Dublin Bay South (Dáil constituency)

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Dublin Bay South
Dáil Constituency
Dublin Dail Eireann Constituencies (2020).png
Constituencies in County Dublin; Dublin Bay South is at the centre-right.
Major settlements
Current constituency
Created2016
Seats4
TDs
  •   Chris Andrews (SF)
  •   Ivana Bacik (Lab)
  •   Jim O'Callaghan (FF)
  •   Eamon Ryan (GP)
City councilDublin City Council
Created from
EP constituencyDublin

Dublin Bay South is a parliamentary constituency that has been represented in Dáil Éireann, the lower house of the Irish parliament or Oireachtas, since the 2016 general election. The constituency elects 4 deputies (Teachtaí Dála, commonly known as TDs) on the system of proportional representation by means of the single transferable vote (PR-STV).

History and boundaries[]

Approximate borders of the Dublin Bay South constituency as of 2021

It was established by the Electoral (Amendment) (Dáil Constituencies) Act 2013.[1] The constituency incorporates the entirety of the former Dublin South-East constituency with the addition of territory from Dublin South-Central, centred on Terenure and Harold's Cross. The constituency was named Dublin Bay South for "reasons of symmetry", with the new Dublin Bay North constituency.[2][3]

The Electoral (Amendment) (Dáil Constituencies) Act 2017 defines the constituency as:[4]

"In the city of Dublin the electoral divisions of:
Kimmage C, Mansion House A, Mansion House B, Pembroke East A, Pembroke East B, Pembroke East C, Pembroke East D, Pembroke East E, Pembroke West A, Pembroke West B, Pembroke West C, Rathfarnham, Rathmines East A, Rathmines East B, Rathmines East C, Rathmines East D, Rathmines West A, Rathmines West B, Rathmines West C, Rathmines West D, Rathmines West E, Rathmines West F, Royal Exchange A, Royal Exchange B, St. Kevin’s, South Dock, Terenure A, Terenure B, Terenure C, Terenure D, Wood Quay A, Wood Quay B."

Voting Patterns[]

In 2021, Dublin Bay South had been characterised as a "Fine Gael heartland" by some of the Irish national media,[5][6] noting the area (as Dublin South-East) was once the seat of Fine Gael leaders John A. Costello and Garrett FitzGerald and their historical performance in the area. However, it has also been the seat of party leaders Ruairi Quinn of the Labour Party, Michael McDowell of the Progressive Democrats, John Gormley of the Green Party as well as Eamon Ryan, also of the Green Party. Dublin Bay South has been called "one of the most liberal constituencies in the country"[7] as well as "one of the wealthiest".[8] As Dublin South East, the area had the highest vote against the introduction of the Eighth Amendment in 1983, and in the 2018 referendum it had the highest vote in favour of repealing it.[9] It has been noted that between the Labour Party, the Green Party, the Social Democrats and Democratic Left, centre-left parties have won at least 29% of the vote in every election in the area between 1981 and 2021.[10]

The constituency has been marked by consistently low-voter turnout, normally coming in at 54%, however, this can be partially attributed to the high rate of residential turnover in the areas of Rathmines and Ranelagh.[11]

As of 2021, half of adults in the constituency have been described as professionals, 57% of individuals have third-level qualifications, and 44% live in privately rented apartments.[11]

TDs[]

Teachtaí Dála (TDs) for Dublin Bay South 2016–
Key to parties
Dáil Election Deputy
(Party)		 Deputy
(Party)		 Deputy
(Party)		 Deputy
(Party)
32nd 2016[12] Eamon Ryan
(GP) 		Jim O'Callaghan
(FF) 		Kate O'Connell
(FG) 		Eoghan Murphy
(FG)
33rd 2020 Chris Andrews
(SF)
2021 by-election Ivana Bacik
(Lab)

Note: The columns in this table are used only for presentational purposes, and no significance should be attached to the order of columns. For details of the order in which seats were won at each election, see the detailed results of that election.

Elections[]

2021 by-election[]

Main article: 2021 Dublin Bay South by-election

A by-election took place on 8 July 2021, to fill the vacancy left by the resignation of Eoghan Murphy.

2021 Dublin Bay South by-election[13][14]
Party Candidate FPv% Count
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9
Labour Ivana Bacik 30.2 8,131 8,134 8,146 8,188 8,308 8,380 8,851 9,474 13,382
Fine Gael James Geoghegan 26.2 7,052 7,054 7,093 7,134 7,147 7,354 7,400 8,265 9,235
Sinn Féin Lynn Boylan 15.8 4,245 4,245 4,246 4,357 4,695 4,779 4,985 5,237  
Green Claire Byrne 8.0 2,157 2,164 2,170 2,197 2,264 2,360 2,610 2,985  
Fianna Fáil Deirdre Conroy 4.6 1,247 1,250 1,256 1,278 1,288 1,380 1,402    
Independent Mannix Flynn 3.3 879 882 894 975 1,003 1,120 1,181    
Social Democrats Sarah Durcan 3.2 849 852 854 886 1,077 1,111      
PBP/Solidarity Brigid Purcell[a] 2.8 759 762 768 818          
Aontú Mairéad Tóibín 2.8 740 745 798 940 958        
Independent Peter Dooley 1.0 261 266 271            
National Party Justin Barrett 0.7 183 186 194            
Independent Dolores Cahill 0.6 169 171 179            
Renua Jacqui Gilbourne 0.6 164 166              
Independent John Keigher 0.1 23                
Independent Colm O'Keeffe 0.1 23                
Electorate: 77,924   Valid: 26,882   Spoilt: 162   Quota: 13,442   Turnout: 27,044 (34.7%)
  1. ^ Purcell is a member of People Before Profit.

2020 general election[]

2020 general election: Dublin Bay South[15][16][17][18]
Party Candidate FPv% Count
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8
Green Eamon Ryan 22.4 8,888              
Sinn Féin Chris Andrews 16.1 6,361 6,412 6,421 6,513 6,658 6,715 7,837 8,797
Fine Gael Eoghan Murphy 16.0 6,346 6,464 6,473 6,489 6,544 6,638 6,767 7,602
Fianna Fáil Jim O'Callaghan 13.8 5,474 5,587 5,597 5,622 5,718 5,977 6,180 7,158
Fine Gael Kate O'Connell 11.7 4,624 4,785 4,795 4,810 4,869 4,891 5,127 6,270
Labour Kevin Humphreys 7.9 3,121 3,355 3,375 3,406 3,516 3,589 4,971  
Social Democrats Sarah Durcan 4.5 1,801 1,988 2,021 2,081 2,158 2,210    
PBP/Solidarity Annette Mooney[a] 2.5 1,002 1,049 1,062 1,145 1,243 1,282    
Independent Mannix Flynn 1.6 645 675 690 753        
Renua Jacqui Gilborne 1.6 634 643 656 802 847      
Independent Peter Dooley 0.7 281 288 317          
Irish Freedom Ben Scallan 0.6 245 248 255          
Independent Norma Burke 0.3 110 116            
Independent John Keigher 0.1 48 50            
Independent Sean O'Leary 0.0 11 12            
Electorate: 76,514   Valid: 39,591   Spoilt: 268 (0.7%)   Quota: 7,919   Turnout: 39,759 (52.0%)
  1. ^ Mooney was a member of People Before Profit.

2016 general election[]

2016 general election: Dublin Bay South[19][12]
Party Candidate FPv% Count
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8
Fine Gael Eoghan Murphy 16.5 6,567 6,595 6,661 6,693 6,873 7,860 8,023  
Fine Gael Kate O'Connell 13.6 5,399 5,416 5,483 5,527 5,773 6,324 6,446 6,547
Fianna Fáil Jim O'Callaghan 11.5 4,575 4,596 4,674 4,744 4,949 5,989 6,678 6,921
Green Eamon Ryan 11.4 4,529 4,631 4,929 5,277 6,605 7,560 8,788  
Renua Lucinda Creighton 10.7 4,229 4,252 4,385 4,545 4,820      
Labour Kevin Humphreys 10.6 4,205 4,227 4,378 4,480 4,992 5,391 5,973 6,221
Sinn Féin Chris Andrews 9.5 3,774 3,796 3,957 4,511 4,888 5,197    
Social Democrats Glenna Lynch 6.7 2,652 2,694 2,949 3,527        
AAA–PBP Annette Mooney 4.4 1,728 1,819 2,149          
Independent Mannix Flynn 3.8 1,525 1,648            
Independent Alan MacStiofain 0.6 235              
Independent Eoin Tierney 0.4 151              
Independent William DJ Gorman 0.2 97              
Independent John Keigher 0.1 37              
Electorate: 73,066   Valid: 39,703   Spoilt: 313 (0.8%)   Quota: 7,941   Turnout: 40,016 (54.8%)

See also[]

References[]

  1. ^ Electoral (Amendment) (Dáil Constituencies) Act, Schedule (No. 7 of 2013, Schedule). 20 March 2013. Act of the Oireachtas. Retrieved 5 October 2021, Irish Statute Book.
  2. ^ "Constituency Commission Report 2012 – Dublin area" (PDF). Constituency Commission. 21 June 2012. Retrieved 7 April 2013.
  3. ^ "Commission urges constituency boundary changes and reduction in TDs". RTÉ News. 21 June 2012. Retrieved 14 July 2012.
  4. ^ Electoral (Amendment) (Dáil Constituencies) Act, Schedule (No. 39 of 2017, Schedule). 23 December 2017. Act of the Oireachtas. Retrieved 5 October 2021, Irish Statute Book.
  5. ^ Hurley, Sandra (1 May 2021). "Runners and riders in Dublin Bay South by-election". RTE.
  6. ^ O'Halloran, Marie (19 January 2021). "Election 2020: Dublin Bay South constituency profile". Irish Times.
  7. ^ Molony, Senan (6 May 2021). "Jim O'Callaghan appointed Fianna Fáil director of elections for Dublin Bay South by-election". Irish Independent. Retrieved 7 May 2021.
  8. ^ Brennan, Michael (2 May 2021). "Battle of the barristers: Michael Brennan on the potential candidates in the Dublin Bay South by-election".
  9. ^ "JAMES GEOGHEGAN'S NEW CLOTHES". The Phoenix. 26 May 2021. Retrieved 27 May 2021.
  10. ^ Cunningham, Kevin (13 July 2021). "Column: Lessons from Dublin Bay South". TheJournal.ie. Retrieved 20 July 2021.
  11. ^ a b McGee, Harry. "All to play for in pivotal Dublin Bay South byelection". The Irish Times. Retrieved 26 May 2021.
  12. ^ a b "General election 2016: Dublin Bay South". ElectionsIreland.org. Retrieved 20 February 2016.
  13. ^ "Nominated Candidates - July 2021". Dublin City Returning Officer. Retrieved 24 June 2021.
  14. ^ "By-Election 2021 Results – Dublin Bay South". RTÉ News. Retrieved 9 July 2021.
  15. ^ "Nominated Candidates – Dublin Bay South". Dublin City Returning Officer. Retrieved 22 January 2020.
  16. ^ "General Election 2020 Results – Dublin Bay South". RTÉ News. Retrieved 25 May 2020.
  17. ^ "Dublin Bay South Results 2020". Irish Times. Retrieved 10 February 2020.
  18. ^ "Dublin Bay South: 2020 General Election". Irelandelection.com. Retrieved 25 May 2020.
  19. ^ "Dublin Bay South Results 2016". RTÉ News. Dublin. Archived from the original on 15 March 2019. Retrieved 22 January 2020.
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