c "El Salvador Necesita una Agenda de Reformas Electorales, Dice Eurodiputado" [El Salvador Needs an Agenda for Electoral Reforms, Says European Deputy]. swissinfo.ch (in Spanish). 28 October 2021. Retrieved 12 November 2021.
  2. ^ a b c d "El Salvador Court says Presidents can Serve Two Straight Terms". Al Jazeera. 4 September 2021. Retrieved 5 September 2021.
  3. ^ a b c Aleman, Marcos (5 September 2021). "El Salvador Court Drops Ban on Presidential Reelection". AP News. Retrieved 5 September 2021.
  4. ^ a b Avelar, Bryan; Lopez, Oscar (23 November 2021). "Raids on Independent Groups in El Salvador Raise Fears of Repression". The New York Times. Retrieved 28 November 2021.
  5. ^ a b c d "Constitution of El Salvador" (PDF). Richmond.edu. 15 December 1983. pp. Articles 78–80. Archived from the original (PDF) on 3 January 2015. Retrieved 12 November 2021.

External links[]

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