2024 United States presidential election in New Hampshire
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| Elections in New Hampshire |
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The 2024 United States presidential election in New Hampshire is scheduled to take place on Tuesday, November 5, 2024, as part of the 2024 United States elections in which all 50 states plus the District of Columbia will participate. New Hampshire voters will choose electors to represent them in the Electoral College via a popular vote. The state of New Hampshire has 4 electoral votes in the Electoral College, following reapportionment due to the 2020 United States census in which the state neither gained nor lost a seat.[1]
Incumbent Democratic president Joe Biden has stated that he intends to run for reelection to a second term.[2]
Primary elections[]
Democratic primary[]
Polling[]
- With Biden
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[a] |
Margin of error |
Joe Biden |
Other | Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| University of New Hampshire | Apr 16–20, 2021 | 787 (A) | ±2.2% | 64% | 18%[b] | 17% |
- Without Biden
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[a] |
Margin of error |
Kamala Harris |
Other | Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Saint Anselm College | March 4–6, 2021 | 418 (LV) | – | 45% | 26%[c] | 30% |
Republican primary[]
Polling[]
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[a] |
Margin of error |
Tucker Carlson |
Tom Cotton |
Ted Cruz |
Ron DeSantis |
Nikki Haley |
Kristi Noem |
Mike Pence |
Mike Pompeo |
Mitt Romney |
Marco Rubio |
Tim Scott |
Donald Trump |
Donald Trump Jr. |
Other | Undecided | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| University of New Hampshire | October 14–18, 2021 | 441 (LV) | – | – | 2% | 2% | 18% | 6% | 1% | 4% | 0% | – | – | – | 43% | – | 10%[d] | 10% | |||
| University of New Hampshire | July 15–19, 2021 | 770 (LV) | – | – | 0% | 2% | 19% | 6% | 2% | 5% | 0% | – | – | – | 47% | – | 9%[e] | 10% | |||
| John Bolton Super PAC/Saint Anselm College | May 7–10, 2021 | 635 (RV) | ±3.9% | – | – | 2% | 20% | 7% | 2% | 4% | – | 1% | 2% | 0% | 52% | – | 0%[f] | 10% | |||
| University of New Hampshire | Apr 16–20, 2021 | 787 (A) | ±2.2% | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | 59% | – | 34%[g] | 7% | |||
| University of New Hampshire | Mar 18–22, 2021 | 703 (A) | ±2.3% | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | 66% | – | 31%[h] | 3% | |||
| Victory Insights | Mar 5–11, 2021 | – (LV) | – | – | – | 2% | 5% | 4% | 0% | 6% | 0% | 8% | – | – | 62%[i] | – | – | – | |||
| 400 (RV) | – | – | – | 1% | 5% | 3% | 0% | 6% | 0% | 13% | – | – | 52%[i] | – | – | – | |||||
| – (LV) | – | – | – | 12% | 25% | 7% | 1% | 20% | 4% | 11% | – | – | –[j] | – | – | – | |||||
| 400 (RV) | – | – | – | 10% | 21% | 7% | 1% | 18% | 3% | 15% | – | – | –[j] | – | – | – | |||||
| University of New Hampshire | Feb 18–22, 2021 | 764 (A) | ±2.3% | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | 58% | – | 36%[k] | 7% | |||
| University of New Hampshire | Jan 21–25, 2021 | 804 (A) | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | 47% | – | 45%[l] | 8% | |||
| Inauguration of Joe Biden | |||||||||||||||||||||
| Praecones Analytica/NH Journal | Nov 30 – December 2, 2020 | 624 (RV) | ± 4% | 1% | 2% | 4% | – | 7% | – | 6% | – | 7% | 2% | 2% | 57%[i] | 3% | – | 10% | |||
| 4% | 6% | 10% | – | 12% | – | 25% | – | 8% | 4% | 3% | –[j] | 14% | – | 14% | |||||||
| University of New Hampshire | Nov 19–23, 2020 | 533 (RV) | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | 73% | – | 22%[m] | 5% | |||
General election[]
Polling[]
- Joe Biden vs. Donald Trump
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[a] |
Margin of error |
Joe Biden Democratic |
Donald Trump Republican |
Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| The Trafalgar Group (R) | December 10–12, 2021 | 1,041 (LV) | ± 3.0% | 46% | 48% | 6% |
| John Bolton Super PAC/Saint Anslem College | May 7–10, 2021 | 1,267 (RV) | ± 2.8% | 51% | 43% | 6% |
- Kamala Harris vs. Donald Trump
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[a] |
Margin of error |
Kamala Harris Democratic |
Donald Trump Republican |
Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| The Trafalgar Group (R) | December 10–12, 2021 | 1,041 (LV) | ± 3.0% | 46% | 48% | 6% |
See also[]
- 2024 United States presidential election
Notes[]
- ^ a b c d e Key:
A – all adults
RV – registered voters
LV – likely voters
V – unclear - ^ 18% do not want Biden run in the 2024 presidential election
- ^ "If Joe Biden decides not to run for re-election, someone else" with 26%
- ^ "Other" with 9%, Tom Cotton with 1%
- ^ "Other" with 9%, Tom Cotton with 0%
- ^ Liz Cheney and John Kasich with 0%
- ^ 34% do not want Trump run in the 2024 presidential election
- ^ 31% do not want Trump run in the 2024 presidential election
- ^ a b c Standard VI response
- ^ a b c If Donald Trump did not run
- ^ 36% do not want Trump run in the 2024 presidential election
- ^ 45% do not want Trump run in the 2024 presidential election
- ^ 22% do not want Trump run in the 2024 presidential election
References[]
- ^ Wang, Hansi; Jin, Connie; Levitt, Zach (April 26, 2021). "Here's How The 1st 2020 Census Results Changed Electoral College, House Seats". NPR. Archived from the original on August 19, 2021. Retrieved August 20, 2021.
- ^ "Biden: 'My plan is to run for reelection' in 2024". Politico.com. Retrieved July 19, 2021.
State and district results of the 2024 United States presidential election | ||
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Categories:
- 2024 United States presidential election by state
- United States presidential elections in New Hampshire
- 2024 New Hampshire elections