Opinion polling for the 2004 Canadian federal election

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Opinion polling for
Canadian federal elections
1997
Opinion polls
2000
Opinion polls
2004
Opinion polls
2006
Opinion polls
2008
Opinion polls

Polls leading up to the 2004 Canadian federal election.

Graphical summary[]

Voting intentions during the 2004 Canadian federal election campaign (May 23 to June 28, 2004)
  Liberal Party of Canada
  Conservative Party of Canada
  NDP
  Bloc québécois
  Green Party of Canada

National polls[]

Evolution of voting intentions at national level
Last day
of survey 		LPC CPC NDP BQ GPC Polling firm Sample ME Source
Voting results 36.7 29.6 15.7 12.4 4.3
June 24, 2004 33 32 17 13 5 Léger 2,407 ± 2.0 PDF
June 24, 2004 34 30 20 12 4 SES 600 ± 4.1 PDF
June 24, 2004 32.6 31.8 19.0 11.2 4.9 Ekos 4,159 ± 1.4 PDF
June 23, 2004 32 31 17 12 6 Ipsos 2,000 ± 2.2 HTML
June 23, 2004 34 33 15 13 5 Compass 800 N/A PDF
June 23, 2004 34 30 21 12 3 SES 600 ± 4.1 PDF
June 22, 2004 34 31 21 12 3 SES 600 ± 4.1 PDF
June 22, 2004 33 33 18 11 5 Environics 1,444 ± 2.5 PDF
June 21, 2004 34 31 21 10 4 SES 600 ± 4.1 PDF
June 20, 2004 34 28 16 13 6 Ipsos 1,000 ± 3.1 HTML
June 20, 2004 33 33 18 12 5 SES 600 ± 4.1 PDF
June 18, 2004 34 29 22 10 5 Nanos N/A N/A N/A
June 17, 2004 29 32 16 12 7 Ipsos 1,000 ± 3.1 HTML
June 16, 2004 32 32 21 12 4 SES 600 ± 4.1 PDF
June 16, 2004 32 34 19 12 3 Nanos N/A N/A N/A
June 16, 2004 34 35 16 12 4 Léger 612 ± 3.3 PDF
June 16, 2004 35 34 17 11 3 Compas 600 ± 4.0 PDF
Leaders Debate in English (June 15, 2004)
Leaders Debate in French (June 14, 2004)
June 13, 2004 31 32 17 12 6 Ipsos 1,000 ± 3.1 HTML
June 13, 2004 33 34 18 11 5 SES 600 ± 4.1 PDF
June 10, 2004 33 34 18 11 5 SES 600 ± 4.1 PDF
June 9, 2004 32 37 17 10 5 SES 600 ± 4.1 PDF
June 9, 2004 30 34 19 12 N/A Ekos 2,117 ± 2.1 PDF
June 8, 2004 33 37 15 10 5 SES 600 ± 4.1 PDF
June 8, 2004 32 31 16 11 7 Ipsos 2,003 ± 2.2 HTML
June 7, 2004 31 35 16 11 6 SES 600 ± 4.1 PDF
June 7, 2004 33 30 19 12 5 Léger 1,500 ± 2.5 PDF
June 7, 2004 32 34 20 11 4 Nanos N/A N/A N/A
June 3, 2004 32 31 17 11 6 Ipsos 1,000 ± 3.1 HTML
June 3, 2004 37 34 17 9 3 SES 600 ± 4.1 PDF
June 2, 2004 35 32 19 9 4 SES 600 ± 4.1 PDF
June 1, 2004 37 29 19 11 5 SES 600 ± 4.1 PDF
May 31, 2004 35 30 17 12 5 Léger 2,411 ± 1.8 PDF
May 31, 2004 36 25 22 13 5 SES 600 ± 4.1 PDF
May 30, 2004 36 26 20 13 5 SES 600 ± 4.1 PDF
May 30, 2004 34 30 16 11 6 Ipsos 1,000 ± 3.1 HTML
May 29, 2004 34 31 19 12 3 SES 600 ± 4.1 PDF
May 27, 2004 38 30 18 11 N/A Ekos 1,306 ± 2.7 PDF
May 27, 2004 40 31 16 10 3 SES 600 ± 4.1 PDF
May 26, 2004 42 29 17 10 2 SES 600 ± 4.1 PDF
May 25, 2004 41 28 18 11 3 SES 600 ± 4.1 PDF
Official call of federal elections (May 23, 2004)

During the 37th Parliament of Canada[]

After the creation of the Conservative Party[]

Last day
of survey 		LPC CPC NDP BQ GPC Other Polling firm Sample ME Source
Dissolution of the 37th Parliament of Canada (May 23, 2004)
May 13, 2004 40 25 15 N/A N/A N/A Ipsos 2,000 ± 2.2 [1]
May 6, 2004 38 26 16 N/A 5 N/A Ipsos 1,000 ± 3.1 HTML
April 28, 2004 40 23 18 11 5 N/A Ipsos 946 ± 3.2 HTML
April 24, 2004 38 26 17 12 5 N/A Leger 1,136 ± 2.5 PDF
April 18, 2004 39 29 19 11 N/A 2 Environics 1,940 ± 2.2 HTML
April 8, 2004 35 28 18 10 5 N/A Ipsos 1,000 ± 3.1 HTML
March 25, 2004 38 27 15 10 5 N/A Ipsos 1,000 ± 3.1 HTML
March 22, 2004 38 26 16 13 N/A N/A Leger 1,500 ± 2.5 PDF
Stephen Harper becomes leader of the Conservative Party of Canada (March 20, 2004)
March 7, 2004 38 26 17 12 4 2 Ipsos 2,111 N/A PDF
February 25, 2004 42 32 15 9 N/A 2 Ekos 1,200 ± 3.1 HTML
February 12, 2004 39 24 18 10 5 3 Ipsos 944 ± 3.1 PDF
January 29, 2004 48 23 15 11 3 0 SES 1,000 ± 3.1 PDF
January 27, 2004 49 21 15 11 N/A N/A Leger 1,115 ± 2.5 PDF
January 15, 2004 48 19 16 10 4 4 Ipsos 1,055 ± 3.1 PDF
December 29, 2003 51 24 15 8 N/A 2 Environics 1,936 ± 2.2 1 2
Paul Martin becomes Prime Minister of Canada (December 12, 2003)
Creation of the Conservative Party of Canada (7/12/2003)

Before the creation of the Conservative Party[]

Last day
of survey 		LPC NDP BQ GPC CA PC Other Polling firm Sample ME Source
November 27, 2003 43 15 9 5 10 14 4 Ipsos 1,057 ± 3.1 PDF
November 9, 2003 49 12 10 N/A 12 16 1 SES 1,000 ± 3.1 PDF
October 23, 2003 46 11 8 4 11 15 4 Ipsos N/A N/A PDF
September 2, 2003 46 15 8 N/A 13 19 0 SES 1,000 ± 3.1 PDF
June 9, 2003 54 10 5 N/A 11 17 N/A Ekos 1,501 ± 2.5 PDF
June 6, 2003 44 14 8 N/A 16 16 N/A Environics 1,926 ± 2.2 HTML
June 5, 2003 45 11 9 5 14 15 N/A Ipsos 1,006 ± 3.1 HTML
Peter MacKay becomes leader of the Progressive Conservative Party (May 31, 2003)
May 25, 2003 55 10 8 N/A 12 14 N/A Leger 1,181 ± 2.5 PDF
May 23, 2003 52 10 7 N/A 12 18 N/A SES 1,000 ± 3.1 PDF
April 17, 2003 50 10 9 4 14 13 N/A Ipsos 1,009 N/A PDF
March 27, 2003 44 14 9 N/A 16 15 2 Environics 1,943 ± 2.3 HTML
February 20, 2003 47.3 17.2 7.6 N/A 10.7 14.1 N/A Ekos 1,006 ± 3.1 PDF
February 11, 2003 48 14 7 N/A 13 16 N/A SES 1,000 ± 3.1 PDF
Jack Layton becomes leader of the NDP (January 25, 2003)
January 16, 2003 52 14 7 N/A 11 14 N/A Ekos 1,001 ± 3.1 PDF
January 14, 2003 43 15 9 N/A 17 15 1 Environics 3,879 ± 1.6 HTML
December 12, 2002 41 12 8 6 16 17 0 Ipsos 1,000 ± 3.1 PDF
December 4, 2002 47 11 8 N/A 16 14 N/A Ekos 1,205 ± 2.8 PDF
November 3, 2002 49 13 7 N/A 12 16 N/A SES 1,000 ± 3.1 PDF
September 30, 2002 44 13 9 4 15 15 1 Ipsos 1,000 ± 3.1 PDF
July 14, 2002 41 13 8 N/A 16 18 4 Ipsos 971 ± 3.2 PDF
July 2, 2002 46 12 8 N/A 18 12 N/A SES 1,000 ± 3.1 PDF
June 18, 2002 46 14 7 N/A 17 14 N/A Ipsos 1,000 ± 3.1 PDF
June 20, 2002 43 14 10 N/A 17 10 N/A Ipsos 2,000 ± 2.2 PDF
June 9, 2002 41 9 10 N/A 18 15 N/A Leger 1,500 ± 2.5 PDF
June 6, 2002 50 11 8 N/A 17 13 N/A Ekos 1,225 ± 2.8 HTML
May 30, 2002 43 13 10 N/A 18 15 N/A Ipsos 2,000 ± 2.2 HTML
May 29, 2002 46 13 8 N/A 17 13 N/A Ekos 1,217 ± 2.8 PDF
April 24, 2002 49 10 6 N/A 19 16 N/A SES 1,000 ± 3.1 PDF
March 28, 2002 45 10 10 N/A 15 15 N/A Ipsos 1,000 ± 3.1 HTML
March 24, 2002 44 10 9 N/A 13 16 8 Leger 1,503 ± 2.6 PDF
February 21, 2002 47 10 10 N/A 12 16 5 Ipsos 1,000 ± 3.1 PDF
December 12, 2001 54 10 7 N/A 11 16 N/A Ekos 1,200 ± 2.8
July 29, 2001 52 9 8 N/A 10 18 N/A Ekos 3,004 ± 1.8 PDF
July 23, 2001 49 9 9 N/A 11 20 3 Ipsos 1,000 ± 3.2 PDF
July 13, 2001 48 9 9 N/A 10 16 N/A Leger 1,508 ± 2.6 PDF
June 10, 2001 46 11 8 N/A 13 20 2 Environics 1,970 ± 2.3 HTML
June 8, 2001 48 9 10 N/A 10 21 2 Ipsos 1,000 ± 3.1 PDF
May 31, 2001 50 9 10 N/A 11 16 N/A Leger 1,504 ± 2.6 [2]
May 30, 2001 55 7 5 N/A 9 19 5 Gallup 1,017 ± 3.1 [3]
May 27, 2001 50 10 10 N/A 11 17 3 Ipsos 1,000 ± 3.1 PDF
April 26, 2001 49 11 9 N/A 13 15 3 Ipsos 1,000 ± 3.1 PDF
April 24, 2001 43 10 9 N/A 19 15 2 Environics 1,966 ± 2.2 HTML
March 29, 2001 48 7 9 N/A 19 15 2 Ipsos 1,003 ± 3.1 PDF
March 10, 2001 44 11 N/A N/A 19 14 5 Ipsos 803 ± 3.5 HTML
January 31, 2001 49 8 7 N/A 21 13 N/A Ekos 1,491 N/A HTML
January 15, 2001 45 10 8 N/A 23 11 3 Environics 2,114 ± 2.2 HTML
2000 Election 40.85 8.51 10.72 0.81 25.49 12.19 1.43

Regional polls[]

Atlantic Canada[]

Evolution of voting intentions in the provinces of Atlantic
Last day
of survey 		LPC CPC NDP GPC CA PC Other Polling firm Sample ME Source
Voting result[4] 43.8 30.0 22.6 3.0 — — 0.5
June 24, 2004 45 24 25 4 — — — Nanos N/A N/A
June 24, 2004 39 33 28 0 — — 0 Ekos N/A N/A PDF
June 23, 2004 44 23 26 7 — — 0 Ipsos 154 N/A PDF
June 20, 2004 37 41 15 2 — — 5 Ipsos 77 N/A PDF
June 9, 2004 43 28 25 4 — — 0 Ekos N/A N/A PDF
June 7, 2004 42 29 22 N/A — — 6 Léger N/A N/A PDF
May 31, 2004 41 30 21 6 — — 2 Léger N/A N/A PDF
May 30, 2004 41 30 26 2 — — N/A SES 87 ± 11.0 PDF
Official call of federal elections (May 23, 2004)
May 20, 2004 50 21 24 1 — — 3 Ipsos 60 N/A PDF
April 25, 2004 46 34 19 1 — — N/A SES 100 ± 10.0 PDF
March 22, 2004 36 39 18 N/A — — 6 Léger N/A N/A PDF
April 17, 2003 53 — 21 0 5 22 0 Ipsos 100 N/A PDF
February 20, 2003 55 — 15 N/A 5 23 2 Ekos N/A N/A PDF
January 16, 2003 59 — 11 N/A 3 26 2 Ekos N/A N/A PDF
January 14, 2003 49 — 14 N/A 7 28 1 Environics 467 ± 4.6 HTML
December 12, 2002 46 — 14 0 5 34 0 Ipsos 79 N/A PDF
July 18, 2002 53 — 12 N/A 6 27 2 Ipsos 90 N/A PDF
June 20, 2002 50 — 15 N/A 9 25 1 Ipsos 182 N/A PDF
June 9, 2002 55 — 11 N/A 5 22 7 Léger 100 N/A PDF
May 30, 2002 53 — 13 N/A 9 25 0 Ipsos 167 N/A PDF
April 2002 37 — 22 N/A 12 23 5 Léger 100 N/A PDF
March 28, 2002 49 — 15 N/A 4 31 1 Ipsos 90 N/A PDF
February 21, 2002 57 — 7 N/A 2 28 6 Ipsos 92 N/A PDF
August 29, 2001 54 — 12 N/A 2 31 1 Ekos N/A N/A PDF
August 13, 2001 50 — 19 N/A 5 23 4 Léger N/A N/A PDF
July 10, 2001 51 — 12 N/A 9 27 1 Environics 236 ± 6.5 HTML
May 27, 2001 61 — 11 N/A 5 23 0 Ipsos 93 N/A PDF
April 24, 2001 46 — 12 N/A 11 29 1 Environics 234 ± 6.5 HTML
April 2001 51 — 13 N/A 6 26 3 Léger 119 N/A PDF
March 29, 2001 59 — 6 N/A 11 24 0 Ipsos 89 N/A PDF

Central Canada[]

Quebec[]

During the election campaign[]
Last day
of survey 		LPC CPC NDP BQ GPC Other Polling firm Sample ME Source
Election 33.9 8.8 4.6 48.9 3.2 3.8
June 24, 2004 28 11 7 51 3 N/A SES 286 ± 5.9 PDF
June 24, 2004 32 11 5 48 N/A 4[note 1] Leger 1,101 ± 3.2 PDF
June 24, 2004 28 11 7 51 3 N/A Ekos N/A N/A PDF
June 23, 2004 29 9 5 48 5 3 Ipsos 460 N/A PDF
June 22, 2004 25 10 10 50 N/A 4 Environics N/A N/A HTML
June 21, 2004 26 13 6 50 N/A N/A CROP 606 ± 4.0 PDF
June 20, 2004 23 8 9 53 3 3 Ipsos 247 N/A HTML
June 17, 2004 22 13 9 48 7 2 Ipsos 247 N/A PDF
June 16, 2004 36 9 7 46 N/A 2 Compas N/A N/A PDF
June 16, 2004 30 13 6 48 N/A 3 Leger 874 ± 3.1 PDF
June 16, 2004 30 9 5 52 5 N/A SES 173 ± 7.6 PDF
June 15, 2004 31 15 7 46 N/A 1 Leger 426 ± 4.4 PDF
June 13, 2004 28 11 7 48 5 1 Ipsos 222 N/A PDF
June 9, 2004 22 13 8 54 3 N/A Ekos N/A N/A PDF
June 9, 2004 32 14 8 44 N/A N/A CROP 600 ± 4.0 PDF
June 8, 2004 24 9 8 50 5 N/A Ipsos N/A N/A HTML
June 7, 2004 31 13 8 46 N/A 2 Leger N/A N/A PDF
June 6, 2004 30 15 10 43 3 N/A SES 178 ± 7.5 PDF
June 3, 2004 28 13 6 45 4 N/A Ipsos N/A N/A HTML
May 31, 2004 33 8 9 46 2 N/A Leger 1,100 ± 1.8 PDF
May 30, 2004 29 N/A N/A 44 N/A N/A Ipsos N/A N/A HTML
May 30, 2004 30 13 5 49 3 N/A SES 196 ± 7.1 PDF
May 27, 2004 36 11 6 45 N/A N/A Ekos N/A N/A PDF
Official call of federal elections (May 23, 2004)
In 2004 (before the election campaign)[]
Last day
of survey 		LPC CPC NDP BQ GPC Other Polling firm Sample ME Source
May 20, 2004 28 7 8 50 4 N/A Ipsos 215 N/A PDF
May 20, 2004 34 10 15 42 N/A N/A CROP 854 ± 3.4 PDF
May 19, 2004 40 N/A N/A 43 N/A N/A Compass N/A N/A [5]
May 16, 2004 35 10 7 44 N/A 4 Leger 1,005 ± 3.0 PDF
May 13, 2004 31 10 10 46 N/A N/A Ipsos N/A N/A PDF
May 6, 2004 36 N/A N/A 41 N/A N/A Ipsos N/A N/A HTML
April 28, 2004 33 8 8 46 5 1 Ipsos 224 N/A PDF
April 25, 2004 39 10 10 41 N/A N/A CROP 1,001 ± 3.0 PDF
April 25, 2004 35 9 8 46 2 N/A SES 218 ± 6.8 PDF
April 24, 2004 34 8 8 46 3 N/A Leger N/A N/A PDF
April 18, 2004 37 8 8 45 N/A 2 Environics N/A N/A HTML
April 8, 2004 30 11 10 45 2 2 Ipsos N/A N/A HTML
March 29, 2004 35 11 9 45 N/A N/A CROP 1,004 ± 3.0 PDF
March 25, 2004 33 8 6 44 7 2 Ipsos 204 N/A PDF
March 22, 2004 36 8 8 45 N/A 3 Leger N/A N/A PDF
March 7, 2004 31 6 8 49 4 2 Ipsos 476 N/A PDF
February 26, 2004 32 9 10 48 N/A 1 CROP 607 ± 4.0 PDF
February 25, 2004 38 N/A N/A 44 N/A N/A Ekos N/A N/A HTML
February 22, 2004 38 N/A N/A 38 N/A N/A CROP N/A N/A PDF
February 19, 2004 30 10 9 44 3 5 Ipsos 225 N/A PDF
February 12, 2004 34 7 11 47 N/A 1 CROP N/A N/A PDF
February 12, 2004 40 5 8 39 5 3 Ipsos 213 N/A PDF
January 27, 2004 46 6 7 39 N/A N/A Leger N/A N/A PDF
January 24, 2004 51 5 10 33 N/A 1 CROP 1,000 ± 3.0 PDF
January 18, 2004 47 6 8 36 N/A 3 Leger 1,000 ± 3.4 PDF
January 15, 2004 45 3 6 39 4 3 Ipsos N/A N/A PDF
In 2003[]
Last day
of survey 		LPC CPC NDP BQ GPC CA PC Other Polling firm Sample ME Source
December 17, 2003 50 5 9 35 N/A — — N/A CROP 986 ± 3.0 PDF
November 27, 2003 40 — 8 38 5 3 4 3 Ipsos 209 N/A PDF
November 25, 2003 46 — 10 38 N/A 2 1 3 Leger N/A N/A PDF [6]
November 23, 2003 50 — N/A 34 N/A N/A N/A N/A CROP 1,003 N/A PDF
October 23, 2003 50 — 6 31 4 3 5 2 Ipsos 213 N/A PDF
September 29, 2003 50 — 7 35 N/A N/A 5 N/A CROP 1,002 N/A PDF
July 9, 2003 65 — N/A 20 N/A N/A N/A N/A Ekos N/A N/A PDF
July 6, 2003 49 — N/A 35 N/A N/A 6 N/A Environics 472 ± 4.5 HTML
June 5, 2003 52 — 5 33 4 1 4 N/A Ipsos 230 N/A PDF
May 25, 2003 62 — 6 28 N/A 1 3 N/A Leger N/A N/A PDF
April 17, 2003 50 — 3 36 5 2 4 N/A Ipsos 233 N/A PDF
March 27, 2003 46 — 8 38 N/A 3 4 1 Environics 485 ± 4.5 HTML
February 20, 2003 49 — 9 35 N/A 1 3 2 Ekos N/A N/A PDF
January 16, 2003 55 — 5 31 N/A 3 3 4 Ekos 243 ± 6.3 1 2
January 14, 2003 41 — 12 38 N/A 3 4 1 Environics 967 ± 3.2 HTML
In 2002[]
Last day
of survey 		LPC NDP BQ GPC CA PC Other Polling firm Sample ME Source
December 12, 2002 39 12 34 7 2 5 0 Ipsos 213 N/A PDF
November 24, 2002 40 4 40 N/A 3 8 5 Leger 774 ± 3.4 PDF
September 30, 2002 38 11 36 4 1 8 1 Ipsos 250 N/A PDF
August 14, 2002 38 15 33 N/A 7 5 2 Ipsos 199 N/A PDF
July 18, 2002 46 12 26 N/A 5 7 3 Ipsos 222 N/A PDF
June 20, 2002 39 12 39 N/A 3 5 1 Ipsos N/A N/A HTML
June 9, 2002 37 6 37 N/A 2 7 11 Leger 400 ± 4.5 PDF
May 30, 2002 38 12 39 N/A 3 8 N/A Ipsos N/A N/A HTML
March 28, 2002 47 5 38 N/A 3 5 N/A Ipsos N/A N/A HTML
March 24, 2002 46 4 37 N/A 2 4 7 Leger N/A N/A PDF
February 21, 2002 46 6 39 N/A 1 7 1 Ipsos 215 N/A PDF
In 2001[]
Last day
of survey 		LPC NDP BQ GPC CA PC Other Polling firm Sample ME Source
December 12, 2001 46 3 37 N/A 1 7 7 Leger 1,000 ± 3.4 1 2
December 12, 2001 58 3 31 N/A 1 6 1 Ekos N/A N/A [7] HTML
August 29, 2001 50 5 33 N/A 2 9 1 Ekos N/A ± 3.7 PDF
August 23, 2001 47 5 37 N/A 4 7 1 Ipsos 250 N/A PDF
August 13, 2001 45 5 37 N/A 3 7 4 Leger 401 ± 5.5 1 2
July 10, 2001 49 4 33 N/A 4 9 1 Environics 482 ± 4.6 HTML
July 8, 2001 43 4 41 N/A 2 10 0 Ipsos 212 N/A PDF
May 27, 2001 44 2 39 N/A 2 11 2 Ipsos 230 N/A PDF
May 21, 2001 45 3 38 N/A 1 10 3 Leger 998 N/A 1 2
April 26, 2001 43 7 36 N/A 4 9 2 Ipsos 253 N/A PDF
April 24, 2001 41 6 40 N/A 5 6 3 Environics 485 ± 4.5 HTML
March 29, 2001 45 4 37 N/A 4 9 2 Ipsos 253 N/A PDF
March 10, 2001 46 N/A 32 N/A N/A N/A N/A Ipsos N/A N/A HTML
January 31, 2001 52 N/A 30 N/A N/A N/A N/A Ekos 379 ± 5.1 HTML
January 15, 2001 42 7 35 N/A 6 5 4 Environics 504 ± 4.5 HTML
2000 Election 44.2 1.8 39.9 0.6 6.7 5.6 1.2

Ontario[]

Evolution of voting intentions in Ontario
Last day
of survey 		LPC CPC NDP GPC CA PC Other Polling firm Sample ME Source
Voting result 44.7 31.5 18.1 4.4 — — 1.3
June 24, 2004 39 32 25 4 — — N/A Nanos
June 24, 2004 39 32 25 4 — — N/A SES 393 ± 5.0 PDF
June 24, 2004 38 35 21 5 — — 1 Ekos N/A N/A PDF
June 23, 2004 38 34 20 6 — — 2 Ipsos 758 N/A PDF
June 22, 2004 40 35 19 N/A — — 5 Environics N/A N/A HTML
June 20, 2004 42 30 20 6 — — 2 Ipsos 379 N/A PDF
June 16, 2004 36 40 23 2 — — N/A SES 259 ± 6.2 PDF
June 9, 2004 34 38 21 6 — — N/A Ekos N/A N/A PDF
June 7, 2004 35 36 24 N/A — — 5 Léger N/A N/A PDF
June 6, 2004 33 43 22 3 — — N/A SES 254 ± 6.3 PDF
May 31, 2004 39 37 18 5 — — 1 Léger N/A ± 3.5 PDF
May 30, 2004 39 32 25 3 — — N/A SES 237 ± 6.5 PDF
Official call of federal elections (May 23, 2004)
March 22, 2004 47 28 19 N/A — — 6 Léger N/A N/A PDF
February 25, 2004 47 36 15 N/A — — 2 Ekos N/A N/A HTML
April 17, 2003 58 — 9 3 14 15 1 Ipsos 282 N/A PDF
March 27, 2003 50 — 15 N/A 15 18 2 Environics 544 ± 4.3 HTML
February 20, 2003 52 — 20 N/A 8 19 2 Ekos N/A N/A PDF
January 16, 2003 60 — 15 N/A 8 17 1 Ekos N/A N/A PDF
January 14, 2003 53 — 14 N/A 14 18 1 Environics N/A N/A HTML
December 12, 2002 51 — 11 6 11 22 0 Ipsos 255 N/A PDF
May 30, 2002 55 — 11 N/A 15 19 0 Ipsos 542 N/A PDF
August 29, 2001 62 — 10 N/A 8 20 2 Ekos N/A N/A PDF
August 23, 2001 53 — 11 N/A 11 22 2 Ipsos 300 N/A PDF
August 13, 2001 58 — 9 N/A 8 15 11 Léger N/A N/A PDF
July 10, 2001 51 — 13 N/A 11 24 1 Environics 555 ± 4.2 HTML
April 24, 2001 54 — 8 N/A 19 18 2 Environics 545 ± 4.3 HTML
March 29, 2001 56 — 8 N/A 18 16 2 Ipsos 300 N/A PDF
Election 2000 51.5 — 8.3 0.9 23.6 14.4 1.3

Prairies[]

Evolution of voting intentions in Prairies (Manitoba and Saskatchewan)
Last day
of survey 		LPC CPC NDP GPC CA PC Other Polling firm Sample ME Source
Voting result[4] 30.3 40.4 23.4 2.7 — — 3.1
June 24, 2004 39 34 24 2 — — N/A SES 137 ± 8.5 PDF
June 24, 2004 30 40 26 N/A — — 4[note 1] Léger N/A N/A PDF
June 24, 2004 29 37 30 5 — — 0 Ekos N/A N/A PDF
June 23, 2004 32 36 25 5 — — 2 Ipsos 136 N/A PDF
June 20, 2004 33 37 17 7 — — 6 Ipsos 68 N/A PDF
June 17, 2004 28 36 29 4 — — 3 Ipsos 68 N/A PDF
June 16, 2004 32 32 30 6 — — N/A SES 89 ± 10.6 PDF
June 13, 2004 21 56 16 4 — — 2 Ipsos 58 N/A PDF
June 9, 2004 32 36 28 3 — — N/A Ekos N/A N/A PDF
June 7, 2004 35 38 21 N/A — — 6 Léger N/A N/A PDF
June 6, 2004 35 42 20 4 — — N/A SES 77 ± 11.4 PDF
May 31, 2004 35 34 26 4 — — 2 Léger N/A N/A PDF
May 30, 2004 41 35 23 1 — — N/A SES 79 ± 11.0 PDF
Official call of federal elections (May 23, 2004)
May 20, 2004 32 40 24 3 — — 2 Ipsos 56 N/A PDF
April 25, 2004 33 31 33 4 — — N/A SES 83 ± 11.0 PDF
March 22, 2004 25 40 25 N/A — — 9 Léger N/A N/A PDF
April 17, 2003 38 — 27 1 19 13 1 Ipsos 100 N/A PDF
February 20, 2003 47 — 20 N/A 22 10 0 Ekos N/A N/A PDF
January 16, 2003 27 — 31 N/A 23 18 2 Ekos N/A N/A PDF
December 12, 2002 28 — 22 4 32 14 0 Ipsos 80 N/A PDF
July 18, 2002 33 — 17 N/A 31 16 3 Ipsos 85 N/A PDF
June 20, 2002 37 — 17 N/A 32 14 0 Ipsos 200 N/A PDF
June 9, 2002 26 — 13 N/A 36 18 7 Léger 125 N/A PDF
May 30, 2002 27 — 22 N/A 32 16 3 Ipsos 164 N/A PDF
April 2002 30 — 28 N/A 19 17 6 Léger 125 N/A PDF
March 28, 2002 29 — 22 N/A 29 14 5 Ipsos 92 N/A PDF
February 21, 2002 41 — 19 N/A 18 15 7 Ipsos 83 N/A PDF
August 29, 2001 41 — 21 N/A 18 17 4 Ekos N/A N/A PDF
August 13, 2001 41 — 16 N/A 14 25 4 Léger 108 N/A PDF
May 27, 2001 40 — 22 N/A 24 12 3 Ipsos 83 N/A PDF
May 2001 30 — 20 N/A 19 23 8 Léger 108 N/A PDF
March 29, 2001 38 — 18 N/A 30 13 1 Ipsos 100 N/A PDF

Alberta[]

Evolution of voting intentions in Alberta
Last day
of survey 		LPC CPC NDP GPC CA PC Other Polling firm Sample ME Source
Voting result 22.0 61.7 9.5 6.1 — — 0.7
June 24, 2004 23 62 13 2 — — 0 SES 145 ± 8.3 PDF
June 24, 2004 23 58 12 7 — — 0 Ekos N/A N/A PDF
June 23, 2004 20 59 11 6 — — 4 Ipsos 194 N/A PDF
June 22, 2004 21 62 13 N/A — — 4 Environics N/A N/A HTML
June 20, 2004 25 45 17 11 — — 1 Ipsos 97 N/A PDF
June 17, 2004 17 59 11 7 — — 5 Ipsos 97 N/A PDF
June 16, 2004 32 51 14 5 — — 0 SES 89 ± 10.6 PDF
June 9, 2004 25 57 14 4 — — N/A Ekos N/A N/A PDF
June 7, 2004 30 52 15 N/A — — 3 Léger N/A N/A PDF
June 6, 2004 33 51 14 2 — — 0 SES 88 ± 10.7 PDF
May 31, 2004 28 54 12 4 — — 2 Léger N/A N/A PDF
May 30, 2004 31 53 11 5 — — 0 SES 81 ± 11.0 PDF
Official call of federal elections (May 23, 2004)
April 28, 2004 31 46 15 6 — — 2 Ipsos 91 N/A PDF
April 25, 2004 33 57 10 0 — — 0 SES 77 ± 11.0 PDF
April 24, 2004 24 60 14 N/A — — 2 Léger N/A N/A PDF
March 22, 2004 27 49 17 N/A — — 7 Léger N/A N/A PDF
February 12, 2004 28 50 16 3 — — 3 Ipsos 92 N/A PDF
January 27, 2004 40 53 5 N/A — — 2 Léger N/A N/A PDF
January 15, 2004 35 47 13 2 — — 4 Ipsos N/A N/A PDF
November 27, 2003 28 — 8 6 30 24 3 Ipsos 86 N/A PDF
October 23, 2003 27 — 8 1 34 23 7 Ipsos 92 N/A PDF
July 6, 2003 28 — 6 N/A 39 26 1 Environics 203 ± 6.9 HTML
June 5, 2003 27 — 10 4 34 25 0 Ipsos 119 N/A PDF
April 17, 2003 29 — 4 4 39 24 0 Ipsos 104 N/A PDF
March 27, 2003 25 — 12 N/A 40 22 1 Environics 201 ± 7.1 HTML
February 20, 2003 32 — 8 N/A 32 28 3 Ekos N/A N/A PDF
January 16, 2003 35 — 7 N/A 26 27 5 Ekos N/A N/A PDF
January 14, 2003 24 — 9 N/A 45 21 1 Environics 411 ± 4.9 HTML
December 12, 2002 24 — 7 2 48 19 1 Ipsos 89 N/A PDF
September 30, 2002 23 — 9 3 48 16 0 Ipsos 100 N/A PDF
August 14, 2002 19 — 9 N/A 42 24 6 Ipsos 94 N/A PDF
July 18, 2002 19 — 6 N/A 50 25 1 Ipsos 90 N/A PDF
June 9, 2002 19 — 6 N/A 55 16 5 Léger 125 N/A PDF
May 30, 2002 28 — 6 N/A 49 16 1 Ipsos 177 N/A PDF
April 2002 31 — 6 N/A 34 20 9 Léger 125 N/A PDF
March 28, 2002 26 — 9 N/A 45 14 7 Ipsos 100 N/A PDF
February 21, 2002 31 — 4 N/A 34 27 4 Ipsos 100 N/A PDF
August 29, 2001 33 — 7 N/A 26 30 4 Ekos N/A N/A PDF
August 23, 2001 34 — 8 N/A 28 27 2 Ipsos 100 N/A PDF
August 13, 2001 31 — 10 N/A 20 32 8 Léger N/A N/A PDF
July 24, 2001 29 — 7 N/A 30 32 2 Ipsos 800 ± 3.5 PDF
July 10, 2001 25 — 8 N/A 37 29 2 Environics 217 ± 6.8 HTML
May 31, 2001 33 — 7 N/A 29 25 6 Léger 141 N/A PDF
May 27, 2001 28 — 8 N/A 31 29 3 Ipsos 100 N/A PDF
April 26, 2001 26 — 4 N/A 39 30 1 Ipsos 90 N/A PDF
April 24, 2001 24 — 6 N/A 43 24 1 Environics 212 ± 6.9 HTML
April 19, 2001 27 — 7 N/A 38 24 4 Ipsos N/A N/A PDF
March 29, 2001 27 — 3 N/A 40 27 3 Ipsos 95 N/A PDF
January 15, 2001 30 — 6 N/A 46 14 4 Environics 221 ± 2.7 PDF
Election 2000 20.9 — 5.4 0.5 58.9 13.5 0.8

British Columbia[]

Evolution of voting intentions in British Columbia
Last day
of survey 		LPC CPC NDP GPC CA PC Other Polling firm Sample ME Source
Voting result 28.6 36.3 26.6 6.3 — — 2.2
June 24, 2004 30 34 27 7 — — 2 Ekos N/A N/A PDF
June 24, 2004 28 38 28 6 — — N/A SES 192 ± 7.2 PDF
June 23, 2004 25 38 26 8 — — 2 Ipsos 800 ± 3.5 PDF
June 23, 2004 24 44 22 8 — — 2 Ipsos 264 N/A PDF
June 22, 2004 31 34 31 N/A — — 4 Environics N/A N/A HTML
June 20, 2004 32 36 18 8 — — 6 Ipsos 132 N/A PDF
June 17, 2004 32 34 12 7 — — 6 Ipsos 120 N/A PDF
June 16, 2004 27 35 25 10 — — 3[note 2] SES 135 ± 8.7 PDF
June 9, 2004 29 41 26 5 — — N/A Ekos N/A N/A PDF
June 7, 2004 31 31 26 N/A — — 12 Léger N/A N/A PDF
June 6, 2004 31 37 26 5 — — N/A SES 118 ± 9.2 PDF
May 31, 2004 29 32 28 9 — — 1 Léger N/A N/A PDF
May 30, 2004 34 29 29 8 — — 0 SES 121 ± 9.1 PDF
Official call of federal elections (May 23, 2004)
April 28, 2004 30 25 26 9 — — 10 Ipsos 109 N/A PDF
April 25, 2004 31 30 32 8 — — 0 SES 117 ± 9.2 PDF
April 24, 2004 31 23 29 13 — — 3 Léger N/A N/A PDF
March 22, 2004 31 37 22 N/A — — 10 Léger N/A N/A PDF
January 27, 2004 31 37 22 N/A — — 10 Léger N/A N/A PDF
January 15, 2004 39 26 26 N/A — — 10 Ipsos N/A N/A PDF
November 27, 2003 32 — 19 13 20 11 5 Ipsos 121 N/A PDF
October 23, 2003 40 — 14 8 23 9 6 Ipsos 116 N/A PDF
April 17, 2003 45 — 18 10 18 8 0 Ipsos 115 N/A PDF
March 27, 2003 44 — 20 N/A 22 12 3 Environics 225 ± 6.7 HTML
February 20, 2003 39 — 28 N/A 19 6 9 Ekos N/A N/A PDF
January 16, 2003 46 — 23 N/A 18 6 8 Ekos N/A N/A PDF
January 14, 2003 32 — 22 N/A 32 12 2 Environics 445 ± 4.7 HTML
December 12, 2002 31 — 11 13 31 13 1 Ipsos 125 N/A PDF
July 18, 2002 34 — 27 N/A 25 8 6 Ipsos 129 N/A PDF
June 20, 2002 28 — 21 N/A 31 14 6 Ipsos 267 N/A PDF
June 9, 2002 30 — 11 N/A 31 17 11 Léger N/A N/A PDF
May 30, 2002 33 — 18 N/A 33 14 2 Ipsos 263 N/A PDF
April 2002 32 — 13 N/A 20 20 14 Léger N/A N/A PDF
August 29, 2001 52 — 11 N/A 19 14 5 Ekos N/A N/A PDF
August 13, 2001 43 — 7 N/A 22 13 15 Léger N/A N/A PDF
July 10, 2001 42 — 15 N/A 22 18 3 Environics 231 ± 6.6 HTML
May 31, 2001 49 — 8 N/A 21 10 12 Léger N/A N/A PDF
April 24, 2001 34 — 16 N/A 32 12 4 Environics 239 ± 6.5 HTML
Election 2000 27.7 — 11.3 2.1 49.4 7.3 2.2

Notes[]

  1. ^ a b Including the Green Party of Canada.
  2. ^ Of which 3% for the Bloc Québécois which only presents candidates Québec.

References[]

  1. ^ The Globe and Mail. Grits sto be crushed in Quebec poll suggests. May 15, 2004. page A4.
  2. ^ Mackie, Richard (May 31, 2001). "Canadians split on PM's future". The Globe and Mail. p. A4.
  3. ^ "Tory popularity rose as Alliance support dropped. new poll suggests". The Canadian Press. June 9, 2001.
  4. ^ a b "Tableau 8 - Nombre de votes valides, par appartenance politique". www.elections.ca. Retrieved August 23, 2020.
  5. ^ "Tories closing gap. poll shows Liberals may drop to minority government". Winnipeg Free Press. May 21, 2004. pp. A3.
  6. ^ Brian Daly (December 7, 2003). "Two in three Canadians wanted Paul Martin to hold spring election: poll". The Canadian Press.
  7. ^ Tim Harper (December 14, 2001). "Liberals ahead in every region". Toronto Star. pp. A7.

External links[]

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