2020 North Carolina's 11th congressional district election
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The 2020 congressional election in North Carolina's 11th congressional district was held on Tuesday, November 3, 2020, to determine the next Representative to the United States House of Representatives from the 11th district. On December 19, 2019, incumbent Representative Mark Meadows announced his retirement and was appointed White House Chief of Staff on March 30, 2020, leaving the seat vacant.[1]
On March 3, 2020, Super Tuesday, the primary for the 11th district was held along with the state of North Carolina at large. Moe Davis was declared the winner of the Democratic primary while no one reached 30% in the Republican primary, triggering a runoff between the top two finishers, Lynda Bennett and Madison Cawthorn. The runoff was held on June 23, 2020, with Madison Cawthorn being declared the winner.[2]
Background and redistricting[]
Previously North Carolina's 11th congressional district was considered to be one of the most competitive in the Country. Up until 2013, the district was held by Democrat Heath Shuler, one of the leaders of the Blue Dog Coalition, a prominent conservative Democrat House caucus and former quarterback for the Tennessee Volunteers. In 2011, the Republican controlled state legislature, under Senator Philip E. Berger, the North Carolina congressional districts were redistricted. Under the new map, NC-11 was redistricted to where Asheville, a heavily Democratic area was split in half in what many consider to be a gerrymander. The North Carolina foothills were also added to the district shifting the district to a Cook PVI of R+14.[3][4] Shuler did not run for reelection in the 2012 election and Mark Meadows won the election.[5]
In November 2019, new congressional districts were drawn for the state. After review by North Carolina judges in December, a new map was mandated to be used for the 2020 elections, which includes the western part of Rutherford county and all of these counties: Avery, Buncombe, Cherokee, Clay, Graham, Haywood, Henderson, Jackson, Macon, Madison, McDowell, Mitchell, Polk, Swain, Transylvania, and Yancey.[6][7] At the time of the election, the district still leaned Republican, going to Trump by 17 points and McCrory by 6, but far more competitive than before.
On December 19, 2019, Mark Meadows announced his retirement from the House of Representatives, leaving the seat vacant, with the filing deadline only being two days away.[1] Over the next 48 hours, a dozen Republicans filed to run for the seat, leaving one of the largest non-jungle primaries of the 2020 election cycle.[8]
Republican primary[]
Candidates[]
Declared[]
- Chuck Archerd, candidate for North Carolina's 11th congressional district in 2018[8]
- Lynda Bennett, businesswoman[9]
- Matthew Burril, pilot and chair of the Asheville Regional Airport Authority Board[8]
- Madison Cawthorn, motivational speaker and businessman[10]
- Jim Davis, state senator[11]
- Dan Driscoll, U.S. Army veteran[12]
- Steve Fekete Jr, retired UPS repairman and Christian nationalist[8]
- Dillon Gentry, sales representative and candidate for North Carolina's 5th congressional district in 2018[8]
- Wayne King, deputy chief of staff to U.S. Representative Mark Meadows[13]
- Joey Osborne, businessman and investor[8]
- Vance Patterson, businessman and candidate for North Carolina's 11th congressional district in 2012[8]
- Albert Wiley Jr., former nuclear engineer and perennial candidate[8]
Declined[]
- Mark Meadows, former U.S. Representative and current Chief of Staff to President Donald Trump[1]
Endorsements[]
- Executive officials
- Donald Trump, 45th President of the United States[14]
- Federal Officials
- Mark Meadows, White House Chief of Staff and former U.S. Representative for North Carolina's 11th congressional district (2013-2020)[14]
- Jim Jordan, U.S. Representative for Ohio's 4th congressional district and ranking member of the House Oversight Committee[14]
- Andy Biggs, U.S. Representative for Arizona's 5th congressional district (2017-present)[14]
- Ted Cruz, United States Senator from Texas (2013-present)[14]
- Organizations
- Susan B. Anthony List[15]
Results[]
Both the Republican and Democratic primaries for North Carolina's 11th Congressional District were held on March 3, 2020. Because no one reached 30% in the Republican primary, a runoff was triggered. The runoff election was held on June 23, 2020.[2]
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Republican | Lynda Bennett | 20,606 | 22.7 | |
| Republican | Madison Cawthorn | 18,481 | 20.4 | |
| Republican | Jim Davis | 17,465 | 19.3 | |
| Republican | Chuck Archerd | 8,272 | 9.1 | |
| Republican | Wayne King | 7,876 | 8.7 | |
| Republican | Dan Driscoll | 7,803 | 8.6 | |
| Republican | Joey Osborne | 6,470 | 7.1 | |
| Republican | Vance Patterson | 2,242 | 2.5 | |
| Republican | Matthew Burril | 523 | 0.6 | |
| Republican | Albert Wiley Jr. | 393 | 0.4 | |
| Republican | Dillon Gentry | 390 | 0.4 | |
| Republican | Steve Fekete Jr. | 175 | 0.2 | |
| Total votes | 90,696 | 100.0 | ||
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Republican | Madison Cawthorn | 30,636 | 65.8 | |
| Republican | Lynda Bennett | 15,905 | 34.2 | |
| Total votes | 46,541 | 100.0 | ||
Democratic primary[]
Candidates[]
Declared[]
- Gina Collias, attorney and Republican candidate for North Carolina's 10th congressional district in 2018[17]
- Moe Davis, former U.S. Air Force colonel and former Chief Prosecutor of the Guantanamo military commission[18]
- Michael O'Shea, former musical artist and producer[19]
- Phillip Price, businessman and nominee for North Carolina's 11th congressional district in 2018[13]
- Steve Woodsmall, former U.S. Air Force major and Brevard College professor[20]
Declined[]
- Heath Shuler, former U.S. Representative for North Carolina's 11th congressional district (2007–2013)[21]
Results[]
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Democratic | Moe Davis | 52,983 | 47.3 | |
| Democratic | Gina Collias | 25,387 | 22.7 | |
| Democratic | Phillip Price | 12,620 | 11.3 | |
| Democratic | Michael O'Shea | 12,523 | 11.2 | |
| Democratic | Steve Woodsmall | 8,439 | 7.5 | |
| Total votes | 111,952 | 100.0 | ||
General election[]
The general election for North Carolina's 11th congressional district was held on November 3, 2020 between Moe Davis and Madison Cawthorn. Most pundits, as of July, saw the race as a safely Republican seat. However, recent internal polling from the Moe Davis campaign has brought many to believe the race was more competitive than previously thought.[23]
Candidates[]
- Moe Davis, Democrat, retired U.S. Air Force colonel, attorney, former national security specialist for Congress, former law professor at Howard University, retired judge for the U.S. Department of Labor, former Chief Prosecutor of the Guantanamo military commission[18]
- Madison Cawthorn, Republican, motivational speaker and businessman[10]
- Tracey DeBruhl, Libertarian, former U.S. Marine and gun rights advocate from Haywood County, North Carolina.[8]
- Tamara Zwinak, Green, feminist activist.[17]
Endorsements[]
- Organizations
Polling[]
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[a] |
Margin of error |
Madison Cawthorn (R) |
Moe Davis (D) |
Other/ Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| EMC Research (D) Archived October 16, 2020, at the Wayback Machine[b] | September 22–24, 2020 | 400 (LV) | ± 4.9% | 42% | 46% | – |
| DCCC Targeting & Analytics Department (D)[c] | August 5–6, 2020 | 500 | ± 4.4% | 46% | 41% | 13%[d] |
| EMC Research (D) Archived August 15, 2020, at the Wayback Machine[b] | July 9–12, 2020 | 402 | ± 4.9% | 42% | 40% | – |
Analysis[]
| Source | Ranking | As of |
|---|---|---|
| The Cook Political Report[29] | Likely R | August 14, 2020 |
| Inside Elections[30] | Safe R | June 2, 2020 |
| Sabato's Crystal Ball[31] | Likely R | September 3, 2020 |
| Politico[32] | Safe R | July 6, 2020 |
| Daily Kos[33] | Likely R | August 31, 2020 |
| RCP[34] | Safe R | June 9, 2020 |
| Niskanen[35] | Safe R | June 7, 2020 |
Results[]
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Republican | Madison Cawthorn | 245,351 | 54.5 | |
| Democratic | Moe Davis | 190,609 | 42.4 | |
| Libertarian | Tracey DeBruhl | 8,682 | 1.9 | |
| Green | Tamara Zwinak | 5,503 | 1.2 | |
| Total votes | 450,145 | 100.0 | ||
| Republican hold | ||||
Controversies[]
Ads in the Republican primary falsely portrayed an audio clip of Lynda Bennett to suggest she was a Never-Trumper, when the full clip showed she was mocking the movement.[37] The Protect Freedom PAC continued to spend $500,000 on ads that largely repeated what Bennett said was a lie and which the PAC admitted they knew was false.[37]
On October 3, 2020, Madison Cawthorn commented "Chill the f*@# out" comment to a person with disabilities who contacted him through social media. John Hart, Cawthorn's campaign spokesman, said Cawthorn is "passionately opposed to identity politics in all its forms whether it seeks to categorize people by race, gender, disability, etc. He understands there is a diversity of views in the disability community, and many other communities, and he rejects the notion we have to conform to a particular perspective. He isn't seeking to deliver a message as much as he wants to be an example of how a person can endure a tremendous tragedy and loss and find renewed meaning and purpose."[38]
On August 26, 2020, Madison Cawthorn travelled to the border to defend construction of the wall. “Sure, there are children being human-trafficked across our border north into our country for sex slavery and many things that are unspeakable and terrible to think of, but what's really going on is we are having a large group of cartels coming into our country, kidnapping our American children and then taking them to sell them on a slave market, on the sex slave market. Tens of thousands of our children are going missing every year and it's because of cartels like MS-13 coming into our country and doing harm.” Cawthorn did not provide the source of his information or respond to questions about why he went to the border wall some 1,500 miles from his district, who paid his expenses, or how he knew the organizers.[39] Madison Cawthorn states "North Carolina, as a whole, is ranked sixth in kidnappings nationwide."[40] The 2018 Amber Alert Report for the National Center for Missing and Exploited Children ranks North Carolina sixth (or 4% of total = 161) with seven amber alerts.[41] In 2018, the Haywood County Sheriff's Office in North Carolina canceled an AMBER Alert for a missing one-year-old boy Thursday night just over an hour after the alert was issued.[42] North Carolina has a total of 50 Amber Alerts from 2013 through 2018.
On August 10, 2020 an article was released by left-wing magazine Jezebel presenting Madison Cawthorn's past described by the article as disturbing. The article mainly discussed how Madison Cawthorn visited the Kehlsteinhaus (Eagle's Nest) in Bavaria, Germany and posted photos of his visit on Instagram. Many saw these posts as alarming because of his descriptions of the location as being on his "bucket list." Critics of Cawthorn insist the images were in bad faith, citing the facial expressions and gestures of Cawthorn and his friend depicted in the images.[43][44] In addition, the article indicates Cawthorn was rejected by the United States Naval Academy before the accident. Cawthorn stated throughout the campaign his reasoning behind him not going to the Naval Academy was the April 2014 car accident. Details of Cawthorn's business, SPQR Holdings LLC, were brought up as well. The business was created in August 2019, and has since only purchased a six-acre property in Georgia. The article does not mention any sold properties. Many Cawthorn critics have cited how Cawthorn describes himself as a successful businessman, despite supposedly having little business experience.[43][44]
On August 14, 2020 Madison Cawthorn was accused of sexually harassing via an Instagram post. The accuser was Henderson County resident Katrina Krulikas who stated in the post that in 2014, Cawthorn attempted to kiss her and make sexual gestures towards her without her consent.[45] Over the next few days two more accusers came forward. One accuser named Francesca McDaniel claimed Cawthorn forcibly kissed her and grabbed her thigh on the way to a party. When trying to leave Cawthorn locked the doors and forced her to come to the party even after the incident. A third anonymous woman claims that while Cawthorn attended Patrick Henry College, during a community chapel session, Cawthorn reached under her skirt and grabbed her thigh.[46]
On March 17, 2020 Madison Cawthorn's financial disclosure report does not include 2018, 2019, and 2020 earned income, position, agreements, and compensation in excess of $5,000 paid by one source. The completed form is digitally signed and includes a checked box that statements made "are true, complete, and correct to the best of my knowledge and belief."[47] On October 5, 2020, Madison Cawthorn is quoted "I hold my own company. I've been an investor, a public speaker, so I feel like that's pretty good diverse amount of work experience."[48] Moe Davis raised the issue to Madison Cawthorn that his company, position, and earned income is not on his financial disclosure form in two of the three debates.
On November 17, 2019 Moe Davis tweeted out a joke about a recent hospital visit by Donald Trump stating, "Many people are saying that @realDonaldTrump was being treated at Walter Reed for an acute case of chapped ass caused by the intense and excessive amount of kissing it's gotten from @RepMarkMeadows. Time to boot Gerrymandered Meadows and make #NC11 #MountainStrong!" This comment drew criticism from opponents who called it immature for a congressional candidate to make.[49]
Notes[]
References[]
- ^ a b c Lesniewski, Niels; McPherson, Lindsey (March 30, 2020). "Rep. Mark Meadows resigns to become White House chief of staff". Roll Call. Retrieved August 13, 2020.
- ^ a b Vaillancourt, Cory (June 24, 2020). "Republicans reject Trump-endorsed candidate in NC11 runoff". Smoky Mountain News. Retrieved August 13, 2020.
- ^ "PVI measures how much more Democratic or Republican a district performs compared to the national average". Cook Political Report. Retrieved August 14, 2020.
- ^ Timm, Jane (September 9, 2017). "They're Still Drawing Crazy-Looking Districts. Can't It Be Stopped?". NBC News.
- ^ "NC State Board of Elections". clarityelections.com.
- ^ "NC House Bill H1029 - Ratified" (PDF). NC Legislature. November 15, 2019.
- ^ "HB 1029, 3rd Edition". ncleg.gov.
- ^ a b c d e f g h i Mundhenk, Andrew (December 20, 2019). "Republicans rush to file for Meadows' seat; 19 candidates total headed to primaries". BlueRidgeNow.
- ^ Perrotti, Kyle (December 19, 2019). "Meadows to retire; Haywood Republican to run for 11th". The Mountaineer.
- ^ a b "Cawthorn to run for Meadows' seat, wants to see 'new generation' of leadership'". Blue Ridge Times-News Online. January 7, 2020. Retrieved January 15, 2020.
- ^ Wadington, Katie (December 19, 2019). "Republican state Sen. Jim Davis to run for Meadows' 11th District seat". Citizen Times.
- ^ Singer, Jeff (January 6, 2020). "Daily Kos Elections Live Digest: 1/6". The Daily Kos. Retrieved January 6, 2020.
- ^ a b Robertson, Gary D. (December 20, 2019). "N Carolina candidates rush for legislature, Meadows' seat". Raleigh News & Observer. Archived from the original on December 25, 2019. Retrieved December 20, 2019.
- ^ a b c d e "Archived copy". Archived from the original on August 21, 2020. Retrieved August 14, 2020.
{{cite web}}: CS1 maint: archived copy as title (link)[self-published source] - ^ "Lynda Bennett - Susan B. Anthony List". Archived from the original on June 15, 2020. Retrieved June 14, 2020.
- ^ a b "NC SBE Contest Results". er.ncsbe.gov. North Carolina Board of Elections. Retrieved June 23, 2020.
- ^ a b Moss, Bill (December 17, 2019). "Attorney and businesswoman files for Congress". Hendersonville Lightning. Retrieved December 17, 2019.
- ^ a b Davis, Col Morris (November 19, 2019). ".@RepMarkMeadows chose not to serve in the military as I did for 25 years, so perhaps that explains why he doesn't understand where legal fits in a chain of command. I'll bring military experience to the Hill when I take his place and I won't be an embarrassment to #NC11". @ColMorrisDavis. Retrieved November 20, 2019.
- ^ "Second Dem hopes to oppose Meadows". Smoky Mountain News. October 30, 2019. Retrieved November 21, 2019.
- ^ "Steve Woodsmall announces bid for Rep. Mark Meadows' seat". The Times-News. March 22, 2019. Retrieved April 11, 2019.
- ^ Thompson, David (December 20, 2019). "Former Congressman Heath Shuler eyeing return to politics". Asheville Citizen Times. Retrieved December 21, 2019.
- ^ "NC SBE Contest Results". North Carolina Board of Elections. Retrieved August 13, 2020.
- ^ Panetta, Grace (August 12, 2020). "New polling shows Mark Meadows' former congressional seat is in play for Democrats after a controversial 25-year-old conservative upset Trump's pick". Business Insider. Retrieved August 13, 2020.
- ^ "Equality North Carolina Endorsed Candidates 2020". EqualityNC. Equality North Carolina.
- ^ "2020 Endorsements". plannedparenthoodaction.org. Planned Parenthood Action Fund. Archived from the original on November 15, 2019. Retrieved August 14, 2020.
- ^ "Sierra Club #ClimateVoter Guide: Endorsements". Sierra Club. March 19, 2021.
- ^ "Candidates". VoteVets.org.
- ^ "NC Values Coalition Endorses Madison Cawthorn". NCValues.org.
- ^ "2020 House Race ratings". Retrieved August 14, 2020.
- ^ "2020 Senate Ratings". Senate Ratings. The Rothenberg Political Report. Retrieved October 3, 2019.
- ^ "2020 Senate race ratings". Sabato's Crystal Ball. Archived from the original on August 22, 2019. Retrieved August 28, 2019.
- ^ "2020 Election Forecast". Politico. November 19, 2019.
- ^ "As the GOP's downballot woes continue, all our race ratings changes once again favor Democrats". Daily Kos Elections. Retrieved August 31, 2020.
- ^ "Battle for White House". RCP. April 19, 2019.
- ^ "2020 Negative Partisanship and the 2020 Congressional Elections". Niskanen Center. April 28, 2020. Archived from the original on June 21, 2020. Retrieved August 14, 2020.
- ^ "State Composite Abstract Report - Contest.pdf" (PDF). North Carolina State Board of Elections. Retrieved November 24, 2020.
- ^ a b "The making of Madison Cawthorn: How falsehoods helped propel the career of a new pro-Trump star of the far right". Washington Post. Retrieved February 28, 2021.
- ^ Boyle, John. "Boyle column: Cawthorn's 'Chill the f*@# out' comment is mind-boggling". The Asheville Citizen Times. Retrieved October 8, 2020.
- ^ Lewis, Sally Kestin, Tom Fiedler and Peter H. "Madison Cawthorn mingles with fringe, disavows QAnon but repeats debunked sex slave theory". The Asheville Citizen Times. Retrieved October 8, 2020.
- ^ "Key Policies | Madison Cawthorn". Retrieved October 8, 2020.
- ^ "AMBER Alerts". www.missingkids.org. Retrieved October 8, 2020.
- ^ "Amber Alert issued for abducted 1 year-old boy in Western North Carolina". WJHL | Tri-Cities News & Weather. June 29, 2018. Retrieved October 8, 2020.
- ^ a b Wang, Esther (August 10, 2020). "My Dark Journey Into the Soul of a Model Young Republican Candidate". Jezebel. Retrieved August 13, 2020.
- ^ a b Fiedler, Tom (August 12, 2020). "Madison Cawthorn's claim about Naval Academy creates false impression". Jezebel. Retrieved August 13, 2020.
- ^ Aldona, Katrina (August 13, 2020). "katrinaaldona post August 13th, 2020". katrinaaldona. Archived from the original on December 26, 2021. Retrieved August 14, 2020.
- ^ Prude, Harvey (August 16, 2020). "Rising Republican star faces accusations from women". World Magazine. Archived from the original on August 25, 2020. Retrieved August 16, 2020.
- ^ https://disclosures-clerk.house.gov/public_disc/financial-pdfs/2020/10033653.pdf
- ^ Moon, Paul. "'I figured he would get it eventually': Cawthorn says Trump's diagnosis doesn't change his virus approach". The Asheville Citizen Times. Retrieved October 8, 2020.
- ^ Sinclair, Harriet (November 18, 2019). "Col. Morris Davis Jokes Trump Visited Hospital for Acute Case of Chapping Caused by Mark Meadows Sucking Up". Newsweek. Retrieved August 13, 2020.
External links[]
- Government Documents Round Table of the American Library Association, "North Carolina", Voting & Elections Toolkits
- "North Carolina: Election Tools, Deadlines, Dates, Rules, and Links", Vote.org, Oakland, CA
- "League of Women Voters of North Carolina". (State affiliate of the U.S. League of Women Voters)
- North Carolina at Ballotpedia
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'S' = Special election | |||||
- 2020 United States House of Representatives elections
- United States House of Representatives elections in North Carolina
- 2020 North Carolina elections