2016 United States Senate election in Florida

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2016 United States Senate election in Florida

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  Marco Rubio FITN 2016.jpg Patrick Murphy crop.jpg
Nominee Marco Rubio Patrick Murphy
Party Republican Democratic
Popular vote 4,835,191 4,122,088
Percentage 52.0% 44.3%

2016 United States Senate election in Florida results map by county.svg
County results

Rubio:      40–50%      50–60%      60–70%      70–80%      80–90%

Murphy:      40–50%      50–60%      60–70%

U.S. senator before election

Marco Rubio
Republican

Elected U.S. Senator

Marco Rubio
Republican

The 2016 United States Senate election in Florida was held November 8, 2016 to elect a member of the United States Senate to represent the State of Florida, concurrently with the 2016 U.S. presidential election, as well as other elections to the United States Senate in other states and elections to the United States House of Representatives and various state and local elections. The primary elections for both the Republicans and Democrats took place on August 30, 2016.[1]

Incumbent Republican Senator Marco Rubio ran for another term but faced well-funded Republican primary opposition after initially announcing he would not seek re-election to his Senate seat. He had openly considered whether to seek re-election or run for president in 2016.[2][3][4] He stated in April 2014 that he would not run for both the Senate and president in 2016, as Florida law prohibits a candidate from simultaneously appearing twice on a ballot, but did not rule out running for either office.[5]

However, in April 2015, Rubio announced that he was running for President and would not seek re-election.[6][7][8][9] Rubio had initially said he would not run for re-election to the Senate even if he dropped out of the GOP presidential primary before he would have to qualify for the 2016 Senate primary ballot, for which the filing deadline was June 24, 2016.[10][11]

On June 13, 2016, despite his previous statements that he would not run for re-election to his Senate seat, Rubio "seemed to open the door to running for re-election," citing the previous day's mass shooting in Orlando and how "it really gives you pause, to think a little bit about your service to your country and where you can be most useful to your country."[12] On June 22, 2016, Rubio announced that he would seek re-election to the Senate, reversing his pledge not to run.[13]

On August 30, the Republican Party nominated Marco Rubio, and the Democratic Party nominated Representative Patrick Murphy. Rubio won with the largest raw vote total in Florida history (until Donald Trump broke the record in 2020), taking a greater percentage of the popular vote than Republican presidential nominee Donald Trump, who won the state in the election. He is the first Republican Senator from Florida since 1994, and only the second with Connie Mack, to be reelected to a second term. Also, with Mel Martinez's victory in 2004, this marks the first time that Republicans have won one of Florida's Senate seats three times in a row (Mack succeeded Lawton Chiles, a Democrat, and was succeeded by another Democrat, Bill Nelson).

Marco Rubio won 48% of the Hispanic vote and 17% of the African American vote during this election, an exceptional number for a Republican during a presidential year.[14]

Republican primary[]

Candidates[]

Declared[]

  • Carlos Beruff, real estate developer and chair of the Florida Commission on Healthcare and Hospital Funding[15][16][17]
  • Ernie Rivera, businessman
  • Marco Rubio, incumbent U.S. Senator[7][8][9][12][13]
  • Dwight Young, Pinellas County Sheriff's deputy[18]

Withdrawn[]

Declined[]

  • Jeff Atwater, Chief Financial Officer of Florida[33]
  • Rick Baker, former mayor of St. Petersburg[34][35]
  • Pam Bondi, Florida Attorney General[36]
  • Dan Bongino, radio host, former Secret Service agent, and nominee for the U.S. Senate from Maryland in 2012 and for MD-06 in 2014[37][38][39] (running for FL-19)
  • Vern Buchanan, U.S. Representative (ran for reelection)[20][40]
  • Ben Carson, retired neurosurgeon and former candidate for President in 2016[41][42]
  • Curt Clawson, U.S. Representative[43][44]
  • Randy Fine, businessman[45]
  • Anitere Flores, state senator (ran for reelection)[46][47]
  • Don Gaetz, state senator and former State Senate President[48]
  • Mike Haridopolos, former President of the Florida Senate and candidate for the U.S. Senate in 2012[43][49]
  • George LeMieux, former U.S. Senator[50]
  • Connie Mack IV, former U.S. Representative and nominee for the U.S. Senate in 2012[43][51]
  • Bill McCollum, former Florida Attorney General, former U.S. Representative, nominee for U.S. Senate in 2000, candidate in 2004 and candidate for governor in 2010[52][53]
  • John Mica, U.S. Representative (ran for reelection)[19][54]
  • Jeff Miller, U.S. Representative[55]
  • Adam Putnam, Florida Commissioner of Agriculture and former U.S. Representative[46][56][57]
  • Francis Rooney, former United States Ambassador to the Holy See (ran for U.S. House)[58][59][60]
  • Tom Rooney, U.S. Representative (ran for reelection)[61][62][63]
  • Dennis A. Ross, U.S. Representative (ran for reelection)[64][65]
  • Joe Scarborough, cable news personality and former U.S. Representative[66]
  • Will Weatherford, former Speaker of the Florida House of Representatives[67]
  • Daniel Webster, U.S. Representative[68]
  • Allen West, former U.S. Representative.[69]
  • Ted Yoho, U.S. Representative (ran for reelection)[70][71]

Endorsements[]

Ron DeSantis (withdrew)
Individuals
  • Marsha Blackburn, U.S. Representative (TN-07)[72]
  • John R. Bolton, former United States Ambassador to the United Nations[73]
  • Dan Bongino, former U.S. Secret Service agent and U.S. House and Senate candidate[39]
  • Ben Carson, retired neurosurgeon and former candidate for President in 2016[42]
  • Jim France, NASCAR executive[74]
  • Trey Gowdy, U.S. Representative (SC-4)[75]
  • Sean Jackson, Chairman of the Black Republican Caucus of South Florida[76]
  • Mike Lee, U.S. Senator from Utah[77]
  • Bob Martinez, former Florida Governor[74]
  • John Rood, former U.S. Ambassador[74]
  • Francis Rooney, former U.S. Ambassador to the Vatican[74]
  • Tom Rooney, U.S. Representative (FL-17)[78]
Organizations
  • Club for Growth[79]
  • Family Research Council[80]
  • FreedomWorks[81]
  • Madison Project PAC[79]
  • Senate Conservatives Fund[79]
  • Support and Defend PAC[82]
  • Tea Party Express[83]
  • Citizens United[84]
  • Combat Veterans for Congress[85]
  • Conservative HQ[86]
David Jolly (withdrew)
Individuals
  • Gus Bilirakis, U.S. Representative (FL-12)[87]
  • Rich Nugent, U.S. Representative (FL-11)[88]
  • Dennis A. Ross, U.S. Representative (FL-15)[65]
Carlos López-Cantera (withdrew)
Statewide officials
  • Pam Bondi, Attorney General of Florida[89]
State legislators
  • Ben Albritton, state representative[90]
  • Frank Artiles, state representative[47]
  • Bryan Avila, state representative[47]
  • Dennis K. Baxley, state representative[91]
  • Halsey Beshears, state representative[91]
  • Michael Bileca, state representative[47]
  • Jim Boyd, state representative[90]
  • Jason Brodeur, state representative[92]
  • Matt Caldwell, state representative[91]
  • Bob Cortes, state representative[92]
  • José Félix Díaz, state representative[47]
  • Manny Díaz, Jr., state representative[47]
  • Miguel Diaz de la Portilla, state senator[47]
  • Brad Drake, state representative[91]
  • Dane Eagle, state representative[90]
  • Heather Fitzenhagen, state representative[90]
  • Anitere Flores, state senator[47]
  • Erik Fresen, state representative[47]
  • Bill Galvano, State Senate Majority Leader[90]
  • Rene Garcia, state senator[47]
  • Julio Gonzalez, state representative[90]
  • Tom Goodson, state representative[92]
  • Clay Ingram, state representative[91]
  • Mike La Rosa, state representative[92]
  • MaryLynn Magar, state representative[91]
  • George Moraitis, state representative[47]
  • Jeanette Nuñez, state representative[47]
  • H. Marlene O'Toole, state representative[92]
  • José R. Oliva, state representative[47]
  • Kathleen Passidomo, state representative[90]
  • Keith Perry, state representative[91]
  • Ray Pilon, state representative[90]
  • Scott Plakon, state representative[92]
  • Rene Plasencia, state representative[92]
  • Elizabeth W. Porter, state representative[91]
  • Holly Merrill Raschein, state representative[47]
  • Ken Roberson, state representative[90]
  • David Santiago, state representative[92]
  • Jimmie Todd Smith, state representative[91]
  • Carlos Trujillo, state representative[47]
  • Ritch Workman, state representative[92]
Mayors and other municipal leaders
  • Sam Newby, Jacksonville City Councilman[93]
Marco Rubio
Presidents of the United States
  • George W. Bush, 43rd President of The United States[94]
Governors
  • Jeb Bush, former Governor of Florida and 2016 presidential candidate[95]
  • Bill Haslam, Governor of Tennessee[96]
  • Mike Huckabee, former Governor of Arkansas and 2016 presidential candidate[97]
  • John Kasich, Governor of Ohio and 2016 presidential candidate[98]
  • George Pataki, former Governor of New York and 2016 presidential candidate[99]
  • Mike Pence, Governor of Indiana and 2016 Vice Presidential nominee[100]
  • Mitt Romney, former Governor of Massachusetts and 2012 Republican Presidential Nominee[101]
U.S. Senators
  • John Cornyn, U.S. Senator from Texas and Senate Majority Whip[102]
  • Ted Cruz, U.S. Senator from Texas and 2016 presidential candidate[103]
  • Lindsey Graham, U.S. Senator from South Carolina and 2016 presidential candidate[104]
  • Mike Lee, U.S. Senator from Utah[105]
  • Mitch McConnell, U.S. Senator from Kentucky and Senate Majority Leader[106]
  • Rick Santorum, former U.S. Senator from Pennsylvania, 2012 presidential candidate and 2016 presidential candidate[107]
U.S. Representatives
  • Paul Ryan, U.S. Representative from Wisconsin and Speaker of the United States House of Representatives.[108]
Individuals
  • John Bolton, former United States Ambassador to the United Nations[109]
  • Carly Fiorina, former CEO of Hewlett-Packard, 2010 Republican nominee for Senate in California, and 2016 presidential candidate[110]
  • Newt Gingrich, former Speaker of the House of Representatives and 2012 presidential candidate[111]
  • Sean Hannity, conservative talk radio host and host of Hannity[112]
  • Evan McMullin, former chief policy director for the House Republican Conference in the U.S. House of Representatives, former CIA operations officer and 2016 independent candidate for president[113]
  • Reince Priebus, Republican National Committee chairman[114]
  • Donald Trump, Chairman and CEO of the Trump Organization and 2016 presidential nominee[115]
Organizations
  • Club for Growth[116]
  • FreedomWorks[117]
  • United States Chamber of Commerce[118]
  • American Conservative Union[119]
Statewide officials
Newspaper Editorial Boards
Declined to endorse
  • Rick Scott, Governor of Florida[122]

Polling[]

Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin of
error
Carlos
Beruff
Ron
DeSantis
David
Jolly
Ilya
Katz
Carlos
López-Cantera
Marco
Rubio
Todd
Wilcox
Other/
Undecided
Mason-Dixon Archived September 16, 2016, at the Wayback Machine August 22–24, 2016 400 ± 5% 22% 61% 15%
Florida Atlantic University August 19–22, 2016 327 ± 5.4% 8% 69% 5% 15%
Florida Chamber of Commerce August 17–22, 2016 249 ± 4.0% 19% 68% 10%
St. Leo University August 14–18, 2016 479 ± 4.5% 14% 68% 18%
Suffolk University Archived August 6, 2016, at the Wayback Machine August 1–3, 2016 183 ± 4.4% 12% 62% 26%
St. Pete Polls August 2, 2016 1,835 ± 2.3% 22% 55% 23%
Bay News 9/SurveyUSA June 25–27, 2016 555 ± 4.1% 11% 63% 13%
Vox Populi Polling (R) June 19–20, 2016 487 ± 4.4% 5% 57% 4% 34%
St. Leo University June 10–16, 2016 500 ± 7% 4% 5% 4% 1% 3% 52% 2% 27%
8% 8% 8% 2% 9% 5% 57%
Mason-Dixon Archived August 9, 2016, at the Wayback Machine May 31–June 2, 2016 400 ± 5% 17% 10% 13% 9% 2% 49%
News 13/Bay News 9 March 4–6, 2016 724 ± 3.7% 1% 11% 18% 4% 9% 7% 50%
Washington Post/Univision March 2–5, 2016 450 ± 5.5% 0% 6% 5% 6% 2% 81%
Public Policy Polling February 24–25, 2016 464 ± 4.6% 14% 26% 11% 2% 47%
Florida Atlantic University College of Business January 15–18, 2016 345 ± 5.2% 8% 28% 8% 57%
St. Pete Polls/Saint Petersblog December 14–15, 2015 2,694 ± 1.9% 18% 21% 10% 8% 44%
St. Leo University November 29 – December 3, 2015 147 ± 8% 6% 12% 4% 8% 7% 63%
Public Policy Polling September 11–13, 2015 377 ± 5.1% 15% 18% 14% 52%
Hypothetical polling
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin of
error
Vern
Buchanan
Ben
Carson
Ron
DeSantis
Don
Gaetz
David
Jolly
George
LeMieux
Carlos
López-Cantera
Bill
McCollum
Jeff
Miller
Tom
Rooney
Todd
Wilcox
Other/
Undecided
News 13/Bay News 9 March 4–6, 2016 724 ± 3.7% 56% 44%
Mason-Dixon July 20–24, 2015 500 ± 4.5% 8% 11% 7% 22% 6% 1% 45%
9% 16% 10% 8% 2% 55%
St. Pete Polls July 15, 2015 1,074 ± 3.0% 9% 22% 11% 12% 46%
Gravis Marketing June 16—20, 2015 729 ± 3.6% 16% 7% 25% 6% 46%
St. Leo University May 25–31, 2015 425 ± 4.5% 6% 4% 6% 3% 7% 16% 8% 43%
Mason-Dixon Apr. 14–16, 2015 425 ± 4.8% 7% 4% 1% 8% 3% 4% 20% 5% 48%
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin of
error
Jeff
Atwater
Pam
Bondi
Carlos
López-Cantera
Adam
Putnam
Allen
West
Other/
Undecided
Public Policy Polling March 19–22, 2015 425 ± 4.8% 12% 25% 8% 38% 18%
41% 15% 43%
Gravis Marketing February 24–25, 2015 513 ± 4% 9% 36% 12% 43%
Public Policy Polling September 4–7, 2014 818 ± 3.4% 17% 38% 16% 29%

Results[]

Republican primary results[123]
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican Marco Rubio (incumbent) 1,029,830 71.99%
Republican Carlos Beruff 264,427 18.49%
Republican Dwight Young 91,082 6.37%
Republican Ernie Rivera 45,153 3.16%
Total votes 1,430,492 100.00%

Democratic primary[]

Candidates[]

Declared[]

  • Rocky De La Fuente, businessman, candidate for president in 2016, and American Delta Party and Reform Party nominee for president in 2016[124]
  • Alan Grayson, U.S. Representative[125]
  • Pam Keith, attorney, former Judge Advocate in the U.S. Navy, and daughter of former Ambassador Kenton Keith[126][127]
  • Reginald Luster, attorney[128]
  • Patrick Murphy, U.S. Representative[129]

Withdrawn[]

  • Lateresa Jones, life coach and independent candidate for lieutenant governor in 2014 (running as an Independent)[130][131]

Declined[]

  • Bob Buckhorn, Mayor of Tampa[46][132]
  • Kathy Castor, U.S. Representative[133]
  • Charlie Crist, former Republican Governor of Florida, independent candidate for the U.S. Senate in 2010 and Democratic nominee for governor in 2014 (running for the U.S. House of Representatives)[134]
  • Ted Deutch, U.S. Representative (running for re-election)[135]
  • Buddy Dyer, Mayor of Orlando[46]
  • Dan Gelber, former Minority Leader of the Florida House of Representatives, former state senator and nominee for Florida Attorney General in 2010[136][137]
  • Andrew Gillum, Mayor of Tallahassee[138][139]
  • Philip Levine, Mayor of Miami Beach[140]
  • Debbie Wasserman Schultz, U.S. Representative and former Chair of the Democratic National Committee (running for re-election)[141]

Endorsements[]

Alan Grayson
Politicians
  • Dennis Kucinich, former US Representative from Ohio's 10th District and Presidential Candidate in 2004 & 2008[142]
Activists
  • Jane Kleeb, Executive Director of BOLD Nebraska[143]
  • Carl Pope, former Executive Director of Sierra Club[144]
Labor unions
  • CWA – Communications Workers of America[145]
Organizations
  • People for the American Way[146]
  • Progressive Democrats of America Florida Chapter[147]
Pam Keith
Newspaper Editorial Boards
Patrick Murphy
Presidents
  • Barack Obama, 44th President of the United States[148]
Vice Presidents
  • Joe Biden, 47th Vice President of the United States[148]
U.S. Cabinet Members and Cabinet-level officials
  • Hillary Clinton, 67th United States Secretary of State, 2008 presidential candidate and 2016 presidential nominee[149]
U.S. Senators
  • Cory Booker, New Jersey[150]
  • Sherrod Brown, Ohio[151]
  • Bob Casey, Pennsylvania[151]
  • Al Franken, Minnesota[152]
  • Bob Graham, Florida (former United States senator; and former Governor of Florida)[153]
  • Martin Heinrich, New Mexico[154]
  • Tim Kaine, Virginia[154]
  • Amy Klobuchar, Minnesota[155]
  • Claire McCaskill, Missouri[151]
  • Chris Murphy, Connecticut[156]
  • Bill Nelson, Florida[151]
  • Harry Reid, Nevada[157]
  • Brian Schatz, Hawaii[154]
  • Chuck Schumer, New York[151]
  • Jon Tester, Montana[151]
  • Sheldon Whitehouse, Rhode Island[154]
U.S. Representatives
  • Pete Aguilar, California[158]
  • Joyce Beatty, Ohio[158]
  • Don Beyer, Virginia[158]
  • John Carney, Delaware[158]
  • Andre Carson, Indiana[158]
  • David Cicilline, Rhode Island[158]
  • Katherine Clark, Massachusetts[158]
  • Bonnie Watson Coleman, New Jersey[158]
  • Gerry Connolly, Virginia[158]
  • Joe Crowley, New York[158]
  • Ted Deutch, Florida[159]
  • John Delaney, Maryland[158]
  • Elizabeth Esty, Connecticut[158]
  • Barney Frank, Massachusetts (former)[155]
  • Lois Frankel, Florida[160]
  • Marcia Fudge, Ohio[158]
  • Tulsi Gabbard, Hawaii[158]
  • Michelle Lujan Grisham, New Mexico[158]
  • Janice Hahn, California[158]
  • Alcee Hastings, Florida[161]
  • Denny Heck, Washington[158]
  • Jim Himes, Connecticut[158]
  • Jared Huffman, California[158]
  • Steve Israel, New York[158]
  • Bill Keating, Massachusetts[158]
  • Dan Kildee, Michigan[158]
  • Derek Kilmer, Washington[158]
  • Annie Kuster, New Hampshire[158]
  • Carolyn Maloney, New York[158]
  • Sean Patrick Maloney, New York[158]
  • Jerry McNerney, California[158]
  • Grace Meng, New York[158]
  • Seth Moulton, Massachusetts[158]
  • Beto O'Rourke, Texas[158]
  • Bill Pascrell, New Jersey[158]
  • Donald Payne, Jr., New Jersey[158]
  • Ed Perlmutter, Colorado[158]
  • Scott Peters, California[158]
  • Kathleen Rice, New York[158]
  • Cedric Richmond, Louisiana[158]
  • Raul Ruiz, California[158]
  • Jan Schakowsky, Illinois[158]
  • Terri Sewell, Alabama[158]
  • Kyrsten Sinema, Arizona[158]
  • Jackie Speier, California[158]
  • Eric Swalwell, California[158]
  • Mark Takano, California[158]
  • Juan Vargas, California[158]
  • Marc Veasey, Texas[158]
  • Filemon Vela, Texas[158]
  • Frederica Wilson, Florida[162]
Statewide officials
  • Charlie Crist, former Republican Governor of Florida, Independent candidate for U.S. Senate in 2010 and Democratic nominee for Governor in 2014[163]
  • Nan Rich, former State Senator and Democratic candidate for Governor in 2014[164]
  • Alex Sink, former Chief Financial Officer of Florida, nominee for Governor in 2010 and nominee for Florida's 13th congressional district in 2014[165]
State legislators
  • Joseph Abruzzo, State Senator (D-Wellington)[166]
  • Bruce Antone, State Representative (D-Orlando)[166]
  • Lori Berman, State Representative (D-Lantana)[166]
  • Jeff Clemens, State Senator (D-Lake Worth)[166]
  • Janet Cruz, State Representative (D-Tampa)[166]
  • Dwight Dudley, State Representative (D-St. Petersburg)[166]
  • Katie Edwards, State Representative (D-Plantation)[166]
  • Reggie Fullwood, State Representative (D-Jacksonville)[167]
  • Joe Geller, State Representative (D-Aventura)[166]
  • Audrey Gibson, State Senator (D-Jacksonville)[166]
  • Kristin Jacobs, State Representative (D-Pompano Beach)[166]
  • Evan Jenne, State Representative (D-Hollywood)[166]
  • Mia L. Jones, State Representative (D-Tallahassee)[167]
  • Shevrin D. Jones, State Representative (D-West Park)[166]
  • Dave Kerner, State Representative (D-Lake Worth)[166]
  • Larry Lee, Jr., State Representative (D-Port St. Lucie)[166]
  • Gwen Margolis, State Senator (D-Miami Beach)[166]
  • Jared Moskowitz, State Representative (D-Coral Springs)[166]
  • Amanda Murphy, State Representative (D-New Port Richey)[167]
  • Ed Narain, State Representative (D-Tampa)[166]
  • Bobby Powell, State Representative (D-Riviera Beach)[166]
  • Kevin Rader, State Representative (D-Delray Beach)[166]
  • Jeremy Ring, State Senator (D-Parkland)[166]
  • Jose Javier Rodriguez, State Representative (D-Miami)[166]
  • Irving Slosberg, State Representative (D-Boca Raton)[166]
  • Chris Smith, State Senator (D-Fort Lauderdale)[166]
  • Eleanor Sobel, State Senator (D-Hollywood)[168]
  • Cynthia Stafford, State Representative (D-Miami)[167]
  • Richard Stark, State Representative (D-Weston)[167]
  • Dwayne L. Taylor, State Representative (D-Daytona Beach)[166]
  • Alan Williams, State Representative (D-Tallahassee)[139]
Mayors and other municipal leaders
  • Burt Aaronson, former Palm Beach County Commissioner[169]
  • Diane Veltri Bendekovic, Mayor of Plantation[170]
  • Peggy Bell, Mayor of Cutler Bay[171]
  • Mark Bogen, Broward County Commissioner[172]
  • Bob Buckhorn, Mayor of Tampa[173]
  • Skip Campbell, Mayor of Coral Springs[171]
  • William Capote, Mayor of Palm Bay[174]
  • Joyce Cusack, Volusia County Councilwoman[169]
  • Harry Dressler, Mayor of Tamarac[174]
  • Beam Furr, Broward County Commissioner[172]
  • Andrew Gillum, Mayor of Tallahassee[139]
  • Cary Glickstein, Mayor of Delray Beach[170]
  • Derrick Henry, Mayor of Daytona Beach[169]
  • Dale Holness, Broward County Commissioner[172]
  • Scott Israel, Broward County Sheriff[172]
  • Eric Jablin, Mayor of Palm Beach Gardens[170]
  • Richard Kaplan, Mayor of Lauderhill[174]
  • Marty Kiar, Broward County Commissioner[172]
  • Rick Kriseman, Mayor of St. Petersburg[175]
  • Wayne Messam, Mayor of Miramar[171]
  • , Mayor of Wellington[171]
  • Jeri Muoio, Mayor of West Palm Beach[175]
  • Ben Nelson, Jr., Mayor of Bonita Springs[174]
  • Frank Ortis, Mayor of Pembroke Pines[170]
  • Lori Parrish, Broward County Property Appraiser[172]
  • Michael Ryan, Mayor of Sunrise[171]
  • Tim M. Ryan, Mayor of Broward County[172]
  • Jack Seiler, Mayor of Fort Lauderdale[172]
  • Becky Tooley, Mayor of Coconut Creek[171]
  • Shelley Vana, Mayor of Palm Beach County and former state representative[174]
Labor unions
  • AFGE – American Federation of Government Employees[176]
  • AFSCME – American Federation of State, County and Municipal Employees[177]
  • IAM – International Association of Machinists and Aerospace Workers[178]
  • IBT – International Brotherhood of Teamsters[179]
  • International Association of Bridge, Structural, Ornamental and Reinforcing Iron Workers[178]
  • LIUNA – Laborers' International Union of North America[180]
  • SEIU – Service Employees International Union[181]
  • UBC – United Brotherhood of Carpenters and Joiners of America[182]
Organizations
  • Congressional Black Caucus[183]
  • Democratic Senatorial Campaign Committee[184]
  • End Citizens United[185]
  • Florida Alliance for Retired Americans[186]
  • League of Conservation Voters[187]
  • NARAL Pro-Choice America[188]
  • Planned Parenthood[189]
Newspaper Editorial Boards

Polling[]

Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin of
error
Alan
Grayson
Pam
Keith
Lateresa
Jones
Patrick
Murphy
Other/
Undecided
Mason-Dixon Archived September 16, 2016, at the Wayback Machine August 22–24, 2016 400 ± 5% 22% 4% 55% 19%
Florida Atlantic University August 19–22, 2016 364 8% 7% 54% 22%
Florida Chamber of Commerce August 17–22, 2016 258 ± 4.0% 11% 40% 38%
St. Leo University August 14–18, 2016 532 ± 4.5% 17% 8% 48% 27%
Suffolk University Archived August 6, 2016, at the Wayback Machine August 1–3, 2016 194 ± 4.4% 17% 2% 36% 45%
St. Pete Polls August 2, 2016 1,807 ± 2.3% 20% 7% 45% 28%
Bay News 9/SurveyUSA June 25–27, 2016 618 ± 4.0% 21% 10% 30% 35%
Vox Populi Polling (R) June 19–20, 2016 530 ± 4.3% 15% 5% 19% 62%
Targeted Persuasion June 14–16, 2016 862 ± 3.34% 30% 5% 27% 38%
St. Leo University June 10–16, 2016 500 ± 7% 14% 3% 4% 16% 61%
Mason-Dixon Archived August 9, 2016, at the Wayback Machine May 31–June 2, 2016 400 ± 5% 23% 3% 31% 43%
Public Policy Polling Archived April 4, 2016, at the Wayback Machine March 22–23, 2016 829 ? 33% 32% 35%
St. Leo University March 13–17, 2016 540 ± 5% 17% 20% 63%
Mason-Dixon[permanent dead link] March 7–9, 2016 500 ± 4.5% 19% 33% 48%
SurveyUSA March 4–6, 2016 592 ± 4.1% 16% 11% 27% 46%
Bendixon & Amandi/The Tarrance Group March 2–5, 2016 449 ± 6% 19% 27% 54%
Univision March 2–5, 2016 449 ± 6% 29% 36% 35%
Public Policy Polling February 24–25, 2016 388 ± 5% 33% 22% 45%
20/20 Insight LLC* Archived February 28, 2016, at the Wayback Machine ~February 16–18, 2016 646 ± 3.9% 41% 32% 27%
Florida Atlantic University College of Business January 15–18, 2016 371 ± 5% 27% 20% 53%
St. Leo University November 29–December 3, 2015 160 ± 7.5% 7% 4% 6% 17% 55%
Public Policy Polling September 11–13, 2015 368 ± 5.1% 33% 27% 39%
Mason-Dixon July 20–24, 2015 500 ± 4.5% 24% 26% 50%
33% 32% 35%
St. Pete Polls July 15, 2015 1,018 ± 3.1% 30% 8% 23% 39%
Gravis Marketing June 16–20, 2015 881 ± 3.3% 63% 19% 18%
Vox Populi Polling (R)[permanent dead link] June 15–17, 2015 717 ± 3.7% 24% 34% 42%
St. Leo University May 25–31, 2015 535 ± 4.5% 24% 27% 49%
Mason-Dixon April 14–16, 2015 400 ± 5% 14% 23% 63%
Public Policy Polling March 19–22, 2015 371 ± 5.1% 22% 21% 56%
  • * Internal poll for Alan Grayson

Results[]

County results
Democratic primary results[123]
Party Candidate Votes %
Democratic Patrick Murphy 665,985 58.92%
Democratic Alan Grayson 199,929 17.72%
Democratic Pam Keith 173,919 15.40%
Democratic Rocky De La Fuente 60,810 5.38%
Democratic Reginald Luster 29,138 2.58%
Total votes 1,129,781 100.00%

Libertarian primary[]

On October 1, 2015, Adrian Wyllie and Lynn House, chair and vice chair, respectively, of the Libertarian Party of Florida, resigned their seats in protest after the executive committee refused to oust candidate Augustus Invictus from the party. According to Wyllie, Invictus had defended eugenics, called for a new Civil War, and brutally slaughtered a goat, and is not representative of the Libertarian Party. Invictus has refuted these claims, calling Wyllie's accusations, "deliberate misrepresentation[s]."[191]

Candidates[]

Declared[]

  • Augustus S. Invictus, attorney[192]
  • Paul Stanton, IT technician and U.S. Army veteran[193]

Declined[]

  • Roger Stone, political consultant, lobbyist and strategist[194]

Endorsements[]

Paul Stanton
Individuals
  • Will Coley, activist, radio host, and former vice presidential candidate[195]
  • Gary Johnson, former Governor of New Mexico and Libertarian nominee for President in 2016[195][196][197]
  • Marc Allan Feldman, physician and former presidential candidate[195][197]
  • Jim Gray, author, former judge and Libertarian vice presidential nominee in 2012[195][197]
  • Thomas Knapp, writer, founder of the Boston Tea Party (political party), and former Reform Party vice presidential candidate[195][198]
  • John McAfee, CEO of MGT Capital Investments Inc, founder of McAfee Inc and former presidential candidate[195][197][199]
  • Kevin McCormick, former presidential candidate[195][197]
  • Richard Molek, Chair of the Libertarian Party of Lee County[195][200]
  • Darryl W. Perry, activist, author, radio host, lobbyist, former presidential candidate and former Chairman of the Boston Tea Party (political party)[195][197][201]
  • William Weld, former Governor of Massachusetts and Libertarian nominee for Vice President in 2016[195]
Libertarian Party of Florida Affiliates
Organizations
  • Eastern Liberty Alliance PAC[195]
  • Ninjas for Liberty PAC[195]
Augustus Sol Invictus
Individuals
  • Keon A. Grayson, North Central, Miami-Dade County Community Councilman[206]
  • Steve Scheetz, former Chair of the Pennsylvania Libertarian Party[207]
  • Bill Wohlsifer, former candidate for Florida Attorney General[208]

Results[]

Libertarian primary results[123]
Party Candidate Votes %
Libertarian Paul Stanton 2,946 73.48%
Libertarian Augustus Sol Invictus 1,063 26.52%
Total votes 4,009 100.00%

Independent[]

Candidates[]

Declared[]

  • Basil Dalack, attorney and former Tequesta Village Councilman[209][210]
  • Lateresa Jones, life coach and candidate for lieutenant governor in 2014[131]
  • Anton "Tony" Khoury, businessman[211]
  • Steven Machat, music producer[212]
  • Bruce Nathan, physical therapist[213]

No party affiliation[]

Candidates[]

Declared

General election[]

Debates[]

Dates Location Rubio Murphy Stanton Link
October 17, 2016 Orlando, Florida Participant Participant Not Invited Full debate - C-SPAN
October 26, 2016 Davie, Florida Participant Participant Not Invited Full debate - C-SPAN

Predictions[]

Source Ranking As of
The Cook Political Report[216] Lean R November 2, 2016
Sabato's Crystal Ball[217] Lean R November 7, 2016
Rothenberg Political Report[218] Lean R November 3, 2016
Daily Kos[219] Lean R November 8, 2016
Real Clear Politics[220] Tossup November 7, 2016

Polling[]

Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin of
error
Marco
Rubio (R)
Patrick
Murphy (D)
Paul
Stanton (L)
Other Undecided
SurveyMonkey November 1–7, 2016 4,092 ± 4.6% 48% 49% 3%
Quinnipiac University Archived November 7, 2016, at the Wayback Machine November 3–6, 2016 884 ± 3.3% 50% 43% 2% 5%
Alliance/ESA Poll Archived October 22, 2016, at the Wayback Machine November 2–6, 2016 875 ± 4.2% 51% 40% 9%
SurveyMonkey October 31–November 6, 2016 3,574 ± 4.6% 48% 49% 3%
CBS News/YouGov November 2–4, 2016 1,188 ± 3.6% 47% 44% 3% 6%
SurveyMonkey October 28–November 3, 2016 3,356 ± 4.6% 49% 49% 2%
Breitbart/Gravis Marketing November 1–2, 2016 1,220 ± 2.8% 47% 46% 7%
FOX 13 Tampa Bay/Opinion Savvy November 1–2, 2016 603 ± 4.0% 50% 46% 4%
SurveyMonkey October 27–November 2, 2016 2,901 ± 4.6% 49% 48% 3%
CNN/ORC October 27–November 1, 2016 773 LV ± 3.5% 49% 48% 2%
884 RV 50% 47% 3%
Quinnipiac University Archived November 4, 2016, at the Wayback Machine October 27–November 1, 2016 626 ± 3.9% 50% 44% 1% 4%
SurveyMonkey October 26–November 1, 2016 2,715 ± 4.6% 49% 47% 4%
SurveyMonkey October 25–31, 2016 2,809 ± 4.6% 49% 47% 4%
TargetSmart/William & Mary October 25–28, 2016 718 ± 3.4% 49% 43% 7% 1%
Emerson College October 26–27, 2016 500 ± 4.3% 49% 47% ��� 3% 1%
New York Times Upshot/Siena College October 25–27, 2016 814 ± 3.4% 51% 42% 5%
Breitbart/Gravis Marketing October 25–26, 2016 1,301 ± 2.7% 46% 46% 8%
Public Policy Polling October 25–26, 2016 742 ± 3.6% 46% 46% 8%
NBC/WSJ/Marist October 25–26, 2016 779 LV ± 3.5% 51% 43% 4% 2%
990 RV ± 3.1% 50% 42% 4% 3%
St. Leo University October 22–26, 2016 1,028 ± 3.0% 44% 39% 17%
University of North Florida October 20–25, 2016 836 ± 3.6% 49% 43% 8%
Bloomberg/Selzer October 21–24, 2016 953 ± 3.2% 51% 41% 8%
Florida Atlantic University October 21–23, 2016 500 ± 4.3% 46% 42% 12%
Bay News 9/SurveyUSA October 20–24, 2016 1,251 ± 2.8% 45% 41% 6% 8%
CBS News/YouGov October 20–21, 2016 1,042 ± 3.6% 44% 42% 6% 8%
FOX 13 Tampa Bay/Opinion Savvy October 20, 2016 538 ± 4.2% 46% 46% 8%
Google Consumer Surveys October 18–20, 2016 500 ± 4.2% 57% 38% 5%
Associated Industries of Florida October 19, 2016 1,000 ± 3.1% 43% 38% 8% 11%
Florida Chamber of Commerce October 16–19, 2016 507 ± 4.4% 51% 37% 1% 11%
The Times-Picayune/Lucid Archived October 22, 2016, at the Wayback Machine October 17–18, 2016 892 ± 3.0% 45% 44% 11%
Quinnipiac University Archived October 19, 2016, at the Wayback Machine October 10–16, 2016 660 ± 3.8% 49% 47% 4%
Washington Post/SurveyMonkey October 8–16, 2016 1,702 ± 0.5% 51% 45% 4%

Public Policy Polling

October 12–13, 2016 985 ± 3.1% 44% 38% 6% 12%
48% 43% 9%
Breitbart/Gravis Marketing October 11–13, 2016 1,799 ± 2.3% 44% 36% 20%
FOX 13 Tampa Bay/Opinion Savvy October 10–11, 2016 533 ± 4.2% 48% 44% 8%
NBC/WSJ/Marist October 3–5, 2016 700 ± 3.7% 48% 46% 2% 4%
Associated Industries of Florida October 2–5, 2016 600 ± 4.0% 49% 41% 1% 9%
Breitbart/Gravis Marketing October 4, 2016 821 ± 3.4% 44% 40% 16%
Emerson College October 2–4, 2016 600 ± 3.6% 47% 39% 6% 8%
University of North Florida September 27–October 4, 2016 667 ± 3.8% 48% 41% 1% 10%
Quinnipiac University Archived October 6, 2016, at the Wayback Machine September 27–October 2, 2016 545 ± 4.2% 48% 44% 8%
FOX 13 Tampa Bay/Opinion Savvy September 28–29, 2016 619 ± 4.0% 47% 43% 10%
Mason-Dixon Archived October 5, 2016, at the Wayback Machine September 27–29, 2016 820 ± 3.5% 47% 40% 5% 2% 6%
Public Policy Polling September 27–28, 2016 826 ± 3.4% 42% 35% 9% 15%
47% 44% 9%
Suffolk University Archived September 23, 2016, at the Wayback Machine September 19–21, 2016 500 ± 4.4% 43% 34% 2% 4% 17%
Florida Chamber of Commerce September 15–20, 2016 617 ± 4.0% 46% 42% 11%
Monmouth University September 16–19, 2016 400 ± 4.9% 47% 45% 3% 5%
Saint Leo University September 10–16, 2016 502 ± 4.5% 44% 35% 21%
New York Times Upshot/Siena College September 10–14, 2016 867 ± 3.3% 48% 42% 8%
CNN/ORC September 7–12, 2016 788 LV ± 3.0% 54% 43% 1% 2%
886 RV 51% 45% 1% 4%
Global Strategy Group September 6–11, 2016 800 ± 3.5% 47% 45% 8%
JMC Analytics (R) September 7–8, 2016 781 ± 3.5% 43% 38% 4% 15%
Quinnipiac University Archived September 15, 2016, at the Wayback Machine August 31–September 7, 2016 601 ± 4.0% 50% 43% 1% 6%
Public Policy Polling September 4–6, 2016 744 ± 3.6% 40% 37% 10% 13%
Mason-Dixon Archived September 16, 2016, at the Wayback Machine August 22–24, 2016 625 ± 4.0% 46% 43% 11%
iCitizen August 18–24, 2016 600 ± 4.0% 43% 42% 16%
Florida Atlantic University August 19–22, 2016 1,200 ± 2.7% 44% 39% 17%
St. Leo University August 14–18, 2016 1,380 ± 3.0% 46% 38% 16%
Monmouth University August 12–15, 2016 402 ± 4.9% 48% 43% 3% 5%
FOX 13 Tampa Bay/Opinion Savvy August 10, 2016 622 ± 4.0% 45% 43% 12%
Civis Analytics August 9–15, 2016 1,436 ± 2.8% 44% 45% 9%
NBC/WSJ/Marist August 4–10, 2016 862 ± 3.3% 49% 43% 3% 5%
Public Policy Polling Archived August 11, 2016, at the Wayback Machine August 5–7, 2016 938 ± 3.2% 42% 40% 18%
Quinnipiac University Archived August 18, 2016, at the Wayback Machine July 30–August 7, 2016 1,056 ± 3.0% 48% 45% 7%
Suffolk University Archived August 6, 2016, at the Wayback Machine August 1–3, 2016 500 ± 4.4% 46% 33% 21%
JMC Analytics (R) July 9–10, 2016 700 ± 3.7% 40% 33% 5% 21%
NBC/WSJ/Marist July 5–11, 2016 871 ± 3.3% 47% 44% 2% 7%
Quinnipiac University Archived August 15, 2016, at the Wayback Machine June 30–July 11, 2016 1,015 ± 3.1% 50% 37% 1% 8%
Bay News 9/SurveyUSA June 25–27, 2016 1,678 ± 2.4% 43% 43% 7% 8%
Quinnipiac University[permanent dead link] June 8–19, 2016 975 ± 3.1% 47% 40% 13%
Public Policy Polling June 15–16, 2016 508 ± 4.4% 41% 42% 17%
Public Policy Polling June 2–5, 2016 737 ± 3.6% 43% 44% 13%
Associated Industries of Florida April 25–27, 2016 604 ± 5.0% 49% 41% 10%
Public Policy Polling September 11–13, 2015 814 ± 3.4% 46% 40% 14%
Public Policy Polling March 19–22, 2015 923 ± 3.2% 48% 41% 11%
Mason-Dixon March 3–5, 2015 800 ± 3.5% 50% 38% 12%
Public Policy Polling September 4–7, 2014 818 ± 3.4% 46% 41% 12%
Hypothetical polling
with Ron DeSantis
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin of
error
Ron
DeSantis (R)
Alan
Grayson (D)
Other Undecided
Quinnipiac University[permanent dead link] June 8–19, 2016 975 ± 3.1% 33% 41% 1% 24%
Quinnipiac University Archived June 3, 2016, at the Wayback Machine April 27–May 8, 2016 1,051 ± 3.0% 38% 36% 26%
Public Policy Polling February 24–25, 2016 1,012 ± 3.1% 34% 40% 26%
Quinnipiac University Archived October 12, 2015, at the Wayback Machine September 25-October 5, 2015 1,173 ± 2.9% 31% 37% 1% 26%
Public Policy Polling September 11–13, 2015 814 ± 3.4% 37% 36% 28%
Quinnipiac University Archived June 27, 2015, at the Wayback Machine June 4–15, 2015 1,147 ± 2.9% 32% 38% 1% 29%
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin of
error
Ron
DeSantis (R)
Patrick
Murphy (D)
Other Undecided
Quinnipiac University[permanent dead link] June 8–19, 2016 975 ± 3.1% 32% 42% 1% 25%
Quinnipiac University Archived June 3, 2016, at the Wayback Machine April 27–May 8, 2016 1,051 ± 3.0% 35% 36% 29%
Associated Industries of Florida April 25–27, 2016 604 ± 5% 28% 40% 32%
Public Policy Polling February 24–25, 2016 1,012 ± 3.1% 31% 43% 26%
Quinnipiac University Archived October 12, 2015, at the Wayback Machine September 25-October 5, 2015 1,173 ± 2.9% 30% 37% 1% 29%
Public Policy Polling September 11–13, 2015 814 ± 3.4% 35% 40% 25%
Quinnipiac University Archived June 27, 2015, at the Wayback Machine June 4–15, 2015 1,147 ± 2.9% 31% 39% 1% 29%
St. Leo University May 25–31, 2015 535 ± 4.5% 14% 33% 53%
with David Jolly
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin of
error
David
Jolly (R)
Alan
Grayson (D)
Other Undecided
Quinnipiac University[permanent dead link] June 8–19, 2016 975 ± 3.1% 34% 41% 1% 24%
Public Policy Polling June 2–5, 2016 737 ± 3.6% 33% 40% 27%
Quinnipiac University Archived June 3, 2016, at the Wayback Machine April 27–May 8, 2016 1,051 ± 3.0% 37% 35% 28%
Public Policy Polling February 24–25, 2016 1,012 ± 3.1% 38% 35% 26%
Public Policy Polling September 11–13, 2015 814 ± 3.4% 39% 36% 26%
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin of
error
David
Jolly (R)
Patrick
Murphy (D)
Other Undecided
Quinnipiac University[permanent dead link] June 8–19, 2016 975 ± 3.1% 34% 41% 1% 25%
Public Policy Polling June 2–5, 2016 737 ± 3.6% 29% 44% 27%
Quinnipiac University Archived June 3, 2016, at the Wayback Machine April 27–May 8, 2016 1,051 ± 3.0% 34% 37% 29%
Associated Industries of Florida April 25–27, 2016 604 ± 5% 33% 40% 27%
Public Policy Polling February 24–25, 2016 1,012 ± 3.1% 34% 38% 27%
Democracy Corps October 24–28, 2015 400 ± 4.9% 44% 43% 13%
Public Policy Polling September 11–13, 2015 814 ± 3.4% 35% 40% 25%
St. Leo University May 25–31, 2015 535 ± 4.5% 14% 35% 52%
with Carlos Lopez-Cantera
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin of
error
Carlos
López-Cantera (R)
Alan
Grayson (D)
Other Undecided
Quinnipiac University[permanent dead link] June 8–19, 2016 975 ± 3.1% 35% 40% 1% 24%
Quinnipiac University Archived June 3, 2016, at the Wayback Machine April 27–May 8, 2016 1,051 ± 3.0% 37% 37% 26%
Public Policy Polling February 24–25, 2016 1,012 ± 3.1% 35% 38% 26%
Quinnipiac University Archived October 12, 2015, at the Wayback Machine September 25-October 5, 2015 1,173 ± 2.9% 32% 35% 1% 27%
Public Policy Polling September 11–13, 2015 814 ± 3.4% 34% 41% 24%
Quinnipiac University Archived June 27, 2015, at the Wayback Machine June 4–15, 2015 1,147 ± 2.9% 31% 37% 1% 31%
Quinnipiac University Archived April 6, 2015, at the Wayback Machine March 17–28, 2015 1,087 ± 3% 33% 32% 1% 34%
Public Policy Polling March 19–22, 2015 923 ± 3.2% 36% 40% 24%
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin of
error
Carlos
López-Cantera (R)
Patrick
Murphy (D)
Other Undecided
Quinnipiac University[permanent dead link] June 8–19, 2016 975 ± 3.1% 32% 41% 1% 26%
Quinnipiac University Archived June 3, 2016, at the Wayback Machine April 27–May 8, 2016 1,051 ± 3.0% 34% 38% 28%
Associated Industries of Florida April 25–27, 2016 604 ± 5% 31% 42% 27%
Public Policy Polling February 24–25, 2016 1,012 ± 3.1% 31% 40% 29%
Quinnipiac University Archived October 12, 2015, at the Wayback Machine September 25-October 5, 2015 1,173 ± 2.9% 29% 37% 1% 30%
Public Policy Polling September 11–13, 2015 814 ± 3.4% 35% 41% 24%
Quinnipiac University Archived June 27, 2015, at the Wayback Machine June 4–15, 2015 1,147 ± 2.9% 28% 40% 1% 32%
St. Leo University May 25–31, 2015 535 ± 4.5% 15% 30% 56%
Quinnipiac University Archived April 6, 2015, at the Wayback Machine March 17–28, 2015 1,087 ± 3% 31% 35% 1% 33%
Public Policy Polling March 19–22, 2015 923 ± 3.2% 34% 41% 25%
with Jeff Atwater
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin of
error
Jeff
Atwater (R)
Alan
Grayson (D)
Other Undecided
Quinnipiac University Archived April 6, 2015, at the Wayback Machine March 17–28, 2015 1,087 ± 3% 42% 32% 1% 25%
Public Policy Polling March 19–22, 2015 923 ± 3.2% 41% 40% 19%
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin of
error
Jeff
Atwater (R)
Patrick
Murphy (D)
Other Undecided
Quinnipiac University Archived April 6, 2015, at the Wayback Machine March 17–28, 2015 1,087 ± 3% 38% 34% 1% 27%
Public Policy Polling March 19–22, 2015 923 ± 3.2% 41% 39% 20%
Mason-Dixon March 3–5, 2015 800 ± 3.5% 46% 32% 22%
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin of
error
Jeff
Atwater (R)
Debbie
Wasserman
Schultz (D)
Undecided
Mason-Dixon March 3–5, 2015 800 ± 3.5% 45% 35% 20%
with Pam Bondi
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin of
error
Pam
Bondi (R)
Alan
Grayson (D)
Undecided
Public Policy Polling March 19–22, 2015 923 ± 3.2% 45% 42% 13%
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin of
error
Pam
Bondi (R)
Patrick
Murphy (D)
Undecided
Public Policy Polling March 19–22, 2015 923 ± 3.2% 45% 41% 14%
with Don Gaetz
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin of
error
Don
Gaetz (R)
Patrick
Murphy (D)
Undecided
St. Leo University May 25–31, 2015 535 ± 4.5% 9% 36% 55%
with Jeff Miller
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin of
error
Jeff
Miller (R)
Patrick
Murphy (D)
Undecided
St. Leo University May 25–31, 2015 535 ± 4.5% 15% 34% 52%
with Marco Rubio
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin of
error
Marco
Rubio (R)
Alex
Sink (D)
Undecided
Public Policy Polling September 27–29, 2013 579 ± 4.1% 45% 42% 13%
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin of
error
Marco
Rubio (R)
Debbie
Wasserman
Schultz (D)
Undecided
Mason-Dixon March 3–5, 2015 800 ± 3.5% 53% 36% 11%
Public Policy Polling September 4–7, 2014 818 ± 3.4% 47% 43% 9%
Public Policy Polling June 6–9, 2014 672 ± 3.8% 48% 40% 12%
Public Policy Polling September 27–29, 2013 579 ± 4.1% 46% 43% 11%
with Allen West
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin of
error
Allen
West (R)
Alan
Grayson (D)
Undecided
Public Policy Polling March 19–22, 2015 923 ± 3.2% 39% 42% 19%
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin of
error
Allen
West (R)
Patrick
Murphy (D)
Undecided
Public Policy Polling March 19–22, 2015 923 ± 3.2% 39% 41% 20%
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin of
error
Allen
West (R)
Alex
Sink (D)
Undecided
Public Policy Polling September 27–29, 2013 579 ± 4.1% 38% 44% 18%
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin of
error
Allen
West (R)
Debbie
Wasserman
Schultz (D)
Undecided
Public Policy Polling June 6–9, 2014 672 ± 3.8% 41% 40% 19%
Public Policy Polling September 27–29, 2013 579 ± 4.1% 40% 44% 16%
with Todd Wilcox
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin of
error
Todd
Wilcox (R)
Alan
Grayson (D)
Other Undecided
Quinnipiac University[permanent dead link] June 8–19, 2016 975 ± 3.1% 34% 39% 2% 24%
Quinnipiac University Archived June 3, 2016, at the Wayback Machine April 27–May 8, 2016 1,051 ± 3.0% 37% 35% 28%
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin of
error
Todd
Wilcox (R)
Patrick
Murphy (D)
Other Undecided
Quinnipiac University[permanent dead link] June 8–19, 2016 975 ± 3.1% 31% 41% 1% 26%
Quinnipiac University Archived June 3, 2016, at the Wayback Machine April 27–May 8, 2016 1,051 ± 3.0% 33% 38% 27%
with Carlos Beruff
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin of
error
Carlos
Beruff (R)
Alan
Grayson (D)
Other Undecided
Quinnipiac University Archived August 18, 2016, at the Wayback Machine July 30–August 7, 2016 1,056 ± 3.0% 39% 43% 1% 17%
Quinnipiac University Archived August 15, 2016, at the Wayback Machine June 30–July 11, 2016 1,015 ± 3.1% 38% 38% 1% 19%
Quinnipiac University[permanent dead link] June 8–19, 2016 975 ± 3.1% 33% 40% 1% 25%
Public Policy Polling June 2–5, 2016 737 ± 3.6% 32% 41% 28%
Quinnipiac University Archived June 3, 2016, at the Wayback Machine April 27–May 8, 2016 1,051 ± 3.0% 35% 36% 29%
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin of
error
Carlos
Beruff (R)
Patrick
Murphy (D)
Other Undecided
Quinnipiac University Archived August 18, 2016, at the Wayback Machine July 30–August 7, 2016 1,056 ± 3.0% 34% 48% 1% 17%
Quinnipiac University Archived August 15, 2016, at the Wayback Machine June 30–July 11, 2016 1,015 ± 3.1% 34% 40% 1% 19%
Quinnipiac University[permanent dead link] June 8–19, 2016 975 ± 3.1% 31% 43% 1% 26%
Public Policy Polling June 2–5, 2016 737 ± 3.6% 31% 43% 27%
Quinnipiac University Archived June 3, 2016, at the Wayback Machine April 27–May 8, 2016 1,051 ± 3.0% 32% 38% 29%
Associated Industries of Florida April 25–27, 2016 604 ± 5.0% 31% 39% 30%
with Alan Grayson
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin of
error
Marco
Rubio (R)
Alan
Grayson (D)
Other Undecided
iCitizen August 18–24, 2016 600 ± 4.0% 44% 39% 16%
St. Leo University August 14–18, 2016 1,380 ± 3.0% 47% 34% 19%
Monmouth University August 12–15, 2016 402 ± 4.9% 50% 39% 5% 6%
Quinnipiac University Archived August 18, 2016, at the Wayback Machine July 30–August 7, 2016 1,056 ± 3.0% 49% 43% 1% 8%
Suffolk University Archived August 6, 2016, at the Wayback Machine August 1–3, 2016 500 ± 4.4% 45% 31% 24%
JMC Analytics (R) July 9–10, 2016 700 ± 3.7% 41% 33% 4% 22%
Quinnipiac University Archived August 15, 2016, at the Wayback Machine June 30–July 11, 2016 1,015 ± 3.1% 50% 38% 1% 8%
Quinnipiac University[permanent dead link] June 8–19, 2016 975 ± 3.1% 50% 38% 1% 11%
Public Policy Polling June 15–16, 2016 508 ± 4.4% 42% 40% 17%
Public Policy Polling June 2–5, 2016 737 ± 3.6% 43% 38% 19%
Public Policy Polling September 11–13, 2015 814 ± 3.4% 48% 38% 14%
Public Policy Polling March 19–22, 2015 923 ± 3.2% 49% 40% 11%

Results[]

United States Senate election in Florida, 2016 [221]
Party Candidate Votes % ±%
Republican Marco Rubio (incumbent) 4,835,191 51.98% +3.09%
Democratic Patrick Murphy 4,122,088 44.31% +24.11%
Libertarian Paul Stanton 196,956 2.12% +1.66%
Independent Bruce Nathan 52,451 0.56% N/A
Independent Tony Khoury 45,820 0.49% N/A
Independent Steven Machat 26,918 0.29% N/A
Independent Basil E. Dalack 22,236 0.24% N/A
Write-in 160 0.00% 0.00%
Total votes 9,301,820 100.00% N/A
Republican hold

See also[]

  • United States Senate elections, 2016

References[]

  1. ^ "2016 Election Day Dates".
  2. ^ Rubin, Jennifer (August 5, 2013) "Prepping for 2016: Marco Rubio", The Washington Post. Retrieved August 5, 2013.
  3. ^ Feldmann, Linda (September 4, 2013) "2016 contenders: Why Syria is tough for GOP's Marco Rubio", The Christian Science Monitor. Retrieved September 7, 2013.
  4. ^ Sink, Justin (September 6, 2013) "Rubio to tackle future of US, GOP", The Hill. Retrieved September 7, 2013.
  5. ^ Berman, Matt (April 2, 2014). "Marco Rubio Won't Run for Senate in 2016 if He Runs for President". National Journal. Retrieved April 2, 2014.
  6. ^ Parker, Ashley. "Marco Rubio Announces 2016 Presidential Bid". The New York Times.
  7. ^ a b "Marco Rubio tells donors he's running for president in 2016". CBS News. April 13, 2015. Retrieved April 13, 2015.
  8. ^ a b Steve Benen (April 13, 2015). "Marco Rubio rolls the dice". MSNBC. Retrieved April 13, 2015.
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External links[]

Official campaign websites
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