2022 United States House of Representatives elections in New Mexico

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2022 United States House of Representatives elections in New Mexico

← 2020 November 8, 2022 2024 →

All 3 New Mexico seats to the United States House of Representatives
  Majority party Minority party
 
Party Democratic Republican
Last election 2 1

The 2022 United States House of Representatives elections in New Mexico are to be held on November 8, 2022, to elect the three U.S. Representatives from the state of New Mexico, one from each of the state's three congressional districts. The elections will coincide with the New Mexico gubernatorial election, as well as other elections to the U.S. House of Representatives, elections to the U.S. Senate, and various state and local elections.

Redistricting[]

Process[]

In New Mexico, legislative and congressional maps must be passed by the state legislature and are subject to a veto by the governor, which would require a two-thirds supermajority in each house of the legislature to override. In April 2021, governor Michelle Lujan Grisham signed a bill passed by the legislature that established the seven-member New Mexico Citizen Redistricting Committee. The job of the committee is to draw three sets of legislative and congressional maps, which it then sends to the legislature for consideration. Current public officials and government employees are barred from serving on the committee. The committee's role is purely advisory and the legislature is free to alter or discard its proposals.[1]

On October 15, 2021, the redistricting committee voted to send 3 congressional maps to the legislature. The first would largely maintain the boundaries of the state's existing map. The second would increase Native American representation in the 3rd congressional district to nearly 20% and Hispanic representation in the 2nd district to 54%. This proposal was championed by the committee's chairman Edward Chávez, former Chief Justice of the New Mexico Supreme Court. The third, drawn by the Center for Civic Policy, would add liberal areas of the city of Albuquerque to the rural 2nd district.[2]

Targeting of the 2nd district[]

In the leadup to the 2020 redistricting cycle, some suspected that the Democratic-controlled state legislature might alter the boundaries of the 2nd congressional district to make it more favorable to the Democratic Party. The 2nd district was represented by Democrat Xochitl Torres Small after she defeated Republican Yvette Herrell in the 2018 midterm elections, but she lost to Herrell in a 2020 rematch. The day after Harrell's victory, Democrat Brian Egolf, the Speaker of the New Mexico House of Representatives, pointed out that the 2nd district would inevitably be changed during redistricting and said "we’ll have to see what that means for Republican chances to hold it." This statement was criticized by Steve Pearce, the chair of the New Mexico Republican Party, who called it "political tricks."[3]

The district is mostly rural and dominated by the oil and natural gas industry. Carlsbad mayor Dale Janway expressed concern that portions of the Albuquerque suburbs might be added to the district, which would dilute the influence of the rural communities in the district, including Carlsbad.[4] After the 2020 elections, the district held a Partisan Voting Index of R+8.[5]

Legislature's map[]

On December 10, the New Mexico Senate voted 25-15 to approve a congressional map drawn by Democratic state senator Joseph Cervantes. This proposal largely resembles the third map submitted by the commission, adding portions of western and southern Albuquerque to the 2nd district and moving a portion of the conservative-leaning, oil-producing area of the 2nd district into the 3rd district. These changes would increase the Hispanic majority in the 2nd district from 51% to 56% and decrease the percentage of Native Americans in the 3rd district from 20% to 16%. Republicans widely opposed the map, with GOP state senator David Gallegos pointing out that the map combines the conservative oilfield town of Hobbs with heavily Democratic Santa Fe, which is hundreds of miles away, and GOP senator Cliff Pirtle claiming that the map represented an attempt by Democrats to control all 3 of New Mexico's House seats. Cervantes defended his map, saying he wished to "reimagine a New Mexico where our districts include rural and urban areas."[6][7][8][9] The New Mexico House of Representatives passed the map on December 12 in a 44-24 vote, and governor Grisham approved it on December 17.[10][11]

Dave Wasserman of Cook Political Report interpreted the new map as an attempt by Democrats to target Herrell while still protecting the representative of the 3rd district, Democrat Teresa Leger Fernandez. Under the new map, in the 2020 presidential election, Democrat Joe Biden would have won the 1st district by 14.5%, the 2nd by under 6%, and the 3rd by roughly 11%.[12] Under the previous map, Biden won the first district by 22.8% and the 3rd district by 17.6%, and lost the 2nd district to Republican Donald Trump by 11.8%.[13]

District 1[]

2022 New Mexico's 1st congressional district election

← 2020 November 8, 2022 2024 →
 
Party TBD TBD

Incumbent U.S. Representative

Melanie Stansbury
Democratic



Democrat Deb Haaland, who was re-elected with 58.2% of the vote in 2020,[14] resigned on March 16, 2021 after she was confirmed to become the U.S. Secretary of the Interior.[15] Democrat Melanie Stansbury won the June 1, 2021 special election to finish her term with 60.4% of the vote.[16]

Democratic primary[]

Candidates[]

Declared[]
  • Melanie Stansbury, incumbent U.S. Representative (2021–present)[17]

Endorsements[]

Melanie Stansbury
Organizations
  • Planned Parenthood Action Fund[18]

Primary results[]

Democratic primary results
Party Candidate Votes %
Democratic Melanie Stansbury (incumbent)
Total votes

Republican primary[]

Candidates[]

Declared[]
  • Michelle Garcia Holmes, retired police detective, nominee for this district in 2020, and candidate in the 2021 special election[17]
  • Joshua Neal, city planner[17]
  • Jacquelyn Reeve, nurse practitioner[17]
  • Louie Sanchez, indoor shooting range owner[17]

Primary results[]

Republican primary results
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican Michelle Garcia Holmes
Republican Joshua Neal
Republican Jacquelyn Reeve
Republican Louie Sanchez
Total votes

General election[]

Results[]

New Mexico's 1st congressional district, 2022
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican
Democratic
Write-in
Total votes

Predictions[]

Source Ranking As of
The Cook Political Report[19] Solid D December 21, 2021
Inside Elections[20] Solid D December 31, 2021
Sabato's Crystal Ball[21] Solid D December 17, 2021

District 2[]

2022 New Mexico's 2nd congressional district election

← 2020 November 8, 2022 2024 →
 
Party TBD TBD

Incumbent U.S. Representative

Yvette Herrell
Republican



The incumbent is Republican Yvette Herrell, who was elected with 53.7% of the vote in 2020.[14] The boundaries of the district will be determined during the 2020 redistricting cycle.

Republican primary[]

Candidates[]

Declared[]
  • Yvette Herrell, incumbent U.S. Representative (2021–present)[17]

Endorsements[]

Yvette Herrell
Organizations

Primary results[]

Republican primary results
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican Yvette Herrell (incumbent)
Total votes

Democratic primary[]

Candidates[]

Declared[]
  • Darshan Patel, physician[17]
  • Gabe Vasquez, Las Cruces city councilor (2017–present) and former aide to U.S. Senator Martin Heinrich[25][17]
Declined[]
  • Joe Cervantes, state senator (2012–present)[26]
  • Siah Correa Hemphill, state senator (2020–present)[27]
  • Howie Morales, Lieutenant Governor of New Mexico (2019–present)[26]
  • Xochitl Torres Small, former U.S. Representative for New Mexico's 2nd congressional district (2019–2021), Under Secretary of Agriculture for Rural Development (2021-present) [26]

Endorsements[]

Gabe Vasquez
U.S. Senators
  • Martin Heinrich, U.S. Senator from New Mexico (2013–present)[28]
U.S. Representatives
  • Teresa Leger Fernandez, U.S. Representative from NM-03 (2021–present)[28]
State legislators
  • Siah Correa Hemphill, state senator (2020–present)[28]

Primary results[]

Democratic primary results
Party Candidate Votes %
Democratic Darshan Patel
Democratic Gabe Vasquez
Total votes

General election[]

Results[]

New Mexico's 2nd congressional district, 2022
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican
Democratic
Write-in
Total votes

Predictions[]

Source Ranking As of
The Cook Political Report[19] Tossup December 21, 2021
Inside Elections[20] Tossup December 31, 2021
Sabato's Crystal Ball[21] Tossup December 17, 2021

District 3[]

2022 New Mexico's 3rd congressional district election

← 2020 November 8, 2022 2024 →
 
Party TBD TBD

Incumbent U.S. Representative

Teresa Leger Fernandez
Democratic



The incumbent is Democrat Teresa Leger Fernandez, who was elected with 58.7% of the vote in 2020.[14] The boundaries of the district will be determined during the 2020 redistricting cycle.

Democratic primary[]

Candidates[]

Declared[]
  • Teresa Leger Fernandez, incumbent U.S. Representative (2021–present)[17]

Endorsements[]

Teresa Leger Fernandez
Organizations
  • CHC BOLD PAC[29]
  • Latino Victory Fund[30]
  • League of Conservation Voters[31]
  • Planned Parenthood Action Fund[18]

Primary results[]

Democratic primary results
Party Candidate Votes %
Democratic Teresa Leger Fernandez (incumbent)
Total votes

Republican primary[]

Candidates[]

Declared[]

Primary results[]

Republican primary results
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican Alexis Martinez Johnson
Republican Jerald Steve McFall
Total votes

General election[]

Results[]

New Mexico's 3rd congressional district, 2022
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican
Democratic
Write-in
Total votes

Predictions[]

Source Ranking As of
The Cook Political Report[19] Likely D December 21, 2021
Inside Elections[20] Likely D December 31, 2021
Sabato's Crystal Ball[21] Likely D December 17, 2021

References[]

  1. ^ "Redistricting in New Mexico after the 2020 census". Ballotpedia.
  2. ^ "Advisory panel endorses redistricting maps for New Mexico". AP NEWS. Oct 15, 2021.
  3. ^ Bryan, Susan Montoya. "New Mexico Dems plan to redraw 2nd Congressional district". Las Cruces Sun-News.
  4. ^ Janway, Dale. "City of Carlsbad: Understanding the redistricting process". Carlsbad Current-Argus.
  5. ^ "Introducing the 2021 Cook Political Report Partisan Voter Index". Cook Political Report.
  6. ^ ATTANASIO, MORGAN LEE and CEDAR (Dec 11, 2021). "New Mexico Senate endorses Democrats' redistricting map". Connecticut Post.
  7. ^ "Revamped New Mexico 3-seat congressional map is advanced". KOB 4. Dec 8, 2021.
  8. ^ "Revamped New Mexico 3-Seat Congressional Map Advances". www.usnews.com. December 9, 2021. Archived from the original on 2021-12-11. Retrieved December 14, 2021.
  9. ^ "Bill Breaking Up NM's Three Voting Districts Moves Ahead". The Paper. Associated Press. Dec 9, 2021.
  10. ^ "New Mexico CD Map Heads To Governor's Desk". ladailypost.com.
  11. ^ "New Mexico governor approves 3-district congressional map". 17 December 2021.
  12. ^ "Dems in New Mexico pulling no punches against #NM02 Rep. Yvette Herrell (R) - and #NM03 Rep. Teresa Leger Fernandez (D) gets boosted in the latest version". twitter.com. Archived from the original on 2021-12-10. Retrieved December 14, 2021.
  13. ^ "Daily Kos Elections' presidential results by congressional district for 2020, 2016, and 2012". Daily Kos.
  14. ^ a b c Johnson, Cheryl L. (February 28, 2019). "Statistics of the Congressional Election of November 3, 2020". Clerk of the U.S. House of Representatives.
  15. ^ "Haaland officially bids farewell to U.S. House". Albuquerque Journal. March 16, 2021. Archived from the original on June 4, 2021.
  16. ^ Gowins, Max (2021-06-01). "Election Results: New Mexico 1st Congressional District Special Election". Decision Desk HQ. Retrieved 2021-06-15.
  17. ^ a b c d e f g h i j McKay, Dan (February 1, 2022). "5 Republicans seek nomination to challenge Lujan Grisham". Albuquerque Journal. Retrieved February 1, 2022.
  18. ^ a b "Planned Parenthood Action Fund Endorsed Candidates". www.plannedparenthoodaction.org. Retrieved December 22, 2021.
  19. ^ a b c "2022 House Race Ratings". The Cook Political Report. Retrieved December 21, 2021.
  20. ^ a b c "House Ratings". House Ratings. The Rothenberg Political Report. Retrieved December 31, 2021.
  21. ^ a b c "2022 House Ratings". Sabato's Crystal Ball. December 17, 2021. Retrieved December 17, 2021.
  22. ^ "FreedomWorks for America Endorses Rep. Yvette Herrell for Re-Election in New Mexico's Second Congressional District". www.freedomworksforamerica.org. September 15, 2021. Retrieved January 10, 2022.
  23. ^ "ENDORSEMENTS". www.housefreedomfund.com. Retrieved January 28, 2022.
  24. ^ "2022 Candidates". www.maggieslist.org. Retrieved January 2, 2021.
  25. ^ Boyd, Dan (September 15, 2021). "Cruces councilor to announce bid for 2nd CD seat". Albuquerque Journal. Retrieved September 15, 2021.
  26. ^ a b c Simonich, Milan (July 10, 2021). "MLG now more vulnerable than rookie congresswoman". www.santafenewmexican.com. The Santa Fe New Mexican. Retrieved November 26, 2021.
  27. ^ Seibel, Nickolas (October 5, 2021). "Sought-after Correa Hemphill to stick with Senate". Silver City Daily Press. Retrieved October 6, 2021.
  28. ^ a b c Clark, Chris (December 17, 2021). "Rep. Leger Fernandez Endorses Former Los Alamos Newspaper Intern Gabe Vasquez For Congress In NM-02". www.ladailypost.com. Los Alamos Daily Post. Retrieved December 17, 2021.
  29. ^ Murray, Stephanie (January 24, 2022). "GOP Senate spending tops $15M in PA". Politico. Retrieved January 24, 2022.
  30. ^ Akin, Stephanie; Ackley, Kate; McIntire, Mary (10 March 2022). "At the Races: Retreat rerouted". rollcall.com. Roll Call. Retrieved 12 March 2022.
  31. ^ "LCV Action Fund Announces First Round of Incumbent House Endorsements". www.lcv.org. February 10, 2022.
  32. ^ Chacón, Daniel (January 3, 2022). "Martinez Johnson launches campaign for CD3". The Santa Fe New Mexican. Retrieved January 4, 2022.

External links[]

Official campaign websites for 1st district candidates
Official campaign websites for 2nd district candidates
Official campaign websites for 3rd district candidates
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