2021 New Mexico's 1st congressional district special election

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New Mexico's 1st congressional district special election

← 2020 June 1, 2021 2022 →

New Mexico's 1st congressional district
  Melanie A. Stansbury (cropped).jpg 3x4.svg
Nominee Melanie Stansbury Mark Moores
Party Democratic Republican
Popular vote 79,837 47,111
Percentage 60.4% 35.6%

2021 United States House of Representatives special election in New Mexico's 1st congressional district by county.svg
2021 United States House of Representatives special election in New Mexico's 1st congressional district by precinct.svg
Stansbury:      40–50%      50–60%      60–70%      60–70%      70��80%     80–90%      90–100%
Moores:      40–50%      50–60%      60–70%      70–80%
Tie:       No votes:      

U.S. Representative before election

Deb Haaland
Democratic

Elected U.S. Representative

Melanie Stansbury
Democratic

A special election was held on June 1, 2021, to fill the vacancy in New Mexico's 1st congressional district created by Representative Deb Haaland's resignation from the United States House of Representatives to become the Secretary of the Interior in Joe Biden's administration.

State Representatives Patricia Roybal Caballero, Georgene Louis, and Melanie Stansbury, and state Senator Antoinette Sedillo Lopez sought the Democratic nomination. State Senator Mark Moores, radio host Eddy Aragon, and activist Elisa Martinez sought the Republican nomination.

The Democratic Party nominated Stansbury, the Republican Party nominated Moores, the Libertarian Party selected Chris Manning, and former Commissioner of Public Lands Aubrey Dunn Jr. ran as an independent. Stansbury won the election with over sixty percent of the vote.[1]

Background[]

Representative Michelle Lujan Grisham of New Mexico's 1st congressional district announced in 2016, that she would seek the Democratic nomination for the 2018 gubernatorial election.[2] Deb Haaland, the former chair of the Democratic Party of New Mexico, ran for the seat with the Democratic nomination and won in the 2018 election.[3] She was reelected in the 2020 election.[4]

Haaland was selected by President Joe Biden to served as Secretary of the Interior and she was approved by the United States Senate by a vote of fifty-one to forty.[5][6] Haaland resigned from her seat on March 16, 2021, and a special election was ordered by the Secretary of State of New Mexico to be held on June 1.[7][8] Each party's state central committee selected their candidate for the special election instead of using a primary system.[9]

Democratic committee selection[]

Antoinette Sedillo Lopez, a member of the New Mexico Senate who had run in the 2018 Democratic primary for the seat, and Melanie Stansbury, a member of the New Mexico House of Representatives, announced on December 21, 2020, that they would seek the Democratic nomination for the special election.[10][11] On January 4, 2021, Georgene Louis, a member of the state house, announced that she would seek the Democratic nomination.[12] Victor Reyes, the legislator director for Governor Grisham, announced on January 8, that he would seek the Democratic nomination.[13] Patricia Roybal Caballero, a member of the state house, announced her campaign on January 27.[14]

Stansbury won the nomination after defeating Lopez, who had placed first in the first round of voting, in the runoff.[15]

Candidates[]

Selected[]

Eliminated in second round[]

Eliminated in first round[]

Declined[]

Endorsements[]

Georgene Louis
Notable individuals
  • Mark Ruffalo, actor and producer[21]
  • Wes Studi, Cherokee actor and film producer[21]
State legislators
  • Ruth Buffalo, North Dakota State Representative from District 27 (2018–present)[22]
  • Christina Haswood, Kansas State Representative from District 10 (2021–present)[22]
  • Ponka-We Victors, Kansas State Representative from District 103 (2011–present)[22]
Selinda Guerrero
Organizations
  • Brand New Congress[23]
Victor Reyes
U.S. Representatives
  • David Cicilline, U.S. Representative from RI-01 (2011–present)[24]
  • Chris Pappas, U.S. Representative from NH-01 (2019–present)[24]
  • Mark Takano, U.S. Representative for CA-41 (2013–present)[25]
  • Ritchie Torres, U.S. Representative from NY-15 (2021–present)[24]
  • Marc Veasey, U.S. Representative from TX-33 (2013–present)[24]
Organizations
Antoinette Sedillo Lopez
Organizations
Melanie Stansbury
Notable individuals
  • Diane Denish, former Lieutenant Governor of New Mexico (2003–2011)[33]
Organizations

Convention results[]

Democratic convention results[38][15]
Candidate First round votes First round pct. Second round votes Second round pct.
Melanie Stansbury 43 21.61% 103 51.24%
Antoinette Sedillo Lopez 74 37.19% 97 48.26%
Randi McGinn 34 17.09% Eliminated
Victor Reyes 18 9.05% Eliminated
Selinda Guerrero 13 6.53% Eliminated
Georgene Louis 13 6.53% Eliminated
Francisco Fernández 2 1.01% Eliminated
Patricia Roybal Caballero 1 0.50% Eliminated
Abstained 1 0.50% 1 0.50%
Total 199 100% 201 100%

Republican committee selection[]

State Senator Mark Moores was selected by the Republican state central committee to serve as the Republican candidate in the special election on March 27.[39][40]

Candidates[]

Selected[]

Not selected[]

  • Eddy Aragon, radio host and owner of KIVA-AM[19][20][43]
  • Michaela Chavez, bookkeeper[44][43]
  • Ronnie Lucero, finance manager[43]
  • Elisa Martinez, anti-abortion activist and candidate for U.S. Senate in 2020[43]
  • Tracy Trujillo[43]
  • Jared Vander Dussen, attorney[43]

Withdrew before committee selection[]

  • Michelle Garcia Holmes, retired police detective, nominee for Lieutenant Governor of New Mexico in 2018, and nominee for this district in 2020[45]

Endorsements[]

Mark Moores
Organizations
  • National Rifle Association[40]
  • Republican Party of New Mexico[46]

Convention results[]

Republican convention results[47][48]
Candidate Votes Pct.
Mark Moores 49 40%
Eddy Aragon 34 28%
Elisa Martinez 20 17%
Jared Vander Dussen 7 6%
Ronnie Lucero 6 5%
Michaela Chavez 5 4%
Jonathan Gonzalez 0 0%
Total 121 100%

Libertarian committee selection[]

Candidates[]

Selected[]

Independents[]

Aubrey Dunn Jr., who had served as the New Mexico Commissioner of Public Lands as a Republican and Libertarian, filed to run as an independent for the seat on January 8, 2021.[13] Two other candidates, Laura Olivas and Robert Ornelas, ran as write-in candidates.[50]

Candidates[]

Declared[]

Certified write-in[]

  • Laura Olivas[51][52]
  • Robert Ornelas, perennial candidate (previously associated with the American Independent Party)[53][54]

Endorsements[]

Laura Olivas
  • Moms Demand Action[36]

General election[]

Predictions[]

Source Ranking As of
The Cook Political Report[55] Likely D June 1, 2021
Inside Elections[56] Solid D May 7, 2021
Sabato's Crystal Ball[57] Likely D May 26, 2021

Endorsements[]

Melanie Stansbury (D)
Executive branch officials
U.S. Senators
  • Martin Heinrich, United States Senator from New Mexico (2013–present)[60]
  • Ben Ray Luján, United States Senator from New Mexico (2021–present)[60]
  • Elizabeth Warren, United States Senator from Massachusetts (2013–present)[58]
  • Cory Booker, United States Senator from New Jersey (2013–present)[61]
U.S Representatives
State officials
  • Diane Denish, former Lieutenant Governor of New Mexico (2003–2011)[33]
  • Michelle Lujan Grisham, 32nd Governor of New Mexico (2019–present)[60]
Individuals
  • Jill Biden, First Lady of the United States[64]
  • Doug Emhoff, Second Gentleman of the United States[65]
Organizations
Mark Moores (R)
Executive branch officials
U.S Representatives
Newspapers
Organizations
  • National Federation of Independent Business[80]
  • National Rifle Association[40]
  • National Right to Life Committee[75]
  • Republican Party of New Mexico[46]
Laura Olvias (I) (write-in)
  • Moms Demand Action (co-endorsed with Stansbury)[36]

Polling[]

Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[a]
Margin
of error
Melanie
Stansbury (D)
Mark
Moores (R)
Aubrey
Dunn (I)
Chris
Manning (L)
Undecided
RRH Elections/Elections Daily May 18–21, 2021 555 (LV) ± 4.2% 49% 33% 5% 3% 9%
Notes
  1. ^ Key:
    A – all adults
    RV – registered voters
    LV – likely voters
    V – unclear

Results[]

2021 New Mexico's 1st congressional district special election[81]
Party Candidate Votes % ±%
Democratic Melanie Stansbury 79,837 60.36% +2.17%
Republican Mark Moores 47,111 35.62% -6.19%
Independent Aubrey Dunn Jr. 3,534 2.67% N/A
Libertarian Chris Manning 1,734 1.31% N/A
Write-in 46 0.03% N/A
Total votes 132,262 100.0%
Democratic hold

By county[]

County Melanie Stansbury
Democratic
Mark Moores
Republican
Various candidates
Other parties
Margin Total votes
# % # % # % # %
Bernalillo 74,181 61.40% 41,984 34.75% 4,641 3.84% 32,197 26.65% 120,806
Sandoval 3,686 59.36% 2,289 36.86% 235 3.78% 1,397 22.50% 6,210
Santa Fe 611 38.94% 875 55.77% 83 5.29% -264 -16.83% 1,569
Torrance 945 34.43% 1,503 54.75% 297 10.82% -558 -20.33% 2,745
Valencia 415 44.58% 460 49.41% 56 6.01% -45 -4.83% 931
Totals 79,838 60.36% 47,111 35.62% 5,314 4.02% 32,727 24.74% 132,263

See also[]

References[]

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  5. ^ "In Historic Move, Biden To Pick Native American Rep. Haaland As Interior Secretary". NPR. December 17, 2020. Archived from the original on June 4, 2021.
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  10. ^ a b "Sedillo Lopez launches run for 1st Congressional District". Albuquerque Journal. April 20, 2017. Archived from the original on June 4, 2021.
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  13. ^ a b c d "Gov.'s office staffer, ex-land commissioner joins CD1 fray". Albuquerque Journal. January 8, 2021. p. A6. Archived from the original on June 3, 2021 – via Newspapers.com.
  14. ^ a b "Rep. Roybal Caballero enters race for CD1 seat". Albuquerque Journal. January 28, 2021. p. A6. Archived from the original on June 4, 2021 – via Newspapers.com.
  15. ^ a b "Stansbury chosen as Democratic nominee for special election". Albuquerque Journal. March 31, 2021. Archived from the original on June 4, 2021.
  16. ^ Fernández, Francisco (February 3, 2021). "EXCITING NEWS: Today, I proudly announce my candidacy for the Democratic nomination to represent our First Congressional District". Facebook. Retrieved February 11, 2021.
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  22. ^ a b c "All Pueblo Council of Governors Backs Georgene Louis to Fill Congressional Seat Vacated by Deb Haaland". Native News Online. March 29, 2021.
  23. ^ "Help BNC elect Selinda Guerrero for NM-01".
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  26. ^ "Victory Fund Endorses 15 LGBTQ Candidates for 2021 Cycle; Victor Reyes Endorsed for U.S. Congress Special Election". victoryfund.org. January 27, 2021.
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  28. ^ "Friends of the Earth Action endorses Antoinette Sedillo López for Congress". Friends of the Earth (US). March 29, 2021.
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  31. ^ "National Groups Announce Endorsement of State Sen. Antoinette Sedillo López in NM-01". March 25, 2021.
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External links[]

Official websites for candidates
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