2021 Bulgarian general election
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Presidential election | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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Turnout | 38.64% ![]() 33.65% ![]() | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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All 240 seats in the National Assembly 121 seats needed for a majority | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Turnout | 38.43% ![]() | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
This lists parties that won seats. See the complete results below.
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General elections were held in Bulgaria on 14 November 2021 to elect both the President and the National Assembly.[1][2] They were the country's third parliamentary elections in 2021, with no party able to form a government after the elections in April and July.[3][4] A second round of the presidential elections were held on 21 November 2021 as no candidate was able to receive a majority of the vote in the first round.[5][6]
We Continue the Change won the most seats, although it was not a majority. Shortly after the election, they announced that coalition talks were going to be held.[7] Incumbent president Rumen Radev gathered 66.72% of the vote, defeating university professor Anastas Gerdzhikov in a runoff.[8]
Nationwide turnout in the parliamentary and first presidential round fell to 38% Bulgaria's lowest participation rate in 30 years for both presidential and legislative elections.[9] Nationwide turnout in the second presidential round experienced another drop, featuring only 33% of registered voters.[10]
The leaders of PP, BSP, ITN, and DB announced on 10 December that they had agreed to form a coalition that would end a months-long political crisis. President Radev shortly after announced that he had given the mandate to form a government to Petkov.[11] On 12 December, Kiril Petkov presented the composition of the incoming government, and it was approved on 13 December by the National Assembly.[12]
Background[]
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The previous parliamentary election which was held in July 2021, resulted in a narrow victory for the newly established There Is Such A People (ITN) over the ruling GERB party;[13] however, ITN won only 65 out of 240 seats in the National Assembly of Bulgaria.[13] Following the elections, ITN opted to try and form a minority government and started talks with potential partners (DB, IBG-NI, and BSP) in order to secure their support. Nevertheless, these attempts proved unsuccessful, and ITN announced on 10 August that they were withdrawing their proposed cabinet, making a third election more likely.[14][15] Slavi Trifonov, the leader of ITN, said in a video statement that this meant new elections.[14][15] The mandate to form a cabinet went to GERB.[15][16]
GERB, the party of the previous prime minister Boyko Borisov, said earlier that it would not try to form a government.[17] The BSP said that if the scenario repeats itself, it would suggest that the incumbent caretaker cabinet becomes permanent. IBG-NI also expressed confidence that it could come up with a solution if handed the mandate to form a government.[15] Trifonov subsequently announced that he would not support any other parties proposing a cabinet.[18] Parliament announced on 2 September that Bulgaria would hold the first round of the presidential election on 14 November, with a snap election likely to take place in the same month.[6][5]
On 6 September 2021, BSP handed back the last mandate of forming a government, meaning the parliament would be dissolved and a third parliamentary election would officially take place in 2021.[19] President Rumen Radev declared on 11 September that there would be two-in-one elections on 14 November for the first time in Bulgarian history, where voters would be able to vote on the president and the parliament. This decision was taken "to save treasury costs and voters' time".[1]
Electoral system[]
The 240 members of the National Assembly are elected by open list proportional representation from 31 multi-member constituencies ranging in size from 4 to 16 seats. The electoral threshold is 4% for parties, with seats allocated according to the largest remainder method.[20][21]
The President of Bulgaria is elected using the two-round system,[22] with voters also given a none of the above option.[23]
Parties and coalitions[]
Parliamentary parties[]
Party | Main ideology | Leader(s) | Current seats | |
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ITN | Populism | Slavi Trifonov | 65
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GERB–SDS | Conservatism | Boyko Borisov | 63
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BSPzB | Democratic socialism | Korneliya Ninova | 36
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DB | Liberal conservatism | Hristo Ivanov | 34
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DPS | Turkish minority interests | Mustafa Karadayi | 29
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IBG-NI | Anti-corruption | Maya Manolova | 13
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Parties admitted to the elections[]
When only some of the leaders of a coalition are its official representatives, their names are in bold. All lines with a light grey background indicate support for a party or coalition that has been agreed upon outside of the official CEC electoral registration.
Name | № | Main ideology | Leader(s) | July 2021 result | |||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Votes (%) |
Seats | ||||||||
RVO | VО | Revival of the Fatherland | 2 | Left-wing nationalism | Nikolay Malinov | 0.37% (LSChSR) |
0 / 240
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NS | New Force | Bulgarian nationalism | Atanas Sirakov | ||||||
NDLO | National Movement for a Left Unification | Socialism | Boyan Durankev Marian Dimitrov Timur Glozhenski | ||||||
LA | Left Alternative | Socialism | Ivan Atanasov | ||||||
Patriotic Front | NFSB | National Front for the Salvation of Bulgaria | 4 | Bulgarian nationalism | Valeri Simeonov | 3.10% (BP) |
0 / 240
| ||
BDSR | Bulgarian Democratic Union "Radicals" | Liberalism | Tsvetan Manchev | ||||||
BNDS | Entire Bulgaria | Agrarianism | Georgi Valchev | ||||||
Revival | Revival | 5 | Bulgarian nationalism | Kostadin Kostadinov | 2.97% | 0 / 240
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NOD | KOD | Conservative Union of the Right | 7 | Conservatism | Petar Moskov | 0.28% | 0 / 240
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BZNS | Bulgarian Agrarian National Union | Agrarianism |
Nikolay Nenchev | ||||||
BDF | Bulgarian Democratic Forum | Conservatism | Zhaklin Toleva | ||||||
RzB | Republicans for Bulgaria | Conservatism |
Tsvetan Tsvetanov | 0.31% | |||||
BSDD | Bulgarian Union for Direct Democracy | 8 | Direct democracy | Georgi Nedelchev | – | 0 / 240
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BSDE | Bulgarian Social Democratic Party – EuroLeft | 10 | Social democracy | Aleksandar Tomov | – | 0 / 240
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Ataka | Attack | 11 | Bulgarian nationalism | Volen Siderov | 0.45% | 0 / 240
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ONB | Society for a New Bulgaria | 13 | Bulgarian nationalism | Kalin Krulev | – | 0 / 240
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GN | People's Voice | 14 | Populism | Svetoslav Vitkov | 0.17% | 0 / 240
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DPS | Movement for Rights and Freedoms | 17 | Turkish minority interests | Mustafa Karadayi | 10.57% | 29 / 240
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Pravoto | Rights, Reforms, Alternative, Opportunities, Responsibility, Tolerance and Unity |
20 | Populism | Maria Koleva | – | 0 / 240
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VMRO–BND | IMRO – Bulgarian National Movement | 21 | National conservatism | Krasimir Karakachanov | 3.10% (BP) |
0 / 240
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BNO | Bulgarian National Unification | 22 | Bulgarian nationalism | Georgi Georgiev-Goti | – | 0 / 240
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Volya | Volya Movement | 23 | Right-wing populism | Veselin Mareshki | 3.10% (BP) |
0 / 240
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ITN | There Is Such a People | 24 | Populism | Slavi Trifonov | 23.78% | 65 / 240
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We Continue the Change |
PP | We Continue the Change | 25 | Anti-corruption | Kiril Petkov | New | 0 / 240
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Volt | Volt Bulgaria | European federalism | Nastimir Ananiev | – | |||||
SEC | Middle European Class | Pro-Europeanism | Georgi Manev | ||||||
PDS | Political Movement "Social Democrats" | Social democracy | Elena Noneva | ||||||
MIR | Morality, Initiative and Patriotism | 26 | Conservatism | Simeon Slavchev | 0.12% | 0 / 240
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BOG | Prosperity-Unification-Building | 27 | Patriotism | Ivan Gaberov | – | 0 / 240
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BNS–ND | Bulgarian National Union – New Democracy | 28 | Anti-immigration | Boris Ivanov Bogdan Yotsov |
0.17% | 0 / 240
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PD | Direct Democracy | 29 | Direct democracy | Petar Klisarov | 0.11% | 0 / 240
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Democratic Bulgaria |
DB | Yes, Bulgaria! | 30 | Liberalism | Hristo Ivanov | 9.31% | 27 / 240
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DSB | Democrats for a Strong Bulgaria | Conservatism | Atanas Atanasov | ||||||
ZD | Green Movement | Green politics | Borislav Sandov Vladislav Panev | ||||||
DEN | Dignity of a United People | Liberalism | Naiden Zelenogorski | ||||||
Stand Up.BG! We are coming! |
D21 | Movement 21 | 31 | Social democracy | Tatyana Doncheva | 4.95% | 13 / 240
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DBG | Bulgaria for Citizens Movement | Liberal conservatism | Dimitar Delchev | ||||||
ENP | United People's Party | Liberalism | Valentina Vasileva-Filadelfevs | ||||||
ZNS | Agrarian People's Union | Agrarianism | Rumen Yonchev | ||||||
IS.BG | Stand Up.BG | Anti-corruption |
Maya Manolova | ||||||
OT | Poisonous Trio and Citizens | Direct democracy |
Nikolay Hadjigenov | ||||||
GERB – SDS | GERB | GERB | 32 | Conservatism |
Boyko Borisov | 23.21% | 63 / 240
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SDS | Union of Democratic Forces | Conservatism |
Rumen Hristov | ||||||
DG | George's Day Movement | Conservatism | Dragomir Stefanov | ||||||
BSP for Bulgaria |
BSP | Bulgarian Socialist Party | 33 | Social democracy | Korneliya Ninova | 14.78% | 43 / 240
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NZ | New Dawn | Left-wing nationalism | Mincho Minchev | ||||||
CPB | Communist Party of Bulgaria | Communism |
Aleksandar Paunov | ||||||
– | Ecoglasnost | Green politics |
Emil Georgiev | ||||||
Trakiya | Trakiya Political Club | Bulgarian nationalism | Stefan Nachev | ||||||
ABV | Alternative for Bulgarian Revival | Social democracy | Rumen Petkov | ||||||
BL | Bulgarian Left | Democratic socialism | Boyan Kirov | ||||||
BP | Bulgarian Spring | Social democracy | Velizar Enchev | ||||||
DSH | Movement for Social Humanism | Progressivism | Alexander Radoslavov | ||||||
DNK | Movement of Independent Candidates | Left-wing populism | Boyko Mladenov Boyko Nikiforov Mincho Kuminev Ognyan Boyukliev | ||||||
NS | People's Force | Left-wing nationalism | Georgi Dimov | ||||||
ND | Normal State | – | Georgi Kadiev | ||||||
OKZNI | All-People's Committee for the Protection of National Interests | – | – | ||||||
SENKO | Council of the European Scientific and Cultural Community | – | – | ||||||
SO | Union for the Fatherland | – | Vasil Tochkov | ||||||
FPB | Federation of Consumers in Bulgaria | Consumer interests | Emil Georgiev | ||||||
ND ZSCD | For Social and Civic Development | – | Mladen Ivanov | ||||||
NSZ | National Syndicate "Protection" | – | Krasimir Mitov | ||||||
OBT | United Bloc of Labour | Social democracy | Ekaterina Atanasova | ||||||
BPL | Bulgarian Progressive Line | 34 | Democratic socialism | Krassimir Yankov | 0.37% (LSChSR) |
0 / 240
| |||
Greens | Green Party | 35 | Green politics | Vladimir Nikolov | 0.12% | 0 / 240
| |||
Brigada | Brigade | 36 | – | Arben Khavalyov | 0.08% | 0 / 240
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Presidential candidates[]
Candidates admitted to the elections[]
Name | Running mate | Parties or coalitions supporting the campaign | № | Sources |
---|---|---|---|---|
Yolo Denev Politician and writer |
Mario Filev | – | 1 | [24] |
Nikolay Malinov Chairman of the party Russophiles for the Revival of the Fatherland |
Svetlana Koseva | Russophiles for the Revival of the Fatherland | 2 | [24] |
Rosen Milenov Former national security officer |
Ivan Ivanov | – | 3 | [24] |
Valeri Simeonov Chairman of the party National Front for the Salvation of Bulgaria |
Tsvetan Mancev | NFSB, BNDS "Whole Bulgaria", Bulgarian Democratic Union "Radicals" | 4 | [24] |
Kostadin Kostadinov Chairman of the party Revival |
Elena Guncheva | Revival | 5 | [24] |
Rumen Radev Incumbent President of Bulgaria |
Iliana Iotova |
ITN, BSPzB, PP, IBG-NI | 6 | [24] |
Goran Blagoev Politician and journalist |
Ivelina Georgieva | Conservative Association of the Right and Republicans for Bulgaria | 7 | [24] |
Blagoy Petrevski Politician |
Sevina Hadjiyska | Bulgarian Union for Direct Democracy | 8 | [24] |
Marina Malcheva Politician |
Savina Lukanova | – | 9 | [24] |
Aleksander Tomov Chairman of the Bulgarian Social Democratic Party |
Lachezar Avramov. | Bulgarian Social Democratic Party–Bulgarian Euro-Left | 10 | [24] |
Volen Siderov Chairman of the party Attack |
Magdalena Tasheva | Attack | 11 | [24] |
Boyan Rasate Chairman of the party Bulgarian National Union – New Democracy |
Elena Vatashka | BNU-ND | 12 | [24] |
Zhelyo Zhelev Politician |
Kalin Krulev | Society for a New Bulgaria | 13 | [24] |
Anastas Gerdzhikov Rector of Sofia University |
Nevyana Miteva | GERB–SDS | 14 | [24] |
Svetoslav Vitkov Chairman of the party People's Voice |
Veselin Belokonski | People's Voice | 15 | [24] |
Luna Yordanova Singer and television personality |
Iglena Ilieva | – | 16 | [24] |
Mustafa Karadaya Chairman of the Movement for Rights and Freedoms |
Iskra Mihaylova | DPS | 17 | [24] |
Tsveta Kirilova Journalist and television presenter |
Georgi Tatunov | – | 18 | [24] |
Lozan Panov Chairman of the Supreme Court of Cassation of Bulgaria |
Maria Kasimova | Justice for All Initiative and DB | 19 | [24] |
Maria Koleva Director and writer |
Gancho Popov | Law Party | 20 | [24] |
Milen Mihov Vice chairman of the party IMRO – Bulgarian National Movement |
Mariya Tsvetkova. | IMRO–BNM | 21 | [24] |
Georgi Georgiev Politician |
Stoyan Tsvetkov | BNO | 22 | [24] |
Veselin Mareshki Chairman of the party Volya Movement |
Polina Tsankova | Volya Movement | 23 | [24] |
Campaign[]
The campaign started after the election was officially announced to take place on 14 November. The pandemic remained a large issue, especially with the rise of the Delta variant in the country.[25] The anti-corruption parties (ITN, DB, and IBG-NI) are all looking to hold their ground, while the traditional parties (GERB, DPS, and BSP) want to capitalise over the frustrations the public has with the inability to form a government. The elections are widely being hoped to bring an end to the political stalemate that has lasted since the April 2021 elections when no govermment could be formed. This time, there is more pressure on the anti-establishment parties to start negotiating a coalition government after the elections.[26]
After the president announced the new caretaker cabinet,[27] the two economy and finance ministers who were replaced in the reshuffle, Kiril Petkov and Asen Vasilev, declared that they would compete in the November election, as part of a new coalition named We Continue the Change.[28] This coalition hopes to be a new anti-corruption force that can unite all others to effectively form a government.
The global energy crisis was a large issue in the campaign, with natural gas prices soaring to record highs.[29] Different parties are offering their solutions on how to fix this, with some supporting relying more on Russia for energy, while others look to nuclear power in the longer term. This has tied into the high levels of inflation in the country, hitting record levels at 4.8% in September,[30] which has caused public dissatisfaction.
Another large issue has been on COVID-19 vaccinations. Due to a low vaccine take-up and high rises in the number of cases, the caretaker government implemented a green pass, or also known as the vaccine passport.[31] The green pass introduces the rule that citizens must have proof of their vaccination status in several locations such as hospitals, schools and restaurants. Because of this, it caused widespread protests,[32] that could end up harming the incumbent government, especially President Radev.
On 6 October, the instructions of the Minister of Health and the Chief State Health Inspector for voting were approved, they do not differ from those for the elections on 11 July. Deputy Chairman of the Central Election Commission, Rositsa Mateva, said "there is no requirement for a green certificate for voting in the parliamentary and presidential elections on 14 November."[33]
Bulgaria's Central Election Commission accepted the registrations of 23 candidates in for the presidential elections, the number of candidates were announced after the 12 October deadline for applications. This is the largest number of candidates in a presidential election in Bulgaria since the country began direct democratic elections of its head of state; previously, the highest number was 21, which occurred in 1992 and 2016.[34]
OSCE announced it would send an observation team to the general elections in a statement, "following an invitation from the authorities of Bulgaria and in accordance with its mandate, ODIHR has deployed an Election Assessment Mission (EAM) for these elections." It noted that ODIHR had previously observed 12 elections in the country, most recently the 11 July 2021 early parliamentary elections.[35]
Opinion polls[]
Legislative election[]
- Graphical representation of recalculated data
The opinion poll results below were recalculated from the original data and exclude polls that chose "I will not vote" or "I am uncertain" options.
Polling firm | Fieldwork date | Sample | Turnout range[a] | Certain undecided turnout | ITN | GERB–SDS | BSP | DB | DPS | IBG-NI | VMRO | Revival | PP | Others | None of the above | Lead |
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November 2021 election | 14 November 2021 | — | — | — | 9.5% | 22.7% | 10.2% | 6.4% | 13.0% | 2.3% | 1.1% | 4.9% | 25.7% | 4.2% | 1.4% | 2.8% |
Gallup | Exit-Poll | — | — | — | 9.3% | 23.1% | 10.4% | 6.4% | 11.4% | 3.0% | 1.1% | 5.0% | 26.3% | 3.6% | 3.2% | |
Alpha Research | Exit-Poll | — | — | — | 9.6% | 23.2% | 10.9% | 6.5% | 10.7% | 2.6% | 1.1% | 4.8% | 26.3% | 1.8% | 3.1% | |
Alpha Research | 7−9 Nov 2021 | 1017 | [47%-73%] | — | 9.9% | 24.1% | 16% | 10.2% | 9.8% | 3.6% | — | 3.8% | 16.5% | 6.1% | — | 7.6% |
Barometar | 4−9 Nov 2021 | 839 | [43.3%–61.7%] | — | 13.4% | 26.4% | 15.8% | 8.1% | 11.4% | 2.9% | 3.7% | 1.5% | 11.2% | 5.5% | — | 10.6% |
Gallup | 1−9 Nov 2021 | 1006 | ~48% | — | 11.4% | 23.5% | 15.2% | 9.6% | 11.3% | 3.4% | 2.1% | 3.5% | 15.5% | 4.5% | — | 8% |
Centre for Analysis and Marketing | 4−8 Nov 2021 | 1016 | [66.9%-86.1%] | 13.5% | 12.2% | 23.5% | 14.6% | 11% | 10.3% | 4.2% | — | — | 16.2% | 8% | — | 7.3% |
Mediana | 4–8 Nov 2021 | 957 | – | — | 12.2% | 25.4% | 15.6% | 9.7% | 10.6% | 4.2% | – | 3.1% | 17.3% | 1.9% | — | 8.1% |
Trend | 1–7 Nov 2021 | 1013 | 45% | — | 12.8% | 22.9% | 15.1% | 9.1% | 10.3% | 3.3% | 2.2% | 3.6% | 14.8% | 5.9% | — | 7.8% |
Market Links | 2−7 Nov 2021 | 1112 | [58%–90%] | 4.5% | 9.7% | 23% | 12.1% | 10.5% | 11.2% | 4.1% | 1.2% | 3% | 16.3% | 1.2% | 8.9% | 6.7% |
Exacta | 29 Oct−5 Nov 2021 | 1025 | [65%-66%] | [8%-9%] | 12.5% | 23.8% | 15% | 9.2% | 9.5% | 3.5% | 2.5% | 3% | 15.5% | 3.7% | 1.8% | 8.3% |
Sova Harris | 27 Oct−2 Nov 2021 | 1000 | [52.4%–85.8%] | — | 13.4% | 23.8% | 16.7% | 9.1% | 9.7% | 4.1% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 15.6% | 1.9% | 1.1% | 7.1% |
Sociology Web Researcher | 1 Oct−1 Nov 2021 | 43,987 | 48% | — | 19.3% | 22.1% | 16.6% | 8.5% | 10.3% | 2.9% | 2.1% | 3.3% | 10.1% | 4.8% | — | 2.8% |
Gallup | 23−31 Oct 2021 | 1081 | [58.2%–78.2%] | ~15.6% | 11.3% | 24.2% | 15.7% | 9.8% | 11.1% | 3.1% | 2.3% | 3.3% | 13.7% | 5.5% | — | 6.1%- 8.5% |
Estat | 23−31 Oct 2021 | 993 | [58%-84.2%] | — | 15.2% | 24.1% | 18.1% | 7.4% | 9.2% | 3.3% | 2.3% | 3.3% | 14.3% | 2.8% | — | 6% |
Centre for Analysis and Marketing | 22−26 Oct 2021 | 815 | [69.1%-82.1%] | 16.4% | 12.3% | 22.3% | 15.1% | 11.8% | 10.3% | 3.2% | 1.2% | 2.5% | 15.8% | 3% | 0.3% | 6.5% |
Barometar | 13−18 Oct 2021 | 858 | [42.2%–61.5%] | — | 14.3% | 26.2% | 14.9% | 8.8% | 11.6% | 2.9% | 3.7% | 1.5% | 10.5% | 5.5% | — | 11.3% |
Gallup | 10−17 Oct 2021 | 1009 | [54.2%–74.2%] | — | 12.2% | 22.5% | 15.1% | 11.2% | 10.8% | 3.7% | 2.3% | 2.9% | 13.4% | 5.9% | — | 7.4% |
Exacta | 6−12 Oct 2021 | 1025 | 49% | 12% | 15.2% | 23.5% | 15% | 10.2% | 9.4% | 2.6% | 2.5% | 1.9% | 15.5% | 4.2% | — | 8% |
Sova Harris | 5−12 Oct 2021 | 1010 | [55.2%–87.1%] | — | 14.4% | 24.2% | 19.1% | 9% | 8.7% | 4.2% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 14.6% | 0.4% | 1.7% | 5.1% |
Centre for Analysis and Marketing | 6−10 Oct 2021 | 812 | — | — | 11.7% | 24.2% | 15.8% | 10.3% | 11% | 3.2% | 0.7% | 1.7% | 12.8% | 3.7% | 0.7% | 8.4% |
Alpha Research | 4−10 Oct 2021 | 1123 | 47.6% | 10.6% | 10.4% | 23.1% | 16.8% | 10.9% | 9.3% | 3.2% | 2.1% | 2.9% | 15.9% | 5.4% | — | 6.3% |
Sociology Web Researcher | 1 Sep−1 Oct 2021 | 86,376 | 56% | 4.7% | 22.9% | 24.3% | 14.1% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 2.8% | 1.8% | 3.2% | 7.8% | 4.4% | — | 1.4% |
Gallup | 21−26 Sep 2021 | 2000 | [50.6%–73.2%] | — | 12.3% | 21.4% | 13.4% | 12.1% | 11.4% | 4.1% | 2.2% | 3.3% | 15.2% | 4.6% | — | 6.2% |
Market Links | 14−20 Sep 2021 | 1076 | [57%–90%] | 5.4% | 14.9% | 25% | 16% | 13.1% | 10.8% | 3.6% | — | 3.5% | 11.9% | 1.1% | — | 9% |
Barometar | 12−16 Sep 2021 | 810 | [35.4%–55.9%] | — | 15.1% | 25.6% | 13.2% | 9.2% | 11.9% | 3.2% | 3.8% | 3% | — | 15% | — | 10.5% |
Trend | 8–15 Sep 2021 | 1012 | 53% | — | 17.5% | 24.4% | 16.6% | 8.5% | 9.3% | 3.8% | 2.2% | 2.9% | 9.1% | 5.7% | — | 6.9% |
Alpha Research | 8−15 Sep 2021 | 1017 | 51.7% | 4.6% | 18.6% | 23.2% | 18.1% | 14.5% | 10.5% | 4.5% | — | 3.8% | — | 6.8% | — | 4.6% |
Gallup | 2−10 Sep 2021 | 1007 | [47.1%–70.9%] | — | 15.5% | 22.5% | 16.1% | 15.8% | 11.9% | 4.8% | 2.4% | 3.1% | — | 7.9% | — | 6.4% |
Market Links | 13−22 Aug 2021 | 1055 | [52%–90%] | 4.5% | 17.2% | 23.7% | 17.2% | 18.1% | 12% | 4.9% | — | 4.7% | — | 2.2% | — | 5.6% |
Trend | 23–30 Jul 2021 | 1006 | — | — | 21.6% | 22.4% | 14.5% | 14.1% | 10.2% | 4.4% | 1.9% | 2.9% | — | 8% | — | 0.8% |
Market Links | 21–28 Jul 2021 | 1059 | [48%–88%] | 4.1% | 22.6% | 19.8% | 17.9% | 17.2% | 9.6% | 5.4% | 2.1%[b] | 3.7% | — | 1.4% | — | 2.8% |
July 2021 election | 11 July 2021 | – | 40.4% | — | 23.8% | 23.2% | 13.2% | 12.5% | 10.6% | 5% | 3.1%[b] | 3% | — | 4.4% | 1.3% | 0.6% |
Presidential election[]
- Graphical representation of recalculated data
- First round
The opinion poll results below were recalculated from the original data and exclude polls that chose "I will not vote" or "I am uncertain" options.
Polling firm | Fieldwork date | Sample | Turnout range[c] | Certain undecided turnout | |||||||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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Others | None of the above | Lead | |||||||||
Radev Ind.[d] |
Gerdzhikov Ind.[e] |
Karadayi DPS |
Panov Ind.[f] |
Kostadinov Revival |
Simeonov PF |
Siderov Attack |
VMRO |
Mareshki Volya |
Ind. | ||||||||
November 2021 election | 14 November 2021 | — | — | — | 49.4% | 22.8% | 11.5% | 3.7% | 3.9% | 0.3% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.8% | 4.4% | 2.3% | 26.6% |
Alpha Research | Exit-Poll | — | — | — | 50.1% | 23.8% | 9.6% | 3.5% | 4.1% | 0.4% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.8% | 2.2% | 2.0% | 26.3% |
Gallup | Exit-Poll | — | — | — | 50.0% | 24.0% | 9.1% | 3.5% | 4.1% | — | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.9% | 4.5% | 2.4% | 26.0% |
Alpha Research | 7−9 Nov 2021 | 1017 | [47%-73%] | — | 46.4% | 28.3% | 8.8% | 6.9% | 3.2% | — | — | — | — | — | 6.4% | — | 18.1% |
Exacta | 6−9 Nov 2021 | 1025 | [47%-48%] | [8%-9%] | 48.0% | 27.9% | 9.0% | 6.8% | 2.4% | — | — | 2.3% | — | — | 3.2% | 0.4% | 20.1% |
Barometar | 4−9 Nov 2021 | 839 | [50.5%–63.4%] | — | 44.6% | 27.3% | 11.4% | 6.4% | 2.1% | — | — | 3.1% | — | — | 5.2% | — | 17.3% |
Gallup | 1−9 Nov 2021 | 1006 | ~48% | — | 48.6% | 25.3% | 9.1% | 5.2% | 3.0% | — | — | 1.5% | — | 1.1% | 4.1% | 2.1% | 23.3% |
Centre for Analysis and Marketing | 4−8 Nov 2021 | 1016 | [66.9%-80.9%] | 14.6% | 48.2% | 22.8% | 9.1% | 7.3% | 2.0% | — | — | — | — | 1.1% | 9.5% | — | 25.4% |
Mediana | 4–8 Nov 2021 | 957 | — | — | 48.3% | 25.6% | 10.3% | 8.1% | 3.2% | — | — | — | — | 1.4% | 3.1% | — | 22.7% |
Trend | 1–7 Nov 2021 | 1013 | 43% | — | 46.8% | 24.4% | 9.9% | 6.4% | 3.1% | — | — | 1.6% | — | 1.0% | 6.8% | — | 22.4% |
Market Links | 2−7 Nov 2021 | 1112 | [58%–90%] | 2.8% | 46.7% | 25.6% | 10.3% | 7.7% | 2.6% | — | — | — | — | 1.3% | 0.9% | 4.9% | 21.1% |
Exacta | 29 Oct−5 Nov 2021 | 1025 | [66%-67%] | [8%-9%] | 48.0% | 27.1% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 2.2% | — | 0.7% | 1.5% | — | — | 4.1% | 1.9% | 20.9% |
Sova Harris | 27 Oct−2 Nov 2021 | 1000 | [52.4%–85.8%] | — | 56.2% | 23.5% | 7.1% | 6.8% | — | — | — | — | — | — | 6.4% | — | 32.7% |
Gallup | 23−31 Oct 2021 | 1081 | [57.1%–77.1%] | — | 47.6% | 25.1% | 8.5% | 5.7% | 3.3% | — | — | 1.4% | — | 1.1% | 4.8% | 2.5% | 22.5% |
Estat | 23−31 Oct 2021 | 993 | [54.7%-84.5%] | — | 49.7% | 27.3% | 5.4% | 8.3% | 3.2% | 0.4% | 1.0% | 1.4% | 0.5% | 0.8% | 2% | — | 22.4% |
Centre for Analysis and Marketing | 22−26 Oct 2021 | 815 | [70.6%-83.1%] | 17.4% | 47.5% | 21.8% | 8.6% | 6.2% | 1.7% | — | — | — | — | 0.8% | 4.6% | 0.5% | 26.7% |
Barometar | 13−18 Oct 2021 | 858 | [54%-65.5%] | — | 44.8% | 27.3% | 11.2% | 6.8% | 1.9% | — | — | 3.0% | — | — | 4.9% | — | 17.5% |
Gallup | 10−17 Oct 2021 | 1009 | 56.4% | — | 51.2% | 22.5% | 7.9% | 6.2% | 3.1% | — | — | 1.6% | 1.1% | — | 3.7% | 2.7% | 28.7% |
Sova Harris | 5−12 Oct 2021 | 1010 | [55.2%–87.1%] | — | 60.4% | 24.8% | 6.1% | 5.3% | — | — | — | — | — | — | 3.4% | — | 35.6% |
Centre for Analysis and Marketing | 6−10 Oct 2021 | 812 | <50% | — | 49.5% | 22.3% | 9.1% | 7.5% | 1.7% | — | — | 0.7% | — | 1% | 4.9% | — | 27.3% |
Alpha Research | 4−10 Oct 2021 | 1123 | 52.7% | 11.3% | 42.6% | 28.1% | 8.7% | 8.2% | 3.9% | 1.8% | 1.6% | — | — | — | 3.9% | — | 14.5% |
2016 election | 6 November 2016 | — | 56.3% | — | 25.4% | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 11.2% | — | 57.8% | 5.6% | 3.4% |
- Hypothetical second round
Polling Firm | Fieldwork Date |
Sample | ![]() |
![]() |
Panov | Lead |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
November 2021 election | 21 November 2021 | — | 66.7% | 31.8% | — | 34.9% |
Alpha Research | Exit-Poll | — | 63.9% | 33.1% | — | 30.8% |
Gallup | Exit-Poll | — | 65.8% | 31.4% | — | 34.4% |
Mediana | 4–8 Nov 2021 | 957 | 65.5% | 35.5% | – | 30% |
Exacta | 29 Oct−5 Nov 2021 | 1025 | 63.5% | 36.5% | – | 27% |
Sova Harris | 27 Oct−2 Nov 2021 | 1000 | 67% | 33% | – | 34% |
Estat | 23–31 Oct 2021 | 490 | 62.2% | 37.8% | – | 24.4% |
Sova Harris | 5–12 Oct 2021 | 1010 | 70.6% | 29.4% | – | 41.2% |
86.7% | — | 13.3% | 73.4% | |||
2016 election | 13 November 2016 | — | 59.4% | — | — | 23.2% |
Results[]
Polling stations opened at 08:00 and closed at 20:00.[36] Kiril Petkov and Asen Vasilev were seen as the winners of the legislative elections.[37] Their party (We Continue the Change) garnered more than 25% of the vote. GERB remained second with more than 22%. DPS finished third place by over 13%, overtaking BSP. BSP had a disappointing result finishing fourth with around 10%. There Is Such a People, the winner of the last election, was seen as the election loser, dropping to fifth and gathering less than 10% of the vote. Democratic Bulgaria also significantly reduced their score by losing over 50% of the voters from the last election, gaining only around 6%. Lastly, Revival managed to enter the parliament with around 5% of the votes, running on a campaign of opposing vaccine mandates and Bulgarian nationalism. Stand Up BG! We're coming! lost all their seats in the parliament, gathering only 2%, whilst IMRO was unsuccessful in entering parliament.[38]
We Continue the Change was the first political force in 14 districts of the country, including all three of Sofia, the capital city. They also hold major cities such as Burgas, Varna and Plovdiv. GERB-SDS won in 12 districts, including Sofia-Oblast, Gabrovo, and Blagoevgrad. DPS was first in 5 districts in Kardzhali and Razgrad, as well as in Targovishte, Silistra, and Shumen. Overseas, the results of the parliamentary vote differ from those in the country, as DPS gathered the most votes abroad with over 38% support. In second place abroad was We Continue the Change with over 22 percent. There Is Such a People, which was helped by the votes abroad, finished third, and GERB-SDS ranked fourth.[38]
Incumbent president Radev gathered around 49% of the vote, being forced into a runoff, facing the university professor Gerdzhikov on 21 November.[39] Shortly after the second round of the presidential elections, President Radev was projected to win another term with nearly two-thirds of the vote, according to exit polls published Alpha Research and Gallup International.[40] Voter turnout stood at a record-low 33.7% and 3.0% of people who went to the polls did not support any of the two candidates, according to Alpha Research polling agency.[41]
President[]
Candidate | Running mate | Party | First round | Second round | |||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Votes | % | Votes | % | ||||
Rumen Radev | Iliana Iotova | Independent (BSPzB, PP, ITN, IBG-NI) | 1,322,385 | 49.42 | 1,539,650 | 66.72 | |
Anastas Gerdzhikov | Nevyana Miteva | Independent (GERB–SDS) | 610,862 | 22.83 | 733,791 | 31.80 | |
Mustafa Karadayi | Iskra Mihaylova | Movement for Rights and Freedoms | 309,681 | 11.57 | |||
Kostadin Kostadinov | Elena Guncheva | Revival | 104,832 | 3.92 | |||
Lozan Panov | Independent (Democratic Bulgaria) | 98,488 | 3.68 | ||||
Luna Yordanova | Iglena Ilieva | Independent | 21,733 | 0.81 | |||
Volen Siderov | Magdalena Tasheva | Attack | 14,792 | 0.55 | |||
Svetoslav Vitkov | Veselin Belokonski | People's Voice | 13,972 | 0.52 | |||
Mariya Tsvetkova | IMRO – Bulgarian National Movement | 13,376 | 0.50 | ||||
Rosen Milenov | Ivan Ivanov | Independent | 12,644 | 0.47 | |||
Goran Blagoev | Ivelina Georgieva | Republicans for Bulgaria | 12,323 | 0.46 | |||
Veselin Mareshki | Volya Movement | 10,536 | 0.39 | ||||
Valeri Simeonov | Tsvetan Manchev | Patriotic Front | 8,568 | 0.32 | |||
Nikolay Malinov | Svetlana Koseva | 8,213 | 0.31 | ||||
Tsveta Kirilova | Georgi Tutanov | Independent | 7,706 | 0.29 | |||
Aleksandar Tomov | Lachezar Avramov | Bulgarian Social Democratic Party–EuroLeft | 7,235 | 0.27 | |||
Elena Vatashka | Bulgarian National Union – New Democracy | 6,798 | 0.25 | ||||
Marina Malcheva | Savina Lukanova | Independent | 6,315 | 0.24 | |||
Zhelyo Zhelev | Kalin Krulev | 6,154 | 0.23 | ||||
Blagoy Petrevski | Sevina Hadjiyska | 5,518 | 0.21 | ||||
Yolo Denev | Mario Filev | Independent | 5,394 | 0.20 | |||
Maria Koleva | Gancho Popov | 4,666 | 0.17 | ||||
Stoyan Tsvetkov | Bulgarian National Unification | 2,958 | 0.11 | ||||
None of the above | 60,786 | 2.27 | 34,169 | 1.48 | |||
Total | 2,675,935 | 100.00 | 2,307,610 | 100.00 | |||
Valid votes | 2,675,935 | 99.65 | 2,307,610 | 99.83 | |||
Invalid/blank votes | 9,487 | 0.35 | 3,909 | 0.17 | |||
Total votes | 2,685,422 | 100.00 | 2,311,519 | 100.00 | |||
Registered voters/turnout | 6,949,938 | 38.64 | 6,868,737 | 33.65 | |||
Source: Electoral Commission of Bulgaria (first round), Electoral Commission of Bulgaria (second round) |
National Assembly[]
![]() | |||||
Party | Votes | % | Seats | +/– | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
We Continue the Change | 673,170 | 25.32 | 67 | New | |
GERB–SDS | 596,456 | 22.44 | 59 | –4 | |
Movement for Rights and Freedoms | 341,000 | 12.83 | 34 | +5 | |
BSP for Bulgaria | 267,817 | 10.07 | 26 | –10 | |
There Is Such a People | 249,743 | 9.39 | 25 | –40 | |
Democratic Bulgaria | 166,968 | 6.28 | 16 | –18 | |
Revival | 127,568 | 4.80 | 13 | +13 | |
Stand Up.BG! We are coming! | 60,055 | 2.26 | 0 | –13 | |
IMRO – Bulgarian National Movement | 28,322 | 1.07 | 0 | 0 | |
Bulgarian Social Democratic Party–EuroLeft | 13,710 | 0.52 | 0 | 0 | |
Attack | 12,153 | 0.46 | 0 | 0 | |
11,627 | 0.44 | 0 | New | ||
People's Voice | 11,546 | 0.43 | 0 | 0 | |
11,239 | 0.42 | 0 | 0 | ||
Patriotic Front | 8,584 | 0.32 | 0 | 0 | |
Volya Movement | 7,067 | 0.27 | 0 | 0 | |
6,803 | 0.26 | 0 | 0 | ||
6,712 | 0.25 | 0 | New | ||
Bulgarian Union for Direct Democracy | 5,894 | 0.22 | 0 | New | |
3,939 | 0.15 | 0 | 0 | ||
Green Party | 2,968 | 0.11 | 0 | 0 | |
Bulgarian National Unification | 2,468 | 0.09 | 0 | 0 | |
1,723 | 0.06 | 0 | New | ||
Bulgarian Progressive Line | 1,498 | 0.06 | 0 | 0 | |
1,341 | 0.05 | 0 | 0 | ||
1,151 | 0.04 | 0 | 0 | ||
Bulgarian National Union – New Democracy | 1,099 | 0.04 | 0 | 0 | |
Independents | 182 | 0.01 | 0 | 0 | |
None of the above | 35,745 | 1.34 | – | – | |
Total | 2,658,548 | 100.00 | 240 | 0 | |
Valid votes | 2,658,548 | 99.58 | |||
Invalid/blank votes | 11,315 | 0.42 | |||
Total votes | 2,669,863 | 100.00 | |||
Registered voters/turnout | 6,946,852 | 38.43 | |||
Source: Electoral Commission of Bulgaria |
Aftermath[]
Following the DB coalition's poor results in the elections, Hristo Ivanov and the entire party leadership of Yes, Bulgaria! announced their resignations on 15 November.[42] Korneliya Ninova, the leader of BSP, also resigned after her party's "catastrophic" result, winning only 26 seats and falling to fourth place.[43] However, both were reaffirmed as party leaders by early February 2022.
Following the win of PP, Petkov told reporters after initial results were released that "Bulgaria is taking a new path. If we can stop [corruption] and redistribute money for the well-being of the taxpayers, then we should be able to come to an agreement with several parties." Petkov said he is willing to partner with all parties that would join the fight against corruption in Bulgaria.[44] Petkov announced he was seeking to become prime minister and said he wants to pursue "transparent" coalition negotiations with DB and There Is Such a People.[45] DPS and GERB rejected coalition talks with PP (We Continue the Change).[46] Analysts such as Boryana Dimitrova and Parvan Simeonov predicted that PP (We Continue the Change), ITN (There Is Such a People), DB, and BSP would form a coalition.[47]
Shortly after President Radev was projected to win another term with nearly two-thirds of the vote according to exit polls published Alpha Research and Gallup International, he commented in a statement that "an unprecedented political month of two types of elections ended, which clearly showed the will of the people to change and to break with corruption, robbery and lawlessness, to remove the mafia from power."[48] PP co-leaders Kiril Petkov and Assen Vassilev congratulated Radev on his re-election victory. "We are ready to work with this president," Kiril Petkov said at a briefing after the end of election day. Assen Vassilev commented, "Next week we are beginning work on developing a clear and precise plan on how to make Bulgaria a much better place to live in the coming 4 years".[49]
A series of talks on 18 policy areas were held between 23 November and 27 November, between the representatives of PP, BSP, ITN, and DB.[50]
The leaders of four Bulgarian parties on 10 December said they had agreed to form a coalition that would end a months-long political crisis, making it the first regular government since April. The agreement followed lengthy talks between PP, DB, ITN and BSP. Kiril Petkov announced, "we are moving towards proposing a stable government, which we hope will continue for the next four years."[51] President Radev shortly after announced that he had given the mandate to form a government to Petkov.[11] On 12 December, Petkov presented the composition of the incoming government, and it was approved by the National Assembly on 13 December 2021.[52]
See also[]
Notes[]
- ^ Minimum and maximum values.
- ^ a b Result of Bulgarian Patriots
- ^ Minimum and maximum values.
- ^ Supported by BSP for Bulgaria, ITN, PP, Stand Up.BG, Volt Bulgaria, ABV, Movement 21, SSD, OBT and PDS
- ^ Supported by GERB, SDS, BZNS and DG
- ^ Supported by Democratic Bulgaria
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- 2021 elections in Bulgaria
- Presidential elections in Bulgaria
- Parliamentary elections in Bulgaria
- November 2021 events in Bulgaria
- 2021 elections in Europe