2018 Perth by-election

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2018 Perth by-election
← 2016 28 July 2018 (2018-07-28) 2019 →
The Division of Perth (WA) in the House of Representatives
Registered100,655
Turnout64.07% Decrease 23.97
  First party Second party
 
Candidate Patrick Gorman Caroline Perks
Party Labor Greens
Percentage 39.33% 18.81%
Swing Increase 1.97 Increase 1.74
2CP 63.10% 36.90%
2CP swing Increase 63.10 Increase 36.90
Division of PERTH 2016.png
MP before election

Tim Hammond
Labor

Elected MP

Patrick Gorman
Labor

A by-election for the Australian House of Representatives seat of Perth took place on Saturday 28 July 2018, following the resignation of incumbent Labor MP Tim Hammond.[1]

In early counting, within 90 minutes of the close of polls, the Australian Broadcasting Corporation's psephologist Antony Green's electoral computer had predicted Labor to retain the electorate with an increased margin.[2]

The by-election occurred on the same day as four other by-elections for the House of Representatives, colloquially known as Super Saturday.

Background[]

Hammond announced on 2 May 2018 of his imminent intention to resign from parliament due to family reasons.[1] Due to the High Court ruling against Senator Katy Gallagher on 9 May 2018 as part of the ongoing parliamentary eligibility crisis, four other MPs in the same situation announced their parliamentary resignations later that day.[3] The Speaker announced on 24 May 2018 that he had scheduled the by-elections to occur on 28 July 2018. Popularly labelled "Super Saturday", the occurrence of five simultaneous federal by-elections is unprecedented in Australian political history.[4] The others are:

Key dates[]

Key dates in relation to the by-election are:[5]

  • Thursday, 10 May 2018 – Speaker acceptance of resignation
  • Friday, 15 June 2018 – Issue of writ
  • Friday, 22 June 2018 – Close of electoral rolls (8pm)
  • Thursday, 5 July 2018 – Close of nominations (12 noon)
  • Friday, 6 July 2018 – Declaration of nominations (12 noon)
  • Tuesday, 10 July 2018 – Start of early voting
  • Saturday, 28 July 2018 – Polling day (8am to 6pm)
  • Friday, 10 August 2018 – Last day for receipt of postal votes
  • Sunday, 23 September 2018 – Last day for return of writs

Candidates[]

Candidates (15) in ballot paper order[6]
Party Candidate Background
  Julie Matheson Founder of the federally unregistered Western Australia Party.[6]
  Animal Justice Nicole Arielli Party treasurer.[6]
  Independent Jim Grayden Property manager, former teacher. Son of former Swan MP Bill Grayden. Running as an Independent Liberal.[7]
  Liberal Democrats Wesley Du Preez Edith Cowan University graduate in Marketing, Advertising, and Public Relations.[6]
  #Sustainable Colin Scott Small business operator and community volunteer.[8]
  Mental Health Ben Mullings Psychologist.[9]
  Labor Patrick Gorman Western Australian Labor state secretary.[10] Aligned with Labor Left.[11]
  People Gabriel Harfouche Party founder. Ran as a Palmer United candidate in Perth at the 2013 federal election.[12]
  Independent Paul Collins Former Stirling councillor. Contested the North Metropolitan Region at the 2013 state election as the sixth Liberal candidate.[6]
  Greens Caroline Perks Public servant for climate change policy.[13]
  Science Aaron Hammond Multi-disciplinary engineer.[14]
  Christians Ellen Joubert Coach and mentor for women and children.[15]
  Liberty Alliance Tony Robinson Party co-founder. Contested the 2017 Bennelong by-election.[16]
  Independent Ian Britza Two-term Liberal MP for Morley elected at 2008 state election, contested 2017 New England federal by-election as a Country candidate.[6]
  CEC Barry Mason Driver for a traffic management company.[6]

The Liberals declined to contest the Perth and Fremantle federal by-elections, but concentrated their resources on the Darling Range state by-election.[17]

Polling[]

Perth by-election polling
Date Firm Commissioned by Sample MoE[18] Primary vote TCP vote
ALP GRN LDP OTH UND ALP GRN
23 July 2018 ReachTEL Legalise Vaping Australia[19] 695 ±3.7% 44.9% 17.0% 13.4% 16.0% 8.7% 68% 32%
2016 election 37.4% 17.1% 1.7% 43.8% − 53.3% −

Results[]

Further information: Electoral results for the Division of Perth
Perth by-election: 28 July 2018[20][21]
Party Candidate Votes % ±%
Labor Patrick Gorman 22,812 39.33 +1.96
Greens Caroline Perks 10,908 18.81 +1.74
Independent Paul Collins 5,516 9.51 +9.51
Liberal Democrats Wesley Du Preez 3,880 6.69 +4.98
Julie Matheson 3,123 5.38 +5.38
Independent Jim Grayden 2,565 4.42 +4.42
Animal Justice Nicole Arielli 1,815 3.13 +3.13
Independent Ian Britza 1,705 2.94 +2.94
Christians Ellen Joubert 1,474 2.54 +2.54
Science Aaron Hammond 1,002 1.73 +1.73
Mental Health Ben Mullings 930 1.60 +1.60
Sustainable Australia Colin Scott 774 1.33 +1.33
Liberty Alliance Tony Robinson 682 1.18 +1.18
CEC Barry Mason 596 1.03 +1.03
People's Party Gabriel Harfouche 222 0.38 +0.38
Total formal votes 58,004 89.94 −6.29
Informal votes 6,486 10.06 +6.29
Turnout 64,490 64.07 −23.97
Two-candidate-preferred result
Labor Patrick Gorman 36,601 63.10 +9.77
Greens Caroline Perks 21,403 36.90 +36.90
Labor hold Swing N/A

See also[]

References[]

  1. ^ a b "Federal Member for Perth Tim Hammond quits politics for family, triggering WA by-election". ABC News. 2 May 2018. Retrieved 2 May 2018.
  2. ^ July 2018 Federal By-elections: Antony Green ABC
  3. ^ Citizenship drama flares again, with four MPs and one senator on the way out after High Court ruling: ABC 9 May 2018
  4. ^ "Date set for by-elections in Perth, Fremantle, Mayo, Longman and Braddon". ABC News. 24 May 2018. Retrieved 24 May 2018.
  5. ^ "2018 Perth by-election". Australian Electoral Commission.
  6. ^ a b c d e f g 2018 Perth by-election guide: Antony Green ABC
  7. ^ Jim Grayden: Independent Liberal for Perth - Facebook profile
  8. ^ "2018 Perth by-election: sustainableaustralia.org.au". Archived from the original on 20 June 2018. Retrieved 20 June 2018.
  9. ^ "2018 Perth by-election: amhp.org.au". Archived from the original on 6 September 2018. Retrieved 28 June 2018.
  10. ^ Labor anoints 'tireless fighter' Patrick Gorman in Perth: WAtoday 12 May 2018
  11. ^ Butterly, Nick (11 May 2018). "WA Labor's Patrick Gorman to get nod as Perth candidate". The West Australian. Retrieved 11 May 2018.
  12. ^ "By-election 2018 endorsed candidates". Australian People's Party.
  13. ^ Greens name candidate in Perth by-election: News.com.au 10 May 2018
  14. ^ Science Party names candidates for 2018 by-elections: 12 June 2018
  15. ^ 2018 Perth by-election: australianchristians.org.au
  16. ^ [1]
  17. ^ Mathias Cormann admits Liberals have given up on Perth, Fremantle by-elections: ABC 14 May 2018
  18. ^ Margin of error calculator
  19. ^ Super Saturday minus one day: Poll Bludger 27 July 2018
  20. ^ 2018 Perth by-election results: AEC
  21. ^ 2018 Perth by-election results: ABC

External links[]

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