2023 Melilla Assembly election

2023 Melilla Assembly election
All 25 seats in the Assembly of Melilla; 13 seats needed for a majority
Incumbent Mayor-President; Eduardo de Castro; Independent	; ;

The 2023 Melilla Assembly election will be held on Sunday, 28 May 2023, to elect the 8th Assembly of the autonomous city of Melilla. All 25 seats in the Assembly will be up for election.

Electoral system[]

The Assembly of Melilla is the top-tier administrative and governing body of the autonomous city of Melilla.^[1]

Voting for the Assembly is on the basis of universal suffrage, which comprises all nationals over eighteen, registered and residing in the municipality of Melilla and in full enjoyment of their political rights, as well as resident non-national European citizens and those whose country of origin allows Spanish nationals to vote in their own elections by virtue of a treaty.^[2] The 25 members of the Assembly of Melilla are elected using the D'Hondt method and a closed list proportional representation, with a threshold of five percent of valid votes—which includes blank ballots—being applied. Parties not reaching the threshold are not taken into consideration for seat distribution.^[1]^[2]

The Mayor-President is indirectly elected by the plenary assembly. A legal clause requires that mayoral candidates earn the vote of an absolute majority of members, or else the candidate of the most-voted party in the assembly shall be automatically appointed to the post. In case of a tie, a toss-up would determine the appointee.^[1]

The electoral law provides that parties, federations, coalitions and groupings of electors are allowed to present lists of candidates. However, groupings of electors are required to secure the signature of a determined amount of the electors registered in Melilla. Concurrently, parties and federations intending to enter in coalition to take part jointly at an election are required to inform the relevant Electoral Commission within ten days of the election being called.^[2]

Opinion polls[]

The table below lists voting intention estimates in reverse chronological order, showing the most recent first and using the dates when the survey fieldwork was done, as opposed to the date of publication. Where the fieldwork dates are unknown, the date of publication is given instead. The highest percentage figure in each polling survey is displayed with its background shaded in the leading party's colour. If a tie ensues, this is applied to the figures with the highest percentages. The "Lead" column on the right shows the percentage-point difference between the parties with the highest percentages in a poll. When available, seat projections determined by the polling organisations are displayed below (or in place of) the percentages in a smaller font; 13 seats are required for an absolute majority in the Assembly of Melilla.

Polling firm/Commissioner	Fieldwork date	Sample size	Turnout							Lead
Polling firm/Commissioner	Fieldwork date	Sample size	Turnout							Lead
SyM Consulting^{[p 1]}^{[p 2]}	16–18 Dec 2021	828	56.8	34.3 9/10	38.1 10/11	9.5 2	12.6 3	0.3 0	–	3.8
NC Report/El Faro de Melilla^{[p 3]}	3–13 Dec 2021	700	54.5	32.5 8	36.3 10	11.8 3	14.8 4	? 0	? 0	3.8
ElectoPanel/Electomanía^{[p 4]}	30 Sep–13 Nov 2021	?	?	36.6 9	33.2 9	12.5 3	14.9 4	1.7 0	–	3.4
SyM Consulting^{[p 5]}^{[p 6]}	1–3 Sep 2021	1,008	59.6	36.1 9/10	34.3 9/10	12.7 3/4	10.3 2/3	0.6 0	–	1.8
SyM Consulting^{[p 7]}^{[p 8]}	2–5 Jun 2021	860	60.8	34.2 9	32.5 8/9	13.0 3/4	15.0 4	1.2 0	–	1.7
SyM Consulting^{[p 9]}^{[p 10]}	1–3 Mar 2021	572	54.3	33.1 9	34.3 9/10	10.5 2/3	16.4 4	0.7 0	–	1.2
ElectoPanel/Electomanía^{[p 11]}	15 Feb 2021	400	?	37.0 10	34.7 9	13.6 3	10.5 3	2.0 0	–	2.3
SyM Consulting^{[p 12]}^{[p 13]}	9–12 Dec 2020	628	55.4	34.1 9	38.9 10/11	9.7 2/3	11.7 3	1.9 0	–	4.8
SyM Consulting^{[p 14]}^{[p 15]}	26–27 Sep 2020	695	56.4	37.0 10	35.7 9/10	12.8 3	9.9 2/3	1.2 0	–	1.3
SyM Consulting^{[p 16]}^{[p 17]}	18 Jul 2020	561	56.8	39.0 10	35.9 9/10	14.7 4	6.8 1/2	0.9 0	–	3.1
SyM Consulting^{[p 18]}^{[p 19]}	21–23 Jun 2020	622	62.7	39.1 10/11	32.7 8/9	14.9 4	9.5 2	1.8 0	–	6.4
ElectoPanel/Electomanía^{[p 20]}^{[p 21]}	1 Apr–15 May 2020	?	?	43.9 12	28.9 8	14.4 4	6.9 1	3.2 0	–	15.0
SyM Consulting^{[p 22]}^{[p 23]}	5–7 May 2020	739	62.7	46.5 12/13	29.7 8	12.7 3	6.3 1/2	2.4 0	–	16.8
SyM Consulting^{[p 24]}^{[p 25]}	17–18 Feb 2020	687	60.4	40.1 10/11	37.3 10	11.8 3	5.1 1/2	2.8 0	–	2.8
November 2019 general election	10 Nov 2019	N/A	52.4	29.5 8	29.0 8	16.4 4	18.4 5	3.0 0	2.6 0	0.5

2019 Assembly election	26 May 2019	N/A	63.4	37.8 10	30.6 8	14.4 4	7.8 2	5.6 1	1.2 0	7.2

References[]

Opinion poll sources

^ "Estimación Barómetro Diciembre 2021. Melilla". SyM Consulting (in Spanish). 30 December 2021.
^ "MELILLA. Encuesta SyM Consulting 30/12/2021: CPM 38,1% (10/11), PSOE 9,5% (2), Cs 0,3%, PP 34,3% (9/10), VOX 12,6% (3)". Electograph (in Spanish). 30 December 2021.
^ "'Sorpasso' de CpM a PP en Melilla". El Faro de Melilla (in Spanish). 28 December 2021.
^ "ElectoPanel Melilla (15N): vuelco a la derecha". Electomanía (in Spanish). 15 November 2021.
^ "Estimación Barómetro Septiembre 2021. Melilla". SyM Consulting (in Spanish). 10 September 2021.
^ "MELILLA. Encuesta SyM Consulting 10/09/2021: CPM 34,3% (9/10), PSOE 12,7% (3/4), Cs 0,6%, PP 36,1% (9/10), VOX 10,3% (2/3)". Electograph (in Spanish). 10 September 2021.
^ "Estimación Barómetro Junio 2021. Melilla". SyM Consulting (in Spanish). 10 June 2021.
^ "MELILLA. Encuesta SyM Consulting 10/06/2021: CPM 32,5% (8/9), PSOE 13,0% (3/4), Cs 1,2%, PP 34,2% (9), VOX 15,0% (4)". Electograph (in Spanish). 10 June 2021.
^ "Estimación Barómetro Marzo 2021. Melilla". SyM Consulting (in Spanish). 8 March 2021.
^ "MELILLA. Encuesta SyM Consulting 08/03/2021: CPM 34,3% (9/10), PSOE 10,5% (2/3), Cs 0,7%, PP 33,1% (9), VOX 16,4% (4)". Electograph (in Spanish). 8 March 2021.
^ "EP (15F): doble sorpasso en Ceuta (Vox al PSOE y Caballas a MDyC). En Melilla, bajada del PP y subida de CpM, que le acecha". Electomanía (in Spanish). 15 February 2021.
^ "Estimación Barómetro Diciembre 2020. Melilla". SyM Consulting (in Spanish). 26 December 2020.
^ "MELILLA. Encuesta SyM Consulting 26/12/2020: CPM 38,9% (10/11), PSOE 9,7% (2/3), Cs 1,9%, PP 34,1% (9), VOX 11,7% (3)". Electograph (in Spanish). 26 December 2020.
^ "Estimación Barómetro Septiembre 2020. Melilla". SyM Consulting (in Spanish). 3 October 2020.
^ "MELILLA. Encuesta SyM Consulting 03/10/2020: CPM 35,7% (9/10), PSOE 12,8% (3), Cs 1,2%, PP 37,0% (10), VOX 9,9% (2/3)". Electograph (in Spanish). 3 October 2020.
^ "Estimación Barómetro Julio 2020_2. Melilla". SyM Consulting (in Spanish). 21 July 2020.
^ "MELILLA. Encuesta SyM Consulting 21/07/2020: CPM 35,9% (9/10), PSOE 14,7% (4), Cs 0,9%, PP 39,0% (10), VOX 6,8% (1/2)". Electograph (in Spanish). 21 July 2020.
^ "Estimación Barómetro Julio 2020. Melilla". SyM Consulting (in Spanish). 30 June 2020.
^ "MELILLA. Encuesta SyM Consulting 30/06/2020: CPM 32,7% (8/9), PSOE 14,9% (4), Cs 1,8%, PP 39,1% (10/11), VOX 9,5% (2)". Electograph (in Spanish). 30 June 2020.
^ "EP (17My): Melilla – Eduardo de Castro perdería la alcaldía… y el escaño". Electomanía (in Spanish). 17 May 2020.
^ "MacroPanel Autonómico (17My): 8 gobiernos para PSOE+, 8 para PP+ y 3 para otros+". Electomanía (in Spanish). 17 May 2020.
^ "Estimación Barómetro Mayo 2020. Melilla. Autonómicas 2023". SyM Consulting (in Spanish). 13 May 2020.
^ "MELILLA. Encuesta SyM Consulting 13/05/2020: CPM 29,7% (8), PSOE 12,7% (3), Cs 2,4%, PP 46,5% (12/13), VOX 6,3% (1/2)". Electograph (in Spanish). 13 May 2020.
^ "Estimación Barómetro Febrero 2020. Melilla. Autonómicas 2023". SyM Consulting (in Spanish). 21 February 2020.
^ "MELILLA. Encuesta SyM Consulting 21/02/2020: CPM 37,3% (10), PSOE 11,8% (3), Cs 2,8%, PP 40,1% (10/11), VOX 5,1% (1/2)". Electograph (in Spanish). 21 February 2020.

Other

^ ^a ^b ^c "Ley Orgánica 2/1995, de 13 de marzo, de Estatuto de Autonomía de Melilla". Law No. 2 of 13 March 1995. Boletín Oficial del Estado (in Spanish). Retrieved 21 February 2020.
^ ^a ^b ^c "Ley Orgánica 5/1985, de 19 de junio, del Régimen Electoral General". Organic Law No. 5 of 19 June 1985. Boletín Oficial del Estado (in Spanish). Retrieved 30 January 2020.

[3] "Estimación Barómetro Diciembre 2021. Melilla". SyM Consulting (in Spanish). 30 December 2021.

[4] "MELILLA. Encuesta SyM Consulting 30/12/2021: CPM 38,1% (10/11), PSOE 9,5% (2), Cs 0,3%, PP 34,3% (9/10), VOX 12,6% (3)". Electograph (in Spanish). 30 December 2021.

[5] "'Sorpasso' de CpM a PP en Melilla". El Faro de Melilla (in Spanish). 28 December 2021.

[6] "ElectoPanel Melilla (15N): vuelco a la derecha". Electomanía (in Spanish). 15 November 2021.

[7] "Estimación Barómetro Septiembre 2021. Melilla". SyM Consulting (in Spanish). 10 September 2021.

[8] "MELILLA. Encuesta SyM Consulting 10/09/2021: CPM 34,3% (9/10), PSOE 12,7% (3/4), Cs 0,6%, PP 36,1% (9/10), VOX 10,3% (2/3)". Electograph (in Spanish). 10 September 2021.

[9] "Estimación Barómetro Junio 2021. Melilla". SyM Consulting (in Spanish). 10 June 2021.

[10] "MELILLA. Encuesta SyM Consulting 10/06/2021: CPM 32,5% (8/9), PSOE 13,0% (3/4), Cs 1,2%, PP 34,2% (9), VOX 15,0% (4)". Electograph (in Spanish). 10 June 2021.

[11] "Estimación Barómetro Marzo 2021. Melilla". SyM Consulting (in Spanish). 8 March 2021.

[12] "MELILLA. Encuesta SyM Consulting 08/03/2021: CPM 34,3% (9/10), PSOE 10,5% (2/3), Cs 0,7%, PP 33,1% (9), VOX 16,4% (4)". Electograph (in Spanish). 8 March 2021.

[13] "EP (15F): doble sorpasso en Ceuta (Vox al PSOE y Caballas a MDyC). En Melilla, bajada del PP y subida de CpM, que le acecha". Electomanía (in Spanish). 15 February 2021.

[14] "Estimación Barómetro Diciembre 2020. Melilla". SyM Consulting (in Spanish). 26 December 2020.

[15] "MELILLA. Encuesta SyM Consulting 26/12/2020: CPM 38,9% (10/11), PSOE 9,7% (2/3), Cs 1,9%, PP 34,1% (9), VOX 11,7% (3)". Electograph (in Spanish). 26 December 2020.

[16] "Estimación Barómetro Septiembre 2020. Melilla". SyM Consulting (in Spanish). 3 October 2020.

[17] "MELILLA. Encuesta SyM Consulting 03/10/2020: CPM 35,7% (9/10), PSOE 12,8% (3), Cs 1,2%, PP 37,0% (10), VOX 9,9% (2/3)". Electograph (in Spanish). 3 October 2020.

[18] "Estimación Barómetro Julio 2020_2. Melilla". SyM Consulting (in Spanish). 21 July 2020.

[19] "MELILLA. Encuesta SyM Consulting 21/07/2020: CPM 35,9% (9/10), PSOE 14,7% (4), Cs 0,9%, PP 39,0% (10), VOX 6,8% (1/2)". Electograph (in Spanish). 21 July 2020.

[20] "Estimación Barómetro Julio 2020. Melilla". SyM Consulting (in Spanish). 30 June 2020.

[21] "MELILLA. Encuesta SyM Consulting 30/06/2020: CPM 32,7% (8/9), PSOE 14,9% (4), Cs 1,8%, PP 39,1% (10/11), VOX 9,5% (2)". Electograph (in Spanish). 30 June 2020.

[22] "EP (17My): Melilla – Eduardo de Castro perdería la alcaldía… y el escaño". Electomanía (in Spanish). 17 May 2020.

[23] "MacroPanel Autonómico (17My): 8 gobiernos para PSOE+, 8 para PP+ y 3 para otros+". Electomanía (in Spanish). 17 May 2020.

[24] "Estimación Barómetro Mayo 2020. Melilla. Autonómicas 2023". SyM Consulting (in Spanish). 13 May 2020.

[25] "MELILLA. Encuesta SyM Consulting 13/05/2020: CPM 29,7% (8), PSOE 12,7% (3), Cs 2,4%, PP 46,5% (12/13), VOX 6,3% (1/2)". Electograph (in Spanish). 13 May 2020.

[26] "Estimación Barómetro Febrero 2020. Melilla. Autonómicas 2023". SyM Consulting (in Spanish). 21 February 2020.

[27] "MELILLA. Encuesta SyM Consulting 21/02/2020: CPM 37,3% (10), PSOE 11,8% (3), Cs 2,8%, PP 40,1% (10/11), VOX 5,1% (1/2)". Electograph (in Spanish). 21 February 2020.

[MelSoA-1] "Ley Orgánica 2/1995, de 13 de marzo, de Estatuto de Autonomía de Melilla". Law No. 2 of 13 March 1995. Boletín Oficial del Estado (in Spanish). Retrieved 21 February 2020.

[SpaELaw-2] "Ley Orgánica 5/1985, de 19 de junio, del Régimen Electoral General". Organic Law No. 5 of 19 June 1985. Boletín Oficial del Estado (in Spanish). Retrieved 30 January 2020.

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v t Elections in Melilla
Melilla Assembly elections	1995 1999 2003 2007 2011 2015 2019 2023
General elections	1977 1979 1982 1986 1989 1990 1993 1996 2000 2004 2008 2011 2015 2016 2019 (Apr) 2019 (Nov)
European Parliament elections	1987 1989 1994 1999 2004 2009 2014 2019

v t (← 2010s) Regional elections in Spain in the 2020s
2020	July: Basque Country Galicia
2021	February: Catalonia May: Madrid
2022	February: Castile and León TBD: Andalusia
2023	May(*): Asturias Canary Islands Cantabria Castilla–La Mancha Ceuta La Rioja Madrid Melilla Murcia
Other	2023 or earlier: Aragon Balearic Islands Extremadura Navarre Valencian Community 2024 or earlier: Basque Country Galicia 2025 or earlier: Catalonia 2026 or earlier: Castile and León
(*) Lists autonomous communities with a fixed election date for May 2023. This listing does not preclude these communities holding additional, earlier elections under their statutory provisions.