2020 United States Senate election in Alabama
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 County results Tuberville: 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% 80–90% Jones: 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% 80–90% | |||||||||||||||||
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| 2020 Alabama elections |
| Voting and registration in Alabama |
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| Election Day: November 3, 2020 |
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Polls opening: 7am–7pm Requisites for voting Voting precincts |
| Registration |
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Deadline: October 19, 2020 Form Online form Registration control |
| Vote by mail |
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Application deadline: October 29, 2020 Ballot mailing deadline: November 3, 2020 Form |
| Electronic voting |
| Electronic ballot for military members |
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Election agency: Alabama Secretary of State |
| Elections in Alabama |
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 |
 Federal government |
 State government |
 Birmingham |
 Mobile |
 Montgomery |
 Government |
The 2020 United States Senate election in Alabama was held on November 3, 2020, to elect a member of the United States Senate to represent the State of Alabama, concurrently with the 2020 U.S. presidential election, as well as other elections to the United States Senate in other states, elections to the United States House of Representatives, and various state and local elections.
Incumbent Democratic U.S. Senator Doug Jones, first elected in a 2017 special election, ran for a full term, facing Republican candidate Tommy Tuberville in the general election. Jones was one of two Democratic U.S. Senators running for re-election in 2020 in a state President Donald Trump carried in 2016, the other being Gary Peters in Michigan.[1] Jones was widely considered the most vulnerable senator among those seeking re-election in 2020, due to the heavy Republican partisan balance in the state, with analysts predicting a Republican pickup; Jones's 2017 win was in part due to sexual assault allegations against Republican nominee Roy Moore during the special election.[2]
As was predicted, Tuberville easily defeated Jones to flip the seat back to the GOP.[3][4][5] Jones also suffered the largest margin of defeat for an incumbent U.S. Senator since Arkansas' Blanche Lincoln in 2010. Jones became the first Democratic senator to lose reelection in Alabama. Jones outperformed Biden in the state by about 5 points. This was the only seat that Republicans flipped during this cycle.
Democratic primary[]
The candidate filing deadline was November 8, 2019. Jones ran unopposed.[6][7]
Candidates[]
Nominee[]
- Doug Jones, incumbent U.S. senator[8]
Declined[]
Endorsements[]
Doug Jones
- U.S. senators
- Kamala Harris, U.S. senator (CA) (2017-2021), former 2020 presidential candidate, 49th Vice President of the United States (2021-present)[11]
- Amy Klobuchar, U.S. senator (MN) and former 2020 presidential candidate[12]
- Joe Manchin, U.S. senator (WV)[13]
- U.S. representative
- Terri Sewell, (AL-7)[14]
- Local officials
- Stacey Abrams, 2018 Democratic nominee for Governor of Georgia, former Minority Leader of the Georgia House of Representatives[15]
- Randall Woodfin, Mayor of Birmingham[10]
- Individuals
- Michael O'Neill, actor[14]
- Organizations
- End Citizens United[16]
- Human Rights Campaign[17]
- League of Conservation Voters[18]
- National Organization for Women[19]
Republican primary[]
Candidates[]
Nominee[]
- Tommy Tuberville, former Auburn Tigers football head coach[20]
Eliminated in runoff[]
- Jeff Sessions, former United States attorney general and former U.S. senator from Alabama[21]
Eliminated in primary[]
- Stanley Adair, businessman[22]
- Bradley Byrne, incumbent U.S. representative for Alabama's 1st congressional district[23]
- Arnold Mooney, state representative
- Roy Moore, former Chief justice of the Alabama Supreme Court, former candidate for Governor of Alabama in 2006 and 2010 and nominee for the U.S. Senate in 2017[24]
- Ruth Page Nelson, community activist[25]
Withdrew[]
- Marty Preston Hatley[26][27]
- John Merrill, Secretary of State of Alabama[28]
- Chase Anderson Romagnano, Republican candidate for Alabama's 1st congressional district and Florida's 1st congressional district in 2020[29][30]
- John Paul Serbin[31][27]
Declined[]
- Robert Aderholt, incumbent U.S. representative for Alabama's 4th congressional district[32]
- Will Ainsworth, Alabama lieutenant governor[33]
- Mo Brooks, incumbent U.S. representative for Alabama's 5th congressional district and candidate for U.S. Senate in 2017[34]
- Will Dismukes, state representative[35]
- Matt Gaetz, incumbent U.S. representative for Florida's 1st congressional district[36]
- Del Marsh, president pro tempore of the Alabama Senate[37]
- Arthur Orr, state senator[10] (endorsed Bradley Byrne)
- Martha Roby, incumbent U.S. representative for Alabama's 2nd congressional district[38]
- Heather Whitestone, former Miss America[39][40]
Endorsements[]
Bradley Byrne (eliminated)
Arnold Mooney (eliminated)
- Federal officials
- Mo Brooks, U.S. Representative (AL-05) and Republican candidate in the 2017 United States Senate special election in Alabama[43]
- Mike Lee, U.S. Senator (UT)[44]
- Mark Levin, former Chief of Staff to U.S. Attorney General Edwin Meese and U.S. Deputy Assistant Secretary of Education[43]
- Rand Paul, U.S. Senator (KY)[45]
- Organizations
- Senate Conservatives Fund[43]
- Individuals
- Erick Erickson, blogger[43]
Jeff Sessions (eliminated)
- Federal officials
- John Ashcroft, former U.S. Attorney General (2001-2005)[46]
- John Barrasso, U.S. Senator (WY)[47][48]
- Roy Blunt, U.S. Senator (MO) and former U.S. representative (MO-07) (1997–2011)[47][48]
- John Boozman, U.S. Senator (AR) and former U.S. Representative (AR-03) (2001–2011)[47][48]
- Mike Crapo, U.S. Senator (ID) and former U.S. representative (ID-02) (1993–1999)[47][48]
- Mike Enzi, U.S. Senator (WY)[47][48]
- Deb Fischer, U.S. Senator (NE)[47][48]
- Jim Inhofe, U.S. Senator (OK) and former U.S. representative (R-OK-01) (1987–1994)[47][48]
- Johnny Isakson, former U.S. Senator (GA) (2005–2019) and U.S. Representative (R-GA-06) (1999–2005)[47][48]
- Ron Johnson, U.S. Senator (WI)[47][48]
- Pat Roberts, U.S. Senator (KS) and former U.S. Representative (KS-01) (1981–1997)[47][48]
- Richard Shelby, U.S. Senator (AL) and former U.S. Representative (AL-07) (1979–1987)[49][47][48]
- Organizations
- National Rifle Association Political Victory Fund[50]
- Individuals
- Tucker Carlson, journalist and political commentator[51]
Tommy Tuberville
Federal Officials
- Donald Trump, 45th President of the United States (2017–2021)[52]
State officials
- Will Ainsworth, Lieutenant Governor[53]
- Tom Whatley, State Senator[54]
- Organizations
- Individuals
- Randy Owen, country music artist, lead singer of Alabama[57]
- Bruce Pearl, head coach of the Auburn Tigers men's basketball team[58]
- Sean Spicer, former White House Press Secretary (2017)[59]
First round[]
Polling[]
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[a] |
Margin of error |
Stanley Adair |
Mo Brooks |
Bradley Byrne |
Del Marsh |
John Merrill |
Arnold Mooney |
Roy Moore |
Ruth Page Nelson |
Gary Palmer |
Jeff Sessions |
Tommy Tuberville |
Other | Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| WPA Intelligence[A] | February 18–19, 2020 | 607 (LV) | ± 4% | <1% | – | 17% | – | – | <1% | 5% | – | – | 29% | 32% | <1% | 15% |
| WPA Intelligence[A] | February 10–12, 2020 | 600 (LV) | ± 4% | <1% | – | 17% | – | – | 1% | 6% | <1% | – | 34% | 29% | – | 15% |
| Harper Polling[B] | February 8–9, 2020 | 609 (LV) | ± 3.97% | – | – | 26% | – | – | – | 5% | – | – | 31% | 24% | – | 14% |
| Mason-Dixon | February 4–6, 2020 | 400 (LV) | ± 5.0% | – | – | 17% | – | – | – | 5% | – | – | 31% | 29% | 2% | 16% |
| OnMessage[C] | January 13–15, 2020 | 700 (LV) | ± 2.5% | – | – | 22% | – | – | – | – | – | – | 43% | 21% | – | – |
| OnMessage[C] | December 3–5, 2019 | 700 (LV) | ± 3.7% | – | – | 14% | – | – | 1% | 7% | 1% | – | 44% | 21% | – | 12% |
| Cherry Communications[D] | December 1–3, 2019 | 600 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 1% | – | 12% | – | – | 1% | 8% | – | – | 35% | 31% | – | – |
| Merrill withdraws from the race | ||||||||||||||||
| Filing deadline, by which Palmer had not declared his candidacy | ||||||||||||||||
| Nelson and Sessions announce their candidacies | ||||||||||||||||
| WPA Intelligence[A] | October 29–31, 2019 | 511 (V) | ± 4.4% | – | – | 11% | – | 6% | 2% | 11% | – | – | 36% | 23% | – | – |
| Cygnal | October 10–12, 2019 | 536 (LV) | – | 1% | – | 18% | – | 9% | 2% | 11% | – | – | – | 32% | – | 28% |
| Tommy for Senate[E] | Released on October 5, 2019 |
– (LV)[b] | – | 1% | – | 13% | – | 9% | 1% | 15% | – | – | – | 36% | – | 26% |
| Moore Information[F] | August 11–13, 2019 | 400 (LV) | ± 5.0% | – | – | 17% | – | 13% | 1% | 15% | – | – | – | 33% | 3% | 17% |
| Merrill announces his candidacy | ||||||||||||||||
| Cygnal | June 22–23, 2019 | 612 (LV) | 4.0% | – | – | 21% | – | 12% | 2% | 13% | – | – | – | 29% | – | 22% |
| – | – | 13% | – | 8% | – | 9% | – | – | 29% | 21% | – | – | ||||
| Moore announces his candidacy | ||||||||||||||||
| Moore Information[F] | June 10–11, 2019 | 650 (LV) | ± 4.0% | – | – | 16% | – | 7% | 2% | 18% | – | – | – | 23% | 6% | 28% |
| Brooks announces he will not run | ||||||||||||||||
| Marsh announces he will not run | ||||||||||||||||
| Mason-Dixon | April 9–11, 2019 | 400 (RV) | ± 5.0% | – | 18% | 13% | 4% | – | – | 27% | – | 11% | – | – | 2%[c] | 25% |
| Victory Phones[G] | Released in February 2019 |
400 (LV) | ± 5.0% | – | 30% | 17% | 7% | – | – | – | – | 12% | – | – | 6% | 27% |
Primary results[]
Initial primary round results by county
Tuberville
- Tuberville—50–60%
- Tuberville—40–50%
- Tuberville—30–40%
- Tuberville—<30%
Sessions
- Sessions—30–40%
- Sessions—40–50%
- Sessions—50–60%
Byrne
- Byrne—30–40%
- Byrne—40–50%
- Byrne—50–60%
- Byrne—60–70%
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Republican | Tommy Tuberville | 239,616 | 33.39% | |
| Republican | Jeff Sessions | 227,088 | 31.64% | |
| Republican | Bradley Byrne | 178,627 | 24.89% | |
| Republican | Roy Moore | 51,377 | 7.16% | |
| Republican | Ruth Page Nelson | 7,200 | 1.00% | |
| Republican | Arnold Mooney | 7,149 | 1.00% | |
| Republican | Stanley Adair | 6,608 | 0.92% | |
| Total votes | 717,665 | 100.00% | ||
Runoff[]
The runoff for the Republican Senate nomination was planned for March 31, 2020,[61] but it was delayed until July 14 as a result of the COVID-19 pandemic.[62]
Polling[]
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[a] |
Margin of error |
Jeff Sessions |
Tommy Tuberville |
Other / Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Auburn University at Montgomery Archived July 10, 2020, at the Wayback Machine | July 2–9, 2020 | 558 (RV) | ± 6% | 31% | 47% | 22%[d] |
| OnMessage (R)[C] | May 26–27, 2020 | 600 (LV) | ± 3.46% | 43% | 49% | 8%[e] |
| FM3 Research (D)[H] | May 14–18, 2020 | – (LV)[b] | – | 32% | 54% | 14%[f] |
| Cygnal | May 7–10, 2020 | 607 (LV) | ± 3.98% | 32% | 55% | 13% |
| FM3 Research (D)[H] | March, 2020 | – (LV)[b] | – | 36% | 54% | 10%[g] |
| OnMessage (R)[C] | March 8–9, 2020 | 800 (LV) | ± 3.46% | 45% | 45% | 10% |
| Cygnal | March 6–8, 2020 | 645 (LV) | + 3.86% | 40% | 52% | 8% |
| Moore Information Group[permanent dead link][F] | March 5–7, 2020 | 400 (LV) | ± 5% | 38% | 49% | 13% |
| WT&S Consulting | March 5, 2020 | 1,234 (LV) | + 3.29% | 42% | 49% | 8%[e] |
| Mason-Dixon | February 4–6, 2020 | 400 (LV) | ± 5.0% | 49% | 42% | 9% |
Hypothetical polling
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Results[]
Runoff results by county
Tuberville
- Tuberville—70–80%
- Tuberville—60–70%
- Tuberville—50–60%
Sessions
- Sessions—50–60%
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Republican | Tommy Tuberville | 334,675 | 60.73% | |
| Republican | Jeff Sessions | 216,452 | 39.27% | |
| Total votes | 551,127 | 100.00% | ||
Independents[]
Candidates[]
Withdrawn[]
General election[]
Predictions[]
| Source | Ranking | As of |
|---|---|---|
| The Cook Political Report[67] | Lean R (flip) | October 29, 2020 |
| Inside Elections[68] | Lean R (flip) | October 28, 2020 |
| Sabato's Crystal Ball[69] | Likely R (flip) | November 2, 2020 |
| Daily Kos[70] | Likely R (flip) | October 30, 2020 |
| Politico[71] | Lean R (flip) | November 2, 2020 |
| RCP[72] | Likely R (flip) | October 23, 2020 |
| DDHQ[73] | Safe R (flip) | November 3, 2020 |
| 538[74] | Likely R (flip) | November 2, 2020 |
| Economist[75] | Safe R (flip) | November 2, 2020 |
Endorsements[]
Doug Jones (D)
- U.S. Senators
- Kamala Harris, U.S. Senator (CA) and 2020 vice presidential nominee[11]
- Amy Klobuchar, U.S. Senator (MN) and former 2020 presidential candidate[12]
- Joe Manchin, U.S. Senator (WV)[13]
- U.S. Representative
- Terri Sewell, (AL-07)[14]
- Local officials
- Stacey Abrams, 2018 Democratic nominee for Governor of Georgia, former Minority Leader of the Georgia House of Representatives[15]
- Randall Woodfin, Mayor of Birmingham[10]
- Individuals
- Charles C. Krulak, retired Marine Corps general and former Joint Chiefs of Staff member[76] (Republican)
- Michael O'Neill, actor[14]
- Organizations
- End Citizens United[16]
- Feminist Majority PAC[77]
- Human Rights Campaign[17]
- Joint Action Committee for Political Affairs[78]
- League of Conservation Voters[18]
- National Committee to Preserve Social Security and Medicare[79]
- National Organization for Women[19]
- Natural Resources Defense Council Action Fund[80]
- Unions
- Alabama AFL-CIO[81]
- International Federation of Professional and Technical Engineers[82]
- United Auto Workers[83]
Tommy Tuberville (R)
- Federal officials
- Donald Trump, President of the United States[84]
- Senators
- Ted Cruz, U.S Senator from Texas[85]
- State officials
- Will Ainsworth, Lieutenant Governor[53]
- Tom Whatley, state senator[54]
- Organizations
- Individuals
- Randy Owen, country music artist, lead singer of Alabama[57]
- Bruce Pearl, head coach of the Auburn Tigers men's basketball team[58]
- Sean Spicer, former White House press secretary (2017)[59]
Polling[]
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[a] |
Margin of error |
Doug Jones (D) |
Tommy Tuberville (R) |
Other | Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Swayable Archived November 13, 2020, at the Wayback Machine | October 27 – November 1, 2020 | 294 (LV) | ± 8.5% | 42% | 58% | – | – |
| Data for Progress | October 27 – November 1, 2020 | 1,045 (LV) | ± 3% | 44% | 56% | 0%[h] | – |
| Morning Consult | October 22–31, 2020 | 850 (LV) | ± 3% | 39% | 51% | – | – |
| Auburn University At Montgomery | October 23–28, 2020 | 853 (LV) | ± 4.4% | 43% | 54% | 3% | – |
| Swayable | October 23–26, 2020 | 232 (LV) | ± 8.7% | 46% | 54% | – | – |
| Cygnal | October 21–23, 2020 | 645 (LV) | ± 3.9% | 41% | 55% | – | 4% |
| Moore Information (R)[F] | October 11–14, 2020 | 504 (LV) | ± 4.5% | 40% | 55% | – | – |
| FM3 Research (D)[H] | October 11–14, 2020 | 801 (LV) | ± 3.5% | 48% | 47% | – | 5%[i] |
| Auburn University at Montgomery Archived November 9, 2020, at the Wayback Machine | September 30 – October 3, 2020 | 1,072 (RV) | ± 4.0% | 42% | 54% | 4% | – |
| Morning Consult | September 11–20, 2020 | 658 (LV) | ± (2% – 7%) | 34% | 52% | – | – |
| Morning Consult | July 24 – August 2, 2020 | 609 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 35% | 52% | 4%[j] | 9% |
| Auburn University at Montgomery Archived July 13, 2020, at the Wayback Machine | July 2–9, 2020 | 567 (RV) | ± 5.1% | 36% | 44% | 7%[k] | 14% |
| WPA Intelligence (R)[K] | June 29 – July 2, 2020 | 509 (LV)[l] | ± 3.8% | 40% | 50% | – | – |
| ALG Research (D) | June 18–22, 2020 | 600 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 44% | 47% | 1% | 8% |
| Cygnal (R) | June 13–16, 2020 | 530 (LV) | ± 4.3% | 36% | 50% | 2%[m] | 13% |
| FM3 Research (D)[H] | May 14–18, 2020 | 601 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 44% | 47% | – | 9% |
| Mason-Dixon | February 4–6, 2020 | 625 (RV) | ± 4.0% | 42% | 50% | – | 8% |
| JMC Analytics | December 16–18, 2019 | 525 (LV) | ± 4.3% | 40% | 47% | – | 13% |
Hypothetical polling
- With Jeff Sessions
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[a] |
Margin of error |
Doug Jones (D) |
Jeff Sessions (R) |
Other | Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Auburn University at Montgomery Archived July 13, 2020, at the Wayback Machine | July 2–9, 2020 | 567 (RV) | ± 5.1% | 43% | 49% | 7%[n] | 1% |
| ALG Research (D) | June 18–22, 2020 | 600 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 43% | 45% | 3% | 9% |
| Cygnal (R) | June 13–16, 2020 | 530 (LV) | ± 4.3% | 35% | 45% | 3%[o] | 18% |
| Mason-Dixon | February 4–6, 2020 | 625 (RV) | ± 4.0% | 41% | 54% | – | 5% |
| JMC Analytics | December 16–18, 2019 | 525 (LV) | ± 4.3% | 41% | 46% | – | 13% |
- With Bradley Byrne
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[a] |
Margin of error |
Doug Jones (D) |
Bradley Byrne (R) |
Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| AL Daily News/Mason-Dixon | February 4–6, 2020 | 625 (RV) | ± 4.0% | 42% | 51% | 7% |
| JMC Analytics | December 16–18, 2019 | 525 (LV) | ± 4.3% | 40% | 44% | 16% |
- With Arnold Mooney
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[a] |
Margin of error |
Doug Jones (D) |
Arnold Mooney (R) |
Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| JMC Analytics | December 16–18, 2019 | 525 (LV) | ± 4.3% | 40% | 34% | 25% |
- With Roy Moore
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[a] |
Margin of error |
Doug Jones (D) |
Roy Moore (R) |
Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| JMC Analytics | December 16–18, 2019 | 525 (LV) | ± 4.3% | 47% | 33% | 20% |
- With Generic Republican
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[a] |
Margin of error |
Doug Jones (D) |
Generic Republican |
Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mason-Dixon | Apr 9–11, 2019 | 625 (RV) | ± 4.0% | 40% | 50% | 10% |
- With Generic Opponent
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[a] |
Margin of error |
Doug Jones (D) |
Generic Opponent |
Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| JMC Analytics | December 16–18, 2019 | 525 (LV) | ± 4.3% | 34% | 48%[L] | 18% |
- with Generic Democrat and Generic Republican
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[a] |
Margin of error |
Generic Democrat |
Generic Republican |
Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cygnal | October 21–23, 2020 | 645 (LV) | ± 3.9% | 38% | 55% | 6% |
Results[]
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | ±% | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Republican | Tommy Tuberville | 1,392,076 | 60.10% | +11.76% | |
| Democratic | Doug Jones (incumbent) | 920,478 | 39.74% | -10.23% | |
| Write-in | 3,891 | 0.17% | −1.06% | ||
| Total votes | 2,316,445 | 100.00% | N/A | ||
| Republican gain from Democratic | |||||
By county[]
| County[87] | Tommy Tuberville Republican |
Doug Jones Democratic |
Write-ins Various parties |
Margin | Total votes | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Votes | % | Votes | % | Votes | % | Votes | % | Votes | |
| Autauga | 19,387 | 69.97% | 8,277 | 29.87% | 43 | 0.16% | 11,110 | 40.10% | 27,707 |
| Baldwin | 80,200 | 73.34% | 28,925 | 26.45% | 225 | 0.21% | 51,275 | 46.89% | 109,350 |
| Barbour | 5,449 | 52.00% | 5,021 | 47.91% | 9 | 0.09% | 428 | 4.09% | 10,479 |
| Bibb | 7,320 | 76.40% | 2,244 | 23.42% | 17 | 0.18% | 5,076 | 52.98% | 9,581 |
| Blount | 24,163 | 87.85% | 3,290 | 11.96% | 53 | 0.19% | 20,873 | 75.89% | 27,506 |
| Bullock | 1,108 | 24.09% | 3,490 | 75.87% | 2 | 0.04% | -2,382 | -51.78% | 4,600 |
| Butler | 5,232 | 55.45% | 4,193 | 44.44% | 11 | 0.12% | 1,039 | 11.01% | 9,436 |
| Calhoun | 33,936 | 66.78% | 16,808 | 33.07% | 77 | 0.15% | 17,128 | 33.71% | 50,821 |
| Chambers | 8,312 | 54.56% | 6,908 | 45.35% | 14 | 0.09% | 1,404 | 9.21% | 15,234 |
| Cherokee | 10,122 | 82.62% | 2,112 | 17.24% | 17 | 0.14% | 8,010 | 65.38% | 12,251 |
| Chilton | 15,708 | 81.69% | 3,499 | 18.20% | 22 | 0.11% | 12,209 | 63.49% | 19,229 |
| Choctaw | 4,188 | 56.47% | 3,225 | 43.49% | 3 | 0.04% | 963 | 12.98% | 7,416 |
| Clarke | 7,061 | 53.95% | 6,017 | 45.98% | 9 | 0.07% | 1,044 | 7.97% | 13,087 |
| Clay | 5,454 | 79.01% | 1,441 | 20.87% | 8 | 0.12% | 4,013 | 58.14% | 6,903 |
| Cleburne | 6,321 | 88.17% | 843 | 11.76% | 5 | 0.07% | 5,478 | 76.41% | 7,169 |
| Coffee | 16,400 | 73.95% | 5,753 | 25.94% | 25 | 0.11% | 10,647 | 48.01% | 22,178 |
| Colbert | 18,320 | 65.94% | 9,408 | 33.86% | 53 | 0.19% | 8,912 | 32.08% | 27,781 |
| Conecuh | 3,294 | 51.50% | 3,098 | 43.44% | 4 | 0.06% | 196 | 8.06% | 6,396 |
| Coosa | 3,559 | 65.10% | 1,899 | 34.74% | 9 | 0.16% | 1,660 | 30.36% | 5,467 |
| Covington | 14,120 | 81.37% | 3,214 | 18.52% | 19 | 0.11% | 10,906 | 62.85% | 17,353 |
| Crenshaw | 4,671 | 70.89% | 1,910 | 28.99% | 8 | 0.12% | 2,761 | 41.90% | 6,589 |
| Cullman | 35,949 | 86.14% | 5,693 | 13.64% | 93 | 0.22% | 30,256 | 72.50% | 41,735 |
| Dale | 13,653 | 69.51% | 5,955 | 30.32% | 33 | 0.17% | 7,698 | 39.19% | 19,641 |
| Dallas | 5,298 | 29.74% | 12,503 | 70.18% | 15 | 0.08% | -7,205 | -40.44% | 17,816 |
| DeKalb | 23,940 | 81.86% | 5,253 | 17.96% | 53 | 0.18% | 18,687 | 63.90% | 29,246 |
| Elmore | 29,459 | 72.00% | 11,399 | 27.86% | 60 | 0.15% | 18,060 | 44.14% | 40,918 |
| Escambia | 10,417 | 65.80% | 5,400 | 34.11% | 14 | 0.09% | 5,017 | 31.69% | 15,831 |
| Etowah | 34,351 | 72.18% | 13,145 | 27.62% | 93 | 0.20% | 21,206 | 44.56% | 47,589 |
| Fayette | 7,088 | 81.00% | 1,651 | 18.87% | 12 | 0.14% | 5,437 | 62.13% | 8,751 |
| Franklin | 9,856 | 78.97% | 2,605 | 20.87% | 20 | 0.16% | 7,251 | 58.10% | 12,481 |
| Geneva | 10,382 | 82.91% | 2,122 | 16.95% | 18 | 0.14% | 8,260 | 65.96% | 12,522 |
| Greene | 816 | 17.07% | 3,962 | 82.90% | 1 | 0.02% | -3,146 | -65.83% | 4,779 |
| Hale | 3,090 | 39.21% | 4,786 | 60.74% | 4 | 0.05% | -1,696 | -21.53% | 7,880 |
| Henry | 6,399 | 68.95% | 2,872 | 30.95% | 9 | 0.10% | 3,527 | 38.00% | 9,280 |
| Houston | 31,462 | 68.35% | 14,494 | 31.49% | 77 | 0.17% | 16,968 | 36.86% | 46,033 |
| Jackson | 18,888 | 80.36% | 4,587 | 19.52% | 29 | 0.12% | 14,301 | 60.84% | 23,504 |
| Jefferson | 134,314 | 41.26% | 190,644 | 58.57% | 552 | 0.17% | -56,330 | -17.31% | 325,510 |
| Lamar | 6,088 | 85.00% | 1,071 | 14.95% | 3 | 0.04% | 5,017 | 70.05% | 7,162 |
| Lauderdale | 30,071 | 68.29% | 13,874 | 31.51% | 88 | 0.20% | 16,197 | 36.78% | 44,033 |
| Lawrence | 11,710 | 73.40% | 4,211 | 26.39% | 33 | 0.21% | 7,499 | 47.01% | 15,954 |
| Lee | 41,154 | 57.76% | 29,986 | 42.08% | 114 | 0.16% | 11,168 | 15.68% | 71,254 |
| Limestone | 33,364 | 68.04% | 15,584 | 31.78% | 90 | 0.18% | 17,780 | 36.26% | 49,038 |
| Lowndes | 1,766 | 25.90% | 5,051 | 74.07% | 2 | 0.03% | -3,285 | -48.17% | 6,819 |
| Macon | 1,481 | 16.99% | 7,224 | 82.87% | 12 | 0.14% | -5,743 | -65.88% | 8,717 |
| Madison | 99,181 | 51.10% | 94,458 | 48.67% | 443 | 0.23% | 4,723 | 2.43% | 194,082 |
| Marengo | 5,166 | 47.56% | 5,687 | 52.36% | 9 | 0.08% | -521 | -4.80% | 10,862 |
| Marion | 11,897 | 86.46% | 1,847 | 13.42% | 16 | 0.12% | 10,050 | 73.04% | 13,760 |
| Marshall | 32,086 | 81.22% | 7,336 | 18.57% | 83 | 0.21% | 24,750 | 62.65% | 39,505 |
| Mobile | 96,320 | 52.73% | 86,034 | 47.10% | 315 | 0.17% | 10,286 | 5.63% | 182,669 |
| Monroe | 5,906 | 55.50% | 4,719 | 44.35% | 16 | 0.15% | 1,187 | 11.15% | 10,641 |
| Montgomery | 32,221 | 32.57% | 66,592 | 67.31% | 125 | 0.13% | -34,371 | -34.74% | 98,938 |
| Morgan | 38,280 | 71.55% | 15,108 | 28.24% | 111 | 0.21% | 23,172 | 43.31% | 53,499 |
| Perry | 1,274 | 24.42% | 3,943 | 75.58% | 0 | 0.00% | -2,669 | -51.16% | 5,217 |
| Pickens | 5,439 | 56.40% | 4,193 | 43.48% | 11 | 0.11% | 1,246 | 12.92% | 9,643 |
| Pike | 7,777 | 56.31% | 6,020 | 43.59% | 14 | 0.10% | 1,757 | 12.72% | 13,811 |
| Randolph | 8,400 | 77.98% | 2,362 | 21.93% | 10 | 0.09% | 6,038 | 56.05% | 10,772 |
| Russell | 9,383 | 44.14% | 11,853 | 55.77% | 19 | 0.09% | -2,470 | -11.63% | 21,255 |
| Shelby | 77,836 | 67.87% | 36,606 | 31.92% | 236 | 0.21% | 41,230 | 35.95% | 114,678 |
| St. Clair | 35,426 | 79.89% | 8,844 | 19.94% | 76 | 0.17% | 26,582 | 59.95% | 44,346 |
| Sumter | 1,550 | 24.77% | 4,705 | 75.18% | 3 | 0.05% | -3,155 | -50.41% | 6,258 |
| Talladega | 21,726 | 60.99% | 13,855 | 38.89% | 44 | 0.12% | 7,871 | 22.10% | 35,625 |
| Tallapoosa | 14,668 | 70.04% | 6,255 | 29.87% | 20 | 0.10% | 8,413 | 40.17% | 20,943 |
| Tuscaloosa | 49,347 | 54.87% | 40,404 | 44.92% | 190 | 0.21% | 8,943 | 9.95% | 89,941 |
| Walker | 25,016 | 80.54% | 5,978 | 19.25% | 65 | 0.21% | 19,038 | 61.29% | 31,059 |
| Washington | 6,162 | 69.98% | 2,635 | 29.92% | 9 | 0.10% | 3,527 | 40.06% | 8,806 |
| Wilcox | 1,779 | 30.26% | 4,095 | 69.65% | 5 | 0.09% | -2,316 | -39.39% | 5,879 |
| Winston | 9,915 | 88.29% | 1,302 | 11.59% | 13 | 0.12% | 8,613 | 76.70% | 11,230 |
| Total | 1,392,076 | 60.10% | 920,478 | 39.74% | 3,891 | 0.17% | 471,598 | 20.36% | 2,316,445 |
Counties that flipped from Democratic to Republican[]
The following counties voted for Doug Jones over Republican Roy Moore in the 2017 special election, but flipped to supporting Republican Tommy Tuberville in the 2020 election. In the 2017 election, Jones won several traditionally Republican counties while also driving up margins and turnout in traditionally Democratic counties: he added onto massive margins in Birmingham and Montgomery with narrow wins in the state's other, previously more conservative metropolitan areas, such as Huntsville, Mobile, and Tuscaloosa, alongside several other small counties encircling the Black Belt.[88] Jones' win, though attributable to a spike in Democratic turnout and a decline in Republican turnout, was primarily reliant on allegations of child sexual abuse and pedophilia against Moore, resulting in several prominent Republicans rescinding their endorsements.[89][90][91] With Tuberville lacking such controversies, the state swung hard into the Republican column in 2020,[92] and he flipped 12 counties Jones won in 2017, listed below. Jones only won the 13 counties won by Joe Biden in the concurrent 2020 presidential election, and his victories in Jefferson County (Birmingham) and Montgomery County (Montgomery) were insufficient to overcome Tuberville's performance in the rest of the state.
- Barbour (largest city: Eufaula)
- Butler (largest city: Greenville)
- Chambers (largest city: Valley)
- Choctaw (largest town: Butler)
- Clarke (largest city: Jackson)
- Conecuh (largest city: Evergreen)
- Lee (largest city: Auburn)
- Madison (largest city: Huntsville)
- Mobile (largest city: Mobile)
- Pickens (largest city: Aliceville)
- Talladega (largest city: Talladega)
- Tuscaloosa (largest city: Tuscaloosa)
Notes[]
- Partisan clients and other notes
- ^ a b c The Club for Growth is a PAC supporting the Donald Trump 2020 presidential campaign and has also endorsed Tuberville
- ^ Poll sponsored by the Bradley Byrne campaign
- ^ a b c d Poll sponsored by the Jeff Sessions campaign
- ^ Poll sponsored by FarmPAC
- ^ Internal poll from Tuberville's campaign
- ^ a b c d Poll sponsored by the Tommy Tuberville campaign.
- ^ Poll produced, according to Mo Brooks, by a group attempting to persuade him to enter this race
- ^ a b c d Poll sponsored by Jones' campaign.
- ^ a b c Poll sponsored by Club for Growth Action
- ^ Standard VI response
- ^ Poll sponsored by the Club for Growth, which supports exclusively Republican candidates.
- ^ "Jones does not deserve to be re-elected" with 48% as opposed to "Jones deserves to be re-elected"
- Voter samples
- ^ a b c d e f g h i j k l m n Key:
A – all adults
RV – registered voters
LV – likely voters
V – unclear - ^ a b c Not yet released
- ^ Tim James with 2%
- ^ Undecided with 22%
- ^ a b Undecided with 8%
- ^ Undecided with 14%
- ^ Undecided with 10%
- ^ "Other candidate or write-in" with 0%
- ^ Includes "Refused"
- ^ "Someone else" with 4%
- ^ "Write-in candidate" with 7%
- ^ Additional data sourced from FiveThirtyEight
- ^ Parrish (I) with 2%
- ^ "Write-in candidate" with 7%
- ^ Parrish (I) with 3%
References[]
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Rep. Mo Brooks (R-Ala.) shut the door on a potential Senate bid Friday morning in a local radio interview. "I will not be running for the U.S. Senate in 2020," Brooks said on WZRR-FM in Birmingham.
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- ^ Staff Writer (January 25, 2020). "Bradley Byrne receives multiple endorsements this week for US Senate". Alabama Today.
- ^ Poor, Jeff (June 23, 2019). "State Sen. Arthur Orr: Bradley Byrne 'would do the best job' for the state as U.S. Senator". Yellowhammer News.
- ^ a b c d "Endorsements". Arnold Mooney for U.S. Senate.
- ^ "Utah Sen. Mike Lee endorses Mooney in Alabama's U.S. Senate race". Yellowhammer News. May 22, 2019.
- ^ "Rand Paul endorses Arnold Mooney for Senate - 'True freedom-loving conservative'". Yellowhammer News. October 31, 2019.
- ^ "Former Attorney General John Ashcroft endorses Jeff Sessions". Alabama Political Reporter. July 14, 2020.
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- ^ a b c d e f g h i j k Pappas, Alex (November 8, 2019). "Jeff Sessions endorsed by slew of GOP senators, amid effort to make peace with Trump". Fox News.
- ^ McKinless, Thomas (November 7, 2019). "Watch: Shelby endorses Sessions for return to Senate" – via www.rollcall.com.
- ^ "NRA endorses Sessions over Tuberville in Senate runoff". AL.com. The Associated Press. March 14, 2020.
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- ^ a b "Ainsworth endorses Tuberville for U.S. Senate - 'The tough fighter that Alabama needs'". July 10, 2020.
- ^ a b "Conservative Alabama State Senator Tom Whatley Endorses Tommy Tuberville for United States Senate". October 2, 2019.
- ^ a b Arkin, James. "Club for Growth spurns Sessions, endorses Tuberville in Alabama". Politico.
- ^ a b "National Association for Gun Rights endorses Tuberville". Alabama Political Reporter. July 8, 2020.
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- ^ @tedcruz (October 22, 2020). "In Alabama, the left is waging an assault against @TTuberville to prop up Doug Jones... Alabama deserves better! Join me in supporting Coach and fighting back against the attacks: secure.winred.com/tommytuberville/pg-tw-cruz" (Tweet). Retrieved October 24, 2020 – via Twitter.
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- ^ Ball, Molly (December 13, 2017). "How Doug Jones Beat Roy Moore and Shocked the World". Time. Retrieved January 19, 2021.
- ^ "Roy Moore losing GOP endorsements after new accusations". WTHR. November 14, 2017. Retrieved January 19, 2021.
- ^ "McConnell: Moore must quit. Senate GOP campaign chief: Expel him". NBC News. Associated Press. November 13, 2017. Retrieved January 19, 2021.CS1 maint: others (link)
- ^ Foran, Clare (November 3, 2020). "Democrat Doug Jones loses Alabama Senate seat to Republican Tommy Tuberville". CNN. Retrieved January 19, 2021.
Further reading[]
- Amber Phillips (October 9, 2020). "The Senate seats most likely to flip parties in November". Washingtonpost.com.
External links[]
- Government Documents Round Table of the American Library Association. "Alabama". Voting & Elections Toolkits.
- "Alabama: Election Tools, Deadlines, Dates, Rules, and Links". Vote.org. Oakland, CA.
- "League of Women Voters of Alabama". (State affiliate of the U.S. League of Women Voters)
- Alabama at Ballotpedia
- Official campaign websites
Categories:
- United States Senate elections in Alabama
- 2020 United States Senate elections
- 2020 Alabama elections