2018 United States Senate election in Texas
| |||||||||||||||||
Turnout | 53.01% (of registered voters) 42.07% (of voting age population)[1] | ||||||||||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| |||||||||||||||||
County results Cruz: 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% 80–90% 90–100% O'Rourke: 40–50% 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% | |||||||||||||||||
|
Elections in Texas |
---|
Government |
The 2018 United States Senate election in Texas was held on November 6, 2018, along with other elections to the United States Senate and elections to the United States House of Representatives in additional states. Incumbent Republican U.S. Senator Ted Cruz ran successfully for re-election to a second term against Democratic candidate Beto O'Rourke. The primary for all parties was held on March 6, 2018, making it the first primary of the 2018 season.[2] As Cruz and O'Rourke both won majorities in their primaries, they did not participate in the May 22 runoff primary that was held for some nominations in Texas.[3]
No Democrat has won a general election for statewide office in Texas since Bob Bullock was reelected as lieutenant governor in 1994, with election forecasters declaring it a safe Republican seat at the beginning of the 2018 cycle.[4] However, O'Rourke gradually closed the gap,[5] and leading up to the election, the race was considered unexpectedly competitive.[6]
On Election Day, Cruz defeated O'Rourke[7] by a margin just short of 215,000 votes, or 50.9 to 48.3 percent; the race was the closest U.S. Senate race in Texas since 1978.[8]
Background[]
In 2012, after a stunning upset victory in the Republican primary, then-Solicitor General of Texas Ted Cruz defeated former member of the Texas House of Representatives Paul Sadler by a 16-point margin (56%–40%). Texas has not elected a Democratic senator since 1988. As conservatives began turning to the Republican Party in once strongly Democratic areas, Democratic voters became concentrated in Southern Texas (which hold majority minority counties) and large metropolitan cities, such as Houston, Austin, San Antonio, and Dallas, as well as the far western majority-minority city of El Paso, which O'Rourke represented in the U.S. House.
Since 1990, Texas has voted for Republican statewide candidates in all elections, whether it be presidential, gubernatorial, or senatorial, often by large margins. In 1998, Governor George W. Bush won re-election by 37 points over his Democratic challenger, Garry Mauro. In 2000, Governor Bush won Texas by 21 points over Vice President Al Gore. In 2004, President Bush won Texas over Senator John Kerry by 23 points, winning rural areas by landslide margins, capturing urban zones, and coming very close to winning the Latino vote (49% to Kerry's 50%). Democrat Barack Obama was defeated by margins of 12 points in 2008, against John McCain, and 16 points in 2012, against Mitt Romney, respectively. However, in 2016, Donald Trump defeated Democrat Hillary Clinton by only a 9-point margin, demonstrating a possible shift away from the Safe Republican status it had held for over a decade. This has led Democrats to begin targeting Texas as a potential future swing state. It should also be noted that Ted Cruz defeated Donald Trump in the Texas Republican primary for U.S. President in 2016.
As of June 2018, Senator Cruz held a 49%–44% approval rating among Texans in a state Donald Trump won by 9 points against Hillary Clinton in 2016. Among groups that tend to affiliate themselves more with the Democratic Party, Senator Cruz held a 29% approval rating among Hispanics, 37% among females, and 42% among college-educated voters.[9]
Republican primary[]
Candidates[]
Nominee[]
- Ted Cruz, incumbent U.S. Senator and former candidate for president in 2016[10]
Eliminated in primary[]
- Bruce Jacobson, television producer[11]
- Mary Miller, CPA[12]
- Geraldine Sam, former mayor of La Marque[13][14]
- Stefano de Stefano, attorney[15]
Failed to qualify[]
- Thomas Dillingham, businessman[16]
Withdrew[]
Declined[]
- George P. Bush, Texas Land Commissioner (running for re-election)[19][20]
- Michael McCaul, U.S. Representative[21][22][15]
- Dan Patrick, Lieutenant Governor of Texas (running for re-election)[23][24]
- Rick Perry, Secretary of Energy, former Governor of Texas and candidate for president in 2012 and 2016[25]
- Katrina Pierson, national spokesperson for the Donald Trump's presidential campaign in 2016 and candidate for House district TX-32 in 2014[24]
Endorsements[]
- Individuals
- Dan McQueen, former Mayor of Corpus Christi[18]
- Media
- The Bryan-College Station Eagle[26]
- Corpus Christi Caller Times[27]
- The Dallas Morning News[28]
Polling[]
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Ted Cruz |
Stefano de Stefano |
Bruce Jacobson |
Mary Miller |
Geraldine Sam |
Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Dixie Strategies | February 22–23, 2018 | – | ± 4.7% | 73% | 1% | 2% | 2% | 1% | 21% |
University of Texas | February 1–12, 2018 | 612 | ± 5.3% | 91% | 1% | 3% | 3% | 2% | – |
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Ted Cruz |
Michael McCaul |
Other | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Dixie Strategies | September 29 – October 1, 2016 | 321 | ± 3.5% | 52% | 12% | 7% | 29% |
Public Policy Polling | August 12–14, 2016 | 522 | – | 51% | 19% | – | 31% |
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Ted Cruz |
George P. Bush |
Other | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Dixie Strategies | August 8–9, 2016 | 448 | – | 40% | 21% | 12% | 27% |
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Ted Cruz |
Dan Patrick |
Other | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Public Policy Polling | August 12–14, 2016 | 522 | – | 49% | 27% | – | 24% |
Dixie Strategies | August 8–9, 2016 | 448 | – | 38% | 23% | 15% | 24% |
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Ted Cruz |
Rick Perry |
Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Public Policy Polling | August 12–14, 2016 | 522 | – | 37% | 46% | 18% |
Results[]
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Republican | Ted Cruz (incumbent) | 1,322,724 | 85.36% | |
Republican | Mary Miller | 94,715 | 6.11% | |
Republican | Bruce Jacobson Jr. | 64,791 | 4.18% | |
Republican | Stefano de Stefano | 44,456 | 2.87% | |
Republican | Geraldine Sam | 22,887 | 1.48% | |
Total votes | 1,549,573 | 100% |
Democratic primary[]
Candidates[]
Nominee[]
- Beto O'Rourke, U.S. Representative[30][31][32]
Eliminated in primary[]
- Sema Hernandez,[33] activist and organizer for the Poor People's Campaign, baseball coach and small business owner[34]
- Edward Kimbrough[35]
Declined[]
- Joaquin Castro, U.S. Representative[36]
- Julian Castro, former U.S. Secretary of Housing and Urban Development and Mayor of San Antonio[37]
- Wendy Davis, former state senator and nominee for governor in 2014[38]
Endorsements[]
- Newspapers
- Organizations
- End Citizens United[41]
- Equality Texas[41]
- Houston GLBT Political Caucus[42]
- J Street PAC[41]
- League of Conservation Voters[41]
- MoveOn.org Political Action[41]
- National Education Association[41]
- Stonewall Democrats of Dallas[43]
- Stonewall Democrats of San Antonio[44]
- Texas AFL-CIO[41]
- Individuals
- Lee Camp, host of Redacted Tonight[45]
Polling[]
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Sema Hernandez |
Edward Kimbrough |
Beto O'Rourke |
Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Dixie Strategies | February 22–23, 2018 | – | ± 5.7% | 6% | 4% | 38% | 53% |
University of Texas | February 1–12, 2018 | 453 | ± 7.4% | 19% | 8% | 73% | – |
Results[]
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Democratic | Beto O'Rourke | 644,632 | 61.81% | |
Democratic | Sema Hernandez | 247,424 | 23.72% | |
Democratic | Edward Kimbrough | 150,858 | 14.47% | |
Total votes | 1,042,914 | 100% |
Libertarian nomination[]
Candidates[]
Nominated[]
Independents[]
Candidates[]
Declared[]
- Carl Bible, nurse[49]
- Jonathan Jenkins, tech entrepreneur[50][51]
- Bob McNeil, businessman[52] (American Citizen Party)[a]
Declined[]
Notes[]
General election[]
Predictions[]
Source | Ranking | As of |
---|---|---|
The Cook Political Report[56] | Tossup | October 26, 2018 |
Inside Elections[57] | Likely R | November 1, 2018 |
Sabato's Crystal Ball[58] | Lean R | November 5, 2018 |
CNN[59] | Lean R | October 5, 2018 |
RealClearPolitics[60] | Lean R | November 5, 2018 |
Daily Kos[61] | Lean R | October 5, 2018 |
Fox News[62][a] | Lean R | October 30, 2018 |
- Notes
- ^ The Fox News Midterm Power Rankings uniquely does not contain a category for Safe/Solid races
Debates[]
- Complete video of debate, September 21, 2018
- Complete video of debate, October 16, 2018
Endorsements[]
- U.S. Executive Branch officials
- Mike Pence, 48th Vice President of the United States[63]
- Donald Trump, 45th President of the United States[64][65]
- U.S. Senators
- John Cornyn, U.S. Senate Majority Whip (TX)[66]
- Dan Sullivan, U. S. Senator (AK)
- U.S. Representatives
- Kevin Brady, U.S. Representative (TX 8th District) and Chair of the House Ways and Means Committee[67]
- Bill Flores, U.S. Representative (TX 17th District)[68]
- State officials
- Greg Abbott, Governor of Texas[69]
- George P. Bush, Land Commissioner of Texas[70]
- Wayne Christian. Texas Railroad Commissioner[71]
- Ryan Sitton, Texas Railroad Commissioner[72]
- Texas State Senators
- Konni Burton, State Senator (10th District)[73]
- Charles Perry, State Senator (28th District)[74]
- Texas State Representatives
- Cecil Bell Jr., State Representative (3rd District)[75]
- Jeff Leach, State Representative (67th District)[76]
- Matt Rinaldi, State Representative (115th District)[77]
- Jonathan Stickland, State Representative (92nd District)[78]
- Valoree Swanson, State Representative (150th District)
- Local officeholders
- Tracy Murphree, Sheriff of Denton County since 2017 and former Texas Ranger[79]
- Individuals
- Diamond and Silk, social media personalities and political activists[80]
- Joe Gamaldi, president of the Houston Police Officers Union (HPOU)[81]
- Sean Hannity, conservative talk radio host and television host of Hannity on Fox News[82]
- Ray Hunt, past HPOU president[81]
- Laura Ingraham, television and radio talk show host [83]
- Mark Levin, radio personality and author[84]
- Donald Trump Jr., Executive Director of The Trump Organization and eldest child of President Donald Trump[85]
- James Woods, actor [86]
- Labor unions
- National Border Patrol Council[87]
- San Antonio Police Officers Association[88]
- Texas Municipal Police Association[89]
- Organizations
- Former U.S. Executive Branch officials
- John O. Brennan, 5th Director of the Central Intelligence Agency (2013-2017)[97]
- Julian Castro, 16th U.S. Secretary of Housing and Urban Development (2014-2017)[98]
- U.S. Senators
- Cory Booker, U.S. Senator from New Jersey[99]
- Catherine Cortez Masto, U.S. Senator from Nevada[100]
- Dick Durbin, U.S. Senator from Illinois and Senate Minority Whip[101]
- Kirsten Gillibrand, U.S. Senator from New York[102]
- Kamala Harris, U.S. Senator from California[103]
- Maggie Hassan, U.S. Senator from New Hampshire[104]
- Chris Murphy, U.S. Senator from Connecticut[105]
- Patty Murray, U.S. Senator from Washington[106]
- Chuck Schumer, U.S. Senator from New York and Senate Minority Leader[107]
- Elizabeth Warren, U.S. Senator from Massachusetts[108]
- U.S. Representatives
- Joaquín Castro, U.S. Representative (TX-20th District)[98]
- Lloyd Doggett, U.S. Representative (TX-35th District))[109]
- Tulsi Gabbard, U.S. Representative (HI-2nd District))[110]
- Eddie Bernice Johnson, U.S. Representative (TX-30th District)[111]
- Joe Kennedy III, U.S. Representative (MA-4th District)[112]
- Ted Lieu, U.S. Representative (CA-33rd District[113]
- Marc Veasey, U.S. Representative (TX-33rd District)[114]
- Texas State Senators
- Wendy Davis, former State Senator (D-10th District) and 2014 Democratic nominee for Governor of Texas[115]
- Texas State Representatives
- Chris Turner, State Representative (101st District) and Chair of the Texas House Democratic Caucus[116]
- Local officeholders
- Lupe Valdez, former Sheriff of Dallas County and 2018 Democratic nominee for Governor of Texas[117]
- Jenny Wilson, Salt Lake County Councilwoman and candidate for U.S. Senate in Utah in 2018[118]
- Individuals
- Judd Apatow, film director[119]
- Bun B, rapper[120]
- Kevin Bacon, actor[121]
- Leon Bridges, singer[122]
- Connie Britton, actress[123]
- Win Butler, musician[124]
- Scott Campbell, executive Director of Elton John AIDS Foundation[125]
- Jim Carrey, actor and comedian[126]
- Kevin Conroy, voice actor[127]
- Ellen DeGeneres, comedian and television host[128]
- Tate Donovan, actor and film director[123]
- Anthony Fantano, music critic, video producer, journalist, and creator of The Needle Drop[129]
- Jason Flom, Chief Executive Officer of Lava Records[130]
- Arian Foster, former NFL running back[131]
- Vicente Fox, 55th President of Mexico[132]
- Jim Gianopulos, chairman and Chief Executive Officer of Paramount Pictures[123]
- Shakey Graves, singer[133]
- Jonathan Groff, actor and singer[130]
- Jake Gyllenhaal, actor[134]
- Chelsea Handler, comedian and actress[135]
- Steve Hely, writer[130]
- John Iadarola, host of The Young Turks[136]
- LeBron James, NBA player[137]
- Rian Johnson, film director[123]
- Kelly Jones, ex-wife of Alex Jones[138]
- Ana Kasparian, host of The Young Turks[139]
- Stephen King, author[140]
- Pat Klous, actress[123]
- Beyoncé Knowles, singer[141]
- John Leguizamo, actor[142]
- Lawrence Lessig, academic, attorney, and political activist[143]
- William Li, Ralph Lauren Corporation global brand president[125]
- Eva Longoria, actress[144]
- Phil Lord, film director[123]
- Bill Maher, comedian and political commentator[145]
- Stephanie March, actress[125]
- Craig Mazin, screenwriter[146]
- Alyssa Milano, actress and activist[147]
- David Mixner, civil rights activist[125]
- Willie Nelson, singer and activist[148]
- Thao Nguyen, singer-songwriter[123]
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez, Democratic nominee for New York's 14th Congressional District[149]
- Bob Odenkirk, actor[123]
- Rosie O'Donnell, comedian and actress[150]
- Richard Painter, University of Minnesota Twin Cities law professor, former George W. Bush White House ethics lawyer and candidate for the U.S. Senate in Minnesota in 2018[151]
- David Pakman, political commentator[152]
- Sarah Jessica Parker, actress[153]
- Ron Perlman, actor[154]
- Aubrey Plaza, actress[123]
- Gregg Popovich, Head coach of the San Antonio Spurs[155]
- Alan Rosenberg, screen actor[123]
- Rick Rosenthal, film producer[123]
- Tom Rothman, chairman of Sony Pictures Entertainment Motion Picture Group[123]
- Paul Rudd, actor[125]
- Mark Ruffalo, actor[156]
- Steve Schmidt, Republican political strategist, campaign manager of John McCain's 2008 presidential campaign[157]
- Amy Schumer, actress[158]
- Travis Scott, rapper[159]
- Amy Siskind, activist and writer[160]
- Nancy Stephens, actress[123]
- Tara Strong, voice actress and activist[161]
- Michael Urie, actor[125]
- Cenk Uygur, host of The Young Turks[162]
- Shea Whigham, actor[130]
- Andrew White, businessman; son of former Texas Governor Mark White; candidate for the 2018 gubernatorial Democratic nomination[163]
- Labor unions
- American Federation of Government Employees[164]
- National Education Association[165]
- National Nurses United[166]
- Texas Gulf Coast Area Labor Federation[167]
- Texas State AFL-CIO[168]
- Texas State Teachers Association[169]
- TSAFF-Texas State Association of Firefighters
- United Automobile Workers[170]
- Organizations
- Council for a Livable World[171][172]
- End Citizens United[173]
- Equality Texas[174]
- Feminist Majority Political Action Committee [175]
- Houston GLBT Political Caucus[176]
- Human Rights Campaign[177]
- J Street[178]
- Jolt Texas[179]
- League of Conservation Voters Action Fund[180]
- MoveOn.org[181]
- NARAL Pro-Choice America[182]
- National Organization for the Reform of Marijuana Laws PAC[183]
- Our Revolution[184]
- Population Connection[185]
- Progress Texas[186]
- Progressive Change Campaign Committee[187]
- Sierra Club[188]
- Stonewall Democrats of Dallas[189]
- Stonewall Democrats of San Antonio[190]
- Newspapers
- The Austin Chronicle[191]
- Corpus Christi Caller-Times[192]
- Dallas Morning News[193]
- El Paso Times[194]
- Fort Worth Star-Telegram[195]
- Houston Chronicle[196]
- Longview News-Journal[197]
- San Antonio Express-News[198]
Fundraising[]
In the third quarter of 2018, O'Rourke raised $38.1 million. This amount was the largest quarterly total raised by a U.S. Senate candidate[199] until Jaime Harrison raised $57 million in the third quarter of 2020 in the South Carolina election.[200] Cruz and O'Rourke combined to raise a record-setting total of $126 million during the 2018 campaign.[201][202]
Campaign finance reports as of December 31, 2018 | |||
---|---|---|---|
Candidate (party) | Total receipts | Total disbursements | Cash on hand |
Ted Cruz (R) | $45,668,718 | $45,990,176 | $157,959 |
Beto O'Rourke (D) | $80,344,836 | $80,458,720 | $284,816 |
Neal Dikeman (L) | $33,732 | $33,398 | $333 |
Source: Federal Election Commission[202] |
Polling[]
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Ted Cruz (R) |
Beto O'Rourke (D) |
Neal Dikeman (L) |
Other | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Trafalgar Group (R) | November 3–5, 2018 | 2,135 | ± 2.1% | 52% | 43% | – | 1% | 4% |
Change Research (D-Reason to Believe PAC) | November 1–2, 2018 | 1,211 | – | 49% | 49% | 1% | – | – |
Emerson College | October 28–30, 2018 | 781 | ± 3.7% | 50% | 47% | 1% | – | 2% |
Quinnipiac University | October 22–28, 2018 | 1,078 | ± 3.5% | 51% | 46% | – | 1% | 3% |
University of Texas Tyler | October 15–28, 2018 | 905 LV | – | 47% | 43% | – | 4% | 6% |
1,033 RV | ± 3.0% | 47% | 42% | – | 4% | 8% | ||
Dixie Strategies | October 25–26, 2018 | 588 | ± 4.0% | 52% | 42% | – | – | 5% |
GBA Strategies (D-End Citizens United) | October 18–21, 2018 | 1,000 | ± 4.0% | 50% | 46% | 2% | – | 2% |
University of Texas/YouGov | October 15–21, 2018 | 927 | ± 3.2% | 51% | 45% | 2% | 2% | – |
Ipsos | October 12–18, 2018 | 1,298 | ± 3.2% | 49% | 44% | – | 3% | 1% |
Tulchin Research (D-MoveOn) | October 10–14, 2018 | 600 | ± 4.0% | 49% | 45% | 3% | – | 3% |
CNN/SSRS | October 9–13, 2018 | 716 LV | ± 4.5% | 52% | 45% | – | 0% | 2% |
862 RV | ± 4.1% | 50% | 45% | – | 0% | 3% | ||
WPA Intelligence (R-Club for Growth) | October 8–13, 2018 | 801 | ± 3.5% | 52% | 43% | 1% | – | 4% |
NYT Upshot/Siena College | October 8–11, 2018 | 800 | ± 3.6% | 51% | 43% | 1% | – | 5% |
Quinnipiac University | October 3–9, 2018 | 730 | ± 4.4% | 54% | 45% | – | 0% | 2% |
YouGov | October 2–5, 2018 | 881 | – | 50% | 44% | – | 2% | 4% |
Emerson College | October 1–5, 2018 | 500 | ± 4.5% | 47% | 42% | – | 3% | 8% |
Public Policy Polling (D-Protect Our Care) | September 19–20, 2018 | 613 | ± 4.0% | 48% | 45% | – | – | 8% |
Public Policy Polling (D-End Citizens United) | September 19–20, 2018 | 603 | ± 4.0% | 49% | 46% | – | – | 5% |
Vox Populi Polling | September 16–18, 2018 | 508 | ± 4.4% | 50% | 50% | – | – | – |
Quinnipiac University | September 11–17, 2018 | 807 | ± 4.1% | 54% | 45% | – | 0% | 1% |
Chism Strategies (D-Reform Austin) | September 11–12, 2018 | 1,161 | ± 3.0% | 49% | 45% | – | – | 5% |
Ipsos | September 6–14, 2018 | 992 | ± 4.0% | 45% | 47% | – | 3% | 5% |
Crosswind Media & Public Relations | September 6–9, 2018 | 800 | ± 4.0% | 47% | 44% | – | – | – |
Dixie Strategies | September 6–7, 2018 | 519 | ± 4.3% | 46% | 42% | 1% | – | 11% |
Emerson College | August 22–25, 2018 | 550 | ± 4.4% | 38% | 37% | – | 4% | 21% |
NBC News/Marist | August 12–16, 2018 | 759 | ± 3.8% | 49% | 45% | – | 1% | 6% |
Civiqs[a] | August 8–11, 2018 | –[b] | – | 47% | 48% | – | – | – |
Public Policy Polling (D-End Citizens United) | August 1–2, 2018 | 797 | ± 3.5% | 46% | 42% | – | – | – |
Quinnipiac University | July 26–31, 2018 | 1,118 | ± 3.5% | 49% | 43% | – | 0% | 6% |
Texas Lyceum | July 9–26, 2018 | 441 LV | ± 4.7% | 41% | 39% | 1% | – | 19% |
806 RV | ± 3.5% | 36% | 34% | 3% | – | 24% | ||
Gravis Marketing | July 3–7, 2018 | 602 | ± 4.0% | 51% | 42% | – | – | 7% |
YouGov | June 19–22, 2018 | 821 LV | – | 50% | 40% | – | 3% | 7% |
1,025 RV | ± 3.6% | 44% | 36% | – | 3% | 13% | ||
University of Texas/YouGov | June 8–17, 2018 | 1,200 | ± 2.8% | 41% | 36% | 2% | 3% | 17% |
GQR Research (D-End Citizens United) | May 29 – June 5, 2018 | 1,000 | ± 3.1% | 49% | 43% | – | – | 8% |
Quinnipiac University | May 23–29, 2018 | 961 | ± 3.8% | 50% | 39% | – | 0% | 9% |
Baselice & Associates (R-TLRPAC) | May 21–28, 2018 | 601 | ± 4.1% | 48% | 36% | 3% | 1% | 11% |
Public Policy Polling (D-Giffords) | May 21–22, 2018 | 861 | ± 3.3% | 48% | 42% | – | – | 10% |
JMC Analytics (R-Red Metrics Group) | May 19–21, 2018 | 575 | ± 4.1% | 47% | 40% | – | 6%[203] | 7% |
Quinnipiac University | April 12–17, 2018 | 1,029 | ± 3.6% | 47% | 44% | – | 1% | 8% |
Public Policy Polling (D-End Citizens United) | January 17–18, 2018 | 757 | ± 3.6% | 45% | 37% | – | – | 18% |
WPA Intelligence (R-Cruz) | December 12–14, 2017 | 600 | ± 4.0% | 52% | 34% | – | 1% | 13% |
Texas Lyceum | April 3–9, 2017 | 1,000 | ± 3.1% | 30% | 30% | – | 3% | 37% |
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Ted Cruz (R) |
Joaquin Castro (D) |
Other | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Texas Lyceum | April 3–9, 2017 | 1,000 | ± 3.1% | 31% | 35% | 3% | 31% |
Public Policy Polling | August 12–14, 2016 | 944 | ± 3.2% | 48% | 36% | – | 16% |
Dixie Strategies | August 8–9, 2016 | 1,018 | ± 3.1% | 32% | 31% | 14% | 23% |
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Ted Cruz (R) |
Wendy Davis (D) |
Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Public Policy Polling | August 12–14, 2016 | 944 | ± 3.2% | 49% | 37% | 14% |
Results[]
On November 6, 2018, Ted Cruz defeated Beto O'Rourke. However, O'Rourke gave Democrats their best performance in a Texas statewide election since Ann Richards was elected governor in 1990.[204] In addition, O'Rourke flipped several counties in Texas that Donald Trump carried in 2016, including Williamson (includes Round Rock and Georgetown), historically conservative Tarrant (includes Fort Worth and suburbs within the DFW metroplex), Jefferson (includes Beaumont and Port Arthur), Nueces (includes Corpus Christi), sparsely populated Brewster (includes Big Bend National Park), and Hays (includes San Marcos). Cruz only flipped one county that voted for Hillary Clinton in 2016, sparsely populated Kenedy (coastal region south of Corpus Christi).
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | ±% | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Republican | Ted Cruz (incumbent) | 4,260,553 | 50.89% | -5.57% | |
Democratic | Beto O'Rourke | 4,045,632 | 48.33% | +7.71% | |
Libertarian | Neal Dikeman | 65,470 | 0.78% | -1.28% | |
Total votes | 8,371,655 | 100% | N/A | ||
Republican hold |
By county[]
Counties won by Cruz | |
Counties won by O'Rourke |
County | Cruz Republican |
O'Rourke Democratic |
Dikeman Libertarian |
Margin | Total votes | ||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Votes | % | Votes | % | Votes | % | Votes | % | ||
Anderson | 11,335 | 76.92% | 3,307 | 22.44% | 94 | 0.64% | 8,028 | 54.48% | 14,736 |
Andrews | 3,338 | 80.80% | 776 | 18.78% | 17 | 0.41% | 2,562 | 62.02% | 4,131 |
Angelina | 19,166 | 72.46% | 7,130 | 26.96% | 153 | 0.58% | 12,036 | 45.51% | 26,449 |
Aransas | 6,677 | 74.35% | 2,247 | 25.02% | 56 | 0.62% | 4,430 | 49.33% | 8,980 |
Archer | 3,208 | 89.06% | 376 | 10.44% | 18 | 0.50% | 2,832 | 78.62% | 3,602 |
Armstrong | 819 | 91.10% | 74 | 8.23% | 6 | 0.67% | 745 | 82.87% | 899 |
Atascosa | 7,753 | 63.53% | 4,332 | 35.50% | 119 | 0.98% | 3,421 | 28.03% | 12,204 |
Austin | 8,772 | 79.05% | 2,241 | 20.19% | 84 | 0.76% | 6,531 | 58.85% | 11,097 |
Bailey | 1,204 | 74.50% | 405 | 25.06% | 7 | 0.43% | 799 | 49.44% | 1,616 |
Bandera | 7,643 | 79.75% | 1,865 | 19.46% | 76 | 0.79% | 5,778 | 60.29% | 9,584 |
Bastrop | 15,067 | 54.87% | 12,082 | 44.00% | 312 | 1.14% | 2,985 | 10.87% | 27,461 |
Baylor | 1,070 | 86.64% | 156 | 12.63% | 9 | 0.73% | 914 | 74.01% | 1,235 |
Bee | 4,342 | 60.16% | 2,811 | 38.95% | 64 | 0.89% | 1,531 | 21.21% | 7,217 |
Bell | 47,437 | 54.79% | 38,417 | 44.37% | 723 | 0.84% | 9,020 | 10.42% | 86,577 |
Bexar | 217,600 | 39.59% | 326,946 | 59.49% | 5,024 | 0.91% | 109,346 | 19.90% | 549,570 |
Blanco | 4,181 | 71.99% | 1,570 | 27.03% | 57 | 0.98% | 2,611 | 44.96% | 5,808 |
Borden | 320 | 93.29% | 22 | 6.41% | 1 | 0.29% | 298 | 86.88% | 343 |
Bosque | 5,718 | 79.92% | 1,374 | 19.20% | 63 | 0.88% | 4,344 | 60.71% | 7,155 |
Bowie | 20,157 | 71.17% | 7,982 | 28.18% | 182 | 0.64% | 12,175 | 42.99% | 28,321 |
Brazoria | 65,693 | 58.78% | 45,228 | 40.47% | 832 | 0.74% | 20,465 | 18.31% | 111,753 |
Brazos | 35,971 | 55.78% | 27,876 | 43.23% | 640 | 0.99% | 8,095 | 12.55% | 64,487 |
Brewster | 1,879 | 45.99% | 2,147 | 52.55% | 60 | 1.47% | 268 | 6.56% | 4,086 |
Briscoe | 553 | 88.62% | 69 | 11.06% | 2 | 0.32% | 484 | 77.56% | 624 |
Brooks | 543 | 28.24% | 1,376 | 71.55% | 4 | 0.21% | 833 | 43.32% | 1,923 |
Brown | 10,391 | 85.65% | 1,670 | 13.77% | 71 | 0.59% | 8,721 | 71.88% | 12,132 |
Burleson | 5,079 | 77.54% | 1,426 | 21.77% | 45 | 0.69% | 3,653 | 55.77% | 6,550 |
Burnet | 13,859 | 74.95% | 4,444 | 24.03% | 187 | 1.01% | 9,415 | 50.92% | 18,490 |
Caldwell | 6,147 | 53.54% | 5,227 | 45.53% | 107 | 0.93% | 920 | 8.01% | 11,481 |
Calhoun | 4,198 | 68.61% | 1,874 | 30.63% | 47 | 0.77% | 2,324 | 37.98% | 6,119 |
Callahan | 4,373 | 87.06% | 610 | 12.14% | 40 | 0.80% | 3,763 | 74.92% | 5,023 |
Cameron | 28,574 | 36.67% | 48,770 | 62.60% | 568 | 0.73% | 20,196 | 25.92% | 77,912 |
Camp | 2,749 | 70.63% | 1,119 | 28.75% | 24 | 0.62% | 1,630 | 41.88% | 3,892 |
Carson | 2,192 | 89.14% | 245 | 9.96% | 22 | 0.89% | 1,947 | 79.18% | 2,459 |
Cass | 8,148 | 79.75% | 2,024 | 19.81% | 45 | 0.44% | 6,124 | 59.94% | 10,217 |
Castro | 1,219 | 75.11% | 394 | 24.28% | 10 | 0.62% | 825 | 50.83% | 1,623 |
Chambers | 12,146 | 80.01% | 2,926 | 19.27% | 109 | 0.72% | 9,220 | 60.73% | 15,181 |
Cherokee | 11,631 | 77.85% | 3,207 | 21.46% | 103 | 0.69% | 8,424 | 56.38% | 14,941 |
Childress | 1,526 | 86.21% | 236 | 13.33% | 8 | 0.45% | 1,290 | 72.88% | 1,770 |
Clay | 3,710 | 86.52% | 547 | 12.76% | 31 | 0.72% | 3,163 | 73.76% | 4,288 |
Cochran | 541 | 78.86% | 140 | 20.41% | 5 | 0.73% | 401 | 58.45% | 686 |
Coke | 1,150 | 88.67% | 137 | 10.56% | 10 | 0.77% | 1,013 | 78.10% | 1,297 |
Coleman | 2,759 | 88.26% | 351 | 11.23% | 16 | 0.51% | 2,408 | 77.03% | 3,126 |
Collin | 187,245 | 52.63% | 165,614 | 46.55% | 2,927 | 0.82% | 21,631 | 6.08% | 355,786 |
Collingsworth | 810 | 87.28% | 113 | 12.18% | 5 | 0.54% | 697 | 75.11% | 928 |
Colorado | 5,779 | 75.67% | 1,825 | 23.90% | 33 | 0.43% | 3,954 | 51.77% | 7,637 |
Comal | 44,079 | 71.68% | 16,830 | 27.37% | 586 | 0.95% | 27,249 | 44.31% | 61,495 |
Comanche | 3,799 | 82.41% | 781 | 16.94% | 30 | 0.65% | 3,018 | 65.47% | 4,610 |
Concho | 803 | 81.94% | 163 | 16.63% | 14 | 1.43% | 640 | 65.31% | 980 |
Cooke | 11,879 | 81.70% | 2,550 | 17.54% | 111 | 0.76% | 9,329 | 64.16% | 14,540 |
Coryell | 10,626 | 66.99% | 5,067 | 31.94% | 170 | 1.07% | 5,559 | 35.04% | 15,863 |
Cottle | 458 | 82.23% | 97 | 17.41% | 2 | 0.36% | 361 | 64.81% | 557 |
Crane | 836 | 79.24% | 213 | 20.19% | 6 | 0.57% | 623 | 59.05% | 1,055 |
Crockett | 928 | 72.73% | 340 | 26.65% | 8 | 0.63% | 588 | 46.08% | 1,276 |
Crosby | 978 | 68.78% | 437 | 30.73% | 7 | 0.49% | 541 | 38.05% | 1,422 |
Culberson | 297 | 35.91% | 521 | 63.00% | 9 | 1.09% | 224 | 27.09% | 827 |
Dallam | 970 | 87.00% | 139 | 12.47% | 6 | 0.54% | 831 | 74.53% | 1,115 |
Dallas | 241,124 | 33.13% | 481,395 | 66.14% | 5,368 | 0.74% | 240,271 | 33.01% | 727,887 |
Dawson | 2,192 | 72.70% | 811 | 26.90% | 12 | 0.40% | 1,381 | 45.80% | 3,015 |
Deaf Smith | 2,680 | 70.99% | 1,067 | 28.26% | 28 | 0.74% | 1,613 | 42.73% | 3,775 |
Delta | 1,562 | 80.85% | 354 | 18.32% | 16 | 0.83% | 1,208 | 62.53% | 1,932 |
Denton | 158,744 | 53.67% | 134,649 | 45.52% | 2,409 | 0.81% | 24,095 | 8.15% | 295,802 |
Dewitt | 4,974 | 81.13% | 1,128 | 18.40% | 29 | 0.47% | 3,846 | 62.73% | 6,131 |
Dickens | 635 | 84.22% | 113 | 14.99% | 6 | 0.80% | 522 | 69.23% | 754 |
Dimmit | 840 | 29.03% | 2,042 | 70.56% | 12 | 0.41% | 1,202 | 41.53% | 2,894 |
Donley | 1,110 | 86.79% | 161 | 12.59% | 8 | 0.63% | 949 | 74.20% | 1,279 |
Duval | 1,330 | 32.34% | 2,765 | 67.23% | 18 | 0.44% | 1,435 | 34.89% | 4,113 |
Eastland | 5,377 | 86.66% | 800 | 12.89% | 28 | 0.45% | 4,577 | 73.76% | 6,205 |
Ector | 20,996 | 68.90% | 9,230 | 30.29% | 248 | 0.81% | 11,766 | 38.61% | 30,474 |
Edwards | 604 | 79.79% | 145 | 19.15% | 8 | 1.06% | 459 | 60.63% | 757 |
Ellis | 41,022 | 67.71% | 19,106 | 31.53% | 461 | 0.76% | 21,916 | 36.17% | 60,589 |
El Paso | 50,943 | 25.02% | 151,482 | 74.40% | 1,189 | 0.58% | 100,539 | 49.38% | 203,614 |
Erath | 10,055 | 79.64% | 2,486 | 19.69% | 84 | 0.66% | 7,569 | 59.95% | 12,625 |
Falls | 3,215 | 68.70% | 1,445 | 30.88% | 20 | 0.43% | 1,770 | 37.82% | 4,680 |
Fannin | 8,569 | 79.71% | 2,107 | 19.60% | 74 | 0.69% | 6,462 | 60.11% | 10,750 |
Fayette | 8,228 | 78.52% | 2,198 | 20.98% | 53 | 0.51% | 6,030 | 57.54% | 10,479 |
Fisher | 1,139 | 76.24% | 340 | 22.76% | 15 | 1.00% | 799 | 53.48% | 1,494 |
Floyd | 1,394 | 74.19% | 476 | 25.33% | 9 | 0.48% | 918 | 48.86% | 1,879 |
Foard | 321 | 73.79% | 113 | 25.98% | 1 | 0.23% | 208 | 47.82% | 435 |
Fort Bend | 111,423 | 43.62% | 142,399 | 55.75% | 1,616 | 0.63% | 30,976 | 12.13% | 255,438 |
Franklin | 3,300 | 83.04% | 639 | 16.08% | 35 | 0.88% | 2,661 | 66.96% | 3,974 |
Freestone | 5,243 | 79.90% | 1,279 | 19.49% | 40 | 0.61% | 3,964 | 60.41% | 6,562 |
Frio | 1,636 | 44.46% | 2,016 | 54.78% | 28 | 0.76% | 380 | 10.33% | 3,680 |
Gaines | 3,317 | 86.18% | 513 | 13.33% | 19 | 0.49% | 2,804 | 72.85% | 3,849 |
Galveston | 67,641 | 59.53% | 45,065 | 39.66% | 916 | 0.81% | 22,576 | 19.87% | 113,622 |
Garza | 1,068 | 82.98% | 203 | 15.77% | 16 | 1.24% | 865 | 67.21% | 1,287 |
Gillespie | 9,890 | 78.85% | 2,572 | 20.51% | 81 | 0.65% | 7,318 | 58.34% | 12,543 |
Glasscock | 513 | 92.60% | 37 | 6.68% | 4 | 0.72% | 476 | 85.92% | 554 |
Goliad | 2,326 | 75.72% | 717 | 23.34% | 29 | 0.94% | 1,609 | 52.38% | 3,072 |
Gonzales | 4,173 | 74.19% | 1,421 | 25.26% | 31 | 0.55% | 2,752 | 48.92% | 5,625 |
Gray | 5,246 | 88.90% | 615 | 10.42% | 40 | 0.68% | 4,631 | 78.48% | 5,901 |
Grayson | 31,655 | 73.37% | 11,157 | 25.86% | 332 | 0.77% | 20,498 | 47.51% | 43,144 |
Gregg | 24,569 | 68.37% | 11,133 | 30.98% | 234 | 0.65% | 13,436 | 37.39% | 35,936 |
Grimes | 6,499 | 75.51% | 2,037 | 23.67% | 71 | 0.82% | 4,462 | 51.84% | 8,607 |
Guadalupe | 33,938 | 62.19% | 20,079 | 36.79% | 554 | 1.02% | 13,859 | 25.40% | 54,571 |
Hale | 5,360 | 72.51% | 1,970 | 26.65% | 62 | 0.84% | 3,390 | 45.86% | 7,392 |
Hall | 807 | 83.11% | 161 | 16.58% | 3 | 0.31% | 646 | 66.53% | 971 |
Hamilton | 2,795 | 83.93% | 507 | 15.23% | 28 | 0.84% | 2,288 | 68.71% | 3,330 |
Hansford | 1,552 | 90.76% | 138 | 8.07% | 20 | 1.17% | 1,414 | 82.69% | 1,710 |
Hardeman | 973 | 83.73% | 185 | 15.92% | 4 | 0.34% | 788 | 67.81% | 1,162 |
Hardin | 17,391 | 86.53% | 2,636 | 13.12% | 71 | 0.35% | 14,755 | 73.42% | 20,098 |
Harris | 498,902 | 41.31% | 700,200 | 57.98% | 8,652 | 0.72% | 201,298 | 16.67% | 1,207,754 |
Harrison | 16,226 | 71.82% | 6,245 | 27.64% | 122 | 0.54% | 9,981 | 44.18% | 22,593 |
Hartley | 1,467 | 90.33% | 153 | 9.42% | 4 | 0.25% | 1,314 | 80.91% | 1,624 |
Haskell | 1,362 | 81.36% | 302 | 18.04% | 10 | 0.60% | 1,060 | 63.32% | 1,674 |
Hays | 33,308 | 41.77% | 45,584 | 57.16% | 854 | 1.07% | 12,276 | 15.39% | 79,746 |
Hemphill | 1,209 | 87.93% | 157 | 11.42% | 9 | 0.65% | 1,052 | 76.51% | 1,375 |
Henderson | 20,891 | 78.80% | 5,415 | 20.43% | 205 | 0.77% | 15,476 | 58.38% | 26,511 |
Hidalgo | 46,505 | 30.64% | 104,416 | 68.81% | 834 | 0.55% | 57,911 | 38.16% | 151,755 |
Hill | 8,927 | 78.08% | 2,443 | 21.37% | 63 | 0.55% | 6,484 | 56.71% | 11,433 |
Hockley | 4,844 | 79.49% | 1,211 | 19.87% | 39 | 0.64% | 3,633 | 59.62% | 6,094 |
Hood | 20,090 | 80.34% | 4,720 | 18.88% | 195 | 0.78% | 15,370 | 61.47% | 25,005 |
Hopkins | 9,306 | 78.07% | 2,545 | 21.35% | 69 | 0.58% | 6,761 | 56.72% | 11,920 |
Houston | 5,552 | 75.43% | 1,772 | 24.08% | 36 | 0.49% | 3,780 | 51.36% | 7,360 |
Howard | 5,651 | 76.32% | 1,693 | 22.87% | 60 | 0.81% | 3,958 | 53.46% | 7,404 |
Hudspeth | 509 | 54.56% | 407 | 43.62% | 17 | 1.82% | 102 | 10.93% | 933 |
Hunt | 21,115 | 74.12% | 7,151 | 25.10% | 222 | 0.78% | 13,964 | 49.02% | 28,488 |
Hutchinson | 5,854 | 88.14% | 753 | 11.34% | 35 | 0.53% | 5,101 | 76.80% | 6,642 |
Irion | 636 | 86.18% | 96 | 13.01% | 6 | 0.81% | 540 | 73.17% | 738 |
Jack | 2,498 | 88.80% | 296 | 10.52% | 19 | 0.68% | 2,202 | 78.28% | 2,813 |
Jackson | 3,991 | 82.46% | 832 | 17.19% | 17 | 0.35% | 3,159 | 65.27% | 4,840 |
Jasper | 9,504 | 80.32% | 2,282 | 19.29% | 47 | 0.40% | 7,222 | 61.03% | 11,833 |
Jeff Davis | 683 | 58.03% | 466 | 39.59% | 28 | 2.38% | 217 | 18.44% | 1,177 |
Jefferson | 36,731 | 49.48% | 37,128 | 50.01% | 380 | 0.51% | 397 | 0.53% | 74,239 |
Jim Hogg | 410 | 27.74% | 1,060 | 71.72% | 8 | 0.54% | 650 | 43.98% | 1,478 |
Jim Wells | 4,520 | 45.66% | 5,331 | 53.85% | 49 | 0.49% | 811 | 8.19% | 9,900 |
Johnson | 39,571 | 75.47% | 12,411 | 23.67% | 454 | 0.87% | 27,160 | 51.80% | 52,436 |
Jones | 4,115 | 82.56% | 832 | 16.69% | 37 | 0.74% | 3,283 | 65.87% | 4,984 |
Karnes | 2,900 | 70.12% | 1,203 | 29.09% | 33 | 0.80% | 1,697 | 41.03% | 4,136 |
Kaufman | 26,118 | 68.07% | 12,002 | 31.28% | 252 | 0.66% | 14,116 | 36.79% | 38,372 |
Kendall | 15,292 | 77.25% | 4,340 | 21.92% | 164 | 0.83% | 10,952 | 55.32% | 19,796 |
Kenedy | 100 | 55.56% | 77 | 42.78% | 3 | 1.67% | 23 | 12.78% | 180 |
Kent | 288 | 85.46% | 44 | 13.06% | 5 | 1.48% | 244 | 72.40% | 337 |
Kerr | 16,822 | 75.76% | 5,198 | 23.41% | 185 | 0.83% | 11,624 | 52.35% | 22,205 |
Kimble | 1,495 | 87.73% | 195 | 11.44% | 14 | 0.82% | 1,300 | 76.29% | 1,704 |
King | 124 | 94.66% | 6 | 4.58% | 1 | 0.76% | 118 | 90.08% | 131 |
Kinney | 827 | 68.97% | 358 | 29.86% | 14 | 1.17% | 469 | 39.12% | 1,199 |
Kleberg | 4,081 | 47.48% | 4,456 | 51.84% | 59 | 0.69% | 375 | 4.36% | 8,596 |
Knox | 855 | 78.23% | 229 | 20.95% | 9 | 0.82% | 626 | 57.27% | 1,093 |
Lamar | 12,711 | 76.72% | 3,731 | 22.52% | 126 | 0.76% | 8,980 | 54.20% | 16,568 |
Lamb | 2,741 | 79.29% | 699 | 20.22% | 17 | 0.49% | 2,042 | 59.07% | 3,457 |
Lampasas | 5,836 | 78.13% | 1,569 | 21.00% | 65 | 0.87% | 4,267 | 57.12% | 7,470 |
La Salle | 673 | 45.20% | 813 | 54.60% | 3 | 0.20% | 140 | 9.40% | 1,489 |
Lavaca | 6,688 | 86.44% | 1,019 | 13.17% | 30 | 0.39% | 5,669 | 73.27% | 7,737 |
Lee | 4,487 | 76.74% | 1,322 | 22.61% | 38 | 0.65% | 3,165 | 54.13% | 5,847 |
Leon | 5,711 | 86.67% | 855 | 12.98% | 23 | 0.35% | 4,856 | 73.70% | 6,589 |
Liberty | 16,041 | 77.96% | 4,421 | 21.49% | 114 | 0.55% | 11,620 | 56.47% | 20,576 |
Limestone | 5,211 | 75.35% | 1,672 | 24.18% | 33 | 0.48% | 3,539 | 51.17% | 6,916 |
Lipscomb | 942 | 88.28% | 116 | 10.87% | 9 | 0.84% | 826 | 77.41% | 1,067 |
Live Oak | 3,029 | 82.96% | 601 | 16.46% | 21 | 0.58% | 2,428 | 66.50% | 3,651 |
Llano | 7,954 | 78.33% | 2,124 | 20.92% | 76 | 0.75% | 5,830 | 57.42% | 10,154 |
Loving | 47 | 87.04% | 6 | 11.11% | 1 | 1.85% | 41 | 75.93% | 54 |
Lubbock | 58,780 | 64.19% | 32,068 | 35.02% | 731 | 0.80% | 26,712 | 29.17% | 91,579 |
Lynn | 1,369 | 80.67% | 323 | 19.03% | 5 | 0.29% | 1,046 | 61.64% | 1,697 |
McCulloch | 2,245 | 84.05% | 400 | 14.98% | 26 | 0.97% | 1,845 | 69.08% | 2,671 |
Mclennan | 45,855 | 61.24% | 28,452 | 38.00% | 568 | 0.76% | 17,403 | 23.24% | 74,875 |
McMullen | 387 | 90.00% | 41 | 9.53% | 2 | 0.47% | 346 | 80.47% | 430 |
Madison | 3,033 | 79.17% | 780 | 20.36% | 18 | 0.47% | 2,253 | 58.81% | 3,831 |
Marion | 2,448 | 70.00% | 1,018 | 29.11% | 31 | 0.89% | 1,430 | 40.89% | 3,497 |
Martin | 1,297 | 83.46% | 243 | 15.64% | 14 | 0.90% | 1,054 | 67.82% | 1,554 |
Mason | 1,560 | 79.31% | 402 | 20.44% | 5 | 0.25% | 1,158 | 58.87% | 1,967 |
Matagorda | 7,330 | 70.10% | 3,049 | 29.16% | 78 | 0.75% | 4,281 | 40.94% | 10,457 |
Maverick | 2,951 | 27.38% | 7,727 | 71.71% | 98 | 0.91% | 4,776 | 44.32% | 10,776 |
Medina | 11,444 | 70.73% | 4,621 | 28.56% | 114 | 0.70% | 6,823 | 42.17% | 16,179 |
Menard | 632 | 80.72% | 145 | 18.52% | 6 | 0.77% | 487 | 62.20% | 783 |
Midland | 32,867 | 78.34% | 8,723 | 20.79% | 365 | 0.87% | 24,144 | 57.55% | 41,955 |
Milam | 5,922 | 74.15% | 1,997 | 25.00% | 68 | 0.85% | 3,925 | 49.14% | 7,987 |
Mills | 1,764 | 88.02% | 229 | 11.43% | 11 | 0.55% | 1,535 | 76.60% | 2,004 |
Mitchell | 1,585 | 82.85% | 323 | 16.88% | 5 | 0.26% | 1,262 | 65.97% | 1,913 |
Montague | 6,424 | 86.57% | 941 | 12.68% | 56 | 0.75% | 5,483 | 73.88% | 7,421 |
Montgomery | 137,395 | 72.28% | 51,268 | 26.97% | 1,433 | 0.75% | 86,127 | 45.31% | 190,096 |
Moore | 3,248 | 80.00% | 787 | 19.38% | 25 | 0.62% | 2,461 | 60.62% | 4,060 |
Morris | 2,953 | 69.74% | 1,260 | 29.76% | 21 | 0.50% | 1,693 | 39.99% | 4,234 |
Motley | 483 | 91.65% | 40 | 7.59% | 4 | 0.76% | 443 | 84.06% | 527 |
Nacogdoches | 13,775 | 63.68% | 7,732 | 35.74% | 126 | 0.58% | 6,043 | 27.93% | 21,633 |
Navarro | 10,391 | 72.08% | 3,918 | 27.18% | 107 | 0.74% | 6,473 | 44.90% | 14,416 |
Newton | 3,660 | 78.27% | 993 | 21.24% | 23 | 0.49% | 2,667 | 57.04% | 4,676 |
Nolan | 3,120 | 76.58% | 928 | 22.78% | 26 | 0.64% | 2,192 | 53.80% | 4,074 |
Nueces | 45,956 | 48.85% | 47,392 | 50.38% | 719 | 0.76% | 1,436 | 1.53% | 94,067 |
Ochiltree | 2,160 | 89.44% | 230 | 9.52% | 25 | 1.04% | 1,930 | 79.92% | 2,415 |
Oldham | 732 | 89.71% | 82 | 10.05% | 2 | 0.25% | 650 | 79.66% | 816 |
Orange | 21,164 | 80.37% | 5,050 | 19.18% | 118 | 0.45% | 16,114 | 61.20% | 26,332 |
Palo Pinto | 7,547 | 80.03% | 1,837 | 19.48% | 46 | 0.49% | 5,710 | 60.55% | 9,430 |
Panola | 7,120 | 81.38% | 1,598 | 18.26% | 31 | 0.35% | 5,522 | 63.12% | 8,749 |
Parker | 44,071 | 80.87% | 9,956 | 18.27% | 468 | 0.86% | 34,115 | 62.60% | 54,495 |
Parmer | 1,675 | 81.43% | 372 | 18.08% | 10 | 0.49% | 1,303 | 63.34% | 2,057 |
Pecos | 2,161 | 61.39% | 1,339 | 38.04% | 20 | 0.57% | 822 | 23.35% | 3,520 |
Polk | 12,794 | 76.38% | 3,850 | 22.99% | 106 | 0.63% | 8,944 | 53.40% | 16,750 |
Potter | 16,689 | 68.33% | 7,521 | 30.79% | 214 | 0.88% | 9,168 | 37.54% | 24,424 |
Presidio | 436 | 26.15% | 1,221 | 73.25% | 10 | 0.60% | 785 | 47.09% | 1,667 |
Rains | 3,702 | 84.02% | 681 | 15.46% | 23 | 0.52% | 3,021 | 68.57% | 4,406 |
Randall | 38,479 | 79.41% | 9,613 | 19.84% | 363 | 0.75% | 28,866 | 59.57% | 48,455 |
Reagan | 692 | 82.97% | 136 | 16.31% | 6 | 0.72% | 556 | 66.67% | 834 |
Real | 1,311 | 83.82% | 245 | 15.66% | 8 | 0.51% | 1,066 | 68.16% | 1,564 |
Red River | 3,427 | 77.57% | 973 | 22.02% | 18 | 0.41% | 2,454 | 55.55% | 4,418 |
Reeves | 1,128 | 47.04% | 1,255 | 52.34% | 15 | 0.63% | 127 | 5.30% | 2,398 |
Refugio | 1,636 | 65.65% | 847 | 33.99% | 9 | 0.36% | 789 | 31.66% | 2,492 |
Roberts | 441 | 95.87% | 19 | 4.13% | 0 | 0.00% | 422 | 91.74% | 460 |
Robertson | 4,295 | 68.52% | 1,942 | 30.98% | 31 | 0.49% | 2,353 | 37.54% | 6,268 |
Rockwall | 26,615 | 68.77% | 11,754 | 30.37% | 330 | 0.85% | 14,861 | 38.40% | 38,699 |
Runnels | 2,842 | 87.88% | 385 | 11.90% | 7 | 0.22% | 2,457 | 75.97% | 3,234 |
Rusk | 12,597 | 77.37% | 3,609 | 22.17% | 76 | 0.47% | 8,988 | 55.20% | 16,282 |
Sabine | 3,456 | 87.12% | 496 | 12.50% | 15 | 0.38% | 2,960 | 74.62% | 3,967 |
San Augustine | 2,266 | 75.13% | 734 | 24.34% | 16 | 0.53% | 1,532 | 50.80% | 3,016 |
San Jacinto | 7,499 | 80.30% | 1,785 | 19.11% | 55 | 0.59% | 5,714 | 61.18% | 9,339 |
San Patricio | 11,335 | 62.22% | 6,777 | 37.20% | 107 | 0.59% | 4,558 | 25.02% | 18,219 |
San Saba | 1,811 | 87.53% | 247 | 11.94% | 11 | 0.53% | 1,564 | 75.59% | 2,069 |
Schleicher | 735 | 77.21% | 209 | 21.95% | 8 | 0.84% | 526 | 55.25% | 952 |
Scurry | 3,705 | 84.92% | 642 | 14.71% | 16 | 0.37% | 3,063 | 70.20% | 4,363 |
Shackelford | 1,174 | 91.65% | 103 | 8.04% | 4 | 0.31% | 1,071 | 83.61% | 1,281 |
Shelby | 6,008 | 79.46% | 1,521 | 20.12% | 32 | 0.42% | 4,487 | 59.34% | 7,561 |
Sherman | 692 | 84.18% | 87 | 10.58% | 43 | 5.23% | 605 | 73.60% | 822 |
Smith | 53,760 | 69.46% | 23,182 | 29.95% | 458 | 0.59% | 30,578 | 39.51% | 77,400 |
Somervell | 3,033 | 82.17% | 633 | 17.15% | 25 | 0.68% | 2,400 | 65.02% | 3,691 |
Starr | 2,443 | 22.65% | 8,273 | 76.72% | 68 | 0.63% | 5,830 | 54.06% | 10,784 |
Stephens | 2,631 | 88.65% | 324 | 10.92% | 13 | 0.44% | 2,307 | 77.73% | 2,968 |
Sterling | 442 | 90.95% | 44 | 9.05% | 0 | 0.00% | 398 | 81.89% | 486 |
Stonewall | 497 | 80.94% | 112 | 18.24% | 5 | 0.81% | 385 | 62.70% | 614 |
Sutton | 934 | 77.45% | 265 | 21.97% | 7 | 0.58% | 669 | 55.47% | 1,206 |
Swisher | 1,461 | 77.10% | 420 | 22.16% | 14 | 0.74% | 1,041 | 54.93% | 1,895 |
Tarrant | 309,189 | 49.24% | 313,497 | 49.93% | 5,208 | 0.83% | 4,308 | 0.69% | 627,894 |
Taylor | 29,811 | 73.32% | 10,489 | 25.80% | 357 | 0.88% | 19,322 | 47.52% | 40,657 |
Terrell | 323 | 69.16% | 139 | 29.76% | 5 | 1.07% | 184 | 39.40% | 467 |
Terry | 2,169 | 77.11% | 629 | 22.36% | 15 | 0.53% | 1,540 | 54.75% | 2,813 |
Throckmorton | 617 | 87.77% | 77 | 10.95% | 9 | 1.28% | 540 | 76.81% | 703 |
Titus | 5,685 | 71.02% | 2,265 | 28.29% | 55 | 0.69% | 3,420 | 42.72% | 8,005 |
Tom Green | 24,648 | 71.18% | 9,690 | 27.98% | 292 | 0.84% | 14,958 | 43.19% | 34,630 |
Travis | 119,278 | 24.63% | 359,772 | 74.30% | 5,154 | 1.06% | 240,494 | 49.67% | 484,204 |
Trinity | 4,146 | 80.12% | 998 | 19.29% | 31 | 0.60% | 3,148 | 60.83% | 5,175 |
Tyler | 5,919 | 82.91% | 1,185 | 16.60% | 35 | 0.49% | 4,734 | 66.31% | 7,139 |
Upshur | 11,529 | 82.44% | 2,364 | 16.91% | 91 | 0.65% | 9,165 | 65.54% | 13,984 |
Upton | 854 | 82.83% | 169 | 16.39% | 8 | 0.78% | 685 | 66.44% | 1,031 |
Uvalde | 4,348 | 54.80% | 3,528 | 44.46% | 59 | 0.74% | 820 | 10.33% | 7,935 |
Val Verde | 5,345 | 46.87% | 5,955 | 52.21% | 105 | 0.92% | 610 | 5.35% | 11,405 |
Van Zandt | 15,182 | 84.66% | 2,634 | 14.69% | 116 | 0.65% | 12,548 | 69.98% | 17,932 |
Victoria | 19,005 | 69.85% | 8,046 | 29.57% | 157 | 0.58% | 10,959 | 40.28% | 27,208 |
Walker | 11,535 | 64.61% | 6,186 | 34.65% | 132 | 0.74% | 5,349 | 29.96% | 17,853 |
Waller | 10,167 | 61.24% | 6,335 | 38.16% | 101 | 0.61% | 3,832 | 23.08% | 16,603 |
Ward | 2,096 | 71.78% | 800 | 27.40% | 24 | 0.82% | 1,296 | 44.38% | 2,920 |
Washington | 10,134 | 75.11% | 3,263 | 24.18% | 95 | 0.70% | 6,871 | 50.93% | 13,492 |
Webb | 13,814 | 27.97% | 35,159 | 71.20% | 408 | 0.83% | 21,345 | 43.23% | 49,381 |
Wharton | 9,094 | 70.27% | 3,793 | 29.31% | 55 | 0.42% | 5,301 | 40.96% | 12,942 |
Wheeler | 1,679 | 92.76% | 125 | 6.91% | 6 | 0.33% | 1,554 | 85.86% | 1,810 |
Wichita | 23,648 | 69.72% | 9,971 | 29.40% | 299 | 0.88% | 13,677 | 40.32% | 33,918 |
Wilbarger | 2,639 | 76.74% | 776 | 22.56% | 24 | 0.70% | 1,863 | 54.17% | 3,439 |
Willacy | 1,527 | 35.31% | 2,773 | 64.12% | 25 | 0.58% | 1,246 | 28.81% | 4,325 |
Williamson | 99,857 | 47.96% | 105,850 | 50.84% | 2,514 | 1.21% | 5,993 | 2.88% | 208,221 |
Wilson | 13,025 | 73.51% | 4,567 | 25.77% | 127 | 0.72% | 8,458 | 47.73% | 17,719 |
Winkler | 1,123 | 77.18% | 321 | 22.06% | 11 | 0.76% | 802 | 55.12% | 1,455 |
Wise | 19,023 | 82.29% | 3,915 | 16.94% | 179 | 0.77% | 15,108 | 65.35% | 23,117 |
Wood | 13,987 | 83.55% | 2,635 | 15.74% | 118 | 0.70% | 11,352 | 67.81% | 16,740 |
Yoakum | 1,558 | 81.87% | 335 | 17.60% | 10 | 0.53% | 1,223 | 64.27% | 1,903 |
Young | 5,543 | 86.54% | 821 | 12.82% | 41 | 0.64% | 4,722 | 73.72% | 6,405 |
Zapata | 821 | 36.93% | 1,392 | 62.62% | 10 | 0.45% | 571 | 25.69% | 2,223 |
Zavala | 589 | 20.19% | 2,313 | 79.29% | 15 | 0.51% | 1,724 | 59.10% | 2,917 |
Total | 4,351,421 | 51.43% | 4,044,631 | 47.80% | 65,470 | 0.77% | 306,790 | 3.63% | 8,461,522 |
Cruz Republican |
O'Rourke Democratic |
Dikeman Libertarian |
Margin | Total votes |
By congressional district[]
Cruz won 20 of 36 congressional districts.[206]
District | Cruz | O'Rourke | Representative |
---|---|---|---|
1st | 71% | 28% | Louie Gohmert |
2nd | 50% | 49% | Ted Poe |
Dan Crenshaw | |||
3rd | 51% | 48% | Sam Johnson |
Van Taylor | |||
4th | 74% | 25% | John Ratcliffe |
5th | 60% | 39% | Jeb Hensarling |
Lance Gooden | |||
6th | 51% | 48% | Joe Barton |
Ron Wright | |||
7th | 46% | 53% | John Culberson |
Lizzie Fletcher | |||
8th | 71% | 28% | Kevin Brady |
9th | 19% | 80% | Al Green |
10th | 49.4% | 49.6% | Michael McCaul |
11th | 78% | 21% | Mike Conaway |
12th | 60% | 39% | Kay Granger |
13th | 79% | 20% | Mac Thornberry |
14th | 58% | 41% | Randy Weber |
15th | 42% | 57% | Vicente Gonzalez |
16th | 26% | 73% | Beto O'Rourke |
Veronica Escobar | |||
17th | 54% | 45% | Bill Flores |
18th | 20% | 79% | Sheila Jackson Lee |
19th | 71% | 28% | Jodey Arrington |
20th | 33% | 66% | Joaquín Castro |
21st | 49.6% | 49.5% | Lamar Smith |
Chip Roy | |||
22nd | 49.9% | 49.3% | Pete Olson |
23rd | 47% | 52% | Will Hurd |
24th | 48% | 51% | Kenny Marchant |
25th | 52% | 47% | Roger Williams |
26th | 57% | 42% | Michael Burgess |
27th | 60% | 39% | Michael Cloud |
28th | 40% | 59% | Henry Cuellar |
29th | 25% | 74% | Gene Green |
Sylvia Garcia | |||
30th | 18% | 82% | Eddie Bernice Johnson |
31st | 50% | 48% | John Carter |
32nd | 44% | 55% | Pete Sessions |
Colin Allred | |||
33rd | 22% | 77% | Marc Veasey |
34th | 42% | 58% | Filemon Vela Jr. |
35th | 27% | 72% | Lloyd Doggett |
36th | 71% | 28% | Brian Babin |
Notes[]
References[]
- ^ "Turnout and Voter Registration Figures (1970-current)".
- ^ "Texas 2018 General Election". The Green Papers. Retrieved December 10, 2017.
- ^ Legislatures, National Conference of State. "2018 State Primary Election Dates". www.ncsl.org.
- ^ Miller, Justin (June 6, 2018). "Meet the Merry Band of Texas Democrats Running for Statewide Office". Texas Observer. Retrieved September 28, 2018.
- ^ Mehta, Dhrumil (August 31, 2018). "How Much Trouble Is Ted Cruz Really In?". 538. Retrieved September 28, 2018.
- ^ Golshan, Tara (September 12, 2018). "Ted Cruz's surprisingly competitive battle against Beto O'Rourke, explained". Vox. Retrieved September 28, 2018.
- ^ "Ted Cruz wins Texas Senate race, fending off challenge from Beto O'Rourke". CBS News. November 6, 2018. Retrieved November 7, 2018.
- ^ "Ted Cruz's margin of victory over Beto O'Rourke was even slimmer than we thought - HoustonChronicle.com". www.houstonchronicle.com. December 6, 2018.
- ^ Easley, Cameron (April 12, 2018). "America's Most and Least Popular Senators". Morning Consult. Retrieved June 30, 2018.
- ^ Sullivan, Sean (May 11, 2016). "Ted Cruz files to run for reelection to the Senate in 2018". The Washington Post. Retrieved July 25, 2016.
- ^ Wang, Jackie (November 16, 2017). "Christian TV producer challenging Sen. Ted Cruz in GOP primary". Dallas Morning News. Retrieved November 16, 2017.
- ^ Tinsley, Anna M. (December 9, 2017). "Deadline for 2018 primary ballot: Monday. Here's who is already in the race". Fort Worth Star-Telegram. Retrieved December 11, 2017.
- ^ Tinsley, Anna M. (November 11, 2017). "2018 Election: First day of filing begins with a rush of candidates". Fort Worth Star-Telegram. Retrieved November 15, 2017.
- ^ Warren, Thomas (November 15, 2017). "Geraldine Sam to Run for Senate". The Amarillo Pioneer. Retrieved November 20, 2017.
- ^ a b Diaz, Kevin (July 19, 2017). "Houston energy lawyer to challenge Cruz in 2018 Texas Republican primary". Houston Chronicle. Retrieved July 19, 2017.
- ^ Smith, Diane (November 30, 2017). "Former Birdville schools employee joins GOP race to unseat Sen. Ted Cruz". Fort Worth Star-Telegram. Retrieved December 1, 2017.
- ^ Woolbright, Matt (August 9, 2017). "EXCLUSIVE: Former mayor Dan McQueen announces U.S. Senate bid". Caller-Times. Retrieved August 10, 2017.
- ^ a b Dearman, Eleanor (November 17, 2017). "Former Corpus Christi mayor Dan McQueen drops out of Senate race". Corpus Christi Caller-Times. Retrieved November 20, 2017.
- ^ Raju, Manu (August 8, 2016). "Following RNC speech, Cruz critics urge McCaul to mount primary challenge". CNN. Retrieved August 9, 2016.
- ^ Weissert, Will (June 19, 2017). "George P Bush seeks re-election as Texas land commissioner". The Washington Post. Archived from the original on June 19, 2017. Retrieved June 19, 2017.
- ^ "Ted Cruz May Get The Last Laugh If Donald Trump Implodes". Ryan Grim & Igor Bobic, The Huffington Post. August 8, 2016. Retrieved August 9, 2016.
- ^ Svitek, Patrick (April 21, 2017). "Ted Cruz reports $5.2 million total ahead of re-election campaign". The Texas Tribune. Retrieved May 1, 2017.
- ^ Grissom, Brandi (May 4, 2016). "Lt. Gov. Dan Patrick: I am not running for U.S. Senate". The Dallas Morning News. Archived from the original on July 9, 2016. Retrieved July 25, 2016.
- ^ a b Easley, Jonathan (July 21, 2016). "Roger Stone, Alex Jones plot primary challenge to Cruz". The Hill. Retrieved July 25, 2016.
- ^ Livingston, Abby (August 31, 2016). "Rick Perry Talks "Dancing With The Stars," Senate Speculation". Texas Tribune. Retrieved September 3, 2016.
- ^ Board, Eagle Editorial. "Eagle recommendations for U.S. Senate, House of Representatives". The Eagle.
- ^ "Texas Primary Election 2018: Caller-Times endorsements". Corpus Christi Caller-Times.
- ^ "We recommend Stefano de Stefano over Ted Cruz in the GOP primary for U.S. Senate". The Dallas Morning News. February 16, 2018. Archived from the original on February 17, 2018. Retrieved February 16, 2018.
- ^ "United States Senate Republican primary election in Texas, 2018".
- ^ Livingston, Abby (January 6, 2017). "Rep. Beto O'Rourke "very likely" to run for Sen. Ted Cruz's seat in 2018".
- ^ Bill Lambrecht and Kevin Diaz (March 29, 2017). "Beto O'Rourke to challenge Ted Cruz in Texas' 2018 Senate race". Houston Chronicle. Retrieved March 29, 2017.
- ^ Reid J. Epstein (March 31, 2017). "Democratic Congressman Beto O'Rourke Launches Longshot Senate Challenge to Ted Cruz". The Wall Street Journal.
- ^ "Sema for Texas". www.crowdpac.com. Retrieved December 21, 2018.
- ^ "Local baseball coach to run against Ted Cruz in Senate race". KTRK-TV. August 18, 2017. Retrieved August 21, 2017.
- ^ Kuffner, Charles (December 9, 2017). "Filing news: Jerry's back". Off the Kuff. Retrieved December 11, 2017.
- ^ O'Keefe, Ed (May 1, 2017). "Joaquin Castro decides not to run against Ted Cruz in 2018 — at least for now". Washington Post. Retrieved May 1, 2017.[dead link]
- ^ Svitek, Patrick (July 26, 2016). "Joaquin Castro Causes New Stir as He Considers Senate Run". Texas Tribune. Retrieved September 3, 2016.
- ^ Livingston, Abby (July 29, 2016). "Wendy Davis Draws Starstruck Fans at Democratic National Convention". Texas Tribune. Retrieved September 3, 2016.
- ^ "We recommend Beto O'Rourke in the Democratic primary for U.S. Senate". February 4, 2018.
- ^ "Houston Chronicle editorial board Democratic primary endorsement list". February 19, 2018.
- ^ a b c d e f g "The Voter's Self Defense System". Vote Smart.
- ^ "Endorsements". July 8, 2017.
- ^ "Stonewall Democrats of Dallas - Voting / Endorsements". www.stonewalldemocratsofdallas.org.
- ^ "Stonewall Democrats of San Antonio". www.stonewallsanantonio.org.
- ^ "Lee Camp [Redacted] on Twitter".
- ^ "United States Senate Democratic primary election in Texas, 2018".
- ^ "DIKEMAN, NEAL MONROE - Candidate overview - FEC.gov". FEC.gov.
- ^ "Cruz Leads O'Rourke in New Senate Poll".
- ^ "BIBLE, CARL ALEXANDER - Candidate overview - FEC.gov". FEC.gov.
- ^ "Jonathan Jenkins Independent Senate Bid". myhighplains.com.
- ^ "JENKINS, JONATHAN - Candidate overview - FEC.gov". FEC.gov. Retrieved June 1, 2018.
- ^ "AmericanCitizenParty.us". americancitizenparty.us. Archived from the original on July 3, 2019. Retrieved September 9, 2019.
- ^ "Bob McNeil - Ballotpedia".
- ^ Livingston, Abby (January 5, 2017). "Former Bush operative Matthew Dowd mulls challenging Cruz for Senate". The Texas Tribune. Retrieved January 6, 2017.
- ^ Svitek, Patrick (May 10, 2017). "Matthew Dowd won't challenge U.S. Sen. Ted Cruz in 2018". The Texas Tribune. Retrieved May 10, 2017.
- ^ "2018 Senate Race Ratings for October 26, 2018". The Cook Political Report. Retrieved March 13, 2021.
- ^ "2018 Senate Ratings". The Rothenberg Political Report. Retrieved March 13, 2021.
- ^ "Larry J. Sabato's Crystal Ball » 2018 Senate". www.centerforpolitics.org. Retrieved August 18, 2018.
- ^ "Key Races: Senate". Retrieved July 15, 2018.
- ^ "Battle for the Senate 2018". Retrieved July 15, 2018.
- ^ "Daily Kos Elections 2018 race ratings". Daily Kos. June 5, 2018.
- ^ "2018 Senate Power Rankings". Retrieved July 10, 2018.
- ^ "Ted Cruz on Twitter".
- ^ "Donald J. Trump on Twitter".
- ^ Donald J. Trump. "I will be doing a major rally for Senator Ted Cruz in October. I'm picking the biggest stadium in Texas we can find. As you know, Ted has my complete and total Endorsement. His opponent is a disaster for Texas - weak on Second Amendment, Crime, Borders, Military, and Vets!". Twitter.
- ^ Svitek, Patrick (September 24, 2017). "John Cornyn says he's supporting Ted Cruz for re-election in 2018".
- ^ @TexasCruzer (May 29, 2018). "Thank you to everyone who joined us in the Woodlands this morning. Have a blessed Summer! @bradyfortexas @MattressMack" (Tweet) – via Twitter.
- ^ @Flores4Congress (October 9, 2018). "I #ChooseCruz for #TXSen! Show your friends and neighbors you stand with @tedcruz this November... order your yard sign today: secure.tedcruz.org/yard-sign" (Tweet) – via Twitter.
- ^ "Governor Abbott Endorses Ted Cruz for U.S. Senate - Greg Abbott". March 30, 2017.
- ^ George P. Bush. "Senator @TedCruz was the clear winner tonight. Looking forward to a GOP #victory in November". Twitter.
- ^ @ChristianForTX (October 16, 2018). "Robert "Beto" O'Rourke supports socialized medicine, @tedcruz supports the free market, more options, and allowing consumers to purchase affordable insurance across state lines. #ChooseCruz #txsen" (Tweet) – via Twitter.
- ^ Ryan Sitton. "Texas has a choice to make and I #ChooseCruz because @tedcruz has Texas booming while @betoorourke will take our state backwards. WATCH and RETWEET! #KeepTexasRed #TexasDebate". Twitter.
- ^ @KonniBurton (June 18, 2018). "