Opinion polling for the next Romanian legislative election

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In preparation for the next Romanian legislative election, which will take place no later than March 2025, various polling companies and organisations from Romania have already (since December 2020 onwards) been carrying out a series of opinion polling to gauge voting intention among the overall electorate.

The results of all these opinion polls are showcased in the table from down below in this Wikipedia article. The date range is between shortly after the previous legislative election, held on 6 December 2020, to the present-day during early 2022.

Polls[]

  PSD
  PNL
  USR
  AUR
  UDMR
  PMP
  PRO
  ALDE
  PUSL
  PER
  APP
  FD

2022[]

Date Poll source Sample size PSD PNL USR AUR UDMR PMP PRO ALDE PUSL PER APP FD Others Lead
2–11 Mar 2022 CURS 1,172 36 20 8 14 5 4 2 N/A 4 2 2 N/A 3 16
2–7 Mar 2022 INSCOP 1,077 32 19.9 10.8 18.9 N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A 18.4 13.6
10–21 Feb 2022 ISPAP 1,100 34 12 8 17 5 2 2 0 3 1 3 3 10 17.0
9–19 Feb 2022 Sociopol 1,001 35 16 13 22 6 1 2 2 0 0 2 1 0 18.0
20–31 Jan 2022 Avangarde 903 35 16 12 18 N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A 19 17.0
22–29 Jan 2022 CURS 1,003 35 17 10 16 5 4 2 4 4 3 2 3 2 18.0
10–21 Jan 2022 ISPAP 1,100 33 11 11 19 5 3 3 1 2 1 4 4 3.0 14.0
10–18 Jan 2022 INSCOP 1,162 34.3 16.6 12.5 20.6 4.2 2.1 2.9 N/A 1.3 N/A 1.0 1.7 1.5 13.7
6 December 2020 2020 Chamber election N/A 28.90 25.18 15.37 9.08 5.74 4.82 4.09 1.19 1.12 N/A N/A 6.82 3.72
2020 Senate election N/A 29.32 25.58 15.86 9.17 5.89 4.93 4.13 1.01 1.33 N/A N/A 5.12 3.74


2021[]

Date Poll source Sample size PSD PNL FD USR AUR UDMR PMP PRO ALDE PUSL PER APP Others Lead
15–23 Dec 2021 Avangarde 907 39.0 18.0 N/A 10.0 17.0 5.0 3.0 2.0 N/A 4.0 N/A 1.0 1.0 21.0
17–22 Dec 2021 Sociopol 1,001 33.0 15.0 3.0 12.0 23.0 5.0 2.0 2.0 1.0 N/A 1.0 1.0 2.0 10.0
13–17 Dec 2021 CURS 1,100 38.0 19.0 N/A 11.0 13.0 5.0 5.0 N/A N/A 4.0 N/A N/A 5.0 19.0
25 Nov 2021 The Ciucă Cabinet, supported by a grand coalition consisting of the PNL, PSD, and UDMR, is voted and invested
16–24 Nov 2021 Avangarde 906 40.0 17.0 N/A 11.0 15.0 5.0 4.0 1.0 1.0 4.0 N/A N/A 2.0 23.0
17–22 Nov 2021 CURS 1,100 38.0 18.0 N/A 11.0 14.0 5.0 4.0 3.0 1.0 3.0 N/A N/A 3.0 20.0
6–13 Nov 2021 ISPAP 1,130 38.0 7.5 14.0 20.5 5.0 4.5 1.5 2.0 0.5 4.5 2.0 17.5
37.5 18.0 22.0 5.0 4.0 3.0 5.0 5.5[a] 15.5
35.0 8.0 5.0 12.0 20.0 5.5 4.5 1.5 0.5 1.5 0.5 4.0 2.0[b] 15.0
9–12 Nov 2021 PPU 1,023 30.5 3.0 7.5 23.0 12.0 5.0 6.5 5.5 1.0 2.5 N/A 2.5 1.0 7.5
before 3 Nov 2021 FL 1,217 34.0 8.0 20.0 12.0 5.0 6.5 5.5 2.0 1.0 N/A 2.0 4.0 14.0
25–30 Oct 2021 CURS 1,100 39.0 19.0 N/A 11.0 12.0 5.0 5.0 3.0 N/A 4.0 N/A N/A 2.0 20.0
17–26 Oct 2021 Avangarde 900 40.0 17.0 N/A 13.0 14.0 5.0 4.0 2.0 1.0 4.0 N/A N/A 0.0 23.0
15–25 Oct 2021 INSCOP 1,100 35.5 21.9 N/A 12.4 14.2 5.0 2.9 3.2 N/A 0.5 N/A 1.7 2.8 13.6
12–21 Oct 2021 ISPAP 1,228 34.5 16.0 N/A 15.0 17.0 5.0 4.5 1.0 N/A 2.0 1.0 4.0 5.0[c] 17.5
34.0 9.0 7.0 15.0 17.0 5.0 4.0 1.0 0.5 2.0 1.0 4.0 4.5 17.0
12–20 Oct 2021 CURS 1,202 39.0 21.0 N/A 11.0 13.0 5.0 N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A 11.0 18.0
12–17 Oct 2021 APP 1,122 30.0 3.0 11.5 17.5 17.0 4.0 6.0 5.0 1.5 N/A N/A 3.5 1.0 12.5
12–17 Oct 2021 INSCOP 1,100 36.7 19.8 N/A 16.4 15.3 3.0 2.1 3.0 N/A N/A N/A N/A 3.8 16.9
11–15 Oct 2021 Sociopol 1,002 32.0 20.0 N/A 13.0 21.0 6.0 N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A 8.0 11.0
26–29 Sep 2021 Gazeta Civică 1,202 28.0 17.0 18.0 17.5 5.0 5.5 4.0 1.0 N/A N/A 3.0 2.0 10.0
28 Sep 2021 INSOMAR 1,030 31.6 25.9 15.0 17.0 4.6 2.5 2.3 N/A N/A N/A 1.2 0.0 5.7
15–27 Sep 2021 INSCOP 1,204 35.4 21.9 9.8 17.1 N/A 2.9 4.4 N/A N/A N/A N/A 8.5 13.5
14–21 Sep 2021 Avangarde 900 37.0 20.0 13.0 14.0 5.0 4.0 1.0 1.0 4.0 N/A N/A 1.0 17.0
8–10 Sep 2021 CURS 861 36.0 19.0 11.0 14.0 5.0 5.0 3.0 2.0 4.0 N/A N/A 1.0 17.0
3–5 Sep 2021 CURS 853 35.0 20.0 11.0 12.0 5.0 5.0 3.0 3.0 4.0 N/A N/A 2.0 15.0
1 Sep 2021 The 2021 Romanian political crisis begins, leading to the break-up of the centre-right government coalition and a PNL splinter
20–24 Aug 2021 Avangarde 900 35.0 21.0 14.0 15.0 5.0 5.0 2.0 N/A 1.0 N/A N/A 2.0[d] 14.0
12–20 Aug 2021 CURS 1,067 34.0 20.0 12.0 11.0 5.0 5.0 3.0 3.0 4.0 N/A N/A 3.0 14.0
15–19 Aug 2021 IRES 1,006 35.0 27.0 14.0 14.0 5.0 2.0 2.0 1.0 N/A N/A N/A 2.0 8.0
26 Jul 2021 INSOMAR N/A 38.1 15.1 11.1 15.0 5.1 N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A 15.8 23.0
9–19 Jul 2021 Avangarde 903 34.0 23.0 13.0 15.0 5.0 N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A 10.0 11.0
1–15 Jul 2021 Sociopol 1,100 31.0 27.0 15.0 10.0 7.0 2.0 3.0 N/A N/A 2.0 N/A 3.0 4.0
24 Jun 2021 INSOMAR 1,030 22.9 25.0 15.0 18.0 5.1 N/A 2.0 2.9 N/A N/A N/A 7.2 2.1
11–18 Jun 2021 CURS 1,067 34.0 22.0 14.0 12.0 4.0 5.0 2.0 3.0 2.0 N/A N/A 4.0 12.0
1–15 Jun 2021 INSCOP 1,100 30.2 26.6 13.2 14.2 N/A 2.8 4.3 N/A N/A N/A N/A 8.7 3.6
18 May 2021 Sociopol 1,100 36 22 15 11 6 2 5 0 1 1 N/A 1[e] 14.0
18 May 2021 IRES 1,100 36.0 28.0 11.0 14.0 3.0 N/A 3.0 N/A N/A 1.0 N/A 8.0 8.0
1–8 May 2021 Avangarde 900 36.0 23.0 14.0 15.0 5.0 2.0 2.0 N/A 1.0 1.0 N/A 2.0 13.0
7 May 2021 INSOMAR 1,030 22.1 23.5 13.6 15.5 8.6 4.6 4.1 N/A N/A N/A N/A 8.4 1.4
14–17 Apr 2021 CURS 1,107 33.0 21.0 16.0 12.0 4.0 5.0 3.0 N/A 4.0 N/A N/A 2.0 12.0
30 Mar–11 Apr 2021 BCS[1] 1,420 28.9 22.3 22.5 10.0 4.0 4.2 2.9 N/A N/A N/A N/A 5.1 6.4
12–28 Mar 2021 Sociopol N/A 35.0 26.0 17.0 12.0 4.0 3.0 2.0 N/A N/A N/A N/A 1.0 9.0
22–26 Feb 2021 CURS 1,100 34.0 25.0 16.0 9.0 4.0 3.0 2.0 N/A 3.0 N/A N/A 4.0 10.0
10–14 Feb 2021 PER 1,055 33.0 25.0 20.0 8.0 4.0 4.0 4.0 2.0 N/A 3.0 N/A 4.0 8.0
9–11 Feb 2021 INSOMAR 1,030 28.0 27.0 14.0 16.0 6.0 4.0 1.0 N/A N/A N/A N/A 4.0 1.0
15–17 Jan 2021 Avangarde 710 34.0 24.0 16.0 14.0 5.0 3.0 1.0 N/A N/A N/A N/A 3.0 10.0
11–15 Jan 2021 CURS 1,100 34.0 26.0 16.0 12.0 5.0 3.0 2.0 N/A N/A N/A N/A 2.0 8.0
17–21 Dec 2020 CURS 1,100 35.0 26.0 14.0 15.0 4.0 2.0 2.0 N/A N/A N/A N/A 2.0 9.0
10–20 Dec 2020 Avangarde 900 35.0 26.0 15.0 14.0 5.0 2.0 1.0 N/A N/A N/A N/A 2.0 9.0
6 December 2020 2020 Chamber election N/A 28.90 25.18 15.37 9.08 5.74 4.82 4.09 1.19 1.12 N/A 6.82 3.72
2020 Senate election N/A 29.32 25.58 15.86 9.17 5.89 4.93 4.13 1.01 1.33 N/A 5.12 3.74
  1. ^ PV 1.0%; PRM 0.5%; AD 0.5%
  2. ^ PRM 0.5%; PV 0.5%
  3. ^ PV 1.0%
  4. ^ PRM 1.0%
  5. ^ PRM 0%

Seats projection[]

Date Poll source PSD PNL USR AUR UDMR PMP PRO APP FD Nat. min. Lead
10–21 Jan 2022 ISPAP 139 49 33 69 22 0 0 0 0 18 70
10–21 Jan 2022 ISPAP 130 43 43 75 21 0 0 0 0 18 55
17–22 Dec 2021 Sociopol 117 53 42 82 18 0 0 0 0 18 35
17–26 Oct 2021 Avangarde 140 59 46 49 18 0 0 0 0 18 81
12–21 Oct 2021 ISPAP 122 57 54 61 18 0 0 0 0 18 61
12–17 Oct 2021 INSCOP 125 68 56 52 11 0 0 0 0 18 57
12–17 Oct 2021 APP 109 42 63 62 14 21 0 0 0 18 46
26–29 Sep 2021 Gazeta Civică 95 57 61 59 17 18 0 0 0 18 34
28 Sep 2021 INSOMAR 104 85 49 56 15 0 0 0 0 18 19
9–19 Jul 2021 Avangarde[citation needed] 118 80 45 52 17 0 0 0 0 18 38
11–15 Jan 2021 CURS[citation needed] 113 88 53 40 18 0 0 0 0 18 25
6 December 2020 2020 Chamber election 110 93[2] 55 33 21 0 0 N/A PNL 18 17

Approval ratings[]

Date Poll source Sample size Ciolacu
PSD
Ciucă
PNL
Cîțu
PNL
Orban
PNL/FD
Cioloș
USR
Barna
USR
Dragu
USR
Simion
AUR
Kelemen
UDMR
Diaconescu
PMP
Băsescu
PMP
President
Iohannis
31 Jan 22 CURS N/A 27.0 27.0 11.0 10.0 13.0 N/A N/A 21.0 13.0 15.0 11.0 18.0
17–26 Oct 21 Avangarde 900 25.0 N/A 7.0 9.0 13.0 9.0 N/A 20.0 N/A N/A N/A 14.0
12–21 Oct 21 ISPAP 1,228 31.0 N/A 8.0 16.0 17.0 12.0 13.0 15.0 8.0 N/A N/A 24.0
14–21 Sep 21 Avangarde 900 33.0 N/A 14.0 16.0 12.0 12.0 N/A 14.0 N/A N/A N/A 30.0
12–20 Aug 21 CURS 1,100 27.0 N/A 18.0 16.0 14.0 14.0 11.0 15.0 12.0 17.0 11.0 32.0
11–18 Jun 21 CURS 1,067 26.0 N/A 19.0 18.0 15.0 14.0 14.0 18.0 11.0 17.0 14.0 33.0
6 May 21 INSOMAR 1,030 20.1 N/A N/A 21.9 8.2 12.0 N/A 14.1 N/A 8.3 N/A N/A
14–17 Apr 21 CURS 1,107 26.0 N/A 24.0 20.0 16.0 15.0 N/A 21.0 13.0 N/A N/A N/A
11 Apr 21 BCS 1,420 14.0 N/A 21.6 17.5 18.6 16.8 N/A 12.2 6.5 11.8 16.6 N/A
22–26 Feb 21 CURS 1,100 25.0 N/A 17.0 20.0 14.0 18.0 14.0 20.0 18.0 N/A N/A 37.0

2021 political crisis poll[]

Polling firm Date Question Iohannis PNL USR Cîțu PSD N/A[3]
Avangarde[4] Oct 2021 Who is the main culprit for the current political crisis? 18% 14% 11% 8% 1% 48%

Approval ratings for former Prime Minister Florin Cîțu (April–October 2021)[]

Polling firm Fieldwork date Sample size Florin Vasile Cîțu

(PNL)

checkY ☒N Question? Net
CURS 25–30 Oct 2021 1,100 10.0 81.0 9.0 −71.0
Avangarde 17–26 Oct 2021 900 7.0 74.0 19.0 −67.0
Avangarde 14–21 Sep 2021 900 14.0 61.0 25.0 −47.0
CURS 12–20 Aug 2021 1,100 18.0 77.0 5.0 −59.0
CURS 11–18 Jun 2021 1,067 19.0 75.0 6.0 −56.0
CURS 14–17 Apr 2021 1,107 24.0 69.0 7.0 −45.0
BCS 11 Apr 2021 1,420 21.6 68.5 9.8 −46.9

National approval rating[]

Polling firm Fieldwork date Sample size Is Romania going on a good path/direction?
checkY ☒N Question? Net
Approved Disapproval
Avangarde 17–26 Oct 2021 900 8.0 80.0 12.0 −72.0







References[]

  1. ^ BCS - Biroul de Cercetări Sociale (11 April 2021). "Credințe și valori în societatea românească 30 martie - 11 aprilie 2021". Retrieved 10 November 2021.
  2. ^ Subsequently, several deputies decided to leave the PNL and follow former PNL president Ludovic Orban in his new political project FD, after PNL decided to form a new cabinet with PSD; therefore PNL has 79 deputies now whereas FD has 13.
  3. ^ Don't know/No opinion
  4. ^ Avangarde (27 October 2021). "Barometrul Opiniei Publice Național Octombrie 2021" (PDF). Retrieved 10 November 2021.
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