2020 United States Senate election in Mississippi

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2020 United States Senate election in Mississippi
← 2018 (special) November 3, 2020 2026 →
  Official headshot of US Senator Cindy Hyde-Smith.jpg Mike Espy 20120223-OCE-RBN-1281 (cropped 2).jpg
Nominee Cindy Hyde-Smith Mike Espy
Party Republican Democratic
Popular vote 709,539 578,806
Percentage 54.1% 44.1%
2020 United States Senate election in Mississippi results map by county.svg
County results

Hyde-Smith:      50–60%      60–70%      70–80%      80–90%

Espy:      50–60%      60–70%      70–80%      80–90%
U.S. senator before election

Cindy Hyde-Smith
Republican

Elected U.S. Senator

Cindy Hyde-Smith
Republican

Elections in Mississippi
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The 2020 United States Senate election in Mississippi was held on November 3, 2020, to elect a member of the United States Senate to represent the State of Mississippi, concurrently with the 2020 U.S. presidential election, as well as other elections to the United States Senate, elections to the United States House of Representatives and various state and local elections.

Incumbent Republican Senator Cindy Hyde-Smith won reelection to a full term against Democratic nominee Mike Espy, in a rematch of the 2018 special election. Despite being outspent nearly four to one,[1] Hyde-Smith won by a ten point margin, however, she underperformed Republican President Donald Trump in the concurrent presidential election by around 6 points.

Republican primary[]

Candidates[]

Nominee[]

  • Cindy Hyde-Smith, incumbent U.S. Senator[2]

Declined[]

  • Gerard Gibert, businessman and vice chairman of the Mississippi Lottery Board[3]
  • Chris McDaniel, incumbent state senator and candidate for U.S. Senate in 2014 and 2018[4]
  • Josh Randle, former president of the Miss America Organization[5]

Endorsements[]

Cindy Hyde-Smith
Organizations

Results[]

Republican primary results[7]
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican Cindy Hyde-Smith (incumbent) 235,463 100.0%
Total votes 235,463 100.0%

Democratic primary[]

Candidates[]

Nominee[]

Eliminated in primary[]

  • Tobey Bartee, former military intelligence officer and candidate for U.S. Senate in 2018[10]
  • Jensen Bohren, teacher, candidate for U.S. Senate in 2018[11]

Declined[]

Endorsements[]

Mike Espy
Organizations

Results[]

Results by county
Map legend
  •   Espy—≥90%
  •   Espy—80–90%
  •   Espy—70–80%
  •   Bartee—50–60%
Democratic primary results[16]
Party Candidate Votes %
Democratic Mike Espy 250,496 93.12%
Democratic Tobey Bartee 11,148 4.14%
Democratic Jensen Bohren 7,345 2.74%
Total votes 268,989 100.0%

Other candidates[]

Libertarian Party[]

Nominee[]

General election[]

Predictions[]

Source Ranking As of
The Cook Political Report[18] Likely R October 29, 2020
Inside Elections[19] Safe R October 28, 2020
Sabato's Crystal Ball[20] Likely R November 2, 2020
Daily Kos[21] Safe R October 30, 2020
Politico[22] Likely R November 2, 2020
RCP[23] Lean R October 23, 2020
DDHQ[24] Likely R November 3, 2020
538[25] Likely R November 2, 2020
Economist[26] Likely R November 2, 2020

Endorsements[]

Cindy Hyde-Smith (R)
Executive Branch Officials
  • Donald Trump, 45th President of the United States since 2017[27]
Organizations
Mike Espy (D)
Executive Branch Officials
  • Barack Obama, 44th President of the United States (2009–2017), U.S. Senator from Illinois (2005–2008)[33]
  • Joe Biden, 47th Vice President of the United States (2009–2017), U.S. Senator from Delaware (1973–2009)[34]
U.S. Senators
  • Elizabeth Warren, Senator from Massachusetts since 2013[35]
U.S. Representatives
  • Bennie Thompson, Representative from MS-2 since 1993[36]
State Officials
  • Stacey Abrams, Former Minority Leader of the Georgia House of Representatives[37]
Notable Individuals
  • Andrew Yang, former 2020 Democratic presidential primary candidate[38]
Organizations
Unions
  • Mississippi AFL-CIO[44]
  • National Education Association[45]

Polling[]

Graphical summary
Poll source Date(s)
administered 		Sample
size 		Margin
of error 		Cindy
Hyde-Smith (R) 		Mike
Espy (D) 		Other Undecided
Data For Progress October 27 – November 1, 2020 562 (LV) ± 4.1% 50% 47% 4%[a] –
Civiqs/Daily Kos October 23–26, 2020 507 (LV) ± 5.3% 52% 44% 3%[b] 2%
The Progress Campaign (D) October 23, 2020 – (V)[c] – 48% 43% – –
Tyson Group (R)[d] August 28–30, 2020 600 (LV) ± 4% 41% 40% – 18%
Garin-Hart-Yang Research (D)[e] July 30 – August 9, 2020 600 (LV) ± 4.1% 47% 42% 3%[f] 8%
Public Policy Polling (D)[g] May 27–28, 2020 871 (V) ± 3.3% 49% 41% – 10%
Impact Management Group (R) May 4–7, 2020 606 (LV) ± 4.4% 58% 31% 3%[h] 9%[i]
Tyson Group (R)[d] March 10–12, 2020 600 (LV) – 54% 28% – 18%
The Progress Campaign (D) March 3–7, 2020 826 (V) – 52% 44% – 4%[j]
Mason-Dixon February 26–28, 2020 625 (LV) ± 4.0% 53% 43% – 4%
Chism Strategies January 3–7, 2020 618 (LV) ± 3.9% 44% 36% – 20%

Results[]

United States Senate election in Mississippi, 2020[46]
Party Candidate Votes % ±%
Republican Cindy Hyde-Smith (incumbent) 709,539 54.10% +0.47%
Democratic Mike Espy 578,806 44.13% -2.24%
Libertarian Jimmy Edwards 23,152 1.77% N/A
Total votes 1,311,497 100.00%
Republican hold

Notes[]

  1. ^ Edwards (L) with 3%; "Other candidate or write-in" with 1%
  2. ^ Edwards (L) with 2%; "Someone else" with 1%
  3. ^ Not yet released
  4. ^ a b Poll sponsored by the Consumer Energy Alliance, which is a pro-Keystone XL lobbying group.
  5. ^ Poll sponsored by Espy's campaign
  6. ^ "Third party" with 3%
  7. ^ Poll conducted for the Mississippi Democratic Party.
  8. ^ Edwards (L) with 3%
  9. ^ Includes "refused"
  10. ^ Listed as "other/undecided"

References[]

  1. ^ "Mississippi Senate 2020 Race". OpenSecrets.org. Archived from the original on April 21, 2021. Retrieved April 21, 2021.
  2. ^ "HYDE-SMITH, CINDY – Candidate overview". FEC.gov.
  3. ^ Lange, Alan (May 22, 2019). "Say it ain't so. Time to talk about the 2020 senate race already?". Y'all Politics. Retrieved May 23, 2019.
  4. ^ a b Douglas, William; Glueck, Katie (November 28, 2018). "Get ready: The fierce Mississippi Senate race may not be ending anytime soon". McClatchy. Retrieved November 30, 2018.
  5. ^ Ganucheau, Adam (November 12, 2019). "Former Miss America pageant leader mulls Sen. Hyde-Smith challenge in 2020 GOP primary". Mississippi Today. Retrieved November 15, 2019.
  6. ^ a b "2020 Candidates". maggieslist.org.
  7. ^ "2020 State Republican Party Certified Primary Election Results". MS GOP. June 3, 2020. Archived from the original on August 14, 2020. Retrieved June 3, 2020.
  8. ^ "ESPY, MICHAEL – Candidate overview". FEC.gov.
  9. ^ "Democrat Mike Espy starts 2020 US Senate bid in Mississippi". The Philadelphia Tribune.
  10. ^ "Mississippi will have Democratic primary for US Senate". AP NEWS. January 10, 2020. Retrieved February 13, 2020.
  11. ^ Ulmer, Sarah (June 17, 2019). "Unique candidate Jensen Bohren announces candidacy for 2020 U.S. Senate run". Retrieved June 17, 2019.
  12. ^ a b Singiser, Steve. "Here's our ultimate Democratic wishlist for Senate in 2020. Who's on yours?". Daily Kos. Retrieved February 19, 2019.
  13. ^ "DSCC Endorses Mike Espy in Mississippi Senate Race". November 13, 2019.
  14. ^ "Our Candidates". Flip the Senate. Retrieved March 10, 2020.
  15. ^ Acosta, Lucas (March 4, 2020). "HRC Endorses Mike Espy for U.S. Senate". Human Rights Campaign.
  16. ^ "2020 State Democratic Party Certified Primary Election Results". MS DEMS. June 3, 2020. Archived from the original on April 18, 2020. Retrieved June 3, 2020.
  17. ^ Pettus, Emily (March 11, 2020). "Espy wins Mississippi US Senate primary, setting up rematch with Hyde-Smith". Associated Press. Retrieved May 13, 2020.
  18. ^ "2020 Senate Race Ratings for October 29, 2020". The Cook Political Report. Retrieved March 11, 2021.
  19. ^ "2020 Senate Ratings". Senate Ratings. The Rothenberg Political Report. Retrieved March 11, 2021.
  20. ^ "2020 Senate race ratings". Sabato's Crystal Ball. Retrieved March 12, 2021.
  21. ^ "2020 Senate Race Ratings". Daily Kos Elections. Retrieved March 13, 2021.
  22. ^ "2020 Election Forecast". Politico. November 19, 2019.
  23. ^ "Battle for the Senate 2020". RCP. October 23, 2020.
  24. ^ "2020 Senate Elections Model". Decision Desk HQ. September 2, 2020. Retrieved September 2, 2020.
  25. ^ Silver, Nate (September 18, 2020). "Forecasting the race for the Senate". FiveThirtyEight. Retrieved September 18, 2020.
  26. ^ "Forecasting the US elections". The Economist. November 2, 2020. Retrieved March 13, 2021.
  27. ^ Geoff Pender (October 21, 2020). "Trump endorses Cindy Hyde-Smith in Mississippi Senate race". Mississippi Today.
  28. ^ "Campaign for Working Families Endorsed Candidates".
  29. ^ "Mississippi". www.huckpac.com.
  30. ^ "NRA-PVF | Grades | Mississippi". NRA-PVF.
  31. ^ "2022 Election HQ".
  32. ^ "U.S. Chamber of Commerce again endorses Sen. Cindy Hyde-Smith for US Senate". www.yallpolitics.com. Today, the U.S. Chamber of Commerce has again endorsed Republican Senator Cindy Hyde-Smith in her race to retain her seat against Democrat challenger Mike Espy.
  33. ^ "Obama endorses Espy in Mississippi Senate Race". The Hill. Retrieved October 21, 2020.
  34. ^ "U.S. Senate Candidate Mike Espy receives endorsement from Joe Biden". WMC5. Retrieved October 2, 2020.
  35. ^ "Sen. Elizabeth Warren endorses Mike Espy for U.S. Senator". June 21, 2020.
  36. ^ Adam Ganucheau (October 22, 2020). "Rep. Bennie Thompson, Democratic kingmaker, throws full support behind Mike Espy in Senate race". Mississippi Today.
  37. ^ "Stacey Abrams endorses candidates in 7 US Senate Contests". AP.
  38. ^ Frank Corder (October 15, 2020). "Yang's PAC endorses Espy, says it gives Democrats better chance to pass universal basic income". Y'all Politics.
  39. ^ "2020 Endorsements".
  40. ^ Geoff Pender (October 4, 2020). "Espy finally lands support from national Democrats in Senate race. Is it too late?". Mississippi Today.
  41. ^ "2020 – Feminist Majority PAC". feministmajoritypac.org.
  42. ^ "CBC Candidate: Mike Espy".
  43. ^ "HRC Endorses Mike Espy for U.S. Senate". HRC.
  44. ^ "Mississippi AFL-CIO endorses Mike Espy for Senate". April 7, 2020.
  45. ^ "U.S. Senate – Education Votes". educationvotes.nea.org.
  46. ^ "State of Mississippi OFFICIAL 2020 GENERAL ELECTION CERTIFIED RESULTS" (PDF). State of Mississippi Secretary of State. Retrieved December 14, 2020.

External links[]

Official campaign websites
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