2014 Arkansas gubernatorial election

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2014 Arkansas gubernatorial election

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  Asa Hutchinson.jpg Mike Ross Official (cropped 2).jpg
Nominee Asa Hutchinson Mike Ross
Party Republican Democratic
Popular vote 470,429 352,115
Percentage 55.4% 41.5%

2014 Arkansas gubernatorial election results map by county.svg
County results
Hutchinson:      40–50%      50–60%      60–70%      70–80%
Ross:      40–50%      50–60%      60–70%

Governor before election

Mike Beebe
Democratic

Elected Governor

Asa Hutchinson
Republican

The 2014 Arkansas gubernatorial election was held on November 4, 2014, to elect the Governor of Arkansas, concurrently with the election to Arkansas's Class II U.S. Senate seat, as well as other elections to the United States Senate in other states and elections to the United States House of Representatives and various state and local elections.

Incumbent Democratic Governor Mike Beebe was ineligible to run for re-election due to term limits established by the Arkansas Constitution. Arkansas is one of eight states that limits its Governors to two terms for life.[1] The Democrats nominated former U.S. Representative Mike Ross and the Republicans nominated former DEA Administrator, former U.S. Representative and 2006 nominee Asa Hutchinson.

Hutchinson defeated Ross and two minor party candidates in the general election, winning by the largest margin recorded for a Republican in an open-seat gubernatorial race since Reconstruction. The race was called for Hutchinson roughly half an hour after the polls closed. Hutchinson's victory gave the GOP complete control of state government for the first time since the end of Reconstruction.

Democratic primary[]

Candidates[]

Declared[]

  • Lynette "Doc" Bryant, activist[2]
  • Mike Ross, former U.S. Representative[3]

Withdrew[]

Declined[]

  • Shane Broadway, interim director of the Department of Higher Education and former state senator[6][7]
  • John Burkhalter, former State Highway Commissioner (running for Lieutenant Governor)[8]
  • Conner Eldridge, U.S. Attorney for the Western District of Arkansas[9]
  • G. David Gearhart, chancellor of the University of Arkansas[10]
  • Pat Hays, former Mayor of North Little Rock (running for AR-02)[11]
  • Keith Ingram, state senator (endorsed Ross)[12]
  • Bruce Maloch, state senator[6][13]
  • Michael Malone, president and CEO of the Northwest Arkansas Council[14][15]
  • Vic Snyder, former U.S. Representative[6]
  • Paul Suskie, former chairman of the Arkansas Public Service Commission and candidate for Attorney General of Arkansas in 2006[9]
  • Chris Thomason, Chancellor of the University of Arkansas Community College at Hope and former state representative[6][16]
  • Robert F. Thompson, state senator (endorsed Ross)[6][17]
  • Darrin Williams, state representative, former Speaker of the Arkansas House of Representatives[6]

Endorsements[]

Mike Ross

National political figures

  • Bill Clinton, former President of the United States[18]

Arkansas political figures

  • John Baine, state representative[19]
  • Mike Beebe, incumbent Governor of Arkansas[20]
  • Paul Bookout, former state senator[19]
  • Mary Broadway, state representative[19]
  • Harry Brown, Mayor of Stephens[19]
  • John Burkhalter, former State Highway Commissioner and nominee for Lieutenant Governor of Arkansas in 2014[19]
  • David Burnett, state senator[19]
  • JoAnne Bush, Republican mayor of Lake Village[19]
  • Eddie Cheatham, state senator[19]
  • Wesley Clark, retired U.S. General and candidate for president in 2004[19]
  • Curtis Coleman, businessman and former Republican candidate for governor in 2014[19]
  • Deborah Ferguson, state representative[19]
  • David Fielding, state representative[19]
  • Jimmie Lou Fisher, former Arkansas State Treasurer, nominee for governor in 2002 and former President of the Arkansas Democratic Women's Club[19]
  • John Hall, County Judge of Crawford County[19]
  • Bill Halter, former Lieutenant Governor of Arkansas and candidate for the U.S. Senate in 2010[21]
  • Fonda Hawthorne, state representative[19]
  • Sherman Hiatt, mayor of Charleston[19]
  • Keith Ingram, state senator[19]
  • David Johnson, state senator[19]
  • Sheila Lampkin, state representative[19]
  • Sue Madison, former state senator[19]
  • Allen Maxwell, mayor of Monticello[19]
  • Stewart Nelson, mayor of Morrilton[19]
  • Steve Northcutt, mayor of Malvern[19]
  • Terry Oliver, mayor of Prescott[19]
  • Harold Perrin, mayor of Jonesboro[19]
  • Johnnie Roebuck, former Majority Leader of the Arkansas House of Representatives[19]
  • Bob Stacy, mayor of Wynne[19]
  • Brent Talley, state representative[19]
  • Robert F. Thompson, state senator[19]
  • Tab Townsell, mayor of Conway[19]
  • Kathy Webb, former state representative[19]
  • Dane Weindorf, mayor of Hamburg[19]
  • Hank Wilkins, state representative[19]
  • James Lee Witt, former FEMA Director and former County Judge of Yell County[19]
  • David Wyatt, state senator[19]

Business leaders

  • Abraham Carpenter, Jr., owner and operator of Carpenter's Produce[19]
  • Jim Gaston, owner of Gaston's White River Resort, former Arkansas Business Executive of the Year and emeritus member of the Arkansas Parks & Tourism Commission[19]

Organizations

  • Arkansas Professional Fire Fighters Association[19]
  • Arkansas Timber Producers Association[19]
  • Central South Carpenters Regional Council[19]
  • Laborers International Union of North America[19]
  • Laborers Local 107[19]
  • Laborers Local 1282[19]
  • Southern States Millwright Regional Council[19]
  • Southwest Laborers District Council[19]

Polling[]

Hypothetical polling
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin of
error
Bill
Halter
Mike
Ross
Undecided
Clark Research July 23–27, 2013 370 ± 5% 26% 40% 34%

Results[]

Democratic primary results[22]
Party Candidate Votes %
Democratic Mike Ross 129,437 84.41
Democratic Lynette "Doc" Bryant 23,906 15.59
Total votes 153,343 100.00

Republican primary[]

Candidates[]

Declared[]

  • Curtis Coleman, founder of a food safety company and candidate for the U.S. Senate in 2010[1]
  • Asa Hutchinson, former Administrator of the DEA, former U.S. Representative and nominee for governor in 2006[23]

Withdrew[]

  • , state representative (running for Lieutenant Governor)[24]

Declined[]

  • Davy Carter, Speaker of the Arkansas House of Representatives[25][26]
  • Tom Cotton, U.S. Representative (running for the U.S. Senate)[27]
  • Rick Crawford, U.S. Representative[28]
  • Mark Darr, former Lieutenant Governor of Arkansas[29]
  • G. David Gearhart, Chancellor of the University of Arkansas[10]
  • Tim Griffin, U.S. Representative[30]
  • Missy Irvin, state senator[31]
  • Jim Keet, former state senator and nominee for governor in 2010[8][32]
  • , state senator[33]
  • Mark Martin, Secretary of State of Arkansas (running for re-election)[1]
  • Sheffield Nelson, businessman and nominee for governor in 1990 and 1994[34]
  • Steve Womack, U.S. Representative[35]

Endorsements[]

Curtis Coleman

National politicians

  • Ron Paul, former U.S. Representative (R-TX) and candidate for president in 2008 and 2012[36][37]

Elected legislators

  • , state representative[38]
  • John Cooper, state senator
  • Joe Farrer, state representative[39]
  • , state representative
  • , state representative[40]
  • Richard Womack, state representative[41]

Local elected leaders

  • Larry E. Burgess, Miller County Judge[42]
  • Jayme Nicholson, Baxter County Assessor[43]
  • Wayne Smith, Mayor of Texarkana[44]
  • Tim Stockdale, Garland County Treasurer[45]

Organizations

  • Miller County Patriots[46]

Organization leaders

  • Bishop Robert E. Smith, Sr., founder of Total Outreach for Christ Ministries, Inc. and Word of Outreach Christian Center[47]
  • Timothy Stephenson, founder of the EAST Initiative[48]
Asa Hutchinson

Federal legislators

  • Rick Crawford, U.S. Representative
  • Tim Griffin, U.S. Representative

State legislators

  • Nate Bell, state representative[49]
  • Cecile Bledsoe, state senator[49]
  • John Burris, state representative[49]
  • , state senator[49]
  • Davy Carter, Speaker of the Arkansas House of Representatives[49]
  • Alan Clark, state senator from Garland County[50]
  • , state representative[49]
  • Jonathan Dismang, Majority Whip of the Arkansas Senate[49]
  • Jon Eubanks, state representative[49]
  • , state representative[49]
  • , state representative[49]
  • Bart Hester, state senator[49]
  • Michael Lamoureux, President Pro Tempore of the Arkansas Senate[49]
  • Micah Neal, state representative[49]
  • Matthew Shepherd, state representative[49]

Local elected officials

  • Jerry Taylor, Democratic former state senator, state representative, and mayor of Pine Bluff[51]

Polling[]

Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin of
error
Curtis
Coleman
Asa
Hutchinson
Undecided
Talk Business/Hendrix College April 29, 2014 1,516 ± 2.5% 20% 70% 10%
Public Policy Polling April 25–27, 2014 342 ± 5.3% 23% 62% 15%

Results[]

Results by county:
Hutchinson
  •   80–90%
  •   70–80%
  •   60–70%
  •   50–60%
Coleman
  •   50–60%
Republican primary results[22]
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican Asa Hutchinson 130,752 72.95
Republican Curtis Coleman 48,473 27.05
Total votes 179,225 100.00

Third parties[]

Candidates[]

Declared[]

  • Josh Drake (Green), attorney and nominee for Arkansas's 4th congressional district in 2008, 2010 and 2012[52]
  • Frank Gilbert (Libertarian), DeKalb Township Constable, former Mayor of Tull and nominee for the State Senate in 2012[53]

Declined[]

  • Sheffield Nelson (Independent), businessman and Republican nominee for governor in 1990 and 1994[34]

General election[]

Debates[]

Predictions[]

Source Ranking As of
The Cook Political Report[54] Lean R (flip) November 3, 2014
Sabato's Crystal Ball[55] Likely R (flip) November 3, 2014
Rothenberg Political Report[56] Lean R (flip) November 3, 2014
Real Clear Politics[57] Lean R (flip) November 3, 2014

Polling[]

Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin of
error
Mike
Ross (D)
Asa
Hutchinson (R)
Other Undecided
Opinion Research Associates October 30–November 1, 2014 400 ± 5% 43% 39% 5%[58] 14%
Public Policy Polling October 30–November 1, 2014 1,092 ± 3% 41% 51% 4%[59] 4%
44% 53% 3%
Rasmussen Reports October 27–29, 2014 967 ± 3% 43% 50% 3% 4%
Issues & Answers Network October 21–27, 2014 568 ± 4.1% 39% 50% 11%
Opinion Research Associates October 25–26, 2014 401 ± 5% 44% 42% 2%[60] 11%
CBS News/NYT/YouGov October 16–23, 2014 1,567 ± 4% 38% 47% 0% 15%
NBC News/Marist October 19–23, 2014 621 ± 3.9% 44% 47% 4%[61] 5%
971 ± 3.1% 44% 43% 5%[62] 8%
Hendrix Poll October 15–16, 2014 2,075 ± 2.2% 41% 49% 5% 6%
Rasmussen Reports October 13–15, 2014 940 ± 3% 47% 49% 1% 3%
Fox News October 4–7, 2014 707 ± 3.5% 37% 46% 5%[63] 12%
Opinion Research Associates October 1–5, 2014 400 ± 5% 45% 41% 3% 11%
CBS News/NYT/YouGov September 20–October 1, 2014 1,991 ± 2% 38% 49% 1% 12%
Rasmussen Reports September 24–25, 2014 750 ± 4% 42% 46% 4% 8%
Suffolk September 20–23, 2014 500 ± 4.4% 41% 43% 5%[64] 11%
Public Policy Polling September 18–21, 2014 1,453 ± 2.6% 38% 44% 5%[65] 13%
40% 46% 14%
Gravis Marketing September 8–11, 2014 902 ± 4% 42% 46% 2%[66] 10%
Answers Unlimited September 7–9, 2014 600 ± 3.5% 44% 44% 4%[59] 8%
CBS News/NYT/YouGov August 18–September 2, 2014 1,572 ± 3% 38% 45% 1% 15%
NBC News/Marist September 2–4, 2014 639 LV ± 3.9% 39% 48% 6%[67] 7%
1,068 RV ± 3% 39% 46% 7%[68] 8%
Rasmussen Reports August 25–26, 2014 750 ± 4% 46% 44% 3% 7%
Opinion Research Associates August 6–14, 2014 414 ± 4.9% 44% 44% 3%[69] 9%
Public Policy Polling August 1–3, 2014 1,066 ± 3% 38% 43% 7%[70] 12%
40% 46% 14%
Talk Business/Hendrix College July 22–25, 2014 1,780 ± 2.3% 41% 46% 6%[71] 7.5%
CBS News/NYT/YouGov July 5–24, 2014 1,616 ± 3.5% 45% 48% 2% 4%
Gravis Marketing July 7–8, 2014 987 ± 3% 46% 49% 5%[66]
Public Opinion Strategies May 27–29, 2014 500 ± 4.39% 42% 48% 10%
Rasmussen Reports May 27–28, 2014 750 ± 4% 41% 48% 4% 6%
NBC News/Marist April 30–May 4, 2014 876 ± 3.3% 42% 49% 2% 7%
Public Policy Polling April 25–27, 2014 840 ± 3.4% 38% 46% 16%
New York Times/Kaiser Family April 8–15, 2014 857 ± ? 40% 41% 4% 16%
Opinion Research Associates April 1–8, 2014 400 ± 5% 45% 39% 17%
Talk Business/Hendrix College April 3–4, 2014 1,068 ± 3% 44% 43% 5%[65] 8%
Impact Management Group February 10, 2014 1,202 ± 2.83% 42% 42% 17%
Rasmussen Reports February 4–5, 2014 500 ± 4.5% 44% 41% 3% 12%
Public Policy Polling December 13–15, 2013 1,004 ± 3.1% 43% 44% 14%
Impact Management Group October 24, 2013 911 ± 3.2% 37% 40% 23%
University of Arkansas October 10–17, 2013 800 ± 3.5% 30% 32% 38%
Talk Business/Hendrix College October 8, 2013 603 ± 4.% 37% 41% 22%
Harper Polling August 4–5, 2013 587 ± 4.04% 38% 46% 16%
Talk Business/Hendrix College February 20, 2013 675 ± 3.8% 38% 43% 19%
Hypothetical polling
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin of
error
Lynette
Bryant (D)
Asa
Hutchinson (R)
Other Undecided
Talk Business/Hendrix College April 3–4, 2014 1,068 ± 3% 27.5% 48% 8%[72] 17%
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin of
error
Bill
Halter (D)
Asa
Hutchinson (R)
Other Undecided
Talk Business/Hendrix College February 20, 2013 675 ± 3.8% 31% 47% 22%
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin of
error
Dustin
McDaniel (D)
Asa
Hutchinson (R)
Other Undecided
Public Policy Polling January 10–13, 2013 600 ± 4.0% 33% 46% 22%
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin of
error
Mike
Ross (D)
Curtis
Coleman (R)
Other Undecided
Public Policy Polling April 25–27, 2014 840 ± 3.4% 43% 33% 24%
Talk Business/Hendrix College April 3–4, 2014 1,068 ± 3% 48% 30% 7%[73] 15%

Results[]

Arkansas gubernatorial election, 2014[74]
Party Candidate Votes % ±%
Republican Asa Hutchinson 470,429 55.44% +21.81%
Democratic Mike Ross 352,115 41.49% -22.93%
Libertarian Frank Gilbert 16,319 1.92% N/A
Green Josh Drake 9,729 1.15% -0.71%
Total votes 848,592 100.00% N/A
Republican gain from Democratic

References[]

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  8. ^ a b "Sources: John Burkhalter to Run for Lt. Governor". Fox16.com. June 11, 2013. Retrieved June 15, 2013.
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  14. ^ "Mike Malone, Executive Director". Retrieved February 5, 2013.
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  19. ^ a b c d e f g h i j k l m n o p q r s t u v w x y z aa ab ac ad ae af ag ah ai aj ak al am an ao ap aq ar as "Complete List of Endorsements". Mike Ross. Archived from the original on 2013-09-25. Retrieved 2013-09-22.
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  22. ^ a b "2014 Arkansas Preferential Primary Elections and Nonpartisan Election May 20, 2014". Arkansas Secretary of State. Retrieved June 4, 2014.
  23. ^ "Asa Hutchinson will run for governor in 2014". Archived from the original on January 18, 2013. Retrieved January 25, 2013.
  24. ^ Moritz, Rob (February 12, 2014). "Republican candidate switches to lieutenant governor's race". Arkansas News. Retrieved February 13, 2014.
  25. ^ Brantley, Max (January 10, 2013). "House Speaker Davy Carter leaving bank job UPDATE". Arkansas Times. Retrieved January 14, 2013.
  26. ^ Brantley, Max (May 17, 2013). "Davy Carter won't make race for governor". Arkansas Times. Retrieved July 8, 2013.
  27. ^ Glueck, Katie (August 1, 2013). "Arkansas's Tom Cotton to run for U.S. Senate". Politico. Retrieved August 2, 2013.
  28. ^ Daniels, Alex; Frago, Charlie (November 12, 2012). "Democrat Mark Pryor seen as likely GOP target in '14". Arkansas Democrat-Gazette. Retrieved December 29, 2012.
  29. ^ "Darr: Will not run for governor in 2014". Arkansas News. 2013-02-12. Retrieved 2013-09-22.
  30. ^ Brock, Roby (December 2, 2012). "Griffin Wins Seat On Ways And Means Committee, Will Not Seek Higher Office In 2014". Talk Business. Retrieved December 29, 2012.
  31. ^ Brantley, Max (December 19, 2012). "Who will leads us in 2014?". Arkansas Times. Retrieved December 29, 2012.
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  33. ^ "GOP Sen. Johnny Key won't seek governor's post". Arkansas Online. 23 April 2013. Retrieved 24 April 2013.
  34. ^ a b Brock, Roby (February 12, 2013). "Sheffield Nelson Weighing Governor's Run As Republican Or Independent". Talk Business Arkansas. Retrieved February 26, 2013.
  35. ^ Tilley, Michael (14 March 2013). "Womack not running for governor, open to Senate bid". The City Wire. Archived from the original on 11 April 2013. Retrieved 3 April 2013.
  36. ^ Moore, Martha T. (April 25, 2013). "Ron Paul makes Broun, Sanford first Congress Picks". USA Today. Retrieved August 12, 2013.
  37. ^ "Ron Paul Endorses Curtis Coleman for Governor of Arkansas | Peace . Gold . Liberty". Dailypaul.com. Archived from the original on 2013-09-26. Retrieved 2013-09-22.
  38. ^ "Curtis Coleman Receives Legislative Endorsement from Rep. Randy Alexander | Coleman For Arkansas". Curtiscoleman.com. 2013-06-18. Archived from the original on 2013-09-26. Retrieved 2013-09-22.
  39. ^ "State Representative Farrer Stands With Curtis Coleman | Coleman For Arkansas". Curtiscoleman.com. Archived from the original on 2013-09-26. Retrieved 2013-09-22.
  40. ^ "Representative John Payton Endorses Curtis Coleman". Coleman For Arkansas. Archived from the original on 27 September 2013. Retrieved 24 September 2013.
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  42. ^ "Coleman Receives County Judge Endorsement | Coleman For Arkansas". Curtiscoleman.com. 2013-04-23. Archived from the original on 2013-09-26. Retrieved 2013-09-22.
  43. ^ "Baxter County Assessor Endorses Coleman For Governor | Coleman For Arkansas". Curtiscoleman.com. 2013-04-23. Archived from the original on 2013-09-26. Retrieved 2013-09-22.
  44. ^ "Texarkana Mayor Wayne Smith Announces Gubernatorial Endorsement | Coleman For Arkansas". Curtiscoleman.com. 2013-04-16. Archived from the original on 2013-09-26. Retrieved 2013-09-22.
  45. ^ "Garland County Treasurer Endorses Coleman for Governor | Coleman For Arkansas". Curtiscoleman.com. 2013-06-26. Archived from the original on 2013-09-26. Retrieved 2013-09-22.
  46. ^ "Miller County Patriots Endorse Coleman for Governor". Coleman For Arkansas. Archived from the original on 27 September 2013. Retrieved 24 September 2013.
  47. ^ "Bishop Robert E. Smith, Sr., Endorses Curtis Coleman For Governor | Coleman For Arkansas". Curtiscoleman.com. 2013-04-04. Archived from the original on 2013-09-26. Retrieved 2013-09-22.
  48. ^ "Coleman Receives Major Education Endorsement | Coleman For Arkansas". Curtiscoleman.com. 2013-07-17. Archived from the original on 2013-09-26. Retrieved 2013-09-22.
  49. ^ a b c d e f g h i j k l m n "Asa for Governor – Home Page". Archived from the original on August 3, 2013.
  50. ^ "Senator Alan Clark Endorses Asa Hutchinson". Asa for Governor. Archived from the original on 2013-09-25. Retrieved 2013-09-22.
  51. ^ "Longtime Democrat Senator, Pine Bluff Mayor, Endorses Asa Hutchinson for Governor". Asa for Governor. Archived from the original on 8 August 2013. Retrieved 8 August 2013.
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  53. ^ "Election 2014: Libertarian Frank Gilbert Announces Bid For Arkansas Governor". Southwest Times Record. October 17, 2013. Retrieved October 21, 2013.
  54. ^ "2014 Governor Race Ratings for November 3, 2014". The Cook Political Report. Retrieved September 3, 2018.
  55. ^ "The Crystal Ball's Final 2014 Picks". Sabato's Crystal Ball. Retrieved September 3, 2018.
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  57. ^ "2014 Elections Map - 2014 Governors Races". Real Clear Politics. Retrieved September 3, 2018.
  58. ^ Josh Drake (G) 3%, Frank Gilbert (L) 2%
  59. ^ a b Josh Drake (G) 2%, Frank Gilbert (L) 2%
  60. ^ Josh Drake (G) 1%, Frank Gilbert (L) 2%
  61. ^ Josh Drake (G) 2%, Frank Gilbert (L) 2%, Other <1%
  62. ^ Josh Drake (G) 3%, Frank Gilbert (L) 2%, Other <1%
  63. ^ Josh Drake (G) 1%, Frank Gilbert (L) 3%, Other 1%
  64. ^ Josh Drake (G) 2%, Frank Gilbert (L) 3%
  65. ^ a b Josh Drake (G) 2%, Frank Gilbert (L) 3%
  66. ^ a b Frank Gilbert (L)
  67. ^ Josh Drake (G) 3%, Frank Gilbert (L) 3%, Other <1%
  68. ^ Josh Drake (G) 3%, Frank Gilbert (L) 4%, Other <1%
  69. ^ Josh Drake (G) 2%, Frank Gilbert (L) 1%
  70. ^ Josh Drake (G) 4%, Frank Gilbert (L) 3%
  71. ^ Josh Drake (G) 3%, Frank Gilbert (L) 3%
  72. ^ Josh Drake (G) 3%, Frank Gilbert (L) 5%
  73. ^ Josh Drake (G) 3%, Frank Gilbert (L) 4%
  74. ^ "November 4, 2014 General election and nonpartisan runoff election Official results". Arkansas Secretary of State. Retrieved November 23, 2014.

External links[]

Official campaign websites (archived)
Retrieved from ""