2020–21 United States Senate special election in Georgia
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Turnout | 65.3% ![]() ![]() | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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![]() Map key Warnock: 20–30% 30–40% 40–50% 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% 80–90% Loeffler: 20–30% 30–40% 40–50% 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% 80–90% 90–100% Collins: 20–30% 30–40% 40–50% 50–60% | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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Elections in Georgia |
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The 2020–21 United States Senate special election in Georgia was held on November 3, 2020 and on January 5, 2021 (as a runoff), to elect the Class III member of the United States Senate to represent the State of Georgia. Democrat Raphael Warnock defeated appointed incumbent Republican Kelly Loeffler. The first round of the election was held on November 3, 2020, however, no candidate received a majority of the vote, so the top two candidates—Warnock and Loeffler—advanced to a runoff on January 5, 2021.
The election arose from the resignation of Republican Class III Senator Johnny Isakson in December 2019. Georgia Governor Brian Kemp appointed Loeffler to serve as Isakson's interim replacement on January 6, 2020. Because of this, Warnock's term will conclude on January 3, 2023, and he will have the option to run for reelection to a full term in 2022.
In accordance with Georgia law, no primary election took place for the special election; all candidates, regardless of party, were placed on the same ballot (known as a nonpartisan blanket primary), and the election was held on November 3, 2020. Warnock received the most votes with 32.9%, and Loeffler came in second with 25.9%. As no candidate received more than 50% of the vote, the top two candidates advanced to a runoff election on January 5, 2021.[1]
The runoff was held concurrently with the regular Georgia Class II Senate election, in which Democrat Jon Ossoff defeated incumbent Republican David Perdue, also in a runoff on January 5. Following the November 3, 2020 Senate elections, Republicans held 50 Senate seats and the Democratic caucus—consisting of 46 registered Democrats and two allied independents—held 48. Because of this, the two Georgia runoffs determined the balance of the United States Senate under the incoming Biden administration. Winning both races gave the Democratic caucus 50 Senate seats, an effective majority with Democratic Vice President Kamala Harris casting tie-breaking votes. The extraordinarily high political stakes caused the races to attract significant attention nationwide and globally.
Major media outlets, including Decision Desk HQ, the Associated Press, The New York Times, and NBC News, called the election for Warnock in the early hours of January 6, just minutes after he apparently declared victory. Though Loeffler vowed to challenge the results after she returned from the electoral vote certification in Washington,[2] she conceded on January 7.[3] Ossoff and Warnock became the first Democrats to be elected to the U.S. Senate from Georgia since Zell Miller in the 2000 special election. Warnock is the first African-American senator from Georgia, as well as the first African-American Democrat from the South elected to the Senate.[4] Hours later, Ossoff was declared the winner in the regular Senate election.[5][6] The two elections mark the first time since the 1994 United States Senate election in Tennessee and the concurrent special election that both Senate seats in a state have flipped from one party to the other in a single election cycle.
The election results were certified on January 19, 2021, with the senators-elect taking office on January 20.[7][8][9]
Background[]
On August 28, 2019, Isakson announced that he would resign from the Senate effective December 31 due to his deteriorating health.[10] This triggered a special election to fill the remainder of his term. On September 17, Georgia Governor Brian Kemp launched a website inviting Georgia citizens to submit their résumés in order to be considered for appointment.[11] President Donald Trump advocated the appointment of Representative Doug Collins.[12] Kemp appointed Loeffler to fill the seat until the 2020 special election; she took office on January 6, 2020.[13]
Candidates[]
Democratic Party[]
Despite the large number of candidates in the special election, by October 4, 2020, the Democratic Party had largely consolidated around Warnock's candidacy and had pressured other Democratic candidates, such as Matt Lieberman, to drop out to avoid vote-splitting.[14]
While she had not been treated as a major contender, being largely ignored by pollsters, Deborah Jackson received 6.6% of the vote in the initial round of the election, being the second-best performing Democrat, and outperformed fellow Democrats such Matt Lieberman and Ed Tarver, who pollsters had paid attention to. Al Jazeera attributed her performance, in part, to her being the first Democrat listed in the order candidates appeared on the on the ballot and her being a familiar figure in the Democratic stronghold of DeKalb County.[15]
Advanced to runoff[]
- Raphael Warnock, senior pastor of Ebenezer Baptist Church[16]
Eliminated[]
- Deborah Jackson, attorney and former mayor of Lithonia[17]
- Jamesia James, businesswoman and U.S. Air Force veteran[17]
- Tamara Johnson-Shealey, businesswoman and frequent candidate[17]
- Matt Lieberman, businessman, activist, and son of Joe Lieberman, former U.S. Senator from Connecticut[18]
- Joy Felicia Slade, physician[17]
- Ed Tarver, former United States Attorney for the Southern District of Georgia and former state senator[19][20]
- Richard Dien Winfield, professor and candidate for Georgia's 10th congressional district in 2018[21]
Declined[]
- Stacey Abrams, nominee for Governor of Georgia in 2018 and former minority leader of the Georgia House of Representatives (endorsed Raphael Warnock)[22]
- Sherry Boston, DeKalb County District Attorney[22][23]
- Jason Carter, nominee for Governor of Georgia in 2014, former state senator, and grandson of former U.S. President Jimmy Carter (endorsed Raphael Warnock)[24]
- Stacey Evans, candidate for Governor of Georgia in 2018 and former state representative (running for state house)[25]
- Jen Jordan, state senator[26][27]
- Lucy McBath, incumbent U.S. Representative for Georgia's 6th congressional district (running for re-election)[28]
- Michelle Nunn, CEO of CARE USA and nominee for U.S. Senate in 2014; daughter of former Senator Sam Nunn.[29]
- Jon Ossoff, documentary filmmaker and nominee for Georgia's 6th congressional district in 2017 (successfully ran for Class 2 seat)[30]
- Mike Thurmond, DeKalb County chief executive, former Labor Commissioner of Georgia, and nominee for U.S. Senate in 2010[26]
- Teresa Tomlinson, former mayor of Columbus (ran in the Democratic primary for the Class 2 seat)[31][32]
- Nikema Williams, state senator and Chair of the Georgia Democratic Party[28]
- Sally Yates, former United States Deputy Attorney General[33][34]
Endorsements[]
- U.S. Presidents
- Jimmy Carter, 39th President of the United States (1977-1981), Governor of Georgia (1971-1975)[36]
- Barack Obama, 44th President of the United States (2009-2017), U.S. Senator from Illinois (2005-2008)[37]
- Joe Biden, 46th President of the United States (2021-present), 47th Vice President of the United States (2009–2017), U.S. Senator from Delaware (1973–2009),[38]
- U.S. Vice President
- Kamala Harris, 49th Vice President of the United States, U.S. Senator from California (2017-2021)[39]
- U.S. Cabinet Members
- Andrew Young, former mayor of Atlanta (1982–1990), former U.S. Ambassador to the United Nations (1977–1979), and U.S. Representative for GA-05 (1973–1977)[40]
- U.S. Senators
- Tammy Baldwin, U.S. Senator (WI)[41]
- Michael Bennet, U.S. Senator (CO)[41]
- Cory Booker, U.S. Senator (NJ)[42]
- Sherrod Brown, U.S. Senator (OH)[42]
- Bob Casey, U.S. Senator (PA)[41]
- Maria Cantwell, U.S. Senator (WA)[41]
- Max Cleland, former U.S. Senator (GA) (1997-2003), former Georgia Secretary of State (1983-96), and former Administrator of Veterans Affairs (1977-81)[43]
- Chris Coons, U.S. Senator (DE)[41]
- Catherine Cortez Masto, U.S. Senator (NV)[41]
- Tammy Duckworth, U.S. Senator (IL)[41]
- Dick Durbin, U.S. Senator (IL)[41]
- Wyche Fowler, former U.S. Senator (GA) and former U.S. Ambassador to Saudi Arabia[44]
- Kirsten Gillibrand, U.S. Senator (NY)[41]
- Maggie Hassan, U.S. Senator (NH)[41]
- Martin Heinrich, U.S. Senator (NM)[41]
- Tim Kaine, U.S. Senator (VA)[41]
- Amy Klobuchar, U.S. Senator (MN)[41]
- Chris Murphy, U.S. Senator (CT)[42]
- Ed Markey, U.S. Senator (MA)[41]
- Jeff Merkley, U.S. Senator (OR)[41]
- Patty Murray, U.S. Senator (WA)[41]
- Jack Reed, U.S. Senator (RI)[41]
- Bernie Sanders, U.S. Senator (VT)[45]
- Jeanne Shaheen, U.S. Senator (NH)[41]
- Debbie Stabenow, U.S. Senator (MI)[41]
- Brian Schatz, U.S. Senator (HI)[41]
- Tina Smith, U.S. Senator (MN)[41]
- Tom Udall, U.S. Senator (NM)[41]
- Mark Warner, U.S. Senator (VA)[41]
- Elizabeth Warren, U.S. Senator (MA)[46]
- Sheldon Whitehouse, U.S. Senator (RI)[41]
- Ron Wyden, U.S. Senator (OR)[41]
- U.S. Representatives
- Sanford Bishop, U.S. Representative for GA-02[47]
- Jim Clyburn, U.S. Representative for SC-06 and House Majority Whip[48]
- Hank Johnson, U.S. Representative for GA-04[41]
- John Lewis, U.S. Representative for GA-05 (Deceased)[49]
- Ayanna Pressley, U.S. Representative for MA-07[41]
- David Scott, U.S. Representative for GA-13[47]
- State Legislators
- Stacey Abrams, nominee for Governor of Georgia in 2018 and former minority leader of the Georgia House of Representatives[50]
- Erick Allen, State Representative[51]
- Debra Bazemore, State Representative[51]
- William Boddie, State Representative and House Minority Whip[51]
- Roger Bruce, State Representative[51]
- Park Cannon, State Representative[51]
- Jason Carter, nominee for Governor of Georgia in 2014, former State Senator, and grandson of former U.S. President Jimmy Carter[24]
- Karla Drenner, State Representative[41]
- David Dreyer, State Representative[24]
- Becky Evans, State Representative[51]
- Stacey Evans, former State Representative[43]
- Pat Gardner, State Representative[51]
- Steve Henson, State Senator and Senate Minority Leader[51]
- El-Mahdi Holly, State Representative[51]
- Jen Jordan, State Senator[51]
- Pedro Marin, State Representative[51]
- Dewey McClain, State Representative[51]
- Donna McLeod, State Representative[51]
- Bee Nguyen, State Representative[24]
- Mary Margaret Oliver, State Representative and former State Senator[51]
- Nan Orrock, State Senator and former State Representative[41]
- Elena Parent, State Senator[24]
- Sam Park, State Representative[51]
- Renitta Shannon, State Representative[24]
- Horacena Tate, State Senator[51]
- Mable Thomas, State Representative[51]
- Bob Trammell, State Representative and House Minority Leader[43]
- Local officials
- Marvin S. Arrington Sr., former President of the Atlanta City Council (1980-97)[52]
- Lisa Borders, former President of the Atlanta City Council (2004-10)[52]
- Felicia Moore, current President of the Atlanta City Council[52][53]
- Cathy Woolard, former President of the Atlanta City Council (2002-04)[41]
- Organizations
- Black Economic Alliance[54]
- Brady PAC[55]
- CBC PAC[41]
- Center for Biological Diversity[56]
- Democracy for America[57]
- DSCC[41]
- End Citizens United[58]
- Everytown for Gun Safety[59]
- Georgia AFL-CIO[60]
- Jewish Democratic Council of America[61]
- League of Conservation Voters[62]
- Let America Vote[58]
- NARAL[63]
- National Education Association[64]
- Natural Resources Defense Council Action Fund[65]
- Planned Parenthood Action Fund[66]
- Sierra Club[67]
- United Auto Workers[68]
- Working Families Party[69]
- Climate Hawks Vote[70]
- Individuals
- Kareem Abdul-Jabbar, former basketball player
- Amy Acker, actress[71]
- Patrick J. Adams, actor[71]
- Jaylyn Agnew, professional basketball player for the Atlanta Dream of the Women's National Basketball Association (WNBA)[72]
- Usman Ally, actor[73]
- Ed Asner, actor[74]
- Dan Bakkedahl, actor[73]
- Troian Bellisario, actress[71]
- Monique Billings, professional basketball player for the Atlanta Dream of the Women's National Basketball Association (WNBA)[72]
- Sufe Bradshaw, actress[73]
- Brittany Brewer, professional basketball player for the Atlanta Dream of the Women's National Basketball Association (WNBA)[72]
- Kalani Brown, professional basketball player for the Atlanta Dream of the Women's National Basketball Association (WNBA)[72]
- Chennedy Carter, professional basketball player for the Atlanta Dream of the Women's National Basketball Association (WNBA)[72]
- Don Cheadle, actor[73]
- Anna Chlumsky, actress[73]
- Stephen Colbert, actor and comedian[73]
- Gary Cole, actor[73]
- David Costabile, actor[71]
- Bryan Cranston, actor[73]
- Denise Crosby, actress[71]
- Zooey Deschanel, actress[74]
- Blake Dietrick, professional basketball player for the Atlanta Dream of the Women's National Basketball Association (WNBA)[72]
- Julia Louis-Dreyfus, actress[73]
- Kevin Dunn, actor[73]
- Clea DuVall, actress[73]
- Billie Eilish, singer[75]
- Beanie Feldstein, actress[73]
- Will Ferrell, actor[74]
- Nelson Franklin, actor[73]
- Josh Gad, actor[76]
- Tony Hale, actor[73]
- Mark Hamill, actor[73]
- Rachael Harris, actress[71]
- Ed Helms, actor and comedian[74]
- Taraji P. Henson, actress[76]
- Rick Hoffman, actor[71]
- Alexis Jones, professional basketball player for the Atlanta Dream of the Women's National Basketball Association (WNBA)[72]
- Aaron Korsh, writer and producer[71]
- Betnijah Laney, professional basketball player for the Atlanta Dream of the Women's National Basketball Association (WNBA)[72]
- John Legend, singer and songwriter[76]
- Lisa Ling, journalist and author[76]
- John Lithgow, actor[74]
- Eva Longoria, actress and activist[76]
- Gabriel Macht, actor[71]
- Rory O'Malley, actor[76]
- David Mandel, writer and director[73]
- Dikembe Mutombo, humanitarian and former basketball player
- Kumail Nanjiani, actor[73]
- Bob Newhart, actor[74]
- Matt Oberg, actor[73]
- Jon Ossoff, Democratic nominee in 2020–21 United States Senate election in Georgia and Democratic nominee in 2017 Georgia's 6th congressional district special election[43]
- Patton Oswalt, actor and comedian[73]
- Lennon Parham, actress[73]
- David Pasquesi, actor[73]
- Jordan Peele, actor, director and comedian[76]
- Sarah Rafferty, actress[71]
- Anthony Rapp, actor[76]
- Sam Richardson, actor[73]
- Andy Richter, actor and comedian[74]
- Paul Scheer, actor[73]
- Amanda Schull, actress[71]
- Reid Scott, actor[73]
- Amy Sedaris, actress[74]
- Timothy Simons, actor[73]
- Mary Steenburgen, actress[74]
- Shekinna Stricklen, professional basketball player for the Atlanta Dream of the Women's National Basketball Association (WNBA)[72]
- Sarah Sutherland, actress[73]
- George Takei, actor and activist[76]
- Max Topplin, actor[71]
- Gina Torres, actress[71]
- Matt Walsh, actor[73]
- Kerry Washington, actress[76]
- Courtney Williams, professional basketball player for the Atlanta Dream of the Women's National Basketball Association (WNBA)[72]
- Elizabeth Williams, professional basketball player for the Atlanta Dream of the Women's National Basketball Association (WNBA)[72]
- D. B. Woodside, actor[71]
- Bowen Yang, actor and comedian[76]
Republican Party[]
Advanced to runoff[]
- Kelly Loeffler, incumbent U.S. Senator
Eliminated[]
- Doug Collins, incumbent U.S. Representative for Georgia's 9th congressional district[77]
- Derrick Grayson, minister, network engineer, software developer, perennial candidate, U.S. Navy veteran[17]
- Annette Davis Jackson, businesswoman and candidate for Georgia State Senate in 2016[17]
- Kandiss Taylor, student services coordinator for Appling County Board of Education[78]
Withdrawn[]
- Ervan Katari Miller, perennial candidate[79][80]
- Wayne Johnson, former chief operating officer of the Office of Federal Student Aid[81] (remained on ballot)
Declined[]
- Nick Ayers, former chief of staff to Vice President Mike Pence[82]
- Ashley Bell, regional administrator for the Small Business Administration[citation needed]
- Paul Broun, former U.S. Representative for Georgia's 10th congressional district[83]
- Buddy Carter, incumbent U.S. Representative for Georgia's 1st congressional district[84]
- Geoff Duncan, incumbent Lieutenant Governor of Georgia[85]
- Stuart Frohlinger, finance expert[86][87]
- Tom Graves, incumbent U.S. Representative for Georgia's 14th congressional district[85]
- Karen Handel, former U.S. Representative and former Georgia Secretary of State (running for Georgia's 6th congressional district)[88]
- Scott Hilton, former state representative (endorsed Loeffler)[89]
- Jan Jones, Speaker pro tempore of the Georgia House of Representatives[90]
- Brian Kemp, incumbent Governor of Georgia[91] (endorsed Loeffler)[92]
- Butch Miller, state senator[93]
- B. J. Pak, United States Attorney for the Northern District of Georgia and former state representative[83]
- Sonny Perdue, United States Secretary of Agriculture and former Governor of Georgia[93]
- Tom Price, former United States Secretary of Health and Human Services and former U.S. Representative for Georgia's 6th congressional district[94]
- U.S. President
- Donald Trump, 45th President of the United States
- U.S. Vice President
- Mike Pence, 48th Vice President of the United States
- Federal officials
- Bob Barr, former U.S. Representative (GA-07)[95]
- Marsha Blackburn, U.S. Senator from Tennessee[96]
- Tom Cotton, U.S. Senator from Arkansas[97]
- Joni Ernst, U.S. Senator from Iowa[98]
- Deb Fischer, U.S. Senator from Nebraska[99]
- Newt Gingrich, 2012 Republican presidential candidate and former House Speaker (1995-1999) and U.S. Representative (GA-06) (1979-1999)[100]
- Richard Grenell, former United States Ambassador to Germany[101]
- Nikki Haley, former United States Ambassador to the United Nations[95]
- Mitch McConnell, U.S. Senator (R-KY) and Senate Majority Leader[102][103]
- Tom Price, former United States Secretary of Health and Human Services[95]
- Marco Rubio, U.S. Senator from Florida[104]
- Tim Scott, U.S. Senator from South Carolina[105]
- Elise Stefanik, U.S. Representative (NY-21)[106]
- State officials
- Mark Butler, Labor Commissioner of Georgia[107]
- Chris Carr, state Attorney General[108]
- Geoff Duncan, Lieutenant Governor and former state representative (2013-2017)[109]
- Tim Echols, Member of the Georgia Public Service Commission from the 2nd District[110]
- Larry Hogan, Governor of Maryland (2015-present)[111]
- Brian Kemp, Governor and former state Secretary of State (2010-2018) and state senator (2003-2007)[92]
- John King, Insurance Commissioner of Georgia[110]
- Organizations
- Club for Growth PAC[112]
- Family Policy Alliance of Georgia[113]
- Georgia Life Alliance[114]
- Maggie's List[115]
- National Republican Senatorial Committee[116]
- National Right to Life Committee[117]
- Senate Leadership Fund[113]
- Susan B. Anthony List Candidate Fund[118]
- Winning for Women[119]
- Individuals
- Marjorie Taylor Greene, 2020 Republican nominee for Georgia's 14th congressional district[120]
- Ivanka Trump, daughter of, and senior advisor to, U.S. President Donald Trump[citation needed][121][failed verification]
- Herschel Walker, Heisman Trophy winner and former professional football player[122]
- Federal officials
- Andy Biggs, U.S. Representative (AZ-05)[123]
- Drew Ferguson, U.S. Representative (GA-03)[124]
- Michael Flynn, former United States National Security Advisor[125]
- Karen Handel, former U.S. Representative (GA-06) (2017-2019)[126]
- Devin Nunes, U.S. Representative (CA-22)[127]
- State officials
- Gary Black, state Agriculture Commissioner[128]
- Nathan Deal, Governor of Georgia (2011-2019)[129]
- Mike Huckabee, 2008 and 2016 Republican presidential candidate and former Governor of Arkansas (1996-2007)[130]
- David Ralston, state representative and state House speaker[112]
- Local officials
- Rudy Giuliani, advisor to U.S. President Donald Trump, 2008 Republican presidential candidate, former Mayor of New York (1994-2001), and Republican candidate in the 2000 U.S. Senate election in New York[131]
- Individuals
- Roger Stone, political consultant[132]
- Bernard Kerik, former New York City Police Commissioner.
- Organizations
- American Conservative Union (ACU) PAC[133]
- GOPAC[134]
- Great America PAC[135]
Libertarian Party[]
Declared[]
- Brian Slowinski, Republican candidate for Georgia's 10th congressional district in 2014[136]
Green Party[]
Declared[]
- John "Green" Fortuin[80]
Independents[]
Declared[]
- Al Bartell, businessman, former Republican and Vietnam-era Air Force veteran[137][138][139]
- Allen Buckley, attorney, accountant, Libertarian nominee for the U.S. Senate in 2004, 2008, 2016 and nominee for Lieutenant Governor of Georgia in 2006
- Michael Todd Greene[140][80]
- Rod Mack (as a write-in candidate), member of the City of Hapeville Board of Appeals and candidate in the 2018 Georgia gubernatorial election[80]
- Valencia Stovall, state representative[80]
Special election[]
Polling[]
Jungle primary[]
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[a] |
Margin of error |
Doug Collins (R) |
Matt Lieberman (D) |
Kelly Loeffler (R) |
Ed Tarver (D) |
Raphael Warnock (D) |
Other | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Landmark Communications | November 1, 2020 | 500 (LV) | ± 4.4% | 24% | 5% | 27% | 1% | 38% | 1%[b] | 3% |
Data for Progress | October 27 – November 1, 2020 | 1,036 (LV) | ± 3% | 21% | 8% | 26% | 3% | 41% | 1%[c] | – |
Emerson College | October 29–31, 2020 | 749 (LV) | ± 3.5% | 27%[d] | 8% | 24% | 2% | 38% | 2%[e] | – |
Landmark Communications | October 28, 2020 | 750 (LV) | ± 3.6% | 23% | 9% | 25% | 1% | 37% | 2%[f] | 3% |
Public Policy Polling | October 27–28, 2020 | 661 (V) | – | 19% | 2% | 27% | 0% | 46% | 2%[e] | 4% |
Monmouth University | October 23–27, 2020 | 504 (RV) | ± 4.4% | 18% | 4% | 21% | 3% | 41% | 7%[g] | 6% |
504 (LV)[h] | 19% | – | 22% | – | 41% | – | – | |||
504 (LV)[i] | 20% | – | 22% | – | 42% | – | – | |||
Civiqs/Daily Kos | October 23–26, 2020 | 1,041 (LV) | ± 3.3% | 23% | 2% | 22% | 1% | 48% | 2%[e] | 2% |
University of Georgia | October 14–23, 2020 | 1,145 (LV) | ± 4% | 21% | 4% | 20% | 1% | 34% | 5%[j] | 14% |
Landmark Communications | October 21, 2020 | 500 (LV) | ± 4.4% | 27% | – | 24% | – | 33% | – | – |
Citizen Data | October 17–20, 2020 | 1,000 (LV) | ± 3% | 19% | 4% | 23% | 1% | 41% | 3% | 10% |
Emerson College | October 17–19, 2020 | 506 (LV) | ± 4.3% | 27% | 12% | 20% | 2% | 27% | 2%[e] | 12% |
Siena College/NYT Upshot | October 13–19, 2020 | 759 (LV) | ± 4.1% | 17% | 7% | 23% | 2% | 32% | 1%[k] | 18%[l] |
Opinion Insight (R)[A] | October 12–15, 2020 | 801 (LV) | ± 3.46% | 18%[d] | 3% | 19% | 1% | 31% | 14%[m] | 18%[l] |
Quinnipiac University | October 8–12, 2020 | 1,040 (LV) | ± 3.0% | 22% | 5% | 20% | 2% | 41% | 0%[n] | 9% |
SurveyUSA | October 8–12, 2020 | 677 (LV) | ± 5.7% | 20% | 8% | 26% | 3% | 30% | 2%[o] | 12% |
Data for Progress | October 8–11, 2020 | 782 (LV) | ± 3.5% | 22% | 10% | 22% | – | 30% | 17%[p] | – |
Public Policy Polling | October 8–9, 2020 | 528 (V) | ± 4.3% | 22% | 3% | 24% | 0% | 41% | 2%[e] | 8% |
Landmark Communications | October 7, 2020 | 600 (LV) | ± 4% | 23% | 3% | 26% | 0% | 36% | 4%[q] | 8% |
University of Georgia | September 27 – October 6, 2020 | 1,106 (LV) | ± 2.9% | 21% | 3% | 22% | 4% | 28% | 3%[r] | 19% |
Civiqs/Daily Kos | September 26–29, 2020 | 969 (LV) | ± 3.5% | 25% | 5% | 21% | 2% | 38% | 1%[s] | 7% |
Hart Research Associates (D)[B] | September 24–27, 2020 | 400 (LV) | ± 4.9% | 21% | 8%[t] | 28% | 3% | 28% | – | – |
Quinnipiac University | September 23–27, 2020 | 1,125 (LV) | ± 2.9% | 22% | 9% | 23% | 4% | 31% | 0%[n] | 12% |
Redfield & Wilton Strategies | September 23–26, 2020 | 789 (LV) | ± 3.49% | 16% | 16% | 25% | – | 26% | 3%[u] | 14% |
Monmouth University | September 17–21, 2020 | 402 (RV) | ± 4.9% | 22% | 11% | 23% | 4% | 21% | 6%[v] | 13% |
402 (LV)[h] | 23% | 11% | 23% | 3% | 23% | 5%[w] | 12% | |||
402 (LV)[i] | 24% | 9% | 23% | 2% | 25% | 4%[x] | 12% | |||
Siena College/NYT Upshot | September 16–21, 2020 | 523 (LV) | ± 4.9% | 19% | 7% | 23% | 4% | 19% | 1%[k] | 27%[l] |
University of Georgia | September 11–20, 2020 | 1,150 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 21% | 11% | 24% | 5% | 20% | 4%[y] | 16% |
Data For Progress (D) | September 14–19, 2020 | 800 (LV) | ± 3.5% | 22% | 14% | 21% | – | 26% | – | 17% |
Redfield & Wilton Strategies | September 12–17, 2020 | 800 (LV) | ± 3.46% | 19% | 15% | 26% | – | 21% | 5%[z] | 15% |
GBAO Strategies (D)[C] | September 14–16, 2020 | 600 (LV) | ± 4% | 19% | 11% | 29% | 5% | 25% | – | – |
Fabrizio Ward/Hart Research Associates[D] | August 30 – September 5, 2020 | 800 (LV) | ± 3.5% | 20% | 10% | 24% | 7% | 19% | 1%[aa] | 19% |
Opinion Insight (R)[A] | August 30 – September 2, 2020 | 800 (LV) | ± 3.46% | 20%[d] | 4% | 17% | 1% | 17% | 13%[ab] | 27% |
HarrisX (D)[E] | August 20–30, 2020 | 1,616 (RV) | ± 2.4% | 21% | 13% | 26% | 7% | 16% | 18%[ac] | – |
SurveyUSA | August 6–8, 2020 | 623 (LV) | ± 5.3% | 17% | 13% | 26% | 3% | 17% | 2%[o] | 21% |
HIT Strategies (D)[F] | July 23–31, 2020 | 400 (RV) | ± 4.9% | 18% | 14% | 22% | 6% | 14% | 1%[ad] | 23% |
Monmouth University | July 23–27, 2020 | 402 (RV) | ± 4.9% | 20% | 14% | 26% | 5% | 9% | 8%[ae] | 18% |
402 (LV)[h] | 21% | 14% | 26% | 5% | 10% | 6%[af] | 17% | |||
402 (LV)[i] | 22% | 13% | 26% | 4% | 10% | 6%[af] | 19% | |||
Spry Strategies (R)[G] | July 11–16, 2020 | 700 (LV) | ± 3.7% | 20% | 23% | 19% | 9% | – | – | 20% |
GBAO Strategies (D)[C] | July 6–9, 2020 | 600 (LV) | – | 26% | 19% | 21% | 9% | 16% | – | – |
Battleground Connect (R)[H] | July 6–8, 2020 | 600 (LV) | ± 4% | 26% | 15% | 17% | 5% | 10% | 2%[e] | 26% |
Gravis Marketing (R)[I] | July 2, 2020 | 513 (LV) | ± 4.3% | 26% | 11% | 24% | 9% | 18% | – | 12% |
Public Policy Polling (D)[J] | June 25–26, 2020 | 734 (RV) | ± 3.6% | 23% | 11% | 21% | 3% | 20% | – | 22% |
MRG (D)[K] | June 18–23, 2020 | 1,259 (LV) | – | 27% | 13% | 21% | – | 23% | 5%[ag] | 12% |
Civiqs/Daily Kos | May 16–18, 2020 | 1,339 (RV) | ± 3.1% | 34% | 14% | 12% | 6% | 18% | 4%[ah] | 12% |
Public Opinion Strategies (R) | May 4–7, 2020 | 500 (LV) | ± 4.38% | 19% | 17% | 18% | – | 9% | 11%[ai] | 26% |
Cygnal (R)[L] | April 25–27, 2020 | 591 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 29% | 12% | 11% | 4% | 11% | 2%[aj] | 31% |
Battleground Connect (R)[H] | March 31 – April 1, 2020 | 1,035 (LV) | ± 3.01% | 36% | 11% | 13% | 3% | 16% | 4%[ak] | 17% |
Battleground Connect (R)[H] | March 24, 2020 | 1,025 (LV)[t] | – | 34% | 18% | 14% | 5% | 13% | – | 15% |
Battleground Connect (R)[H] | March 21, 2020 | 1,025 (LV)[t] | – | 32% | 19% | 15% | 5% | 12% | – | 18% |
Battleground Connect (R)[H] | March 12, 2020 | 1,025 (LV)[t] | – | 30% | 18% | 19% | 5% | 10% | – | 18% |
Battleground Connect (R)[H] | March 7, 2020 | 1,025 (LV)[t] | – | 29% | 16% | 20% | 5% | 12% | – | 18% |
University of Georgia | February 24 – March 2, 2020 | 1,117 (LV) | ± 2.9% | 21% | 11% | 19% | 4% | 6% | 8%[al] | 31% |
Battleground Connect (R)[H] | February 26–27, 2020 | 1,050 (LV) | ± 3.0% | 28% | 5% | 20% | 3% | 13% | – | 31% |
Public Opinion Strategies (R)[M] | February 17–20, 2020 | 600 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 19% | 18% | 20% | –[am] | – | 7%[an] | 21% |
McLaughlin & Associates (R)[H] | December 16–18, 2019 | 600 (LV) | – | 32% | 42% | 11% | – | — | — | 16% |
Predictions[]
Source | Ranking | As of |
---|---|---|
The Cook Political Report[141] | Tossup | October 29, 2020 |
Inside Elections[142] | Tilt R | October 28, 2020 |
Sabato's Crystal Ball[143] | Tossup | November 2, 2020 |
Daily Kos[144] | Tossup | October 30, 2020 |
Politico[145] | Lean R | November 2, 2020 |
RCP[146] | Lean R | October 23, 2020 |
DDHQ[147] | Tossup | November 3, 2020 |
FiveThirtyEight[148] | Lean D (flip) | November 2, 2020 |
Economist[149] | Tossup | November 2, 2020 |
Results[]
Since no candidate won a majority of the vote on November 3, the top two finishers—Loeffler and Warnock—advanced to a January 5, 2021 runoff election.[150][151]
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Democratic | Raphael Warnock | 1,617,035 | 32.9 | |
Republican | Kelly Loeffler (incumbent) | 1,273,214 | 25.9 | |
Republican | Doug Collins | 980,454 | 20.0 | |
Democratic | Deborah Jackson | 324,118 | 6.6 | |
Democratic | Matt Lieberman | 136,021 | 2.8 | |
Democratic | Tamara Johnson-Shealey | 106,767 | 2.2 | |
Democratic | Jamesia James | 94,406 | 1.9 | |
Republican | Derrick Grayson | 51,592 | 1.1 | |
Democratic | Joy Felicia Slade | 44,945 | 0.9 | |
Republican | Annette Davis Jackson | 44,335 | 0.9 | |
Republican | Kandiss Taylor | 40,349 | 0.8 | |
Republican | Wayne Johnson (withdrawn) | 36,176 | 0.7 | |
Libertarian | Brian Slowinski | 35,431 | 0.7 | |
Democratic | Richard Dien Winfield | 28,687 | 0.6 | |
Democratic | Ed Tarver | 26,333 | 0.5 | |
Independent | Allen Buckley | 17,954 | 0.4 | |
Green | John Fortuin | 15,293 | 0.3 | |
Independent | Al Bartell | 14,640 | 0.3 | |
Independent | Valencia Stovall | 13,318 | 0.3 | |
Independent | Michael Todd Greene | 13,293 | 0.2 | |
Total votes | 4,914,361 | 100.0 |
Runoff[]
The runoff election for Isakson's former seat was on January 5, 2021. The runoff election for the Georgia U.S. Senate seat held by Republican David Perdue was also decided in a January 5 runoff. Before the Georgia runoffs in the 2020 U.S. Senate elections, Republicans held 50 Senate seats and the Democratic caucus held 48.[153] Warnock declared victory on January 6, 2021.[154] If Democrats won the other Georgia runoff held on January 5, their caucus would gain control of the Senate, as the resultant 50–50 tie would be broken by Democratic vice president-elect Kamala Harris. If they lost the second race, Republicans would retain control.[155] The extremely high political stakes caused the races to attract significant attention nationwide.[156][157][158] They were the third and fourth Senate runoff elections held in Georgia since runoffs were first mandated in 1964, after runoffs in 1992[citation needed] and 2008.[159] It was also the third time that both of Georgia's Senate seats have been up for election at the same time, following double-barrel elections in 1914 and 1932.[citation needed] The Associated Press and other major news outlets called the race for Warnock in the early morning hours of January 6.[160] His win was attributed to heavy black voter turnout.[161]
The deadline for registration for the runoff election was December 7.[162] Absentee ballots for the runoff were sent out beginning on November 18, and in-person voting began on December 14.[163][164]
Predictions[]
Source | Ranking | As of |
---|---|---|
Inside Elections[165] | Tossup | December 14, 2020 |
Sabato's Crystal Ball[166] | Tossup | January 5, 2021 |
Polling[]
Aggregate polls[]
Source of poll aggregation |
Dates administered |
Dates updated |
Kelly Loeffler Republican |
Raphael Warnock Democratic |
Undecided [ao] |
Margin |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
270 To Win | December 30, 2020 – January 4, 2021 | January 4, 2021 | 47.4% | 50.2% | 2.4% | Warnock +2.8 |
RealClearPolitics | December 14, 2020 – January 4, 2021 | January 5, 2021 | 48.8% | 49.3% | 1.9% | Warnock +0.5 |
538 | November 9, 2020 – January 4, 2021 | January 5, 2021 | 47.2% | 49.4% | 2.2% | Warnock +2.1 |
Average | 47.8% | 49.6% | 2.2% | Warnock +1.8 |
Poll source |
Date(s) administered |
Sample size[a] |
Margin of error |
Kelly Loeffler (R) |
Raphael Warnock (D) |
Other | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Trafalgar Group | January 2–4, 2021 | 1,056 (LV) | ± 2.9% | 50% | 48% | – | 2% |
AtlasIntel | January 2–4, 2021 | 857 (LV) | ± 3% | 47% | 51% | – | 2% |
InsiderAdvantage | January 3, 2021 | 500 (LV) | ± 4.4% | 49% | 49% | – | 2% |
National Research Inc | January 2–3, 2021 | 500 (LV) | ± 4.4% | 45% | 46% | – | 9% |
University of Nevada Las Vegas Lee Business School | December 30, 2020 – January 3, 2021 | 550 (LV) | ± 4% | 49% | 48% | – | 3% |
Targoz Market Research | December 30, 2020 – January 3, 2021 | 713 (LV) | ± 3.7% | 49% | 51% | – | 0% |
1,342 (RV) | 48% | 49% | – | 3% | |||
AtlasIntel | December 25, 2020 – January 1, 2021 | 1,680 (LV) | ± 2% | 47% | 51% | – | 2% |
Gravis Marketing | December 29–30, 2020 | 1,011 (LV) | ± 3.1% | 47% | 49% | – | 3% |
JMC Analytics and Polling | December 28–29, 2020 | 500 (LV) | ± 4.4% | 45% | 54% | – | 1% |
Trafalgar Group | December 23–27, 2020 | 1,022 (LV) | ± 3.0% | 49% | 50% | – | 1% |
Open Model Project | December 21–27, 2020 | 1,405 (LV) | ± 4.7% | 50% | 46% | – | 4% |
InsiderAdvantage | December 21–22, 2020 | 500 (LV) | ± 4.4% | 47% | 49% | – | 4% |
Mellman Group | December 18–22, 2020 | 578 (LV) | ± 4.1% | 47% | 50% | – | 3% |
Reconnect Research/Probolsky Research | December 14–22, 2020 | 1,027 (LV) | ± 4% | 42% | 43% | – | 15% |
SurveyUSA | December 16–20, 2020 | 600 (LV) | ± 5.1% | 45% | 52% | – | 3% |
Trafalgar Group | December 14–16, 2020 | 1,064 (LV) | ± 3.0% | 52% | 46% | – | 2% |
Emerson College | December 14–16, 2020 | 605 (LV) | ± 3.9% | 51% | 48% | – | 1% |
InsiderAdvantage | December 14, 2020 | 500 (LV) | ± 4.4% | 49% | 48% | – | 3% |
Wick | December 10–14, 2020 | 1,500 (LV) | – | 50% | 48% | – | 2% |
RMG Research | December 8–14, 2020 | 1,417 (LV) | ± 2.6% | 48% | 49% | – | 4% |
Baris/Peach State Battleground Poll | December 4–11, 2020 | 1,008 (LV) | ± 3.1% | 43% | 48% | – | 9% |
Trafalgar Group | December 8–10, 2020 | 1,018 (LV) | ± 3.0% | 50% | 47% | – | 3% |
Fabrizio Ward/Hart Research Associates | November 30 – December 4, 2020 | 1,250 (LV) | ± 3.2% | 46% | 47% | – | 7% |
Trafalgar Group | December 1–3, 2020 | 1,083 (LV) | ± 2.9% | 50% | 45% | – | 5% |
SurveyUSA | November 27–30, 2020 | 583 (LV) | ± 5.2% | 45% | 52% | – | 2% |
RMG Research | November 19–24, 2020 | 1,377 (LV) | ± 2.6% | 46% | 48% | – | 6% |
Data for Progress | November 15–20, 2020 | 1,476 (LV) | ± 2.6% | 47% | 50% | – | 4% |
InsiderAdvantage | November 16, 2020 | 800 (LV) | ± 3.5% | 48% | 49% | – | 3% |
VCreek/AMG (R)[N] | November 10, 2020 | 300 (LV) | ± 5.6% | 50% | 46% | – | 5% |
Remington Research Group | November 8–9, 2020 | 1,450 (LV) | ± 2.6% | 49% | 48% | – | 3% |
Monmouth University | October 23–27, 2020 | 504 (LV) | ± 4.4% | 45% | 51% | – | – |
Civiqs/Daily Kos | October 23–26, 2020 | 1,041 (LV) | ± 3.4% | 37% | 51% | 9%[ap] | 2% |
Emerson College | October 17–19, 2020 | 506 (LV) | ± 4.3% | 42% | 47% | – | 12% |
Siena College/NYT Upshot | October 13–19, 2020 | 759 (LV) | ± 4.1% | 41% | 45% | – | 14%[l] |
Quinnipiac University | October 8–12, 2020 | 1,040 (LV) | ± 3.0% | 44% | 52% | 0%[n] | 4% |
Data for Progress | October 8–11, 2020 | 782 (LV) | ± 3.5% | 40% | 44% | – | 16% |
Civiqs/Daily Kos | September 26–29, 2020 | 969 (LV) | ± 3.5% | 39% | 49% | 8%[aq] | 4% |
Gravis Marketing (R)[I] | July 2, 2020 | 513 (LV) | ± 4.3% | 48% | 37% | – | 15% |
Public Policy Polling (D)[J] | June 25–26, 2020 | 734 (RV) | ± 3.6% | 40% | 43% | – | 17% |
Civiqs/Daily Kos | May 16–18, 2020 | 1,339 (RV) | ± 3.1% | 32% | 45% | 18%[ar] | 6% |
Battleground Connect (R)[H] | March 31 – April 1, 2020 | 1,035 (LV) | ± 3.0% | 40% | 41% | – | 19% |
The Progress Campaign (D) | March 12–21, 2020 | 3,042 (RV) | ± 4.5% | 38% | 38% | – | 24% |
show
Hypothetical polling |
---|
Results[]
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | ±% | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Democratic | Raphael Warnock | 2,289,113 | 51.0% | +10.0% | |
Republican | Kelly Loeffler (incumbent) | 2,195,841 | 49.0% | -5.8% | |
Total votes | 4,484,954 | 100.00% | N/A | ||
Democratic gain from Republican |
By county[]
County[168] | Raphael Warnock Democratic |
Kelly Loeffler Republican |
Margin | Total votes cast | |||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
# | % | # | % | # | % | ||
Appling | 1,596 | 21.91% | 5,690 | 78.09% | -4,094 | -56.18% | 7,286 |
Atkinson | 722 | 27.27% | 1,926 | 72.73% | -1,204 | -45.46% | 2,648 |
Bacon | 559 | 13.53% | 3,572 | 86.47% | -3,013 | -72.94% | 4,131 |
Baker | 625 | 43.40% | 815 | 56.60% | -190 | -13.20% | 1,440 |
Baldwin | 8,569 | 52.03% | 7,899 | 47.97% | 670 | 4.06% | 16,468 |
Banks | 860 | 11.55% | 6,586 | 88.45% | -6,003 | -76.90% | 7,446 |
Barrow | 9,417 | 29.36% | 22,660 | 70.64% | -13,243 | -41.28% | 32,077 |
Bartow | 10,928 | 25.43% | 32,049 | 74.57% | -21,121 | -49.14% | 42,977 |
Ben Hill | 2,193 | 38.30% | 3,533 | 61.70% | -1,340 | -23.32% | 5,726 |
Berrien | 1,145 | 17.13% | 5,539 | 82.87% | -4,394 | -65.74% | 6,684 |
Bibb | 39,972 | 62.92% | 23,555 | 37.08% | 16,417 | 25.84% | 63,527 |
Bleckley | 1,214 | 23.75% | 3,898 | 76.25% | -2,684 | -52.50% | 5,112 |
Brantley | 613 | 9.27% | 5,999 | 90.73% | -5,386 | -81.46% | 6,612 |
Brooks | 2,455 | 39.49% | 3,761 | 60.51% | -1,306 | -21.02% | 6,216 |
Bryan | 6,009 | 32.30% | 12,596 | 67.70% | -6,587 | -35.40% | 18,605 |
Bulloch | 9,848 | 37.68% | 16,287 | 62.32% | -6,439 | -24.64% | 26,135 |
Burke | 4,695 | 49.43% | 4,804 | 50.57% | -109 | -1.14% | 9,499 |
Butts | 3,026 | 29.64% | 7,183 | 70.36% | -4,157 | -40.72% | 10,209 |
Calhoun | 1,206 | 59.35% | 826 | 40.65% | 380 | 18.70% | 2,032 |
Camden | 6,807 | 34.26% | 13,063 | 65.74% | -6,256 | -31.49% | 19,870 |
Candler | 1,131 | 28.87% | 2,787 | 71.13% | -1,656 | -42.26% | 3,918 |
Carroll | 14,819 | 31.42% | 32,338 | 68.58% | -17,519 | -37.16% | 47,157 |
Catoosa | 5,985 | 21.55% | 21,792 | 78.45% | -15,807 | -56.90% | 27,777 |
Charlton | 952 | 24.42% | 2,947 | 75.58% | -1,995 | -51.16% | 3,899 |
Chatham | 72,550 | 59.83% | 48,707 | 40.17% | 23,843 | 19.66% | 121,257 |
Chattahoochee | 601 | 45.50% | 720 | 54.50% | -119 | -9.00% | 1,321 |
Chattooga | 1,686 | 20.47% | 6,550 | 79.53% | -4,864 | -59.06% | 8,236 |
Cherokee | 38,362 | 30.01% | 89,480 | 69.99% | -51,118 | -39.98% | 127,842 |
Clarke | 33,187 | 71.84% | 13,009 | 28.16% | 20,178 | 43.68% | 46,196 |
Clay | 727 | 55.50% | 583 | 44.50% | 144 | 11.00% | 1,310 |
Clayton | 91,189 | 88.57% | 11,765 | 11.43% | 79,424 | 77.14% | 102,954 |
Clinch | 616 | 25.09% | 1,839 | 74.91% | -1,223 | -49.82% | 2,455 |
Cobb | 203,876 | 56.85% | 154,714 | 43.15% | 49,162 | 13.70% | 358,590 |
Coffee | 4,082 | 30.88% | 9,137 | 69.12% | -5,055 | -38.24% | 13,129 |
Colquitt | 3,727 | 26.51% | 10,330 | 73.49% | -6,603 | -46.98% | 14,057 |
Columbia | 26,545 | 36.80% | 45,588 | 63.20% | -19,043 | -26.40% | 72,133 |
Cook | 1,895 | 30.54% | 4,310 | 69.46% | -2,415 | -38.92% | 6,205 |
Coweta | 21,825 | 32.44% | 45,462 | 67.56% | -23,637 | -35.12% | 67,287 |
Crawford | 1,502 | 27.96% | 3,869 | 72.04% | -2,367 | -44.08% | 5,371 |
Crisp | 2,702 | 37.85% | 4,436 | 62.15% | -1,734 | -24.30% | 7,138 |
Dade | 1,111 | 17.53% | 5,227 | 82.47% | -4,116 | -64.94% | 6,338 |
Dawson | 2,274 | 15.81% | 12,113 | 84.19% | -9,839 | -68.38% | 14,387 |
Decatur | 4,121 | 41.02% | 5,926 | 58.98% | -1,805 | -17.78% | 10,047 |
DeKalb | 293,902 | 84.12% | 55,479 | 15.88% | 238,423 | 68.24% | 349,381 |
Dodge | 2,021 | 28.14% | 5,160 | 71.86% | -3,139 | -43.72% | 7,181 |
Dooly | 1,812 | 48.40% | 1,932 | 51.60% | -120 | -3.20% | 3,744 |
Dougherty | 22,793 | 70.98% | 9,320 | 29.02% | 13,473 | 41.96% | 32,113 |
Douglas | 40,630 | 65.14% | 21,743 | 34.86% | 18,887 | 30.28% | 62,373 |
Early | 2,172 | 47.75% | 2,377 | 52.25% | -205 | -4.50% | 4,549 |
Echols | 128 | 10.79% | 1,058 | 89.21% | -930 | -78.42% | 1,186 |
Effingham | 7,137 | 25.66% | 20,682 | 74.34% | -13,545 | -48.68% | 27,819 |
Elbert | 2,482 | 30.97% | 5,531 | 69.03% | -3,049 | -38.06% | 8,013 |
Emanuel | 2,569 | 30.74% | 5,787 | 69.26% | -3,218 | -38.52% | 8,356 |
Evans | 1,201 | 32.11% | 2,539 | 67.89% | -1,338 | -35.78% | 3,740 |
Fannin | 2,436 | 18.13% | 11,004 | 81.88% | -8,568 | -63.75% | 13,440 |
Fayette | 31,297 | 46.44% | 36,094 | 53.56% | -4,167 | -7.12% | 67,391 |
Floyd | 10,834 | 30.27% | 24,959 | 69.73% | -14,125 | -39.46% | 35,793 |
Forsyth | 37,687 | 32.73% | 77,451 | 67.27% | -39,764 | -34.54% | 115,138 |
Franklin | 1,345 | 14.64% | 7,840 | 85.36% | -6,495 | -70.72% | 9,185 |
Fulton | 354,552 | 72.54% | 134,191 | 27.46% | 220,361 | 45.08% | 488,743 |
Gilmer | 2,697 | 18.19% | 12,132 | 81.81% | -9,435 | -63.62% | 14,829 |
Glascock | 130 | 9.53% | 1,234 | 90.47% | -1,104 | -80.94% | 1,364 |
Glynn | 13,981 | 37.35% | 23,448 | 62.65% | -9,467 | -25.30% | 37,429 |
Gordon | 3,929 | 19.30% | 16,425 | 80.70% | -12,496 | -61.40% | 20,354 |
Grady | 3,102 | 33.25% | 6,226 | 66.75% | -3,124 | -33.50% | 9,328 |
Greene | 3,758 | 35.41% | 6,855 | 64.59% | -3,097 | -29.18% | 11,247 |
Gwinnett | 224,197 | 60.63% | 145,597 | 39.37% | 78,600 | 21.26% | 369,794 |
Habersham | 3,243 | 18.00% | 14,776 | 82.00% | -11,533 | -64.00% | 18,019 |
Hall | 22,296 | 28.22% | 56,718 | 71.78% | -34,422 | -43.56% | 79,014 |
Hancock | 2,780 | 72.43% | 1,058 | 27.57% | 1,722 | 43.84% | 3,838 |
Haralson | 1,626 | 13.37% | 10,533 | 86.63% | -8,907 | -73.26% | 12,159 |
Harris | 5,034 | 27.52% | 13,258 | 72.48% | -8,224 | -44.96% | 18,292 |
Hart | 2,847 | 25.42% | 8,354 | 74.58% | -5,507 | -49.16% | 11,201 |
Heard | 801 | 17.12% | 3,877 | 82.88% | -3,076 | -65.76% | 4,678 |
Henry | 68,576 | 62.68% | 40,824 | 37.32% | 27,752 | 25.36% | 109,400 |
Houston | 29,749 | 44.81% | 36,644 | 55.19% | -6,895 | -10.38% | 66,393 |
Irwin | 885 | 24.47% | 2,732 | 75.53% | -1,847 | -51.06% | 3,617 |
Jackson | 6,925 | 21.25% | 25,658 | 78.75% | -18,733 | -57.50% | 32,583 |
Jasper | 1,683 | 24.74% | 5,120 | 75.26% | -3,437 | -50.52% | 6,803 |
Jeff Davis | 937 | 18.44% | 4,143 | 81.56% | -3,206 | -63.12% | 5,080 |
Jefferson | 3,767 | 54.39% | 3,159 | 45.61% | 608 | 8.78% | 6,926 |
Jenkins | 1,169 | 37.54% | 1,945 | 62.46% | -776 | -24.92% | 3,114 |
Johnson | 1,047 | 29.28% | 2,529 | 70.72% | -1,482 | -41.44% | 3,576 |
Jones | 4,534 | 34.00% | 8,803 | 66.00% | -4,269 | -32.00% | 13,337 |
Lamar | 2,428 | 30.40% | 5,558 | 69.60% | -3,130 | -39.20% | 7,986 |
Lanier | 910 | 29.97% | 2,126 | 70.03% | -1,216 | -40.06% | 3,036 |
Laurens | 7,435 | 36.73% | 12,806 | 63.27% | -5,371 | -26.54% | 20,241 |
Lee | 4,240 | 28.46% | 10,657 | 71.54% | -6,417 | -43.08% | 14,897 |
Liberty | 11,875 | 64.78% | 6,457 | 35.22% | 5,418 | 29.56% | 18,332 |
Lincoln | 1,317 | 31.21% | 2,903 | 68.79% | -1,586 | -37.58% | 4,220 |
Long | 1,803 | 38.87% | 2,835 | 61.13% | -1,032 | -22.26% | 4,638 |
Lowndes | 17,382 | 43.63% | 22,455 | 56.37% | -5,073 | -12.74% | 39,837 |
Lumpkin | 2,868 | 20.94% | 10,831 | 79.06% | -7,963 | -58.12% | 13,699 |
Macon | 2,685 | 62.79% | 1,591 | 37.21% | 1,094 | 25.58% | 4,276 |
Madison | 3,102 | 23.49% | 10,101 | 76.51% | -6,999 | -53.02% | 13,203 |
Marion | 1,217 | 37.90% | 1,994 | 62.10% | -777 | -24.20% | 3,211 |
McDuffie | 3,752 | 40.64% | 5,480 | 59.36% | -1,728 | -18.72% | 9,232 |
McIntosh | 2,417 | 40.64% | 3,531 | 59.36% | -1,114 | -18.72% | 5,948 |
Meriwether | 4,036 | 41.00% | 5,808 | 59.00% | -1,772 | -19.00% | 9,844 |
Miller | 651 | 26.53% | 1,803 | 73.47% | -1,152 | -46.94% | 2,454 |
Mitchell | 3,569 | 45.36% | 4,300 | 54.64% | -731 | -9.28% | 7,869 |
Monroe | 4,058 | 28.75% | 10,057 | 71.25% | -5,999 | -42.50% | 14,115 |
Montgomery | 896 | 25.41% | 2,630 | 74.59% | -1,734 | -49.18% | 3,526 |
Morgan | 3,129 | 28.91% | 7,696 | 71.09% | -4,567 | -42.18% | 10,825 |
Murray | 2,028 | 15.61% | 10,966 | 84.39% | -8,938 | -68.78% | 12,994 |
Muscogee | 45,049 | 62.99% | 26,473 | 37.01% | 18,576 | 25.98% | 71,522 |
Newton | 28,324 | 58.02% | 20,493 | 41.98% | 7,831 | 16.04% | 48,817 |
Oconee | 7,496 | 31.85% | 16,041 | 68.15% | -8,545 | -36.30% | 23,557 |
Oglethorpe | 2,259 | 31.30% | 4,959 | 68.70% | -2,700 | -37.40% | 7,218 |
Paulding | 27,335 | 36.96% | 46,619 | 63.04% | -19,284 | -26.08% | 73,954 |
Peach | 5,350 | 48.41% | 5,701 | 51.59% | -351 | -3.18% | 11,051 |
Pickens | 2,612 | 17.25% | 12,532 | 82.75% | -9,920 | -65.50% | 15,144 |
Pierce | 947 | 11.95% | 6,980 | 88.05% | -6,033 | -76.10% | 7,927 |
Pike | 1,391 | 14.44% | 8,241 | 85.56% | -6,850 | -71.12% | 9,632 |
Polk | 3,325 | 22.39% | 11,525 | 77.61% | -8,200 | -55.22% | 14,850 |
Pulaski | 1,138 | 30.92% | 2,543 | 69.08% | -1,405 | -38.16% | 3,681 |
Putnam | 3,448 | 29.08% | 8,291 | 69.94% | -4,843 | -40.85% | 11,855 |
Quitman | 497 | 44.94% | 604 | 54.61% | -107 | -9.67% | 1,106 |
Rabun | 1,984 | 20.74% | 7,474 | 78.11% | -5,490 | -57.38% | 9,568 |
Randolph | 1,671 | 54.36% | 1,391 | 45.25% | 280 | 9.11% | 3,074 |
Richmond | 59,124 | 67.95% | 26,781 | 30.78% | 32,343 | 37.17% | 87,016 |
Rockdale | 31,244 | 69.92% | 13,012 | 29.12% | 18,232 | 40.80% | 44,686 |
Schley | 462 | 20.31% | 1,800 | 79.12% | -1,338 | -58.81% | 2,275 |
Screven | 2,661 | 40.15% | 3,916 | 59.08% | -1,255 | -18.93% | 6,628 |
Seminole | 1,254 | 32.29% | 2,611 | 67.22% | -1,357 | -34.94% | 3,884 |
Spalding | 11,784 | 39.13% | 18,057 | 59.96% | -6,273 | -20.83% | 30,116 |
Stephens | 2,385 | 20.07% | 9,368 | 78.82% | -6,983 | -58.75% | 11,885 |
Stewart | 1,182 | 59.40% | 801 | 40.25% | 381 | 19.15% | 1,990 |
Sumter | 6,318 | 52.00% | 5,732 | 47.18% | 586 | 4.82% | 12,150 |
Talbot | 2,114 | 60.02% | 1,392 | 39.52% | 722 | 20.50% | 3,522 |
Taliaferro | 561 | 60.45% | 360 | 38.79% | 201 | 21.66% | 928 |
Tattnall | 2,061 | 25.19% | 6,053 | 73.97% | -3,992 | -48.78% | 8,183 |
Taylor | 1,387 | 36.13% | 2,418 | 62.99% | -1,031 | -26.86% | 3,839 |
Telfair | 1,487 | 34.32% | 2,825 | 65.20% | -1,338 | -30.88% | 4,333 |
Terrell | 2,376 | 53.80% | 2,004 | 45.38% | 372 | 8.42% | 4,416 |
Thomas | 8,708 | 39.85% | 12,954 | 59.28% | -4,246 | -19.43% | 21,853 |
Tift | 5,322 | 32.68% | 10,784 | 66.23% | -5,462 | -33.54% | 16,283 |
Toombs | 2,939 | 26.93% | 7,872 | 72.13% | -4,933 | -45.20% | 10,914 |
Towns | 1,550 | 19.43% | 6,384 | 80.01% | -4,834 | -60.58% | 7,979 |
Treutlen | 952 | 30.94% | 2,101 | 68.28% | -1,149 | -37.34% | 3,077 |
Troup | 11,578 | 38.53% | 18,143 | 60.38% | -6,565 | -21.85% | 30,049 |
Turner | 1,410 | 37.18% | 2,349 | 61.95% | -939 | -24.76% | 3,792 |
Twiggs | 2,044 | 45.99% | 2,370 | 53.33% | -326 | -7.34% | 4,444 |
Union | 2,801 | 18.00% | 12,651 | 81.30% | -9,850 | -63.30% | 15,560 |
Upson | 4,201 | 32.55% | 8,608 | 66.70% | -4,407 | -34.15% | 12,905 |
Walker | 5,769 | 19.65% | 23,174 | 78.95% | -17,405 | -59.29% | 29,354 |
Walton | 12,682 | 24.82% | 37,842 | 74.06% | -25,160 | -49.24% | 51,095 |
Ware | 4,211 | 29.67% | 9,865 | 69.51% | -5,654 | -39.84% | 14,192 |
Warren | 1,469 | 55.41% | 1,166 | 43.98% | 303 | 11.43% | 2,651 |
Washington | 4,730 | 50.01% | 4,663 | 49.30% | 67 | 0.71% | 9,459 |
Wayne | 2,687 | 21.03% | 9,987 | 78.16% | -7,300 | -57.13% | 12,778 |
Webster | 639 | 45.97% | 748 | 53.81% | -109 | -7.84% | 1,390 |
Wheeler | 689 | 30.15% | 1,583 | 69.28% | -894 | -39.12% | 2,285 |
White | 2,411 | 16.27% | 12,222 | 82.49% | -9,811 | -66.22% | 14,816 |
Whitfield | 10,670 | 29.04% | 25,636 | 69.77% | -14,966 | -40.73% | 36,746 |
Wilcox | 862 | 26.27% | 2,403 | 73.24% | -1,541 | -46.97% | 3,281 |
Wilkes | 2,160 | 42.95% | 2,823 | 56.13% | -663 | -13.18% | 5,029 |
Wilkinson | 2,075 | 43.50% | 2,664 | 55.85% | -589 | -12.35% | 4,770 |
Worth | 2,395 | 25.79% | 6,830 | 73.56% | -4,435 | -47.77% | 9,285 |
Totals | 2,289,113 | 51.04% | 2,195,841 | 48.96% | 93,550 | 2.0% | 4,484,296 |
[]
Republicans filed two federal and one state lawsuit in December to restrict the January 5 vote. On December 17, Judge Eleanor Louise Ross found that plaintiffs lacked standing based on possible future harm to toss out a consent decree regarding signatures on absentee ballot applications. Judge James Randal Hall threw out another case which tried to block the use of drop boxes for absentee ballots. A third lawsuit, to restrict the use of drop boxes, was heard in state court on December 24.[169][citation needed]
On December 18, a federal judge threw out a Republican lawsuit alleging that out-of-state residents were voting in the runoff election, as Republican attorney Bill Price has recommended.[170] Another lawsuit was filed against the use of voting machines manufactured by Dominion Voting Systems, alleging that election officials are handling mail-in absentee ballots improperly and illegally.[171]
Judge Leslie Abrams Gardner, sister of Democratic politician Stacey Abrams, of the United States District Court for the Middle District of Georgia rejected the attempted purge of 4,000 voters in Muscogee County and Ben Hill County, Georgia on December 29. The ruling means the voters will be able to participate in the January 5 runoff election.[172] The ruling was amended to allow provisional voting to prevent election-day challenges.[173]
See also[]
- 2020–21 United States Senate election in Georgia
- 2020 Georgia (U.S. state) elections
Notes[]
- Partisan clients
- ^ Jump up to: a b The American Action Forum is a 501 organization which usually supports Republican candidates.
- ^ The Human Rights Campaign endorsed Biden prior to this poll's sampling period
- ^ Jump up to: a b Poll sponsored by Warnock's campaign.
- ^ Poll sponsored by AARP.
- ^ Poll sponsored by Matt Lieberman's campaign
- ^ This poll's sponsor, DFER, primarily supports Democratic candidates
- ^ This poll's sponsor is the American Principles Project, a 501 that supports the Republican Party.
- ^ Jump up to: a b c d e f g h i j Internal poll for Collins
- ^ Jump up to: a b c d e f Poll is sponsored by OANN, a far-right television news channel.
- ^ Jump up to: a b c This poll is sponsored by End Citizens United, a PAC which has endorsed Democratic candidates who are against the landmark Citizens United court ruling.
- ^ Steve Phillips, who sponsored this poll, is a senior fellow at the Democratic-leaning Center for American Progress
- ^ Poll conducted for the Speaker of Georgia's House Republican caucus
- ^ Internal poll for Loeffler
- ^ Americas PAC exclusively supports Republican candidates
- Voter samples and additional candidates
- ^ Jump up to: a b c d e f g h i j k l Key:
A – all adults
RV – registered voters
LV – likely voters
V – unclear - ^ Slowinski (L) with 1%
- ^ "Other candidate or write-in" with 1%
- ^ Jump up to: a b c With voters who lean towards a given candidate
- ^ Jump up to: a b c d e f "Someone else" with 2%
- ^ Slowinski (L) with 2%
- ^ "Other candidate" with 4%; Slowinski (L) with 2%; "No one" with 1%
- ^ Jump up to: a b c With a likely voter turnout model featuring higher turnout than in the 2016 presidential election
- ^ Jump up to: a b c With a likely voter turnout model featuring lower turnout than in the 2016 presidential election
- ^ Slowinski (L) with 3%; "Other Candidate" with 2%
- ^ Jump up to: a b Would not vote with 1%
- ^ Jump up to: a b c d e Includes "Refused"
- ^ Bartell (I), Did not vote, Johnson (R), Johnson-Shealey (D) and "Someone else" with 2%; Dien Winfield (D) with 1%
- ^ Jump up to: a b c d "Someone else" with 0%
- ^ Jump up to: a b "Some other candidate" with 2%
- ^ Includes Undecided
- ^ Fortuin (G), Johnson-Shealey (D) and Taylor (R) with 1%; Bartell (I), Slade (D) and Stovall (I) with 0%; Buckley (I), Grayson (R), Greene (I), Jackson (R), James (D), Slowinski (L) and Winfield (D) with no voters
- ^ Slowinski (L) with 2%; "Other candidate" with 1%
- ^ "Someone else" with 1%
- ^ Jump up to: a b c d e Additional data sourced from FiveThirtyEight
- ^ "Other Democratic Candidate" with 2%; "Third Party/Write-in" with 1%; "Other Republican Candidate" with 0%
- ^ "Other candidate" and Slowinski (L) with 3%; "No one" with 0%
- ^ Slowinski (L) with 3%; "Other" with 2%
- ^ Slowinski (L) and "Other" with 2%
- ^ Slowinski (L) with 3%; "Other candidate" with 1%
- ^ "Other Democratic Candidate" with 3%; "Another Third Party/Write-in" and "Other Republican Candidate" with 1%
- ^ Would not vote with 1%; "Other candidate" with 0%
- ^ Johnson-Shealey (D) with 5%; Bartell (I), Dien Winfield (D) and Johnson (R) with 2%; "One of the other candidates" and would not vote with 1%
- ^ Slowinski (L) with 5%; Johnson (R) and would not vote with 4%; "Another candidate/still undecided" with 3%; Winfield (D) with 2%
- ^ "Third party candidate" with 1%
- ^ "Other candidate" with 5%; Slowinski (L) with 3%
- ^ Jump up to: a b "Other" with 4%; Slowinski (L) with 2%
- ^ "Other" with 3%; would not vote with 2%
- ^ Jump up to: a b "Someone else" with 4%
- ^ All other candidates with 5% or less
- ^ "Another candidate who qualified to run but isn't listed" with 2%
- ^ Bartell (I) with 2%; Slowinski (L) and "someone else" with 1%
- ^ Johnson (R) with 4%; Winfield (D) with 3%; Bartell (I) with 2%; "refused" with 0%
- ^ Democratic candidates have 31% of the vote combined
- ^ Bartell with 5%; Johnson (R) with 2%
- ^ Calculated by taking the difference of 100% and all other candidates combined.
- ^ "Someone else" with 9%
- ^ Jump up to: a b "Someone else" with 8%
- ^ Jump up to: a b "Someone else" with 18%
- ^ Jump up to: a b c Likely Republican primary voters, though there is no exclusively Republican primary for Georgia's special election
- ^ "Someone else" with 17%
- ^ "Someone else" with 20%
- ^ "Someone else" with 13%
- ^ "Someone else" with 7%
- ^ "Someone else" with 5%
- ^ "Someone else" with 6%
- ^ Listed as "other/undecided"
- ^ "It is more important for Republicans to have control of the Senate" as opposed to "It is more important for Democrats to have control of the Senate" with 46%
- ^ "It does not matter which party has control of the Senate" with 7%; Undecided with 4%
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- ^ Hilton, Scott [@ScottHiltonGA] (January 28, 2020). "Sen. @kloeffler is the future of the GOP in GA. Sen. Loeffler is a strong conservative who will help expand our majority in GA. Our family is excited to support her this November! #TeamKelly #TeamKemp #KeepChoppin