2022 São Paulo gubernatorial election

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2022 São Paulo state election
← 2018 2 October 2022 (2022-10-02) (first round)
30 October 2022 (2022-10-30) (second round, if necessary)		 2026 →
Opinion polls
Gubernatorial election
Incumbent Governor

João Doria
PSDB



Parliamentary election
All 94 seats of the Legislative Assembly
Party Leader Current seats
Legislative Assembly
PSL Janaína Paschoal 11
PT Maria Izabel Noronha 10
PSDB Analice Fernandes 9
DEM Milton Leite Filho 7
PL Ricardo Madalena 7
PSB Barros Munhoz 6
REP Altair Moraes 6
PP Antonio Olim 5
PSOL Isa Penna 4
NOVO Sérgio Victor 4
PODE Márcio Giudicio 4
MDB Itamar Borges 3
Avante Campos Machado 2
PSD Marta Costa 2
CDN Roberto Morais 2
PV Reinaldo Alguz 2
SDD Alexandre Pereira 2
PTB Douglas Garcia 1
PATRI Arthur do Val 1
PROS Adriana Borgo 1
PDT Marcio Nakashima 1
PCdoB Leci Brandão 1
REDE Marina Helou 1
PRTB Valéria Bolsonaro 1

The 2022 São Paulo state election will take place in the state of São Paulo, Brazil on 2 October 2022. Voters will elect a Governor, Vice Governor, one Senator, 70 representatives for the Chamber of Deputies, and 94 Legislative Assembly members. The incumbent Governor, João Doria, of the Brazilian Social Democracy Party (PSDB), is eligible for a second term, but has the intention to run for President.[1][2]

Gubernatorial candidates[]

Potential candidates[]

Candidate name and party Most recent political office Party logo Details Ref.
Geraldo Alckmin
Independent politician 		Geraldo Alckmin Governor of São Paulo
(2011–2018) 		No party Born in Pindamonhangaba, São Paulo in 1952. Former Governor and Vice Governor of São Paulo, Federal and State Deputy from São Paulo and former Mayor and City Councillor of Pindamonhangaba. [3]
Rodrigo Garcia
Brazilian Social Democracy Party (PSDB) 		Rodrigo Garcia Vice Governor of São Paulo
(since 2019) 		Logo of Brazilian Social Democracy Party Born in Tanabi, São Paulo in 1974. Incumbent Vice Governor and Secretary of Government of São Paulo, former Federal and State Deputy of São Paulo. [4]
Márcio França
Brazilian Socialist Party (PSB) 		Márcio França Governor of São Paulo
(2018) 		Logo of Brazilian Socialist Party Born in São Vicente, São Paulo in 1963. Former Governor and Vice Governor of São Paulo and Mayor and City Councillor of São Vicente. Candidate for Governor of São Paulo in 2018 and for Mayor of São Paulo in 2020. [4]
Guilherme Boulos
Socialism and Liberty Party (PSOL) 		Guilherme Boulos No prior public office Logo of Socialism and Liberty Party Born in São Paulo in 1982. Social activist, coordinator of the Homeless Workers' Movement, professor and writer. Candidate for President in 2018 and for Mayor of São Paulo in 2020. [5]
Arthur do Val
Patriota 		Arthur do Val State Deputy of São Paulo
(since 2019) 		Born in São Paulo in 1986. Incumbent State Deputy of São Paulo. Candidate for Mayor of São Paulo in 2020. [5]
Abraham Weintraub
Independent politician 		Abraham Weintraub Minister of Education of Brazil
(2019–2020) 		No party Born in São Paulo in 1971. Incumbent World Bank Group Executive Director, former Minister of Education of Brazil. [5][6]
Tarcísio Gomes de Freitas
Independent politician 		Tarcísio Gomes de Freitas Minister of Infrastructure of Brazil
(since 2019) 		No party Born in Rio de Janeiro in 1975. Incumbent Minister of Infrastructure of Brazil. Retired Captain of the Brazilian Army. [7][8]
Patricia Ellen
Independent politician 		Patricia Ellen Secretary of Economic Development of São Paulo
(since 2019) 		No party Born in São Paulo in 1979. Incumbent State Secretary of Economic Development of São Paulo. [3][9]
Gabriel Colombo
Brazilian Communist Party (PCB) 		Gabriel Colombo No prior public office Logo of the Brazilian Communist Party Born in Piracicaba. Bachelor of Agronomy and former leader of the Postgraduate National Association (ANPG) [10]
Vinicius Poit
NOVO 		Vinicius Poit Federal Deputy for São Paulo (2019-today) Logo from New party Born in São Paulo. Politician and entrepreneur. [11]

Publicly expressed interest[]

Legislative Assembly[]

The result of the last state election and the current situation in the Legislative Assembly is given below:

Affiliation Members +/–
Elected[14] Current
PSL 15 11 Decrease4
PT 10 10 Steady
PSDB 8 9 Increase1
PL 6 8 Increase2
DEM 7 7 Steady
REP 6 6 Steady
PSB 8 6 Decrease2
PP 4 4 Steady
PSOL 4 4 Steady
NOVO 4 4 Steady
PODE 4 4 Steady
MDB 3 3 Steady
SDD 0 2 Increase2
Avante 1 2 Increase1
PV 1 2 Increase1
PSD 2 2 Steady
CDN 2 2 Steady
PRTB 0 1 Increase1
Independent 0 1 Increase1
PATRI 1 1 Steady
PROS 1 1 Steady
PDT 1 1 Steady
REDE 1 1 Steady
PTB 2 1 Decrease1
PHS 1 0 Decrease1
Total 94 –

Opinion polls[]

Governor[]

Polling aggregates
Active candidates
  Fernando Haddad (PT)
  Márcio França (PSB)
  Geraldo Alckmin (PSDB)
  João Doria (PSDB)
  Abraham Weintraub (Ind.)
  Guilherme Boulos (PSOL)
  Paulo Skaf (MDB)
  Others
  Abstentions/Undecided

December 2021

Pollster/client(s) Date(s)
conducted 		Sample
size 		Haddad
PT 		França
PSB 		Alckmin
PSDB 		Doria
PSDB 		Boulos
PSOL 		Tarcísio
Ind. 		Val
PATRI 		Garcia
PSDB 		Weintraub
Ind. 		Skaf
MDB 		Others Abst.
Undec. 		Lead
Paraná Pesquisas 13–17 Dec 1,818 16% – 30.2% – 12.5% 6.3% 4.6% 5.4% – – 0.8%[a] 24.3% 14.2%
– 24.3% – 18.6% 6.7% 5.2% 7.9% 1%[b] 36.3% 5.7%
Datafolha 13–16 Dec 2,034 19% 13% 28% 10% 5% 2% – 1% 1%[c] 20% 9%
28% 19% – 11% 7% 3% 6% 1% 1%[d] 25% 9%
– 28% 18% 9% 4% 8% 2% 1%[e] 30% 10%
Ipespe/Valor 29 Nov–1 Dec 1,000 19% – 23% 11% 8% – 3% – 36% 4%
– 19% – 23% 10% 5% 43% 4%
27% – 13% 13% 6% 41% 14%

March–September 2021

Pollster/client(s) Date(s)
conducted 		Sample
size 		Haddad
PT 		França
PSB 		Alckmin
PSDB 		Doria
PSDB 		Boulos
PSOL 		Val
PATRI 		Garcia
DEM/PSDB 		Weintraub
Ind. 		Skaf
MDB 		Others Abst.
Undec. 		Lead
Datafolha 13–15 Sep 2,034 17% 15% 26% – 11% 4% – 4% – 5%[f] 20% 9%
23% 19% – 13% 5% 5% 2% 7%[g] 26% 4%
EXAME/IDEIA 23–26 Aug 2,000 16% 15% 19% 14% 4% 5% – 7% 4%[h] 16% 3%
Paraná Pesquisas 7–10 June 1,818 8.5% 11.0% 17.6% 12.3% 5.2% 0.4% 8.1% 19.8%[i] 17.0% 1.5%
– 12.0% 19.6% 15.2% 5.3% – 8.5% 20.9%[j] 18.4% 0.6%
14.3% – 16.2% 5.6% 1.8% 10.7% 15.5%[k] 25.2% 9.2%
13.3% 23.7% 16.6% 8.1% 1.3% 9.2% 5.0%[l] 24.8% 7.1%
15.6% – 13.5% 17.0% 6.2% – 10.3% 9.5%[m] 28.1% 1.4%
Atlas/El País 7–11 May 1,050 14.6% 12.5% – 17.0% 6.9% 2.5% 16.4% – 30.1% 0.6%
– 11.5% 13.3% 26.3% 7.5% – 17.9% 23.5% 8.4%
25.3% 10.4% 12.2% – 6.6% – 14.9% 13.5% 17.1% 10.4%
Ipespe/Valor 5–7 Apr 1,000 20% 18% 17% – 5% 1% 4% – 36% 2%
– 17% 17% 8% 16% 5% – – 36% Tie
GovNet/Opinião Pesquisa 17–23 Mar 812 21.06% 13.92% 10.59% 9.85% – – 3.82% 1.48% 5.67% 0.86%[n] 32.76% 7.14%
23.89% 16.38% – 11.95% 4.56% 2.71% 7.88% 1.35%[o] 31.28% 7.51%
23.52% 15.15% 14.90% – 4.56% – 2.59% 7.02% 1.23%[p] 31.03% 8.37%

Senator[]

Pollster/client(s) Date(s)
conducted 		Sample
size 		França
PSB 		Boulos
PSOL 		Datena
PSL 		Moro
PODE 		Haddad
PT 		Suplicy
PT 		Skaf
MDB 		Paschoal
PSL 		Serra
PSDB 		Others Abst.
Undec. 		Lead
Paraná Pesquisas 13–17 Dec 1,818 – 25.7% 19.8% 17.7% – 7.4% 7.7% – 0.8%[q] 21% 5.9%
EXAME/IDEIA 23–26 Aug 2,000 19% 17% – – 15% 11% 8% 4% 7%[r] 19% 2%
Paraná Pesquisas 7–10 June 1,818 – 29.1% 19.0% – 10.1% 8.3% 11.2%[s] 22.3% 10.1%
– 23.5% 12.2% 10.9% 21.5%[t] 31.9% 11.3%

Notes[]

  1. ^ Vinicius Poit (NOVO) with 0.8%
  2. ^ Vinicius Poit (NOVO) with 1%
  3. ^ Vinicius Poit (NOVO) with 1%
  4. ^ Vinicius Poit (NOVO) with 1%
  5. ^ Vinicius Poit (NOVO) with 1%
  6. ^ Tarcísio Freitas with 4%; Vinicius Poit (NOVO) with 1%
  7. ^ Tarcísio Freitas with 6%; Vinicius Poit (NOVO) with 1%
  8. ^ Tarcísio Freitas with 2%; Vinicius Poit (NOVO) with 2%
  9. ^ José Luiz Datena (PSL) with 19.1%; Vinicius Poit (NOVO) with 0.7%
  10. ^ José Luiz Datena (PSL) with 20.2%; Vinicius Poit (NOVO) 0.7%
  11. ^ José Luiz Datena (PSL) with 25.4%; Vinicius Poit (NOVO) 0.8%
  12. ^ Janaína Paschoal (PSL) 4.3%; Vinicius Poit (NOVO) with 0.7%
  13. ^ Janaína Paschoal (PSL) with 5.0%; Tarcísio Gomes de Freitas with 3.7%; Vinicius Poit (NOVO) 0.8%
  14. ^ Elvis Cezar (PSDB) with 0.86%
  15. ^ Elvis Cezar (PSDB) with 1.35%
  16. ^ Elvis Cezar (PSDB)) with 1.35%
  17. ^ José Aníbal (PSDB) with 0.8%;
  18. ^ Mario Covas Neto (PODE) with 2%; Maurren Maggi (PSB) with 2%; Marta Suplicy with 2%; Janaína Lima with 1%; Luiz Felipe D'Ávila with 1%
  19. ^ Mario Covas Neto (PODE) with 4.9%; Marta Suplicy with 4.2%; Maurren Maggi (PSB) with 2.1%
  20. ^ Mario Covas Neto (PODE) with 8.9%; Marta Suplicy with 5.4%; Baleia Rossi (MDB) with 3.8%; Maurren Maggi (PSB) with 3.4%

References[]

  1. ^ Venceslau, Pedro (26 December 2020). "Doria pavimenta apoio inédito no PSDB para 2022". Estadão (in Portuguese). Retrieved 30 December 2020.
  2. ^ "PSDB estará na "mesa principal" para enfrentar Bolsonaro em 2022, diz Doria". Poder360 (in Portuguese). 2 December 2020. Retrieved 30 December 2020.
  3. ^ a b Meier, Ricardo (28 December 2020). ""Pai" da Linha 18-Bronze, Alckmin defende retomada do modal no ABC Paulista". Metrô CPTM (in Portuguese). Retrieved 30 December 2020.
  4. ^ a b Linhares, Carolina; Tavares, Joelmir (3 December 2020). "Acordo entre Doria e seu vice embaralha disputa pelo Governo de SP em 2022". Folha de S. Paulo (in Portuguese). Retrieved 30 December 2020.
  5. ^ a b c Pereira, Filipe (9 April 2021). "Haddad lidera pesquisa para o Governo de SP com 20%, seguido de França e Alckmin". O Povo (in Portuguese). Retrieved 9 April 2021.
  6. ^ "Weintraub dá início a pré-campanha em SP e consolida racha no bolsonarismo". Veja (in Portuguese). 14 January 2022. Retrieved 16 January 2022.
  7. ^ "Bolsonaro sugere que ministro Tarcísio pode disputar eleição em SP em 2022". UOL Notícias (in Portuguese). 26 April 2021. Retrieved 27 April 2021.
  8. ^ Costa, Mariana (13 January 2022). "Bolsonaro confirma Tarcísio Freitas na disputa pelo governo de SP". Metrópoles (in Portuguese). Retrieved 16 January 2022.
  9. ^ Brandalise, Camila (17 July 2020). "Secretária do governo Doria: "Me pergutavam: 'Você é assessora de quem?'"". Universa UOL (in Portuguese). Retrieved 30 December 2020.
  10. ^ "PCB lança pré-candidatura de Gabriel Colombo para o governo paulista". Partido Comunista Brasileiro (in Portuguese). 24 January 2022. Retrieved 24 January 2022.
  11. ^ "Partido Novo oficializa deputado Vinicius Poit como pré-candidato ao governo de SP em 2022" (in Brazilian Portuguese). 2021-11-27. Retrieved 2022-01-27.
  12. ^ Venceslau, Pedro (13 March 2021). "Doria já admite disputar reeleição em SP, em vez do Planalto". Terra (in Portuguese). Retrieved 13 March 2021.
  13. ^ Gielow, Igor (13 March 2021). "Doria admite disputar reeleição em aceno para rivais do centro". Folha de S. Paulo (in Portuguese). Retrieved 13 March 2021.
  14. ^ "Apuração de votos e resultado das Eleições 2018 SP: Governador eleito" (in Portuguese). UOL. 7 October 2018. Retrieved 30 December 2020.
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