2006 New York gubernatorial election

2006 New York gubernatorial election
Turnout	34.9%
	County results; Spitzer: 40–50% 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% 80–90%; Faso: 40–50% 50–60%
Governor before election; George Pataki; Republican	Elected Governor ; Eliot Spitzer; Democratic

The 2006 New York gubernatorial election took place on November 7, 2006 to elect the governor and lieutenant governor of New York, concurrently with elections to the United States Senate in other states and elections to the United States House of Representatives and various state and local elections. Democrat Eliot Spitzer, the New York Attorney General, won the election, succeeding incumbent Republican Governor George Pataki, who did not run for a fourth term.

Spitzer was slated to serve between January 1, 2007 and December 31, 2010, but he announced his resignation on March 12, 2008 (effective March 17, 2008), amid news of his involvement in a prostitution scandal. Spitzer was succeeded on March 17 by Lieutenant Governor David Paterson. This was the first open seat election since 1982.

To date, he is the last Democratic candidate for governor to have carried any of the following counties: Genesee County, Chautauqua County, Cattaraugus County, Niagara County, Fulton County, Steuben County, Tioga County or Schoharie County.

Candidates for governor[]

Democratic Party[]

Eliot Spitzer – at the time was the New York State Attorney General (1999–2006) According to speeches on his website, Spitzer supported reducing property taxes, lowering the cost of health care; reducing energy costs and reforming workers' compensation. He also proposed urban revitalization, small business incentives, health insurance for every child, reducing Medicaid fraud and abuse and reducing prescription drug costs.^[2] Spitzer was nominated on September 12, 2006 over rival Thomas Suozzi. The results of the primary were:

Results[]

Results by county:

Spitzer—>90%

Spitzer—80–90%

Spitzer—70–80%

Spitzer—60–70%

Spitzer—50–60%

Democratic Gubernatorial Primary Results^[3]
Party		Candidate	Votes	%
	Democratic	Eliot Spitzer	624,684	81.88
	Democratic	Thomas Suozzi	138,263	18.12
Total votes			762,947	100.00

Republican Party[]

John Faso – former state Assembly minority leader (1998–2002), Republican nominee for state comptroller in 2002. On February 14, Faso launched a statewide campaign ad announcing his candidacy for governor. Later that month, he was endorsed by Conservative Party Chairman Michael Long^[4] and by Congressman John Sweeney. Faso won the nomination at the Republican convention, defeating former Massachusetts Governor Bill Weld, 61%-39%.^[5] Following the convention, Weld withdrew from the race as senior party officials (including state Republican chairman Stephen Minarik, who endorsed Weld) urged party unity.^[6] Other unsuccessful candidates included Secretary of State Randy Daniels and Assemblyman Patrick R. Manning.

Green Party[]

Malachy McCourt – author, actor, talk radio host, raconteur and brother of Frank McCourt.

Libertarian Party[]

John Clifton was the official Libertarian Party Candidate for governor.

Socialist Worker's Party[]

Maura DeLuca

Rent Is Too Damn High Party[]

Jimmy McMillan, Vietnam War veteran and former letter carrier, candidate for mayor of New York City in 2005.^[7] In 2006 he sought to run for governor as the candidate of the "My Rent Is Too Damn High Party".^[8] The State Board of Elections allowed him on the ballot, but only under the rubric of the "Rent Is Too High Party". That version appeared on Row H.^[9]

Background[]

Democratic ticket[]

Eliot Spitzer was the nominee of the Democratic party of New York for governor. On December 7, 2004, Spitzer announced his intention to seek the Democratic nomination for the 2006 election for Governor of New York. Spitzer's campaign manager was Ryan Toohey of Global Strategy Group, which Spitzer had hired for his 1998 campaign for attorney general and for the gubernatorial campaign. While long rumored, Spitzer's announcement was nevertheless considered unusually early—nearly two years before the day of the gubernatorial election. Some pundits believed the timing of Spitzer's announcement was due to Spitzer's desire to see if Senator Charles Schumer, a more senior Democrat, would run. Schumer, who was largely favored in opinion polls in a hypothetical matchup against Spitzer, announced in November that he would not run for governor, instead accepting an offer to sit on the powerful Finance Committee and head the Democratic Senatorial Campaign Committee. After Schumer announced he would maintain his Senate seat, another Democrat, Andrew Cuomo, announced his plans to run for Spitzer's vacated Attorney General's seat.

Spitzer won an early vote of confidence on January 22, 2005 by gaining the endorsement of the Working Families Party, which has taken advantage of New York's electoral fusion system to act as a kingmaker over Democratic nominees. It is backed heavily by figures from community group ACORN and labor unions, particularly those that broke from the AFL-CIO to form the Change to Win Federation. In the months after the WFP endorsement, several Change to Win unions have announced that they are endorsing Spitzer under their own name, including UNITE HERE, the Teamsters, and the United Food and Commercial Workers.

In the latter half of 2005, Spitzer sought to further solidify support for his campaign by touring the state, seeking and giving political endorsements. These included cross endorsements with former-Bronx Borough President Fernando Ferrer in the New York City Mayoral election, Matthew Driscoll in the Syracuse Mayoral election, and State Senator Byron Brown in the Buffalo Mayoral election. The benefit to Spitzer in these endorsement deals was valuable media attention as he stumped for the candidates.

As a result of Spitzer's relative speed in uniting state Democrats to his side, he had gained the respect of Democratic leaders nationwide. Bill Richardson dubbed Spitzer the "future of the Democratic Party", at a fundraiser held in June 2005 for Spitzer's gubernatorial campaign.^{[citation needed]}

With a large polling lead in the Democratic primary,^[10] the June 2006 Quinnipiac University Polling Institute poll showed him leading Nassau county executive Thomas Suozzi 76 – 13 percent, compared to a 73 – 13 percent lead in a May 17, 2006 poll.

Much of the attention of watchers of New York politics then turned to the state Republican Party, especially the future of three-term governor George Pataki. Polling throughout 2004 and into 2005 consistently showed Spitzer defeating Pataki in theoretical matchups. Such a scenario may have proved unappealing to Pataki. At the time, he was making overtures toward seeking the Republican nomination for the presidency in 2008. Pataki announced on July 27, 2005 that he would not seek re-election and would step down at the end of his term in January 2007.

The open-seat nature of the election, along with Spitzer's positive poll numbers, and the advantage Democrats have in New York State had fueled discussion of the Republican leadership's active pursuit of candidates to run against Spitzer. By June 2006, two people announced their intention to run for the nomination: former New York Assemblyman John Faso, who was officially endorsed at the 2006 New York State Republican Party Convention, and former Massachusetts Governor William Weld, who is a native New Yorker. Shortly after the convention Weld dropped out of the race for the Republican nomination.

An additional consideration for Spitzer was the status of billionaire businessman Tom Golisano, a three-time candidate on the Independence Party ballot line. It was rumored that Golisano might run again, and that Republican Party insiders would seek to nominate him on their own party's line, thus fusing the Republican and Independence tickets for the first time in a gubernatorial election. Golisano recently switched his party affiliation to the GOP. However, on February 1, 2006, Golisano announced that he would not run for governor.^[11]

Spitzer selected African-American New York State Senate minority leader David Paterson as his choice for Lieutenant Governor and running mate in January 2006. In New York gubernatorial elections, the most important factor in the gubernatorial candidate's choice of a lieutenant governor is the need to "balance the ticket"—that is, to widen the candidate's appeal, whether by reaching out to someone from a different geographic area, ethnic background, or has a different political base. Paterson's father Basil Paterson was also a candidate for Lt. Governor in 1970.

After announcing his candidacy, Spitzer was endorsed by numerous New Yorkers including state Comptroller Alan Hevesi and former New York City Mayors David Dinkins and Ed Koch (who endorsed President Bush in 2004). In February 2006, Spitzer received the endorsement of then-Democrat businessman Donald Trump, who had been courted by the Republicans to run against him.

In the Democratic primary, held on September 12, 2006, Spitzer handily defeated Suozzi, securing his party's nomination with 81% of the vote (and 99% of precincts reporting).

Republican ticket[]

In 2005, Faso announced his intention to run for governor. He positioned himself early as a conservative upstate candidate, while stressing his childhood roots in Long Island. He originally faced former Massachusetts Governor Bill Weld, former Secretary of State Randy Daniels, and Assemblyman Patrick Manning. Weld, a moderate, was supported by party leadership.^[5] Daniels and Manning both dropped out and Faso became the primary challenger to Weld. It has been reported that in early 2006, Weld offered Faso the chance to join his ticket as a candidate for lieutenant governor, an offer Faso reportedly declined.^[12] Faso gained increasing support from party leaders in various counties, including Westchester and Suffolk, both of which had large delegate counts to the state convention.

In late May 2006, Faso received the nomination of the Conservative Party for governor, which guaranteed him a spot on the November ballot. He pledged to continue running for governor on the Conservative line if he lost the Republican primary to Weld.^[13] On the day he received the Conservative nomination, Faso announced his selection of Rockland County Executive C. Scott Vanderhoef as his running mate for lieutenant governor.

On June 1, 2006, the Republican State Convention voted 61% to 39% to endorse Faso. By receiving over 50 percent of the vote, Faso was the designated Republican Party candidate, but Weld still received enough support to force a primary. As The Washington Post put it, "[n]ow it turns out whoever loses the GOP primary will stay in the race -- in a position likely to siphon votes from the Republican nominee."^[14] For this reason, Weld was under tremendous pressure to drop out of the race. On June 5, Stephen J. Minarik, the chairman of the state Republican Party, who had been Weld's most prominent backer, called on Weld to withdraw in the interest of party unity.^[15] Weld formally announced his withdrawal from the race, and his support of Faso, the following day.^[16]

Predictions[]

Source	Ranking	As of
Sabato's Crystal Ball^[17]	Safe D (flip)	November 6, 2006
Rothenberg Political Report^[18]	Likely D (flip)	November 2, 2006
Real Clear Politics^[19]	Safe D (flip)	November 6, 2006

Election results[]

Gubernatorial election in New York, 2006 ^[20]
Party		Candidate	Running mate	Votes	Percentage	Swing
	Democratic	Eliot Spitzer		2,740,864	58.34%	26.84%
	Independence	Eliot Spitzer		190,661	4.06%	10.22%
	Working Families	Eliot Spitzer		155,184	3.30%	1.32%
	Total	Eliot Spitzer	David Paterson	3,086,709	65.70%	32.20%
	Republican	John Faso		1,105,681	23.54%	22.00%
	Conservative	John Faso		168,654	3.59%	0.27%
	Total	John Faso	C. Scott Vanderhoef	1,274,335	27.12%	22.28%
	Green	Malachy McCourt	Brian Jones	42,166	0.89%	0.02%
	Libertarian		Chris Edes	14,736	0.31%	0.20%
	Rent Is Too Damn High	Jimmy McMillan	None	13,355	0.28%	N/A
	Socialist Workers	Maura DeLuca	Ben O'Shaughnessy	5,919	0.13%	N/A
		Blank, Void, Scattering		116,622	5.55%
Majority				1,812,374	38.58%	22.68%
Totals				4,437,220	100.00%
	Democratic gain from Republican			Swing

Opinion polling[]

Spitzer celebrating his victory

General election[]

Poll source	Date	Eliot Spitzer (D)	John Faso (R)
Marist College	November 1, 2006	69%	24%
Siena Research Institute	November 1, 2006	69%	24%
Zogby International Poll	September 11, 2006	60.9%	25.8%
Green Papers Poll	September 9, 2006	72.5%	26.9
Green Papers Poll	September 1, 2006	68.1%	23.6
Zogby International Poll	August 28, 2006	60.7%	25.9%
Marist College	August 23, 2006	67%	23%
Quinnipiac	August 23, 2006	65%	17%
Siena Research Institute	August 7, 2006	70%	17%
Rasmussen	August 5, 2006	62%	21%
Zogby International Poll	July 24, 2006	60.8%	24.8%
Marist College Poll	July 19, 2006	69%	20%
Zogby International Poll	June 21, 2006	60.6%	24.8%
Quinnipiac	June 21, 2006	66%	20%
Siena College Poll	June 19, 2006	67%	21%
Quinnipiac	May 17, 2006	67%	16%
Marist College Poll	May 10, 2006	70%	20%
Siena College Poll	May 4, 2006	64%	17%
Strategic Vision	April 28, 2006	63%	26%
Quinnipiac	March 29, 2006	66%	18%
Strategic Vision	March 2, 2006	65%	24%
Marist College Poll	February 1, 2006	68%	18%
Zogby International Poll	January 26, 2006	54%	17%
Quinnipiac University Poll	January 19, 2006	61%	19%
Quinnipiac University Poll	December 14, 2005	64%	14%
Siena College Poll	October 12, 2005	63%	19%
Quinnipiac University Poll	October 4, 2005	60%	14%
Marist College Poll	September 30, 2005	64%	20%