2020–21 United States Senate election in Georgia

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Not to be confused with 2020 Georgia State Senate election.
For the other Senate election in Georgia, see 2020–21 United States Senate special election in Georgia.

2020–2021 United States Senate election in Georgia
← 2014 November 3, 2020 (first round)
January 5, 2021 (runoff)		 2026 →
Turnout65.4% Increase First round 61.5% Decrease Runoff
  Jon Ossoff Senate Portrait 2021.jpg David Perdue official Senate photo.jpg
Nominee Jon Ossoff David Perdue
Party Democratic Republican
First round 2,374,519
47.9% 		2,462,617
49.7%
Runoff 2,269,738
50.6% 		2,214,506
49.4%
2020 United States Senate election in Georgia results map by county.svg
2020 United States Senate runoff election in Georgia results map by county.svg
Map key
Perdue:      40–50%      50–60%      60–70%      70–80%      80–90%      90–100%
Ossoff:      50–60%      60–70%      70–80%      80–90%
U.S. senator before election

David Perdue
Republican

Elected U.S. Senator

Jon Ossoff
Democratic

Elections in Georgia
Federal government
State government
Ballot measures
Atlanta
Savannah
  • v
  • t

The 2020–21 United States Senate election in Georgia was held on November 3, 2020, and on January 5, 2021 (as a runoff), to elect the Class II member of the United States Senate to represent the State of Georgia. Democrat Jon Ossoff defeated incumbent Republican Senator David Perdue in the runoff election.The general election was held concurrently with the 2020 presidential election, as well as with other elections to the Senate, elections to the U.S. House of Representatives and various state and local elections.

No candidate received a majority of the vote during the general election on November 3, so the top two finishers—Perdue (49.7%) and Ossoff (47.9%)—advanced to a runoff election, held on January 5, 2021. The runoff was held concurrently with the special election for Georgia's other U.S. Senate seat (which had also advanced to a runoff), in which Republican incumbent Kelly Loeffler lost to Democratic nominee Raphael Warnock. After the general round of elections, Republicans held 50 Senate seats and the Democratic caucus 48 (including two independents who caucus with them). As a result, the two runoffs decided control of the Senate under the incoming Biden administration. By winning both seats, Democrats took control of the chamber, with Vice President Kamala Harris's tie-breaking vote giving them an effective majority. The extraordinarily high political stakes caused the races to attract significant attention nationwide and globally.

On January 6, 2021, most major news outlets projected Ossoff the winner.[1][2] Perdue conceded the race on January 8.[3][4] According to the Center for Responsive Politics, this campaign was the most expensive in U.S. Senate history, with over $468 million spent.[5] Ossoff's victory, along with Warnock's, gave the Democrats control of the Senate for the first time since 2015. Ossoff became the first Democrat elected to a full term in the Senate from Georgia since Max Cleland, who held this seat from 1997 to 2003, and the first Jewish member of the Senate from the state.[6] Ossoff became the youngest senator since Don Nickles won in 1980, and the youngest Democrat since President Joe Biden won in 1972. Georgia election officials certified Ossoff's victory on January 19, 2021; he was sworn in on January 20.[7] This election and the special election both mark the first time since 1994 that both Senate seats in a state have flipped from one party to the other in a single election cycle. With a margin of 1.2%, this election was also the closest race of the 2020 Senate election cycle.

Republican primary[]

Candidates[]

Nominee[]

  • David Perdue, incumbent U.S. Senator[8]

Withdrawn[]

Declined[]

Results[]

Republican primary results, June 9, 2020[13]
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican David Perdue (incumbent) 992,555 100.00%
Total votes 992,555 100.00%

Democratic primary[]

Candidates[]

Nominee[]

Eliminated in primary[]

  • Teresa Tomlinson, former mayor of Columbus[15][16]
  • Sarah Riggs Amico, nominee for Lieutenant Governor of Georgia in 2018[17]
  • Marckeith DeJesus, candidate for Georgia State Senate in 2017 and candidate for Georgia House of Representatives in 2016[18]
  • Maya Dillard-Smith, former two-term Senate Appointee Judge over judicial performance and Rules Committee Chair[19]
  • James Knox, retired U.S. Air Force officer[20]
  • Tricia Carpenter McCracken, journalist[20]

Withdrew[]

  • Akhenaten Amun, high school teacher[9][10]
  • Harold Shouse[9][10]
  • Ted Terry, mayor of Clarkston[21] (endorsed Ossoff)
  • Elaine Whigham Williams, pastor and candidate for president in 2016[9][10]

Declined[]

  • Stacey Abrams, nominee for governor of Georgia in 2018 and former minority leader of the Georgia House of Representatives[22][23] (endorsed Ossoff)
  • Jason Carter, grandson of former Georgia Governor and President Jimmy Carter, former state senator, and nominee for governor of Georgia in 2014 (endorsed Tomlinson)[24][25][26]
  • Stacey Evans, former state representative and candidate for governor of Georgia in 2018 (running for state house)[27]
  • Scott Holcomb, state representative[8]
  • Jen Jordan, state senator[28]
  • Michelle Nunn, nominee for U.S. Senate in 2014[24][29]
  • Kasim Reed, former mayor of Atlanta[30][31]
  • Doug Teper, former state representative[24]
  • Sally Yates, former United States Deputy Attorney General[32]

Polling[]

Poll source Date(s)
administered 		Sample
size 		Margin
of error 		Sarah Riggs
Amico 		Jon
Ossoff 		Teresa
Tomlinson 		Other Undecided
Landmark Communications June 1, 2020 500 (LV) ± 4.4% 9% 42% 14% 7%[a] 28%
Cygnal (R) May 28–30, 2020 510 (LV) ± 4.3% 8% 49% 16% 4%[b] 24%
The Progress Campaign (D) May 6–15, 2020 1,162 (LV) – 9% 46% 29% – 16%[c]
The Progress Campaign (D) March 12–21, 2020 913 (RV) ± 4.6% 18% 34% 21% 27%[d] –
University of Georgia March 4–14, 2020 807 (LV) ± 3.4% 15% 31% 16% – 39%

Head-to-head polling[]

Poll source Date(s)
administered 		Sample
size 		Margin
of error 		Jon
Ossoff 		Teresa
Tomlinson 		Undecided
Cygnal (R) May 28–30, 2020 510 (LV) ± 4.3% 58% 24% 18%

Endorsements[]

hide
Jon Ossoff
Federal officials
  • Hank Johnson, U.S. Representative for GA-04[33]
  • John Lewis, U.S. Representative for GA-05[34] (deceased)
State officials
  • Debra Bazemore, State Representative[35]
  • Sharon Beasley-Teague, State Representative[35]
  • Karen Bennett, State Representative[35]
  • Rhonda Burnough, State Representative[35]
  • Doreen Carter, State Representative[35]
  • Steve Henson, State Senator and Senate Minority Leader[36]
  • Shelly Hutchinson, State Representative[35]
  • Derrick Jackson, State Representative[35]
  • Donzella James, State Senator[35]
  • Emanuel Jones, State Senator (previously endorsed Teresa Tomlinson)[37]
  • Sheila Jones, State Representative[35]
  • Josh McLaurin, State Representative[38]
  • Miriam Paris, State Representative and former State Senator[35]
  • Doc Rhett, State Senator[35]
  • Kim Schofield, State Representative[35]
  • Erica Thomas, State Representative[35]
Local Officials
  • Ted Terry, mayor of Clarkston and former 2020 U.S. Senate candidate[39]
Organizations
Individuals
  • Alex Hirsch, writer, artist, and animator[41]
hide
Teresa Tomlinson
Federal officials
  • Max Cleland, former U.S. Senator (GA) (1997–2003), former Secretary of State of Georgia (1983–1996), former Administrator of Veterans Affairs (1977–1981), and former Secretary of the American Battle Monuments Commission (2009–2017)[42]
  • Buddy Darden, former U.S. Representative for GA-07 (1983–1995)[42]
  • Gordon Giffin, former United States Ambassador to Canada (1997–2001)[42]
  • Andrew Young, former mayor of Atlanta (1982–1990), former U.S. ambassador to the United Nations (1977–1979), and U.S. Representative for GA-05 (1973–1977)[43]
State officials
  • Roy Barnes, former Governor of Georgia (1999–2003)[42]
  • Debbie Buckner, State Representative
  • Gail Buckner, former State Senator, former State Representative, and Democratic nominee in 2006 Georgia Secretary of State election[42]
  • Jason Carter, former State Senator, Democratic nominee in 2014 Georgia governor's election, and grandson of the 39th President of the United States and former Governor of Georgia, Jimmy Carter[42]
  • J. Craig Gordon, State Representative[42]
  • Carolyn Hugley, State Representative[42]
  • Lester G. Jackson, State Senator[42]
  • Harold V. Jones II, State Senator[42]
  • Mary Margaret Oliver, State Representative and former State Senator[42]
  • Leah Ward Sears, former Associate Justice of the Georgia Supreme Court (1992–2005) and former Chief Justice (2005–2009)[42]
  • Freddie Powell Sims, State Senator and former State Representative[42]
Local officials
  • Hardie Davis, mayor of Augusta[42]
  • Kelly Girtz, mayor of Athens-Clarke County[42]
  • Ceasar Mitchell, former President of the Atlanta City Council[42]
  • Felicia Moore, President of the Atlanta City Council[36]
Individuals
  • Hank Aaron, retired right-fielder for the Atlanta Braves[42]
  • Lil Yachty, Atlanta rapper, singer and songwriter
Organizations
  • Democracy for America[44]
  • National Organization for Women[45]
hide
Sarah Riggs Amico
Labor unions
  • BAC Local 8 Southeast[46]
  • Communication Workers of America[46]
  • International Brotherhood of Electrical Workers Local 613[47]
  • SMART[46]
  • Southeastern Carpenters Regional Council[46]

Results[]

County results
  Ossoff
  Ossoff/Riggs Amico tie
  Tomlinson
  Riggs Amico
  Smith
  Knox

Almost four times as many Georgia voters participated in the 2020 Democratic Senate primary as in the 2016 Democratic Senate primary, when only 310,053 votes were cast.[48]

Democratic primary results, June 9, 2020[49]
Party Candidate Votes %
Democratic Jon Ossoff 626,819 52.82%
Democratic Teresa Tomlinson 187,416 15.79%
Democratic Sarah Riggs Amico 139,574 11.76%
Democratic Maya Dillard-Smith 105,000 8.85%
Democratic James Knox 49,452 4.17%
Democratic Marckeith DeJesus 45,936 3.87%
Democratic Tricia Carpenter McCracken 32,463 2.74%
Total votes 1,186,660 100.00%

Other candidates[]

Libertarian Party[]

Nominee[]

Independents[]

Withdrawn[]

Debates[]

The first debate between Hazel, Ossoff, and Perdue occurred virtually[57] on October 12.[58]

A second debate between Ossoff and Perdue, held on October 28[e] in Savannah and aired on television station WTOC-TV,[59] was more heated and made national headlines, with Ossoff saying that Perdue had claimed "COVID-19 was no deadlier than the flu", was "looking after [his] own assets, and ... portfolio", and that Perdue voted "four times to end protections for preexisting conditions".[60] Ossoff also called Perdue a "crook" and criticized him for "attacking the health of the people that [he] represent[s]".[61] Perdue said Ossoff will "say and do anything to my friends in Georgia to mislead them about how radical and socialist" his agenda is.[62] Video of the exchange went viral.[57][61]

The next day, October 29, Perdue said he would not attend the third and final debate, previously scheduled to be broadcast on WSB-TV on November 1; instead Perdue decided to attend a rally with President Trump in Rome on the same day[63]—"as lovely as another debate listening to Jon Ossoff lie to the people of Georgia sounds",[62] according to a Perdue spokesman.

On December 6, Ossoff debated an empty podium as Perdue declined to participate in a Georgia Public Broadcasting-held debate.[64] Ossoff criticized Perdue's absence, accusing him of skipping the event because of the negative response to his performance in the October debates.

General election[]

Predictions[]

Source Ranking As of
DDHQ[65] Tossup November 3, 2020
538[66] Tossup November 2, 2020
Inside Elections[67] Tossup October 28, 2020
Sabato's Crystal Ball[68] Tossup November 2, 2020
RCP[69] Tossup October 23, 2020
The Cook Political Report[70] Tossup October 29, 2020
Economist[71] Tossup November 2, 2020
Politico[72] Tossup November 2, 2020
Daily Kos[73] Tossup October 30, 2020

Endorsements[]

hide
David Perdue (R)
U.S. Executive Branch officials
  • Donald Trump, 45th President of the United States (2017–2021)[74]
U.S. Senators
  • Saxby Chambliss, U.S. Senator from Georgia (2003–2015)[75]
  • Johnny Isakson, U.S. Senator from Georgia (2005–2019)[75]
  • Mack Mattingly, U.S. Senator from Georgia (1981–1987)[75]
  • Tim Scott, U.S. Senator from South Carolina (2013–present)[76]
U.S. Governors
  • Larry Hogan, Governor of Maryland (2015–present)[77]
Organizations
  • Campaign for Working Families[78]
  • Council for Citizens Against Government Waste Political Action Committee (CCAGW PAC)[79]
  • Georgia Chamber of Commerce[78]
  • Huck PAC[78]
  • National Federation of Independent Business[76]
  • National Rifle Association[78]
  • National Right to Life Committee[78]
  • Republican Jewish Coalition[78]
  • Senate Conservatives Fund[78]
Individuals
  • John F. King, Georgia Insurance and Safety Fire Commissioner and former Doraville Chief of Police[76]
hide
Jon Ossoff (D)
U.S. Executive Branch officials
  • Barack Obama, 44th President of the United States (2009–2017), U.S. Senator from Illinois (2005–2008)[80]
  • Joe Biden, 46th President of the United States (2021-present), 47th Vice President of the United States (2009–2017), U.S. Senator from Delaware (1973–2009)[81]
  • Kamala Harris, 49th Vice president of the United States (2021-present), U.S. Senator from California (2017–2021)[82]
U.S. Senators
  • Catherine Cortez Masto, U.S. Senator from Nevada (2017–present)[83]
  • Amy Klobuchar, U.S Senator from Minnesota, 2020 Candidate for President (2007-present)[84]
U.S. Representatives
  • Hank Johnson, U.S. Representative for GA-04[33]
  • John Lewis, former U.S. Representative for GA-05[34] (Deceased)
State legislators
  • Stacey Abrams, nominee for Governor of Georgia in 2018 and former minority leader of the Georgia House of Representatives[85]
State officials
  • Debra Bazemore, State Representative[35]
  • Sharon Beasley-Teague, State Representative[35]
  • Karen Bennett, State Representative[35]
  • Rhonda Burnough, State Representative[35]
  • Doreen Carter, State Representative[35]
  • Steve Henson, State Senator and Senate Minority Leader[36]
  • Shelly Hutchinson, State Representative[35]
  • Derrick Jackson, State Representative[35]
  • Donzella James, State Senator[35]
  • Emanuel Jones, State Senator (previously endorsed Teresa Tomlinson)[37]
  • Sheila Jones, State Representative[35]
  • Josh McLaurin, State Representative[38]
  • Miriam Paris, State Representative and former state senator (2011–2013)[35]
  • Doc Rhett, State Senator[35]
  • Kim Schofield, State Representative[35]
  • Erica Thomas, State Representative[35]
Local officials
Organizations
Unions
Individuals
  • Amy Acker, actress[105]
  • Patrick J. Adams, actor[105]
  • Usman Ally, actor[106]
  • Ed Asner, actor[107]
  • Dan Bakkedahl, actor[106]
  • Troian Bellisario, actress[105]
  • Sufe Bradshaw, actress[106]
  • Don Cheadle, actor[106]
  • Anna Chlumsky, actress[106]
  • Stephen Colbert, actor and comedian[106]
  • Gary Cole, actor[106]
  • David Costabile, actor[105]
  • Bryan Cranston, actor[106]
  • Denise Crosby, actress[105]
  • Zooey Deschanel, actress[107]
  • Julia Louis-Dreyfuss, actress[106]
  • Kevin Dunn, actor[106]
  • Clea DuVall, actress[106]
  • Billie Eilish, singer[108]
  • Beanie Feldstein, actress[106]
  • Will Ferrell, actor[107]
  • Nelson Franklin, actor[106]
  • Tony Hale, actor[106]
  • Mark Hamill, actor[106]
  • Rachael Harris, actress[105]
  • Ed Helms, actor and comedian[107]
  • Alex Hirsch, writer, artist, and animator[41]
  • Rick Hoffman, actor[105]
  • Aaron Korsh, writer and producer[105]
  • Lisa Ling, journalist and author[109]
  • John Lithgow, actor[107]
  • Gabriel Macht, actor[105]
  • Rory O'Malley, actor[109]
  • David Mandel, writer and director[106]
  • Kumail Nanjiani, actor[106]
  • Bob Newhart, actor[107]
  • Matt Oberg, actor[106]
  • Patton Oswalt, actor and comedian[106]
  • Lennon Parham, actress[106]
  • David Pasquesi, actor[106]
  • Jordan Peele, actor, director and comedian[109]
  • Sarah Rafferty, actress[105]
  • Anthony Rapp, actor[109]
  • Sam Richardson, actor[106]
  • Andy Richter, actor and comedian[107]
  • Paul Scheer, actor[106]
  • Amanda Schull, actress[105]
  • Reid Scott, actor[106]
  • Amy Sedaris, actress[107]
  • Timothy Simons, actor[106]
  • Mary Steenburgen, actress[107]
  • Sarah Sutherland, actress[106]
  • Max Topplin, actor[105]
  • Gina Torres, actress[105]
  • Matt Walsh, actor[106]
  • Kerry Washington, actress[109]
  • D. B. Woodside, actor[105]
  • Bowen Yang, actor and comedian[109]

Polling[]

Graphical summary[]

Aggregate polls[]

Source of poll
aggregation 		Dates
administered 		Dates
updated 		David
Perdue
Republican 		Jon
Ossoff
Democratic 		Other/
Undecided
[f] 		Margin
270 To Win November 2, 2020 November 3, 2020 46.2% 47.4% 6.4% Ossoff +1.2
Real Clear Politics November 1, 2020 November 3, 2020 46.3% 47.0% 6.7% Ossoff +0.7
Poll source Date(s)
administered 		Sample
size[g] 		Margin
of error 		David
Perdue (R) 		Jon
Ossoff (D) 		Shane
Hazel (L) 		Other /
Undecided
Landmark Communications November 1, 2020 500 (LV) ± 4.4% 49% 47% 3% 1%[h]
Swayable Archived November 13, 2020, at the Wayback Machine October 27 – November 1, 2020 407 (LV) ± 6.4% 49% 48% 3% –
Data for Progress October 27 – November 1, 2020 1,036 (LV) ± 3% 46% 51% 3% 0%[i]
Emerson College October 29–31, 2020 749 (LV) ± 3.5% 49%[j] 51% – 3%[k]
Morning Consult October 22–31, 2020 1,743 (LV) ± 2.0% 46% 47% – –
Landmark Communications October 28, 2020 750 (LV) ± 3.6% 47% 47% 3% 3%[l]
Public Policy Polling October 27–28, 2020 661 (V) – 44% 47% 3% 6%[m]
Monmouth University October 23–27, 2020 504 (RV) ± 4.4% 46% 49% 2% 2%[n]
504 (LV)[o] 47% 49% – –
504 (LV)[p] 48% 49% – –
Swayable October 23–26, 2020 342 (LV) ± 7.2% 49% 48% 3% –
Civiqs/Daily Kos October 23–26, 2020 1,041 (LV) ± 3.4% 46% 51% 2% 2%[q]
YouGov/CBS October 20–23, 2020 1,090 (LV) ± 3.4% 47% 46% – 6%[r]
University of Georgia October 14–23, 2020 1,145 (LV) ± 4% 45% 46% 4% 5%[s]
Landmark Communications October 21, 2020 500 (LV) ± 4.4% 50% 45% – –
Citizen Data October 17–20, 2020 1,000 (LV) ± 3% 41% 47% – 12%[t]
Morning Consult October 11–20, 2020 1,672 (LV) ± 2.4% 46% 44% – –
Emerson College October 17–19, 2020 506 (LV) ± 4.3% 46% 45% – 9%[u]
Siena College/NYT Upshot October 13–19, 2020 759 (LV) ± 4.1% 43% 43% 4% 10%[v]
Opinion Insight (R)[A] October 12–15, 2020 801 (LV) ± 3.46% 45%[j] 45% – 8%[w]
Garin-Hart-Yang Research Group (D)[B] October 11–14, 2020 600 (LV) – 43% 48% 6% 3%[l]
Quinnipiac University October 8–12, 2020 1,040 (LV) ± 3.0% 45% 51% – 3%[x]
SurveyUSA October 8–12, 2020 677 (LV) ± 5.7% 46% 43% – 11%[y]
Data for Progress October 8–11, 2020 782 (LV) ± 3.5% 43% 44% 1% 10%
Morning Consult October 2–11, 2020 1,837 (LV) ± 2.3% 46% 42% – –
Public Policy Polling October 8–9, 2020 528 (V) ± 4.3% 43% 44% 4% 9%[z]
Landmark Communications October 7, 2020 600 (LV) ± 4% 47% 46% 2% 6%[m]
University of Georgia September 27 – October 6, 2020 1,106 (LV) ± 2.9% 49% 41% 3% 7%[aa]
Civiqs/Daily Kos September 26–29, 2020 969 (LV) ± 3.5% 46% 48% 3% 3%[ab]
Hart Research Associates (D)[C] September 24–27, 2020 400 (LV) ± 4.9% 49% 46% – –
Quinnipiac University September 23–27, 2020 1,125 (LV) ± 2.9% 48% 49% – 2%[ac]
Redfield & Wilton Strategies September 23–26, 2020 789 (LV) ± 3.49% 42% 47% – 12%[ad]
YouGov/CBS September 22–25, 2020 1,164 (LV) ± 3.4% 47% 42% – 10%[ae]
Monmouth University September 17–21, 2020 402 (RV) ± 4.9% 48% 42% 4% 6%[af]
402 (LV)[o] 48% 43% 3% 5%[s]
402 (LV)[p] 50% 42% 2% 4%[ag]
Siena College/NYT Upshot September 16–21, 2020 523 (LV) ± 4.9% 41% 38% 5% 16%[ah]
University of Georgia September 11–20, 2020 1,150 (LV) ± 4% 47% 45% 4% 5%[s]
Morning Consult September 11–20, 2020 1,406 (LV) ± (2% – 7%) 43%[ai] 44% – –
Data For Progress (D) September 14–19, 2020 800 (LV) ± 3.5% 43% 41% 2% 14%[aj]
Morning Consult September 8–17, 2020 1,402 (LV)[ak] ± (2% – 4%) 43% 43% – –
GBAO Strategies (D)[D] September 14–16, 2020 600 (LV) – 48% 49% – –
Redfield & Wilton Strategies September 12–16, 2020 800 (LV) ± 3.46% 43% 43% – 14%[al]
Fabrizio Ward/Hart Research Associates[E] August 30 – September 5, 2020 800 (LV) ± 3.5% 47% 48% – 5%[am]
Opinion Insight/American Action Forum[A] August 30 – September 2, 2020 800 (LV) ± 3.46% 45%[j] 44% – 11%[an]
HarrisX (D)[F] August 20–30, 2020 1,616 (RV) ± 2.4% 47% 40% 8% 4%[ao]
Public Policy Polling August 13–14, 2020 530 (V) ± 4.1% 44% 44% – 11%[ap]
Garin-Hart-Yang Research (D)[B] August 10–13, 2020 601 (LV) ± 4.0% 46% 48% – 6%
SurveyUSA August 6–8, 2020 623 (LV) ± 5.3% 44% 41% – 14%[aq]
YouGov/CBS July 28–31, 2020 1,101 (LV) ± 3.4% 45% 43% – 13%[ar]
HIT Strategies (D)[G] July 23–31, 2020 400 (RV) ± 4.9% 39% 42% – 19%[as]
Monmouth University July 23–27, 2020 402 (RV) ± 4.9% 49% 43% 1% 7%[aa]
402 (LV)[o] 50% 43% 1% 6%[m]
402 (LV)[p] 51% 43% 1% 6%[m]
Morning Consult July 17–26, 2020 1,337 (LV) ± 3.0% 45% 42% – 12%
Spry Strategies (R)[H] July 11–16, 2020 700 (LV) ± 3.7% 46% 44% – 10%[at]
Garin-Hart-Yang Research (D)[B] July 9–15, 2020 800 (LV) ± 3.5% 44% 45% – 11%
Gravis Marketing (R)[I] July 2, 2020 513 (LV) ± 4.3% 48% 43% – 9%
FOX News June 20–23, 2020 1,013 (RV) ± 3.0% 45% 42% – 13%[au]
Public Policy Polling June 12–13, 2020 661 (V) ± 3.4% 44% 45% – 11%
Civiqs/Daily Kos May 16–18, 2020 1,339 (RV) ± 3.1% 45% 47% – 7%[av]
The Progress Campaign (D)[1] May 6–15, 2020 2,893 (LV) ± 2.0% 42% 42% – 16%
BK Strategies (R)[J] May 11–13, 2020 700 (LV) ± 3.7% 46% 41% – 13%
Public Opinion Strategies (R) May 4–7, 2020 500 (LV) ± 4.4% 43% 41% 7% 8%[aw]
Cygnal (R)[2][K] April 25–27, 2020 591 (LV) ± 4.0% 45% 39% – 16%
The Progress Campaign (D) March 12–21, 2020 3,042 (RV) ± 4.5% 39% 40% – 20%

Results[]

No candidate received a majority of the vote on November 3, so the top two finishers—incumbent Republican senator David Perdue (49.7%) and Democratic challenger Jon Ossoff (47.9%)—advanced to a runoff election held on January 5, 2021.[110][111]

Voters whose mail-in ballots were rejected were allowed to submit corrections until 5pm on November 6.[112][113]

2020 United States Senate election in Georgia[114]
Party Candidate Votes % ±%
Republican David Perdue (incumbent) 2,462,617 49.7% −3.2%
Democratic Jon Ossoff 2,374,519 47.9% +2.7%
Libertarian Shane T. Hazel 115,039 2.4% +0.4%
Total votes 4,952,175 100.00%

Runoff[]

The runoff election between Perdue and Ossoff was on January 5, 2021,[115] alongside the special election for the Georgia U.S. Senate seat held by Republican Kelly Loeffler.

Following the 2020 Senate elections, Republicans held 50 Senate seats and the Democratic caucus 48.[116] Since Democrats won both Georgia runoffs, their caucus gained control of the Senate, as the resultant 50–50 tie is broken by Democratic vice president Kamala Harris. If the Democrats had lost either race, Republicans would have retained control of the Senate.[117] The high political stakes caused the races to attract significant nationwide attention.[118][119][120] These elections are the third and fourth Senate runoff elections to be held in Georgia since runoffs were first mandated in 1964, following runoffs in 1992 and 2008.[citation needed] It is also the third time that both of Georgia's Senate seats have been up for election at the same time, following double-barrel elections in 1914 and 1932.[citation needed]

The deadline for registration for the runoff election was December 7, 2020. Absentee ballots for the runoff election were sent out beginning on November 18, and in-person voting began on December 14.[121][122]

Predictions[]

Source Ranking As of
Inside Elections[123] Tossup December 14, 2020
Sabato's Crystal Ball[124] Tossup January 5, 2021

Polling[]

Aggregate polls[]

Source of poll
aggregation 		Dates
administered 		Dates
updated 		David
Perdue
Republican 		Jon
Ossoff
Democratic 		Undecided
[f] 		Margin
270 To Win Dec 30, 2020 – January 4, 2021 January 4, 2021 47.4% 50.2% 2.4% Ossoff +2.8
RealClearPolitics Dec 14, 2020 – January 4, 2021 January 5, 2021 48.8% 49.3% 1.9% Ossoff +0.5
538 Nov 9, 2020 – January 4, 2021 January 5, 2021 47.4% 49.1% 3.5% Ossoff +1.8
Average 47.9% 49.5% 2.6% Ossoff +1.7

This section also contains pre-runoff polls excluding all candidates except head-to-head matchups.

Poll source Date(s)
administered 		Sample
size[g] 		Margin
of error 		David
Perdue (R) 		Jon
Ossoff (D) 		Undecided
Trafalgar Group January 2–4, 2021 1,056 (LV) ± 2.9% 49% 49% 2%
AtlasIntel January 2–4, 2021 857 (LV) ± 3% 47% 51% 2%
InsiderAdvantage January 3, 2021 500 (LV) ± 4.4% 48.7% 48.6% 2.7%
National Research Inc January 2–3, 2021 500 (LV) ± 4.4% 45% 46% 9%
University of Nevada Las Vegas Lee Business School December 30, 2020 – January 3, 2021 550 (LV) ± 4% 49% 48% 3%
Targoz Market Research December 30, 2020 – January 3, 2021 713 (LV) ± 3.7% 50% 50% 0%
1,342 (RV) 47% 51% 2%
AtlasIntel December 25, 2020 – January 1, 2021 1,680 (LV) ± 2% 47% 51% 2%
Gravis Marketing December 29–30, 2020 1,011 (LV) ± 3.1% 47% 50% 3%
JMC Analytics and Polling December 28–29, 2020 500 (LV) ± 4.4% 45% 53% 2%
Trafalgar Group December 23–27, 2020 1,022 (LV) ± 3.0% 48% 50% 2%
Open Model Project December 21–27, 2020 1,405 (LV) ± 4.7% 50% 46% 4%
InsiderAdvantage December 21–22, 2020 500 (LV) ± 4.4% 49% 48% 3%
Mellman Group December 18–22, 2020 578 (LV) ± 4.1% 47% 50% 3%
Reconnect Research/Probolsky Research December 14–22, 2020 1,027 (LV) ± 4% 43% 42% 15%
SurveyUSA December 16–20, 2020 600 (LV) ± 5.1% 46% 51% 3%
Trafalgar Group December 14–16, 2020 1,064 (LV) ± 3.0% 50% 48% 2%
Emerson College December 14–16, 2020 605 (LV) ± 3.9% 51% 48% 1%
InsiderAdvantage December 14, 2020 500 (LV) ± 4.4% 49% 48% 3%
Wick December 10–14, 2020 1,500 (LV) – 51% 47% 2%
RMG Research December 8–14, 2020 1,417 (LV) ± 2.6% 47% 49% 4%
Baris/Peach State Battleground Poll December 4–11, 2020 1,008 (LV) ± 3.1% 45% 47% 9%
Trafalgar Group December 8–10, 2020 1,018 (LV) ± 3.0% 49% 49% 2%
Fabrizio Ward/Hart Research Associates November 30 – December 4, 2020 1,250 (LV) ± 3.2% 46% 48% 6%
Trafalgar Group December 1–3, 2020 1,083 (LV) ± 2.9% 47% 48% 5%
SurveyUSA November 27–30, 2020 583 (LV) ± 5.2% 48% 50% 2%
RMG Research November 19–24, 2020 1,377 (LV) ± 2.6% 47% 48% 5%
Data For Progress (D) November 15–20, 2020 1,476 (LV) ± 2.6% 50% 48% 3%
InsiderAdvantage November 16, 2020 800 (LV) ± 3.5% 49% 49% 2%
Remington Research Group November 8–9, 2020 1,450 (LV) ± 2.6% 50% 46% 4%
Garin-Hart-Yang Research Group (D)[B] October 11–14, 2020 600 (LV) – 45% 50% 5%
Data For Progress (D) September 14–19, 2020 800 (LV) ± 3.5% 44% 44% 12%

Results[]

2021 United States Senate election in Georgia runoff[125]
Party Candidate Votes % ±%
Democratic Jon Ossoff 2,269,923 50.6% +5.4%
Republican David Perdue (incumbent) 2,214,979 49.4% -3.5%
Total votes 4,484,902 100.00% N/A
Democratic gain from Republican

Ossoff won the inner ring of the Atlanta area by a larger margin than in the general, which was more than enough to overcome Perdue winning more counties. He won Cobb and Gwinnett counties, which had recently swung Democratic, by over 43,400 and 74,800 votes, respectively, with the latter exceeding his statewide margin of 54,900 votes.[126]

See also[]

  • Fair Fight Action
  • Voter suppression in the United States 2019–2020: Georgia
  • 2020 Georgia (U.S. state) elections

Notes[]

Partisan clients
  1. ^ Jump up to: a b The American Action Forum is a 501 organisation which usually supports Republican candidates.
  2. ^ Jump up to: a b c d Poll sponsored by Ossoff's campaign.
  3. ^ Poll sponsored by The Human Rights Campaign, which endorsed Biden before this poll's sampling period.
  4. ^ Poll sponsored by Warnock's campaign for the 2020–21 United States Senate special election in Georgia.
  5. ^ Poll sponsored by AARP.
  6. ^ Poll sponsored by Matt Lieberman's campaign.
  7. ^ This poll's sponsor, DFER, primarily supports Democratic candidates.
  8. ^ This poll's sponsor is the American Principles Project, a 501 that supports the Republican Party.
  9. ^ Poll is sponsored by OANN, a far-right political talkshow.
  10. ^ This poll was sponsored by the Republican State Leadership Committee.
  11. ^ Poll conducted for the Speaker of Georgia's House Republican caucus.
  12. ^ Poll sponsored by the Democratic Senatorial Campaign Committee.
Voter samples and additional candidates
  1. ^ "Another candidate" with 7.2%
  2. ^ Knox with 1.5%; DeJesus and Smith with 1%; McCracken with 0.3%
  3. ^ Listed as "other/undecided"
  4. ^ Includes undecided
  5. ^ Initially scheduled for October 19.[57]
  6. ^ Jump up to: a b Calculated by taking the difference of 100% and all other candidates combined.
  7. ^ Jump up to: a b c d e f g h Key:
    A – all adults
    RV – registered voters
    LV – likely voters
    V – unclear
  8. ^ Undecided with 1%
  9. ^ "Other candidate or write-in" with 0%
  10. ^ Jump up to: a b c With voters who lean towards a given candidate
  11. ^ "Someone else" with 3%
  12. ^ Jump up to: a b Undecided with 3%
  13. ^ Jump up to: a b c d Undecided with 6%
  14. ^ "Other candidate" and "No one" with 0%; Undecided with 2%
  15. ^ Jump up to: a b c With a likely voter turnout model featuring higher turnout than in the 2016 presidential election
  16. ^ Jump up to: a b c With a likely voter turnout model featuring lower turnout than in the 2016 presidential election
  17. ^ "Someone else" and Undecided with 1%
  18. ^ "Someone else" with 2%; Undecided with 4%
  19. ^ Jump up to: a b c Undecided with 5%
  20. ^ "Other" with 5%; Undecided with 8%
  21. ^ "Someone else" with 3%; Undecided with 6%
  22. ^ "Someone else" and would not vote with 1%; "Undecided/Refused" with 8%
  23. ^ "Someone else" and did/would not vote with 1%; "Undecided/Refused" with 6%
  24. ^ "Someone else" with 0%; Undecided with 3%
  25. ^ "Some other candidate" with 3%; Undecided with 8%
  26. ^ Undecided with 9%
  27. ^ Jump up to: a b Undecided with 7%
  28. ^ "Someone else" with 1%; Undecided with 2%
  29. ^ "Someone else" with 0%; Undecided with 2%
  30. ^ "Another Third Party/Write-in" with 3%; Undecided with 9%
  31. ^ "Someone else" with 2%; Undecided with 8%
  32. ^ "Other" and "No one" with 0%; Undecided with 6%
  33. ^ Undecided with 4%
  34. ^ "Someone else" and would not vote with 0%; "Undecided/Refused" with 16%
  35. ^ Overlapping sample with the previous Morning Consult poll, but more information available regarding sample size
  36. ^ Undecided with 14%
  37. ^ Additional data sourced from FiveThirtyEight
  38. ^ "Another Third Party/Write-in" with 3%; Undecided with 11%
  39. ^ Would not vote with 1%; Undecided with 4%
  40. ^ Would not vote with 2%; Undecided with 9%
  41. ^ Would not vote with 4%
  42. ^ Undecided with 11%
  43. ^ "Some other candidate" with 4%; Undecided with 10%
  44. ^ "Someone else" with 3%; Undecided with 10%
  45. ^ "Third party candidate" with 3%; would not vote with 2%; Undecided with 14%
  46. ^ "Another candidate" with 4%; Undecided with 6%
  47. ^ Undecided with 8%; "Other" with 3%; would not vote with 2%
  48. ^ "Someone else" with 4%; Undecided with 3%
  49. ^ "Undecided" with 8%
  50. ^ "Someone else" with 6%; Undecided with 4%
  51. ^ "Someone else" with 8%; Undecided with 5%
  52. ^ "It is more important for Republicans to have control of the Senate" as opposed to "It is more important for Democrats to have control of the Senate" with 46%
  53. ^ "It does not matter which party has control of the Senate" with 7%; Undecided with 4%

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Further reading[]

External links[]

Official campaign websites
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