2012 United States Senate election in New Mexico
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![]() County results Heinrich: 40–50% 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% Wilson: 40–50% 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% | |||||||||||||||||
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Elections in New Mexico |
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The 2012 United States Senate election in New Mexico took place on November 6, 2012, concurrently with the 2012 U.S. presidential election as well as other elections to the United States Senate and House of Representatives as well as various state and local elections. Incumbent Democratic U.S. Senator Jeff Bingaman decided to retire instead of running for reelection to a sixth term.[1] Democratic U.S. Representative Martin Heinrich won the open seat.
Background[]
Incumbent Jeff Bingaman won re-election to a fifth term with 70.61% of the vote against Allen McCulloch in the 2006 U.S. senatorial election in New Mexico.
Democratic primary[]
Candidates[]
Declared[]
Withdrew[]
- Martin Chávez, former Albuquerque mayor and 1998 Democratic gubernatorial nominee (withdrew to run for U.S. House)[4][5]
- Andres Valdez, anti-police brutality Social Justice activist[6]
Declined[]
- Jeff Bingaman, incumbent U.S. senator[1]
- Diane Denish, former New Mexico lieutenant governor and 2010 Democratic gubernatorial nominee[7][8]
- Ben Ray Luján, U.S. representative[9]
Polling[]
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Hector Balderas |
Martin Heinrich |
Other | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Public Policy Polling | June 23–26, 2011 | 400 | ± 4.9% | 24% | 47% | — | 29% |
Magellan Strategies | July 17–18, 2011 | 636 | ± 3.9% | 21% | 54% | — | 25% |
Public Policy Polling | December 10–12, 2011 | 309 | ± 5.6% | 30% | 47% | — | 23% |
Public Policy Polling | April 19–22, 2012 | 270 | ± 6% | 27% | 51% | — | 22% |
Albuquerque Journal/Research & Polling Archived June 7, 2012, at the Wayback Machine | May 21–24, 2012 | 741 | ± 3.6% | 26% | 51% | — | 23% |
Endorsements[]
Martin Heinrich
- Federal officials
- Raúl Grijalva, U.S. Representative for Arizona's 7th congressional district[10]
- Statewide officials
- Patricia Madrid, former Attorney General
- New Mexico state senators
- Dede Feldman
- Tim Keller
- Cisco McSorley
- Jerry Ortiz y Pino
- New Mexico state representatives
- J. Paul Taylor
- Joni Guiterrez
- Bill O'Neill
- Jeff Steinborn
- Mimi Stewart
- Danice Picraux
- Eliseo Alcon
- Eleanor Chavez
- New Mexico Mayors
- David Coss, Mayor of Santa Fe
- Joe Maestas, former Mayor of Española
- Bob Rosebrough, former Mayor of Gallup
Source:[11]
- Unions
- American Federation of State, County and Municipal Employees
- International Association of Machinists
- International Brotherhood of Teamsters
- New Mexico Building and Construction Trades Council
- New Mexico Communication Workers for America
- Service Employees International Union
- United Steelworkers of America
- United Transportation Union
- United Food and Commercial Workers
- Organizations
- NARAL Pro-Choice America[12]
- Planned Parenthood[13]
- Sierra Club
- Defenders of Wildlife
- League of Conservation Voters
- Council for a Livable World
- National Committee to Preserve Social Security and Medicare
Source:[14]
Hector Balderas
- Statewide officials
- Diane Denish, former New Mexico Lieutenant Governor
- New Mexico state senators
- Mary Kay Papen
- Phil Griego
- Cynthia Nava
- Carlos Cisneros
- David Ulibarri
- Richard Martinez
- Bernadette Sanchez
- New Mexico state representatives
- Jim Trujillo
- Antonio Lujan
- Joseph Cervantes
- Miguel Garcia
- Mary Helen Garcia
- Lucky Varela
- Thomas Garcia
- New Mexico Mayors
- Steve Brockett, former Mayor of Alamogordo
- Robert Vialpando, Mayor of Los Lunas
- Tony Jaramillo, Mayor of Socorro
- Darren Cordova, Mayor of Taos
- Danny Cruz, Mayor of Springer
Source:[15]
Results[]
![](http://upload.wikimedia.org/wikipedia/commons/thumb/0/07/NM_Senate_Democratic_primary%2C_2012.svg/220px-NM_Senate_Democratic_primary%2C_2012.svg.png)
Results by county
Heinrich—70–80%
Heinrich—60–70%
Heinrich—50–60%
Balderas—50–60%
Balderas—60–70%
Balderas—70–80%
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Democratic | Martin Heinrich | 83,432 | 58.9 | |
Democratic | Hector Balderas | 58,128 | 41.1 | |
Total votes | 141,560 | 100 |
Republican primary[]
Candidates[]
Declared[]
- Greg Sowards, businessman[17]
- Heather Wilson, former U.S. Representative and candidate for the U.S. Senate in 2008[18]
Withdrew[]
Declined[]
- Janice Arnold-Jones, former state representative[18]
- Gary Johnson, former governor (ran for President)[21]
- Steve Pearce, U.S. Representative, candidate for the U.S. Senate in 2000, and nominee for the U.S. Senate in 2008[22]
Polling[]
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Bill English |
John Sanchez |
Greg Sowards |
Heather Wilson |
Other | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Magellan Strategies[permanent dead link] | April 26–27, 2011 | 801 | ± 3.5% | — | 17% | 2% | 59% | 11% | 11% |
Public Policy Polling | June 23–26, 2011 | 400 | ± 4.9% | 4% | 24% | 8% | 52% | — | 12% |
Magellan Strategies[permanent dead link] | July 17–18, 2011 | 799 | ± 3.5% | 2% | 21% | 5% | 56% | — | 16% |
Public Policy Polling | December 10–12, 2011 | 300 | ± 5.7% | 3% | 20% | 6% | 55% | — | 16% |
Albuquerque Journal Archived June 7, 2012, at the Wayback Machine | May 21–24, 2012 | 504 | ± 4.4% | — | — | 20% | 66% | — | 14% |
Hypothetical polling
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Bill English |
Gary Johnson |
John Sanchez |
Greg Sowards |
Heather Wilson |
Other | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Public Policy Polling | December 10–12, 2011 | 300 | ± 5.7% | 1% | 31% | 15% | 3% | 42% | — | 9% |
Endorsements[]
Heather Wilson
- Federal officials
- Pete Domenici, former U.S. Senator (R-NM)
- Manuel Lujan Jr., former U.S. Secretary of the Interior and former U.S. Representative for New Mexico's 1st congressional district
- William T. Redmond, former U.S. Representative for New Mexico's 3rd congressional district
- Ari Fleischer, former White House Press Secretary for George W. Bush
- Statewide officials
- John Sanchez, lieutenant governor
- Jack Stahl, former lieutenant governor
- New Mexico state senators
- Minority Leader Stuart Ingle
- Minority Whip Bill Payne
- Steven Neville
- Bill Sharer
- Clint Harden
- John Ryan
- Mark Boitano
- Gay Kernan
- Vernon Asbill
- Sander Rue
- Bill Burt
- Sue Wilson Beffort
- Carroll Leavell
- Rod Adair
- New Mexico state representatives
- Minority Leader Tom Taylor
- David Chavez
- Bill Gray
- Jim Hall
- Conrad James
- Dave Doyle
- Nora Espinoza
- Nate Gentry
- Jimmie Hall
- Jane Powdrell-Culbert
- Larry Larranaga
- Bill Rehm
- Dianne Miller Hamilton
- Jim Smith
- James White
- Tim Lewis
- Dennis Roch
- Anna Crook
- Shirley Tyler
- Tom Anderson
- Zachary Cook
- Alonzo Baldonado
- Paul Bandy
- James Strickler
- Don Bratton
- Don Tripp
- Cathryn Novich-Brown
- Bob Wooley
- New Mexico Mayors
- Richard J. Berry, Mayor of Albuquerque
- Scott Eckstein, Mayor of Bloomfield and Commissioner of San Juan County
- Tommy Roberts, Mayor of Farmington
- Bryan Olguin, Mayor of Peralta
- Louis Huning, former Mayor of Los Lunas
- Bill Standley, former Mayor of Farmington
- Gary Kanin, former Mayor of Corrales
Source:[23]
Results[]
![](http://upload.wikimedia.org/wikipedia/commons/thumb/f/f5/NM_U.S._Senate_Republican_primary%2C_2012.svg/220px-NM_U.S._Senate_Republican_primary%2C_2012.svg.png)
Results by county:
Wilson—70–80%
Wilson—60–70%
Wilson—50–60%
Sowards—50–60%
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Republican | Heather Wilson | 63,631 | 70.0 | |
Republican | Greg Sowards | 27,214 | 30.0 | |
Total votes | 90,845 | 100 |
General election[]
Candidates[]
- Martin Heinrich (D), U.S. Representative
- Heather Wilson (R), former U.S. Representative and candidate for the U.S. Senate in 2008
- Jon Barrie (Independent American Party), alternative medicine practitioner and Air Force veteran[24]
Debates[]
- Complete video of debate, October 17, 2012 - C-SPAN
- Complete video of debate, October 25, 2012 - C-SPAN
Fundraising[]
Candidate (party) | Receipts | Disbursements | Cash on hand | Debt |
---|---|---|---|---|
Martin Heinrich (D) | $3,883,992 | $2,174,712 | $1,763,753 | $89,424 |
Heather Wilson (R) | $4,048,847 | $2,416,328 | $1,632,517 | $0 |
Jon Barrie (I) | $705 | $1,150 | $0 | $445 |
Source: Federal Election Commission[25][26][27] |
Top contributors[]
Martin Heinrich | Contribution | Heather Wilson | Contribution |
---|---|---|---|
League of Conservation Voters | $108,634 | Elliott Management Corporation | $29,413 |
JStreetPAC | $67,860 | Mewbourne Oil Co | $25,000 |
University of New Mexico | $24,221 | Kelly PAC | $15,000 |
Robbins Geller Rudman & Dowd LLP | $23,000 | Blue Cross & Blue Shield | $14,050 |
Council for a Livable World | $20,044 | Devon Energy | $13,250 |
National Rural Letter Carriers' Association | $19,000 | Murray Energy | $12,800 |
Comcast Corporation | $11,250 | Yates Petroleum | $12,600 |
Presbyterian Healthcare Services | $11,150 | Livingston Group | $12,249 |
Intel Corp | $10,500 | Publix Super Markets | $11,000 |
American Optometric Association | $10,250 | Westport Construction | $10,500 |
Top industries[]
Martin Heinrich | Contribution | Heather Wilson | Contribution |
---|---|---|---|
Lawyers/Law Firms | $322,120 | Retired | $355,880 |
Retired | $270,598 | Oil & Gas | $217,500 |
Lobbyists | $156,480 | Leadership PACs | $206,225 |
Environmental organizations | $145,365 | Financial Institutions | $163,888 |
Leadership PACs | $100,000 | Lobbyists | $113,549 |
Health Professionals | $95,729 | Lawyers/Law Firms | $106,852 |
Pro-Israel | $83,860 | Real Estate | $95,990 |
Public Sector Unions | $67,000 | Misc Finance | $72,407 |
Democratic/Liberal | $64,300 | Business Services | $72,078 |
Casinos/Gambling | $58,550 | Mining | $69,200 |
Predictions[]
Source | Ranking | As of |
---|---|---|
The Cook Political Report[30] | Lean D | November 1, 2012 |
Sabato's Crystal Ball[31] | Likely D | November 5, 2012 |
Rothenberg Political Report[32] | Lean D | November 2, 2012 |
Real Clear Politics[33] | Likely D | November 5, 2012 |
Polling[]
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Martin Heinrich (D) |
Heather Wilson (R) |
Other | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Public Policy Polling | February 4–6, 2011 | 545 | ± 4.2% | 50% | 39% | — | 11% |
Public Policy Polling | June 23–26, 2011 | 732 | ± 3.6% | 47% | 42% | — | 11% |
Public Policy Polling | December 10–12, 2011 | 500 | ± 4.4% | 47% | 40% | — | 13% |
Rasmussen Reports | February 14, 2012 | 500 | ± 4.5% | 45% | 43% | 5% | 7% |
Rasmussen Reports | April 3, 2012 | 500 | ± 4.5% | 46% | 42% | 7% | 6% |
Public Policy Polling | April 19–22, 2012 | 526 | ± 4.3% | 48% | 43% | — | 9% |
Public Policy Polling | July 13–16, 2012 | 724 | ± 3.6% | 48% | 43% | — | 9% |
Rasmussen Reports | August 21, 2012 | 500 | ± 4.5% | 48% | 41% | 5% | 7% |
Albuquerque Journal Archived September 12, 2012, at the Wayback Machine | September 3–6, 2012 | 667 | ± 3.8% | 49% | 42% | — | 8% |
Public Policy Polling | September 7–9, 2012 | 1,122 | ± 2.9% | 50% | 41% | — | 9% |
We Ask America | September 25–27, 2012 | 1,258 | ± 2.85% | 52% | 41% | — | 7% |
Public Policy Polling | October 2–3, 2012 | 778 | ± n/a% | 51% | 41% | — | 8% |
Rasmussen Reports | October 8, 2012 | 500 | ± 4.5% | 52% | 39% | 4% | 5% |
Albuquerque Poll Journal Archived October 17, 2012, at the Wayback Machine | October 9–11, 2012 | 658 | ± 3.8% | 48% | 39% | 4% | 9% |
Public Policy Polling | October 23–24, 2012 | 727 | ± n/a% | 52% | 44% | — | 3% |
Albuquerque Poll Journal[permanent dead link] | October 23–25, 2012 | 662 | ± 3.8% | 50% | 42% | 3% | 6% |
Hypothetical polling
- with Jeff Bingaman
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Jeff Bingaman (D) |
Gary Johnson (R) |
Other | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Public Policy Polling | February 4–6, 2011 | 545 | ± 4.2% | 51% | 40% | — | 9% |
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Jeff Bingaman (D) |
Steve Pearce (R) |
Other | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Public Policy Polling | February 4–6, 2011 | 545 | ± 4.2% | 57% | 34% | — | 9% |
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Jeff Bingaman (D) |
Heather Wilson (R) |
Other | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Public Policy Polling | February 4–6, 2011 | 545 | ± 4.2% | 56% | 37% | — | 9% |
- with Hector Balderas
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Hector Balderas (D) |
Gary Johnson (R) |
Other | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Public Policy Polling | December 10–12, 2011 | 500 | ± 4.4% | 38% | 44% | — | 19% |
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Hector Balderas (D) |
Greg Sowards (R) |
Other | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Public Policy Polling | June 23–26, 2011 | 732 | ± 3.6% | 42% | 28% | — | 30% |
Public Policy Polling | December 10–12, 2011 | 500 | ± 4.4% | 44% | 30% | — | 27% |
Public Policy Polling | April 19–22, 2012 | 526 | ± 4.3% | 42% | 30% | — | 28% |
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Hector Balderas (D) |
Heather Wilson (R) |
Other | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Public Policy Polling | June 23–26, 2011 | 732 | ± 3.6% | 45% | 39% | — | 16% |
Public Policy Polling | December 10–12, 2011 | 500 | ± 4.4% | 43% | 43% | — | 14% |
Rasmussen Reports | February 14, 2012 | 500 | ± 4.5% | 44% | 44% | 3% | 9% |
Rasmussen Reports | April 3, 2012 | 500 | ± 4.5% | 42% | 43% | 5% | 9% |
Public Policy Polling | April 19–22, 2012 | 526 | ± 4.3% | 44% | 43% | — | 12% |
- with Ben Ray Luján
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Ben Ray Luján (D) |
Gary Johnson (R) |
Other | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Public Policy Polling | February 4–6, 2011 | 545 | ± 4.2% | 40% | 45% | — | 9% |
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Ben Ray Luján (D) |
Steve Pearce (R) |
Other | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Public Policy Polling | February 4–6, 2011 | 545 | ± 4.2% | 49% | 37% | — | 14% |
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Ben Ray Luján (D) |
Heather Wilson (R) |
Other | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Public Policy Polling | February 4–6, 2011 | 545 | ± 4.2% | 48% | 40% | — | 12% |
- with Martin Heinrich
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Martin Heinrich (D) |
Gary Johnson (R) |
Other | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Public Policy Polling | February 4–6, 2011 | 545 | ± 4.2% | 43% | 44% | — | 14% |
Public Policy Polling | December 10–12, 2011 | 500 | ± 4.4% | 43% | 43% | — | 14% |
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Martin Heinrich (D) |
Steve Pearce (R) |
Other | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Public Policy Polling | February 4–6, 2011 | 545 | ± 4.2% | 53% | 38% | — | 10% |
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Martin Heinrich (D) |
Greg Sowards (R) |
Other | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Public Policy Polling | June 23–26, 2011 | 732 | ± 3.6% | 46% | 34% | — | 20% |
Public Policy Polling | December 10–12, 2011 | 500 | ± 4.4% | 49% | 31% | — | 20% |
Public Policy Polling | April 19–22, 2012 | 526 | ± 4.3% | 48% | 34% | — | 18% |
Results[]
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | ±% | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Democratic | Martin Heinrich | 395,717 | 51.01% | -19.60% | |
Republican | Heather Wilson | 351,259 | 45.28% | +15.95% | |
Jon Barrie | 28,199 | 3.63% | N/A | ||
Independent | Robert L. Anderson (write-in) | 617 | 0.08% | N/A | |
Total votes | 775,792 | 100.0% | N/A | ||
Democratic hold |
See also[]
- 2012 United States Senate elections
- 2012 United States House of Representatives elections in New Mexico
References[]
- ^ a b Cillizza, Chris (February 19, 2011). "Bingaman won't run for Senate in 2012". The Washington Post. Retrieved February 19, 2011.
- ^ Trygstad, Kyle (April 26, 2011). "Balderas Enters N.M. Senate Race Against Heinrich". Roll Call. Retrieved May 13, 2012.
- ^ Trygstad, Kyle (April 2, 2011). "Heinrich Makes N.M. Senate Bid Official". Roll Call. Retrieved May 13, 2012.
- ^ Haussamen, Heath (June 29, 2011). "Chávez is running for Congress; Denish isn't". NMPolitics.net. Retrieved May 13, 2012.
- ^ Catanese, David (June 29, 2011). "Chavez sets up primary for Heinrich seat". Politico. Retrieved May 13, 2012.
- ^ "Andres Valdez Out of U.S. Senate Race". Albuquerque Journal. Associated Press. February 14, 2012. Archived from the original on April 25, 2013. Retrieved May 13, 2012.
- ^ Catanese, David (July 6, 2011). "Diane Denish endorses Balderas". Politico. Retrieved May 13, 2012.
- ^ Trygstad, Kyle (July 6, 2011). "Denish to Endorse Balderas in N.M. Senate Primary". Roll Call. Retrieved May 13, 2012.
- ^ Catanese, David (April 25, 2011). "Ben Ray Lujan won't run for Senate". Politico. Retrieved April 25, 2011.
- ^ Trygstad, Kyle (December 6, 2011). "Martin Heinrich Nabs Raúl Grijalva's Support in Senate Race". Roll Call. Archived from the original on May 11, 2012. Retrieved May 13, 2012.
- ^ "Individual Endorsements". Martin Heinrich for Senate. Archived from the original on May 9, 2012. Retrieved May 13, 2012.
- ^ "NARAL Pro-Choice America PAC Announces New Endorsements in Key House, Senate Contests to End War on Women". NARAL Pro-Choice America. April 3, 2012. Archived from the original on May 12, 2012. Retrieved May 13, 2012.
- ^ "Planned Parenthood Action Fund Endorses Martin Heinrich for U. S. Senate". Martin Heinrich for Senate. February 21, 2012. Archived from the original on October 1, 2012. Retrieved June 12, 2015.
- ^ "Endorsements". Martin Heinrich for Senate. Archived from the original on May 9, 2012. Retrieved May 13, 2012.
- ^ "Endorsements". Balderas for Senate 2012. Archived from the original on April 5, 2012. Retrieved May 13, 2012.
- ^ a b "Canvass of Returns of Primary Election Held on June 5, 2012 – State of New Mexico" (PDF). Secretary of State of New Mexico. Archived from the original (PDF) on November 4, 2013. Retrieved August 3, 2012.
- ^ Haussamen, Heath (December 16, 2010). "Sowards announces candidacy for Senate". NMPolitics.net. Retrieved December 16, 2010.
- ^ a b Haussamen, Heath (March 7, 2011). "Wilson formally enters U.S. Senate race". NMPolitics.net. Retrieved May 13, 2012.
- ^ "Republican Candidate Bill English Withdraws from New Mexico U.S. Senate Race, Endorses Sowards". Tea Party Tribune. January 11, 2012. Retrieved May 13, 2012.
- ^ Trygstad, Kyle (February 9, 2012). "Republican John Sanchez Drops New Mexico Senate Bid". Roll Call. Retrieved May 13, 2012.
- ^ Burns, Peter (February 18, 2011). "Former New Mexico Gov. Gary Johnson will not run for Senate". The Washington Examiner. Retrieved February 18, 2011.[permanent dead link]
- ^ "Pearce re-election committee has balance of $682K". Las Cruces Sun-News. April 17, 2012. Retrieved May 13, 2012.[permanent dead link]
- ^ "Endorsements". Heather Wilson for United States Senate. Retrieved May 13, 2012.
- ^ Peters, Joey (January 5, 2012). "Independent With Libertarian Bent Announces Bid For US Senate". Santa Fe Reporter. Retrieved May 13, 2012.
- ^ Martin Heinrich Campaign Finances
- ^ Heather Wilson Campaign Finances
- ^ Jon Barrie Campaign Finances
- ^ Top Contributors 2012 Race: New Mexico Senate, Center for Responsive Politics
- ^ Donors by Industries (opensecrets.org)
- ^ "2012 Senate Race Ratings for November 1, 2012". The Cook Political Report. Retrieved September 20, 2018.
- ^ "2012 Senate". Sabato's Crystal Ball. Retrieved September 20, 2018.
- ^ "2012 Senate Ratings". Senate Ratings. The Rothenberg Political Report. Retrieved September 20, 2018.
- ^ "2012 Elections Map - Battle for the Senate 2012". Real Clear Politics. Retrieved September 20, 2018.
- ^ http://www.sos.state.nm.us/uploads/files/Pages%20from%20ALLNMG12%20CAN%20STATEWIDE.pdf[dead link]
External links[]
- Elections from the New Mexico secretary of state
- Financial information from OpenSecrets.org
- Outside spending at Sunlight Foundation
- Candidate issue positions at On the Issues
- Official campaign websites (Archived)
Categories:
- 2012 United States Senate elections
- United States Senate elections in New Mexico
- 2012 New Mexico elections