Opinion polling for the 2018 Turkish general election
In the run up to the 2018 Turkish general election scheduled to take place on 24 June 2018, various organisations carry out opinion polling to gauge voting intention in Turkey. Results of such polls are displayed in this article. These polls only include Turkish voters nationwide and do not take into account Turkish expatriates voting abroad. The date range for these opinion polls are from the previous general election, held on 1 November 2015, to the present day.
Presidential election[]
First round[]
Graphical summary[]
Following candidate selection[]
Date | Pollster | Sample size | Erdoğan | İnce | Akşener | Demirtaş | Karamollaoğlu | Perinçek | Lead #1 | Lead #2 |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
24 June 2018 | Election[a] | – | 52.3 | 30.8 | 7.4 | 8.3 | 0.9 | 0.2 | 21.5 | 22.5 |
23 Jun 2018 | AKAM | – | 44.5 | 28.3 | 13.5 | 11.5 | 2.0 | 0.2 | 16.2 | 14.8 |
14–20 Jun 2018 | [citation needed] | 2,100 | 51.6 | 28.0 | 8.5 | 10.3 | 1.1 | 0.5 | 23.6 | 17.7 |
17–19 Jun 2018 | ORC | 4,250 | 52.7 | 29.2 | 8.6 | 8.4 | 0.9 | 0.2 | 23.5 | 17.7 |
16–17 Jun 2018 | Gezici | 1,812 | 48.2 | 29.1 | 11.4 | 10.0 | 1.2 | 0.1 | 19.1 | 17.7 |
14 Jun 2018 | A pre-election ban on opinion polling comes into effect, ten days before polling day[1] | |||||||||
13 Jun 2018 | Plus Mayak | – | 45.8 | 28.9 | 13.1 | 10.2 | 1.8 | 0.2 | 16.9 | 15.8 |
13 Jun 2018 | AKAM | 2,460 | 44.5 | 29.0 | 14.5 | 9.3 | 2.5 | 0.2 | 15.5 | 15.5 |
6–13 Jun 2018 | REMRES | 5,674 | 43.6 | 29.5 | 12.3 | 11.4 | 3.0 | 0.2 | 14.1 | 17.2 |
11 Jun 2018 | CHP | – | 45.6 | 32.2 | 8.2 | 10.7 | 3.1 | 0.2 | 13.4 | 24.0 |
9-10 Jun 2018 | Konda | 2,721 | 51.9 | 28.0 | 10.2 | 9.0 | 0.7 | 0.1 | 23.9 | 17.8 |
8–11 Jun 2018 | Mediar | 2,410 | 48.0 | 29.9 | 9.2 | 10.2 | 2.1 | 0.8 | 18.1 | 19.7 |
7–11 Jun 2018 | Foresight | 500 | 50.8 | 30.1 | 8.0 | 10.5 | 0.4 | N/A | 20.7 | 19.6 |
6 Jun 2018 | İYİ Party | – | 42.0 | 22.4 | 22.7 | 11.0 | 1.9 | 19.3 | 0.3 | |
1–6 Jun 2018 | MAK | 5,400 | 51.5 | 24.4 | 12.5 | 8.8 | 2.2 | 0.6 | 27.1 | 11.9 |
2–3 Jun 2018 | Gezici | 2,814 | 47.1 | 27.8 | 14.1 | 10.0 | 0.6 | 0.4 | 19.3 | 13.7 |
29 May–3 Jun 2018 | SONAR | 3,000 | 48.3 | 31.4 | 9.5 | 8.2 | 2.1 | 0.5 | 16.9 | 21.9 |
28 May–3 Jun 2018 | REMRES | 4,482 | 41.7 | 26.1 | 16.7 | 11.4 | 3.9 | 0.2 | 15.6 | 9.4 |
28 May–1 Jun 2018 | ORC | 3,410 | 53.4 | 23.8 | 11.5 | 8.7 | 2.1 | 0.5 | 29.6 | 12.3 |
26–31 May 2018 | PİAR | 2,620 | 39.7 | 26.0 | 21.2 | 11.1 | 1.8 | 0.1 | 13.7 | 5.2 |
25–26 May 2018 | Gezici | 6,811 | 48.7 | 25.8 | 14.4 | 10.1 | 0.6 | 0.4 | 22.9 | 11.4 |
1–28 May 2018 | Konsensus | 2,000 | 47.9 | 26.8 | 14.8 | 9.7 | 0.7 | 0.1 | 21.1 | 12.0 |
22–23 May 2018 | Mediar | 4,268 | 43.5 | 22.2 | 19.3 | 12.8 | 1.6 | 0.6 | 21.3 | 2.9 |
17–23 May 2018 | REMRES | 4,276 | 42.2 | 24.6 | 16.9 | 12.3 | 3.8 | 0.2 | 17.6 | 7.7 |
13–20 May 2018 | MAK | 5,000 | 51.4 | 23.9 | 12.3 | 9.6 | 2.2 | 0.6 | 27.5 | 11.6 |
7–17 May 2018 | SONAR | 3,000 | 42.0 | 21.9 | 21.0 | 11.0 | 2.1 | 2.0 | 20.1 | 0.9 |
25 Apr–13 May 2018 | Politic's | 2,650 | 52.2 | 25.5 | 12.3 | 8.5 | 1.1 | 0.4 | 26.7 | 13.2 |
6–9 May 2018 | REMRES | 3,653 | 42.1 | 24.1 | 17.1 | 12.6 | 3.9 | 0.2 | 18.0 | 7.0 |
10 Aug 2014 | Election[a] | – | 51.8 (Erdoğan) |
38.4 (İhsanoğlu) |
N/A | 9.8 (Demirtaş) |
N/A | N/A | 13.4 | 28.6 |
Prior to candidate selection[]
Date | Pollster | Sample size | AKP | CHP | MHP | HDP | İYİ | SP | Others | Lead |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
2 May 2018 | REMRES | 2,586 | 41.2 (Erdoğan) |
21.7 (generic) |
N/A | 12.5 (Demirtaş) |
20.6 (Akşener) |
3.9 (Karamollaoğlu) |
0.1 | 19.5 |
1 May 2018 | PİAR | – | 41.1 (Erdoğan) |
20.2 (generic) |
11.4 (Demirtaş) |
24.6 (Akşener) |
2.5 (Karamollaoğlu) |
0.2 | 16.5 | |
26–29 Apr 2018 | Mediar | 2,660 | 42.1 (Erdoğan) |
20.1 (generic) |
13.4 (Demirtaş) |
19.7 (Akşener) |
3.1 (Karamollaoğlu) |
1.6 | 22.0 | |
24–25 Apr 2018 | Konsensus | 1,000 | 47.6 (Erdoğan) |
20.5 (İnce) |
7.8 (Demirtaş) |
21.9 (Akşener) |
2.1 (Karamollaoğlu) |
0.1 (Perinçek) |
25.7 | |
14–15 Apr 2018 | [citation needed] | 3,864 | 43.5 (Erdoğan) |
9.7 (Kılıçdaroğlu) |
11.1 (Türk) |
18.6 (Akşener) |
1.5 (Karamollaoğlu) |
9.5 (Başbuğ) 5.3 (Gül) 0.9 (Others) |
24.9 | |
4–14 Feb 2018 | Ankara Analitik | 1,619 | 46.4 (Erdoğan) |
12.7 (Kılıçdaroğlu) |
N/A | 12.7 (Akşener) |
N/A | 15.2 (Gül) 7.0 (Şener) |
33.7 | |
4–14 Feb 2018 | PİAR | 2,440 | 43.2 (Erdoğan) |
24.0 (generic) |
13.1 (generic) |
18.2 (Akşener) |
1.5 | 19.2 | ||
14 Jan 2018 | SONAR | 3,000 | 46.4 (Erdoğan) |
22.5 (generic) |
9.5 (generic) |
18.2 (Akşener) |
3.4 | 23.9 | ||
10 Jan 2018 | Konsensus | – | 48.1 (generic) |
25.1 (generic) |
11.9 (generic) |
9.6 (generic) |
2.9 (generic) |
2.4 | 23.0 | |
10–15 Oct 2017 | Gezici | 4,638 | 47.8 (Erdoğan) |
14.0 (Kılıçdaroğlu) |
N/A | N/A | 38.0 (Akşener) |
N/A | 9.8 | |
27 Sep 2017 | SONAR | – | 48.2 (Erdoğan) |
30.1 (generic) |
8.8 (generic) |
12.9 (Akşener) |
18.1 | |||
10 Aug 2014 | Election[a] | – | 51.8 (Erdoğan) |
38.4 (İhsanoğlu) |
9.8 (Demirtaş) |
N/A | N/A | N/A | 13.4 |
Abroad[]
Date | Pollster | Country | Sample size | Erdoğan | İnce | Akşener | Demirtaş | Karamollaoğlu | Perinçek | Lead #1 | Lead #2 |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1-5 Jun 2018 | TAVAK | ![]() |
1,184 | 48.2 | 28.7 | 9.2 | 10.2 | 2.8 | 0.9 | 19.5 | 18.5 |
Second round[]
Official candidates[]
Erdoğan vs. Akşener[]
Date | Pollster | Sample size | Erdoğan | Akşener | Lead |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
17–23 May 2018 | REMRES | 4,276 | 51.2 | 48.8 | 2.4 |
6–9 May 2018 | REMRES | 3,653 | 50.8 | 49.2 | 1.6 |
2 May 2018 | REMRES | 2,586 | 50.1 | 49.9 | 0.2 |
1 May 2018 | PİAR | – | 49.5 | 50.5 | 1.0 |
24–25 Apr 2018 | Konsensus | 1,000 | 52.4 | 47.6 | 4.8 |
14–15 Apr 2018 | [citation needed] | 3,864 | 52.2 | 47.8 | 4.4 |
22–26 Mar 2018 | ORC | 5,620 | 59.6 | 40.4 | 19.2 |
6–18 Mar 2018 | PİAR | 5,620 | 50.5 | 49.5 | 1.0 |
2–17 Dec 2017 | Gezici | 4,238 | 51.4 | 48.6 | 2.8 |
Erdoğan vs. İnce[]
Date | Pollster | Sample size | Erdoğan | İnce | Lead |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
29 May–3 Jun 2018 | SONAR | 3,000 | 53.7 | 46.3 | 7.4 |
17–23 May 2018 | REMRES | 4,276 | 50.2 | 49.8 | 0.4 |
6–9 May 2018 | REMRES | 3,653 | 50.3 | 49.7 | 0.6 |
24–25 Apr 2018 | Konsensus | 1,000 | 55.1 | 44.9 | 10.2 |
Hypothetical candidates[]
Parliamentary election[]
Poll results are listed in the tables below in reverse chronological order, showing the most recent first, and using the date the survey's fieldwork was done, as opposed to the date of publication. If such date is unknown, the date of publication is given instead. The highest percentage figure in each polling survey is displayed in bold, and the background shaded in the leading party's colour. In the instance that there is a tie, then no figure is shaded. The lead column on the right shows the percentage-point difference between the two parties with the highest figures. When a specific poll does not show a data figure for a party, the party's cell corresponding to that poll is shown empty.
Graphical summary[]
Party vote[]
Date | Pollster | Sample size | AKP | CHP | MHP | HDP | İYİ | SP | Others | Lead |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
24 June 2018 | Election[a] | – | 42.8 | 22.8 | 11.2 | 11.5 | 10.1 | 1.3 | 0.7 | 20 |
14–20 Jun 2018 | [citation needed] | 2,100 | 46.7 | 26.3 | 6.9 | 11.2 | 6.8 | 1.0 | 1.2 | 20.4 |
17–19 Jun 2018 | ORC | 4,250 | 44.2 | 24.5 | 10.5 | 11.9 | 7.4 | 0.9 | 0.6 | 19.7 |
16–17 Jun 2018 | Gezici | 1,812 | 43.6 | 26.7 | 5.3 | 12.1 | 10.1 | 1.8 | 0.4 | 16.9 |
14 Jun 2018 | A pre-election ban on opinion polling comes into effect, ten days before polling day[1] | |||||||||
13 Jun 2018 | Plus Mayak | – | 39.9 | 25.4 | 7.4 | 12.3 | 11.4 | 2.6 | 1.0 | 14.5 |
11 Jun 2018 | CHP | – | 40.3 | 27.2 | 4.7 | 12.3 | 10.8 | 4.4 | 0.3 | 13.1 |
8–11 Jun 2018 | Mediar | 2,410 | 41.5 | 26.3 | 5.8 | 12.1 | 10.7 | 2.3 | 1.3 | 15.2 |
8–11 Jun 2018 | Metropoll | 2,888 | 45.0 | 25.0 | 6.0 | 12.3 | 13.1 | 3.4 | 0.2 | 20 |
9–10 Jun 2018 | Konda | 2,721 | 45.5 | 26.1 | 7.3 | 11.6 | 8.5 | 1.0 | 19.4 | |
7 Jun 2018 | Gezici | – | 43.5 | 25.7 | 6.2 | 11.1 | 13.0 | N/A | 0.5 | 17.8 |
1–6 Jun 2018 | MAK | 5,400 | 43.5 | 24.2 | 9.2 | 9.2 | 10.3 | 2.2 | 1.5 | 19.3 |
28 May–3 Jun 2018 | REMRES | 4,482 | 40.0 | 23.5 | 5.1 | 10.4 | 15.2 | 4.2 | 1.6 | 16.5 |
29 May–1 Jun 2018 | Sonar | 3,000 | 42.2 | 28.2 | 7.1 | 10.0 | 9.2 | 2.1 | 1.2 | 14.0 |
26–31 May 2018 | PİAR | 2,620 | 34.8 | 23.4 | 7.3 | 14.1 | 17.2 | 2.5 | 0.7 | 11.4 |
1–28 May 2018 | Konsensus | 2,000 | 43.8 | 27.4 | 7.4 | 9.7 | 11.2 | 0.3 | 0.2 | 16.4 |
23–26 May 2018 | İEA | 1,500 | 40.7 | 22.7 | 3.8 | 12.1 | 15.7 | 2.5 | 2.5 | 18.0 |
22–23 May 2018 | Mediar | 4,268 | 39.6 | 22.6 | 5.3 | 11.4 | 17.6 | 2.3 | 1.2 | 17.0 |
17–23 May 2018 | REMRES | 4,276 | 40.0 | 23.3 | 5.3 | 10.4 | 15.1 | 4.2 | 1.7 | 16.7 |
13–20 May 2018 | MAK | 5,000 | 45.0 | 23.5 | 9.0 | 9.0 | 8.5 | 2.2 | 2.8 | 21.5 |
6–9 May 2018 | REMRES | 3,653 | 40.3 | 23.2 | 5.3 | 10.3 | 15.5 | 4.2 | 1.2 | 17.1 |
2 May 2018 | REMRES | 2,586 | 40.5 | 22.7 | 5.6 | 10.4 | 15.2 | 4.2 | 1.3 | 17.8 |
1 May 2018 | [citation needed] | – | 44.2 | 23.4 | with AKP | 12.1 | 17.5 | 2.5 | 0.3 | 20.8 |
44.0 | 32.2 | with CHP | 23.3 | with İYİ | 0.5 | 11.8 | ||||
44.7 | 40.2 | 14.9 | with CHP | with CHP | 0.2 | 4.5 | ||||
41.6 | 23.9 | 11.4 | 22.8 | with İYİ | 0.3 | 17.7 | ||||
46.8 | 53.0 | with CHP | with CHP | with CHP | 0.2 | 6.2 | ||||
26–29 Apr 2018 | Mediar | 2,660 | 42.5 | 22.9 | 13.2 | 17.1 | 3.1 | 1.2 | 19.6 | |
25 Apr 2018 | SONAR | – | 46.9 | 23.8 | 11.3 | 14.5 | with İYİ | N/A | 23.1 | |
24–25 Apr 2018 | Konsensus | 1,000 | 49.0 | 22.4 | 6.7 | 21.4 | with İYİ | 0.5 | 26.6 | |
42.2 | 20.2 | 7.8 | 7.0 | 19.7 | 2.5 | 0.4 | 22.0 | |||
18 Apr 2018 | Early elections are called for 24 June 2018 | |||||||||
13–20 Apr 2018 | MetroPOLL | 2,063 | 48.2 | 21.0 | 5.7 | 10.5 | 12.3 | 1.5 | 0.8 | 27.2 |
14–15 Apr 2018 | [citation needed] | 3,864 | 45.8 | 19.7 | 7.0 | 9.7 | 16.3 | 0.8 | 0.7 | 26.1 |
48.2 | 18.9 | with AKP | 9.5 | 23.4 | with İYİ | 0.0 | 24.8 | |||
49.9 | 18.9 | 10.5 | 17.8 | N/A | 2.9 | 31.0 | ||||
22–26 Mar 2018 | ORC | 5,620 | 56.2 | 26.5 | 8.3 | 7.1 | 1.9 | 29.7 | ||
14–24 Mar 2018 | Ankara Analitik | 1,619 | 52.9 | 18.4 | 5.3 | 12.6 | N/A | 34.5 | ||
6–18 Mar 2018 | PİAR | 5,620 | 39.6 | 22.2 | 5.8 | 12.2 | 16.9 | 0.8 | 17.4 | |
44.2 | 31.1 | with AKP | N/A | 24.3 | 0.4 | 13.1 | ||||
53.1 | 35.4 | 11.1 | N/A | 0.4 | 17.7 | |||||
43.2 | 23.1 | 11.7 | 21.7 | 0.3 | 20.1 | |||||
23–27 Feb 2018 | ORC | 3,420 | 48.2 | 24.6 | 11.2 | 7.9 | 5.7 | 2.4 | 23.6 | |
8–14 Feb 2018 | Optimar | 1,500 | 52.2 | 22.6 | 10.7 | 7.8 | 4.2 | 2.5 | 29.6 | |
4–14 Feb 2018 | PİAR | 2,440 | 40.2 | 25.5 | 7.3 | 12.0 | 13.3 | 1.7 | 14.7 | |
45.2 | 25.5 | with AKP | 13.5 | 14.0 | 1.9 | 19.7 | ||||
18 Jan 2018 | ORC | – | 47.2 | 25.9 | 10.8 | 8.5 | 5.5 | 2.1 | 21.3 | |
14 Jan 2018 | SONAR | 3,000 | 40.1 | 25.3 | 7.1 | 10.8 | 14.2 | 2.5 | 14.8 | |
10 Jan 2018 | Konsensus | – | 48.2 | 25.4 | 11.4 | 9.8 | 2.9 | 2.4 | 22.8 | |
24 Dec 2017 | İEA | 1,537 | 45.5 | 21.5 | 6.7 | 11.4 | 12.3 | 2.3 | 24.0 | |
2–17 Dec 2017 | Gezici | 4,238 | 42.0 | 20.1 | 7.3 | 8.7 | 20.2 | 1.7 | 21.9 | |
1–15 Dec 2017 | AAA | 40,800 | 45.8 | 22.5 | 12.7 | 10.3 | 8.7 | 0.0 | 23.3 | |
9–15 Nov 2017 | ORC | 2,674 | 48.9 | 23.9 | 10.2 | 7.5 | 6.7 | 2.8 | 25.0 | |
13 Nov 2017 | AKP | – | 50.2 | 23.2 | 10.7 | 10.5 | N/A | 5.5 | 27.0 | |
1–13 Nov 2017 | İEA | 1,537 | 47.4 | 19.2 | 7.2 | 12.3 | 12.2 | 1.6 | 28.2 | |
1–6 Nov 2017 | Sonar | 3,000 | 38.5 | 23.5 | 7.8 | 10.3 | 16.1 | 3.8 | 15.0 | |
31 Oct 2017 | Optimar | 1,547 | 50.6 | 23.3 | 9.9 | 7.8 | 6.4 | 2.0 | 27.3 | |
10–15 Oct 2017 | [citation needed] | 4,638 | 43.8 | 18.5 | 8.8 | 7.0 | 19.5 | 2.4 | 24.3 | |
47.1 | 26.8 | 13.5 | 9.8 | N/A | 2.8 | 20.3 | ||||
14 Oct 2017 | Konda | 2,646 | 50.9 | 26.0 | 10.3 | 10.5 | 2.3 | 24.9 | ||
5–12 Oct 2017 | MAK | – | 48.8 | 25.3 | 8.9 | 8.2 | 5.3 | 3.6 | 23.5 | |
6–8 Oct 2017 | ORC | 2,580 | 47.4 | 26.3 | 10.7 | 7.3 | 6.2 | 2.1 | 21.1 | |
27 Sep 2017 | Sonar | – | 38.2 | 28.4 | 10.1 | 10.6 | 10.8 | 1.9 | 9.8 | |
2–10 Sep 2017 | [citation needed] | 4,322 | 39.9 | 23.4 | 4.0 | 10.1 | 21.0 | 1.6 | 16.5 | |
10–16 Jul 2017 | MAK | 5,400 | 50.5 | 26.5 | 12.7 | 8.0 | N/A | 2.3 | 24.0 | |
5–14 Jul 2017 | Konensus | 1,500 | 54.5 | 26.8 | 7.6 | 8.5 | 2.6 | 27.7 | ||
16 Apr 2017 | ||||||||||
24–27 Mar 2017 | ORC | 2,740 | 52.4 | 24.0 | 15.2 | 6.3 | N/A | N/A | 2.1 | 28.4 |
18–22 Mar 2017 | AKAM | 2,032 | 46.7 | 31.4 | 8.8 | 10.8 | 2.2 | 15.3 | ||
3–9 Mar 2017 | AKAM | 8,120 | 45.2 | 31.6 | 9.7 | 10.3 | 3.2 | 13.6 | ||
25 Feb–2 Mar 2017 | MAK | 5,400 | 52.2 | 24.5 | 13.4 | 7.8 | 2.2 | 27.7 | ||
16–21 Feb 2017 | AKAM | 4,060 | 45.2 | 29.9 | 11.8 | 10.7 | 2.4 | 15.3 | ||
10–18 Feb 2017 | THEMİS | 1,985 | 45.6 | 31.3 | 8.3 | 9.6 | 5.2 | 14.3 | ||
3 Feb 2017 | [citation needed] | – | 45.1 | 26.0 | 15.1 | 10.2 | 3.6 | 19.1 | ||
26 Jan-1 Feb 2017 | MAK | 5,400 | 51.7 | 25.6 | 12.8 | 7.8 | 2.3 | 26.1 | ||
24–29 Jan 2017 | Konsensus | 1,117 | 53.4 | 27.2 | 9.0 | 7.9 | 2.5 | 26.2 | ||
10–11 Jan 2017 | ORC | 2,340 | 53.0 | 23.6 | 15.8 | 6.5 | 1.1 | 29.4 | ||
3–10 Jan 2017 | Optimar | 2,043 | 52.1 | 25.8 | 13.3 | 6.4 | 2.4 | 26.3 | ||
7–16 Dec 2016 | KHAS | 1,000 | 52.7 | 27.2 | 11.9 | 6.4 | 1.9 | 25.5 | ||
15 Dec 2016 | ORC | 2,450 | 52.8 | 23.4 | 15.0 | 7.0 | 1.8 | 29.4 | ||
21 Nov–6 Dec 2016 | İVEM | 3,650 | 54.6 | 24.2 | 12.4 | 6.5 | 2.3 | 30.4 | ||
30 Nov 2016 | MetroPOLL | – | 49.5 | 26.5 | 11.5 | 10.7 | 1.8 | 23.0 | ||
15–19 Nov 2016 | MAK | 5,400 | 50.8 | 24.6 | 14.5 | 7.5 | 2.6 | 26.2 | ||
9–17 Nov 2016 | AKAM | 4,240 | 45.6 | 30.3 | 11.2 | 11.4 | 1.5 | 15.3 | ||
22 Oct 2016 | ORC | – | 53.1 | 25.0 | 14.2 | 6.2 | 1.5 | 28.1 | ||
24–26 Sep 2016 | A&G | 3,018 | 54.6 | 24.8 | 12.0 | 7.9 | 0.7 | 29.8 | ||
2 Aug 2016 | ORC | – | 54.7 | 24.0 | 14.0 | 5.8 | 1.5 | 30.7 | ||
27 Jul 2016 | Optimar | 1,273 | 53.8 | 21.5 | 11.7 | 10.7 | 2.3 | 32.3 | ||
5–12 Jun 2016 | ORC | 2,240 | 53.5 | 23.6 | 12.0 | 6.9 | 4.0 | 29.9 | ||
1 Jun 2016 | MetroPOLL | 3,000 | 49.9 | 24.1 | 13.8 | 11.0 | 1.2 | 25.8 | ||
30 May 2016 | Optimar | 1,508 | 51.4 | 24.3 | 11.6 | 10.1 | 2.7 | 27.1 | ||
23 May 2016 | ORC | – | 53.0 | 24.0 | 13.0 | 7.0 | 3.0 | 29.0 | ||
22–24 May 2016 | ||||||||||
9 May 2016 | KamuAR | 2,493 | 48.9 | 26.4 | 12.6 | 8.4 | N/A | N/A | 3.7 | 22.5 |
5–6 May 2016 | ORC | 1,265 | 52.8 | 24.0 | 12.8 | 7.1 | 3.3 | 28.8 | ||
27 Apr 2016 | Sonar | – | 48.8 | 25.6 | 10.8 | 9.7 | 5.1 | 23.2 | ||
10–14 Apr 2016 | AKAM | 1,214 | 47.2 | 28.0 | 10.9 | 10.6 | 3.3 | 19.2 | ||
6 Apr 2016 | KamuAR | 3,917 | 49.1 | 25.7 | 12.3 | 9.6 | 3.3 | 23.4 | ||
26–27 Mar 2016 | Gezici | – | 56.2 | 25.8 | 8.9 | 7.3 | 1.8 | 30.4 | ||
2–6 Mar 2016 | ORC | 4,176 | 54.0 | 21.7 | 11.6 | 7.8 | 4.9 | 32.3 | ||
5 Mar 2016 | MetroPOLL | – | 49.9 | 25.3 | 11.5 | 10.5 | 2.8 | 24.6 | ||
26 Feb 2016 | KONDA | 2,150 | 51.1 | 24.9 | 11.7 | 10.1 | 2.2 | 25.9 | ||
12 Feb 2016 | İVEM | – | 52.4 | 25.2 | 11.3 | 8.4 | 2.7 | 27.2 | ||
27 Jan–3 Feb 2016 | ORC | 8,320 | 55.8 | 20.9 | 11.3 | 9.8 | 2.2 | 34.9 | ||
6 Jan 2016 | GENAR | 4,500 | 50.8 | 25.7 | 11.1 | 10.2 | 2.2 | 25.1 | ||
1–3 Jan 2016 | Varyans | – | 51.9 | 23.7 | 11.1 | 11.0 | 2.4 | 28.2 | ||
1–4 Dec 2015 | MAK | 5,500 | 53.5 | 24.6 | 10.5 | 9.5 | 1.9 | 28.9 | ||
16–21 Nov 2015 | MAK | 5,670 | 52.5 | 24.7 | 11.1 | 10.0 | 1.7 | 27.8 | ||
4–9 Nov 2015 | ORC | 3,230 | 54.0 | 24.6 | 10.5 | 9.1 | 1.8 | 29.4 | ||
2–3 Nov 2015 | IPSOS | 1,614 | 53.0 | 25.0 | 9.0 | 11.0 | 2.0 | 28.0 | ||
1 Nov 2015 | Snap election[a] | – | 49.3 | 25.6 | 12.0 | 10.6 | N/A | 0.7 | 1.8 | 23.7 |
7 Jun 2015 | Election[a] | – | 40.7 | 25.1 | 16.5 | 13.0 | N/A | 2.1 | 2.6 | 15.9 |
Date | Pollster | Sample size | Lead | |||||||
AKP | CHP | MHP | HDP | İYİ | SP | Others |
a Domestic vote only
Abroad[]
Date | Pollster | Country | Sample size | AKP | CHP | MHP | HDP | İYİ | SP | Others | Lead |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1-5 Jun 2018 | TAVAK | ![]() |
1,184 | 47.1 | 15.5 | with AKP | 17.9 | 8.3 | 1.9 | 0.2 | 29.2 |
Alliance vote[]
Following formation of alliances[]
Date | Pollster | Sample size | Cumhur | Millet | HDP + others | Lead |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
24 June 2018 | Election[a] | – | 53.7 | 33.9 | 11.7 + 0.7 | 19.8 |
23 Jun 2018 | AKAM | – | 45.9 | 40.4 | 13.4 + 0.3 | 5.4 |
17–19 Jun 2018 | ORC | – | 54.7 | 32.8 | 11.9 + 0.6 | 21.9 |
18 Jun 2018 | Konsensus | 10,000 | 52 | 41 | 7 + 0 | 11 |
16–17 Jun 2018 | Gezici | 1,812 | 48.9 | 38.6 | 12.1 + 0.4 | 10.3 |
14 Jun 2018 | A pre-election ban on opinion polling comes into effect, ten days before polling day[1] | |||||
13 Jun 2018 | Plus Mayak | – | 47.3 | 39.4 | 12.3 + 1.0 | 7.9 |
13 Jun 2018 | AKAM | 2,460 | 45.6 | 39.9 | 13.6 + 0.9 | 5.7 |
6–13 Jun 2018 | REMRES | 5,674 | 45.1 | 42.5 | 12.1 + 0.3 | 2.6 |
8–11 Jun 2018 | MetroPOLL | 2,888 | 49.4 | 38.1 | 12.3 + 0.2 | 11.3 |
8–11 Jun 2018 | Mediar | 2,410 | 47.7 | 39.4 | 12.1 + 0.8 | 8.3 |
11 Jun 2018 | CHP | – | 45.0 | 42.4 | 12.3 + 0.3 | 2.6 |
1–6 Jun 2018 | MAK | 5,400 | 52.7 | 36.7 | 9.2 + 1.5 | 16.0 |
28 May–3 Jun 2018 | REMRES | 4,482 | 44.2 | 44.0 | 11.5 + 0.3 | 0.2 |
29 May–1 Jun 2018 | Sonar | 3,000 | 49.3 | 39.5 | 10.0 + 1.2 | 9.8 |
28 May–1 Jun 2018 | ORC | 3,410 | 52.8 | 35.6 | 10.9 + 0.7 | 17.2 |
26–31 May 2018 | PİAR | 2,620 | 42.1 | 43.1 | 14.1 + 0.7 | 1.0 |
1–28 May 2018 | Konsensus | 2,000 | 50.4 | 39.7 | 9.6 + 0.3 | 10.4 |
25–26 May 2018 | Gezici | 6,811 | 48.7 | 38.9 | 11.5 + 0.9 | 9.8 |
23–26 May 2018 | İEA | 1,500 | 44.5 | 40.5 | 13.5 + 1.5 | 4.0 |
22–23 May 2018 | Mediar | 4,268 | 45.6 | 42.5 | 11.4 + 0.5 | 2.4 |
17–23 May 2018 | REMRES | 4,276 | 43.9 | 43.7 | 12.1 + 0.3 | 0.2 |
13–20 May 2018 | MAK | 5,000 | 54.0 | 34.2 | 9.0 + 2.8 | 19.8 |
6–9 May 2018 | REMRES | 3,653 | 43.9 | 43.5 | 12.2 + 0.4 | 0.4 |
2 May 2018 | REMRES | 2,586 | 44.2 | 43.4 | 12.1 + 0.3 | 0.8 |
Prior to formation of alliances[]
Date | Pollster | Sample size | Cumhur | Millet | Others | Lead |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1–3 May 2018 | CHP, İYİ, SP and DP launch the Millet alliance | |||||
1 May 2018 | [citation needed] | – | 44.2 | N/A | 55.8 | 11.6 |
44.0 | 56.0 | 11.5 | ||||
44.7 | 40.2 | 15.1 | 4.5 | |||
41.6 | N/A | 58.4 | 16.8 | |||
46.8 | 53.2 | 6.4 | ||||
26–29 Apr 2018 | Mediar | 2,660 | 42.5 | 57.5 | 15.0 | |
25 Apr 2018 | SONAR | – | 46.9 | 53.1 | 6.2 | |
24–25 Apr 2018 | Konsensus | 1,000 | 49.0 | 51.0 | 2.0 | |
14–15 Apr 2018 | [citation needed] | 3,864 | 52.8 | 47.2 | 5.6 | |
49.9 | 50.1 | 0.2 | ||||
48.2 | 51.8 | 3.6 | ||||
22–26 Mar 2018 | ORC | 5,620 | 56.2 | 43.8 | 12.4 | |
14–24 Mar 2018 | Ankara Analitik | 1,619 | 52.9 | 47.1 | 5.8 | |
6–18 Mar 2018 | PİAR | 5,620 | 45.4 | 54.6 | 9.2 | |
44.2 | 55.8 | 11.6 | ||||
53.1 | 46.9 | 6.2 | ||||
43.2 | 56.8 | 13.6 | ||||
20 Feb 2018 | AKP and MHP launch the Cumhur alliance |
Seat projections[]
Parties[]
Date | Pollster | Sample size | AKP | CHP | MHP | HDP | İYİ | Others | Majority |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
24 June 2018 | Result | – | 295 / 600 |
146 / 600 |
49 / 600 |
67 / 600 |
43 / 600 |
0 / 600 |
Hung |
26–29 Apr 2018 | Mediar | 2,660 | 280 / 600 |
150 / 600 |
with AKP | 80 / 600 |
90 / 600 |
0 / 600 |
Hung |
4–14 Feb 2018 | PİAR | 2,440 | 275 / 600 |
145 / 600 |
0 / 600 |
95 / 600 |
85 / 600 |
0 / 600 |
Hung |
2–10 Sep 2017 | Objektif | 4,322 | 280 / 600 |
140 / 600 |
0 / 600 |
50 / 600 |
130 / 600 |
0 / 600 |
Hung |
1 Nov 2015 | Snap election | – | 317 / 550 |
134 / 550 |
40 / 550 |
59 / 550 |
N/A | 0 / 550 |
84 |
7 Jun 2015 | Election | – | 258 / 550 |
132 / 550 |
80 / 550 |
80 / 550 |
N/A | 0 / 550 |
Hung |
Alliances[]
Date | Pollster | Sample size | Cumhur | Millet | HDP and others | Majority |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
24 June 2018 | Result | – | 344 / 600 |
189 / 600 |
67 / 600 |
88 |
14 Jun 2018 | Plus Mayak | – | 289 / 600 |
216 / 600 |
95 / 600 |
Hung |
1 May 2018 | PİAR | – | 270 / 600 |
230 / 600 |
100 / 600 |
Hung |
References[]
- ^ Jump up to: a b c Anadolu Ajansı. "Propaganda serbestliği ve seçim yasakları yarın başlıyor". aa.com.tr.
- 2018 Turkish general election
- Opinion polling in Turkey