2022 Lower Saxony state election

From Wikipedia, the free encyclopedia
  (Redirected from )
2022 Lower Saxony state election
← 2017 9 October 2022
All 137 seats in the Landtag of Lower Saxony (plus overhang and leveling seats)
69+ seats needed for a majority
  Weil, Stephan.jpg Althusmann.jpg
Leader Stephan Weil Bernd Althusmann TBA
Party SPD CDU Green
Leader's seat Hannover-Buchholz Seevetal TBA
Last election 55 seats, 36.9% 50 seats, 33.6% 12 seats, 8.7%
  Stefan Birkner 2017.png 2019-05-09 Jens Kestner AfD MdB by Olaf Kosinsky-1571.jpg
Leader Stefan Birkner Jens Kestner
Party FDP AfD
Leader's seat State-wide List –[a]
Last election 11 seats, 7.5% 9 seats, 6.2%
Incumbent Minister-President and Government

Stephan Weil (SPD)
SPD–CDU



The 2022 Lower Saxony state election will be held on 9 October 2022 to elect the 19th Landtag of Lower Saxony.[1] The current government is a coalition of the Social Democratic Party (SPD) and Christian Democratic Union (CDU) led by Minister-President Stephan Weil.

Background[]

Following the 2017 state election, the incumbent red-green coalition government of minister-president Stephan Weil was 2 seats short of a majority in the Landtag. Due to FDP leader Stefan Birkner ruling out any coalition with SPD or Greens and the Greens ruling out any coalition with CDU and FDP, the only option for a majority government was a grand coalition of SPD and CDU, considering no party wanted to form a coalition with the AfD.[2]

On the 22nd of November 2017 Stephan Weil was reelected as minister-president receiving 104 out of 137 votes as the head of a grand coalition.[3]

Electoral system[]

The Landtag of Lower Saxony is elected using mixed-member proportional representation. Its minimum size is 135 seats. Of these, 87 are elected in single-member constituencies, and the remainder are determined by party lists. Voters have two votes: the "first vote" for candidates within each individual constituency, and the "second vote" for party lists. There is an electoral threshold of 5% of second vote to qualify for seats. Seats are allocated using the d'Hondt method, with additional overhang and leveling seats provided to ensure proportionality. The normal term of the Landtag is 5 years.[4]

Parties[]

The table below lists parties currently represented in the 18th Landtag of Lower Saxony.[5]

Name Ideology Leader(s) 2017 result 2021
Votes (%) Seats Seats
SPD Social Democratic Party of Germany
Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands 		Social democracy Stephan Weil 36.9%
55 / 137
54 / 137
CDU Christian Democratic Union of Germany
Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands 		Christian democracy Bernd Althusmann 33.6%
50 / 137
50 / 137
Grüne Alliance '90/The Greens
Bündnis '90/Die Grünen 		Green politics Anne Kura
Hans-Joachim Janßen 		8.7%
12 / 137
12 / 137
FDP Free Democratic Party of Germany
Freie Demokratische Partei Deutschlands 		Classical Liberalism Stefan Birkner 7.5%
11 / 137
11 / 137
Independents
(factionless) 		Klaus Wichmann (AfD)
Harm Rykena (AfD)
Peer Lilienthal (AfD)
Stefan Henze (AfD)
Christopher Emden (AfD)
Stephan Bothe (AfD)
Jochen Beekhuis (formerly SPD)
Stefan Wirtz (formerly AfD)
Jens Ahrends (LKR)
Dana Guth (LKR) 		Independents[b]
Parteilose 		- -
0 / 137
10 / 137

Opinion polling[]

Party polling[]

Polling firm Fieldwork date Sample
size 		SPD CDU Grüne FDP AfD Linke Others Lead
Infratest dimap 11–16 Nov 2021 1,160 36 23 16 10 7 3 5 13
INSA 12–18 Oct 2021 1,000 39 19 13 12 7 5 5 20
Allensbach 6 Sep–1 Oct 2021 1,100 34 26 15 10 7 4 4 8
2021 federal election 26 Sep 2021 – 33.1 24.2 16.1 10.5 7.4 3.3 5.4 8.9
Wahlkreisprognose 16–26 Aug 2021 1,002 39 20 17 11 5 4 4 19
INSA 3–10 May 2021 1,000 29 26 20 9 7 5 4 3
INSA 22–29 Mar 2021 1,052 30 26 18 9 7 4 6 4
Allensbach 3 Feb–3 Mar 2021 950 27 33 20 6 5 5 4 6
INSA 26 Oct–2 Nov 2020 1,002 27 34 18 6 6 5 4 7
Infratest dimap 6–12 Oct 2020 1,004 27 35 20 4 6 5 3 8
Forsa 19–28 May 2020 1,002 30 32 16 5 5 6 6 2
Forsa 1–8 Feb 2019 1,010 28 30 17 7 8 5 5 2
Infratest dimap 15–20 Nov 2018 1,006 26 28 24 6 9 4 3 2
INSA 7–13 Nov 2018 1,053 26 27 17 10 12 5 3 1
Forsa 8–22 Feb 2018 1,004 33 33 10 8 6 6 4 Tie
2017 state election 15 Oct 2017 – 36.9 33.6 8.7 7.5 6.2 4.6 2.4 3.3

Minister-President polling[]

Polling firm Fieldwork date Sample
size 		Weil, Stephan.jpg Althusmann.jpg None/Unsure Lead
Weil
SPD 		Althusmann
CDU
Infratest dimap 6–12 Oct 2020 1,004 57 23 18 34
Infratest dimap 15–20 Nov 2018 1,006 53 26 21 27

Party competences[]

Polling firm Fieldwork date Sample
size 		Category SPD CDU Grüne FDP AfD Linke Others/None Lead
Infratest dimap 6–12 Oct 2020 1,004 Economy 22 44 7 5 2 1 7 22
Education 29 30 9 4 1 3 10 1
Social Justice 40 19 11 2 2 8 10 21
Environment 15 19 45 1 2 1 9 26
Crime 22 44 3 1 5 2 10 22
Migration 21 31 11 3 6 4 13 10
Agriculture 15 25 36 1 1 1 7 11
Budget 21 46 4 5 2 1 8 25
Solving Biggest Problems 28 35 9 2 3 2 7 7
Infratest dimap 15–20 Nov 2018 1,006 Economy 26 46 6 6 1 1 12 20
Education 29 26 14 3 2 4 19 3
Social Justice 39 16 16 1 2 7 16 23
Environment 16 15 51 3 1 1 12 35
Crime 25 40 4 2 6 2 18 15
Migration 26 23 14 3 6 3 22 3
Agriculture 13 23 44 3 1 1 13 21
Saving Jobs 37 34 6 3 2 2 14 3
Solving Biggest Problems 31 29 12 2 3 1 19 2

References[]

  1. ^ "Nächste Landtagswahl in Niedersachsen". Lower Saxony Landtag. Archived from the original on 2021-06-28. Retrieved 2021-06-27.
  2. ^ "Stephan Weil braucht eine neue Koalition". Zeit Online. Retrieved 18 October 2017.
  3. ^ "Stephan Weil als Ministerpräsident wiedergewählt". Zeit Online. Retrieved 22 November 2017.
  4. ^ Wilko Zicht (20 January 2013). "Wahlsystem Niedersachsen". Wahlrecht.de. Retrieved 28 September 2017.
  5. ^ "Mitglieder des 18. Niedersächsischen Landtages nach Alphabet". Landtag Niedersachsen.
  1. ^ Sits as an MdB for Lower Saxony.
  2. ^ After Stefan Wirtz, Jens Ahrends and Dana Guth, parliamentary leader, left the AfD faction in September 2020, the President of the Landtag of Lower Saxony dissolved the rump AfD faction because it did not meet the minimum requirement of six members.
Retrieved from ""