2016 United States Senate election in Maryland

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2016 United States Senate election in Maryland

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  Chris Van Hollen official portrait 115th Congress (cropped).jpg Kathy Szeliga Press Conference (28133161470) (cropped).jpg
Nominee Chris Van Hollen Kathy Szeliga
Party Democratic Republican
Popular vote 1,659,907 972,557
Percentage 60.9% 35.7%

2016 United States Senate election in Maryland results map by county.svg
County results

Van Hollen:      50–60%      60–70%      70–80%      80–90%

Szeliga:      40–50%      50–60%      60–70%      70–80%

U.S. senator before election

Barbara Mikulski
Democratic

Elected U.S. Senator

Chris Van Hollen
Democratic

The 2016 United States Senate election in Maryland took place on November 8, 2016, to elect a member of the United States Senate to represent the State of Maryland, concurrently with the 2016 U.S. presidential election, as well as other elections to the United States Senate in other states and elections to the United States House of Representatives and various state and local elections.

Incumbent Democratic Senator Barbara Mikulski decided to retire after five terms in the Senate.[1] Primary elections were held April 26, 2016, in which Chris Van Hollen and Kathy Szeliga were chosen as the Democratic and Republican party nominees, respectively. In addition, the Green Party chose Margaret Flowers and the Libertarian Party chose Arvin Vohra as their respective nominees.

Van Hollen was heavily favored to win the election. He ultimately won with over 60% of the vote. As typically occurs with the state's elections, most support for the Democratic nominee, Van Hollen, came from the densely populated Baltimore–Washington metropolitan area in central Maryland, while the Republican nominee, Szeliga, did well in the more sparsely populated areas on the Eastern Shore and in Western Maryland, and narrowly won Anne Arundel County, home to the state capital Annapolis, as well as exurban Frederick County.

Background[]

Mikulski first ran for the U.S. Senate in 1974, losing to Republican incumbent Charles Mathias. Mikulski then served in the U.S. House of Representatives from 1977 to 1987 and was elected to the U.S. Senate in 1986, succeeding the retiring Mathias. She was re-elected by large margins in 1992, 1998, 2004 and 2010. Shortly after being sworn in for her fifth term in 2011, she succeeded Margaret Chase Smith as the longest-serving female senator in U.S. history[2] and on March 17, 2012, she became the longest-serving female member of Congress in U.S. history, surpassing Congresswoman Edith Nourse Rogers of Massachusetts, who served from 1925 to 1960.[3] On March 2, 2015, Mikulski announced that she would not run for re-election to a sixth term in office.[1]

In August 2013, Abby Livingston of Roll Call had predicted that a potential retirement by Mikulski would create "chaos" and "blow open Maryland's political bottleneck" because "the state's teeming political Democratic Party talent is backed up in lower offices."[4] Among the ten Democrats who ran in the primary, only two had previously been elected to an office.

Democratic primary[]

Candidates[]

Declared[]

  • Donna Edwards, U.S. Representative[5]
  • Freddy Donald Dickson, Jr.[6]
  • Ralph Jaffe, perennial candidate[6]
  • Theresa Scaldaferri[6]
  • Charles U. Smith, perennial candidate[6]
  • Violet Staley[6]
  • Blaine Taylor[6]
  • Ed Tinus, perennial candidate
  • Chris Van Hollen, U.S. Representative[7]
  • Lih Young, perennial candidate[6]

Declined[]

  • Rushern Baker, Prince George's County Executive (endorsed Chris Van Hollen)[8]
  • Anthony G. Brown, former Lieutenant Governor of Maryland and nominee for Governor of Maryland in 2014 (ran for MD-04)[9]
  • Susan L. Burke, attorney[10]
  • Elijah Cummings, U.S. Representative (ran for re-election)[11][12][13]
  • John Delaney, U.S. Representative (ran for re-election)[14]
  • Peter Franchot, Comptroller of Maryland[15][16]
  • Doug Gansler, former Attorney General of Maryland and candidate for Governor of Maryland in 2014[4][17]
  • Steny Hoyer, U.S. Representative and House Minority Whip (ran for re-election)[18]
  • Kevin Kamenetz, Baltimore County Executive[19]
  • Kathleen Kennedy Townsend, former lieutenant governor of Maryland, nominee for governor in 2002 and nominee for Maryland's 2nd congressional district in 1986[20][21]
  • Barbara Mikulski, incumbent senator[1]
  • Heather Mizeur, former state delegate and candidate for governor in 2014[22][23][24]
  • Martin O'Malley, former governor of Maryland (ran for President)[25][26]
  • Thomas Perez, United States Secretary of Labor and former secretary of the Maryland Department of Labor, Licensing and Regulation[11][25][27]
  • Jamie Raskin, state senator (ran for MD-08)[28]
  • Stephanie Rawlings-Blake, Mayor of Baltimore[29][30][31][32]
  • Dutch Ruppersberger, U.S. Representative (ran for re-election)[33]
  • John Sarbanes, U.S. Representative and son of former U.S. Senator Paul Sarbanes (ran for re-election)[34]
  • Kenneth Ulman, former Howard County Executive and nominee for lieutenant governor in 2014[17][35]
  • Benjamin Jealous, former president and CEO of the NAACP[22][36]
  • Frank Kratovil, former U.S. Representative[37]
  • Kweisi Mfume, former U.S. Representative, former president and CEO of the NAACP and candidate for the U.S. Senate in 2006[29][38]

Debates[]

Dates Location Van Hollen Edwards Link
March 25, 2016 Baltimore, Maryland Participant Participant Full debateC-SPAN

Endorsements[]

Donna Edwards
Federal politicians
  • Carol Moseley Braun, former U.S. Senator (D-IL) and former United States Ambassador to New Zealand[39]
  • Kirsten Gillibrand, U.S. Senator (D-NY)[40]
Statewide politicians
  • Debra Davis, Charles County Commissioner[41]
  • Derrick Davis, Prince George's County Councilmember[42]
  • Doug Duncan, former Montgomery County Executive and former Mayor of Rockville[43]
  • Mel Franklin, Prince George's County Council Chairman[42]
  • Danielle Glaros, Prince George's County Councilmember[42]
  • Andrea Harrison, Prince George's County Councilmember[42]
  • Mary Lehman, Prince George's County Councilmember[42]
  • Karen S. Montgomery, state senator[43][44]
  • Edith Patterson, state delegate and former Charles County Commissioner[41]
  • Obie Patterson, Prince George's County Councilmember and former state delegate[42]
  • Curtis Smith, Indian Head Town Councilman[41]
  • Karen Toles, Prince George's County Councilmember[42]
Other individuals
  • Barbra Streisand[45]
  • Richard Stallman[46]
Organizations
Chris Van Hollen
Federal politicians
  • Beverly Byron, former U.S. Representative (D-MD)[55]
  • Harry Reid, U.S. Senator (D-NV) and Senate Minority Leader[56]
  • Dutch Ruppersberger, U.S. Representative (D-MD)[57]
Governors
Statewide politicians
  • Vanessa Atterbeary, state delegate[59]
  • Rushern Baker, Prince George's County Executive[8]
  • Kumar Barve, state delegate and former majority leader of the Maryland House of Delegates[60]
  • Joanne C. Benson, state senator[61]
  • Roger Berliner, Montgomery County Councilmember[62]
  • Jerry Donald, Frederick County Councilmember[55]
  • Marc Elrich, Montgomery County Councilmember[62]
  • Jessica Fitzwater, Frederick County Councilmember[55]
  • Nancy Floreen, Montgomery County Councilmember and former Mayor of Garrett Park[62]
  • Brian Frosh, Attorney General of Maryland[63]
  • Jan Gardner, Frederick County Executive[55]
  • James W. Gilchrist, state delegate[60]
  • Guy Guzzone, state senator[59]
  • Sheila E. Hixson, state delegate[60]
  • Tom Hucker, Montgomery County Councilmember and former state delegate[62]
  • Kevin Kamenetz, Baltimore County Executive[64]
  • Sidney A. Katz, Montgomery County Councilmember and former Mayor of Gaithersburg[62]
  • Delores G. Kelley, state senator[59]
  • Kathleen Kennedy Townsend, former Lieutenant Governor of Maryland, nominee for governor in 2002 and nominee for Maryland's 2nd congressional district in 1986[21]
  • Marc Korman, state delegate[60]
  • Susan C. Lee, state senator[60]
  • Isiah Leggett, Montgomery County Executive and former chairman of the Maryland Democratic Party[63]
  • George Leventhal, Montgomery County Councilmember[62]
  • Maggie McIntosh, state delegate[65]
  • Heather Mizeur, former state delegate and candidate for governor in 2014[66]
  • David Moon, state delegate[60]
  • Nancy Navarro, Montgomery County Councilmember[62]
  • Jamie Raskin, state senator[60]
  • Craig L. Rice, Montgomery County Councilmember[62]
  • Hans Riemer, Montgomery County Councilmember[62]
  • William C. Smith, state delegate[60]
  • Dana Stein, state delegate[59]
  • Frank S. Turner, state delegate[59]
  • Ronald N. Young, state senator[60]
  • Robert Zirkin, state senator[59]
Other individuals
  • Oscar Ramirez, former Vice Chair of the Maryland Democratic Party[67]
  • Robert Reich, former United States Secretary of Labor[68]
  • Mike Tidwell, Founder and Director of the Chesapeake Climate Action Network[69]
  • Susan Turnbull, former chair of the Maryland Democratic Party[69]
Newspapers
  • The Washington Post[70]
  • The Baltimore Sun[71]
Organizations
  • Teamsters Joint Council No. 55[72]
  • J Street[73]
  • Teamsters Joint Council No. 62[74]
Declined to endorse
Federal politicians
  • Barbara Mikulski, retiring U.S. Senator for this seat (D-MD)
  • Ben Cardin, U.S. Senator (D-MD)[75]
  • Steny Hoyer, U.S. Representative (D-MD) and House Minority Whip[76]
  • Nancy Pelosi, U.S. Representative (D-CA) and House Minority Leader[76]

Polling[]

Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin of
error
Donna
Edwards
Chris
Van Hollen
Other Undecided
Monmouth University April 18–20, 2016 300 ± 5.7% 36% 52% 1% 11%
Public Policy Polling April 15–17, 2016 492 ± 4.4% 33% 42% 25%
Marist College April 5–9, 2016 775 ± 3.5% 38% 44% 18%
Washington Post/University of Maryland Archived April 8, 2016, at the Wayback Machine March 30 – April 3, 2016 539 ± 4.5% 44% 40% 16%
Garin-Hart-Yang Research March 28–30, 2016 604 ± 4.9% 40% 45% 15%
University of Baltimore March 4–9, 2016 400 ± 4.9% 34% 28% 31%
Gonzales Research February 29 – March 4, 2016 411 ± 5.0% 41% 42% 17%
Goucher College February 13–18, 2016 307 ± 5.6% 39% 37% 24%
Gonzales Research January 11–16, 2016 402 ± 5% 36% 38% 24%
University of Baltimore November 13–17, 2015 419 ± 4.8% 19% 28% 40%[13] 13%
31% 45% 24%
Washington Post/University of Maryland October 8–11, 2015 1,006 ± 3.5% 20% 20% 33%[13] 27%
Global Strategy Group (D-Edwards) August 3–9, 2015 600 ± 4% 42% 37% 21%
Mellman Group (D-Cummings) March 19–22, 2015 700 ± 3.7% 23% 22% 29%[13] 27%

Results[]

Results by county:
Map legend
  •   Van Hollen—70–80%
  •   Van Hollen—60–70%
  •   Van Hollen—50–60%
  •   Van Hollen—40–50%
  •   Van Hollen—30–40%
  •   Edwards—50–60%
  •   Edwards—60–70%
Democratic primary results[77]
Party Candidate Votes %
Democratic Chris Van Hollen 470,320 53.2%
Democratic Donna Edwards 343,620 38.9%
Democratic Freddie Dickson 14,856 1.7%
Democratic Theresa Scaldaferri 13,178 1.5%
Democratic Violet Staley 10,244 1.2%
Democratic Lih Young 8,561 1.0%
Democratic Charles Smith 7,912 0.9%
Democratic Ralph Jaffe 7,161 0.8%
Democratic Blaine Taylor 5,932 0.7%
Democratic Ed Tinus 2,560 0.3%
Total votes 884,344 100.0%

Van Hollen won the April 26, 2016 primary in each of Maryland's counties except Prince George's and Charles, where Donna Edwards received more votes. Democratic voters in the city of Baltimore also preferred Edwards.[78]

Republican primary[]

Candidates[]

Declared[]

  • Chris Chaffee, candidate for MD-05 in 2010 and nominee for MD-05 in 2014[6]
  • Sean P. Connor[6]
  • Richard Douglas, attorney, former Deputy Assistant Secretary of Defense and candidate for the U.S. Senate in 2012[79]
  • John Graziani, candidate for MD-04 in 2014[80]
  • Greg Holmes, candidate for MD-04 in 2012 and 2014 and Democratic state senate candidate in 2006[80]
  • Joseph Hooe, small business owner[81]
  • Chrys Kefalas, vice president of executive communications for the National Association of Manufacturers and deputy legal counsel under Governor Bob Ehrlich[82][83][84][85]
  • Mark McNicholas[6]
  • Lynn Richardson[80]
  • Anthony Seda[86]
  • Richard Shawver, candidate for U.S. Senate in 2006[80]
  • Kathy Szeliga, state delegate and House Minority Whip[87]
  • Dave Wallace, businessman and nominee for MD-08 in 2014[80][88]
  • Garry Thomas Yarrington[6]

Declined[]

  • Kendel Ehrlich, former First Lady of Maryland[11]
  • Jeannie Haddaway-Riccio, former state delegate and candidate for lieutenant governor in 2014[89]
  • Mary Kane, former Secretary of State of Maryland and nominee for lieutenant governor in 2010[88][89]
  • Allan Kittleman, Howard County Executive[11]
  • Connie Morella, former U.S. Representative and former United States Ambassador to the Organisation for Economic Co-operation and Development[90]
  • Laura Neuman, former Anne Arundel County Executive[38][91]
  • Boyd Rutherford, Lieutenant Governor of Maryland[11]
  • Michael Steele, former lieutenant governor of Maryland, former chairman of the Republican National Committee and nominee for the U.S. Senate in 2006[16][92]
  • Dan Bongino, former United States Secret Service agent, nominee for the U.S. Senate in 2012 and nominee for Maryland's 6th congressional district in 2014 (moved to Florida)[11][93][94]
  • Ben Carson, author and retired director of pediatric neurosurgery at Johns Hopkins Hospital (running for President)[95]
  • Robert Ehrlich, former governor of Maryland[25][96]
  • Barry Glassman, Harford County Executive[97]
  • Andy Harris, U.S. Representative (running for re-election)[98][99]
  • Larry Hogan, Governor of Maryland[16]
  • Steve Schuh, Anne Arundel County Executive[11][100]

Endorsements[]

Chrys Kefalas
Newspapers
  • The Baltimore Sun[82]
Kathy Szeliga
U.S. Senators (current and former)
  • Mike Lee, Utah[101][102]
  • Trent Lott, Mississippi (former) and Senior Fellow at the Bipartisan Policy Center[103]
U.S. Representatives (current and former)
Individuals
  • Ellen Sauerbrey, former Assistant Secretary of State for Population, Refugees, and Migration[104][106]
Statewide politicians
  • Christopher Adams, Maryland state delegate[104][105]
  • Kathy Afzali, Maryland state delegate[104]
  • Carl Anderton, Maryland state delegate[104][105]
  • Steve Arentz, Maryland state delegate[104]
  • Susan Aumann, Maryland state delegate[104]
  • Gail H. Bates, Maryland state senator[104]
  • Wendell R. Beitzel, Maryland state delegate[104]
  • Jason Buckel, Maryland state delegate[104]
  • MaryBeth Carrozza, Maryland state delegate[104][105]
  • Andrew Cassily, Maryland state delegate[104]
  • Bob Cassily, Maryland state senator[104]
  • Barrie Ciliberti, former Maryland state delegate and current University of Maryland University College professor[104]
  • John W. E. Cluster, Jr., Maryland state delegate[104]
  • Bob Culver, Wicomico County Executive[104][105]
  • Adelaide C. Eckardt, Maryland state senator[104]
  • Robert Flanagan, Maryland state delegate[104]
  • William Folden, Maryland state delegate[104]
  • Jeff Ghrist, Maryland state delegate[104]
  • Glen Glass, Maryland state delegate[104]
  • Robin Grammer, Maryland state delegate[104]
  • George C. Edwards, Maryland state senator[104]
  • Stephen S. Hershey, Jr., Maryland Senate Minority Whip[104]
  • Larry Hogan, Governor of Maryland[104]
  • Kevin Hornberger, Maryland state delegate[104]
  • Michael Hough, Maryland state senator[104]
  • Seth Howard, Maryland state delegate[104]
  • Richard Impallaria, Maryland state delegate[104]
  • Jay Jacobs, Maryland state delegate[104]
  • J. B. Jennings, Maryland Senate Minority Leader[104]
  • Nic Kipke, Minority Leader of the Maryland House of Delegates[104]
  • Trent Kittleman, Maryland state delegate[104]
  • Susan W. Krebs, Maryland state delegate[104]
  • Mike Lewis, Wicomico County Sheriff[105]
  • Bob Long, Maryland state delegate[104]
  • Michael Malone, Maryland state delegate[104]
  • Susan McComas, Maryland state delegate[104]
  • Tony McConkey, Maryland state delegate[104]
  • Mike McKay, Maryland state delegate[104]
  • Herb McMillan, Maryland state delegate[104]
  • Ric Metzger, Maryland state delegate[104]
  • Christian Miele, Maryland state delegate[104]
  • Tari Moore, Cecil County Executive[104]
  • Matthew Morgan, Maryland state delegate[104]
  • Wayne Norman, Maryland state senator[104]
  • Charles Otto, Maryland state delegate[104][105]
  • Neil Parrott, Maryland state delegate[104]
  • Justin Ready, Maryland state senator[107]
  • Edward R. Reilly, Maryland state senator[104]
  • Deb Rey, Maryland state delegate[104]
  • April Rose, Maryland state delegate[104]
  • Sid Saab, Maryland state delegate[104]
  • Johnny Salling, Maryland state senator[104]
  • Andrew A. Serafini, Maryland state senator[104]
  • Haven Shoemaker, Maryland state delegate[104]
  • Bryan Simonaire, Maryland state senator[104]
  • Meagan Simonaire, Maryland state delegate[104]
  • Steve Schuh, Anne Arundel County Executive[104]
  • Audrey Scott, former chair of the Maryland Republican Party[108]
  • David Vogt, Maryland state delegate[104]
  • Steve Waugh, Maryland state senator[104]
  • Christopher West, Maryland state delegate[104]
  • Brett Wilson, Maryland state delegate[104]
  • William Wivell, Maryland state delegate[104]
Organizations
  • American Conservative Union, grassroots conservative organization[109]
  • Citizens United, conservative non-profit organization[110]
  • Maryland Right to Life, pro-life organization[111]
  • RightNOW Women, conservative women's organization[112]
  • VIEWPAC, organization supporting conservative women officials[113]

Polling[]

Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin of
error
Kathy
Szeliga
Richard
Douglas
Barry
Glassman
Chrys
Kefalas
Anthony
Seda
Undecided
Marist College April 5–9, 2016 368 ± 5.1% 20% 13% 9% 57%
Washington Post/University of Maryland Archived April 8, 2016, at the Wayback Machine March 30–April 3, 2016 283 ± 7.5% 15% 9% 11% 46%
University of Baltimore March 4–8, 2016 400 ± 4.9% 6% 1% 2% <1% 79%
University of Baltimore November 13–17, 2015 307 ± 5.6% 15% 9% 8% 5% 4% 59%

Results[]

Republican primary results[77]
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican Kathy Szeliga 135,337 35.6%
Republican Chris Chaffee 52,066 13.7%
Republican Chrys Kefalas 36,340 9.6%
Republican Richard Douglas 29,007 7.6%
Republican Dave Wallace 23,226 6.1%
Republican Sean Connor 21,727 5.7%
Republican Lynn Richardson 20,792 5.5%
Republican John Graziani 16,722 4.4%
Republican Greg Holmes 16,148 4.3%
Republican Mark McNicholas 9,988 2.6%
Republican Joe Hooe 8,282 2.2%
Republican Anthony Seda 3,873 1.0%
Republican Richard Shawver 3,155 0.8%
Republican Garry Yarrington 2,988 0.8%
Total votes 379,651 100.0%

Szeliga won the April 26, 2016 primary in Baltimore City and each of Maryland's counties except Calvert, St. Mary's, Charles, and Prince George's, in which Chris Chaffee received more votes.[78]

Third party and independent candidates[]

Green Party[]

Results[]

Green Party primary results[118]
Party Candidate Votes %
Green Margaret Flowers 125 98.0%
Green None of the above 3 2.0%
Total votes 128 100.0%

Independents[]

  • Greg Dorsey[6]
  • Steve Gladstone[6]
  • Edward Shlikas[6]
  • Kay Young[6]

Libertarian Party[]

  • Arvin Vohra, nominee for MD-05 in 2012 and for MD-04 in 2014[6][119]

General election[]

Candidates[]

  • Margaret Flowers, (G) former pediatrician, healthcare activist and radio host[117]
  • Kathy Szeliga, (R) state delegate and House Minority Whip
  • Chris Van Hollen, (D) U.S. Representative
  • Arvin Vohra, (L) nominee for MD-05 in 2012 and for MD-04 in 2014

Debates[]

Dates Location Van Hollen Szeliga Link
October 26, 2016 Baltimore, Maryland Participant Participant Full debateC-SPAN

Endorsements[]

Chris Van Hollen
Federal politicians
  • Barbara Mikulski, outgoing U.S. Senator for this seat (D-MD)
  • Ben Cardin, U.S. Senator (D-MD)
  • Beverly Byron, former U.S. Representative (D-MD)[55]
  • Harry Reid, U.S. Senator (D-NV) and Senate Minority Leader[56]
  • Steny Hoyer, U.S. Representative (D-MD) and House Minority Whip
  • Dutch Ruppersberger, U.S. Representative (D-MD)[57]
Statewide politicians
  • Vanessa Atterbeary, state delegate[59]
  • Rushern Baker, Prince George's County Executive[8]
  • Kumar Barve, state delegate and former Majority Leader of the Maryland House of Delegates[60]
  • Joanne C. Benson, state senator[61]
  • Roger Berliner, Montgomery County Councilmember[62]
  • Jerry Donald, Frederick County Councilmember[55]
  • Marc Elrich, Montgomery County Councilmember[62]
  • Jessica Fitzwater, Frederick County Councilmember[55]
  • Nancy Floreen, Montgomery County Councilmember and former Mayor of Garrett Park[62]
  • Brian Frosh, Attorney General of Maryland[63]
  • Jan Gardner, Frederick County Executive[55]
  • James W. Gilchrist, state delegate[60]
  • Guy Guzzone, state senator[59]
  • Sheila E. Hixson, state delegate[60]
  • Tom Hucker, Montgomery County Councilmember and former state delegate[62]
  • Kevin Kamenetz, Baltimore County Executive[64]
  • Sidney A. Katz, Montgomery County Councilmember and former Mayor of Gaithersburg[62]
  • M.C. Keegan-Ayer, Frederick County Councilmember[55]
  • Delores G. Kelley, state senator[59]
  • Kathleen Kennedy Townsend, former Lieutenant Governor of Maryland, nominee for governor in 2002 and nominee for Maryland's 2nd congressional district in 1986[21]
  • Marc Korman, state delegate[60]
  • Susan C. Lee, state senator[60]
  • Isiah Leggett, Montgomery County Executive and former chairman of the Maryland Democratic Party[63]
  • George Leventhal, Montgomery County Councilmember[62]
  • Maggie McIntosh, state delegate[65]
  • Heather Mizeur, former state delegate and candidate for governor in 2014[66]
  • David Moon, state delegate[60]
  • Nancy Navarro, Montgomery County Councilmember[62]
  • Jamie Raskin, state senator[60]
  • Craig L. Rice, Montgomery County Councilmember[62]
  • Hans Riemer, Montgomery County Councilmember[62]
  • William C. Smith, state delegate[60]
  • Dana Stein, state delegate[59]
  • Frank S. Turner, state delegate[59]
  • Ronald N. Young, state senator[60]
  • Robert Zirkin, state senator[59]
Other individuals
  • Oscar Ramirez, former Vice Chair of the Maryland Democratic Party[67]
  • Robert Reich, former United States Secretary of Labor[68]
  • Mike Tidwell, Founder and Director of the Chesapeake Climate Action Network[69]
  • Susan Turnbull, former chair of the Maryland Democratic Party[69]
Newspapers
  • The Washington Post[120]
  • The Baltimore Sun[71]
Organizations
  • Teamsters Joint Council No. 55[72]
  • J Street[73]
  • Teamsters Joint Council No. 62[74]
Kathy Szeliga
Governors
U.S. Senators (current and former)
  • Mike Lee, Utah[101][102]
  • Trent Lott, Mississippi (former) and Senior Fellow at the Bipartisan Policy Center[103]
U.S. Representatives (current and former)
Individuals
  • David Bossie, former chief congressional investigator and president of Citizens United[123][124]
  • Carly Fiorina, former CEO of Hewlett-Packard, 2010 nominee for senate in California and 2016 presidential candidate[125]
  • Amie Hoeber, former Deputy Under Secretary of the Army and 2016 congressional candidate for Maryland's 6th congressional district[126]
  • Chrys Kefalas, Vice President of Executive Communications for the National Association of Manufacturers and former Republican candidate for US Senate[127]
  • Ellen Sauerbrey, former Assistant Secretary of State for Population, Refugees, and Migration[104][106]

c* Audrey Scott, former chair of the Maryland Republican Party[108]

  • Michael Steele, former lieutenant governor of Maryland and former chair of the Republican National Committee[128]
  • Diana Waterman, chairwoman of the Maryland Republican Party[126]
Statewide politicians
  • Christopher Adams, Maryland state delegate[104][105]
  • Kathy Afzali, Maryland state delegate[104]
  • Carl Anderton, Maryland state delegate[104][105]
  • Steve Arentz, Maryland state delegate[104]
  • Susan Aumann, Maryland state delegate[104]
  • Gail H. Bates, Maryland state senator[104]
  • Wendell R. Beitzel, Maryland state delegate[104]
  • Jason Buckel, Maryland state delegate[104]
  • MaryBeth Carrozza, Maryland state delegate[104][105]
  • Andrew Cassily, Maryland state delegate[104]
  • Bob Cassily, Maryland state senator[104]
  • Barrie Ciliberti, former Maryland state delegate and current University of Maryland University College professor[104]
  • John W. E. Cluster, Jr., Maryland state delegate[104]
  • Bob Culver, Wicomico County Executive[104][105]
  • Adelaide C. Eckardt, Maryland state senator[104]
  • Robert Flanagan, Maryland state delegate[104]
  • William Folden, Maryland state delegate[104]
  • Greg Fox, Howard County Councilman[129]
  • Jeff Ghrist, Maryland state delegate[104]
  • Glen Glass, Maryland state delegate[104]
  • Robin Grammer, Maryland state delegate[104]
  • George C. Edwards, Maryland state senator[104]
  • Stephen S. Hershey, Jr., Maryland Senate Minority Whip[104]
  • Kevin Hornberger, Maryland state delegate[104]
  • Michael Hough, Maryland state senator[104]
  • Seth Howard, Maryland state delegate[104]
  • Richard Impallaria, Maryland state delegate[104]
  • Jay Jacobs, Maryland state delegate[104]
  • J. B. Jennings, Maryland Senate Minority Leader[104]
  • Nic Kipke, Minority Leader of the Maryland House of Delegates[104]
  • Allan H. Kittleman, Howard County Executive[129]
  • Trent Kittleman, Maryland state delegate[104]
  • Susan W. Krebs, Maryland state delegate[104]
  • Mike Lewis, Wicomico County Sheriff[105]
  • Bob Long, Maryland state delegate[104]
  • Michael Malone, Maryland state delegate[104]
  • Susan McComas, Maryland state delegate[104]
  • Tony McConkey, Maryland state delegate[104]
  • Mike McKay, Maryland state delegate[104]
  • Herb McMillan, Maryland state delegate[104]
  • Ric Metzger, Maryland state delegate[104]
  • Christian Miele, Maryland state delegate[104]
  • R. Clayton Mitchell Jr., former Speaker of the Maryland House of Delegates (Democratic)[130]
  • Tari Moore, Cecil County Executive[104]
  • Matthew Morgan, Maryland state delegate[104]
  • Wayne Norman, Maryland state senator[104]
  • Charles Otto, Maryland state delegate[104][105]
  • Neil Parrott, Maryland state delegate[104]
  • Justin Ready, Maryland state senator[107]
  • Edward R. Reilly, Maryland state senator[104]
  • Deb Rey, Maryland state delegate[104]
  • April Rose, Maryland state delegate[104]
  • Sid Saab, Maryland state delegate[104]
  • Johnny Salling, Maryland state senator[104]
  • Andrew A. Serafini, Maryland state senator[104]
  • Haven Shoemaker, Maryland state delegate[104]
  • Bryan Simonaire, Maryland state senator[104]
  • Meagan Simonaire, Maryland state delegate[104]
  • Steve Schuh, Anne Arundel County Executive[104]
  • Audrey Scott, former chair of the Maryland Republican Party[108]
  • David Vogt, Maryland state delegate[104]
  • Steve Waugh, Maryland state senator[104]
  • Christopher West, Maryland state delegate[104]
  • Brett Wilson, Maryland state delegate[104]
  • William Wivell, Maryland state delegate[104]
Newspapers
  • Carroll County Times[131]
Organizations
  • American Conservative Union, grassroots conservative organization[109]
  • Citizens United, conservative non-profit organization[110]
  • Maggie's List, political action committee supporting fiscally conservative women in political office[132]
  • National Federation of Independent Businesses, small business association[133]
  • Maryland Right to Life, pro-life organization[134]
  • National Republican Senatorial Committee, Republican Hill committee for the United States Senate[135]
  • RightNOW Women, conservative women's organization[112]
  • VIEWPAC, organization supporting conservative women officials[113]

Predictions[]

Source Ranking As of
The Cook Political Report[136] Safe D November 2, 2016
Sabato's Crystal Ball[137] Safe D November 7, 2016
Rothenberg Political Report[138] Safe D November 3, 2016
Daily Kos[139] Safe D November 8, 2016
Real Clear Politics[140] Safe D November 7, 2016

Polling[]

Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin of
error
Chris
Van Hollen (D)
Kathy
Szeliga (R)
Other Undecided
SurveyMonkey November 1–7, 2016 1,216 ± 4.6% 64% 33% 3%
SurveyMonkey October 31 – November 6, 2016 1,056 ± 4.6% 64% 33% 3%
SurveyMonkey October 28 – November 3, 2016 851 ± 4.6% 66% 32% 2%
SurveyMonkey October 27 – November 2, 2016 772 ± 4.6% 67% 31% 2%
SurveyMonkey October 26 – November 1, 2016 695 ± 4.6% 66% 31% 3%
SurveyMonkey October 25–31, 2016 740 ± 4.6% 66% 31% 3%
University of Maryland/Washington Post September 27–30, 2016 706 ± 4.0% 58% 29% 5% 6%
Goucher College September 17–20, 2016 514 ± 4.3% 54% 24% 2% 19%
OpinionWorks August 18–30, 2016 754 ± 3.6% 55% 26% 1% 19%
Public Policy Polling April 15–17, 2016 879 ± 3.3% 53% 25% 22%

Results[]

United States Senate election in Maryland, 2016[141]
Party Candidate Votes % ±%
Democratic Chris Van Hollen 1,659,907 60.89% -1.30%
Republican Kathy Szeliga 972,557 35.67% -0.08%
Green Margaret Flowers 89,970 3.30% +2.17%
Write-in 3,736 0.14% +0.03%
Total votes 2,726,170 100.00% N/A
Democratic hold

By county[]

County Szeliga Votes Van Hollen Votes Flowers Votes Totals
Allegany 62.06 18,072 33.52 9,761 4.30 1,253 29,218
Anne Arundel 48.42 128,268 48.30 127,961 3.17 8,389 265,023
Baltimore (City) 12.49 29,306 82.59 193,819 4.71 11,053 234,789
Baltimore (County) 40.29 155,079 56.41 217,151 3.18 12,251 385,044
Calvert 55.41 25,431 40.38 18,534 4.04 1,855 45,996
Caroline 64.24 8,903 28.65 4,596 2.52 349 13,959
Carroll 66.67 60,195 28.97 27,649 2.62 2,370 90,394
Cecil 62.31 27,372 29.58 14,846 3.77 1,654 44,030
Charles 33.14 25,507 63.20 48,994 3.07 2,362 77,068
Dorchester 52.33 7,763 39.55 6,697 2.43 360 14,935
Frederick 49.37 60,516 44.78 57,084 3.92 4,809 122,672
Garrett 76.58 10,210 18.32 2,696 3.07 409 13,433
Harford 60.81 80,355 35.12 47,858 2.85 3,772 132,233
Howard 35.11 55,888 63.26 97,622 3.43 5,459 159,293
Kent 49.93 4,936 45.66 4,709 2.40 237 9,986
Montgomery 21.94 103,401 74.51 354,149 2.81 13,269 471,489
Prince George's 8.95 34,067 88.17 334,265 3.23 12,305 380,782
Queen Anne's 65.06 17,066 30.60 8,472 2.45 640 26,237
St. Mary's 58.53 28,207 42.41 17,980 4.02 1,937 48,289
Somerset 53.60 5,178 35.14 4,277 2.03 196 9,761
Talbot 53.55 10,861 44.21 8,967 2.14 435 20,381
Washington 58.96 37,278 36.87 23,313 4.03 2,545 63,323
Wicomico 52.73 22,027 44.00 18,382 3.12 1,305 41,875
Worcester 60.50 16,731 36.61 10,125 2.73 756 27,753

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External links[]

Official campaign websites (Archived)


Retrieved from ""