Opinion polling for the next German federal election

In the run-up to the next German federal election, various organisations carried out opinion polling to gauge voting intentions in Germany. Results of such polls are displayed in this list.

Poll results[]

Graphical summary[]

2022[]

Polling firm	Fieldwork date	Sample size	Abs.	SPD	Union	Grüne	FDP	AfD	Linke	Others	Lead
INSA	25–28 Mar 2022	2,070	–	25	26	16.5	10	10.5	5.5	6.5	1
Forsa	22–28 Mar 2022	2,507	22	24	26	18	9	9	5	9	2
INSA	21–25 Mar 2022	1,205	–	26	26	16	10	11	5	6	Tie
Kantar	16–22 Mar 2022	1,429	–	26	25	18	9	9	6	7	1
INSA	18–21 Mar 2022	2,122	–	24.5	26.5	16.5	11	11	4.5	6	2
Forsa	15–21 Mar 2022	2,501	22	23	27	18	10	9	5	8	4
Allensbach	9–21 Mar 2022	1,041	–	25	25	17	10.5	10	5	7.5	Tie
Wahlkreisprognose	18–20 Mar 2022	1,923	−	26.5	25.5	18.5	10	8.5	3	8	1
INSA	14–18 Mar 2022	1,198	–	26	26	16	10	10	5	7	Tie
Infratest dimap	15–16 Mar 2022	1,254	–	25	26	17	9	11	4	8	1
Kantar	9–15 Mar 2022	1,416	–	26	26	19	8	9	5	7	Tie
INSA	11–14 Mar 2022	2,073	–	25	25.5	15.5	10.5	10.5	5	8	0.5
Forsa	8–14 Mar 2022	2,502	–	25	26	18	9	9	5	8	1
INSA	7–11 Mar 2022	1,201	–	26	24	16	10	10	6	8	2
Forschungsgruppe Wahlen	8–10 Mar 2022	1,345	19	27	24	18	9	10	5	7	3
YouGov	4–8 Mar 2022	1,629	–	23	26	16	9	11	6	8	3
Kantar	2–8 Mar 2022	1,426	–	25	26	19	8	10	5	7	1
INSA	4–7 Mar 2022	2,103	–	25	24.5	15.5	11	10.5	6	7.5	0.5
Forsa	1–7 Mar 2022	2,501	22	26	25	18	9	7	6	9	1
Ipsos	4 Mar 2022	935	–	25	24	16	11	11	6	7	1
INSA	28 Feb – 4 Mar 2022	1,185	–	25	25	15	11	11	6	7	Tie
Infratest dimap	28 Feb – 2 Mar 2022	1,320	–	25	26	16	9	11	5	8	1
Kantar	23 Feb – 1 Mar 2022	1,405	–	26	26	17	8	10	6	7	Tie
INSA	25–28 Feb 2022	2,067	–	23	27	15.5	11	10.5	6.5	6.5	4
Forsa	24–28 Feb 2022	1,500	–	25	26	18	9	7	6	9	1
Wahlkreisprognose	24–27 Feb 2022	2,030	−	26	23.5	17.5	11.5	10.5	4	7	2.5
GMS	23–26 Feb 2022	1,005	–	24	27	15	10	9	6	9	3
INSA	21–25 Feb 2022	1,405	–	23	26	15	11	12	7	6	3
Forschungsgruppe Wahlen	21–23 Feb 2022	1,103	20	26	24	17	9	11	6	7	2
Kantar	16–22 Feb 2022	1,432	–	26	25	17	9	10	7	6	1
INSA	18–21 Feb 2022	1,539	–	23	27	14.5	12.5	11	6	6	4
Forsa	15–21 Feb 2022	2,500	23	23	27	17	9	9	6	9	4
INSA	14–18 Feb 2022	1,303	–	22	27	15	11	12	7	6	5
Infratest dimap	15–16 Feb 2022	1,202	–	24	26	15	9	12	5	9	2
Allensbach	3–16 Feb 2022	1,033	–	23	27	15	10.5	10	6	6.5	4
Wahlkreisprognose	13–15 Feb 2022	1,200	−	25	24.5	17	9.5	9.5	6	8.5	0.5
YouGov	10–15 Feb 2022	1,659	–	21	27	17	9	11	7	7	6
Kantar	8–15 Feb 2022	1,434	–	24	24	16	10	12	6	8	Tie
INSA	11–14 Feb 2022	2,141	–	22.5	26	15	12	12	6	6.5	3.5
Forsa	8–14 Feb 2022	2,504	22	23	27	16	9	9	6	10	4
INSA	7–11 Feb 2022	1,504	–	22	26	16	11	12	6	7	4
Forschungsgruppe Wahlen	8–10 Feb 2022	1,224	18	25	25	16	9	11	6	8	Tie
pollytix	4–8 Feb 2022	1,547	–	23	27	15	9	12	8	6	4
Kantar	1–8 Feb 2022	1,287	–	22	26	16	10	12	6	8	4
INSA	4–7 Feb 2022	2,067	–	23	26	15	12	11	7	6	3
Forsa	1–7 Feb 2022	2,502	23	22	27	16	9	10	6	10	5
Ipsos	4 Feb 2022	910	–	25	24	16	8	12	8	7	1
INSA	1–4 Feb 2022	1,202	–	22	27	16	11	11	6	7	5
Wahlkreisprognose	1–3 Feb 2022	2,330	−	21	28	19	8.5	10	5.5	8	7
Civey	22 Jan – 3 Feb 2022	10,070	–	25	25	15	10	11	6	8	Tie
Infratest dimap	31 Jan – 2 Feb 2022	1,339	–	22	27	16	10	12	5	8	5
Kantar	26 Jan – 1 Feb 2022	1,410	–	24	24	17	9	11	6	9	Tie
INSA	28–31 Jan 2022	2,247	–	24	25	15	12.5	10	6.5	7	1
Forsa	25–31 Jan 2022	2,501	23	23	27	16	9	10	6	9	4
INSA	24–28 Jan 2022	1,383	–	26	24	16	11	11	6	6	2
Forschungsgruppe Wahlen	25–27 Jan 2022	1,249	21	24	23	18	10	10	7	8	1
YouGov	21–25 Jan 2022	1,602	–	23	26	15	8	12	8	9	3
Kantar	19–25 Jan 2022	1,415	–	24	24	18	10	10	6	8	Tie
INSA	21–24 Jan 2022	2,146	–	26	24	15	11.5	11	6	6.5	2
Forsa	18–24 Jan 2022	2,502	22	25	24	16	10	10	6	9	1
INSA	17–21 Jan 2022	1,204	–	26	23	16	12	12	6	5	3
Allensbach	6–20 Jan 2022	1,090	–	27.5	23	14.5	12.5	10	5.5	7	4.5
Infratest dimap	18–19 Jan 2022	1,424	–	25	24	16	10	12	5	8	1
Wahlkreisprognose	15–18 Jan 2022	1,920	−	27.5	22.5	17	10.5	10	4.5	8	5
Kantar	12–18 Jan 2022	1,441	–	26	22	17	9	12	6	8	4
INSA	14–17 Jan 2022	2,130	–	26	22.5	15.5	12	12	6	6	3.5
Forsa	11–17 Jan 2022	2,504	22	25	25	16	10	10	5	9	Tie
INSA	10–14 Jan 2022	1,504	–	27	23	16	11	12	5	6	4
Forschungsgruppe Wahlen	11–13 Jan 2022	1,128	21	27	22	16	11	10	6	8	5
Kantar	5–11 Jan 2022	1,426	–	26	23	17	10	10	6	8	3
INSA	7–10 Jan 2022	2,107	–	26.5	23	15	12	12	5	6.5	3.5
Forsa	3–10 Jan 2022	3,003	22	25	25	17	10	9	5	9	Tie
Ipsos	6–9 Jan 2022	929	–	25	21	15	11	12	6	10	4
INSA	3–7 Jan 2022	1,504	–	27	23	16	12	11	5	6	4
Infratest dimap	3–5 Jan 2022	1,325	–	26	23	16	11	11	5	8	3
INSA	30 Dec – 3 Jan 2022	2,060	–	26.5	23	15.5	11	11.5	6	6.5	3.5
GMS	29 Dec – 3 Jan 2022	1,003	–	26	24	16	12	11	4	7	2
2021 federal election	26 Sep 2021	–	23.4	25.7	24.1	14.8	11.5	10.3	4.9	8.7[1]	1.6

2021[]

Polling firm	Fieldwork date	Sample size	Abs.	SPD	Union	Grüne	FDP	AfD	Linke	Others	Lead
INSA	27–30 Dec 2021	1,201	–	27	24	16	10	11	5	7	3
INSA	20–23 Dec 2021	1,195	–	28	23	15	11	11	5	7	5
INSA	17–20 Dec 2021	2,075	–	27.5	21.5	14.5	13	11.5	5.5	6.5	6
Forsa	14–20 Dec 2021	2,501	–	26	24	16	10	9	5	10	2
Wahlkreisprognose	18–19 Dec 2021	1,120	−	30	21.5	14.5	11.5	10	4	8,5	8.5
INSA	13–18 Dec 2021	1,501	–	27	23	14	12	12	5	7	4
Kantar	14–16 Dec 2021	1,436	–	27	22	16	11	11	5	8	5
Allensbach	1–15 Dec 2021	1,069	–	26	24	15	13	10.5	5	6.5	2
YouGov	10–14 Dec 2021	1,715	–	27	23	16	10	11	6	8	4
Kantar	8–14 Dec 2021	1,440	–	27	22	16	11	10	5	9	5
INSA	10–13 Dec 2021	2,221	–	27	22	14.5	13	11.5	5.5	6.5	5
Forsa	7–13 Dec 2021	2,509	–	26	23	15	11	10	5	10	3
INSA	6–10 Dec 2021	1,480	–	26	22	15	13	11	5	8	4
Forschungsgruppe Wahlen	7–9 Dec 2021	1,303	21	28	21	17	12	10	5	7	7
Infratest dimap	7–8 Dec 2021	1,266	–	26	23	16	12	11	5	7	3
Civey	1–8 Dec 2021	10,043	–	27	23	15	11	11	5	8	4
Kantar	1–7 Dec 2021	1,439	–	28	21	15	11	11	5	9	7
INSA	3–6 Dec 2021	2,119	–	26	22	15	13.5	11.5	5.5	6.5	4
Wahlkreisprognose	1–6 Dec 2021	1,002	−	29	18	16.5	13.5	11	4	8	11
Forsa	30 Nov – 6 Dec 2021	2,503	–	25	22	17	11	10	5	10	3
INSA	29 Nov – 3 Dec 2021	1,348	–	26	21	15	13	12	5	8	5
Infratest dimap	29 Nov – 1 Dec 2021	1,316	–	25	23	17	12	11	5	7	2
Civey	24 Nov – 1 Dec 2021	10,078	–	26	24	15	11	11	5	8	2
Kantar	24–30 Nov 2021	1,425	–	27	20	16	12	11	6	8	7
INSA	26–29 Nov 2021	2,129	–	25	21	16	14	11	5.5	7.5	4
Forsa	23–29 Nov 2021	2,509	–	24	22	17	12	10	5	10	2
INSA	22–26 Nov 2021	1,403	–	26	21	15	13	12	6	7	5
Forschungsgruppe Wahlen	23–25 Nov 2021	1,344	19	28	19	17	13	11	5	7	9
Infratest dimap	23–24 Nov 2021	1,239	–	25	21	17	13	11	5	8	4
Wahlkreisprognose	22–24 Nov 2021	1,002	–	27	22.5	15.5	11.5	10	5	8.5	4.5
Civey	17–24 Nov 2021	10,064	–	25	24	15	11	11	5	9	1
YouGov	19–23 Nov 2021	1,797	–	25	23	16	11	12	6	7	2
Kantar	17–23 Nov 2021	1,424	–	24	22	18	11	11	6	8	2
INSA	19–22 Nov 2021	2,096	–	26	22	14	14	11	5.5	7.5	4
Forsa	16–22 Nov 2021	2,501	21	24	22	17	12	10	5	10	2
INSA	15–19 Nov 2021	1,501	–	26	21	15	13	12	5	8	5
Civey	10–17 Nov 2021	10,077	–	26	23	15	12	11	5	8	3
Kantar	10–16 Nov 2021	1,433	–	24	21	18	12	11	6	8	3
INSA	12–15 Nov 2021	2,091	–	27	21	15	13	11.5	5.5	7	6
Forsa	9–15 Nov 2021	2,510	21	24	22	17	12	10	5	10	2
INSA	8–12 Nov 2021	1,202	–	26	22	15	13	11	5	8	4
Forschungsgruppe Wahlen	9–11 Nov 2021	1,257	16	28	20	16	13	11	5	7	8
Allensbach	29 Oct – 11 Nov 2021	1,016	–	27	23	15	14	9.5	5.5	6	4
Civey	3–10 Nov 2021	9,999	–	26	22	15	13	11	5	8	4
Kantar	3–9 Nov 2021	1,424	–	25	21	16	14	10	6	8	4
INSA	5–8 Nov 2021	2,112	–	26.5	20.5	16	13.5	10.5	5.5	7.7	6
Forsa	2–8 Nov 2021	2,502	–	25	22	16	14	9	5	9	3
INSA	1–5 Nov 2021	1,212	–	27	21	15	14	11	5	7	6
Wahlkreisprognose	31 Oct – 5 Nov 2021	1,200	–	28	20.5	15.5	14	10.5	4	7.5	7.5
GMS	1–4 Nov 2021	1,005	–	26	21	16	15	10	4	8	5
Infratest dimap	2–3 Nov 2021	1,329	–	27	21	16	13	10	5	8	6
Civey	27 Oct – 3 Nov 2021	10,069	–	26	22	15	13	11	5	8	4
Kantar	27 Oct – 2 Nov 2021	1,417	–	25	22	16	13	10	5	9	3
INSA	29 Oct – 1 Nov 2021	2,140	–	27	20	16	13.5	11.5	5	7	7
Forsa	26 Oct – 1 Nov 2021	2,501	–	25	21	16	15	9	5	9	4
INSA	25–29 Oct 2021	1,503	–	27	21	16	13	11	5	7	6
Forschungsgruppe Wahlen	26–28 Oct 2021	1,208	15	27	20	16	14	11	5	7	7
Infratest dimap	26–27 Oct 2021	1,239	–	26	22	16	13	10	4	9	4
Civey	20–27 Oct 2021	10,050	–	25	21	15	14	12	5	8	4
Kantar	19–26 Oct 2021	1,422	–	25	21	17	14	11	5	7	4
INSA	22–25 Oct 2021	2,105	–	28	20	16	14	11	5	6	8
Forsa	19–25 Oct 2021	2,510	–	25	20	17	16	9	5	8	5
INSA	18–22 Oct 2021	1,205	–	27	20	17	14	11	4	7	7
Civey	13–20 Oct 2021	10,028	–	25	20	15	15	11	6	8	5
Kantar	13–19 Oct 2021	1,424	–	25	21	16	13	11	5	9	4
INSA	15–18 Oct 2021	2,140	–	28	18.5	16	15	11.5	5	6	9.5
Forsa	12–18 Oct 2021	2,502	–	26	20	16	15	9	5	9	6
INSA	11–15 Oct 2021	1,195	–	28	19	16	13	11	4	9	9
Forschungsgruppe Wahlen	12–14 Oct 2021	1,329	14	28	19	17	13	11	5	7	9
Allensbach	1–14 Oct 2021	1,045	–	28	21	15	14	9.5	5	7.5	7
Civey	6–13 Oct 2021	9,999	–	26	20	14	15	11	6	8	6
Kantar	6–12 Oct 2021	1,410	–	26	19	17	14	10	5	9	7
INSA	8–11 Oct 2021	2,101	–	28.5	19.5	16	14.5	11	4	6.5	9
Wahlkreisprognose	7–10 Oct 2021	1,210	–	27	19	17.5	14	10	4	8.5	8
Forsa	5–11 Oct 2021	2,503	–	26	20	16	14	9	5	10	6
INSA	4–8 Oct 2021	1,509	–	28	20	15	14	10	5	8	8
Civey	29 Sep – 6 Oct 2021	10,009	–	28	19	15	14	11	6	7	9
Kantar	28 Sep – 5 Oct 2021	1,985	–	26	20	17	13	10	5	9	6
INSA	1–4 Oct 2021	2,000	–	28	21	15.5	13.5	10	4.5	7.5	7
Forsa	27 Sep – 4 Oct 2021	3,004	–	26	20	16	14	9	5	10	6
INSA	27 Sep – 1 Oct 2021	1,254	–	28	21	16	12	10	5	8	7
Forschungsgruppe Wahlen	28–30 Sep 2021	1,249	15	28	20	16	13	10	5	8	8
2021 federal election	26 Sep 2021	–	23.4	25.7	24.1	14.8	11.5	10.3	4.9	8.7[1]	1.6

CDU and CSU[]

Polling firm	Fieldwork date	Sample size	SPD	CDU	Grüne	FDP	AfD	CSU	Linke	Others	Lead
INSA	25–28 Mar 2022	2,070	25	21	16.5	10	10.5	5	5.5	6.5	4
INSA	18–21 Mar 2022	2,122	24.5	20.5	16.5	11	11	6	4.5	6	4
INSA	11–14 Mar 2022	2,073	25	19.5	15.5	10.5	10.5	6	5	8	5.5
INSA	4–7 Mar 2022	2,103	25	19	15.5	11	10.5	5.5	6	7.5	6
INSA	18–21 Feb 2022	1,539	23	22	14.5	12.5	11	5	6	6	1
INSA	11–14 Feb 2022	2,141	22.5	21	15	12	12	5	6	6.5	1.5
INSA	4–7 Feb 2022	2,067	23	20	15	12	11	6	7	6	3
INSA	28–31 Jan 2022	2,147	24	20	15	12.5	10	5	6.5	7	4
INSA	21–24 Jan 2022	2,146	26	19	15	11.5	11	5	6	6.5	7
INSA	14–17 Jan 2022	2,130	26	17	15.5	12	12	5.5	6	6.5	9
INSA	7–10 Jan 2022	2,107	26.5	18	15	12	12	5	5	6.5	8.5
INSA	31 Dec – 3 Jan 2022	2,060	26.5	17	15.5	11	11.5	6	6	6.5	9.5
INSA	17–20 Dec 2021	2,075	27.5	17	14.5	13	11.5	4.5	5.5	6.5	10.5
INSA	10–13 Dec 2021	2,221	27	17	14.5	13	11.5	5	5.5	6.5	10
INSA	3–6 Dec 2021	2,119	26	17	15	13.5	11.5	5	5.5	6.5	9
INSA	26–29 Nov 2021	2,129	25	17	16	14	11	4	5.5	7.5	8
INSA	19–22 Nov 2021	2,096	26	18	14	14	11	4	5.5	7.5	8
INSA	12–15 Nov 2021	2,091	27	16.5	15	13	11.5	4.5	5.5	7	10.5
INSA	5–8 Nov 2021	2,112	26.5	16.5	16	13.5	10.5	4	5.5	7.5	10
INSA	22–25 Oct 2021	2,105	28	16	16	14	11	4	5	6	12
INSA	15–18 Oct 2021	2,140	28	13.5	16	15	11.5	5	5	6	12
INSA	8–11 Oct 2021	2,101	28.5	14	16	14.5	11	5.5	4	6.5	12.5
INSA	1–4 Oct 2021	2,000	28	15	15.5	13.5	10	6	4.5	7.5	12.5
2021 federal election	26 Sep 2021	–	25.7	18.9	14.8	11.5	10.3	5.2	4.9	8.7[1]	6.8

By state[]

Mecklenburg-Vorpommern[]

Polling firm	Fieldwork date	Sample size	SPD	AfD	CDU	Linke	FDP	Grüne	Others	Lead
Forsa	14–18 Mar 2022	1,001	29	16	21	10	6	9	9	8
2021 federal election	26 Sep 2021	–	29.1	18.0	17.4	11.1	8.2	7.8	8.4	11.1

North Rhine-Westphalia[]

Polling firm	Fieldwork date	Sample size	SPD	CDU	Grüne	FDP	AfD	Linke	Others	Lead
Forsa	26 Jan – 2 Feb 2022	2,006	28	25	18	10	8	4	7	3
Forsa	26 Nov – 7 Dec 2021	2,009	29	23	18	12	7	4	7	6
2021 federal election	26 Sep 2021	–	29.1	26.0	16.1	11.4	7.3	3.7	6.5	3.1

Chancellor polling[]

These polls were conducted before the announcement of each party's Chancellor candidate, and gauged opinion on various politicians who were considered to be plausible candidates for their respective parties.

Graph of opinion polls conducted

Scholz vs. Merz[]

Polling firm	Fieldwork date	Sample size	Scholz SPD	Merz Union	Neither
Forsa	22–28 Mar 2022	1,507	42	20	38
Forsa	15–21 Mar 2022	1,501	44	20	36
Wahlkreisprognose	18–20 Mar 2022	3,923	51.5	21.5	27
Forsa	8–14 Mar 2022	1,502	46	19	35
Forsa	1–7 Mar 2022	1,501	48	19	33
Forsa	24–28 Feb 2022	1,500	45	20	35
Wahlkreisprognose	24–27 Feb 2022	2,030	49	19	32
Forsa	15–21 Feb 2022	2,500	42	20	38
Wahlkreisprognose	13–15 Feb 2022	1,220	43	25	32
Forsa	8–14 Feb 2022	2,504	40	21	39
Forsa	1–7 Feb 2022	2,502	40	22	38
Wahlkreisprognose	2–3 Feb 2022	2,330	42	31	27
Forsa	25–31 Jan 2022	2,501	43	21	36
Forsa	18–24 Jan 2022	2,502	48	19	33
Forsa	11–17 Jan 2022	2,504	48	17	35
Wahlkreisprognose	11–12 Jan 2022	1,030	54	19	27
Forsa	3–10 Jan 2022	3,003	49	18	33
Forsa	14–20 Dec 2021	2,501	50	18	32
Wahlkreisprognose	18–19 Dec 2021	1,120	55	20	25
Forsa	23–29 Nov 2021	2,509	45	18	37
Forsa	16–22 Nov 2021	2,501	45	19	36
Forsa	9–15 Nov 2021	2,510	46	19	35
Wahlkreisprognose	11–12 Nov 2021	1,004	44	21	35
Forsa	2–8 Nov 2021	2,502	52	17	31

Scholz vs. Söder[]

Polling firm	Fieldwork date	Sample size	Scholz SPD	Söder Union	Neither
Wahlkreisprognose	18–19 Dec 2021	1,120	49	28	23
Forsa	2–8 Nov 2021	2,502	39	33	28
Forsa	5–11 Oct 2021	2,503	37	33	30

Scholz vs. Röttgen[]

Polling firm	Fieldwork date	Sample size	Scholz SPD	Röttgen Union	Neither
Forsa	23–29 Nov 2021	2,509	45	19	36
Forsa	16–22 Nov 2021	2,501	45	20	35
Forsa	9–15 Nov 2021	2,510	45	21	34
Wahlkreisprognose	11–12 Nov 2021	1,004	41	20	39
Forsa	2–8 Nov 2021	2,502	51	20	29

Scholz vs. Braun[]

Polling firm	Fieldwork date	Sample size	Scholz SPD	Braun Union	Neither
Forsa	23–29 Nov 2021	2,509	50	11	39
Forsa	16–22 Nov 2021	2,501	50	12	38
Wahlkreisprognose	11–12 Nov 2021	1,004	42	22	36

Scholz vs. Laschet[]

Polling firm	Fieldwork date	Sample size	Scholz SPD	Laschet Union	Neither
YouGov	19–23 Nov 2021	2,167	46	6	48
Forsa	26 Oct – 1 Nov 2021	2,501	50	8	42
Forsa	19–25 Oct 2021	2,510	52	8	40
Forsa	12–18 Oct 2021	2,502	53	8	39
Forsa	5–11 Oct 2021	2,503	52	8	40
Forsa	27 Sep – 4 Oct 2021	3,004	52	9	39
Forschungsgruppe Wahlen	28–30 Sep 2021	1,249	76	13	11
Infratest dimap	27 Sep 2021	1,084	62	16	22
Forsa	27 Sep 2021	1,006	56	11	33
YouGov	26 Sep 2021	1,596	43	13	43

Scholz vs. Kretschmer[]

Polling firm	Fieldwork date	Sample size	Scholz SPD	Kretschmer Union	Neither
Wahlkreisprognose	11–12 Nov 2021	1,004	41	19.5	39.5

Preferred coalition[]

Polling firm	Fieldwork date	Sample size	SPD Grüne		Union FDP		SPD Grüne FDP			Union SPD		Union Grüne		SPD Grüne Linke			SPD FDP
Forschungsgruppe Wahlen	8–10 Mar 2022	1,345	18		11		12			15		5		3			4
Forschungsgruppe Wahlen	21–23 Feb 2022	1,103	17		11		9			12		5		5			3
Forschungsgruppe Wahlen	8–10 Feb 2022	1,224	16		13		11			15		5		4			2
Forschungsgruppe Wahlen	25–27 Jan 2022	1,249	16		11		11			9		6		4			3
Forschungsgruppe Wahlen	11–13 Jan 2022	1,128	16		11		12			10		4		5			5
Forschungsgruppe Wahlen	7–9 Dec 2021	1,303	16		10		12			10		6		4			4

Constituency projections[]

Direct mandates[]

Graphic of possible distribution of direct mandates

Polling firm	Date	Union	SPD	Grüne	AfD	Linke	FDP
INSA	28 Mar 2022	165	93	22	16	3	0
election.de	25 Mar 2022	161	104	19	12	3	0
INSA	21 Mar 2022	192	74	27	3	3	0
Wahlkreisprognose	21 Mar 2022	132	133	23	10	1	0
election.de	11 Mar 2022	150	115	19	12	3	0
Wahlkreisprognose	27 Feb 2022	128	131	22	16	2	0
election.de	25 Feb 2022	159	103	18	16	3	0
INSA	21 Feb 2022	213	66	16	2	2	0
Wahlkreisprognose	15 Feb 2022	143	117	20	16	3	0
INSA	14 Feb 2022	203	71	20	3	2	0
election.de	11 Feb 2022	158	103	18	17	3	0
INSA	7 Feb 2022	196	81	19	1	2	0
Wahlkreisprognose	3 Feb 2022	195	63	28	10	3	0
INSA	31 Jan 2022	178	100	18	0	3	0
election.de	28 Jan 2022	133	121	20	21	4	0
INSA	24 Jan 2022	146	129	19	2	3	0
Wahlkreisprognose	18 Jan 2022	124	139	17	16	3	0
INSA	17 Jan 2022	125	140	23	9	2	0
election.de	14 Jan 2022	129	129	19	19	3	0
INSA	10 Jan 2022	128	142	19	8	2	0
INSA	3 Jan 2022	118	137	19	23	2	0
election.de	31 Dec 2021	111	148	20	17	3	0
INSA	20 Dec 2021	108	160	17	11	3	0
Wahlkreisprognose	19 Dec 2021	102	167	12	15	3	0
election.de	17 Dec 2021	109	149	20	18	3	0
INSA	13 Dec 2021	114	153	17	12	3	0
Wahlkreisprognose	6 Dec 2021	75	176	24	21	3	0
INSA	6 Dec 2021	118	145	20	13	3	0
election.de	3 Dec 2021	111	143	22	19	4	0
INSA	29 Nov 2021	112	140	27	13	7	0
Wahlkreisprognose	24 Nov 2021	123	140	16	17	3	0
INSA	22 Nov 2021	122	147	15	12	3	0
election.de	19 Nov 2021	103	153	20	19	4	0
INSA	15 Nov 2021	99	160	20	17	2	0
INSA	8 Nov 2021	110	158	23	5	3	0
Wahlkreisprognose	7 Nov 2021	125	137	16	18	3	0
election.de	5 Nov 2021	101	156	20	18	4	0
INSA	25 Oct 2021	84	176	21	14	3	1
election.de	22 Oct 2021	101	154	20	20	4	0
Wahlkreisprognose	10 Oct 2021	113	145	20	18	3	0
election.de	8 Oct 2021	108	148	20	19	4	0
INSA	4 Oct 2021	94	163	21	19	2	0
2021 federal election	26 Sep 2021	143	121	16	16	3	0

By probability[]

Polling firm	Date	Union			SPD			Grüne			AfD			Linke
		Safe	Likely	Lean	Safe	Likely	Lean	Safe	Likely	Lean	Safe	Likely	Lean	Safe	Likely	Lean
election.de	25 Mar 2022	51	51	59	12	46	46	2	4	13	0	5	7	1	1	1
election.de	11 Mar 2022	48	51	51	15	44	56	2	4	13	0	4	8	1	1	1
election.de	25 Feb 2022	53	50	56	12	42	49	2	3	13	0	7	9	1	1	1
election.de	11 Feb 2022	49	51	58	12	44	47	2	3	13	0	7	10	1	1	1
election.de	28 Jan 2022	41	50	42	22	42	57	2	6	12	0	9	12	1	1	2
election.de	14 Jan 2022	37	50	42	27	44	58	2	5	12	0	9	10	1	1	1
election.de	31 Dec 2021	30	41	40	31	57	60	2	5	13	1	7	9	1	0	2
election.de	17 Dec 2021	30	41	38	33	58	58	2	5	13	1	7	10	1	1	1
election.de	3 Dec 2021	27	42	42	28	55	60	2	8	12	1	10	8	1	1	2
election.de	19 Nov 2021	26	39	38	35	55	63	2	5	13	1	8	10	1	1	2
election.de	5 Nov 2021	25	35	41	40	57	59	2	6	12	1	9	8	1	0	3
election.de	22 Oct 2021	26	35	40	39	54	61	2	5	13	1	10	9	1	1	2
election.de	8 Oct 2021	28	42	38	30	59	59	2	5	13	1	9	9	1	1	2
2021 federal election	26 Sep 2021	143			121			16			16			3

Second place[]

Polling firm	Date	SPD	Union	Grüne	AfD	Linke	FDP	FW
election.de	25 Mar 2022	135	102	42	15	4	1	0
election.de	11 Mar 2022	130	112	41	12	4	0	0
election.de	25 Feb 2022	135	109	35	15	4	0	0
election.de	11 Feb 2022	137	103	38	16	4	0	0
election.de	28 Jan 2022	122	120	40	13	4	0	0
election.de	14 Jan 2022	120	125	36	13	4	1	0
election.de	31 Dec 2021	111	135	35	12	4	2	0
election.de	17 Dec 2021	110	135	34	14	4	2	0
election.de	3 Dec 2021	104	126	46	17	4	2	0
election.de	19 Nov 2021	104	133	41	15	4	2	0
election.de	5 Nov 2021	108	128	41	17	3	2	0
election.de	22 Oct 2021	103	130	40	19	5	2	0
election.de	8 Oct 2021	107	129	39	18	4	2	0
2021 federal election	26 Sep 2021	129	115	33	14	4	2	2

References[]

External links[]

• Wahlrecht.de (in German)
• pollytix-Wahltrend (in German)
• DAWUM Wahltrend (in German)
• Twitter: @Wahlen_DE (in German)