2022 United States House of Representatives election in Vermont
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The 2022 United States House of Representatives election in Vermont will be held on November 8, 2022, to elect the U.S. Representative from Vermont's at-large congressional district. The election will coincide with other elections to the House of Representatives, elections to the United States Senate, and various other state and local elections.
Incumbent Democrat Peter Welch was re-elected with 67.3% of the vote in 2020. After eight-term U.S. Senator Patrick Leahy announced he would retire on November 15, some speculated that Welch may decline to seek re-election, and instead seek election to the Senate.[1] On November 22, 2021, Welch announced his candidacy for Leahy's seat, creating the first open U.S. House seat in Vermont since Bernie Sanders ran for U.S. Senate in 2006.[2]
Democratic primary[]
Candidates[]
Declared[]
- Becca Balint, state senator (2015–present) and President pro tempore (2021–present)[3]
- Molly Gray, Lieutenant Governor of Vermont (2021–present)[4]
- Kesha Ram Hinsdale, state senator (2021–present), former state representative (2009–2016), and candidate for lieutenant governor in 2016[5][6][7]
- , Former Congressional aide to United States House Representative Ayanna Pressley
Democratic candidates[a]
Publicly expressed interest[]
Potential[]
- T.J. Donovan, Vermont Attorney General (2017–present)[10]
- Deborah Markowitz, former Vermont Secretary of State (1999-2011)[10]
Declined[]
- Jill Krowinski, Speaker of the Vermont House of Representatives (2021–present)[11]
- Peter Welch, incumbent U.S. Representative (2007–present) (running for U.S. Senate)[2]
Endorsements[]
Becca Balint
Molly Gray
- Statewide officials
- Howard Dean, 79th Governor of Vermont (1991–2009) and 77th Lieutenant Governor of Vermont (1987–1991)[14]
- Mandela Barnes, 45th Lieutenant Governor of Wisconsin (2019–present) and candidate for the U.S. Senate in Wisconsin in 2022[15]
Kesha Ram Hinsdale
- State legislators
- Hal Colston, State Representative from Chittenden 6-7 (2019–present)[16]
- Mari Cordes, State Representative from Addison 4 (2019–present)[16]
- Jim McCullough, State Representative from Chittenden-2 (2003–present)[16]
- Taylor Small, State Representative from Chittenden 6-7 (2021–present)[16]
- Individuals
Polling[]
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[c] |
Margin of error |
Becca Balint |
Molly Gray |
Kesha Ram Hinsdale |
Other | Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| VPR/Vermont PBS | January 3–9, 2022 | 418 (LV) | ± 4.8% | 11% | 31% | 0% | 12% | 47% |
Republican primary[]
Candidates[]
Declared[]
- Marcia Horne, marketing consultant and Independent candidate for Vermont's at-large congressional district in 2020[18]
Filed paperwork[]
- Ericka Redic[19]
Potential[]
- Felisha Leffler, state representative (2019–present)[10]
- Heidi Scheuermann, state representative (2007–present)[10]
- Justin Tuthill, healthcare executive and candidate for this district in 2020[20]
- , [10]
Declined[]
- Phil Scott, Governor of Vermont (2017–present) and former Lieutenant Governor of Vermont (2011–2017)[21]
Progressive primary[]
Candidates[]
Publicly expressed interest[]
Other candidates[]
Filed paperwork[]
- Bryan Braga (Communist)[22]
General election[]
Predictions[]
| Source | Ranking | As of |
|---|---|---|
| The Cook Political Report[23] | Solid D | October 5, 2021 |
| Inside Elections[24] | Solid D | October 11, 2021 |
| Sabato's Crystal Ball[25] | Safe D | October 5, 2021 |
Notes[]
- ^ The images in this gallery are in the public domain or are otherwise free to use. This gallery should not be construed as a list of major or noteworthy candidates. If a candidate is not included in this gallery, it is only because there are no high-quality, copyright-free photographs of them available on the Internet.
- ^ Candidate is a member of the Progressive Party, but runs with the Democratic Party's endorsement under Vermont's electoral fusion system
- ^ Key:
A – all adults
RV – registered voters
LV – likely voters
V – unclear
References[]
- ^ Allison, Natalie. "Leahy, most senior senator, will retire". POLITICO. Retrieved November 16, 2021.
- ^ a b Forgey, Quint. "Rep. Peter Welch launches Senate bid for Leahy's seat". POLITICO. Retrieved November 22, 2021.
- ^ Duffort, Lola (December 13, 2021). "Becca Balint, leader of the Vermont Senate, joins race for U.S. House". VT Digger. Montpelier, VT.
- ^ "Lt. Gov. Molly Gray announces run for Vermont's sole US House seat". myNBC5.com. December 6, 2021. Retrieved December 6, 2021.
- ^ "Will Leahy Run? As He Ponders, Three Potential Congressional Candidates Gear up".
- ^ Duffort, Lola; Mearhoff, Sarah (January 12, 2022). "Kesha Ram Hinsdale to join Vermont congressional race". VTDigger.
- ^ Goldstein, Sasha (January 13, 2022). "Vermont Sen. Kesha Ram Hinsdale Joins Race for U.S. House". sevendaysvt.com. Seven Days. Retrieved January 13, 2022.
- ^ a b Grim, Ryan (November 15, 2021). "Bernie Sanders Could Snuff Out a Potential Primary Contest to Replace Patrick Leahy". The Intercept. Retrieved November 22, 2021.
- ^ a b "Will Vermont send a woman to Washington?".
- ^ a b c d e Dritschilo, Gordon (December 2, 2021). "Some names emerge in congressional race, some don't". The Barre Montpelier Times Argus.
- ^ "Column | Lt. Gov. Molly Gray Says She's Too Focused on Her Current Role to Think About Running for Congress".
- ^ McCallum, Kevin (December 13, 2021). "Vermont Sen. Becca Balint Announces Run for U.S. House". Seven Days. Retrieved February 27, 2022.
- ^ a b c "LPAC & Other National LGBTQ Organizations Endorse Becca Balint". LPAC. January 25, 2022. Retrieved February 27, 2022.
- ^ "News roundup: Vt. hospital capacity improving, but blood supply at critical lows". Vermont Public Radio. February 2, 2022. Retrieved February 11, 2022.
- ^ ".@mollyforvermont!! Running for Congress!". Twitter. December 15, 2021.
- ^ a b c d e Mearhoff, Sarah (January 13, 2022). "Sen. Kesha Ram Hinsdale launches campaign for US House". VTDigger. Retrieved February 27, 2022.
- ^ Johnson, A. Bryan (February 11, 2022). "Nina Turner Is Still Mad As Hell, and Running for Congress (Again)". The Nation. Retrieved February 11, 2022.
- ^ Lindsey-Almadani, Farah (January 7, 2022). "Vermont expected to send state's first woman to Congress". www.thedartmouth.com. Retrieved January 7, 2022.
- ^ "FEC Form 2 for Report FEC-1556963". docquery.fec.gov.
- ^ Gunzburger, Ron. "Politics1 - Online Guide to Vermont Politics". politics1.com.
- ^ Duffort, Lola; Mearhoff, Sarah (November 16, 2021). "Who will take Leahy's place in the Senate and why does everyone think it's Welch?". VTDigger. Archived from the original on November 17, 2021.
No one has been explicit yet about their plans for the election in November 2022, save for those ruling out a run. (“No chance!” a spokesperson for Republican Gov. Phil Scott told a reporter on Monday.)
- ^ "FEC Form 2 for Report FEC-1522463". docquery.fec.gov.
- ^ "2022 House Race Ratings". The Cook Political Report. Retrieved October 1, 2021.
- ^ "House Ratings". The Rothenberg Political Report. Retrieved October 4, 2021.
- ^ "2022 House Ratings". Sabato's Crystal Ball. October 5, 2021. Retrieved October 5, 2021.
External links[]
- Campaign websites
Categories:
- United States House of Representatives elections in Vermont
- 2022 United States House of Representatives elections
- 2022 Vermont elections