Statewide opinion polling for the 2008 United States presidential election

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This article provides a collection of statewide public opinion polls that were conducted relating to the 2008 United States presidential election.

Opinion polling[]

Alabama[]

9 electoral votes
(Republican in 2000 & 2004)

Four-way race

Alaska[]

3 electoral votes
(Republican in 2000 & 2004)

Three-way race

Arizona[]

10 electoral votes
(Republican in 2000 & 2004)

Four-way race

Arkansas[]

6 electoral votes
(Republican in 2000 & 2004)

Four-way race

California[]

55 electoral votes
(Democrat in 2000 & 2004)

Four-way race

Colorado[]

9 electoral votes
(Republican in 2000 & 2004)

Four-way race

Five-way race

Connecticut[]

7 electoral votes
(Democrat in 2000 & 2004)

Four-way race

Delaware[]

3 electoral votes
(Democrat in 2000 & 2004)

District of Columbia[]

3 electoral votes
(Democrat in 2000 & 2004)

Florida[]

27 electoral votes
(Republican in 2000 & 2004)

Three-way race

Four-way race

Five-way race

Georgia[]

15 electoral votes
(Republican in 2000 & 2004)

Three-way race

Four-way race

Hawaii[]

4 electoral votes
(Democrat in 2000 & 2004)

Idaho[]

4 electoral votes
(Republican in 2000 & 2004)

Five-way race

Illinois[]

21 electoral votes
(Democrat in 2000 & 2004)

Four-way race

Indiana[]

11 electoral votes
(Republican in 2000 & 2004)

Three-way race

Four-way race

Iowa[]

7 electoral votes
(Democrat in 2000)
(Republican in 2004)

Four-way race

Kansas[]

6 electoral votes
(Republican in 2000 & 2004)

Kentucky[]

8 electoral votes
(Republican in 2000 & 2004)

Four-way race

Louisiana[]

9 electoral votes
(Republican in 2000 & 2004)

Four-way race

Maine[]

4 electoral votes
(Democrat in 2000 & 2004)

First congressional district

Second congressional district

Maryland[]

10 electoral votes
(Democrat in 2000 & 2004)

Four-way race

Massachusetts[]

12 electoral votes
(Democrat in 2000 & 2004)

Three-way race

Four-way race

Six-way race

Michigan[]

17 electoral votes
(Democrat in 2000 & 2004)

Three-way race

Four-way race

Five-way race

Minnesota[]

10 electoral votes
(Democrat in 2000 & 2004)

Four-way race

Mississippi[]

6 electoral votes
(Republican in 2000 & 2004)

Missouri[]

11 electoral votes
(Republican in 2000 & 2004)

Four-way race

Five-way race

Six-way race

Montana[]

3 electoral votes
(Republican in 2000 & 2004)

Three-way race

Five-way race

‡ Ron Paul replaced Chuck Baldwin on the ballot in Montana.

Nebraska[]

5 electoral votes
(Republican in 2000 & 2004)

Second congressional district

Nevada[]

5 electoral votes
(Republican in 2000 & 2004)

Four-way race

Five-way race

Six-way race

New Hampshire[]

4 electoral votes
(Republican in 2000)
(Democrat in 2004)

Four-way race

Five-way race

New Jersey[]

15 electoral votes
(Democrat in 2000 & 2004)

Four-way race

New Mexico[]

5 electoral votes
(Democrat in 2000)
(Republican in 2004)

Three-way race

Four-way race

Five-way race

New York[]

31 electoral votes
(Democrat in 2000 & 2004)

Four-way race

North Carolina[]

15 electoral votes
(Republican in 2000 & 2004)

Three-way race

Four-way race

North Dakota[]

3 electoral votes
(Republican in 2000 & 2004)

Ohio[]

20 electoral votes
(Republican in 2000 & 2004)

Four-way race

Five-way race

Seven-way race

Eight-way race

Oklahoma[]

7 electoral votes
(Republican in 2000 & 2004)

Four-way race

Oregon[]

7 electoral votes
(Democrat in 2000 & 2004)

Three-way race

Four-way race

Pennsylvania[]

21 electoral votes
(Democrat in 2000 & 2004)

Four-way race

Rhode Island[]

4 electoral votes
(Democrat in 2000 & 2004)

South Carolina[]

8 electoral votes
(Republican in 2000 & 2004)

Three-way race

Four-way race

South Dakota[]

3 electoral votes
(Republican in 2000 & 2004)

Tennessee[]

11 electoral votes
(Republican in 2000 & 2004)

Four-way race

Texas[]

34 electoral votes
(Republican in 2000 & 2004)

Three-way race

Four-way race

Utah[]

5 electoral votes
(Republican in 2000 & 2004)

Three-way race

Vermont[]

3 electoral votes
(Democrat in 2000 & 2004)

Virginia[]

13 electoral votes
(Republican in 2000 & 2004)

Four-way race

Five-way race

Six-way race

Washington[]

11 electoral votes
(Democrat in 2000 & 2004)

Four-way race

West Virginia[]

5 electoral votes
(Republican in 2000 & 2004)

Four-way race

Wisconsin[]

10 electoral votes
(Democrat in 2000 & 2004)

Four-way race

Wyoming[]

3 electoral votes
(Republican in 2000 & 2004)

See also[]

  • Nationwide opinion polling for the Democratic Party 2008 presidential candidates
  • Nationwide opinion polling for the Republican Party 2008 presidential candidates
  • Nationwide opinion polling for the United States presidential election, 2008
  • Statewide opinion polling for the Democratic Party presidential primaries, 2008
  • Statewide opinion polling for the Republican Party presidential primaries, 2008

Election Day projection[]

Current 2008 US Electoral College Polling Map.PNG

FINAL UPDATE: 22:32, 4 November 2008 (UTC)

  • Data derived from Nate Silver's FiveThirtyEight.com weighted averages and statistical polling analysis, which determines what the best guess as to what will happen on Election Day is rather than what would happen if the election were held today. (Methodology)
  • Each state is colored according to which candidate is currently projected to win, and both the state's total electoral votes and the winning candidate's projected margin of victory are listed.
  • The actual result matches this map with the exceptions that Barack Obama won Indiana and Nebraska's second congressional district.

References[]

External links[]

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