2024 United States presidential election in Florida

The 2024 United States presidential election in Florida is scheduled to take place on Tuesday, November 5, 2024, as part of the 2024 United States elections in which all 50 states plus the District of Columbia will participate. Florida voters will choose electors to represent them in the Electoral College via a popular vote. The state of Florida has 30 electoral votes in the Electoral College, following reapportionment due to the 2020 United States census in which the state gained a seat.^[1]

Incumbent Democratic president Joe Biden has stated that he intends to run for reelection to a second term.^[2]

Primary elections[]

Democratic primary[]

Polling[]

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size^[a]	Margin of error	Joe Biden	Hillary Clinton	Kamala Harris	Undecided
Suffolk University	Jan 26–29, 2022	164 (LV)	–	43%	46%	–	11%
Victory Insights	Sep 16–18, 2021	200 (LV)	–	60%	–	17%	23%

Republican primary[]

Polling[]

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size^[a]	Margin of error	Donald Trump	Ron DeSantis	Mitt Romney	Marco Rubio	Nikki Haley	Ted Cruz	Chris Christie	Rick Scott	Undecided
Suffolk University	Jan 26–29, 2022	176 (LV)	–	47%	40%	–	–	–	–	–	–	13%
Victory Insights	Sep 16–18, 2021	200 (LV)	–	58%	30%	–	–	–	–	–	–	12%
Susquehanna Polling & Research (R)	Aug 4–10, 2021	280 (RV)	–	43%	34%	5%	3%	3%	2%	1%	–	8%
Fabrizio, Lee & Associates	Feb 15–17, 2021	304 (LV)	–	–	64%	–	12%	–	–	–	10%	14%
	January 20, 2021	Inauguration of Joe Biden
	November 3, 2020	2020 presidential election
Fabrizio, Lee & Associates/News4JAX	July 16–18, 2019	280 (LV)	–	–	37%	–	26%	–	–	–	18%	19%

General election[]

Polling[]

Joe Biden vs. Ron DeSantis

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size^[a]	Margin of error	Joe Biden Democratic	Ron DeSantis Republican	Undecided
Suffolk University	January 26–29, 2022	500 (LV)	± 4.4%	44%	52%	4%
Victory Insights	September 16–18, 2021	450 (LV)	± 4.6%	51%	49%	–
The Political Matrix/The Listener Group (R)	September 11–12, 2021	1,144 (LV)	± 3.1%	55%	45%	–
Susquehanna Polling & Research (R)	August 4–10, 2021	700 (RV)	± 3.7%	49%	47%	4%

Joe Biden vs. Donald Trump

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size^[a]	Margin of error	Joe Biden Democratic	Donald Trump Republican	Other	Undecided
Suffolk University	January 26–29, 2022	500 (LV)	± 4.4%	44%	47%	0%	9%
Victory Insights	September 16–18, 2021	450 (LV)	± 4.6%	51%	49%	–	–
St. Pete Polls	August 16–17, 2021	2,068 (RV)	± 2.2%	48%	47%	3%	2%
Susquehanna Polling & Research (R)	August 4–10, 2021	700 (RV)	± 3.7%	50%	42%	–	8%

Kamala Harris vs. Ron DeSantis

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size^[a]	Margin of error	Kamala Harris Democratic	Ron DeSantis Republican	Undecided
Victory Insights	September 16–18, 2021	450 (LV)	± 4.6%	49%	51%	–

Kamala Harris vs. Donald Trump

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size^[a]	Margin of error	Kamala Harris Democratic	Donald Trump Republican	Undecided
Victory Insights	September 16–18, 2021	450 (LV)	± 4.6%	51%	49%	–

Hillary Clinton vs. Ron DeSantis

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size^[a]	Margin of error	Hillary Clinton Democratic	Ron DeSantis Republican	Undecided
Suffolk University	January 26–29, 2022	500 (LV)	± 4.4%	40%	53%	7%

Hillary Clinton vs. Donald Trump

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size^[a]	Margin of error	Hillary Clinton Democratic	Donald Trump Republican	Undecided
Suffolk University	January 26–29, 2022	500 (LV)	± 4.4%	42%	49%	9%

Notes[]

^ ^a ^b ^c ^d ^e ^f ^g ^h Key:
A – all adults
RV – registered voters
LV – likely voters
V – unclear

References[]

^ Wang, Hansi; Jin, Connie; Levitt, Zach (April 26, 2021). "Here's How The 1st 2020 Census Results Changed Electoral College, House Seats". NPR. Archived from the original on August 19, 2021. Retrieved August 20, 2021.
^ Din, Benjamin (March 25, 2021). "Biden: 'My plan is to run for reelection' in 2024". Politico.com. Retrieved July 19, 2021.

[key-3] ^ ^a ^b ^c ^d ^e ^f ^g ^h Key:
A – all adults
RV – registered voters
LV – likely voters
V – unclear

[1] Wang, Hansi; Jin, Connie; Levitt, Zach (April 26, 2021). "Here's How The 1st 2020 Census Results Changed Electoral College, House Seats". NPR. Archived from the original on August 19, 2021. Retrieved August 20, 2021.

[2] Din, Benjamin (March 25, 2021). "Biden: 'My plan is to run for reelection' in 2024". Politico.com. Retrieved July 19, 2021.

[1]

[2]

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2024 United States presidential election in Florida

Contents

Primary elections[]

Democratic primary[]

Polling[]

Republican primary[]

Polling[]

General election[]

Polling[]

See also[]

Notes[]

References[]