Next Israeli legislative election

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Next Israeli legislative election
Israel
← 2021 On or before 11 November 2025
All 120 seats in the Knesset
61 seats needed for a majority
Party Leader Current seats
Likud Benjamin Netanyahu 29
Yesh Atid Yair Lapid 17
Shas Vacant 9
Blue and White Benny Gantz 8
Yamina Naftali Bennett 7
Labor Merav Michaeli 7
UTJ Yaakov Litzman 7
Yisrael Beiteinu Avigdor Lieberman 7
Religious Zionist Bezalel Smotrich 7
Joint List Ayman Odeh 6
New Hope Gideon Sa'ar 6
Meretz Nitzan Horowitz 6
Ra'am Mansour Abbas 4
Incumbent Prime Minister
Naftali Bennett Official (cropped).jpg Naftali Bennett
Yamina

Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel by 11 November 2025 to elect the members of the twenty-fifth Knesset.

Electoral system[]

Further information: Elections in Israel

The 120 seats in the Knesset are elected by closed list proportional representation in a single nationwide constituency. The electoral threshold for the election is 3.25%.[1]

Two parties can sign a surplus vote agreement that allows them to compete for leftover seats as if they were running together on the same list. The Bader–Ofer method slightly favours larger lists, meaning that alliances are more likely to receive leftover seats than parties would be individually. If the alliance receives leftover seats, the Bader–Ofer calculation is applied privately, to determine how the seats are divided among the two allied lists.[2]

Parties[]

See also: List of political parties in Israel

Parliamentary factions[]

Further information on the 24th Knesset: List of members of the twenty-fourth Knesset

The table below lists the parliamentary factions represented in the 24th Knesset.

Name Ideology Symbol Primary demographic Leader 2021 result As of June
2021
Votes (%) Seats
Likud National liberalism מחל‎ – Benjamin Netanyahu 24.19%
30 / 120
29 / 120
Yesh Atid Liberalism פה‎ – Yair Lapid 13.93%
17 / 120
17 / 120
Shas Religious conservatism שס‎ Haredi Judaism
Mizrahi Jews
Sephardic Jews 		Aryeh Deri 7.17%
9 / 120
9 / 120
Blue and White Social liberalism כן‎ – Benny Gantz 6.63%
8 / 120
8 / 120
Yamina National conservatism ב‎ – Naftali Bennett 6.21%
7 / 120
7 / 120
Labor Social democracy אמת‎ – Merav Michaeli 6.09%
7 / 120
7 / 120
United Torah Judaism Religious conservatism ג‎ Ashkenazi Jews
Haredi Judaism 		Moshe Gafni 5.63%
7 / 120
7 / 120
Yisrael Beiteinu Nationalism
Secularism 		ל‎ Russian-speakers Avigdor Lieberman 5.63%
7 / 120
7 / 120
Religious Zionist Religious Zionism ט‎ Hardal
Israeli settlers
Modern Orthodox Judaism 		Bezalel Smotrich 5.12%
6 / 120
7 / 120
Joint List Big tent
Minority interests 		ודעם‎ Arab citizens of Israel Ayman Odeh 4.82%
6 / 120
6 / 120
New Hope National liberalism ת‎ – Gideon Sa'ar 4.74%
6 / 120
6 / 120
Meretz Social democracy מרצ‎ – Nitzan Horowitz 4.59%
6 / 120
6 / 120
Ra'am Islamism עם‎ Arab citizens of Israel
Sunni Muslims[3]
Negev Bedouin[4][5] 		Mansour Abbas 3.79%
4 / 120
4 / 120

Opinion polls[]

Main article: Opinion polling for the next Israeli legislative election

This graph shows the polling trends from the 23 March 2021 Israeli legislative election until the next election day using a 4-poll moving average. Scenario polls are not included here.

For parties not crossing the electoral threshold (currently 3.25%) in any given poll, the number of seats is calculated as a percentage of the 120 total seats.


See also[]

References[]

  1. ^ "With Bader-Ofer method, not every ballot counts". The Jerusalem Post. 16 March 2014.
  2. ^ The Distribution of Knesset Seats Among the Lists—the Bader-Offer Method Knesset
  3. ^ "Israel's Religiously Divided Society" (PDF). Pew Research Center. 8 March 2016. Retrieved 23 February 2017.
  4. ^ "How They Voted: See Israel election results by city/sector". Haaretz. 17 February 2009. Retrieved 15 June 2015.
  5. ^ "How Islamist Ra'am broke Arab politics and may win the keys to the government". Times of Israel. 25 March 2021. Retrieved 15 April 2021.
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