Opinion polling for the next Israeli legislative election

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In the run up to the next Israeli legislative election, various organisations carry out opinion polling to gauge voting intention in Israel during the term of the 24th Knesset. This article lists the results of such polls.

The date range for these opinion polls is from the previous election, held on 23 March 2021, to the present day. The next election is scheduled for 11 November 2025. However, due to the political deadlock which resulted after the previous election, and the possibility of a fifth consecutive snap election, polling for the next election started 2 weeks after the previous election.[1] No polls may be published from the end of the Friday before the election until the polling stations close on election day at 22:00.[2]

Polls are listed in reverse chronological order, showing the most recent first and using the dates when the survey fieldwork was done, as opposed to the date of publication. Where the fieldwork dates are unknown, the date of publication is given instead. The highest figure in each polling survey is displayed with its background shaded in the leading party's colour. If a tie ensues, this is applied to the highest figures. When a poll has no information on a certain party, that party is instead marked by a dash (–).

Seat projections

This section displays voting intention estimates referring to the next Knesset election. The figures listed are Knesset seat counts rather than percentages, unless otherwise stated.

Polling graph

This graph shows the polling trends from the 23 March 2021 Israeli legislative election until the next election day using a 4-poll moving average. Scenario polls are not included here.

For parties not crossing the electoral threshold (currently 3.25%) in any given poll, the number of seats is calculated as a percentage of the 120 total seats.

Polls

Poll results are listed in the table below. Parties that fall below the electoral threshold of 3.25% are denoted by the percentage of votes that they received (N%), rather than the number of seats they would have gotten.

61 seats are required for a majority in the Knesset.

Legend
Date Polling firm Publisher Likud Yesh
Atid 		Shas Blue &
White 		Yamina Labor UTJ Yisrael
Beiteinu 		Religious
Zionist 		Joint
List 		New
Hope 		Meretz Ra'am Gov.
18 Jan 22 Maagar Mohot Israel Hayom[3] 34 18 9 9 5 8 7 6 8 7 – 4 5 55
16 Jan 22 Midgam HaHadashot 12[4] 33 18 9 9 5 7 7 6 7 6 4 4 5 58
10 Jan 22 Maagar Mohot Srugim[5] 33 18 9 11 6 8 7 6 8 5 (2%) 5 4 58
6 Jan 22 Direct Polls Channel 14[6] 35 19 9 8 4 7 7 7 7 7 (2.9%) 4 6 55
6 Jan 22 Smith Galei Israel[7] 33 20 8 8 6 7 7 7 8 6 – 5 5 58
2022
21 Dec 21 Camil Fuchs Channel 13[8] 33 19 8 8 9 6 7 5 7 5 4 4 5 60
15–16 Dec 21 Panels Politics 103fm[9] 33 19 8 9 6 7 7 6 8 7 (2.9%) 5 5 57
5 Dec 21 Midgam HaHadashot 12[10] 34 19 9 9 6 7 7 6 7 6 (2.4%) 5 5 57
2 Dec 21 Smith Galei Israel[11] 34 21 9 7 5 7 7 7 7 7 – 4 5 56
28 Nov 21 Direct Polls Channel 14[12] 35 19 9 8 4 7 7 7 7 7 (2.39%) 4 6 55
22 Nov 21 Maagar Mohot Channel 14[13] 33 18 8 9 6 8 8 6 7 7 (1.3%) 5 5 57
1 Nov 21 Smith Galei Israel[14] 34 20 8 8 6 7 7 6 7 7 (2.9%) 6 5 58
1 Nov 21 Camil Fuchs Channel 13[15] 36 20 7 7 6 10 7 4 6 8 (2.6%) 5 4 56
31 Oct 21 Direct Polls –[16] 35 20 9 7 (2.9%) 7 8 7 7 7 4 4 5 54
12 Oct 21 Midgam HaHadashot 12[17] 34 18 9 8 7 7 7 5 6 6 4 5 4 58
6 Oct 21 Smith Galei Israel[18] 33 21 8 8 5 7 7 6 7 7 – 6 5 58
4 Oct 21 Camil Fuchs Channel 13[19] 34 22 6 7 7 6 7 5 7 7 4 4 4 59
3 Oct 21 Direct Polls Arutz Sheva[20] 35 19 9 8 4 8 7 6 7 8 (1.8%) 4 5 54
12 Sep 21 Smith –[21] 33 22 8 8 5 7 7 7 8 6 (1.8%) 5 5 58
1 Sep 21 Smith Galei Israel[22] 33 18 9 10 6 6 7 7 7 6 – 6 5 58
20 Aug 21 Midgam HaHadashot 12[23] 32 20 9 8 6 8 7 6 6 6 4 4 4 60
18 Aug 21 Maagar Mohot Channel 14[24] 32 18 8 11 7 7 7 7 7 5 (2.0%) 6 5 61
11–12 Aug 21 Maagar Mohot Israel Hayom[25] 32 18 8 10 8 6 7 7 7 6 – 6 5 60
14–15 Jul 21 Maagar Mohot Israel Hayom[26] 29 21 9 7 9 7 7 6 7 6 – 6 6 62
12 Jul 21 Midgam HaHadashot 12[27] 30 19 9 8 8 8 7 7 5 6 5 4 4 63
22 Jun 21 Maagar Mohot Channel 14[28] 29 22 9 7 6 7 7 6 7 6 4 5 5 62
13 Jun 21 Camil Fuchs Channel 13[29] 27 23 7 10 7 7 6 5 8 6 5 4 5 66
13 Jun 21 Smith Kikar HaShabbat[30] 31 23 9 7 5 6 7 5 7 6 5 4 5 60
13 Jun 21 The thirty-sixth government of Israel is sworn in[31]
10 Jun 21 Maagar Mohot Channel 14[32] 30 23 9 6 4 7 7 6 9 5 4 6 4 N/A
23 May 21 Midgam HaHadashot 12[33] 30 21 9 10 5 6 7 6 7 5 6 4 4
23 May 21 Camil Fuchs Channel 13[33] 29 22 7 11 8 7 6 5 8 8 5 4 –
13 May 21 Direct Polls –[34] 33 19 9 6 4 7 7 7 8 6 5 4 5
4 May 21 Camil Fuchs Channel 13[35] 28 21 7 8 11 7 7 5 5 6 6 5 4
22 Apr 21 Midgam HaHadashot 12[36] 30 19 9 7 7 8 7 7 6 6 5 5 4
22 Apr 21 Maagar Mohot 103fm[37] 30 20 8 7 9 7 8 5 6 6 4 5 5
5 Apr 21 Panels Politics 103fm[1] 29 21 9 7 10 7 7 6 5 5 5 5 4
23 Mar 21 Election results[38] 30 17 9 8 7 7 7 7 6 6 6 6 4 61[a]

Scenario polls

Most often, opinion polling about hypothetical scenarios is done in the same survey as for the regular polling. This is why these scenario polls are paired for comparison purposes.

  Regular poll
  Scenario poll
Nir Barkat as leader of Likud
Date Polling firm Publisher Likud Yesh
Atid 		Shas Blue &
White 		Yamina Labor UTJ Yisrael
Beiteinu 		Religious
Zionist 		Joint
List 		New
Hope 		Meretz Ra'am Gov.
18 Jan 22 Maagar Mohot Israel Hayom[3] 34 18 9 9 5 8 7 6 8 7 – 4 5 55
29 20 11 8 5 8 8 5 11 7 – 4 4 54
16 Jan 22 Midgam HaHadashot 12[4] 33 18 9 9 5 7 7 6 7 6 4 4 5 58
29 17 10 9 5 7 7 7 10 6 4 4 5 58
10 Jan 22 Maagar Mohot Srugim[5] 33 18 9 11 6 8 7 6 8 5 (2%) 5 4 58
31 15 12 8 5 8 7 6 12 6 (1%) 6 4 52
15–16 Dec 21 Panels Politics 103fm[9] 33 19 8 9 6 7 7 6 8 7 (2.9%) 5 5 57
29 19 9 10 7 7 7 6 9 7 – 5 5 59
Israel Katz as leader of Likud
Date Polling firm Publisher Likud Yesh
Atid 		Shas Blue &
White 		Yamina Labor UTJ Yisrael
Beiteinu 		Religious
Zionist 		Joint
List 		New
Hope 		Meretz Ra'am Gov.
18 Jan 22 Maagar Mohot Israel Hayom[3] 34 18 9 9 5 8 7 6 8 7 – 4 5 55
15 21 12 9 5 7 9 6 14 8 4 5 5 62
16 Jan 22 Midgam HaHadashot 12[4] 33 18 9 9 5 7 7 6 7 6 4 4 5 58
19 19 11 12 5 7 7 8 12 6 5 4 5 65
10 Jan 22 Maagar Mohot Srugim[5] 33 18 9 11 6 8 7 6 8 5 (2%) 5 4 58
13 16 15 12 7 8 7 6 15 6 4 6 5 64
15–16 Dec 21 Panels Politics 103fm[9] 33 19 8 9 6 7 7 6 8 7 (2.9%) 5 5 57
22 20 9 10 7 7 7 7 10 7 4 5 5 65
Yuli Edelstein as leader of Likud
Date Polling firm Publisher Likud Yesh
Atid 		Shas Blue &
White 		Yamina Labor UTJ Yisrael
Beiteinu 		Religious
Zionist 		Joint
List 		New
Hope 		Meretz Ra'am Gov.
18 Jan 22 Maagar Mohot Israel Hayom[3] 34 18 9 9 5 8 7 6 8 7 – 4 5 55
16 21 12 10 5 8 8 6 13 8 4 5 4 63
16 Jan 22 Midgam HaHadashot 12[4] 33 18 9 9 5 7 7 6 7 6 4 4 5 58
20 19 11 11 5 7 7 7 13 6 5 4 5 63
10 Jan 22 Maagar Mohot Srugim[5] 33 18 9 11 6 8 7 6 8 5 (2%) 5 4 58
13 17 14 13 6 8 7 7 14 6 4 6 5 66
15–16 Dec 21 Panels Politics 103fm[9] 33 19 8 9 6 7 7 6 8 7 (2.9%) 5 5 57
21 20 9 10 7 8 7 7 10 7 4 5 5 66
12 Oct 21 Midgam HaHadashot 12[17] 34 18 9 8 7 7 7 5 6 6 4 5 4 58
20 20 11 11 8 7 8 5 11 6 4 5 4 64
Miri Regev as leader of Likud
Date Polling firm Publisher Likud Yesh
Atid 		Shas Blue &
White 		Yamina Labor UTJ Yisrael
Beiteinu 		Religious
Zionist 		Joint
List 		New
Hope 		Meretz Ra'am Gov.
10 Jan 22 Maagar Mohot Srugim[5] 33 18 9 11 6 8 7 6 8 5 (2%) 5 4 58
15 17 14 12 6 8 7 6 13 6 4 7 5 65
15–16 Dec 21 Panels Politics 103fm[9] 33 19 8 9 6 7 7 6 8 7 (2.9%) 5 5 57
20 20 10 10 7 7 7 7 10 7 5 5 5 66
Gilad Erdan as leader of Likud
Date Polling firm Publisher Likud Yesh
Atid 		Shas Blue &
White 		Yamina Labor UTJ Yisrael
Beiteinu 		Religious
Zionist 		Joint
List 		New
Hope 		Meretz Ra'am Gov.
10 Jan 22 Maagar Mohot Srugim[5] 33 18 9 11 6 8 7 6 8 5 (2%) 5 4 58
22 16 13 10 4 8 7 6 13 6 4 6 5 59

Prime minister

Due to the political deadlock, Shas chairman and Interior Minister Aryeh Deri suggested direct elections for prime minister.[39] Some opinion pollsters have asked voters which party leader they would prefer as prime minister. Their responses are given as percentages in the graphs and tables below.

Various candidates

Date Polling firm Publisher Netanyahu Lapid Bennett Gantz Sa'ar Barkat None Undecided
18 Jan 22 Maagar Mohot Israel Hayom[3] 34 17 6 7 4 7 22
28 Nov 21 Direct Polls Channel 20[12] 42.1 18.2 15.4 11.1 – – 8.4 4.8
22 Nov 21 Maagar Mohot Channel 20[13] 54 24 9 7 6 – – –
18 Aug 21 Maagar Mohot Channel 20[24] 47 24 13 10 6 – – –
11–12 Aug 21 Maagar Mohot Israel Hayom[25] 51 23 12 9 5 – – –
14–15 Jul 21 Maagar Mohot Israel Hayom[26] 46 28 14 8 4 – 21
12 Jul 21 Midgam HaHadashot 12[27] 40 24 14 – – – 14 8
22 Jun 21 Maagar Mohot Channel 20[28] 46 28 10 8 4 4 – –
4 May 21 Camil Fuchs Channel 13[35] 39 31 14 – – – – –

Netanyahu vs. Bennett

Date Polling firm Publisher Netanyahu Bennett Neither Undecided
6 Jan 22 Direct Polls Channel 14[6] 46 37 16 1
5 Dec 21 Midgam HaHadashot 12[10] 45 25 21 9
6 Oct 21 Smith Galei Israel[18] 48 33 – –
20 Aug 21 Midgam HaHadashot 12[23] 45 25 23 7
13 Jun 21 Camil Fuchs Channel 13[29] 43 29 – –

Netanyahu vs. Lapid

Date Polling firm Publisher Netanyahu Lapid Neither Undecided
6 Jan 22 Direct Polls Channel 14[6] 48 37 12 3
5 Dec 21 Midgam HaHadashot 12[10] 48 24 19 9
6 Oct 21 Smith Galei Israel[18] 53 34 – –
20 Aug 21 Midgam HaHadashot 12[23] 47 31 17 5
23 May 21 Midgam HaHadashot 12[33] 40 35 – 25
23 May 21 Camil Fuchs Channel 13[33] 41 37 16 –
4 May 21 Camil Fuchs Channel 13[35] 41 36 – –

Bennet vs. Gantz

Date Polling firm Publisher Bennett Gantz Neither Undecided
6 Jan 22 Direct Polls Channel 14[6] 22 34 40 4

Netanyahu vs. Gantz

Date Polling firm Publisher Netanyahu Gantz Neither Undecided
6 Oct 21 Smith Galei Israel[18] 53 31 – –
20 Aug 21 Midgam HaHadashot 12[23] 47 26 21 6

Approval Ratings

Naftali Bennett
Date Polling firm Publisher Approve Disapprove
5 Dec 21 Midgam HaHadashot 12[10] 44 47
Benny Gantz
Date Polling firm Publisher Approve Disapprove
5 Dec 21 Midgam HaHadashot 12[10] 55 33
Yair Lapid
Date Polling firm Publisher Approve Disapprove
5 Dec 21 Midgam HaHadashot 12[10] 42 47
Yifat Shasha-Biton
Date Polling firm Publisher Approve Disapprove
5 Dec 21 Midgam HaHadashot 12[10] 41 41
Avigdor Liberman
Date Polling firm Publisher Approve Disapprove
5 Dec 21 Midgam HaHadashot 12[10] 35 56
Ayelet Shaked
Date Polling firm Publisher Approve Disapprove
5 Dec 21 Midgam HaHadashot 12[10] 33 51

Notes

  1. ^ Although Yamina is part of the government, Amichai Chikli chose to join the opposition.

References

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  2. ^ s:he:חוק הבחירות (דרכי תעמולה)#סעיף 16ה (ח) (in Hebrew)
  3. ^ a b c d e Mati Tuchfeld (18 January 2022). "סקר "ישראל היום" ו"מאגר מוחות": למרות המגעים לעסקת טיעון - התמיכה בנתניהו נשארת גבוהה". Israel Hayom (in Hebrew). Retrieved 20 January 2022.
  4. ^ a b c d Amit Segal (16 January 2022). "סקר חדשות 12 | תמונת המנדטים ביום שאחרי נתניהו: הליכוד בראשות ברקת שומר על כוחו, למעלה מ-50% מתנגדים להסדר הטיעון". N12 (in Hebrew). Retrieved 22 January 2022.
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  21. ^ @TLidror (13 September 2021). "פרסום ראשון" (Tweet) (in Hebrew) – via Twitter.
  22. ^ Yoni Gabay (2 September 2021). "סקר: סער לא עובר • 62 לגוש הימין עם בנט". Kikar HaShabbat (in Hebrew). Retrieved 2 September 2021.
  23. ^ a b c d Amit Segal (20 August 2021). "סקר מיוחד: איזה ציונים מקבלים שרי הממשלה על התפקוד שלהם בקורונה?". N12 (in Hebrew). Retrieved 20 August 2021.
  24. ^ a b "סקר ערוץ 20: סער נמחק – הציבור לא מרוצה מהטיפול במגפה". Channel 14 (in Hebrew). 18 August 2021. Retrieved 18 August 2021.
  25. ^ a b "סקר: הליכוד בנסיקה – תקווה חדשה נמחקת". Channel 14 (in Hebrew). 13 August 2021. Retrieved 13 August 2021.
  26. ^ a b Mati Tuchfeld (15 July 2021). "סקר: 58% חושבים שהממשלה היא שמאל-מרכז, סער לא עובר את אחוז החסימה". Israel Hayom (in Hebrew). Retrieved 16 July 2021.
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  35. ^ a b c Raviv Drucker (4 May 2021). "סקר: 43% בעד ממשלת שינוי; רק רבע ממצביעי ימינה תומכים במהלך". Channel 13 (in Hebrew). Retrieved 5 May 2021.
  36. ^ Rina Matzliah (24 April 2021). "מה מעדיף הציבור: בחירות חמישיות - או ממשלה בתמיכה או הימנעות של רע"ם? | סקר מנדטים". N12 (in Hebrew). Retrieved 25 April 2021.
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  38. ^ Shalev, Tal; Dolev, Daniel (26 March 2021). "תוצאות בחירות 2021: גוש נתניהו מגיע ל-52 מנדטים, רע"ם נכנסה לכנסת". Walla! (in Hebrew). Retrieved 26 March 2021.
  39. ^ Jonathan Lis (19 April 2021). "In Bid to End Political Stalemate, Netanyahu Ally Floats Direct Vote for Prime Minister". Haaretz. Retrieved 5 May 2021.
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