CVoter

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Centre for Voting Opinion & Trends in Election Research, or CVoter, is an Indian international polling agency headquartered in Delhi, India.[1]

Organization[]

Yashwant Deshmukh is the director and founding editor of CVoter.[1][2]

Clients[]

CVoter India states that it has covered 15 union budgets, more than 100 state elections and more than 30 international events. Since 2000 it has worked with Times Now, ANN7,[3] United Press International,[4] Reuters, Bloomberg News, BBC News, Aaj Tak, , Zee News, Zee Business, the Development and Educational Communication Unit of the Indian Space Research Organisation, India TV, Lok Sabha TV, UTVi business news channel (owned by ), Sahara Samay (owned by Sahara India Pariwar), Jain TV, Asianet, ETV, CNEB and other news and information providers.[5][6] Studies have included market research,[7][8] conflict resolution research,[9] and opinion polls.[10][11][12]

2021 State Elections (West Bengal, Tamil Nadu, Kerala, Assam & Puducherry)[]

Assam[]

Poll type Date published Polling agency Lead Ref.
NDA Mahajot Others
Exit poll 29 April 2021 ABP News- CVoter 58-71 53-66 0-5 Hung [13]
Times Now-CVoter 65 59 2 6 [14]
Opinion poll 24 March 2021 Times Now-CVoter 65-73 52-60 0-4 5-21 [15]
ABP News- CVoter 65-73 52-60 0-4 5-21 [16]
15 March 2021 ABP News- CVoter 64-72 52-60 0-2 4-20 [17]
8 March 2021 Times Now-CVoter 67 57 2 10 [18]
27 February 2021 ABP News- CVoter 68-76 47-55 0-3 13-29 [19]
18 January 2021 ABP News- CVoter 73-81 41-49 0-4 24-40 [20]
Election Results
Election Results Date published Election Results Lead Ref.
NDA Mahajot Independent
Election Results 2 May 2021 Election Results 75 50 1 25 [21]

Kerala[]

Type of polls Date published Polling agency Lead Ref.
LDF UDF NDA
Opinion Poll 24 March 2021 Mathrubhumi–CVoter 73–83 56–66 0–1 2–12 [22]
Times Now–CVoter 77 62 1 6 [23]
19 March 2021 Mathrubhumi News–CVoter 75-83 (79) 55–60 (57) 0–2 (1) 4–12 (8) [24]
15 March 2021 ABP News–CVoter 77–85 54–62 0–2 6–14 [25]
8 March 2021 Times Now–CVoter 82 56 1 11 [26]
27 February 2021 ABP News–CVoter 83–91 47–55 0–2 12–20 [27]
18 January 2021 ABP News–CVoter 81–89 41–47 0–2 10–18 [28]
Exit polls 29 April 2021 Times Now / ABP - C-Voter 71 - 77 62 - 68 0 - 2 1 - 6 [29]
Election Results
Election Results Date published Election Results Lead Ref.
LDF UDF NDA
Election Results 2 May 2021 Election Results 99 41 0 58 [29]

Tamil Nadu[]

Election outcome projections as surveyed by various agencies prior to the election day
Type of Poll Date published Polling agency Lead
DMK+ AIADMK+ AMMK+ MNM+ NTK Others [a]
Opinion Poll 24 Mar 21 Times Now - CVoter[30] 177 49 3 3 – 2 128
15 Mar 21 ABP News - CVoter[31] 161 - 169 53 - 61 1 - 5 2 - 6 – 3 - 7 100 - 116
8 Mar 21 Times Now- CVoter[32] 158 65 – – – – 88- 104
27 Feb 21 ABP News- CVoter[33] 154 - 162 58 - 66 1 - 5 2 - 6 – 5 - 9 88- 104
18 Jan 21 ABP News- CVoter[34] 158 - 166 60 - 68 2 - 6 0 - 4 – 0 - 4 90 - 106
Exit polls 29 Apr 21 ABP/Times Now - CVoter[35][36] 160 - 172 58 - 70 0 - 4 0 - 2 0 - 3 90 - 114
Election Results
Election Results Date published Election Results Lead
DMK+ AIADMK+ AMMK+ MNM+ NTK Others [a]
Election Results 2 May 2021 Election Results 159 75 0 0 0 84

West Bengal[]

Type of poll Date published Polling agency Lead
AITC+ BJP+ SM Others
Opinion Poll 24 March 2021 Times Now C-Voter [37] 152-168 104-120 18-26 0-2 32-64
15 March 2021 ABP News - C Voter[38][39][40] 150-166 98-114 23-31 3-5 36-52
8 March 2021 Times Now - C Voter[41] 146-162 99-112 29-37 0 31-63
27 February 2021 ABP News - C Voter[42][43] 148-164 92-108 31-39 1-5 40-72
18 January 2021 ABP News - CVoter[44] 158 102 30 4 56
Exit poll 29 April 2021 ABP News - C-Voter[45][46] 152-164 109-121 14-25 - 31-55
Election Results
Election Results Date published Election Results Lead
AITC+ BJP+ SM Others
Election Results 2 May 2021 Election Results 215 77 0 - 138

2021 Desh Ka Mood by Team Cvoter & ABP News[]

ABP News-CVoter gauges the nation’s sentiments with ‘Desh ka Mood’ Survey[47]

58% of people favor NDA government, 28% favor UPA: ABP News’ Desh Ka Mood survey [48]

Naveen country’s best CM [49]

2020 Trust on Media Institutions[]

CVoter carried out a survey Trust on Indian media institutions [50][51][52][53][54]

Indian readers place higher credibility to newspapers, survey finds[55]

2020 Bihar elections[]

Bihar Assembly polls: It had projected 104-128 seats for the NDA and 108-131 seats for the opposition grand alliance. NDA secured a total of 125 seats (37.26% votes) while MGB won 110 seats (37.23% votes).[56][57] [58][59][60]

Polling type Date Polling Agency Majority Ref
NDA MGB LJP Others
Opinion poll
24 October 2020 ABP-CVoter 135-159 77-98 5-13 13-37 [61]
12 October 2020 Times Now-CVoter 160 76 7 39 [62]
25 September 2020 ABP-CVoter 141-161 64-84 13-23 20–40 [63]
Exit poll
Times Now-CVoter 116 120 1 6 HUNG [64]
ABP News-CVoter 104-128 108-131 1-3 4-8 HUNG
Election Results 10 November 2020 125 110 1 7 NDA

2021 State Elections (West Bengal, Tamil Nadu, Kerala, Assam)[]

May 2016 saw elections in Bengal, Assam, Tamil Nadu and Kerala. CVoter was the only one of five polling agencies to predict the Tamil Nadu outcome correctly.[65]

2016 United States elections[]

The UPI/CVoter poll wrongly predicted a Hillary Clinton victory in the 2016 United States presidential election.[66] When the results were declared Donald Trump won the election.

2016 United States presidential election
Agency Prediction Actual Winner Prediction accuracy
UPI/CVoter Hillary Clinton Donald Trump ☒N Wrong
Poll source Date Hillary Clinton
Democratic 		Donald Trump
Republican 		Leading
by % 		Sample
size 		Margin
of error
UPI/CVoter[67] November 1 – 7, 2016 48.7% 46.2% 2.5 1,728 ± 3.0%
UPI/CVoter[68] October 30 – November 5, 2016 49% 46% 3 1,572 ± 3.0%
UPI/CVoter[69] October 29 – November 4, 2016 49% 48% 1 1,497 ± 3.0%
UPI/CVoter[70] October 28 – November 3, 2016 49% 48% 1 1,395 ± 3.0%
UPI/CVoter[71] October 27 – November 2, 2016 49% 48% 1 1,329 ± 3.0%
UPI/CVoter[72] October 26 – November 1, 2016 49% 48% 1 1,383 ±3.0%
UPI/CVoter[73] October 24–30, 2016 49% 48% 1 1,299 ±3.0%
UPI/CVoter[74] October 23–29, 2016 48% 48% Tied 1,317 ± 3.0%
UPI/CVoter[75] October 20–26, 2016 49% 47% 2 1,363 ± 3.0%
UPI/CVoter[76] October 19–25, 2016 49% 47% 2 1,349 ± 3.0%
UPI/CVoter[77] October 17–23, 2016 49% 46% 3 1,414 ± 3.0%
UPI/CVoter[78] October 11–17, 2016 51% 46% 5 1,326 ± 3.0%
UPI/CVoter[79] October 10–16, 2016 50% 46% 4 1,325 ± 3.0%
UPI/CVoter[80] October 7–13, 2016 50% 45% 5 1,482 ± 3.0%
UPI/CVoter[81] October 4–10, 2016 50% 44% 6 1,367 ± 3.0%
UPI/CVoter[82] October 3–9, 2016 49% 44% 5 1,801 ± 3.0%
UPI/CVoter[83] September 30 – October 6, 2016 48% 47% 1 1,774 ± 3.0%
UPI/CVoter[84] September 28 – October 4, 2016 47% 48% 1 1,274 ± 3.0%
UPI/CVoter[85] September 26 – October 2, 2016 47% 49% 2 1,285 ± 3.0%
UPI/CVoter[86] September 23–29, 2016 47% 49% 2 1,236 ± 3.0%
UPI/CVoter[87] September 21–27, 2016 48% 48% Tied 1,239 ± 3.0%
UPI/CVoter[88] September 19–25, 2016 48% 47% 1 1,052 ± 3.0%
UPI/CVoter[89] September 12–18, 2016 48% 47% 1 1,203 ± 3.0%
UPI/CVoter[90] September 10–16, 2016 47% 47% Tied 1,246 ± 3.0%
UPI/CVoter[91] September 9–15, 2016 47% 48% 1 1,229 ± 3.0%
UPI/CVoter[92] September 8–14, 2016 47% 48% 1 1,265 ± 3.0%
UPI/CVoter[93] September 7–13, 2016 47% 48% 1 1,245 ± 3.0%
UPI/CVoter[94] September 6–12, 2016 46% 49% 3 1,232 ± 3.0%
UPI/CVoter[95] September 5–11, 2016 46% 49% 3 1,260 ± 3.0%
UPI/CVoter[96] September 2–8, 2016 46% 48% 2 1,256 ± 3.0%
UPI/CVoter[97] September 1–7, 2016 47% 48% 1 1,226 ± 3.0%
UPI/CVoter[98] August 31 – September 6, 2016 47% 47% Tied 1,262 ± 3.0%
UPI/CVoter[99] August 30 – September 5, 2016 48% 46% 2 1,220 ± 3.0%
UPI/CVoter[100] August 29 – September 4, 2016 49% 47% 2 1,237 ± 3.0%
UPI/CVoter[101] August 28 – September 3, 2016 49% 46% 3 1,242 ± 3.0%
UPI/CVoter[102] August 24–30, 2016 49% 46% 3 1,162 ± 3.0%
UPI/CVoter[103] August 23–29, 2016 50% 47% 3 1,173 ± 3.0%
UPI/CVoter[104] August 22–28, 2016 50% 47% 3 1,145 ± 3.0%
UPI/CVoter[105] August 21–27, 2016 50% 47% 3 1,682 ± 3.0%
UPI/CVoter[106] August 18–24, 2016 48% 49% 1 1,720 ± 3.0%
UPI/CVoter[107] August 17–23, 2016 48% 48% Tied 1,737 ± 3.0%
UPI/CVoter[108] August 16–22, 2016 48% 48% Tied 1,752 ± 3.0%
UPI/CVoter[109] August 15–21, 2016 48% 47% 1 1,795 ± 3.0%
UPI/CVoter[110] August 14–20, 2016 48% 47% 1 1,191 ± 3.0%
UPI/CVoter[111] August 11–17, 2016 50% 46% 4 1,009 ± 3.0%
UPI/CVoter[112] August 9–16, 2016 51% 44% 7 1,069 ± 3.0%
UPI/CVoter[113] August 9–15, 2016 51% 44% 7 1,035 ± 3.0%
UPI/CVoter[114] August 7–14, 2016 50% 45% 5 975 ± 3.0%
UPI/CVoter[115] August 7–13, 2016 49% 46% 3 1,403 ± 3.0%
UPI/CVoter[116] August 3–10, 2016 49% 45% 4 1,077 ± 3.0%
UPI/CVoter[117] August 3–9, 2016 48% 46% 2 1,002 ± 3.0%
UPI/CVoter[118] August 2–8, 2016 49% 45% 4 993 ± 3.0%
UPI/CVoter[119] August 1–7, 2016 49% 44% 5 1,407 ± 3.0%
UPI/CVoter[120] July 31 – August 6, 2016 50% 43% 7 1,036 ± 3.0%
UPI/CVoter[121] July 29 – August 4, 2016 50% 44% 6 1,060 ± 3.0%
UPI/CVoter[122] July 27 – August 2, 2016 49% 46% 3 989 ± 3.0%

2014 Indian general elections[]

CVoter carried out tracking polls for Indian news networks Times Now, India Today & India TV. A television news channel claimed in a sting operation conducted by it that some of the agencies which conduct opinion polls before elections are willing to tweak their findings for money.[123] It included global giants like Ipsos and CVoter. Initially India Today Group suspended its CVoter contract.[124][125] However the promoters of "News Express" channel called "Sai Prasad Group"[126][127][128] itself got seriously criticised for a string of money laundering cases pursued by multiple Government probing agencies.[129][130] After series of inquiries and audits; the allegations were found animated and politically motivated as the Channel was supported by the ruling political party which was shown trailing badly in these opinion polls[citation needed]. The CVoter Exit Polls were duly carried by India TV and Time Now and all major regional networks of India[citation needed].

2009 Indian general elections[]

The CVoter exit poll projections for India TV showed the UPA with 189–201 seats. It gives the Congress 149–155, the DMK between 9 and 13, the NCP 12–16 and the Trinamool between 12 and 16. The poll showed the BJP-led Front getting between 183 and 195 seats. It includes the BJP (140–146), the JD (U) 17–21.[131] In the end, in 2009 Indian general election, UPA got 262 (Congress – 206) and NDA 159 (BJP – 116).

2004 Indian general elections[]

The CVoter exit poll projections for Star News predicted NDA getting between 267–279 and Congress+Allies between 169 and 181.[132][133] In the end, in 2004 Indian general election, Congress+Allies (UPA) got 218 (Congress 145) and NDA got 181 (BJP – 138).

Notes[]

  1. ^ a b May include NTK and other parties not asked in survey

References[]

  1. ^ a b "C-VOTER NEWS SERVICES PRIVATE LIMITED :: OpenCorporates". opencorporates.com. Retrieved 2018-08-03.
  2. ^ "Trustees". SPRF. Retrieved 4 December 2021.
  3. ^ http://www.ann7.com/tracker-predicts-anc-victory/
  4. ^ "UPI/CVoter poll: Donald Trump widens lead over Hillary Clinton to 3 points". UPI.
  5. ^ "About Us - Team CVoter". C Voter. Retrieved 6 April 2014.
  6. ^ "Clients - Team CVoter". C Voter. Retrieved 10 May 2014.
  7. ^ MumbaiAugust 26, Hardeep Dugal; August 26, 2016UPDATED; Ist, 2016 18:17. "Deepika Padukone trumps Priyanka Chopra as Bollywood's most popular actress". India Today.CS1 maint: numeric names: authors list (link)
  8. ^ MumbaiAugust 26, Hardeep Dugal; August 26, 2016UPDATED; Ist, 2016 17:56. "Salman Khan pips Shah Rukh Khan, Amitabh Bachchan to be voted Bollywood's most popular actor". India Today.CS1 maint: numeric names: authors list (link)
  9. ^ "Peace Polls, Kashmir". www.peacepolls.org.
  10. ^ "Archived copy". Archived from the original on 2016-09-28. Retrieved 2016-09-27.CS1 maint: archived copy as title (link)
  11. ^ Singh, Raj (September 2, 2016). "India TV-CVoter survey: BJP, SP neck and neck, BSP third in UP assembly poll stakes". www.indiatvnews.com.
  12. ^ "AAP may win 94-100 of 117 Punjab assembly seats: HuffPost-CVoter survey | India News - Times of India".
  13. ^ Tiwari, Vaibhav (29 April 2021). "BJP Likely To Retain Power In Assam, Predicts Poll Of Exit Polls". NDTV.com. Retrieved 4 December 2021.
  14. ^ "Assam Exit polls 2021: Northeastern state votes for NDA". Times Now. 29 April 2021.
  15. ^ "NDA set to retain power despite stiff UPA fight, reveals Times Now CVoter tracker". Times Now. 24 March 2021.
  16. ^ "NDA To Retain Power In Assam Despite CAA-NRC Protests, Congress Not Far Behind". ABP News. 24 March 2021.
  17. ^ "ABP Opinion Poll: BJP-Led NDA Likely To Return To Power In Assam, Congress-Led UPA Not Far Behind". ABP News. 15 March 2021.
  18. ^ "Assam pre-poll survey 2021: 'BJP-led NDA to win thin majority; Sarbananda Sonowal favoured as CM'". Times Now. 8 March 2021.
  19. ^ "BJP Expected Sweep Elections With 68-76 Seats; Congress Lags Behind With 43-51 Seats". ABP News. 27 February 2021.
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  22. ^ "എല്‍.ഡി.എഫിന് ഭരണത്തുടര്‍ച്ച, ലഭിക്കുക 73-83 സീറ്റ് ; മാതൃഭൂമി ന്യൂസ്-സീ വോട്ടര്‍ രണ്ടാംഘട്ട സര്‍വേ". Mathrubhumi (in Malayalam). Retrieved 2021-03-24.
  23. ^ "Times Now's Kerala Opinion Poll 2021 projects win for LDF in upcoming Assembly Elections 2021". Times Now. Retrieved 2021-03-24.
  24. ^ "ഭരണത്തുടര്‍ച്ച പ്രവചിച്ച് മാതൃഭൂമി-സിവോട്ടര്‍ അഭിപ്രായ സര്‍വേ: ഇടതുപക്ഷം 75-83 സീറ്റുകള്‍ നേടും". Mathrubhumi (in Malayalam). Retrieved 2021-03-19.
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  27. ^ "ABP Kerala Opinion Poll: Pinarayi Vijayan-Led LDF Likely To Sweep Kerala Elections, BJP Fails To Make Impact". ABP News. 27 February 2021. Retrieved 28 February 2021.
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  29. ^ a b "Kerala: 4 Major Exit Polls Predict Left Return, Big Defeat For UDF". The Quint. Retrieved 2021-04-29.
  30. ^ @TimesNow (24 March 2021). "#May2WithTimesNow | Times Now-CVoter Opinion Poll: Alliance-wise seat share in Tamil Nadu. t.co/4ZerPZz9lV" (Tweet). Archived from the original on 27 March 2021. Retrieved 3 May 2021 – via Twitter.
  31. ^ "ABP CVoter Opinion Poll 2021". ABP Website. 15 March 2021.
  32. ^ "Tamil Nadu pre-poll survey 2021: 'DMK-Congress alliance likely to win big, MK Stalin preferred CM'". Times now news. Retrieved 2021-04-04.
  33. ^ "ABP-CVoter Election 2021 Opinion Poll LIVE: UPA Alliance Predicted To Shine In Tamil Nadu; Voters Mood Not In Favour Of BJP, MNM". ABP Live. 2021-02-27. Retrieved 2021-01-18.
  34. ^ "ABP-CVoter Election 2021 Opinion Poll Live: People In Bengal Satisfied With Mamata, TMC To Regain Power". ABP Live. 2021-01-18. Retrieved 2021-01-18.
  35. ^ "Tamil Nadu Exit Poll Results 2021: DMK-Congress Alliance Set To Storm Into Power, Predicts Times Now/ABP-CVoter |