2004 United States Senate election in Florida
| |||||||||||||||||
| |||||||||||||||||
County results
Martinez: 40–50% 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% Castor: 40-50% 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% | |||||||||||||||||
|
Elections in Florida |
---|
Government |
The 2004 United States Senate election in Florida took place on November 2, 2004 alongside other elections to the United States Senate in other states as well as elections to the United States House of Representatives and various state and local elections. Incumbent Democratic U.S. Senator Bob Graham decided to retire instead of seeking a fourth term. Graham made an unsuccessful bid for the Democratic presidential nomination. The primary elections were held on August 31, 2004. Republican Mel Martínez won the open seat with 49.4% of the vote to Democratic nominee Betty Castor's 48.3%. With a margin of 1.1%, this election was the closest race of the 2004 Senate election cycle.
Democratic primary[]
Candidates[]
- Betty Castor, former President of the University of South Florida, former Education Commissioner of Florida, and former State Senator
- Peter Deutsch, U.S. Representative
- Bernard Klein, businessman
- Alex Penelas, Mayor of Miami-Dade County
Results[]
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Democratic | Betty Castor | 669,346 | 58.1% | |
Democratic | Peter Deutsch | 321,922 | 27.9% | |
Democratic | Alex Penelas | 115,898 | 10.1% | |
Democratic | Bernard E. Klein | 45,347 | 3.9% | |
Total votes | 1,152,513 | 100.0% |
Republican primary[]
Martínez was supported by the Bush Administration.
Candidates[]
- Johnnie Byrd, State Representative
- Doug Gallagher, businessman
- Larry Klayman, attorney
- William Kogut
- Sonya March
- Mel Martínez, former Secretary of Housing and Urban Development
- Bill McCollum, former U.S. Representative and unsuccessful nominee for Florida's other U.S. Senate seat in 2000
- Karen Saull
Results[]
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Republican | Mel Martínez | 522,994 | 44.9% | |
Republican | Bill McCollum | 360,474 | 30.9% | |
Republican | Doug Gallagher | 158,360 | 13.6% | |
Republican | Johnnie Byrd | 68,982 | 5.9% | |
Republican | Karen Saull | 20,365 | 1.8% | |
Republican | Sonya March | 17,804 | 1.5% | |
Republican | Larry Klayman | 13,257 | 1.1% | |
Republican | William Billy Kogut | 3,695 | 0.3% | |
Total votes | 1,165,931 | 100.0% |
General election[]
Candidates[]
- Dennis Bradley (V), activist
- Betty Castor (D), former State Senator
- Mel Martínez (R), Secretary of Housing and Urban Development
Predictions[]
Source | Ranking | As of |
---|---|---|
Sabato's Crystal Ball[3] | Lean R (flip) | November 1, 2004 |
Polling[]
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Betty Castor (D) |
Mel Martínez (R) |
Other | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Rasmussen Reports[citation needed] | August 24 | 500 | ± 4.5% | 44% | 44% | ||
Survey USA[citation needed] | September 12 | 602 | ± 4.1% | 49% | 45% | 5% | 1% |
Quinnipiac | September 18–21, 2004 | 819 | ± 3.4 | 43% | 42% | 0% | 14% |
Gallup[citation needed] | September 18 | 674 | ± 4.0% | 51% | 45% | 0% | 4% |
Survey USA[citation needed] | October 1 | 706 | ± 3.8% | 46% | 50% | 3% | 1% |
Quinnipiac | October 1–5, 2004 | 717 | ± 3.7 | 47% | 48% | 0% | 5% |
Mason-Dixon[citation needed] | October 4 | 625 | ± 4.0% | 41% | 46% | 1% | 12% |
UNF[citation needed] | October 10 | 641 | ± 4.0% | 38% | 35% | 15% | 12% |
Mason-Dixon[citation needed] | October 14 | 625 | ± 4.0% | 45% | 45% | 1% | 9% |
Survey USA[citation needed] | October 15 | 596 | ± 4.1% | 47% | 49% | 3% | 1% |
Quinnipiac | October 15–19, 2004 | 808 | ± 3.5 | 47% | 47% | 0% | 5% |
Research 2000[citation needed] | October 18 | 48% | 48% | 4% | 4% | ||
Miami Herald[citation needed] | October 19 | 800 | ± 3.5% | 44% | 44% | ||
Survey USA[citation needed] | October 22 | 741 | ± 3.7% | 50% | 47% | ||
[citation needed] | October 22 | 400 | ± 5.0% | 44% | 46% | ||
Quinnipiac | October 22–26, 2004 | 944 | ± 3.2 | 46% | 49% | 0% | 5% |
The New York Times[citation needed] | October 23 | 802 | ± 3.0% | 47% | 44% | 0% | 10% |
Mason Dixon[citation needed] | October 26 | 625 | ± 4.0% | 46% | 47% | 6% | |
CNN/USA Today/Gallup[citation needed] | October 28 | 1138 | ± 4.0% | 48% | 46% | 5% | |
Quinnipiac University[citation needed] | October 31 | 1098 | ± 3.0% | 44% | 49% | 6% | |
Zogby International[citation needed] | October 31 | 600 | ± 4.0% | 46% | 46% | 0% | 7% |
Results[]
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | ±% | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Republican | Melquíades Rafael Martínez Ruiz | 3,672,864 | 49.43% | +11.9% | |
Democratic | Elizabeth Castor | 3,590,201 | 48.32% | -14.15% | |
Dennis F. Bradley | 166,642 | 2.24% | +2.24% | ||
Write-ins | 187 | 0.00% | +0.0% | ||
Majority | 82,663 | 1.11% | -23.83% | ||
Turnout | 7,429,894 | 70.92%[5] | +24.08% | ||
Total votes | 7,429,894 | 100.00% | +3,529,732 | ||
Republican gain from Democratic | Swing |
See also[]
- 2004 United States Senate elections
References[]
- ^ "Archived copy". Archived from the original on 2011-10-03. Retrieved 2016-05-10.CS1 maint: archived copy as title (link)
- ^ "Archived copy". Archived from the original on 2011-10-03. Retrieved 2016-05-10.CS1 maint: archived copy as title (link)
- ^ "The Final Predictions". Sabato's Crystal Ball. Retrieved May 2, 2021.
- ^ http://clerk.house.gov/member_info/electionInfo/2004/2004Stat.htm#9
- ^ "Archived copy". Archived from the original on 2016-12-05. Retrieved 2016-12-06.CS1 maint: archived copy as title (link)
External links[]
- Debates
- Florida Senate General Election Debate on C-SPAN, October 18, 2004
- Florida Senate General Election Debate on C-SPAN, October 25, 2004
- Official campaign websites (archived)
Democrats
Republicans
- Politics of Florida
- 2004 Florida elections
- 2004 United States Senate elections
- United States Senate elections in Florida