2020 United States House of Representatives elections in New Mexico

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Not to be confused with 2020 New Mexico House of Representatives election.

2020 United States House of Representatives elections in New Mexico
← 2018 November 3, 2020 2022 →
All 3 New Mexico seats to the United States House of Representatives
  Majority party Minority party
 
Party Democratic Republican
Last election 3 0
Seats won 2 1
Seat change Decrease 1 Increase 1
Popular vote 495,781 407,786
Percentage 54.86% 45.12%
Swing Decrease 3.39% Increase 6.92%
2020 U.S. House elections in New Mexico.svg
Elections in New Mexico
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The 2020 United States House of Representatives elections in New Mexico was held on November 3, 2020, to elect the three U.S. Representatives from the state of New Mexico, one from each of the state's three congressional districts. The elections coincided with the 2020 U.S. presidential election, as well as other elections to the House of Representatives, elections to the United States Senate and various state and local elections.

As a result of Herrell and Fernandez's wins, the election resulted in all three members of New Mexico's house delegation being women of color, the second US state (after Hawaii) to do so.[1] New Mexico is also the first state to have a majority of its house representatives be Native Americans.[a] However, a few months later, Deb Haaland was appointed Secretary of the Interior, resulting in a special election scheduled for June 1, 2021.[needs update] As a result of Haaland’s resignation and the special election, New Mexico ceased to have an all-women of color and majority Native American House delegation.

Overview[]

Popular vote
Democratic
 
 54.86%
Republican
 
 45.12%
Other
 
 0.01%
House seats
Democratic
 
 66.67%
Republican
 
 33.33%

Results of the 2020 United States House of Representatives elections in New Mexico by district:[3]

District Democratic Republican Others Total Result
Votes % Votes % Votes % Votes %
District 1 186,953 58.19% 134,337 41.81% 0 0.00% 321,290 100.0% Democratic hold
District 2 122,546 45.40% 142,283 52.71% 117 0.04% 264,946 100.0% Republican gain
District 3 186,282 58.68% 131,166 41.32% 0 0.00% 317,448 100.0% Democratic hold
Total 495,781 54.86% 407,786 45.12% 117 0.01% 903,684 100.0%

District 1[]

2020 New Mexico's 1st congressional district election
← 2018
2021 (special) →
  Deb Haaland, official portrait, 116th Congress (cropped2).jpg 3x4.svg
Nominee Deb Haaland Michelle Garcia Holmes
Party Democratic Republican
Popular vote 186,953 134,337
Percentage 58.2% 41.8%
U.S. Representative before election

Deb Haaland
Democratic

Elected U.S. Representative

Deb Haaland
Democratic

See also: New Mexico's 1st congressional district

The 1st district is centered around Albuquerque, taking in most of Bernalillo County, Torrance County, and parts of Sandoval County, Santa Fe County and Valencia County. The incumbent is Democrat Deb Haaland, who was elected with 59.1% of the vote in 2018.[4]

Democratic primary[]

Candidates[]

Nominee[]
  • Deb Haaland, incumbent U.S. Representative[5]

Results[]

Democratic primary results[6]
Party Candidate Votes %
Democratic Deb Haaland (incumbent) 83,032 100.0
Total votes 83,032 100.0

Republican primary[]

Candidates[]

Nominee[]
  • Michelle Garcia Holmes, retired police detective and nominee for Lieutenant Governor of New Mexico in 2018[7]
Eliminated in primary[]
  • Brett Kokinadis, founder of New Mexico Democrats for Democracy[8]
  • Jared Vanderdussen, attorney[9]

Results[]

Republican primary results[6]
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican Michelle Garcia Holmes 23,783 48.1
Republican Jared Vanderdussen 19,847 40.2
Republican Brett Kokinadis 5,798 11.7
Total votes 49,428 100.0

General election[]

Predictions[]

Source Ranking As of
The Cook Political Report[10] Safe D July 2, 2020
Inside Elections[11] Safe D June 2, 2020
Sabato's Crystal Ball[12] Safe D July 2, 2020
Politico[13] Safe D April 19, 2020
Daily Kos[14] Safe D June 3, 2020
RCP[15] Safe D June 9, 2020
Niskanen[16] Safe D June 7, 2020

Endorsements[]

Deb Haaland (D)
Organizations
  • Center for Biological Diversity[17]
  • Indivisible[18]
  • League of Conservation Voters Action Fund[19]
  • Sierra Club[20]
  • AFSCME

Polling[]

Poll source Date(s)
administered 		Sample
size[b] 		Margin
of error 		Deb
Haaland (D) 		Michelle Garcia
Holmes (R) 		Undecided
Research & Polling Inc. October 23–29, 2020 430 (LV) ±  4.7% 58% 37% 6%
Research & Polling Inc. August 26 – September 2, 2020 404 (LV) ±  4.9% 58% 31% 11%

Results[]

New Mexico's 1st congressional district, 2020[21]
Party Candidate Votes %
Democratic Deb Haaland (incumbent) 186,953 58.2
Republican Michelle Garcia Holmes 134,337 41.8
Total votes 321,290 100.0
Democratic hold

District 2[]

2020 New Mexico's 2nd congressional district election
← 2018
2022 →
  Yvette Herrell official photo, 117th Congress.jpg Xochitl Torres Small, official portrait, 116th Congress.jpg
Candidate Yvette Herrell Xochitl Torres Small
Party Republican Democratic
Popular vote 142,283 122,546
Percentage 53.7% 46.3%
U.S. Representative before election

Xochitl Torres Small
Democratic

Elected U.S. Representative

Yvette Herrell
Republican

See also: New Mexico's 2nd congressional district

The 2nd district covers southern New Mexico, including Las Cruces, Roswell, and the southern part of Albuquerque. The incumbent was Democrat Xochitl Torres Small, who flipped the district and was elected with 50.9% of the vote in 2018.[4]

Democratic primary[]

Candidates[]

Nominee[]
  • Xochitl Torres Small, incumbent U.S. Representative

Results[]

Democratic primary results[6]
Party Candidate Votes %
Democratic Xochitl Torres Small (incumbent) 48,095 100.0
Total votes 48,095 100.0

Republican primary[]

Candidates[]

Nominee[]
Eliminated in primary[]
Declined[]
  • Leland Gould, lobbyist[25]
  • Monty Newman, businessman, former chair of the New Mexico Republican Party, former mayor of Hobbs, and candidate for New Mexico's 2nd congressional district in 2018[26]
  • Steve Pearce, chair of the New Mexico Republican Party, former U.S. Representative, and nominee for Governor of New Mexico in 2018[27]

Polling[]

Poll source Date(s)
administered 		Sample
size[b] 		Margin
of error 		Claire
Chase 		Gavin
Clarkson 		Yvette
Herrell 		Chris
Mathys 		Undecided
The Tarrance Group (R)[A] December 2–3, 2019 450 (LV) ± 4.7% 13% – 43% 12% –
The Strategy Group Company (R)[A] January 23–27, 2019 537 (LV) – 4% 7% 50% 2% 37%

Results[]

Republican primary results [6]
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican Yvette Herrell 26,968 44.7
Republican Claire Chase 19,017 31.5
Republican Chris Mathys 14,378 23.8
Total votes 60,363 100.0

General election[]

Predictions[]

Source Ranking As of
The Cook Political Report[10] Tossup July 2, 2020
Inside Elections[11] Tossup October 16, 2020
Sabato's Crystal Ball[12] Lean D November 2, 2020
Politico[13] Tossup April 19, 2020
Daily Kos[14] Tossup June 3, 2020
RCP[15] Tossup June 9, 2020
Niskanen[16] Lean D June 7, 2020

Endorsements[]

Xochitl Torres Small (D)
Federal officials
  • Amy Klobuchar, U.S. Senator (D-MN); former 2020 presidential candidate[28]
Newspapers
Organizations
Yvette Herrell (R)
Executive Officials
  • Donald Trump, 45th President of the United States[34]
Federal officials
  • Ted Cruz, U.S. Senator (R-TX)[35]
  • Jim Jordan, U.S. Representative (R-OH)[36]
  • Mark Meadows, White House Chief of Staff and former U.S. Representative (R-NC) (2013-2020)[36]
  • Ralph Norman, U.S. Representative (R-SC)
Organizations
  • Citizens United Political Victory Fund[36]
  • FreedomWorks for America[37]
  • Gun Owners of America[36]
  • National Rifle Association Political Victory Fund[36]
  • Susan B. Anthony List[38]
Individuals
  • Jim DeMint, former Heritage Foundation president (2013-2017), U.S. Senator (R-SC) (2005-2013), and U.S. Representative (R-SC) (1999-2005)[36]
  • Mike Huckabee, 2008 and 2016 presidential candidate, former Governor of Arkansas (1996-2007)[36]
  • Mark Levin, conservative talk radio host[39]
  • Harry Teague, former Congressman (D-NM)[40]
Claire Chase (R)
Organizations
  • Republican Main Street Partnership PAC[41]
  • Winning for Women[42]

Polling[]

Poll source Date(s)
administered 		Sample
size[b] 		Margin
of error 		Xochitl
Torres Small (D) 		Yvette
Herrell (R) 		Undecided
Research & Polling Inc. October 23–29, 2020 403 (LV) ±  4.9% 46% 48% 5%
Strategies 360 (D)[B] October 16–20, 2020 406 (LV) ±  4.9% 47% 46% –
The Tarrance Group (R)[C] September 26–29, 2020 400 (LV) ±  4.9% 47% 48% 5%
Research & Polling Inc. August 26 – September 2, 2020 418 (LV) ±  4.8% 47% 45% 9%
The Tarrance Group (R)[C] July 7–9, 2020 400 (LV) ±  4.9% 46% 46% 8%
Public Opinion Strategies (R)[D] December 18–19, 2019 400 (LV) ±  4.9% 46% 48% –
The Strategy Group Company (R)[A] January 23–27, 2019 1,070 (LV) – 38% 51% 11%
Hypothetical polling
Poll source Date(s)
administered 		Sample
size[b] 		Margin
of error 		Generic
Democrat 		Generic
Republican
Strategies 360/Xochitl Torres Small[B] October 16–20, 2020 406 (LV) ±  4.9% 45% 50%
The Tarrance Group (R)[C] September 26–29, 2020 400 (LV) ±  4.9% 45% 49%

Results[]

New Mexico's 2nd congressional district, 2020[21]
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican Yvette Herrell 142,283 53.7
Democratic Xochitl Torres Small (incumbent) 122,546 46.3
Independent Steve Jones (write-in) 117 0.0
Total votes 264,946 100.0
Republican gain from Democratic

District 3[]

2020 New Mexico's 3rd congressional district election
← 2018
2022 →
  Teresa Leger Fernandez 117th U.S Congress.jpg 3x4.svg
Nominee Teresa Leger Fernandez Alexis Johnson
Party Democratic Republican
Popular vote 186,282 131,166
Percentage 58.7% 41.3
U.S. Representative before election

Ben Ray Luján
Democratic

Elected U.S. Representative

Teresa Leger Fernandez
Democratic

See also: New Mexico's 3rd congressional district

The 3rd district encompasses all of northern New Mexico, including the city of Santa Fe, and includes most of the Navajo Nation and Puebloans within New Mexico. The incumbent was Democrat Ben Ray Luján, who was re-elected with 63.4% of the vote in 2018,[4] and announced on April 1, 2019 that he would seek the Democratic nomination for U.S. Senate in 2020.[43] Luján won the primary, and ultimately the general election.

Democratic primary[]

Candidates[]

Nominee[]
  • Teresa Leger Fernandez, attorney and daughter of former state senator Ray Leger[44]
Eliminated in primary[]
  • John Blair, former New Mexico Deputy Secretary of State and former political aide to U.S. Senator Martin Heinrich[45]
  • Laura M. Montoya, Sandoval County treasurer[46]
  • Valerie Plame, former CIA operations officer[47]
  • Joseph L. Sanchez, state representative[48]
  • Marco Serna, Santa Fe County District Attorney[49]
  • Kyle Tisdel, environmental attorney[50]
Withdrawn[]
  • Robert Apodaca, businessman and former United States Department of Agriculture regional official[50]
  • Mark McDonald, chair of the Colfax County Democratic Party (endorsed Serna)[51]
Declined[]

Endorsements[]

John Blair
Organizations
  • Congressional LGBTQ Equality Caucus[59]
  • LGBTQ Victory Fund[60]
Teresa Leger Fernandez
U.S. Representatives
Organizations
Newspapers
Valerie Plame
Organizations
Marco Serna
Statewide and local politicians

Polling[]

Poll source Date(s)
administered 		Sample
size[b] 		Margin
of error 		Teresa
Fernandez 		Valerie
Plame 		Joseph
Sanchez 		Marco
Serna 		Other Undecided
Clarity Campaign Labs[E] May 20–21, 2020 661 (LV) ± 3.76% 33% 24% 7% 9% 9%[c] –
Anzalone Liszt Grove Research[d] February 11–16, 2020 500 (LV) – 11% 21% – 7% – –

Pre-primary convention results[]

Candidates for the Democratic nomination needed to either receive the votes of 20% of the delegates at the pre-primary convention on March 7, or collect and submit signatures to the secretary of state to have made it to the June 2 primary.[75]

Candidate Delegates
Vote %
John Blair 19 4.5%
Teresa Leger Fernandez 178 41.9%
Laura Montoya 87 20.5%
Valerie Plame 22 5.2%
Joseph Sanchez 52 12.2%
Marco Serna 57 13.4%
Kyle Tisdel 10 2.4%
Total 425 100.0%

Results[]

Democratic primary results[6]
Party Candidate Votes %
Democratic Teresa Leger Fernandez 44,480 42.8
Democratic Valerie Plame 25,775 24.8
Democratic Joseph L. Sanchez 12,292 11.8
Democratic Marco Serna 8,292 8.0
Democratic Laura M. Montoya 6,380 6.1
Democratic John Blair 4,533 4.4
Democratic Kyle Tisdel 2,176 2.1
Total votes 103,928 100.0

Republican primary[]

Candidates[]

Nominee[]
  • Alexis Johnson, environmental engineer and rancher[76]
Eliminated in primary[]
  • Karen Bedonie, member of the Navajo Nation and small business owner[77]
  • Harry Montoya, former Santa Fe County commissioner[78]
Disqualified[]
  • Audra Lee Brown, businesswoman[50]
  • Anastacia Golden Morper, real estate agent[79][80]
Withdrawn[]
  • Brett Kokinadis, founder of New Mexico Democrats for Democracy[8]
Declined[]

Results[]

Republican primary results[6]
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican Alexis Johnson 16,512 36.7
Republican Harry Montoya 15,919 35.4
Republican Karen Bedonie 12,477 27.8
Republican Angela Gale Morales (Write-in) 30 0.1
Total votes 44,938 100.0

Libertarian primary[]

Candidates[]

Nominee[]

Green primary[]

Candidates[]

Declined[]

General election[]

Predictions[]

Source Ranking As of
The Cook Political Report[10] Safe D July 2, 2020
Inside Elections[11] Safe D June 2, 2020
Sabato's Crystal Ball[12] Safe D July 2, 2020
Politico[13] Safe D April 19, 2020
Daily Kos[14] Safe D June 3, 2020
RCP[15] Safe D June 9, 2020
Niskanen[16] Safe D June 7, 2020

Polling[]

Poll source Date(s)
administered 		Sample
size[b] 		Margin
of error 		Teresa Leger
Fernandez (D) 		Alexis
Johnson (R) 		Undecided
Research & Polling Inc. October 23–29, 2020 347 (LV) ±  5.3% 58% 35% 6%
Research & Polling Inc. August 26 – September 2, 2020 301 (LV) ±  5.6% 50% 35% 15%

Results[]

New Mexico's 3rd congressional district, 2020[21]
Party Candidate Votes %
Democratic Teresa Leger Fernandez 186,282 58.7
Republican Alexis Johnson 131,166 41.3
Total votes 317,448 100.0
Democratic hold

See also[]

  • 2020 New Mexico elections

Notes[]

  1. ^ Two of the three representatives elected from New Mexico are of Native American ancestry, Yvette Herrell is Cherokee, and Deb Haaland is a member of the Laguna Pueblo.[2]
  2. ^ a b c d e f Key:
    A – all adults
    RV – registered voters
    LV – likely voters
    V – unclear
  3. ^ John Blair 4%, Laura Montoya 3%, Kyle Tiesel 2%
  4. ^ Poll was sponsored by Plame's campaign
Partisan clients
  1. ^ a b c Poll sponsored by the Yvette Herrell campaign
  2. ^ a b Poll sponsored by Small's campaign
  3. ^ a b c Poll sponsored by the NRCC.
  4. ^ Poll sponsored by the Congressional Leadership Fund, which supports Republican candidates for Congress.
  5. ^ This poll's sponsor had endorsed Teresa Legar Fernandez prior to the sampling period

References[]

  1. ^ Williams, Jordan (November 4, 2020). "New Mexico elects all women of color to House delegation for first time". The Hill. Retrieved November 6, 2020.
  2. ^ Aratani, Lauren (November 4, 2020). "Record number of Native American women elected to Congress". The Guardian. Retrieved November 6, 2020.
  3. ^ Johnson, Cheryl L. (February 28, 2019). "Statistics of the Congressional Election of November 3, 2020". Clerk of the U.S. House of Representatives.
  4. ^ a b c Wasserman, David; Flinn, Ally (November 7, 2018). "2018 House Popular Vote Tracker". Cook Political Report. Retrieved February 15, 2019.
  5. ^ "Congresswoman Haaland says she will not run for US Senate". The Washington Times. Associated Press. April 10, 2019. Retrieved June 25, 2019.
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  7. ^ Turner, Scott (October 25, 2019). "Garcia Holmes enters U.S. House race". Albuquerque Journal.
  8. ^ a b Reichbach, Matthew (July 20, 2019). "Kokinadis switches races, running for Congress in CD1 instead of CD3". New Mexico Political Report. Retrieved July 20, 2019.
  9. ^ Turner, Scott (November 19, 2019). "UNM law school grad enters U.S. House race". Albuquerque Journal.
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  11. ^ a b c "2020 Senate Ratings". Senate Ratings. The Rothenberg Political Report. Retrieved October 3, 2019.
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  77. ^ "Native American woman seeks GOP nomination for New Mexico House seat". KRQE. October 3, 2019.
  78. ^ Grimm, Julie Ann (December 13, 2019). "Harry Montoya to run for CD3 as GOP". Santa Fe Reporter. Retrieved December 18, 2019.
  79. ^ Grover, Hannah (October 19, 2019). "A fourth Republican woman has announced her candidacy for Congressional District 3". Farmington Daily Times. Retrieved December 12, 2019.
  80. ^ Last, T.S. (February 12, 2020). "GOP candidate disqualified from CD3 race". Albuquerque Journal.
  81. ^ Oxford, Andrew (April 1, 2019). "Seat Luján is vacating already drawing interest". Santa Fe New Mexican. Retrieved April 2, 2019.

External links[]

Official campaign websites for 1st district candidates
Official campaign websites for 2nd district candidates
Official campaign websites for 3rd district candidates
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