2022 United States Senate election in Pennsylvania

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Not to be confused with 2022 Pennsylvania Senate election.

2022 United States Senate election in Pennsylvania
← 2016 November 8, 2022 2028 →
 
Party Republican Democratic
Incumbent U.S. senator

Pat Toomey
Republican



Elections in Pennsylvania
Federal government
State government
Elections by year
Philadelphia
Pittsburgh
Lancaster
Allentown
Harrisburg
Category Government
  • v
  • t

The 2022 United States Senate election in Pennsylvania will be held on November 8, 2022, concurrently with elections for all other Class 3 U.S. Senators, elections for the U.S. House of Representatives, as well as a gubernatorial election, to select a member of the United States Senate to represent the Commonwealth of Pennsylvania.

The election is expected to be competitive and important to determine whether Democrats or Republicans will control the Senate in 2023. This is attributed to the seat being an open Republican-held one located in a state that President Joe Biden won in the 2020 presidential election.[1] Pennsylvania is seen by many Democrats as the best possible pickup of all the Class 3 seats.[2]

On October 5, 2020, incumbent two-term Republican Senator Pat Toomey announced that he would not run for re-election to a third term and currently plans "to go back to the private sector" at the conclusion of his term.[3][4] Previously, he had openly said he was considering running for the governorship instead of running for re-election to the Senate.[5]

Republican primary[]

Candidates[]

Declared[]

  • Real estate developer
    Jeff Bartos
    from
    Lower Merion
  • Author
    Sean Parnell
    from
    Cranberry
  • Former U.S. Ambassador to Denmark
    Carla Sands
    from
    Mechanicsburg
  • Former Chief of Staff to U.S. Senator Arlen Specter
    Craig Snyder
    from
    Philadelphia
  • Businessman
    Everett Stern
    from
    West Chester

Publicly expressed interest[]

  • Kenneth Braithwaite, former U.S. Secretary of the Navy (2020–2021), former U.S. Ambassador to Norway (2018–2020), and former advisor to U.S. Senator Arlen Specter[20]
  • Ryan Costello, former U.S. representative for Pennsylvania's 6th congressional district (2015–2019)[21][22]
  • Kiron Skinner, Taube Professor of International Relations and Politics at Carnegie Mellon University and former Director of Policy Planning at the U.S. State Department (2018–2019)[23]

Potential[]

Declined[]

Endorsements[]

hide
Kathy Barnette
Executive Branch officials
  • Michael Flynn, United States National Security Advisor (2017)[36]
  • Sebastian Gorka, Deputy Assistant to the President (2017)[6]
U.S. Representatives
State legislators
  • Vernon Jones, Georgia state representative (1993–2001, 2017–2021) and candidate for Governor of Georgia in 2022[6]
Individuals
  • Tomi Lahren, conservative political commentator and former television host[6]
hide
Jeff Bartos
State Executives
  • Stacy Garrity, Pennsylvania Treasurer (2021–present)[37]
U.S. Representatives
State legislators
  • Torren Ecker, Pennsylvania State Representative from the 193st district (2019–present)[39]
  • Aaron Kaufer, Pennsylvania State Representative from the 120th district (2015–present)[40]
  • Dawn Keefer, Pennsylvania State Representative from the 92nd district (2015–present)[39]
  • Dan Laughlin, Pennsylvania State Senator from the 49th district (2017–present)[39]
  • Bob Mensch, Pennsylvania State Senator from the 24th district (2009–present), Pennsylvania State Representative from the 147th district (2007–2009)[39]
  • Tommy Sankey, Pennsylvania State Representative from the 73th district (2015–present), Pennsylvania State Representative from the 74th district (2013–2015)[39]
  • Scott Wagner, Pennsylvania State Senator from the 28th district (2014–2018), Republican nominee for Governor in 2018[41]
  • Judy Ward, Pennsylvania State Senator from the 30th district (2019–present), Pennsylvania State Representative from the 80th district (2015–2018)[39]
Judicial officials
  • P. Kevin Brobson, Judge of the Commonwealth Court of Pennsylvania (2010–present)[42]
hide
Sean Parnell
Executive Branch officials
  • Donald Trump, 45th President of the United States (2017–2021)[43]
U.S. Representatives
Individuals
  • Donald Trump Jr., businessman and son of former President Donald Trump[35]
hide
Carla Sands
Executive Branch officials
hide
Craig Snyder
Executive Branch officials
  • Bill Kristol, Chief of Staff to the Vice President (1989–1993) and founder of The Weekly Standard and editor of The Bulwark[19]
  • Miles Taylor, Chief of Staff to the United States Secretary of Homeland Security (2019)[47]
U.S. Representatives

Polling[]

Poll source Date(s)
administered 		Sample
size[a] 		Margin
of error 		Kathy
Barnette 		Jeff
Bartos 		Sean
Gale 		Sean
Parnell 		Carla
Sands 		Other Undecided
Franklin & Marshall College August 9–15, 2021 154 (RV) ± 10.9% 6% 4% 3% 14% 1% 7% 66%

Democratic primary[]

Candidates[]

Declared[]

  • Val Arkoosh, chair of the Montgomery County Board of Commissioners and physician[48]
  • Kevin Baumlin, chief of Emergency and Urgent Care Services at Pennsylvania Hospital[49]
  • John Fetterman, Lieutenant Governor of Pennsylvania (2019–present), former mayor of Braddock (2005–2019) and candidate for the U.S. Senate in 2016[27][50]
  • Malcolm Kenyatta, state representative for the 181st district (2019–present)[51]
  • Alexandria Khalil, member of the Jenkintown Borough Council (2019–present)[52]
  • John McGuigan, former president of the Norristown Municipal Council (1994–1997)[53]
  • Conor Lamb, U.S. representative for PA-17, formerly PA-18 (2018–present)[54][55]
  • Eric Orts, professor at the Wharton School at the University of Pennsylvania[56][57]
  • Sharif Street, state senator for the 3rd district (2017–present), vice chair of the Pennsylvania Democratic Party, son of former Mayor of Philadelphia John Street and nephew of former state senator Milton Street[58]
  • Montgomery Commission chair
    Val Arkoosh
    from
    Glenside
  • Lieutenant Governor
    John Fetterman
    from
    Braddock
  • State Representative
    Malcolm Kenyatta
    from
    Philadelphia
  • U.S. Representative
    Conor Lamb
    from
    Mt. Lebanon
  • State Senator
    Sharif Street
    from
    Philadelphia

Potential[]

  • Eugene DePasquale, former Pennsylvania Auditor General (2013–2021) and nominee for PA-10 in 2020[24]
  • Elizabeth Fiedler, state representative for the 184th district (2019–present)[20]
  • Helen Gym, member of the Philadelphia City Council (2016–present)[20]
  • Sara Innamorato, state representative for the 21st district (2019–present)[59]
  • Summer Lee, state representative for the 34th district (2019–present)[59]
  • Joe Sestak, former U.S. representative for PA-07 (2007–2011), former Vice Admiral of the U.S. Navy, nominee for U.S. Senate in 2010, candidate for U.S. Senate in 2016, and candidate for President in 2020[60]
  • Joe Torsella, former Pennsylvania State Treasurer (2017–2021)[61][62]

Withdrawn[]

  • Brandaun Dean, former Mayor of Brighton, Alabama (2016–2017) (running for Senate in Alabama)[63]

Declined[]

  • Brendan Boyle, U.S. representative for PA-02; formerly PA-13 (2015–present)[64]
  • Madeleine Dean, U.S. representative for PA-04 (2019–present) (running for re-election)[65]
  • Chrissy Houlahan, U.S. Representative for Pennsylvania's 6th congressional district (2019–present) (running for re-election)[66]
  • Jim Kenney, Mayor of Philadelphia (2016–present)[67]
  • Bill Peduto, Mayor of Pittsburgh (2014–present) (unsuccessfully ran for re-election)[68]
  • Josh Shapiro, Pennsylvania Attorney General (2017–present) (expected to run for Governor)[69]
  • Susan Wild, U.S. representative for PA-07; formerly PA-15 (2018–present) (running for re-election)[70]
  • Tom Wolf, Governor of Pennsylvania (2015–present)[71]

Endorsements[]

hide
Val Arkoosh
Organizations
hide
John Fetterman
Labor Unions
  • United Food and Commercial Workers Local 1776[74]
  • United Steelworkers District 10[74]
Organizations
  • National Organization for the Reform of Marijuana Laws[74]
Individuals
  • Sean McElwee, activist[75]
hide
Malcolm Kenyatta
State legislators
  • Jessica Benham, Pennsylvania state representative from the 36th district (2021–present)[76]
Labor unions
  • American Federation of Teachers[77]
Organizations
  • Brand New Congress[78]
  • LGBTQ Victory Fund[79]
  • Democracy For America[80]
Political parties
  • Working Families Party[81]
Newspapers and other media
hide
Conor Lamb
State Legislators
  • Ryan Bizzarro, Pennsylvania state representative from the 3rd district (2013–present)[83]
  • Jim Brewster, Pennsylvania state Senator from the 45th district (2010–present)[84]
  • Jay Costa, Democratic Leader of the Pennsylvania Senate (2011–present), Pennsylvania state Senator from the 43rd district (1996–present), Register of Wills of Allegheny County (1992–1996)[85]
  • Frank Dermody, Democratic Leader of the Pennsylvania House of Representatives (2011–2020), Pennsylvania state representative from the 33rd district (1990–2020)[54]
  • Wayne D. Fontana, Pennsylvania state Senator from the 42rd district (2005–present), Allegheny County Councilor from the 12th district (2000–2005)[84]
Labor unions
  • International Brotherhood of Electrical Workers (IBEW) Local 5[54]
  • International Association of Fire Fighters (IAFF) Local 1[54]
  • International Brotherhood of Boilermakers Local 154[54]
Organizations
Local officials
  • Rich Fitzgerald, Allegheny County Executive (2012–present)[55]
  • Thomas J. Murphy Jr., Mayor of Pittsburgh (1994–2006)[54]
  • Jack Stollsteimer, Delaware County District Attorney (2020–present) [87]
hide
Sharif Street
U.S. Representatives
State legislators
  • Manny Guzman Jr., Pennsylvania state representative from the 127th district (2021–present)[89]
  • Vincent Hughes, Pennsylvania state Senator from the 7th district (1994–present)[89]
  • John I. Kane, Pennsylvania state Senator from the 9th district (2020–present)[89]
  • Shirley Kitchen, Pennsylvania state Senator from the 9th district[89]
  • Tony Payton, Pennsylvania state representative from the 179th district (2007–2012)[89]
  • John Sabatina, Pennsylvania state Senator from the 3rd district (1996–2016)[89]
  • Christine Tartaglione, Pennsylvania state Senator from the 2nd district (1995–present), Chair of the Pennsylvania Democratic Party (1998–2002)[89]
  • Mike Veon, Pennsylvania state representative from the 14th district (1985–2006), Democratic Whip of the Pennsylvania House of Representatives (1999–2006)[89]
  • Anthony H. Williams, Pennsylvania state Senator from the 8th district (1999–present), Democratic Whip of the Pennsylvania Senate (2011–present)[89]
  • Dan K. Williams, Pennsylvania state representative from the 74th district (2019–present)[89]
Local officials
  • Cindy Bass, Philadelphia City Councilor from District 8 (2012–present)[89]
  • Jannie Blackwell, Philadelphia City Councilor from District 3 (1992–2020)[89]
  • Kenyatta Johnson, Philadelphia City Councilor from District 2 (2012–present)[89]
  • Curtis J. Jones Jr., Philadelphia City Councilor from District 4 (2008–present)[89]
  • Thaddeus Kirkland, Mayor of Chester, Pennsylvania (2016–present)[89]
  • Maria Quiñones-Sanchez, Philadelphia City Councilor from District 7 (2008–present)[89]
  • Jonathan Saidel, Philadelphia City Controller (1990–2006)[89]
  • Derek Slaughter, Mayor of Williamsport (2020–present)[88]
  • John F. Street, former Mayor of Philadelphia (2000–2008), President of the Philadelphia City Council (1992–1998), Philadelphia City Councilor (1980–1998) (Street's father)[88]
Party officials
  • Lindy Li, Women's Co-Chair and Mid-Atlantic Regional Chair at the Democratic National Committee[89]
Individuals
  • Mark Segal, LGBT activist[89]
hide
Declined to endorse
Statewide officials
  • Tom Wolf, 47th Governor of Pennsylvania (2015–present)[90]

Polling[]

Poll source Date(s)
administered 		Sample
size[a] 		Margin
of error 		Val
Arkoosh 		John
Fetterman 		Chrissy
Houlahan 		Malcolm
Kenyatta 		Conor
Lamb 		Sharif
Street 		Other Undecided
Franklin & Marshall College August 9–15, 2021 175 (RV) ± 10.2% 6% 33% – 5% 12% 0% 3% 42%
Data for Progress (D)[A] May 7–14, 2021 302 (LV) ± 6.0% 5% 40% 8% 9% 21% 2% – 14%

Libertarian nomination[]

Candidates[]

Declared[]

  • Erik Gerhardt, carpenter and candidate for president in 2020[91][92]
  • Steve Scheetz, former chair of the Libertarian Party of Pennsylvania and candidate for U.S. House in 2018 and 2020[91][93]
  • Carpenter
    Erik Gerhardt
    from
    Pennsburg
  • Former chair of the Libertarian Party of Pennsylvania
    Steve Scheetz
    from
    Langhorne

General election[]

Predictions[]

Source Ranking As of
The Cook Political Report[94] Tossup July 16, 2021
Inside Elections[95] Battleground August 6, 2021
Sabato's Crystal Ball[96] Tossup March 11, 2021

Polling[]

Jeff Bartos vs. John Fetterman
Poll source Date(s)
administered 		Sample
size[a] 		Margin
of error 		Jeff
Bartos (R) 		John
Fetterman (D) 		Undecided
Data for Progress (D)[A] May 7–14, 2021 310 (LV) ± 5.6% 38% 48% 14%
Sean Parnell vs. John Fetterman
Poll source Date(s)
administered 		Sample
size[a] 		Margin
of error 		Sean
Parnell (R) 		John
Fetterman (D) 		Undecided
Data for Progress (D)[A] May 7–14, 2021 310 (LV) ± 5.6% 40% 48% 12%
Jeff Bartos vs. Conor Lamb
Poll source Date(s)
administered 		Sample
size[a] 		Margin
of error 		Jeff
Bartos (R) 		Conor
Lamb (D) 		Undecided
Data for Progress (D)[A] May 7–14, 2021 341 (LV) ± 5.3% 42% 43% 15%
Sean Parnell vs. Conor Lamb
Poll source Date(s)
administered 		Sample
size[a] 		Margin
of error 		Sean
Parnell (R) 		Conor
Lamb (D) 		Undecided
Data for Progress (D)[A] May 7–14, 2021 341 (LV) ± 5.3% 44% 42% 14%

Notes[]

  1. ^ Jump up to: a b c d e f Key:
    A – all adults
    RV – registered voters
    LV – likely voters
    V – unclear
Partisan clients
  1. ^ Jump up to: a b c d e Poll sponsored by Fetterman's campaign

References[]

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  2. ^ Seidman, Julia Terruso and Andrew. "Democrats had a brutal 2020 in Pa. besides Biden. Now they're charting a path forward". The Philadelphia Inquirer. Retrieved March 15, 2021.
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  4. ^ Jump up to: a b Tamari, Jonathan; Bender, William (October 4, 2020). "Sen. Pat Toomey won't run for reelection or for Pennsylvania governor, sources say". The Philadelphia Inquirer. Retrieved November 9, 2020.
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  53. ^ "Get to Know John". December 1, 2020.
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